4094 Background: Tumor histological response following preoperative chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is a surrogate for patient outcome. However, predictive factors for this surrogate have not been fully defined as of yet. The aim of this study was to identify pretreatment patient and tumor factors that may predict tumor histological response. Methods: Between 1997 and 2007, 292 patients (pts) with LARC, defined as T3–4 Nx, TxN+ or distal (<6 cm from the anus) T2N0, underwent preoperative chemoradiation followed by surgery at the participating centers. The radiotherapy protocol was standard (50.4–54 Gy in 1.8 Gy fractions) while chemotherapy consisted of several common fluoropyrimidine-based regimens. Patients’ medical files were retrived and various epidemiological, clinical, pathological and treatment parameters were collected. The study cohort was divided into two: responders - pts achieving pathological complete response (pCR) or having only microscopic residual disease (mRD), and non-responders - those who did not achieve pCR or mRD. Results: The median age of the whole group was 67 years (range: 28–86) and 50% were males. Pretreatment TNM stage, available in 271 pts, was: T2N0–13%, T3–4N0–53%, T1-T2N1- 2%, and T3-T4N1–32%. Data on histological response was available for all pts: pCR was documented in 16% and mRD in 12%. With a relatively short follow-up (median: 40 months, range: 5–118), disease free (p=0.049) and overall survival (p=0.004) were significantly different for responders and non-responders. Survival rates of pts with pCR and mRD were equal (95% and 94% 5-year survival, respectively). On univariate analysis, lower pretreatment clinical stage (p=0.024), chemotherapy consisting of oral fluoropyrimidines (p=0.049), age >60 (p=0.017) and pretreatment hemoglobin (Hb) level >12 gr/dl (p=0.027) were associated with significantly higher rates of histological response. On multivariate analysis, all these factors retained statistical significance. Conclusions: Pretreatment clinical stage and Hb level, age, and the chemotherapy regimen can predict tumor histological response following preoperative chemoradiation in pts with LARC. The prognostic impact of histological response was again noted. No significant financial relationships to disclose.
Read full abstract