Predictors Of Unfavorable Outcome Research Articles

CT-predictors of unfavorable outcome in hemorrhagic stroke

To analyze the relationship between the changes on non-contrast CT of the head in patients with acute hemorrhagic stroke and its unfavorable outcome within 90 days. The retrospective analysis of the clinical, demographic parameters and results of CT of the head of all patients admitted to the stroke unit of the district hospital between January 2015 and December 2021 was performed. The data of 131 patients were included in the work (52% males), average age was 65.75±14.1. Fatal outcomes were recorded in 13.7% of cases. The age of the patient, severity of neurological deficit and CT-signs predicting hematoma expansion were independent predictors of unfavorable outcomes of hemorrhagic stroke within 90 days. Detection of the sings predicting hematoma enlargement on CT scans improves prognostication of the outcomes of hemorrhagic stroke.

Impaired enzymatic antioxidant defense in erythrocytes of rats with ammonia-induced encephalopathy: role NMDA receptors

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a medical term that deals with a neuropsychiatric disorder seen in patients with severe hepatic dysfunction, has been known for more than a century, however, pathogenetic mechanisms underlying cerebral dysfunction during conditions of liver disease are still not entirely understood. There is a consensus that an accumulation of ammonia in brain as a result of impaired detoxification capacity of the liver or the appearance of a portosystemic shunt is a primary cause of HE. Current evidence suggests that ammonia toxicity is mediated by hyperactivation of glutamate receptors, mainly N-methyl-D-aspartate receptors (NMDA-R) and affects many processes of aerobic metabolism that provides energy for a myriad of specific functions and viability of nerve cells. Recent reports on the presence of functional NMDA receptors in erythrocytes and deviations from normal ranges in many blood test parameters that was indicative of impaired hemodynamics and reduced carrying capacity for oxygen in erythrocytes in most patients with HE implicate the relationship between “erythrocyte damage” and cerebral dysfunction. In order to understand how, during hyperammonemia, disturbances in energy metabolism in brain that needs a constant supply of a high level of oxygen in the blood lead to encephalopathy, it is necessary to reveal ammonia-induced disorders in energy metabolism and antioxidant defense system of erythrocytes and explore the potential role of ammonia in reduced brain oxygenation. To detect the said missing link, the activities of erythrocyte antioxidant enzymes and concentrations of GSH, GSSG and H2O2 were measured in animals with hyperammonemia by using MK-801, a powerful noncompetitive NMDA receptor antagonist. It was found that the accumulation of ammonia in the blood of animals with hyperammonemia occurs within rat erythrocytes in large amounts and makes these cells which do not contain enzymes for the removal of ammonia, more susceptible to a prooxidant environment of ammonia created during oxidative stress that was completely or partially inhibited with the help of MK-801. Data obtained provide a support to identification of extra risk factors in cognitive disorders and in the prediction of unfavorable outcome with hypoperfusion in patients with elevated concentrations of ammonia in the blood.

Characteristics and prognostic factors of bacterial meningitis in the intensive care unit: a prospective nationwide cohort study

BackgroundPatients with bacterial meningitis can be severely ill necessitating intensive care unit (ICU) treatment. Here, we describe clinical features and prognostic factors of adults with bacterial meningitis admitted to the ICU in a nationwide prospective cohort study.MethodsWe prospectively assessed clinical features and outcome of adults (age > 16 years) with community-acquired bacterial meningitis included in the MeninGene study between March 1, 2006 and July 1, 2022, that were initially admitted to the ICU. We identified independent predictors for initial ICU admission and for unfavourable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale score between 1–4) by multivariable logistic regression.ResultsA total of 2709 episodes of bacterial meningitis were included, of which 1369 (51%) were initially admitted to the ICU. We observed a decrease in proportion of patients being admitted to the ICU during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 (decreased to 39%, p = 0.004). Median age of the 1369 patients initially admitted to the ICU was 61 years (IQR 49–69), and the rates of unfavourable outcome (47%) and mortality (22%) were high. During the Covid-19 pandemic, we observed a trend towards an increase in unfavourable outcome. Prognostic factors predictive for initial ICU admission were younger age, immunocompromised state, male sex, factors associated with pneumococcal meningitis, and those indicative of systemic compromise. Independent predictors for unfavourable outcome in the initial ICU cohort were advanced age, admittance to an academic hospital, cranial nerve palsies or seizures on admission, low leukocyte count in blood, high C-reactive protein in blood, low CSF: blood glucose ratio, listerial meningitis, need for mechanical ventilation, circulatory shock and persistent fever. 204 of 1340 episodes (15%) that were initially not admitted to the ICU were secondarily transferred to the ICU. The rates of unfavourable outcome (66%) and mortality (30%) in this group were high.ConclusionsThe majority of patients with community-acquired bacterial meningitis are admitted to the ICU, and the unfavourable outcome and mortality rates of these patients remain high. Patients that are initially admitted to non-ICU wards but secondarily transferred to the ICU also had very high rates of unfavourable outcome.

Risk Factors and Outcomes for Isolation with Polymyxin B-Resistant Enterobacterales from 2018-2022: A Case-Control Study.

To analyze the risk factors and clinical outcomes of patients isolated with polymyxin B-resistant (PR) Enterobacterales from various clinical specimens to prevent and control the spread of these strains. This retrospective case-control study included 72 PR Enterobacterales-positive cases and 144 polymyxin B-susceptible (PS) Enterobacterales controls from 2018 to 2022. Patients with PR Enterobacterales isolated in various clinical cultures were defined as cases. Patients with PS Enterobacterales cultures at similar anatomic sites during the same period were randomly selected as controls. Data were collected from clinical and laboratory test records. Bivariable logistic regression and Pearson's chi-square tests were used to assess risk factors. PR strains were predominantly Klebsiella pneumoniae (72.2%) and Salmonella enteritidis (8.3%). Of the patients, 66.04% were admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU). Risk factors for isolation with PR strains included chronic heart disease (P = 0.012; odds ratio [OR] 1.15; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.28), immunosuppressant use (P = 0.016; OR 1.04 [1.0-1.07), drainage tube [head] (P = 0.006; OR 1.1 [1.0-1.1]), and polymyxin B exposure (P = 0.007; OR 1.03 [1.0-1.06]. With respect to outcomes, admission to an ICU (P = 0.003; OR 7.1 [1.9-25.4]), hypertension (P = 0.035; OR 1.4 [1.02-1.83]), and drainage tube [head] (P = 0.044; OR 1.1 [1.0-1.15]) were associated with treatment failure. Additionally, treatment failure was more frequent in patients (45.83%) than in controls (14.58%). The major risk factors for isolation with PR strains were chronic heart disease, exposure to immunosuppressants, use of drainage tubes, and polymyxin B exposure. The isolation of PR strains in patients was a predictor of unfavorable outcomes. These findings provide a basis for monitoring the spread of PR Enterobacterales.

Efficacy and predicting factors of multimodal treatment for ruptured intracranial vertebral artery dissecting aneurysms.

We aimed to investigate the efficacy of our multimodal strategies and propose a treatment algorithm for ruptured vertebral artery dissecting aneurysms (VADAs). This study included 41 patients treated at a single institution between 2015 and 2022. The treatment modalities were justified based on the collateral circulation and aneurysm location related to the posterior inferior cerebellar artery (PICA). Treatment outcomes and complications of each treatment group were analyzed. The association between the collateral blood flow and the postoperative vertebrobasilar ischemia (VBI) was also investigated. There were 17 post-PICA, 10 PICA-involved, 7 pre-PICA, and 7 non-PICA types. Reconstruction techniques included flow diversion devices (n = 11) and stent-assisted coiling (n = 3). Deconstruction techniques included coil trapping (n=17) and microsurgical parent artery occlusion with (n = 8) or without PICA revascularization (n = 2). Five (18.5%) of the deconstruction group had postoperative VBI. Overall favorable outcomes in both groups were observed in 70.7% of patients with a mean follow-up time of 21.5 months. Poor World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies grade (IV-V) was identified as a predictor of unfavorable outcomes (p = 0.003). In addition, the VA4/BA4 ratio > 0.22, the presence of collateral blood flow from the posterior communicating artery (PcomA), and a contralateral VA diameter > 2.5 mm were associated with a lower risk of postoperative VBI. In summary, the proposed strategic treatment in this study is pragmatic, yielding satisfactory results where a deconstructive technique should be used with caution, particularly when there is a flow mismatch or the absence of collateral PcomA in the vertebrobasilar circulation.

Predictors of unfavourable outcome in adults with suspected central nervous system infections: a prospective cohort study

Suspected central nervous system (CNS) infections may pose a diagnostic challenge, and often concern severely ill patients. We aim to identify predictors of unfavourable outcome to prioritize diagnostics and treatment improvements. Unfavourable outcome was assessed on the Glasgow Outcome Scale at hospital discharge, defined by a score of 1 to 4. Of the 1152 episodes with suspected CNS infection, from two Dutch prospective cohorts, the median age was 54 (IQR 37–67), and 563 episodes (49%) occurred in women. The final diagnoses were categorized as CNS infection (N = 358 episodes, 31%), CNS inflammatory disease (N = 113, 10%), non-infectious non-inflammatory neurological disorder (N = 388, 34%), non-neurological infection (N = 252, 22%), and other systemic disorder (N = 41, 4%). Unfavourable outcome occurred in 412 of 1152 (36%), and 99 died (9%). Predictors for unfavourable outcomes included advanced age, absence of headache, tachycardia, altered mental state, focal cerebral deficits, cranial nerve palsies, low thrombocytes, high CSF protein, and the final diagnosis of CNS inflammatory disease (odds ratio 4.5 [95% confidence interval 1.5–12.6]). Episodes suspected of having a CNS infection face high risk of experiencing unfavourable outcome, stressing the urgent need for rapid and accurate diagnostics. Amongst the suspected CNS infection group, those diagnosed with CNS inflammatory disease have the highest risk.

Elevated Troponin I as a Marker for Unfavorable Outcomes in Acute Ischemic Stroke.

To assess if elevated cardiac troponin I (cTnI) serves as a sign of unfavorable functional outcomes in ischemic stroke. In this single-center prospective cohort study, 100 consecutive patients admitted with acute ischemic stroke (normal troponin I group n = 52, raised troponin I group n = 48) were included. Hospital mortality was documented in both groups; the remaining patients were followed up to 90 days. Then two groups were compared in terms of unfavorable short-term outcomes (Modified Rankin Scale > 3) and mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to determine the predictive value of elevated cTnI. The Kaplan-Meier curve was drawn and compared to determine the difference in survival between the two groups. To find out the most probable cut-off level for an unfavorable outcome, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted. A higher frequency of coronary artery disease (p=0.030), higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) (p=0.008) score, and lower Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) (p=0.002) was observed in raised troponin I group. Even after the exclusion of confounding elevated troponin I was found to be an independent predictor of unfavorable outcomes (adjusted odds ratio, OR 8.25 {95% confidence interval, CI: 2.65-25.75}; p<0.001). The patients with raised troponin I had a significantly lower rate of survival after 90 days (p=0.022). The elevated troponin I was observed to have a significantly high accuracy (p<0.001; area under curve, AUC: 0.768 {moderate accuracy}, 95% CI: 0 .676 to 0.861)in predicting unfavorable outcomes. Elevated cTnI is independently associated with unfavorable short-term outcomes. It is also associated with a lower rate of survival.

2582. Real-World Analysis of the Outcomes of Patients Treated with Ceftazidime-Avibactam

Abstract Background Ceftazidime-avibactam (CAZAVI) is a novel β-lactam/β-lactamase inhibitor combination with activity against Pseudomonas aeruginosa and some carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales. CAZAVI has been particularly useful as a carbapenem-sparing strategy to mitigate the selection pressure observed with carbapenems. We aim to perform a real-world analysis of patients treated with CAZAVI for various clinical indications at a tertiary care center in Lebanon. Methods This is a retrospective study conducted at the American University of Beirut Medical Center from 2019-21. We excluded patients who were less than 18 years old, received CAZAVI for less than 48 hours, had severe COVID-19 infection, received more than three courses of CAZAVI, and patients on palliative care before CAZAVI treatment. Data were collected from electronic medical records. The primary endpoint was unfavorable outcome defined as death or incomplete clinical response. Results A total of 301 patients were included contributing 373 infection episodes. The median age was 66 years, with 48% of patients being male, and 55% having a high Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) of ≥ 5. A large proportion of patients had been admitted to the intensive care unit and had received antibiotics for more than 48 hours during the preceding 30 days. The majority of infection episodes were hospital-acquired (66%). The most common indication for CAZAVI was respiratory infection (44%) followed by bacteremia (9%). Clinical cultures were positive in 44% of episodes distributed as Enterobacterales 64%, P. aeruginosa 10%, and polymicrobial 26%. Clinical success was 66% and microbiological success was 52%. Mortality was 32%, 65% of which was directly attributable to the infection. The primary endpoint was achieved in 38% of episodes. Multivariate analysis of independent predictors of unfavorable outcome is shown in the Table. Independent Predictors of Unfavorable Outcomes in Patients Receiving CAZAVI Conclusion Results from this highly morbid patient population suggest a good overall response to CAZAVI therapy. The presence of multiple infection sites is an important predictor of unfavorable outcome. Disclosures Souha S Kanj, MD, Gilead: Advisor/Consultant|Menarini: Advisor/Consultant|MSD: Advisor/Consultant|Pfizer: Advisor/Consultant

Unfavorable clinical outcomes in patients with good collateral scores following endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke of the anterior circulation: The UNCLOSE study

Background Patients with acute ischemic stroke secondary to large vessel occlusions and good collaterals are frequently associated with favorable outcomes after mechanical thrombectomy, although poor outcomes are observed also in this subgroup. We aimed to investigate the factors associated with unfavorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale3–6) in this specific subgroup of patients. Methods In total, 219 patients (117 females) with anterior circulation stroke and good collaterals (American Society for Interventional and Therapeutic Neuroradiology/Society of Interventional Radiology grades 3–4), treated by mechanical thrombectomy between 2016 and 2021 at our institution were included in this study. Clinical files and neuroimaging were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the predictors of unfavorable outcomes in the overall population (primary endpoint). Secondary endpoints focused on the analysis of the predictors of unfavorable outcomes in the subgroup of successfully recanalized patients, mortality, and symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhages in the overall population. Results Poor outcome was observed in 47% of the patients despite the presence of good collaterals. Older age ( p &lt; 0.001), higher baseline National Institute of Health stroke scale ( p &lt; 0.001), no intravenous thrombolysis administration ( p = 0.004), &gt; 3 passes ( p = 0.01), and secondary transfers ( p &lt; 0.001) were associated with the primary endpoint. The multivariate analysis showed a predictive effect of modified treatment in cerebral infarction 2b-3 and of first pass effect on symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage. Conclusions Despite good collaterals, defined through the American Society for Interventional and Therapeutic Neuroradiology/Society of Interventional Radiology scale, poor outcomes occurred in almost half of the patients. Patients with good collaterals not receiving intravenous thrombolysis were significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes, whereas first pass effect was not significantly correlated with clinical outcome in this specific cohort of patients. Different methods to assess collaterals should also be investigated.

The role of previous medical history and secondary complications for the outcome of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in elderly patients

BackgroundAneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) presents a devastating diagnosis for elderly individuals, resulting in high morbidity and mortality rates. The aim of the study was to analyze the impact of medical history and complications during SAH on the outcome of elderly patients. MethodsConsecutive SAH cases aged ≥ 65 years old treated in our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 were included (n = 218). Data on comorbidities, previous medication, initial severity, secondary complications, and the outcome were collected. Study endpoints were occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after SAH. ResultsCerebral infarcts were documented in 111 (51.2 % ) individuals. Multivariate analysis showed that angiographic vasospasm caused an increase (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 3.11, p = 0.022) in the risk of infarction, whereas aspirin treatment decreased (aOR = 0.25, p = 0.001) the risk of infarction. In turn, increasing age (aOR = 1.11, p = 0.002), intracranial hypertension (>20 mmHg, aOR = 3.32, p = 0.006) and acute kidney failure (aOR = 6.65, p = 0.035) during SAH were independently related to the risk of in-hospital mortality (n = 50; 22.9 % ). Finally, patients’ age (aOR = 1.09, p = 0.022), high initial SAH burden (WFNS ≥ 4: aOR = 7.5, p < 0.0001; intraventricular hemorrhage: aOR = 4.38, p = 0.007), aneurysm clipping (aOR = 4.07, p = 0.018), and intracranial hypertension during SAH (aOR = 4.08, p = 0.006) were independent predictors of unfavorable outcome (n = 106/192; 55.5 % ). Previous medical history showed no negative impact on the severity, course and outcome of SAH. ConclusionAbout half of elderly SAH patients face poor outcomes after aneurysm securing. The initial severity of and complications during SAH are the major contributors to poor treatment results. Our findings might help to optimize the treatment strategies.

Outcomes and associated factors of traumatic brain injury among adult patients treated in Amhara regional state comprehensive specialized hospitals

BackgroundGlobally, traumatic brain injury is the leading cause of death and disability which affects more than 69 million individuals a year.ObjectiveThis study aimed to assess the outcome and associated factors of traumatic brain injury among adult patients treated in Amhara regional state comprehensive specialized hospitals.MethodInstitutional-based cross-sectional study design was conducted from January 1, 2018, to December 30, 2020. A simple random sampling technique was used and a checklist was used to extract data between March 15 and April 15, 2021. The data were entered into Epi-data version 4.2 and exported to SPSS version 25 for analysis after being checked for consistency. Associated variables with outcomes of traumatic brain injury were determined by a binary logistic regression model. The degree of association was interpreted by using AOR and a 95% confidence interval with a p-value less than or equal to 0.05 at 95% CI was considered statistically significant.ResultIn this study road traffic injury was the most frequent cause of traumatic brain injuries among adult patients, accounting for 181 (37.5%), followed by assault, accounting for 117 (24.2%) which affects adult age groups. One-third of the participant had a moderate Glasgow coma scale of 174(36%). Only 128(26.8%) patients arrived within one hour. One hundred sixty, 160 (33.1%) of patients had a mild traumatic brain injury, whereas, 149(36%) of patients had a severe traumatic brain injury. Regarding computerized tomography scans findings, the hematoma was the most common (n = 163, 33.7%). Ninety-one, 91(18.8%) of participants had cerebrospinal fluid otorrhea, and, 92(19%) were diagnosed with a positive battle sign. The overall prevalence of unfavorable outcomes after traumatic brain injury was found to be 35.2% (95%CI (30.8–39.1). Having additional Injury, hypoxia, time to hospital presentation after 24 h, severe Glasgow Coma Scale, moderate Glasgow Coma Scale, tachypnea, bradypnea, and cerebrospinal fluid Othorrhea, were factors associated with unfavorable outcomes.Conclusion and recommendationIn this study, the overall unfavorable outcome was experienced by about four out of every 10 victims of traumatic brain injury. Time of arrival > 24 h, low Glasgow coma scale, additional injury, Cerebrospinal fluid otorrhea, abnormal respiration, and hypoxia were significant predictors of unfavorable outcomes. To reduce the adverse effects of traumatic brain injury in adults, it is therefore desirable to guarantee safe road traffic flow and improve health care services.

Factors Affecting the Outcome after Surgical Clipping of Ruptured Distal Anterior Cerebral Artery (DACA) Aneurysms.

Objective The purpose of this study is to assess demographic, clinical, and unique morphological characteristics of distal anterior cerebral artery (DACA) aneurysm. The relation of outcome included Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) using various independent variables, Hunt and Hess clinical grade (H&H), Miller Fischer grade, intraoperative rupture, and comparison of outcomes at discharge and last follow-up. Methods Demographic data, aneurysm characteristics, and treatment outcomes were evaluated in 28 ruptured DACA aneurysms operated over a period of 13 years. Association between independent variables and dependent variables (GOS) at discharge and at last follow-up (13 years) was analyzed, and the interrelationship between these factors and outcome was evaluated. GOS was used to assess functional outcomes. Results Over a period of 13 years, 500 patients harboring ruptured intracranial aneurysms were surgically clipped, and out of them 28 patients (5.6%) had ruptured DACA aneurysms. In this series, 20 (71.4%) patients had low grade and 8 (28.6%) had high grade H&H. Out of the 28 patients, 19 (67.8%) had good recovery, 6 (21.5%) were severely disabled, and 3 (10.7%) died at the time of discharge. On the last follow-up (13 years), smoking ( p -value 0.03) and use of temporary clip ( p -value 0.00) were significant predictors for unfavorable outcome. Conclusion The results of our case series show that even with ruptured aneurysm excellent overall outcome after microsurgical clipping can be achieved, even though among cerebral aneurysms, DACA aneurysm is considered to have less favorable outcome. Alcohol consumption and use of temporary clip were the predictors for unfavorable outcome at the time of discharge. On the last follow-up, smoking and use of temporary clip were found to be the risk factors for unfavorable outcome. Although the small sample size of this study is a limitation, smoking and use of temporary clip play an important role on the overall outcome. The aim of this study was to analyze data to determine factors which may influence outcome after surgical clipping of ruptured DACA aneurysms.

Walk-In Hospital Admission of Patients with Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Clinical Presentation and Outcome

Neurosurgeons occasionally encounter cases of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in admitted walk-in patients, termed "walk-in SAH." However, their clinical characteristics have not been fully understood. We thus, aimed to investigate several characteristics of patients with walk-in SAH and compare them with those of patients with good grade SAH who arrived at the hospital by ambulance. Between January 2011 and January 2018, consecutive patients with World Federation of Neurosurgical Society (WFNS) grade I and II aneurysmal SAH were enrolled. They were dichotomized into walk-in and ambulance groups, and their demographic and disease-related characteristics were compared. Furthermore, predictors associated with unfavorable outcomes were investigated in patients with walk-in SAH. Of 171 patients with World Federation of Neurosurgical Society grade I and II SAH, 68 (39.8%) were categorized as walk-in SAH. The mean time for diagnosis in patients with walk-in SAH was significantly longer than that in patients who arrived by ambulance (P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a lower rate of hypertension, high grades on the Barrow Neurological Institute scale, and Early Brain Edema Score were significantly associated with walk-in SAH (odds ratio [OR] 0.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.21-0.91, P= 0.03; OR 0.32, 95% CI 0.13-0.76, P= 0.007; OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.02-0.51, P < 0.0001, respectively). Additionally, severe angiographic vasospasm was a significant predictor of unfavorable outcomes in walk-in SAH (OR 37.7, 95% CI 1.10-1290.90, P= 0.04). Patients with walk-in SAH exhibit radiological characteristics associated with a more favorable outcome among patients with good grade SAH. Therefore, these patients may have a positive prognosis.

Impaired Enzymatic Antioxidant Defense in Erythrocytes of Rats with Ammonia-Induced Encephalopathy: Role of NMDA Receptors.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE), a neuropsychiatric disorder developing in patients with severe hepatic dysfunction, has been known for more than a century. However, pathogenetic mechanisms of cerebral dysfunction associated with liver disease are still poorly understood. There is a consensus that the primary cause of HE is accumulation of ammonia in the brain as a result of impaired liver detoxification capacity or the portosystemic shunt. Current evidence suggests that ammonia toxicity is mediated by hyperactivation of glutamate receptors, mainly N-methyl-D-aspartate receptors (NMDARs), and affects brain aerobic metabolism, which provides energy for multiple specific functions and neuronal viability. Recent reports on the presence of functional NMDARs in erythrocytes and the data on the deviations of blood parameters from their normal ranges indicate impaired hemodynamics and reduced oxygen-carrying capacity of erythrocytes in most patients with HE, thus suggesting a relationship between erythrocyte damage and cerebral dysfunction. In order to understand how hyperammonemia (HA)-induced disturbances in the energy metabolism in the brain (which needs a constant supply of large amounts of oxygen in the blood) lead to encephalopathy, it is necessary to reveal ammonia-induced impairments in the energy metabolism and antioxidant defense system of erythrocytes and to explore a potential role of ammonia in reduced brain oxygenation. To identify the said missing link, the activities of antioxidant enzymes and concentrations of reduced glutathione (GSH), oxidized glutathione (GSSG), and H2O2 were measured in the erythrocytes of rats with HA that were injected with the noncompetitive NMDAR antagonist MK-801. We found that in rats with HA, ammonia was accumulated in erythrocytes (cells lacking ammonia removal enzymes), which made them more susceptible to the prooxidant environment created during oxidative stress. This effect was completely or partially inhibited by MK-801. The data obtained might help to identify the risk factors in cognitive disorders and facilitate prediction of unfavorable outcomes of hypoperfusion in patients with a blood elevated ammonia concentration.

Risk Stratification of Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding by AIMS65, Rockall, Glasgow Blatchford and Baylor Scores

Abstract Background Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is the most common cause of emergency admission in gastrointestinal disease. Despite the development of endoscopic therapies and pharmacological management, UGIB is still associated with considerable rates of mortality and morbidity, and high medical expenses. Different scoring systems have been suggested for diagnosing these patients. Aim of the Work In this study we aimed to compare the predictive value of three scoring systems Rockall, Glasgow Blatchfors scale (GBS) and AIMS65 in patients with UGIB. Patients and Methods This study was conducted on 120 adult Egyptian patients presented by UGIB at Emergency department of Ain Shams University Hospital in Cairo, Egypt at a period from October 2020 to June 2021. Patients underwent upper endoscopy within first day from an attack of UGIB. AIMS65, GBS, and PRS scores were calculated for each patient. The ability of these scores to predict clinical outcomes was determined. Area under the receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated for rebleeding and mortality. Results GBS was superior to AIMS65, Rockall and Baylor scores in identifying the patients who are likely to need interventional endoscopy "cutoff ≥8.5, sensitivity 80.8%, specificity 54.4%", need blood transfusion "cutoff ≥11.5, sensitivity 54.2%, specificity 90.3%. While AIMS65 score was superior to GBS and other scores in prediction of unfavorable outcomes, namely risk of need for ICU admission "Cutoff ≥1.5, sensitivity 86.4% specificity 96.1%", need for rebleeding in hospital "cutoff ≥1.5, sensitivity 92.7%, specificity 96.2%" and death in hospital "cutoff ≥2.5, sensitivity 90.9%, specificity 98.2%. The reasons for differences in cutoff values compared to previous studies can including ethnicity, UGIB aetiology, period of follow up and number of patients. Conclusion Early risk stratification is recommended in patients presenting with acute UGIB to identify patients at higher risk of bleeding or death and guide management decisions regarding timing of endoscopy, triage to appropriate level of care, and disposition. The optimal cutoff of each scoring system should be specified for different population to maximize the power of identifying UGIB patients at high risk of death.

Is optic nerve sheath diameter a promising screening tool to predict neurological outcomes and the need for secondary decompressive craniectomy in moderate to severe head injury patients? A prospective monocentric observational pilot study.

Optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) has been shown to be a noninvasive and quick method to calculate intracranial pressure (ICP) and subsequent neurologic outcomes, although with variable cutoffs. ICP can be indirectly assessed by noninvasive methods such as transcranial Doppler, ONSD, tympanic membrane displacement, and fundoscopy. Knowledge regarding the diagnostic accuracy of ONSD for predicting unfavorable outcomes within 72 hours (h) of moderate and severe head injury is limited. The objective of this study was to measure ONSD measurements at 24-h intervals in moderate to severe head injury patients and to find its association with clinical outcomes in the target population. This prospective observational study was done on moderate to severe head injury patients. ONSD was measured twice at 24-h intervals over 48 h. The clinical outcome was divided into the favorable group (patients who were in conservative treatment with a stable Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score and discharged following treatment) and the unfavorable group (patients who had a drop in GCS motor score of one or more, or expired or underwent surgical intervention) within 72 h following traumatic brain injury. The Kruskal-Wallis test, Mann- Whitney test, and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to establish the association between ONSD and clinical outcomes. ONSD values measured at 24-h intervals >6.1 mm (P < 0.0146) and 6.2 mm (P < 0.0001) were found to be predictors of unfavorable outcomes (expired or underwent surgery), and hence the need for a secondary decompressive craniectomy (DC). ONSD is an efficient screening tool to assess neurological outcomes in severe head injury patients. It can reliably predict the need for secondary DC at an earlier stage before secondary brain damage ensues in these patients.

The Osaka prognostic score and Naples prognostic score: novel biomarkers for predicting short-term outcomes after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

ObjectivesPoor immune-nutritional status has been associated with an unfavorable outcome in critical illness. The Osaka prognostic score (OPS) and the Naples prognostic score (NPS), based on inflammatory and nutritional status, has been shown to predict prognosis following cancer and other diseases. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the OPS and NPS and the short-term outcomes of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients hospitalized with spontaneous ICH (n = 340) at The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University between August 2016 and August 2021. Inclusion criteria included patients aged between 18 and 70, and if a blood sample was taken for laboratory testing within 24 h of admission (serum C-reactive protein, albumin, total cholesterol, and counts for neutrophils, lymphocytes, and monocytes were collected on admission). Exclusion criteria included a non-spontaneous cause of ICH and patient death during hospitalization. Patients were divided into four groups based on OPS or five groups according to NPS. Outcomes were evaluated by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at six months post-ICH hospitalization. An unfavorable outcome was defined as a mRS score ≥ 3.ResultsA total of 289 patients met our inclusion criteria. The unfavorable outcome group had older age, a lower Glasgow Coma Scale score, a higher rate of complications and cerebral herniation, a longer hospital stay, and higher OPS and NPS when compared with the favorable outcome group. Univariate analysis showed that both OPS and NPS were strongly correlated with mRS (r = 0.196,P < 0.001; r = 0.244, P = 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis further showed that OPS and NPS were both independent predictors of unfavorable outcomes for patients with ICH with adjusted odds ratios of 1.802 (95% confidence interval [CI]:1.140–2.847, P = 0.012) and 1.702 (95% CI: 1.225–2.635, P = 0.02), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of NPS for predicting a poor outcome was 0.732 (95% CI: 0.665–0.799), which was similar to the AUC of OPS 0.724 (95% CI: 0.657–0.792).ConclusionsIn this cohort, a higher OPS and NPS on admission was associated with poor outcome at six months following ICH, supporting their potential role as markers for predicting the outcome of patients with ICH.

Predictors of bacteremia and death, including immune status, in a large single-center cohort of unvaccinated ICU patients with COVID-19 pneumonia

BackgroundWe investigated the possible role of the immune profile at ICU admission, among other well characterized clinical and laboratory predictors of unfavorable outcome in COVID-19 patients assisted in ICU.MethodsRetrospective analysis of clinical and laboratory data collected for all consecutive patients admitted to the ICUs of the General Hospital of Pescara (Abruzzo, Italy), between 1st March 2020 and 30th April 2021, with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 respiratory failure. Logistic regressions were used to identify independent predictors of bacteremia and mortality.ResultsOut of 431 patients included in the study, bacteremia was present in N = 191 (44.3%) and death occurred in N = 210 (48.7%). After multivariate analysis, increased risk of bacteremia was found for viral reactivation (OR = 3.28; 95% CI:1.83–6.08), pronation (3.36; 2.12–5.37) and orotracheal intubation (2.51; 1.58–4.02). Increased mortality was found for bacteremia (2.05; 1.31–3.22), viral reactivation (2.29; 1.29–4.19) and lymphocytes < 0.6 × 103c/µL (2.32; 1.49–3.64).ConclusionsWe found that viral reactivation, mostly due to Herpesviridae, was associated with increased risk of both bacteremia and mortality. In addition, pronation and intubation are strong predictors of bacteremia, which in turn together with severe lymphocytopenia due to SARS-CoV2 was associated with increased mortality. Most episodes of bacteremia, even due to Acinetobacter spp, were not predicted by microbiological evidence of colonization.

Second-Line Antiretroviral Treatment Outcomes and Predictors in Tigray Region, Ethiopia.

Ethiopia has one of the highest HIV burdens in sub-Saharan Africa. Despite the fact that second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been available for more than ten years, studies on its effectiveness are scarce. To assess treatment outcomes and predictors of unfavorable outcomes in HIV patients receiving second-line ART at Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital and Mekelle Hospital. An institution-based retrospective cohort study was conducted in two hospitals in Tigray Region, Ethiopia. We evaluated 192 patients aged ≥15 years who were switched to second-line from November 2009 to May 2020 after failure of first-line ART. The primary outcome was the time from the initiation of second-line ART to the occurrence of unfavorable treatment outcomes (treatment failure, death, and loss to follow-up). We performed Kaplan-Meier survival estimates to calculate the cumulative incidence rates of unfavorable outcomes. The mean age (SD) at the initiation of second-line ART was 39 (10.03) years, and the median CD4 cell count was 121 cells/microL. During a median follow-up of 4.6 years, 24 (12.5%) patients had died, 11 (5.7%) patients were lost to follow up, and 47 (24,4%) patients were experienced treatment failure. The incidence rates for unfavorable outcomes were 7.8 per 100 patients/years. Predictors for unfavorable outcomes were body mass index (BMI) <18.5 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 2.51, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.27-4.95) and CD4 counts ≤100cells/microL (aHR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.09-2.79). Despite the failure of second-line ART, none of the patients received third-line ART. The incidence rate of unfavorable treatment outcomes for second-line ART was found to be high. A low BMI and a low baseline CD4 count were significant predictors of unfavourable outcomes and should be given special consideration in HIV care. A third-line ART regimen should also be considered for people who have failed second-line ART.

Brixia Chest X-ray Score, Laboratory Parameters and Vaccination Status for Prediction of Mortality in COVID-19 Hospitalized Patients.

Chest X-ray has verified its role as a crucial tool in COVID-19 assessment due to its practicability, especially in emergency units, and Brixia score has proven as a useful tool for COVID-19 pneumonia grading. The aim of our study was to investigate correlations between main laboratory parameters, vaccination status, and Brixia score, as well as to confirm if Brixia score is a significant independent predictor of unfavorable outcome (death) in COVID-19 patients. The study was designed as a cross-sectional multicentric study. It included patients with a diagnosed COVID-19 infection who were hospitalized. This study included a total of 279 patients with a median age of 62 years. The only significant predictor of unfavorable outcome (death) was Brixia score (adjusted odds ratio 1.148, p = 0.022). In addition, the results of the multiple linear regression analysis (R2 = 0.334, F = 19.424, p < 0.001) have shown that male gender (B = 0.903, p = 0.046), severe COVID-19 (B = 1.970, p < 0.001), and lactate dehydrogenase (B = 0.002, p < 0.001) were significant positive predictors, while albumin level (B = -0.211, p < 0.001) was a significant negative predictor of Brixia score. Our results provide important information about factors influencing Brixia score and its usefulness in predicting the unfavorable outcome (death) of COVID-19 patients. These findings have clinical relevance, especially in epidemic circumstances.