Present Conditions Research Articles

Overestimation of Mangroves Deterioration From Sea Level Rise in Tropical Deltas

AbstractMangrove forests are critical coastal ecosystems that provide great socio‐ecological services, which are also highly vulnerable to climate change, particularly to sea level rise (SLR). Here we assess changes in mangrove forests in four distinct river/tide/wave‐dominant large deltas along the Indo‐Pacific coast based on 1,336 remote sensing images by machine learning techniques. We find that mangroves are migrating seaward at a rate of 18% ± 12% m/yr, which can offset landward mangroves loss, 67% of which caused by land use conversion. The fact that mangroves are expanding seaward with accretion rates exceeding SLR suggests that climate change has not yet triggered substantial loss in deltaic mangrove forests. Assuming that present environmental conditions do not change and that sediment and organic deposition in the deltaic topsets match SLR rates, we project that 90% of deltaic mangrove forests may start to retreat after 132–194 years. Early inundation of mangroves will occur in wave‐dominated delta.

Development of arcuate faults and controls on hydrocarbon accumulation in the Tiantai slope, Xihu Depression, East China Sea basin

The strike-slip movement of NW-trending transfer zone in the Tiantai slope of the Xihu Depression governed the development of the Cenozoic arcuate faults. These faults significantly influenced trap formation, sand-bodies distribution, and hydrocarbon migration. Based on seismic, drilling data and fault activity analysis methods, this paper describes the origin and evolution of the arcuate faults and their impact on hydrocarbon accumulation. These arcuate faults exhibit a change from NE to NW strike orientation in plan view, and are distributed in the hanging wall of the NW-trending basement faults. The main arcuate faults penetrate the bottom of the Cenozoic strata and extend upward through the top of the lower member of the Huagang Formation, markedly affecting the depositional dynamics of the Pinghu Formation. The segments of the arcuate faults began to grow during the Middle Eocene, and experienced hard linkages in the Late Eocene. The activity of these arcuate faults diminished significantly and gradually stopped during the Middle and Late Oligocene. The segmentation and linkage growth processes of the arcuate faults controlled the formation and evolution of traps. Additionally, the activities of these faults influenced the distribution of sandbodies, with the segmentation points of the arcuate faults serving as important conduits for sediment input. Moreover, the arcuate faults served as effective pathways for vertical hydrocarbon migration. The area with the arcuate faults present favorable conditions for hydrocarbon accumulation in the Tiantai slope of the Xihu Depression.

Комплексный подход к развитию инфраструктуры сбыта продукции аграрного малого и микро-бизнеса

Small and private subsidiary farms are important members of agricultural community. However, they still lack good infrastructure to market their products because they remain beyond the scope of state interest. The agricultural infrastructure in its present condition neither gives farmers access to co-financing nor allows them to shape the list of services they need. The research featured program documents issued by the Government of the Russian Federation that determine the development of wholesale food markets and aggregators of farm produce. The author generalized the experience of retail chains and agricultural consumer marketing cooperatives, as well as studied the cases of small rural businesses merging into marketing cooperatives in agricultural regions. The bibliographic study covered best foreign practices in shaping infrastructure for small farm produce, which were compared with Russian experience. The author also developed an abstract-logical method of establishing the interaction between stakeholders in a new system of farm produce aggregators. In this research, agricultural regions demonstrated the most acute problems in small business marketing. A good system of agricultural infrastructure supports production in all sectors of small business with growth potential. Today, small businesses are alone in organizing their own sales as wholesale distribution centers are not available to them. These centers work with small suppliers through intermediaries, i.e., aggregators. In the Kemerovo Region, an example of such aggregators is the one created on corporate principles between the Magnit retail chain and the Kalina-Malina agricultural consumer marketing cooperative. The experience demonstrated some advantages and disadvantages. The article introduces conditions for successful financial relations in commodity circulation chains in different distribution systems, including farmers, aggregators, and wholesale distribution centers. This approach reduces prices on consumer markets while increasing the efficiency of small farms.

Identifying the Housing Bubble Predictors in Asian Emerging Economy: Exploring a Novel Model Based on Opinions

This study seeks to identify core housing bubble predictors and empirically investigate a novel model for detecting housing bubbles in Malaysia. We engender new insights based on the extraction of real-time opinions of market players about housing bubble formation and collapse. We employ a practical approach using a comprehensive survey of opinions from relevant walks of life via the survey data analysis software, SmartPLS3. Results indicate that housing demand, economic growth outlook, and buyers’ expectations positively impact the housing bubble. This study’s present housing market condition, foreign investment, and government policies are otherwise insignificant. We found that the present housing condition, government policies, and economic growth outlook do not influence the impact of housing demand, buyers’ expectations, and foreign investment on the housing bubble. We employed a cross-sectional research design in this study to obtain our findings. This might have indirectly suppressed more robust findings, which may have been otherwise obtained in the case of a longitudinal study. We advocate that policymakers should not overlook the significant roles of housing demand, economic growth outlook, and buyers’ expectations of the housing bubble. We show that the present housing market condition has no significant moderating effect on the impact of buyers’ expectations, foreign investment, and housing demand on housing bubbles.

Environmental flows in a future climate: Balancing hydropower production and ecosystem rehabilitation in the Ume River system, Sweden

Hydropower is central to renewable electricity systems, but degrades ecosystems, calling for environmental flow schemes to enhance the ecological status of river systems. Environmental flow assessments need to account for climate change, since climate-driven changes in runoff affect both hydropower operation and riverine ecosystems. Here, we quantify expected changes in hydropower production and environmental benefits of introducing environmental flows in a large regulated river system in northern Sweden in a future climate. Compared with the hydrology of 1981–2010, runoff is projected to increase with climatic conditions projected for 2040, leading to a 2.2 % increase in hydropower production with present rules for turbine and reservoir operation. Implementing environmental flows will result in lower hydropower production losses in with the 2040 climate than at present: Introducing restrictions against zero flow events, discharge to technical fishways and bypassed reaches throughout the year (with seasonal flow variation), as well as having more natural water-level variation in all run-of-river impoundments, would reduce annual hydropower production with 3.5 % with present conditions, and by 3.3 % in 2040. At the same time, the net effect of higher runoff and introducing environmental flows means that the annual hydropower production in the 2040 climate would be only 0.8 % lower compared to 1981–2010. In all scenarios, reservoir filling degree in 2040 was projected to increase compared to scenarios for 1981–2010, and flow requirements were met for both environmental flows and hydropower production over an 83-year scenario-based time series. This study demonstrates the feasibility of introducing environmental flow actions in Sweden, and other regions where increases in runoff are projected, with sustained hydropower production, having large benefits for riverine biodiversity and enhancing resilience of riverine ecosystems to climate change. For this to be successful, collaboration among stakeholders in riverine management is needed.

Breadth and visibility of children's lower limb chronic musculoskeletal pain: a scoping review.

To identify the types of conditions reported in peer-reviewed literature that result in chronic musculoskeletal lower limb pain in children and adolescents and explore the alignment of these conditions with the chronic pain reporting codes indexed in the International Classification of Diseases 11th Revision (ICD-11). This scoping review follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Five electronic databases were searched (Medline, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL and the Cochrane Library). Articles involving children and adolescents under 18 years and reporting on chronic musculoskeletal pain of the lower limb were included. We assigned an ICD-11 code to each condition based on details reported in the study. We recorded whether any of the presenting conditions were linked to an ICD-11 chronic pain manifestation code. From 12 343 records, 418 papers were included. There were 124 unique conditions associated with chronic lower limb pain, the most commonly reported being chronic widespread musculoskeletal pain (24 studies) and juvenile idiopathic arthritis (26 studies). Only 11.1% of presenting conditions were linked to an ICD-11 chronic pain manifestation code. Most presenting conditions associated with chronic pain in the lower limb do not have a chronic pain manifestation code in the new global standard for recording health information. This means chronic pain associated with common lower limb conditions may remain invisible in global statistics.

Modeling of the spatial distribution of species of interest in agriculture for their conservation: case of Punica granatum L.

Abstract Modeling the spatial distribution of species is an important step in biodiversity conservation. The models used can be helpful in predicting the impacts of climate change on the geographical distribution of species and in identifying areas where they are most likely to occur. The purpose of this work was to model the spatial distribution of the pomegranate species (Punica granatum L.) in Morocco according to the principle of maximum entropy (Maxent). This modelling method is widely used in ecology and biogeography because of its ability to work with datasets, and to produce accurate predictions of species distribution. Based on agro-ecological data such as topographical factors and climatic variables and focusing on regions where pomegranate cultivation is significant, these data can be collected at different spatial and temporal scales. They are typically integrated into Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for utilization within the simulation model. The resulting model depicts the potential spatial distribution of pomegranate cultivation throughout Morocco. The model obtained agrees perfectly with the actual distribution of the species in different regions of the country, especially since it is known for its hardiness and its adaptation to variable environmental conditions. Thus, the modeling showed that other geographical areas present favorable conditions for the development of pomegranate cropping. The determination of spatial distribution constitutes a first step to predict possible evolution of the pomegranate cropping according to climate change. The importance of this process for biodiversity conservation lies in several aspects, such as the identification of areas at risk, conservation planning, and the assessment of impacts on ecosystems.

AESTHETIC SURGICAL APPROACH FOR STURGE-WEBER SYNDROME AND FACIAL ARTERIOVENOUS TUMORS

Introduction: Sturge-Weber Syndrome (SWS) is a rare, congenital neurovascular condition associated with facial cutaneous capillary or venous malformations. The manifestations are intrinsically related to vascular malformations, resulting in neurological symptoms, soft tissue abnormalities, and restricted bone growth. Methodology: This is a case report of a single patient diagnosed with SWS, following the guidelines established by Resolution 466/12 of the National Health Council of Brazil (CNS). Results and Discussion: A Vascular Surgery approach with embolization was performed prior to the Plastic Surgery intervention. It is important to note that this particular patient did not present the common neurological manifestations. Additionally, port-wine stains manifested as giant hemangiomas on the face. Conclusion: A multidisciplinary team is essential for patients with this condition, as it can facilitate surgical resection when vascular studies are performed prior to surgery. Moreover, a multidisciplinary approach is crucial due to the varied clinical presentation and chronic conditions that require treatment.

Alkoxyhydrosilane-facilitated cross-etherification reaction of secondary benzyl alcohol with aliphatic alcohol: synthesis of unsymmetrical dialkyl ethers.

Alkoxyhydorosilane is found to be an effective mediator for the cross-etherification reaction between two distinct alcohols, namely, a secondary benzyl alcohol and an aliphatic alcohol, providing the unsymmetrical dialkyl ethers in good-to-high yields. The reaction is also successfully applied to the lignin model compound, which is an important renewable non-fossil organic carbon source. Initial mechanistic studies indicated that the carbocation derived from benzyl alcohol was formed under the present reaction conditions.

IMPROVING ROAD SAFETY AT ACCIDENT-PRONE AREAS: A COMPARISON BETWEEN GLOW-IN-THE-DARK AND CONVENTIONAL ROAD MARKING

Driving at night is challenging due to poor vision, poor road visual guidance, and the need to encounter bright light sources. Factors like lack of street lighting, fading, and lack of reflectivity by road studs and retro-reflective materials affect road users' vision at night. Commentators have pointed out there is a critical demand to improve road safety in preventing road accidents and hazards that caused by the poor visibility of road markings and inadequacy lighting. Although road safety management has been given an important focus by the Ministry of Transportation Malaysia to achieve 50% reduction of road accidents by 2030, there is a critical demand to improve the present road markings method to overcome the issues of poor visibility or unclear road markings and inadequacy lighting that may trigger potential hazards to road users at night, with a new innovative road marking technology. Therefore, this paper is prepared with the objective to present the outcome of comparative study between the present conventional road markings and the newly innovative technology of glow-in-the-dark method with specific reference to the road safety management in Malaysia. This study employed a questionnaire survey to interview fifty-one (51) respondents that have experience of driving at night, with the objectives to get their opinions on present condition of road markings in Malaysia, and how the newly innovative technology glow-in-the-dark can improve road safety in Malaysia. The study outcome revealed that the glow-in-the-dark is deemed appropriate to enhance the visibility during low-light conditions as compared to the present conventional road markings. Although the initial cost is higher, the economic advantages of glow-in-the-dark in reducing the streetlight usage, lower electrical costs, and substantially extended lifespan have made this newly innovative road marking outweighed the downsides and economically wise choice to revolutionize road safety management practice at the accident-prone areas in Malaysia for achieving the SDG 3: Good Health and Well-being.

Разноуровневые стратегии развития: арктический нефтегазовый вектор

The balanced development of the hydrocarbon potential in the Arctic is currently a strategic priority for Russia. Given the present conditions of the global energy sector, alongside new geopolitical challenges and trends towards low-carbon and ecologically balanced development, there is a need for a system of coordinated strategies across the industry, regional, and corporate levels. To effectively develop Arctic oil and gas resources, it is necessary to ensure technological sovereignty, which involves equipping oil and gas companies with domestically produced equipment and software. Strategies should also focus on the development of industries that produce high value-added products, particularly in the petrochemical sector. Public administrators and corporate managers responsible for key decisions must have a clear, long-term vision for the development of the Arctic oil and gas sector and employ established methodological approaches in strategy design. The goal of this study is to substantiate the specific characteristics of multilevel strategies and assess the feasibility of using a matrix approach when designing strategic alternatives relevant to the current economic environment. The research methodology is based on the approaches, methods, and tools of strategic management and planning, with a particular focus on methods for designing strategic alternatives. The novelty of the research lies in the development of a system of criteria for comparing strategies and their target priorities at the industry, regional, and corporate levels. The study identifies current trends and challenges arising from the energy transition, stringent sanctions policies, and growing technological capabilities. It proposes an approach to designing alternative strategies of related and unrelated diversification for oil and gas companies. Developing a holistic concept of coordinated industry and corporate strategies is identified as a promising area for further research.

Pipe experiment elucidates biochar application depth affects nitrogen leaching under crop present condition

Nitrogen leaching, resulting from the inefficient use of fertilizers, pollutes the environment, such as groundwater. Biochar can be applied to farmlands to mitigate nitrogen leaching. The effect depends on the application depth. However, the effect has not been examined under crop-farming conditions. Evaluating the interactions between biochar application depth and crop growth is indispensable for considering depth in the actual field. To address this, we conducted a pipe experiment with four treatments, no biochar (control), surface (0–5 cm), plow layer (0–30 cm), and subsurface (25–30 cm) applications, and compared the results with no-crop conditions from a previous study. Biochar application depth affected soil NO3−−N and NH4+−N absorption ability and also influenced soil-water stress conditions, affecting crop growth. Surface biochar application improved nitrogen absorption and reduced soil-water stress, improving crop growth. The NO3−−N leaching was reduced to 87.7%. Plow layer application worsened nitrogen absorption and resulted in frequent dry stress in the shallow-soil layer, preventing root growth in this layer. The NO3−−N and NH4+−N leaching increased 106.4% and 264.1%, respectively. The effects of subsurface application were similar to those in the control. Selecting an appropriate application depth can simultaneously improve crop growth and reduce nitrogen leaching.

Hurricane surge and inundation in the Bahamas, part 2: Flood risk assessment

AbstractA hurricane surge and inundation risk assessment has been carried out for Grand Bahama and Eleuthera in The Bahamas. 10,000 years of synthetic hurricane tracks were generated based on a statistical analysis of historical hurricanes from 1979 to 2020 inclusive. The surge and inundation were modelled using a hydrodynamic TELEMAC‐2D model covering sea around The Bahamas and the land of the two islands. Predictions of flood extents and depths were mapped for return periods of up to 1000 years for present day conditions and three climate change scenarios to 2100. The flooding experienced over Grand Bahama during Hurricane Dorian in 2019, was estimated to have a return period of up to approximately 450 years. Under the climate change scenarios the likelihood of flooding similar to Hurricane Dorian was estimated to be approximately 1.7 times more likely in 2050 and up to 3.4 times as likely in 2100 under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. The storm surge maps can be used by the Bahamas Department of Meteorology and other government agencies for emergency management, planning of infrastructure and building resilience in response to climate change.

"Hot" affect-related aspects in emotional information processing: The role of facial muscle responses in the direct and indirect processing of emotion categories.

The present study investigated the involvement of facial muscle responses in the indirect and direct processing of emotional facial expressions. Five discrete emotion categories were used, and we assessed both facial muscle and behavioral responses on a trial-by-trial basis. Experiment 1 tested facial muscle activation of clearly visible stimuli in an emotion categorization task. We observed emotion-specific facial muscle responses and corresponding behavioral categorization effects, providing evidence for the specificity of facial muscle activation. By contrast, under masked indirect presentation conditions in which emotional facial expressions were presented as primes in an emotion misattribution procedure, a specific pattern of emotion-congruent and cross-category behavioral misattributions was observed (in line with Rohr et al., 2015, 2018). Multilevel analyses in Study 2 suggest that an emotional reaction feeds into the behavioral decision, as indicated by differential activation of the frontalis lateralis in response to angry faces. Thus, the present study provides evidence that facial muscle responses contribute to behavioral decisions under masked indirect processing conditions. The different pattern of effects in both studies suggests that facial muscle responses index different processes, depending on the processing conditions: sensorimotor simulation in direct processing conditions and emotional reactions in masked indirect processing conditions. We discuss the implications for models that aim to account for facial muscle activity in response to emotional facial expressions. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

Impact of industrial effluents on buringanga river and its tributaries

Many rivers throughout Bangladesh are now under threat due to both human-made and natural causes. In this context, we describe the Buriganga river system, its uses of the river, its level of pollution, and its sources of pollution. The present condition of the Buriganga water and its surrounding areas soils and plants might not be suitable for fisheries and irrigation; it has been observed that sampling points of 9,10,11 were highly polluted, with sampling point 7 with the highest water pH value (7.19), in sampling point 11 EC value was found (799 μS/cm) with other physicochemical parameters and Fe, Cd, Cr and Zn content in plant and soil samples were comparatively high at sampling point 9 and 11. In the studied area, the correlation coefficient of heavy metal content among soil and water, the Cr concentration (0.0289mg/l), was highly significant; it has been indicated that heavy metals were uptake by soil. Bangladesh J. Bot. 53(3): 589-596, 2024 (September)

On the non-resiliency of subsequence reduced resilient consensus in multiagent networks

This paper studies resilient distributed consensus in networks lacking the structural robustness necessary for achieving consensus in the presence of misbehaving agents. Existing resilient consensus solutions, including widely adapted weighted mean subsequence reduced (WMSR) resilient consensus algorithm, present robustness conditions guaranteeing consensus among normal agents. However, when the graph is less robust than required, they only inform that agents fail to achieve consensus and do not evaluate the network performance comprehensively in such non-ideal scenarios. To address this limitation, we analyze the performance of resilient consensus in non-ideal situations by introducing the concept of non-convergent nodes. These nodes/agents cannot achieve consensus with any arbitrary agent due to the presence of misbehaving agents in the network. This notion enables ordering graphs that lack required robustness and facilitates the assessment of partial performance. Additionally, we demonstrate that among graphs with the same level of robustness (measured by their (r,s)-robustness), the number of non-convergent nodes varies significantly, indicating differing degrees of non-resilience. We also present numerical evaluation of results. Our approach quantifies the network performance under sub-optimal robustness conditions and offers a comprehensive resilience perspective.

Impact of rising CO2 and temperature on grass phenology, physiology, and pollen release patterns in northern latitudes

Climate change has complex effects on vegetation, including native grasses and those used as fodder plants. Like many other plant species, grasses respond to climate change by altering their phenology and physiological behavior, leading to changes e.g. in growth, reproduction and metabolic processes. Our study is the first to explore how Phleum pratense and Alopecurus pratensis respond to rising CO2 and temperatures projected for northern latitudes for two growing seasons. We investigated growth, phenology, pollen release, and physiological parameters in plants cultivated under these conditions, simulated within environmentally controlled chambers.Treatment with elevated temperature reduced the number of generative tillers and, consequently, decreased both the number of inflorescences and the season pollen integrals. Pollen release from P. pratense started up to 17 days earlier, and the daily peak concentration of released pollen was observed 1–2 h earlier in chambers with elevated temperatures when compared to the present climate conditions. Similar effects were noted in A. pratensis. Elevated CO2 (EC) increased net photosynthesis of P. pratense, but this effect was reduced under elevated temperature (ET), suggesting an antagonistic interaction. In A. pratensis, both elevated CO2 and temperature had an additive effect on increasing net photosynthesis, with the highest rate observed under the combined ETEC treatment. The elevated temperature or CO2 did not affect the plant biomass.Our findings propose that the rising temperatures in northern latitudes decrease the flowering of studied grasses and shift the seasonal and daily start of the pollen release. Changes in tiller proportions, reduced pollen integrals, and fewer inflorescences suggest that a warmer climate may negatively impact reproductive success, ecological fitness, and allergenic burden of these grasses.

Enhancing the Nutritional Value of Food through Process of Natural Farming in India

Natural farming also referred to as organic farming, vital for health since it produces pesticide-free goods. The amount of vital micronutrients in naturally cultivated food has been found to be higher. The Bharatiya Prakritik Krishi Paddhati Program, found effective in Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Himachal Pradesh, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, and Kerala is an initiative of the Paramparagat Krishi Vikas Yojana, supports natural farming in India. The purpose of this study is to identify the difficulties experienced by farmers as well as the requirements and limitations of natural farming in India. Natural farming depends on the potential of the soil under the present local climate conditions and employs the agro-eco system as a self-contained unit. Only 4.9, 2.0, and 1.6 percent of the net sown area in the top three states with the most organic farming, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Maharashtra, are used for organic farming, respectively. In a few states such as; Meghalaya, Mizoram, Uttarakhand, Goa, and Sikkim, organic crops account for 10% or more of the net sown area. This study examines the health benefits of regularly ingesting foods that are naturally generated. Natural-grown plants are better for a therapeutic diet as well as contributing in economic development.

Inter- and intra-annual variability and climatic responses of ecosystem water use efficiency in a cool-temperate freshwater wetland

Wetland ecosystems play a pivotal role in terrestrial carbon and water cycles, thereby possessing great potential to regulate terrestrial water use efficiency (WUE), which is calculated as the ratio of gross primary productivity (GPP) to evapotranspiration (ET). However, it remains unclear the possible changes in wetland WUE under present and future climate conditions. In this research, WUE variations in a Phragmites australis-dominated freshwater wetland were determined by the eddy covariance method during 2020–2023. Further, we projected future GPP, ET, and WUE under four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios based on five Earth System Models. The 3-year average field observation suggested that the P. australis marsh exhibited high GPP (1149 g C m−2), but consumed large amounts of water through ET (611 mm H2O), resulting in relatively low WUE (1.89 g C mm−1 H2O). During wet years, the studied marsh consumed much more water through evaporation than through transpiration, thus exhibiting lower WUE. Contrarily, large amounts of water were utilized to maintain high primary productivity through transpiration in 2021–2022 dry year, leading to higher WUE. In future scenarios, GPP in the P. australis marsh shows consistently faster uptrends compared to ET from 2020 to 2100, consequently yielding persistent growths of WUE. Future growths of WUE indicate that P. australis marsh tends consume more water for maintaining productivity levels rather than loss via evaporation under future climate conditions, thereby intensifying the carbon–water interaction. Driven by the most rapid growth of environmental drivers, the RCP8.5 scenario shows the fastest increasing trends in GPP, ET, and WUE among four RCP scenarios, whereas the reverse ocurres under RCP2.6 scenario. Overall, our study advocates for more comprehensive research encompassing field observation and model simulation to address the current knowledge gap regarding the response of wetland WUE to contemporary and future climate change.

Past, present, and future potential distributions of the African multipurpose tree Detarium senegalense (Fabaceae)

Background and aims – Climate change induces increasing temperatures and drought, with possible profound shifts in species’ presence and distribution. Ecological niche models are widely used to assess plant species responses to climate change. However, such data are scarce for West Africa, particularly for vulnerable multipurpose species. This study focuses on modelling the ecological niche and the conservation status of the multipurpose tree Detarium senegalense to improve insights into its habitat suitability in West Africa under past, present, and future climatic conditions. This will provide an essential basis for setting up global management plans through efficient conservation and ecological restoration policies. Material and methods – The potential distribution of D. senegalense under past, current, and future climate scenarios were assessed using four algorithms including generalized additive models (GAM), generalized linear models (GLM), random forest (RF), and Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt). We also assessed the shift direction of suitable habitats and the conservation status of the species based on IUCN criteria. Overall, 220 occurrences were combined with a set of five bioclimatic variables to run the models. Key results – Models performed well with good values of AUC (0.92) and TSS (0.73). Isothermality (41.10%) and Precipitation of Wettest Month (21.50%) contributed most to the distribution of the species. The distribution of D. senegalense was relatively constant from the past to the present but could decrease in the next decades. In the future, only 17.70% and 13.98% of the areas were predicted to be suitable under respectively ssp245 and ssp585. In protected areas, the suitable areas under ssp245 were estimated at 21.01% with a decrease of 2.50% and 14.60% with a decrease of 8.61% under ssp585 by 2050. The direction of the distribution shifted to the south-east under future climate scenarios. The conservation status assessment of the species is Least Concern (LC). Conclusion – This study improves our understanding of the past, present-day, and future distribution of the species and provides support to better manage the conservation of D. senegalense in West Africa.