Prevalence Data Research Articles

Tobacco market trends in 97 countries between 2007 and 2021.

Analysis of the tobacco market can provide valuable insights for developing tobacco control strategies. This study examines the market trends of cigarettes, cigars/cigarillos, smoking tobacco, smokeless tobacco, e-cigarettes, heated tobacco products (HTPs), and tobacco-free oral nicotine, across 97 countries between 2007 and 2021. We obtained annual tobacco retail value data from Euromonitor Passport and calculated the market share for each type of tobacco product. The research examined trends in retail value and market share globally, stratified by national income level, as well as in individual countries. From 2007 to 2015, the growth of the global tobacco market was primarily driven by cigarette sales. However, starting in 2016, emerging products, including e-cigarettes, HTPs, and tobacco-free oral nicotine, as well as non-cigarette combustible products, including cigars/cigarillos and smoking tobacco, have been mostly responsible for the increases in the global tobacco retail value. High-income countries experienced the greatest increase in the retail value of emerging products, while middle- and low-income countries still observed rises in cigarette sales. Trends in the retail value of different tobacco products varied widely during the study period, with distinct trends observed in different income levels and within individual countries. These trends can supplement prevalence data and be used to inform local tobacco control policies.

40 years of adding more fructose to high fructose corn syrup than is safe, through the lens of malabsorption and altered gut health–gateways to chronic disease

Labels do not disclose the excess-free-fructose/unpaired-fructose content in foods/beverages. Objective was to estimate excess-free-fructose intake using USDA loss-adjusted-food-availability (LAFA) data (1970–2019) for high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and apple juice, major sources of excess-free-fructose, for comparison with malabsorption dosages (~ 5 g-children/ ~ 10 g-adults). Unlike sucrose and equimolar fructose/glucose, unpaired-fructose triggers fructose malabsorption and its health consequences. Daily intakes were calculated for HFCS that is generally-recognized-as-safe/ (55% fructose/45% glucose), and variants (65/35, 60/40) with higher fructose-to-glucose ratios (1.9:1, 1.5:1), as measured by independent laboratories. Estimations include consumer-level-loss (CLL) allowances used before (20%), and after, subjective, retroactively-applied increases (34%), as recommended by corn-refiners (~ 2012). No contributions from crystalline-fructose or agave syrup were included due to lack of LAFA data. High-excess-free-fructose-fruits (apples/pears/watermelons/mangoes) were not included. Eaten in moderation they are less likely to trigger malabsorption. Another objective was to identify potential parallel trends between excess-free-fructose intake and the “unexplained” US asthma epidemic. The fructose/gut-dysbiosis/lung axis is well documented, case-study evidence and epidemiological research link HFCS/apple juice intake with asthma, and unlike gut-dysbiosis/gut-fructosylation, childhood asthma prevalence data spans > 40 years.ResultsExcess-free-fructose daily intake for individuals consuming HFCS with an average 1.5:1 fructose-to-glucose ratio, ranged from 0.10 g/d in 1970, to 11.3 g/d in 1999, to 6.5 g/d in 2019, and for those consuming HFCS with an average 1.9:1 ratio, intakes ranged from 0.13 g/d to 16.9 g/d (1999), to 9.7 g/d in 2019, based upon estimates with a 20% CLL allowance. Intake exceeded dosages that trigger malabsorption (~ 5 g) around ~ 1980. By the early 1980’s, tripled apple juice intake had added ~ 0.5 g to average-per-capita excess-free-fructose intake. Contributions were higher (~ 3.8 g /4-oz.) for individuals consuming apple juice consistent with a healthy eating pattern (4-oz. children, 8-oz. adults). The “unexplained” childhood asthma epidemic (1980-present) parallels increasing average-per-capita HFCS/apple juice intake trends and reflects epidemiological research findings.ConclusionDisplacement of sucrose with HFCS, its ubiquitous presence in the US food-supply, the industry practice of adding more fructose to HFCS than generally-recognized-as-safe, and increased use of apple juice/crystalline fructose/agave syrup in foods/beverages has contributed to unprecedented excess-free-fructose intake levels, fructose malabsorption, gut-dysbiosis and gut-fructosylation (immunogen burden)-gateways to chronic disease.

Prevalence and incidence of cancer amongst adults with intellectual disability — a systematic review and meta-analysis protocol

Background People with intellectual disabilities have poorer health and die earlier than their peers without identified disabilities. This difference represents a significant inequality. Until recently, it was considered that cancer was less common in this population, mainly because they did not live long enough to develop age-related cancers. However, recent evidence has identified that people with intellectual disabilities may be at an increased risk of developing cancer but more likely to present for medical treatment at a later stage when cancer has spread. Nonetheless, the evidence is lacking and there is a need to understand the prevalence and incidence of cancer and subtypes of cancer in adults with intellectual disabilities. Methods A systematic review and meta-analysis will be undertaken to investigate the prevalence and incidence of cancer and subtypes of cancer in adults with an intellectual disability. The JBI Systematic reviews of prevalence and incidence and the PRISMA-P (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines were followed to develop this protocol. Electronic databases will be searched using predefined search terms to identify relevant studies using the Condition Context Population (CoCoPop) framework. Eligible studies should be observational and have published baseline data that have estimated or presented data on the prevalence or incidence of cancer in adults with intellectual disabilities. To assess the methodological quality of studies included in this review a modified version of the JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Studies Reporting Prevalence Data will be used. Prevalence and incidence proportions will be analysed separately with individual study data being pooled using the DerSimonian-Laird proportion method and a random effects meta-analysis will be undertaken. Discussion This review will advance the epidemiological evidence to identify where targeted cancer care interventions are needed to help reduce the inequalities that this population experiences. Systematic review registration PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023423584

A cost-consequence analysis of the Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus test strategy for the diagnosis of influenza-like illnesses

Aims Influenza-like illnesses (ILI) affect millions each year in the United States (US). Determining definitively the cause of symptoms is important for patient management. Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus (Xpert Xpress) is a rapid, point-of-care (POC), multiplex real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test intended for the simultaneous qualitative detection and differentiation of SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). The objective of our analysis was to develop a cost-consequence model (CCM) demonstrating the clinico-economic impacts of implementing PCR testing with Xpert Xpress compared to current testing strategies. Methods A decision tree model, with a 1-year time horizon, was used to compare testing with Xpert Xpress alone to antigen POC testing and send-out PCR strategies in the US outpatient setting from a payer perspective. A hypothetical cohort of 1,000,000 members was modeled, a portion of whom develop symptomatic ILIs and present to an outpatient care facility. Our main outcome measure is cost per correct treatment course. Results The total cost per correct treatment course was $1,131 for the Xpert Xpress strategy compared with a range of $3,560 to $5,449 in comparators. POC antigen testing strategies cost more, on average, than PCR strategies. Limitations Simplifying model assumptions were used to allow for modeling ease. In clinical practice, treatment options, costs, and diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity may differ from what is included in the model. Additionally, the most recent incidence and prevalence data was used within the model, which is not reflective of historical averages due to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Conclusion The Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus test allows for rapid and accurate diagnostic results, leading to reductions in testing costs and downstream healthcare resource utilization compared to other testing strategies. Compared to POC antigen testing strategies, PCR strategies were more efficient due to improved diagnostic accuracy and reduced use of confirmatory testing.

Relative exposure to psychiatric conditions and medications in pharmacy education

IntroductionCommon psychiatric conditions occur at rates similar to chronic medical conditions. This study aimed to evaluate the exposure to psychiatric disease states as comorbidities in relation to other common chronic conditions within the curriculum at one college of pharmacy. MethodsResearchers reviewed course activities for instances of specific conditions as comorbidities. The comorbidities evaluated fell into two categories: psychiatric and non-psychiatric. The primary outcome was the frequency each comorbidity appeared within course content. Secondary outcomes included characterization of instances of comorbidities, including the semester, course topic, and corresponding step of the Pharmacists' Patient Care Process. Prevalence data were analyzed for the health system where students conducted experiential learning. ResultsOverall, hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia appeared as comorbidities more frequently in the curriculum than depression and anxiety, despite similar prevalence patterns between these conditions. Students received the most exposure to these conditions as comorbidities during team-based learning case activities in therapeutics courses taught during the second professional year. ConclusionsThis study found that psychiatric conditions were represented as comorbidities less frequently in the curriculum, despite similar prevalence patterns with other common comorbid disease states. With this knowledge, educators may identify potential opportunities for enhancing the curriculum around psychiatric illnesses.

Endometriosis, a participatory study in the Serchio Valley (Tuscany Region, Central Italy): state of the art and perspectives

endometriosis is a chronic condition with a significant impact on women's health, featured by endometrial tissue outside the uterine cavity. A limited number of studies have been conducted in the general population, and the true prevalence of endometriosis is unknown for many areas of the country. to better estimate the prevalence of endometriosis in three Italian regions (Friuli Venezia Giulia, Tuscany, Apulia) and to assess the relationship between endometriosis and environmental factors in three participating areas (Trieste, Barga, and Taranto), with a focus on Tuscany Region. implementing a specific epidemiological registry for endometriosis, aimed at estimating the incidence and prevalence data. The registry collected information from hospital discharge records and anatomopathological reports of women residing in the three considered regions, aged 15 years or older. Additionally, the analysis includes the assessment of the spatial distribution of endometriosis at both regional and municipal levels in the three study areas. Further research investigations in these areas involve a multilevel screening of a sample of women of childbearing age. Women who test positive in the initial screening (through a self-administered questionnaire) will have the opportunity to undergo a second level of screening, consisting of a gynecological examination, transvaginal ultrasound, a swab for vaginal microbiome analysis, and the collection of blood and urine samples to assess the presence of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) or heavy metals. The adopted scientific approach is based on post-normal science (PNS) concerning the extended peer community. women aged 15 years or older residing in the three regions. estimating the incidence and prevalence of endometriosis based on data collected from the epidemiological registry. The analysis extends to assessing the spatial distribution of endometriosis at municipal levels in the three areas of interest. the preliminary results of the study allowed for the estimation of the spatial distribution of endometriosis incidence in Tuscany. In particular, it was found that there is variability within the region, with some coastal and North-Western areas showing values 20% higher than the regional average. Cities such as Pisa, Lucca, Livorno, Grosseto, Orbetello, and the Serchio Valley with Barga had a probability of excess risk of more than 90% compared to the regional average. the study is ongoing and requires the active participation of women living in the region to ensure the completeness and accuracy of the collected data. This research effort represents an important contribution to understanding endometriosis in Tuscany and its possible environmental causes.

Smoking-Related Disease Impact in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: A Comprehensive Assessment Using Global Burden of Disease Data.

Smoking remains a significant risk factor for numerous health issues, including lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and respiratory infections. This study investigates the burden of tobacco-related diseases in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Utilizing the GBD data, we examined the risk of smoking and second-hand smoke exposure and their related causes of death and disability in the 22 MENA countries. Smoking prevalence and disease burden data were analyzed with estimates reported as age-standardized rates. Tobacco abuse accounted for 14.5% of all deaths and 23.2% of deaths tied to known risk factors, with an age-standardized death rate of 110.8 per 100,000. Cardiovascular diseases were the primary cause of smoking-related deaths and DALYs, representing 53.4% of all deaths and 50.3% of all DALYs. This was followed by neoplasms (24.6% of all deaths and 20.3% of all DALYs), chronic respiratory diseases(12.4% of all deaths and 11.9% of all DALYs), and respiratory infections and tuberculosis(4% of all deaths and 3.4% of all DALYs). Second-hand smoking caused 20.5% of tobacco-related deaths and 21.5% of tobacco-related DALYs, disproportionately affecting younger individuals. An increasing disease burden was observed in Lebanon, Turkey, Syria, Tunisia, UAE, and Libya, and declining rates were most evident in Oman and Qatar. Our study emphasizes the impact of smoking on cardiovascular disease, the primary cause of smoking-related mortality and morbidity in the MENA region. Our findings highlight the urgent need for effective tobacco control policies and interventions.

Beyond 'single customer view': Player tracking's potential role in understanding and reducing gambling-related harm.

Usage of electronic gaming machines (EGMs) and on-line gambling is strongly associated with gambling-related harm. Player-tracking systems can monitor a gambler's activity across multiple sessions and/or operators, providing a clearer picture of the person's risk of harm with respect to these gambling formats and enabling harm reduction efforts. The Finnish and Norwegian state monopolies have player-tracking systems in place, while the United Kingdom is implementing an operator-led system called 'single customer view' for on-line gambling, and Australian states are proposing similar 'player cards' for land-based EGMs. Player tracking can advance harm reduction efforts in three ways. First, player tracking improves our understanding of gambling-related harm by providing data on how the population gambles, which can potentially be linked with operator, government and/or prevalence data sets. Secondly, player tracking can be used to implement harm reduction measures such as expenditure limits, self-exclusion and age verification. Thirdly, player tracking can provide a platform to evaluate harm reduction measures via gold-standard field trials. These potential benefits need to be weighed against various practical and ethical issues. The potential benefits of player-tracking systems would be maximized via systems administered independently of the gambling industry and implemented universally across all gambling in a given jurisdiction.

Prevalence of depression, stress and suicide tendency among individuals with long COVID and determinants: a protocol of a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundIt is well known that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on mental health, especially among individuals with long COVID. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to investigate...

Bioframe: operations on genomic intervals in Pandas dataframes.

Genomic intervals are one of the most prevalent data structures in computational genome biology, and used to represent features ranging from genes, to DNA binding sites, to disease variants. Operations on genomic intervals provide a language for asking questions about relationships between features. While there are excellent interval arithmetic tools for the command line, they are not smoothly integrated into Python, one of the most popular general-purpose computational and visualization environments. Bioframe is a library to enable flexible and performant operations on genomic interval dataframes in Python. Bioframe extends the Python data science stack to use cases for computational genome biology by building directly on top of two of the most commonly-used Python libraries, NumPy and Pandas. The bioframe API enables flexible name and column orders, and decouples operations from data formats to avoid unnecessary conversions, a common scourge for bioinformaticians. Bioframe achieves these goals while maintaining high performance and a rich set of features. Bioframe is open-source under MIT license, cross-platform, and can be installed from the Python Package Index. The source code is maintained by Open2C on GitHub at https://github.com/open2c/bioframe.

MODELING THE TRANSITION TO THE FOURTH EPIDEMIOLOGIC STAGE OF INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE: PREVALENCE EQUILIBRIUM

Abstract BACKGROUND A theoretical framework for population-level transition across four epidemiologic stages has been proposed for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD): 1. Emergence (low incidence/prevalence); 2. Acceleration in Incidence (rapid rising incidence); 3. Compounding Prevalence (stabilizing incidence, rapid rising prevalence); and 4. Prevalence Equilibrium (decelerated prevalence), which no region has entered yet. Many regions of the early-industrialized world (North America, Europe, Oceania) are currently in stage 3. AIM To model the transition to the 4th epidemiologic stage of IBD based on real-world data. METHODS Transition to stage 4 involves deceleration of prevalence after a period of rapid increase. Age-specific, population-based incidence and prevalence data from Canada (2007–2014, >97% of population) were used to model changing prevalence using a partial differential equation (PDE) derived from a compartment model (Figure 1). The PDE is built on an average historical incidence value (2007–2014) and accounts for changing population age distributions over time. The PDE prevalence output was internally validated by comparing observed historical prevalence values with model outputs. After validation, the model was used to forecast future age-stratified prevalence and provide an estimate for when the transition to stage 4 is expected. Although incidence is predicted to stabilize in stage 3, the PDE was run on five scenarios to account for variability in future incidence values; therefore, we modeled annual incidence increases of 2% and 1%, stable incidence, and annual incidence decreases of 1% and 2%. RESULTS Internal validation of the model compared observed to predicted prevalence values in 2014: The observed prevalence was 0.677%; the model output was 0.678%. The model predicts gradual prevalence deceleration across 2020–2043 (Figure 2). In 2043, prevalence is modeled to range between 1.101% and 1.293% across incidence scenarios (−2% to 2%). Assuming a stable incidence, as predicted by stage 3, the increase in prevalence slows from a difference in annual percent change of 0.021% in 2020 to 0.011% in 2043, signalling transition towards stage 4 (Figure 2). DISCUSSION Stage 3 (Compounding Prevalence) is characterized by a stabilizing incidence trend, and rapid growth in prevalence. Without a growing incidence rate, the IBD population continues to age until mortality approximates incidence, thereby allowing prevalence to stabilize (Stage 4). Understanding the markers of epidemiologic transition and predicting the future population distribution (age, prevalence) of IBD allows healthcare administrators to anticipate the future needs of gastroenterology clinics to continue offering timely, high-quality care and prepare for an aging IBD population with complications from long-standing disease, age-related comorbidities, and polypharmacy. Figure 1 Compartment model that feeds the partial differential equation. The compartment model has three states: healthy (H), diseased (S), and dead (D); the i = incidence; r = remission, and m0 = mortality rates are dependent on age (a) and time (i), where as m1 = mortality rate is dependent on age, time, and possibly duration of disease (d). Figure 2 Modeled time-dependent prevalence of IBD in Canada for 2%, 1%, 0%, −1%, and −2% change in annual incidence (2015–2043).

Prevalence of Cardiometabolic Diseases Among Racial and Ethnic Subgroups in Adults - Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, United States, 2013-2021.

Although diabetes and cardiovascular disease account for substantial disease prevalence among adults in the United States, their prevalence among racial and ethnic subgroups is inadequately characterized. To fill this gap, CDC described the prevalence of diagnosed cardiometabolic diseases among U.S. adults, by disaggregated racial and ethnic subgroups, among 3,970,904 respondents to the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System during 2013-2021. Prevalence of each disease (diabetes, myocardial infarction, angina or coronary heart disease, and stroke), stratified by race and ethnicity, was based on self-reported diagnosis by a health care professional, adjusting for age, sex, and survey year. Overall, mean respondent age was 47.5 years, and 51.4% of respondents were women. Prevalence of cardiometabolic diseases among disaggregated race and ethnicity subgroups varied considerably. For example, diabetes prevalence within the aggregated non-Hispanic Asian category (11.5%) ranged from 6.3% in the Vietnamese subgroup to 15.2% in the Filipino subgroup. Prevalence of angina or coronary heart disease for the aggregated Hispanic or Latino category (3.8%) ranged from 3.1% in the Cuban subgroup to 6.3% in the Puerto Rican subgroup. Disaggregation of cardiometabolic disease prevalence data by race and ethnicity identified health disparities among subgroups that can be used to better help guide prevention programs and develop culturally relevant interventions.

MACHINE LEARNING CLASSIFICATION OF THE EPIDEMIOLOGIC STAGES OF INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE ACROSS GEOGRAPHY AND TIME

Abstract BACKGROUND Epidemiologic stages of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have been proposed: 1. Emergence (low incidence and prevalence); 2. Acceleration in Incidence (rapidly rising incidence, low prevalence); and 3. Compounding Prevalence (stabilizing incidence, rapidly rising prevalence). To date, these stages have been theoretical without quantified definitions of incidence and prevalence. AIM To use machine learning to determine incidence and prevalence ranges corresponding to the epidemiologic stages and provide stage classifications across time for global regions. METHODS We built a supervised random forest classifier in R to determine epidemiologic stages of IBD from population-based studies (n=340), a subset derived from a systematic review on the incidence and prevalence of IBD. A labelled training data set comprising rates of incidence and prevalence of Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) extracted from the systematic review was used to predict classifications of stage 1, stage 2, or stage 3 for each region, stratified by decade (1960–2019). Model accuracy was measured using a blind validation data set. The validated model was then used to predict stage classifications for regions in the data set. Interquartile ranges for incidence and prevalence of CD and UC were calculated on the random forest output, and the distributions were compared using negative binomial regression. RESULTS The random forest’s classification accuracy on the blinded validation data was 93.7% (95%CI: 90.6, 96.1) indicating an appropriate model fit and performance. Significant differences between all stages for the incidence and prevalence of CD and UC (p<0.001) were found. The clear distinction across stages defines the incidence and prevalence ranges (25th–75th, per 100,000) for IBD as: CD incidence 0.0–0.3, UC incidence 0.2–0.7, CD prevalence 0.3–2.2, and UC prevalence 1.7–8.1 for stage 1; CD incidence 1.0–4.4, UC incidence 2.3–6.3, CD prevalence 9.0–33.9, and UC prevalence 22.8–73.3 for stage 2; and CD incidence 6.6–14.0, UC incidence 10.1–18.1, CD prevalence 163.2–274.7, and UC prevalence 189.1–323.2 for stage 3 (Figure 1). A decade-by-decade analysis shows global regions transitioning across the epidemiologic stages (Figure 2). By the 2010s, North America, Scandinavia, Western Europe, Australia, and New Zealand were in stage 3. Most regions in Asia and Latin America were in stage 1 in the last half of the 20th century, with many transitioning to stage 2 in the 2010s. DISCUSSION Temporal incidence and prevalence data show that regions transition across epidemiologic stages. Numerical definitions of the epidemiologic stages can be used to establish the anticipated burden growth of IBD by providing estimated rates of the number of incident and prevalent IBD cases a region can expect as it transitions between IBD epidemiologic stages in the future. Figure 1 Coalescing ranges for incidence (panel A) and prevalence (panel B) by Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis at epidemiologic stage 1, stage 2, and stage 3. Data were categorized by data type (incidence or prevalence), disease type (Crohn’s disease or ulcerative colitis), and epidemiologic stage, as per results from the random forest classifier. The 25th and 75th percentiles were calculated using the rates across all regions included in the analysis for all available time points for each box group. Figure 2 Global maps depicting epidemiologic stages of IBD evolution from 1960 to 2019 broken down by decade, as predicted by the random forest model. Panel A contains stage classifications from 1960 to 1969; panel B contains stage classifications from 1970 to 1979; panel C contains stage classifications from 1980 to 1989; panel D contains stage classifications from 1990 to 1999; panel E contains stage classifications from 2000 to 2009; and panel F contains stage classifications from 2010 to 2019.

Why Are Adolescent Cannabis Use Disorder Treatment Admissions Declining in the US? The Mediated Pathway of State Treatment Admissions Rates before and after Recreational Cannabis Legalization

Purpose: State-level prevalence data are used to investigate whether recreational cannabis legalization moderates the mediated pathway from the perception of low risk of harm, to cannabis use, to cannabis use disorder (CUD) treatment admissions, among adolescents (age 12–17) in the US. Methods: Annual state prevalence measures of perception of low risk, cannabis use, and CUD treatment admissions between 2008 and 2019 (N = 542 state-year observations) were collected from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) and the Treatment Episode Dataset – Admissions (TEDS-A). A two-way fixed effects (state and year) moderated mediation model was used to test whether recreational legalization moderated the indirect effect of perception of low risk on treatment admissions via cannabis use. Results: A positive indirect effect of perceiving cannabis as low risk on CUD treatment admissions via cannabis use was observed prior to legalization but not afterwards. After legalization, the positive association of perceiving cannabis as low risk with cannabis use was strengthened, and the positive association of cannabis use with treatment admissions was suppressed, as compared to before legalization. Discussion: Recreational legalization may alter the social acceptability and medical self-administration of cannabis, potentially leading to CUD treatment utilization decline among adolescents even as risk factors for CUD increase. Linking recreational cannabis legalization to advancing awareness of the health risks associated with adolescent cannabis use and promoting adolescent CUD treatment engagement through mHealth approaches and primary care providers are key to addressing potential adolescent health challenges brought about by expanding cannabis legalization.

Estimating the global prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major public health problem. The present study aims to provide a global and regional estimate of the prevalence of COPD based on spirometry according to the two most widely used diagnostic criteria of COPD: fixed ratio (FR) and lower limit of normal (LLN).MethodsWe conducted a systematic review of the literature according to PRISMA guidelines. MEDLINE, Web of Sciences, and Scopus databases were searched to identify studies on the spirometry-based prevalence of COPD in individuals aged 40 years and older. The meta-analysis was performed using MedCalc 19 software.ResultsIn total, 42 of the 3393 studies reviewed were eligible for inclusion. The overall prevalence of COPD in people aged 40 years and older was 12.64% (95% CI 10.75%-14.65%) and 7.38% (95% CI 5.47% − 9.55%) based on FR and LLN criteria, respectively. By gender, men had a higher prevalence of COPD compared to women (15.47%; 95% CI 12.22%-19.02% for men versus 8.79%; 95% CI 6.94%-10.82% for women). Using the LLN criteria, the prevalence of COPD in both sexes was almost identical (8.67%; 95% CI 8.44%- 8.90% for men and 8.00%; 95% CI 6.42% − 9.73% for women). We reported a high prevalence of COPD among smokers and the elderly by both definitions of airway obstruction. Regional prevalence estimates using the FR definition indicate that the highest COPD prevalence was recorded in the Americas and the lowest was recorded in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Using the LLN definition, the highest prevalence was recorded in the Southeast Asian region and the lowest prevalence was recorded in the American region. The most common COPD stage was stage II, with a prevalence of 50.46%. The results indicate a huge lack of prevalence data in the African and Eastern Mediterranean region. The results were given using a random-effect model due to the high heterogeneity between studies.ConclusionResults show that the prevalence of COPD differs according to the diagnostic criteria used. In addition, management and prevention strategies targeting risk factors for COPD are certainly needed to reduce the global burden of this chronic respiratory disease.

P1135 Increased prevalence of migraine in women with inflammatory bowel disease: a cross-sectional study

Abstract Background Data on a possible comorbidity between migraine and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are controversial. Our aim was to determine the prevalence of migraine in a cohort of IBD patients. Methods We performed a cross-sectional study in a cohort of IBD patients at our IBD Unit. After informed consent, consecutive IBD patients aged 18-64 years were interviewed. Those who admitted a history of headache in the last year were asked to answer the three questions of the id-Migraine validated questionnaire. Those who answered "yes" to the three of them were classified as "definite" migraine and those who answered "yes" to two were classified as "probable" migraine. For all patients we collected demographic data, IBD subtype, disease duration, hospitalizations or surgeries and medical treatments. Migraine prevalence data of IBD patients were compared with reported local migraine prevalence data at 18-65 years of age (Cephalalgia 2011; 31: 463-70). Statistical analysis was done with SPSS®. Results We interviewed 283 consecutive IBD patients aged 20-65 years. Main characteristics of this population are described in table 1. Headache was present in 176 (62.2%) patients. Of those, 59 (20.8%; 95% CI 16.1-25.5%) met migraine criteria either definite (n= 33; 11.7%; 95% CI 8-15.4%) or probable (n=26; 9.2%; 95% CI 5.8-12.5). When divided by gender, 12 men (9.6%; 95% CI 4.4-14.) and 47 women (29.8%; 95% CI 22.7-36.9%) met migraine criteria. The prevalence of migraine was significantly increased in IBD patients (20.8%) versus that reported for our general population (12.6%; p= 0.0001). By sex, these differences remained significant in women (29.8% in IBD versus 17.2% in our general population; p=0.0001), but not in men (9.6% in IBD vs 8.0%; p=0.45) (Figure 1). By IBD subtypes, there were no significant differences between CD and UC in migraine prevalence (20.7% vs 19.6% respectively; p=0.58). Regarding IBD characteristics, men with total migraine had higher biologic treatment (66.7% vs 44% p=0.032), and immune mediated inflammatory diseases or extraintestinal manifestations of IBD (33.3% vs 9.6% p=0.0016), but the number of men with migraine was low (12). These associations were not significant for women, nor overall population (p>0.05). Additionally, we did not find any significant association in total migraine patients in the use of mesalazine, disease duration, immunomodulators, surgeries or hospitalizations, neither in total number of patients nor stratified by sex. Conclusion Migraine prevalence is higher in patients with IBD than general population, which is a further example of the bidirectional gut-brain interaction. The fact that this association was stronger for women suggests an influence of sex-related factors. ISCIII PI20/01358 and FEDER.

Impact of climate change on atopic dermatitis: A review by the International Eczema Council.

Atopic dermatitis (AD), the most burdensome skin condition worldwide, is influenced by climatic factors and air pollution; however, the impact of increasing climatic hazards on AD remains poorly characterized. Leveraging an existing framework for 10 climatic hazards related to greenhouse gas emissions, we identified 18 studies with evidence for an impact on AD through a systematic search. Most climatic hazards had evidence for aggravation of AD the impact ranged from direct effects like particulate matter-induced AD exacerbations from wildfires to the potential for indirect effects like drought-induced food insecurity and migration. We then created maps comparing the past, present, and future projected burden of climatic hazards to global AD prevalence data. Data are lacking, especially from those regions most likely to experience more climatic hazards. We highlight gaps important for future research: understanding the synergistic impacts of climatic hazards on AD, long-term disease activity, the differential impact on vulnerable populations, and how basic mechanisms explain population-level trends.

The quality of care delivered to residents in long-term care in Australia: an indicator-based review of resident records (CareTrack Aged study)

BackgroundThis study estimated the prevalence of evidence-based care received by a population-based sample of Australian residents in long-term care (LTC) aged ≥ 65 years in 2021, measured by adherence to clinical practice guideline (CPG) recommendations.MethodsSixteen conditions/processes of care amendable to estimating evidence-based care at a population level were identified from prevalence data and CPGs. Candidate recommendations (n = 5609) were extracted from 139 CPGs which were converted to indicators. National experts in each condition rated the indicators via the RAND-UCLA Delphi process. For the 16 conditions, 236 evidence-based care indicators were ratified.A multi-stage sampling of LTC facilities and residents was undertaken. Trained aged-care nurses then undertook manual structured record reviews of care delivered between 1 March and 31 May 2021 (our record review period) to assess adherence with the indicators.ResultsCare received by 294 residents with 27,585 care encounters in 25 LTC facilities was evaluated. Residents received care for one to thirteen separate clinical conditions/processes of care (median = 10, mean = 9.7). Adherence to evidence-based care indicators was estimated at 53.2% (95% CI: 48.6, 57.7) ranging from a high of 81.3% (95% CI: 75.6, 86.3) for Bladder and Bowel to a low of 12.2% (95% CI: 1.6, 36.8) for Depression. Six conditions (skin integrity, end-of-life care, infection, sleep, medication, and depression) had less than 50% adherence with indicators.ConclusionsThis is the first study of adherence to evidence-based care for people in LTC using multiple conditions and a standardised method. Vulnerable older people are not receiving evidence-based care for many physical problems, nor care to support their mental health nor for end-of-life care. The six conditions in which adherence with indicators was less than 50% could be the focus of improvement efforts.

Geospatial analysis of Plasmodium falciparum serological indicators: school versus community sampling in a low-transmission malaria setting

BackgroundDue to low numbers of active infections and persons presenting to health facilities for malaria treatment, case-based surveillance is inefficient for understanding the remaining disease burden in low malaria transmission settings. Serological data through the detection of IgG antibodies from previous malaria parasite exposure can fill this gap by providing a nuanced picture of where sustained transmission remains. Study enrollment at sites of gathering provides a potential approach to spatially estimate malaria exposure and could preclude the need for more intensive community-based sampling.MethodsThis study compared spatial estimates of malaria exposure from cross-sectional school- and community-based sampling in Haiti. A total of 52,405 blood samples were collected from 2012 to 2017. Multiplex bead assays (MBAs) tested IgG against P. falciparum liver stage antigen-1 (LSA-1), apical membrane antigen 1 (AMA1), and merozoite surface protein 1 (MSP1). Predictive geospatial models of seropositivity adjusted for environmental covariates, and results were compared using correlations by coordinate points and communes across Haiti.ResultsConsistent directional associations were observed between seroprevalence and environmental covariates for elevation (negative), air temperature (negative), and travel time to urban centers (positive). Spearman’s rank correlation for predicted seroprevalence at coordinate points was lowest for LSA-1 (ρ = 0.10, 95% CI: 0.09–0.11), but improved for AMA1 (ρ = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.35–0.37) and MSP1 (ρ = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.47–0.49).ConclusionsIn settings approaching P. falciparum elimination, case-based prevalence data does not provide a resolution of ongoing malaria transmission in the population. Immunogenic antigen targets (e.g., AMA1, MSP1) that give higher population rates of seropositivity provide moderate correlation to gold standard community sampling designs and are a feasible approach to discern foci of residual P. falciparum transmission in an area.

Prevalence of chronic cough, its risk factors and population attributable risk in the Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease (BOLD) study: a multinational cross-sectional study

Chronic cough is a common respiratory symptom with an impact on daily activities and quality of life. Global prevalence data are scarce and derive mainly from European and Asian countries and studies with outcomes other than chronic cough. In this study, we aimed to estimate the prevalence of chronic cough across a large number of study sites as well as to identify its main risk factors using a standardised protocol and definition. We analysed cross-sectional data from 33,983 adults (≥40 years), recruited between Jan 2, 2003 and Dec 26, 2016, in 41 sites (34 countries) from the Burden of Obstructive Lung Disease (BOLD) study. We estimated the prevalence of chronic cough for each site accounting for sampling design. To identify risk factors, we conducted multivariable logistic regression analysis within each site and then pooled estimates using random-effects meta-analysis. We also calculated the population attributable risk (PAR) associated with each of the identifed risk factors. The prevalence of chronic cough varied from 3% in India (rural Pune) to 24% in the United States of America (Lexington,KY). Chronic cough was more common among females, both current and passive smokers, those working in a dusty job, those with a history of tuberculosis, those who were obese, those with a low level of education and those with hypertension or airflow limitation. The most influential risk factors were current smoking and working in a dusty job. Our findings suggested that the prevalence of chronic cough varies widely across sites in different world regions. Cigarette smoking and exposure to dust in the workplace are its major risk factors. Wellcome Trust.