Abstract Background Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare, chronic disorder of the intra- and extrahepatic biliary tree characterized by cholestasis, periductal inflammation and fibrosis. Currently, there is very limited epidemiological data from the Central-Eastern European region. We assessed disease characteristics and natural history of PSC in a bicentre Hungarian cohort and compared its outcome with respect to co-existing inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Methods Imaging, laboratory and clinical data including presence of IBD, variant syndrome, disease course and outcome were prospectively collected in two large Hungarian Clinical Centre Patients were followed on a yearly basis. Median diseases follow-up (FUP) time was 8.82 (IQR: 5.2-13.5) years. A wide range of clinical scoring systems were applied. Poor disease outcome was defined as orthotopic liver transplantation (LT) and/or liver-related death during the FUP. Results Of 135 patients (57.8% males; median age at diagnosis: 31 [IQR: 20-47] yrs) with confirmed PSC, 73 (54.1%) had coexisting IBD. Nineteen patients already had cirrhosis at diagnosis and 31 more developed it during the FUP. A total of 21 (15.6%) patients died of which 85.7% were liver-related deaths. Twenty-five patients (18.5%) underwent liver transplantation (LT). Twenty-three (17%) patients developed malignancy (9 cholangiocarcinoma, 3 hepatocellular carcinoma, 6 colorectal carcinoma and 6 non-gastrointestinal malignancy) during the FUP. Patients with IBD were younger and had higher Mayo and Amsterdam-Oxford scores at diagnosis compared to those without, however there was no difference in disease outcomes in these groups (p=0.133). Clinical scores at diagnosis had moderate prognostic ability for poor disease outcome (AUROC [95%CI], Mayo score: 0.637 [0.521-0.753]; p=0.018; Amsterdam-Oxford: 0.687 [0.576-0.798]; p=0.002; p<0.001; UK-long: 0.695 [0.588-0.803]; p<0.001), except UK-short PSC risk score (0.745 [0.643-0.847]). Persistent alkaline phosphatase (ALP) increase, despite ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) treatment, especially within the first two years of diagnosis had good prognostic ability (AUROC [95%C], at diagnosis: 0.656 [0.556-0.757], p= 0.006; after one year: 0.724 [0.602-0.847], p<0.001; after two years: 0.746 [0.617-0.875], p<0.001). Conclusion Prognosis of PSC is independent of coexisting IBD in our large Hungarian prospective PSC cohort. Prognostic ability of the currently used PSC risk scores is limited. The UK-short PSC risk score and early ALP response to UDCA treatment showed to have the best accuracy.
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