Predictive Factors For Postoperative Complications Research Articles

Association of computed tomography-derived body composition and complications after colorectal cancer surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The prediction of the risk of developing complications after colorectal surgery for colorectal carcinoma remains imprecise. Body composition measurements on a computed tomography (CT) scan can potentially contribute to a better preoperative risk assessment. The aim of this systematic review is to evaluate the evidence for the use of body composition measurements on CT scans to predict short-term complications after colorectal cancer surgery. A literature search (in PubMed, Embase and Web of Science) was performed up to 1 August 2022. Two researchers independently screened the articles, extracted data and assessed the quality of the studies using the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. The primary outcome measure was the occurrence of complications within 30days after surgery. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to synthesize a pooled odds ratio (OR). The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021281010). Forty-five articles with a total of 16537 patients were included. In total, 26 body composition measures were investigated: 8 muscle-related measures, 11 adipose tissue measures, 4 combined muscle and adipose tissue measures, and 3 other measures. These were investigated as potential predictors for more than 50 differently defined postoperative complications. Meta-analysis was only possible for two measurements and showed that higher amounts of visceral fat increase the risk of developing overall complications (OR: 2.52 [1.58-4.00], P<0.0001) and anastomotic leakage (OR: 1.76 [1.17-2.65], P=0.006). A wide variety of body composition measurements on preoperative CT scans have been investigated as a predictive factor for postoperative complications. Visceral fat appeared to be associated with overall complications and anastomotic leakage; however, the association is weak, and its clinical relevance or applicability is questionable. The current evidence is limited by methodological heterogeneity and the risk of bias. To improve comparability of results across studies and improve decision-making, future studies should use standardized methods for measuring body composition on CT scans, outcome definitions and statistical analyses.

Predictive Factors of Pulmonary Hydatid Complications in Children

BackgroundPulmonary echinococcosis in children has frequent and severe complications. The aim of our study was to determine predictive factors of pre and postoperative complications of pediatric pulmonary hydatid cyst. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective descriptive and analytic study conducted from January 2010 to December 2018. The study population was divided into two groups to determine predictive factors of pre- and post-operative complications of pediatric pulmonary echinococcosis. Data were analyzed by IBM SPSS 21.0. A p-value of 0.05 was accepted as significant. ResultsThe study included 106 boys and 94 girls with a median age of 8 years. One hundred and thirty-eight patients (69%) had complicated pulmonary hydatid cyst preoperatively. Univariate analysis identified 12 predictive factors of pre-operative complications: rural origin (p = 0.0001), hydatid contact (p < 0.001), long period between the onset of symptoms and the first medical consultation (p = 0.0001), the autumn and the winter (cold seasons) (p = 0.0001), chest pain (p = 0.0001), hemoptysis (p = 0.023), fever (p = 0.0001), right side (p = 0.01), apical and para hilar location (p = 0.01), superior lobe (p = 0.05), superior right lobe (p = 0.0001), cyst size>5 cm (p = 0.02), positive hydatid serology (p < 0.0001). It identified 2 predictive factors of post-operative complications: giant cyst (p = 0.009) and not performing a capitonnage (p = 0.016). Multivariate analysis showed 4 independent pre-operative predictive factors of complications: rural area (p < 0.0001), fever (p = 0.006), right side (p = 0.02) and positive hydatid serology (p < 0.001). It identified 2 postoperative independent predictive factors of complications: not performing. capitonnage (p = 0.029) and solitary hydatid pulmonary cyst (p = 0.02). ConclusionPulmonary hydatid cyst management in children needs a thorough appreciation of independent predictive factors of pre and postoperative complications in order to reduce their morbidity.

Persistent hyperbilirubinemia following preoperative biliary stenting in patients undergoing anatomic hepatectomy predicts serious complications.

Biliary obstruction before liver resection is a known risk factor for post-operative complications. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of persistent hyperbilirubinemia following preoperative biliary drainage before liver resection. The ACS-NSQIP (2016-2021) database was used to extract patients with cholangiocarcinoma who underwent anatomic liver resection with preoperative biliary drainage comparing those with persistent hyperbilirubinemia (> 1.2mg/dL) to those with resolution. Patient characteristics and outcomes were compared with bivariate analysis. Multivariable modeling evaluated factors including persistent hyperbilirubinemia to evaluate their independent effect on serious complications, liver failure, and mortality. We evaluated 463 patients with 217 (46.9%) having hyperbilirubinemia (HB) despite biliary stenting. Bivariate analysis demonstrated that patients with HB had a higher rate of serious complications than those with non-HB (80.7% vs 70.3%; P = 0.010) including bile leak (40.9% vs 31.8%; P = 0.045), liver failure (26.7% vs 17.9%; P = 0.022), and bleeding (48.4% vs 36.6%; P = 0.010). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that persistent HB was independently associated with serious complications (OR 1.88, P = 0.020) and mortality (OR 2.39, P = 0.049) but not post-operative liver failure (OR 1.65, P = 0.082). Failed preoperative biliary decompression is a predictive factor for post-operative complications and mortality in patients undergoing hepatectomy and may be useful for preoperative risk stratification.

Modified frailty index (mFI): is it a predictor for early postoperative complications in arthroplasty surgery?

It has been demonstrated that the modified frailty index (mFI) is a powerful and effective tool in the prediction of perioperative risk in many surgical fields. In many previous studies, mFI has been found to be successful in prediction of perioperative adverse effects. The aim of this study was to determine whether the mFI can be a predictor for early postoperative complications in arthroplasty surgery. 145 patients aged 45-85 undergoing primary or revision total knee and hip arthroplasty were included in this prospective study. mFI was calculated in all patients, and patients included in the current study were grouped as "Frail" (n=42) and "Nonfrail" (n=103) patients according to modified frailty index values. Postoperative complications (myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, pulmonary embolism, septic shock, postoperative dialysis requirement, cerebrovascular event, reintubation, prolonged mechanical ventilation, surgical wound complications), duration of hospitalization, requirement for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and rehospitalization and 30-day mortality were recorded and the correlation between mFI and these parameters were evaluated. The mean age was 67.58±9.35 years, and 72.4% of the patients were female. The percentage of frail patients in the current study was 28.9%. The percentage of ASA-1, ASA-2, and ASA-3 patients was 17.2%, 57.2%, and 25.5%, respectively. The rate of ICU admission, MI, septic shock, postoperative dialysis requirement, prolonged MV requirement, hospital readmission, and 30-day mortality were 45.2%, 14.3%, 16.7%, 16.7%, 14.3%, 11.9%, and 16.7%, respectively in the frail group and were 7.8%, 1%, 1.9%, 2.9, 1.9% and 3.9%, respectively in the nonfrail group. Advanced age, male gender, high ASA score and prolonged duration of surgery were found to be predictive factors for postoperative complications. Advanced age, high ASA score and prolonged duration of surgery were found to be predictive factors for ICU admission. Advanced age, male gender and high ASA score were found to be strong predictors of 30-day mortality. mFI was found to be a strong predictor for postoperative complications and mortality. It is an easy, reliable, and simple method to evaluate frailty during the preoperative period. NCT05424575.

Complications related to thyroidectomy among patients with hyperthyroidism: Exploring the potential for ambulatory surgery.

Total thyroidectomy for hyperthyroidism is typically followed by overnight admission to monitor for complications including thyrotoxicosis. Outpatient thyroid surgery is increasingly common, but its safety in patients with hyperthyroidism has not been well studied. This retrospective study reviewed 183 patients with hyperthyroidism who underwent total thyroidectomy from 2015 to 2022 at one urban, academic center. The main outcomes were rates of thyroid storm, surgical complications, and 30-day ED visits and readmissions. Among 183 patients with hyperthyroidism (mean age, 45 ± 14.5 years; 82.5% female), there were no cases of thyroid storm and complications included recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) palsy (7.0%), symptomatic hypocalcemia (4.4%), and hematoma (1.6%). ED visits were present in 1.1% and no patients were readmitted. Total thyroidectomy was not associated with thyroid storm and <6% of patients required inpatient management. Ambulatory total thyroidectomy for hyperthyroidism warrants further consideration through identification of predictive factors for postoperative complications.

Efficiency of the estimation of physiologic ability and surgical stress (E-PASS) score in predicting postoperative complications after robot-assisted radical prostatectomy.

Robot-Assisted Radical Prostatectomy (RARP) is increasingly becoming the standard surgical treatment for prostate cancer. While some risk factors for postoperative complications of RARP have been identified, no scoring model that incorporates both preoperative physical status of the patient and intraoperative risk factors has been developed. The Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress (E-PASS) score was initially described to predict postoperative complications after gastrointestinal surgical procedures. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of the E-PASS score in predicting postoperative complications of RARP. A retrospective evaluation was conducted on 204 patients who underwent RARP between 2019 and 2022. Demographic data, parameters indicating patients' preoperative physical condition, and intraoperative risk factors were analyzed. The E-PASS score and subscores were calculated for each patient. Of the patients, 164 (80.4%) were discharged without any postoperative complications (Group 1), and 40 (19.6%) experienced various degrees of complications (Group 2). Patients in Group 2 had higher rates of previous abdominal surgery, elevated Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance scores, longer surgical durations, and higher E-PASS scores. To assess the effectiveness of the Comprehensive Risk Score (CRS) as a predictive factor for postoperative complications, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed with a 95% confidence interval (CI), and a cut-off value was established. The cut-off value for CRS was determined to be -0.0345 (area under the curve [AUC]=0.783, CI: 0.713-0.853; p<0.001). Patients with a CRS higher than the cut-off value had a 16.4 times higher rate of postoperative complications after RARP (95% CI: 5.58-48.5). The E-PASS scoring model successfully predicts postoperative complications in patients undergoing RARP by using preoperative data about the physical status of the patient and surgical risk factors. The E-PASS score and its subscores could be utilized as objective criteria to determine the risk of postoperative complications before and immediately after surgery.

Guiding post-pancreaticoduodenectomy interventions for pancreatic cancer patients utilizing decision tree models.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is frequently diagnosed in advanced stages, necessitating pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) as a primary therapeutic approach. However, PD surgery can engender intricate complications. Thus, understanding the factors influencing postoperative complications documented in electronic medical records and their impact on survival rates is crucial for improving overall patient outcomes. A total of 749 patients were divided into two groups: 598 (79.84%) chose the RPD (Robotic pancreaticoduodenectomy) procedure and 151 (20.16%) chose the LPD (Laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy) procedure. We used correlation analysis, survival analysis, and decision tree models to find the similarities and differences about postoperative complications and prognostic survival. Pancreatic cancer, known for its aggressiveness, often requires pancreaticoduodenectomy as an effective treatment. In predictive models, both BMI and surgery duration weigh heavily. Lower BMI correlates with longer survival, while patients with heart disease and diabetes have lower survival rates. Complications like delayed gastric emptying, pancreatic fistula, and infection are closely linked post-surgery, prompting conjectures about their causal mechanisms. Interestingly, we found no significant correlation between nasogastric tube removal timing and delayed gastric emptying, suggesting its prompt removal post-decompression. This study aimed to explore predictive factors for postoperative complications and survival in PD patients. Effective predictive models enable early identification of high-risk individuals, allowing timely interventions. Higher BMI, heart disease, or diabetes significantly reduce survival rates in pancreatic cancer patients post-PD. Additionally, there's no significant correlation between DGE incidence and postoperative extubation time, necessitating further investigation into its interaction with pancreatic fistula and infection.

Predictive factors for cranioplasty complications – A decade's experience

IntroductionCranioplasty (CP) following craniectomy provides cerebral protection, improves cerebrospinal fluid dynamics, and restores cosmesis. Although often viewed as minor, CP can have major complications. Research questionThis study aims to identify the predictive factors for post-operative complications in patients undergoing CP after decompressive craniectomy. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study at a tertiary hospital, analyzing patients who underwent CP after decompressive craniectomy (DC) from 2008 to 2019. Patient demographics, medical history, and surgery details were retrieved from hospital records. Complications included symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage, extradural or subdural haemorrhage, hydrocephalus, infection, or bone resorption. ResultsThe study included 168 patients: 139 adults (mean age 47.6 ± 12.68 years) and 29 pediatric patients (mean age 11.8 ± 5.62 years), with a slight male predominance. The overall complication rate was 26.2%, with infection being the most common (8.9%). Predictive factors for CP complications identified by binomial logistic regression, controlling for age and sex, included primary coagulopathy (14.3-fold risk increase, p = 0.034), intraoperative ventricular puncture (7.9-fold risk increase, p = 0.009), and intraoperative dural layer breach (2.8-fold risk increase, p = 0.033). Pre-CP home living was a protective factor. ConclusionsCP requires vigilant management to prevent complications. Primary coagulopathy, intraoperative ventricular puncture, and dural layer breach are significant risk factors for complications.

Sarcopenia predicts postoperative complications and survival in colorectal cancer patients with GLIM-defined malnutrition: Analysis from a prospective cohort study

ObjectiveTo investigate whether sarcopenia could predict postoperative outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer with Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM)-defined malnutrition. MethodsClinical data of patients who underwent radical resection for colorectal cancer were prospectively collected. Sarcopenia was diagnosed by the combination of low handgrip strength and low muscle quantity or quality as measured by abdominal computed tomography (CT) images. Logistic regression analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were performed to identify independent predictors for postoperative complications and survival, respectively. ResultsA total of 310 patients with colorectal cancer with GLIM-defined malnutrition were included, of which 145 (46.77%) were identified with sarcopenia. Malnutritional patients with sarcopenia had significantly higher incidences of total complications (34.5% versus 15.8%), severe complications (9.7% versus 1.8%), longer lengths of postoperative hospital stay (median, 14 days versus 12 days), and more costs (median, 56,257 RMB versus 49,024 RMB) than those without sarcopenia. Sarcopenia was an independent predictive factor for postoperative complications (OR 2.531, 95% CI 1.451–4.415), overall survival (HR 1.519, 95% CI 1.026–2.248), and disease-free survival (HR 1.847, 95% CI 1.324–2.576). Patients with severe sarcopenia had a higher incidence of severe complications but not total complications or survival than those with not-severe sarcopenia. Moreover, the predictive value of sarcopenia for postoperative complications was attributed to muscle strength and quality but not muscle quantity. ConclusionSarcopenia predicts postoperative complications and survival in patients with colorectal cancer with GLIM-defined malnutrition. Preoperative assessment of sarcopenia is still necessary when nutritional assessment has been well performed.

Preoperative frailty as a predictive factor for postoperative complications in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Frailty is considered one of the most important indicators of a patient's general condition. However, only a few studies have investigated the association between preoperative frailty and postoperative complications in pancreatic cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to examine this association in patients with pancreatic cancer. We retrospectively reviewed 52 consecutive patients who underwent pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer between July 2019 and March 2021. Patients were classified into two groups according to the presence of postoperative complications. Their characteristics and clinical parameters, including physical function, were analyzed. Patients with postoperative complications had a higher prevalence of frailty (58.8% vs 14.3%, p = 0.003) and a shorter 6-min walk distance (380 m vs 436 m, p = 0.020) than those without postoperative complications. Logistic regression analysis identified preoperative frailty as the only independent risk factor for complications after pancreatectomy (p = 0.002). Preoperative frailty is associated with postoperative complications of pancreatectomy. Since preoperative frailty can be easily evaluated, it is a useful predictor of postoperative complications after pancreatectomy.

Surgical outcomes in pelvic exenteration for advanced and recurrent malignancy: a high volume single institution experience.

Pelvic exenteration remains the only curative treatment for advanced pelvic malignancies. However, identification of predictive factors for successful surgical outcomes is still a controversial issue at present time. This retrospective study included data from all adult patients with colorectal or anal advanced pelvic malignancy registered for pelvic exenteration at the Leon Berard Cancer Center (Lyon, France). The primary endpoint was the surgical outcomes and aimed to define the predictive factors for postoperative complications. Secondary endpoints included overall survival and progression free survival in patients having experienced pelvic exenteration (PE). Data from 141 patients with locally advanced tumor (N = 81) or recurrent malignancies (N = 60) diagnosed between May 1994 and November 2018 were collected. The median age was 63.3years (95%CI 20.0-92.0). Malignancies included different locations (rectal: 69.5%, left colon: 17.0% and anal: 13.5%). Posterior pelvectomy was the most frequent surgery (81.6%). The median length of hospital stay was 23.3days (95%CI 3.0-82.0). The major complication rate at 30days was 24.8% and 38.1% at 90days. The median overall survival was 54.5months (95%CI 41.5-104.1) and the median PFS was 34.5months (95%CI 19.6-NA). In selected patients, pelvic exenteration is associated with good surgical and survival outcomes.

Does ASA classification effectively risk stratify patients undergoing bariatric surgery: a MBSAQIP retrospective cohort of 138,612 of patients.

It is important to appropriately risk stratify bariatric surgery patients, as these patients often have obesity-related comorbidities which can increase postoperative complication risk but also benefit the most from bariatric surgery. We aimed to evaluate the utility of risk stratification using ASA class for bariatric surgery patients and assessed predictive factors of postoperative complications. The 2020 MBSAQIP database was analyzed, and an ASA-deemed high-risk cohort (class IV) and normal-risk (ASA class II and III) cohort were compared. Univariate analysis was performed to characterize differences between cohorts and to compare complication rates. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine factors associated with increased odds of postoperative complications. We evaluated 138 612 patients with 5380 (3.9%) considered high-risk and 133 232 (96.1%) normal-risk. High-risk patients were more likely to be older (46.2 ± 12.0vs.43.4 ± 11.9, p < 0.001), male (30.9%vs.18.4%, p < 0.001), have higher BMI (51.4 ± 10.2vs.44.9 ± 7.4, p < 0.001), and have more comorbidities. High-risk patients were more likely to have increased 30-day serious complications (4.5%vs.2.8%, p < 0.001) and death (0.2%vs.0.1%, p = 0.001) but not anastomotic leak (0.2%vs.0.2%, p = 0.983). Multivariate models showed ASA class IV patients were at higher odds for any serious complication by 30days (aOR 1.36, 95%CI 1.18-1.56, p < 0.001) but not for death (aOR 1.04, 95%CI 0.49-2.21, p = 0.921). The factor independently associated with the highest odds of complication in both models was functional status preoperatively (partially dependent aOR 2.06, 95%CI 1.56-2.72, p < 0.001; fully dependent aOR 3.19, 95%CI 1.10-9.28, p = 0.033 for any serious complication; partially dependent aOR 5.08, 95%CI 2.16-12.00, p < 0.001 for death). While elevated ASA class correlates with increased serious complications, pre-operative functional status appears to have a much greater contribution to odds of serious complications and mortality. These findings question the utility of using ASA to risk stratify patients peri-operatively and provides evidence for using a simpler and more practical functional status approach.

Post-Operative Complications and Risk Predictors Related to the Avulsion of Lower Impacted Third Molars

Background and Objectives: This prospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the onset and severity of pain and other complications following lower impacted third molar extraction and to identify potential risk predictors. Materials and Methods: Twenty-five patients were treated with at least one lower impacted third molar extraction. The primary outcome was the onset of post-operative pain, evaluated at 6 h, 12 h, 24 h, 48 h, 72 h, and 7 days. The secondary outcomes (trismus, edema, alveolitis, dehiscence, neuralgic injury, and suppuration) were recorded at 3, 7 and 21 days after oral surgery. A correlation analysis was performed to identify potential associations between patient- and tooth-related factors and VAS (Visual Analogue Scale) scale. When a statistically significant correlation was identified, a regression analysis was performed. Results: Most of the patients were female (84%) with a mean age of 25 ± 3 years; the reason for oral surgery was dysodontiasis in 60% of cases, while the most frequent Pell and Gregory class was BII (36%). The VAS scale showed the onset of mild pain at 6 h (44%), 12 h (48%), 24 h (68%) and 48 (68%) after surgery. Trismus, edema, and alveolitis were observed at 3-day (20%, 64% and 12%, respectively) and at 7-day (16%, 12% and 4%, respectively) follow-up. Neuralgic injury was reported in one case (4%). The linear regression analysis showed a statistically significant association (p < 0.05) between the duration of oral surgery and VAS scores at 6 and 12 h. Finally, the binary logistic regression identified systemic disease, Pell and Gregory classification, duration of oral surgery, VAS at 6 and 12 h, trismus, and edema at 3 and 7 days as predictive factors of post-operative complications. Conclusions: Within their limits, the results of this study suggest that the onset of post-operative complications increases in proportion to the duration of the surgical procedure.

Abdominal aortic calcification volume (AACV) is a predictive factor for postoperative complications associated with biliary tract cancer.

Curative surgical treatment of biliary tract cancer is highly invasive and involves postoperative complications. Abdominal aortic calcification is a parameter that is reportedly linked to systemic arteriosclerosis. We measured the abdominal aortic calcification volume (AACV), assessed the correlation between AACV and postoperative complications, and evaluated the clinical utility of AACV. We retrospectively evaluated 97 patients (ampullary carcinoma, n = 21; distal bile duct cancer, n = 43; hilar bile duct cancer, n = 33). We assessed the calcification volume of the abdominal aorta from the renal artery ramification to the common iliac artery bifurcation. The correlation between AACV, clinical factors, and postoperative complications was evaluated. The average AACV was 5.02cm3, and the median AACV was 3.74 (range 0-27.4)cm3. The AACV was significantly related to age (P = 0.009), Brinkman index (P = 0.007), and history of cardiovascular disease (P = 0.015). The AACV was strongly correlated with postoperative complications (P < 0.001) and Clavien-Dindo grade > III postoperative complications (P < 0.001). The AACV was also correlated with pancreatic fistula in pancreatectomy cases (P < 0.001). A multivariate analysis revealed that the AACV was an independent predictor of postoperative complications. The AACV was significantly associated with postoperative complications. The AACV could be used for the preoperative assessment of surgical risk.

Gustave Roussy Immune Score for Predicting Postoperative Complications and Non-cancer Death in Elderly Patients With Colon Cancer.

The Gustave Roussy Immune (GRIm) score is aa prognostic marker in various cancer types. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the GRIm score and short- and long-term outcomes in elderly patients with colon cancer. Patients aged ≥75 years who underwent colectomy between 2008 and 2019 were eligible for the study. Patients were divided into high GRIm (score 1-3) and low GRIm (score 0) groups. A total of 430 patients were enrolled (high GRIm, n=126; low GRIm, n=304). A high GRIm score was an independent predictive factor for postoperative complications [odds ratio=4.146; 95% confidence interval (CI)-2.536-6.777; p<0.001]. The median follow-up was 42 months (range=1-160 months). Five-year relapse-free (79.3% vs. 92.7%; p=0.001), overall (76.0% vs. 92.2%, p=0.001), and non-cancer-specific (84.7% vs. 94.6%, p=0.003) survival were lower in the high GRIm group. Multivariate analysis revealed a high GRIm score to be an independent predictive factor for poorer overall (hazard ratio=2.875; 95% CI=1.451-5.698; p=0.002) and non-cancer-specific (hazard ratio=3.650; 95% CI=1.612-8.265; p=0.001) survival. The GRIm score is useful for predicting postoperative complications and non-cancer cause of death in elderly patients and might be suitable as a surrogate marker for selecting candidates for surgery or perioperative treatment.

Preoperative modified frailty index to predict surgical complications in endometrial cancer patients.

To assess the predictive value of the preoperative modified frailty index (mFI) for postoperative complications in endometrial carcinoma, evaluate risk factors associated with complications, and compare the predictive properties of the mFI with the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification. A total of 364 patients with endometrial cancer who underwent primary surgery between January 2009 and December 2016 were examined. The prognostic value of mFI in predicting severe postoperative complications, assessed according to the Clavien-Dindo classification, was analyzed and compared with ASA status. The risk factors for adverse outcomes were determined using multivariate analysis. The 30-day postoperative surgical- or medical-related complication rate was 26.6%. The rates of postoperative complications were 1.3%, 8.8%, 12.2%, and 60.0% for mFI scores of 0, 1, 2, and ≥3, respectively (P<0.001). The odds ratios for predicting postoperative complications in patients with mFI scores of 1, 2, and ≥3 were 7.38, 10.59, and 114.75, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, the significant predictive factors for postoperative complications were mFI ≥1, body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg/m2, and non-endometrioid cell type. At cut-off points of mFI ≥1 and ASA ≥2, both tools had similar sensitivities but mFI was more specific (sensitivities 92.9% vs. 100%; specificity 45.5% vs. 19.4%). mFI provides a satisfactory predictive value for postoperative complications. Patients with an mFI score ≥1, a BMI ≥30 kg/m2, and a non-endometrioid subtype, are at risk of postoperative complications and should receive comprehensive preoperative and postoperative management.

Risk factors and predictors of 30-day complications and conversion to open surgery after repeat ileocolic resection of Crohn's disease.

Repeat ileocolic resection of Crohn's disease (CD) is a challenging procedure that can be followed by a high rate of complications. The present study aimed to identify the factors associated with complications and conversion to open surgery in patients undergoing repeat ileocolic resection for CD. This was a retrospective review of an IRB-approved prospective database of CD patients who underwent elective repeat ileocolic resection between 2011 and 2021. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the predictive factors of postoperative complications and conversion to open surgery. The present study included 65 patients (47.7% male) with a mean age of 52.5years. 43.1% of patients developed short-term complications, most of which were of Clavien-Dindo class I-II. Longer operative time was found to be an independent predictor of complications (OR 1.016, p = 0.014). The preoperative use of biological therapy was an independent protective factor from complications (OR 0.243, p = 0.016). The only significant risk factor of a longer operation time was higher BMI (OR 3.11, p = 0.044). Overall, 28.1% of laparoscopic procedures were converted to laparotomy. According to bivariate analysis, previous ileocolic open resection (OR 190, p < 0.0001), longer operation time (OR 1.01; p = 0.036), and takedown of incidental fistula of incidental fistula (OR 3.78, p = 0.04) were associated with higher odds of conversion to open surgery. Longer operation time was significantly associated with and predictive of complications after repeat ileocolic resection of CD. Preoperative biological therapy was predictive of a lower rate of complications. Previous ileocolic resection by laparotomy, longer operation time, and takedown of fistula were associated with a higher likelihood of conversion to open surgery.

65. Contributing risk factors in patients receiving chemotherapy or immunotherapy undergoing surgical stabilization for spinal metastatic disease

<h3>BACKGROUND CONTEXT</h3> Advancements in novel, more efficacious, oncological chemo- and immunotherapies in the last decade have led to significantly prolonged survival rates in cancer patients. The vertebral column is the most common site of bony metastasis, consequently, the incidence of metastatic spine disease has increased. Much work has been done assessing postoperative complications in spine surgery secondary to radiotherapy; however, little is known on the contributing risk factors to postoperative spine complications secondary to immunotherapy. <h3>PURPOSE</h3> The purpose of this study was to assess independent risk factors for postoperative complications after surgical stabilization of spinal metastases in patients receiving either chemotherapy or immunotherapy. <h3>STUDY DESIGN/SETTING</h3> Retrospective analysis. <h3>PATIENT SAMPLE</h3> Fifty-seven patients. <h3>OUTCOME MEASURES</h3> Demographic information, tumor charecteristics and operative paramters were reviewed from the electrical medical records. Postoperative complications were assessed until 30 days after surgery. <h3>METHODS</h3> Our institution's TriNetX database was reviewed from September 2011 to September 2020. ICD-10 codes were employed to identify all patients with Stage IV metastatic disease to the vertebral column. CPT codes were utilized to capture patients in this cohort who received either chemotherapy or immunotherapy subsequently followed by surgical treatment. Patients were excluded from the study if they were younger than 18 years or received radiation therapy to the spine. Categorical outcomes were compared between patients receiving chemotherapy vs immunotherapy via Fisher's exact test analysis. Identification of risk factors for 30-day complications was achieved using a fitted model with binary logistic regression. Threshold for significance was established at p < 0.05. <h3>RESULTS</h3> Overall average age was 64.98+/-13.19 years. Average age for the chemotherapy group and the immunotherapy group was 66.64+/-12.88 and 62.52+/-13.5 (p=0.307) respectively. Among the chemotherapy group, 21 had smoked tobacco regularly, while 12 smoked regularly in the immunotherapy group (0.472). CCI (1.62+/-0.95 vs. 8.39+/-1.67, p=0.473) and ECOG (9.12+/-1.95 vs 1.7+/-1.08, p=0.604) were comparable between the two groups. Breast (9), lung (7), prostate (7) cancers were more commonly treated with chemotherapy, while immunotherapy was more commonly used to treat melanoma (10) and lung (8) cancers (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference across the groups with regards to complications. Multivariate analysis showed that smoking is an independent predictive factor for postoperative complications. <h3>CONCLUSIONS</h3> Surgical intervention, as an adjunct to immunotherapy and chemotherapy, is beneficial for sustained improvement in pain, neurologic and functional outcomes. We demonstrated, through our institution retrospective patient series, any evidence of tobacco use is a significant risk factor which may contribute to postoperative surgical complications. To our knowledge, this is the first study of its kind which assesses risk factors potentially associated with immunotherapy. Although our analysis is limited by a relatively low-powered study, future studies reviewing a larger patient cohort are needed to better conclude on possible associations between the use of immunotherapy and spine surgical stabilization in metastatic spine disease. <h3>FDA DEVICE/DRUG STATUS</h3> This abstract does not discuss or include any applicable devices or drugs.

In Autologous Breast Reconstruction, Frailty Is a More Accurate Predictor of Postoperative Complications: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.

Autologous breast reconstruction has a higher postoperative complication rate in vulnerable patients. Given the high prevalence of obesity and aging, operative risk prediction is critical. Age, body mass index, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class are inaccurate predictive factors of postoperative complications. Frailty-a measure of vulnerability-was reported to be a reliable predictor of postoperative complications in multiple surgical fields. Here, we hypothesized that it would be an accurate predictor also in autologous breast reconstruction. Patients undergoing autologous breast reconstruction (CPT code 19364) were identified using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (January of 2010 to December of 2018). Frailty was calculated using the validated modified Frailty Index. Rates of wound complications, bleeding episodes, readmissions, returns to the operating room, and deep venous thromboses were compared across modified Frailty Index score, body mass index, age, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class. A modified Frailty Index score of 2 or greater was associated with a 22.22 percent ( p < 0.001) rate of wound complications; a 15.79 percent ( p < 0.001) rate of bleeding episodes; an 8.20 percent ( p < 0.001) rate of readmissions; a 17.19 percent ( p < 0.001) rate of return to the operating room; and a 1.81 percent ( p < 0.05) rate of deep venous thromboses. Higher body mass index, age, and American Society of Anesthesiologists class did not significantly correlate with increased rates in one or more postoperative complications. Only a high modified Frailty Index was consistently associated with significantly higher odds in all complication types. As a reliable and accurate predictor of postoperative complications in autologous breast reconstruction, frailty could be used preoperatively to counsel patients and guide surgical care. Risk, III.

Urine amylase level after Whipple resection might be a predictive factor of postoperative complications.

The association between urine amylase levels and the development of postoperative complications after Whipple resection is still unknown. Aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of urine amylase levels for postoperative complications in patients who underwent Whipple resection. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed amylase levels in urine, serum and drains in 52 patients who underwent Whipple resection preoperatively and on Postoperative Day 1 (POD1) after the intervention. Patients were followed up for 3 months to assess their predictive value for postoperative complications. In patients with complications, urine amylase levels were significantly higher on POD1 than before resection (198.89 ± 28.41 vs. 53.70 ± 7.44, p=0.000). Considering the sensitivity and specificity of the urine amylase level on POD1, an area under the ROC curve of 0.918 was obtained (p<0.001, 95% CI: 0.894-0.942). Patients with urine amylase levels ³140.00 U/L had significantly higher risks of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) grade C (definition of POPF done according to the ISGP) (RR:20.26; 95% CI: 1.18-347.07; p=0.038), readmission to hospital (RR: 6.61; 95% CI: 1.53-28.58; p=0.011), reoperation (RR: 5.67; 95% CI: 1.27-25.27; p=0.023), and mortality (RR:17.00; 95% CI: 2.33-123.80; p=0.005) than patients with urine amylase levels <140.00 U/L. Urine amylase levels on POD1 displayed strong and significant positive correlations with serum amylase levels (r=0.92, p=0.001) and amylase levels in drains (r=0.86, p=0.002). We can conclude that urine amylase levels on POD1 have good prognostic value for postoperative complications after Whipple resection and might be used as an additional predictive risk factor.