Background & AimsAlthough primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is considered a rare disorder, accurate determination of its incidence and prevalence remains challenging due to limited comprehensive population-based registries. We aimed to assess the incidence and prevalence of PBC in the Netherlands over time through the nation-wide Dutch PBC Cohort Study (DPCS). MethodsDPCS included retrospectively every identifiable patient with PBC in the Netherlands from 1990 onwards in all 71 Dutch hospitals. Incidence and prevalence were assessed between 2008-2018 by Poisson regression between sex and age groups over time. ResultsOn January 1st 2008, there were 1458 patients with PBC in the Netherlands. Between 2008-2018, 2187 individuals were newly diagnosed, 46 were transplanted and 468 died. The yearly incidence of PBC in 2008 was 1.38, and increased to 1.74 per 100.000 persons in 2018. When compared to those aged <45 years, females aged 45-64 years (adjusted Incidence Rate Ratio [aIRR] 4.21, 95%CI 3.76-4.71, p<0.001) and males ≥65 years (aIRR 14.41, 95%CI 9.62-21.60, p<0.001) had the highest risk to be diagnosed with PBC. The male-to-female ratio of patients newly diagnosed with PBC during the study period was 1:14 in those <45 years, 1:10 in patients aged 45-64 years, and 1:4 in those ≥65 years. Point prevalence increased from 11.9 in 2008 to 21.5 per 100.000 persons in 2018. Average annual percent change (AAPC) in this time period was 5.94% (95%CI 5.77-6.15, p<0.05), and was the highest among the population ≥65 years (5.69%, 95%CI 5.32-6.36, p<0.001). ConclusionsIn this nationwide cohort study, we observed an increase in both incidence and prevalence of PBC in the Netherlands over the past decade, with marked age and sex differences. Impact And ImplicationsThis nationwide Dutch PBC cohort study, including all hospitals in the Netherlands, showed that the PBC incidence and prevalence has increased over the last decade. The age-dependent PBC incidence rate differed for males (highest risk ≥65 years) and females (highest risk between 45 and 65 years), which may be related to a difference in the timing of exposure to environmental triggers of PBC. The largest increase in PBC prevalence over time was observed in the population ≥65 years, which may have implications for the use of second line therapies. These results therefore indicate that further studies are needed to elaborate on the advantages and disadvantages of add-on therapies in the elderly population.
Read full abstract