Predictor Of Event-free Survival Research Articles

Age and Cytogenetics as Predictors of Event Free Survival in Patients with Acute Non-Lymphocytic Leukemia Receiving High Dose Cytosine Arabinoside and Daunorubicin as Consolidation Chemotherapy

Between 1991 and 1999,67 patients with acute non-lymphocytic leukemia (ANLL) in complete remission received high dose cytarabine (HiDAC) 3 gm/m2 q12h × 12 doses followed by daunorubicin 45 mg/m2/day × 3 days as consolidation therapy. Five year actuarial event free survival (EFS) was 34% × 6%. Age was significantly associated with EFS. EFS was 60% × 15% in patients age 20 to 29, 48% × 16% in patients age 30 to 39, 23% × 10% in patients age 40 to 49, 31% × 11% in patients age 50 to 59, and 0% in patients age × 60. Contrary to other reports which have used different HiDAC regimens, we found no relationship between cytogenetics and EFS. Cytogenetics were defined as favorable risk: t(8;21), inv (16), and del (16); neutral risk: normal or t(15;17); and unfavorable risk: any abnormality not included in favorable risk or neutral risk. EFS was 29% × 17% in patients with favorable cytogenetics, 37% × 14% in patients with neutral cytogenetics, and 31% × 12% in patients with unfavorable cytogenetics. These differences were not statistically significant. Because of the successful use of allogeneic transplantation at relapse in patients with matched related donors, five year actuarial survival (S) in this series was 40% × 6%. Five year actuarial survival was 57% × 9% for patients age × 44 and 25% × 8% for patients age × 45. This difference is statistically significant, p <.025. Clinicians should be cautious about making clinical decisions regarding consolidation therapy of ANLL on the basis of the presence or absence of cytogenetic abnormalities as the importance of cytogenetics may depend on the specific therapy which is employed.

Prognostic factors in patients with surgically resected stages I and II non-small cell lung cancer

Background. About one-third to one-half of patients with early stages of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) succumb to their disease. In this study, we attempted to identify prognostic factors that predict outcome in patients with stages I and II NSCLC. Methods. A retrospective evaluation of 454 patients with surgically resected stages I and II NSCLC was performed to determine the impact of various clinical, laboratory, and pathological factors on patient outcome such as overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS). Results. Patients older than 65 years had shorter EFS and OS than younger patients ( p = 0.002). Patients with preoperative hemoglobin less than or equal to 10 g% had shorter EFS and OS compared to patients with a hemoglobin greater than 10 g% ( p = 0.001). Expectedly, OS and EFS were shorter in patients with stage II as compared to stage I patients ( p < 0.001). In a multivariate analysis, age, hemoglobin level, and stage remain significant predictors for EFS and OS. Conclusions. Older age, anemia, and higher stage are important prognostic factors in patients with surgically resected stage I and II NSCLC.

Prognostic Importance of 6-Mercaptopurine Dose Intensity in Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

Abstract6-Mercaptopurine (6MP) and methotrexate are the backbone of continuation therapy for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). In studies of oral 6MP and methotrexate, indices of chronic systemic exposure to active metabolites of these agents, namely, red blood cell (RBC) concentrations of methotrexate polyglutamates (MTXPGs) and thioguanine nucleotides (TGNs) have positively correlated with event-free survival (EFS). Our objective was to evaluate whether MTXPGs, TGNs, and the dose intensity of administered methotrexate and 6MP were prognostic in the setting of a treatment protocol in which all treatment was coordinated through a single center, and the weekly doses of methotrexate were given parenterally. On protocol Total XII, 182 children achieved remission and received weekly methotrexate 40 mg/m2 parenterally and daily oral 6MP, interrupted every 6 weeks during the first year by pulse chemotherapy. A total of 709 TGN, 418 MTX-PG, and 267 thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) measurements, along with complete dose intensity information (dose received divided by protocol dose per week) for 19,046 weeks of 6MP and methotrexate, were analyzed. In univariate analyses, only higher dose intensity of 6MP and of weekly methotrexate were significant predictors of overall EFS (P = .006 and .039, respectively). The occurrence of neutropenia was associated with worse outcome (P = .040). In a multivariate analysis, only higher dose intensity of 6MP (P = .020) was a significant predictor of EFS, with lower TPMT activity (P = .096) tending to associate with better outcome. 6MP dose intensity was also associated (P = .007) with EFS among patients with homozygous wild-type TPMT phenotype. Lower 6MP dose intensity was primarily due to missed weeks of therapy and not to reductions in daily dose. We conclude that increased dose-intensity of oral 6MP is an important determinant of EFS in ALL, particularly among those children with a homozygous wild-type TPMT phenotype. However, increasing intensity of therapy such that neutropenia precludes chemotherapy administration may be counterproductive.

Prognostic Importance of 6-Mercaptopurine Dose Intensity in Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

6-Mercaptopurine (6MP) and methotrexate are the backbone of continuation therapy for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). In studies of oral 6MP and methotrexate, indices of chronic systemic exposure to active metabolites of these agents, namely, red blood cell (RBC) concentrations of methotrexate polyglutamates (MTXPGs) and thioguanine nucleotides (TGNs) have positively correlated with event-free survival (EFS). Our objective was to evaluate whether MTXPGs, TGNs, and the dose intensity of administered methotrexate and 6MP were prognostic in the setting of a treatment protocol in which all treatment was coordinated through a single center, and the weekly doses of methotrexate were given parenterally. On protocol Total XII, 182 children achieved remission and received weekly methotrexate 40 mg/m2 parenterally and daily oral 6MP, interrupted every 6 weeks during the first year by pulse chemotherapy. A total of 709 TGN, 418 MTX-PG, and 267 thiopurine methyltransferase (TPMT) measurements, along with complete dose intensity information (dose received divided by protocol dose per week) for 19,046 weeks of 6MP and methotrexate, were analyzed. In univariate analyses, only higher dose intensity of 6MP and of weekly methotrexate were significant predictors of overall EFS (P = .006 and .039, respectively). The occurrence of neutropenia was associated with worse outcome (P = .040). In a multivariate analysis, only higher dose intensity of 6MP (P = .020) was a significant predictor of EFS, with lower TPMT activity (P = .096) tending to associate with better outcome. 6MP dose intensity was also associated (P = .007) with EFS among patients with homozygous wild-type TPMT phenotype. Lower 6MP dose intensity was primarily due to missed weeks of therapy and not to reductions in daily dose. We conclude that increased dose-intensity of oral 6MP is an important determinant of EFS in ALL, particularly among those children with a homozygous wild-type TPMT phenotype. However, increasing intensity of therapy such that neutropenia precludes chemotherapy administration may be counterproductive.

Autologous bone marrow transplantation with monoclonal antibody purged marrow for children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia in second remission. Spanish Working Party for BMT in Children.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the outcome of children with acute lymphoid leukemia (ALL) in second remission who have undergone high-dose chemotherapy and radiotherapy and autologous bone marrow transplantation (ABMT) with monoclonal antibody purged marrow, and to determine the main prognostic factors. From 1987 to 1992, 55 children with ALL in second remission underwent ABMT. The conditioning regimen consisted of total body irradiation (TBI) plus cyclophosphamide in 21 patients and TBI plus cyclophosphamide plus cytarabine or VP-16 in 28 patients; the remaining six patients were treated with chemotherapy alone (cyclophosphamide and busulfan, and/or VP-16). The marrow was purged using monoclonal antibodies and complement or magnetic microspheres in all cases. All patients engrafted. Three patients (5%) died early post transplant from infections. Twenty-six patients (47%) relapsed (median 150 days); 26 patients (47%) are alive and in complete remission (CR) at a median of 36 months. The Kaplan-Meier estimation showed a probability of event-free survival (EFS) of 46 +/- 0.007%. In the univariate analysis, first CR length and conditioning with TBI plus two or more cytotoxic drugs were found to be the most significant predictors of EFS. ABMT with purged marrow is a treatment modality which offers a chance of cure in children with ALL after relapse, including children who relapse early.

S‐phase fraction can predict event free survival in patients with pT2‐T3N0M0 colorectal carcinoma

BACKGROUND Adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal carcinoma was found to improve survival of patients with American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union Against Cancer Stage III disease. The usefulness of chemotherapy in patients with Stage II disease continues to be debated, and it is likely that only those patients with a poor prognosis should receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Biologic prognostic factors may allow further insight into the optimal treatment strategy for patients with Stage II or earlier disease. In this study the prognostic role of S-phase fraction (SPF) determined by flow cytometry was assessed in patients with Stage I-II colorectal carcinoma. METHODS Specimens of surgically resected colorectal carcinoma were examined for SPF by flow cytometric DNA analysis. Consecutive patients referred to the study institution were considered eligible for this study. The main inclusion criteria were a Stage I-II tumor together with sufficient tumor material and adequate follow-up information. For each stage of disease, SPF data were associated with the recurrence rate and the disease free survival (DFS). RESULTS Analysis was performed on 167 patients (65 with Stage I disease and 102 with Stage II disease). Among Stage I patients, SPF was high in 20 patients and low in 45 patients. In Stage II patients, there were 36 patients with low SPF and 66 patients with high SPF. In both stages, the recurrence rate and DFS were significantly worse for the subgroups of patients with high SPF. CONCLUSIONS SPF has revealed prognostic differences among patients with surgically resected Stage I-II colorectal carcinoma. These data should be considered for planning future trials in the adjuvant setting because patients with high SPF may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Cancer 1998;83:1081-1085. © 1998 American Cancer Society.

S-phase fraction can predict event free survival in patients with pT2-T3N0M0 colorectal carcinoma

Adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal carcinoma was found to improve survival of patients with American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union Against Cancer Stage III disease. The usefulness of chemotherapy in patients with Stage II disease continues to be debated, and it is likely that only those patients with a poor prognosis should receive adjuvant chemotherapy. Biologic prognostic factors may allow further insight into the optimal treatment strategy for patients with Stage II or earlier disease. In this study the prognostic role of S-phase fraction (SPF) determined by flow cytometry was assessed in patients with Stage I-II colorectal carcinoma. Specimens of surgically resected colorectal carcinoma were examined for SPF by flow cytometric DNA analysis. Consecutive patients referred to the study institution were considered eligible for this study. The main inclusion criteria were a Stage I-II tumor together with sufficient tumor material and adequate follow-up information. For each stage of disease, SPF data were associated with the recurrence rate and the disease free survival (DFS). Analysis was performed on 167 patients (65 with Stage I disease and 102 with Stage II disease). Among Stage I patients, SPF was high in 20 patients and low in 45 patients. In Stage II patients, there were 36 patients with low SPF and 66 patients with high SPF. In both stages, the recurrence rate and DFS were significantly worse for the subgroups of patients with high SPF. SPF has revealed prognostic differences among patients with surgically resected Stage I-II colorectal carcinoma. These data should be considered for planning future trials in the adjuvant setting because patients with high SPF may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

The prognostic significance of non-invasive cardiac tests in heart transplant recipients.

The long-term mortality and morbidity of cardiac transplant recipients is related to their subsequent development of accelerated coronary atheroma and its complications. Coronary angiography was compared with non-invasive clinical assessment to see which was better in predicting clinical outcome. Ninety-one consecutive transplant recipients (mean age 53 years), in whom investigations had been performed (exercise electrocardiography, rest and exercise radionuclide ventriculography, 2-D echocardiography and coronary angiography), were followed up for a mean period of 2.1 years. Eighteen patients had 31 cardiac events. There were five cardiac-related deaths, 17 myocardial infarctions and/or onsets of heart failure, eight percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasties and one coronary artery bypass graft. With cardiac event-free survival as the dependent variable and the results of the above investigations as independent variables, a series of univariate, bivariate and regression analyses were performed. On bivariate analysis, an echocardiographic ejection fraction of > 60% significantly predicted both survival free of myocardial infarction and/or heart failure and/or cardiac death and survival free of any cardiac event (P = 0.001 for both). Absence of coronary angiographic disease (both of < 25% and of < 50% luminal narrowing in any vessel) significantly predicted survival free of any cardiac event (P = 0.00004 and 0.015, respectively). Neither radionuclide ventriculography nor exercise electrocardiography were significant predictors of event free survival. In conclusion, echocardiography is at least as important as coronary angiography in the follow-up and prognostic assessment of cardiac transplant recipients.

Prognostic Factors in Patients with Localized Ewing’s Sarcoma: The effect on survival of actual received drug dose intensity and of histologic response to induction therapy

To bring to the fore the most important prognostic factors in Ewing’s sarcoma (ES) with current protocols, we studied the classical prognostic factors, dose intensity (DI) of actual received drugs, age and histological response to induction therapy and their correlation in 39 patients with localized ES treated from 11/85 to 06/95 to identify eventual predictors of event-free survival (EFS). Inclusion criteria were age 35 yr or less, definitive local treatment by our team and chemotherapy including at least 4 drugs: vincristine (VCR), dactinomycin (DACT), doxorubicin (DOXO) cyclophosphamide (CPX). The endpoint was the absence of relapse. Parameters related to the status of patients were tested using the Chi square test or Fisher’s exact test. The non parametric Kruskal-Wallis test was used for quantitative data. When necessary stratified analysis was done using the Mantel Cox test. With a median followup of 7 yr, overall survival (OS) and EFS were both 67% at 7 yr. According to univariate analysis, the significant predictors of survival were the DI of VCR and DACT, the histological response to preoperative chemotherapy (CT), the patient’s age (< 18 yr DFS: 84%; > 18 yr DFS: 38%). The risk of metastases was almost tenfold higher in patients with low received DI of VCR (DFS 40% versus 95%) and of DACT (DFS 48% versus 94%). The prognostic value of primary tumor characteristics (tumoral volume or location) was erased by the comprehensive treatment. Following multivariate analysis, the actual received DI of VCR (p < 0.02) and DACT (p < 0.03) and the histological response to preoperative CT (p < 0.05) were retained as the only significant independent predictors of EFS. Taking into account the actual received DI of VCR and DACT, the prognostic value of age disappears. In conclusion, this study points out the main role of the drug DI in ES (particularly VCR and DACT) and of histological response to preoperative CT.

CD2 Antigen Expression on Leukemic Cells as a Predictor of Event-Free Survival After Chemotherapy for T-Lineage Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia: A Children’s Cancer Group Study

AbstractWe examined the prognostic impact of CD2 antigen expression for 651 patients with T-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), who were enrolled in front-line Childrens Cancer Group treatment studies between 1983 and 1994. There was a statistically significant correlation between the CD2 antigen positive leukemic cell content of bone marrow and probability of remaining in bone marrow remission, as well as overall event-free survival (EFS) (P = .0003 and P = .002, log-rank tests for linear trend). When compared with patients with the highest CD2 expression level (>75% positivity), the life table relative event rate (RER) was 1.22 for patients with intermediate range CD2 expression level (30% to 75% positivity) and 1.81 for “CD2-negative” patients (<30% positivity). At 6 years postdiagnosis, the EFS estimates for the three CD2 expression groups (low positivity to high positivity) were 52.8%, 65.5%, and 71.9%, respectively. CD2 expression remained a significant predictor of EFS after adjustment for the effects of other covariates by multivariate regression, with a RER of 1.47 for CD2-negative patients (P = .04). Analysts of T-lineage ALL patients shows a significant separation in EFS after adjustment for the National Cancer Institute (NCI) age and white blood cell (WBC) criteria for standard and high-risk ALL (P = .002, RER = 1.67). The determination of CD2 expression on leukemic cells helped identify patients with the better and poorer prognoses in both of these risk group subsets. For standard risk T-lineage ALL, CD2-negative patients had a worse outcome (P = .0007, RER = 2.92) with an estimated 5-year EFS of 55.9% as compared with 78.3% for the CD2-positive patients. Thus, CD2 negativity in standard risk T-lineage ALL identified a group of patients who had a worse outcome than high-risk T-lineage ALL patients who were CD2 positive. The percentage of CD2 antigen positive leukemic cells from T-lineage ALL patients is a powerful predictor of EFS after chemotherapy. This prognostic relationship is the first instance in which a biological marker in T-lineage ALL has been unequivocally linked to treatment outcome.

CD2 antigen expression on leukemic cells as a predictor of event-free survival after chemotherapy for T-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a Children's Cancer Group study

We examined the prognostic impact of CD2 antigen expression for 651 patients with T-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), who were enrolled in front-line Childrens Cancer Group treatment studies between 1983 and 1994. There was a statistically significant correlation between the CD2 antigen positive leukemic cell content of bone marrow and probability of remaining in bone marrow remission, as well as overall event-free survival (EFS) (P = .0003 and P = .002, log-rank tests for linear trend). When compared with patients with the highest CD2 expression level (&gt; 75% positivity), the life table relative event rate (RER) was 1.22 for patients with intermediate range CD2 expression level (30% to 75% positivity) and 1.81 for “CD2-negative” patients (&lt; 30% positivity). At 6 years postdiagnosis, the EFS estimates for the three CD2 expression groups (low positivity to high positivity) were 52.8%, 65.5%, and 71.9%, respectively. CD2 expression remained a significant predictor of EFS after adjustment for the effects of other covariates by multivariate regression, with a RER of 1.47 for CD2- negative patients (P = .04). Analysis of T-lineage ALL patients shows a significant separation in EFS after adjustment for the National Cancer Institute (NCI) age and white blood cell (WBC) criteria for standard and high-risk ALL (P = .002, RER = 1.67). The determination of CD2 expression on leukemic cells helped identify patients with the better and poorer prognoses in both of these risk group subsets. For standard risk T-lineage ALL, CD2-negative patients had a worse outcome (P = .0007, RER = 2.92) with an estimated 5-year EFS of 55.9% as compared with 78.3% for the CD2-positive patients. Thus, CD2 negativity in standard risk T-lineage ALL identified a group of patients who had a worse outcome than high-risk T-lineage ALL patients who were CD2 positive. The percentage of CD2 antigen positive leukemic cells from T- lineage ALL patients is a powerful predictor of EFS after chemotherapy. This prognostic relationship is the first instance in which a biological marker in T-lineage ALL has been unequivocally linked to treatment outcome.

Autologous Bone Marrow Transplantation After a Long First Remission for Children With Recurrent Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia

AbstractFifty-one children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in second or subsequent remission after a first remission of at least 24 months underwent purged, autologous bone marrow transplantation (ABMT). Bone marrow was harvested in remission and purged in vitro with monoclonal antibodies specific for leukemia-associated antigens. Ablative chemotherapy included cytarabine, teniposide, and cyclophosphamide followed by total body irradiation. Of the 51 patients treated between November 1980 and June 1991, 5 died of treatment-related complications, 18 relapsed, 1 died of a second tumor at 6.7 years, and 27 remained in continuous complete remission for a median of 39 months (range, 9+ to 124+). Event-free survival (EFS) (+/- SE) at 3 years after ABMT was 53% +/- 7%. Leukemia-free survival (LFS) was 58% +/- 8%. In multivariate analysis, the most significant predictors of EFS were duration of longest pre-ABMT remission and remission duration immediately before ABMT. For LFS, the most significant predictors were cell dose per kilogram of marrow reinfused and duration of longest pre-ABMT remission. We conclude that ABMT for this population is an effective therapy available to the majority of children with relapsed ALL.

Autologous bone marrow transplantation after a long first remission for children with recurrent acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Fifty-one children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in second or subsequent remission after a first remission of at least 24 months underwent purged, autologous bone marrow transplantation (ABMT). Bone marrow was harvested in remission and purged in vitro with monoclonal antibodies specific for leukemia-associated antigens. Ablative chemotherapy included cytarabine, teniposide, and cyclophosphamide followed by total body irradiation. Of the 51 patients treated between November 1980 and June 1991, 5 died of treatment-related complications, 18 relapsed, 1 died of a second tumor at 6.7 years, and 27 remained in continuous complete remission for a median of 39 months (range, 9+ to 124+). Event-free survival (EFS) (+/- SE) at 3 years after ABMT was 53% +/- 7%. Leukemia-free survival (LFS) was 58% +/- 8%. In multivariate analysis, the most significant predictors of EFS were duration of longest pre-ABMT remission and remission duration immediately before ABMT. For LFS, the most significant predictors were cell dose per kilogram of marrow reinfused and duration of longest pre-ABMT remission. We conclude that ABMT for this population is an effective therapy available to the majority of children with relapsed ALL.

Impact of chromosomal translocations on prognosis in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia.

The presence of a chromosomal translocation in the leukemic cells at diagnosis of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in children is associated with a high risk for treatment failure. We have reexamined the relationship between translocations and prognosis in 146 children with ALL who received risk-based therapy such that high-risk patients were treated with intensive drug schedules. In univariate analysis, multiple factors were associated with a relatively poor event-free survival (EFS) including age less than 2 years or greater than 10 years (combined group), WBC count greater than 10 x 10(9)/L, French-American-British (FAB) morphologic classification L2, absence of common ALL antigen (CALLA, CD10) expression, absence of hyperdiploidy with a chromosome number of 50 to 60, and presence of the specific translocations t(4; 11)(q21;q23) or t(9;22)(q34;q11) (combined group). However, there was no disadvantage with respect to EFS in patients with translocations compared with those who lacked translocations (73% at 4 years in both groups). Furthermore, when patients with specific cytogenetic abnormalities for which the prognostic significance has been well established (hyperdiploid 50 to 60, t(4;11), and t(9;22] were removed from the analysis, the remaining group with other translocations had a better EFS than the remaining group lacking translocations, although this was not statistically significant (81% v 65% at 4 years, P = .24). In a multivariate analysis, a model including WBC count and FAB classification was the strongest predictor of EFS. The presence or absence of translocations was not an independent predictor of EFS and did not contribute to the ability of any model to predict EFS. In conclusion, when effective intensive therapy is used to treat childhood ALL with high-risk clinical features, categorization of patients on the basis of chromosomal translocations without attention to the specific abnormality is not useful as a prognostic factor.

Prognostic factors in childhood T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a Pediatric Oncology Group study

Two hundred fifty-three children with newly diagnosed T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), who were treated uniformly with modified LSA2L2 therapy, were evaluated using univariate and recursive partition analyses to define clinical or biologic features associated with risk of treatment failure. Overall event-free survival (EFS) at 4 years was 43% (SE = 4%). Factors examined included white blood cell (WBC) level, age, gender, race (black v other), presence of a mediastinal mass, hepatomegaly, splenomegaly, marked lymphadenopathy, hemoglobin level, platelet count, blast cell expression of antigens such as the common acute lymphoblastic leukemia antigen (CALLA, CD10), HLA-DR, and T-cell- associated antigens (CD3, CD4, CD8, CD7, CD5, and THY). Univariate analysis showed that age less than or equal to 5 or less than or equal to 7 years, WBC level less than 10, less than 25, less than 50 or less than 100 x 10(3)/microL, and blast cell expression of CD4, CD8, or CALLA were associated with significantly better EFS, while hepatomegaly and splenomegaly were associated with worse EFS. Recursive partitioning analysis showed that the most important single favorable prognostic factor was a WBC level less than 50 x 10(3)/microL and, for patients with WBC counts below this level, the most important predictor of EFS was blast cell expression of the pan-T antigen defined by the monoclonal antibody (MoAb), L17F12 (CD5). For patients with higher WBC levels, the most important predictor of EFS was blast cell expression of THY antigen. The recursive partitioning analysis defined three groups of patients with widely varied prognoses identified as follows: (1) those with a WBC count less than 50 x 10(3)/microL who lacked massive splenomegaly and had blasts expressing CD5 had the best prognosis (66%, SE = 7%, EFS 4 years, n = 84); (2) those with (b1) WBC counts less than 50 x 10(3)/microL with either massive splenomegaly or who had blasts lacking CD5 expression, or (b2) WBC counts greater than 50 x 10(3)/microL with expression of the THY antigen had an intermediate prognosis (39%, SE = 7% EFS at 4 years, n = 94); (3) those with WBC counts greater than 50 x 10(3)/microL and whose blasts lacked expression of THY antigen had the poorest outcome (EFS = 19% at 4 years, SE = 8%, n = 63). A three-way comparison of EFS according to these groupings showed significant differences among the three patient groups (P less than .001). The recursive partitioning was able to classify 241 (95%) of the patients.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Prognostic Factors in Childhood T-Cell Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia: A Pediatric Oncology Group Study

Two hundred fifty-three children with newly diagnosed T-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), who were treated uniformly with modified LSA2L2 therapy, were evaluated using univariate and recursive partition analyses to define clinical or biologic features associated with risk of treatment failure. Overall event-free survival (EFS) at 4 years was 43% (SE = 4%). Factors examined included white blood cell (WBC) level, age, gender, race (black v other), presence of a mediastinal mass, hepatomegaly, splenomegaly, marked lymphadenopathy, hemoglobin level, platelet count, blast cell expression of antigens such as the common acute lymphoblastic leukemia antigen (CALLA, CD10), HLA-DR, and T-cell-associated antigens (CD3, CD4, CD8, CD7, CD5, and THY). Univariate analysis showed that age less than or equal to 5 or less than or equal to 7 years, WBC level less than 10, less than 25, less than 50 or less than 100 x 10(3)/microL, and blast cell expression of CD4, CD8, or CALLA were associated with significantly better EFS, while hepatomegaly and splenomegaly were associated with worse EFS. Recursive partitioning analysis showed that the most important single favorable prognostic factor was a WBC level less than 50 x 10(3)/microL and, for patients with WBC counts below this level, the most important predictor of EFS was blast cell expression of the pan-T antigen defined by the monoclonal antibody (MoAb), L17F12 (CD5). For patients with higher WBC levels, the most important predictor of EFS was blast cell expression of THY antigen. The recursive partitioning analysis defined three groups of patients with widely varied prognoses identified as follows: (1) those with a WBC count less than 50 x 10(3)/microL who lacked massive splenomegaly and had blasts expressing CD5 had the best prognosis (66%, SE = 7%, EFS 4 years, n = 84); (2) those with (b1) WBC counts less than 50 x 10(3)/microL with either massive splenomegaly or who had blasts lacking CD5 expression, or (b2) WBC counts greater than 50 x 10(3)/microL with expression of the THY antigen had an intermediate prognosis (39%, SE = 7% EFS at 4 years, n = 94); (3) those with WBC counts greater than 50 x 10(3)/microL and whose blasts lacked expression of THY antigen had the poorest outcome (EFS = 19% at 4 years, SE = 8%, n = 63). A three-way comparison of EFS according to these groupings showed significant differences among the three patient groups (P less than .001). The recursive partitioning was able to classify 241 (95%) of the patients.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)