Retrospective study. The objectives were to determine whether vertebral bone quality (VBQ) scores are associated with interbody cage subsidence following transforaminal (TLIF) and posterior (PLIF) lumbar interbody fusions and whether there is a clinically sensitive threshold for subsidence. Interbody cage subsidence following lumbar fusion is a complication that can generate poor surgical outcomes. Prior research has correlated cage subsidence with bone mineral density. VBQ scores derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have been proposed as a tool for measuring bone mineral density, offering a potential new and convenient preoperative risk assessment tool for subsidence. The study involved patients undergoing single-level PLIF or TLIF between 2007 and 2022. Exclusions were for nondegenerative diagnoses, multilevel/revision surgeries, inadequate radiographs, missing immediate postoperative radiographs, and preoperative MRI studies older than 1 year. VBQ was calculated at L1-L4 from preoperative T1-weighted MRI images. Subsidence was assessed by changes in disc height (DH; >2mm difference) and segmental lordosis (SL; >5 degrees difference) between immediate weight-bearing postoperative and latest postoperative lateral radiographs. Statistical analysis included descriptive and inferential statistics. Subsidence was observed in 27% (SL parameter) and 47% (DH parameter) of 51 total patients. VBQ scores were significantly associated with cage subsidence based on both SL (odds ratio = 7.750, P = 0.012; correlation coefficient = 0.382, P = 0.006) and DH (odds ratio = 4.074, P = 0.026; correlation coefficient = 0.258, P = 0.057) in the combined TLIF/PLIF cohorts. In the cohort of 36 patients undergoing TLIF, a VBQ of 2.70 yielded 100.0% sensitivity and 46.2% specificity in detecting subsidence with SL measurement (area under the curve = 0.812, P < 0.001) and 86.7% sensitivity and 47.6% specificity with the DH measurement (area under the curve = 0.692, P = 0.033). We found that MRI-based VBQ scores are effective predictors of cage subsidence following TLIF surgery. A VBQ score of 2.70 demonstrated a reliable model and high sensitivity for doing so, identifying a potential clinical threshold for preoperative subsidence risk assessment. Level III.