Predictive Factors Of Poor Outcome Research Articles

High-Volume Hospital Had Lower Mortality of Severe Intracerebral Hemorrhage Patients.

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accompanies higher mortality rates than other type of stroke. This study aimed to investigate the association between hospital volume and mortality for cases of ICH. We used nationwide data from 2013 to 2018 to compare high-volume hospitals (≥32 admissions/year) and low-volume hospitals (<32 admissions/year). We tracked patients' survival at 3-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 4-year endpoints. The survival of ICH patients was analyzed at 3-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 4-year endpoints using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis and Cox regression analysis were performed to determine predictive factors of poor outcomes at discharge and death. Among 9,086 ICH patients who admitted to hospital during 18-month period, 6,756 (74.4%) and 2,330 (25.6%) patients were admitted to high-volume and low-volume hospitals. The mortality of total ICH patients was 18.25%, 23.87%, 27.88%, and 35.74% at the 3-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 4-year, respectively. In multivariate logistic analysis, high-volume hospitals had lower poor functional outcome at discharge than low-volume hospitals (odds ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.91; p < 0.001). In the Cox analysis, high-volume hospitals had significantly lower 3-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 4-year mortality than low-volume hospitals (p < 0.05). The poor outcome at discharge, short- and long-term mortality in ICH patients differed according to hospital volume. High-volume hospitals showed lower rates of mortality for ICH patients, particularly those with severe clinical status.

PICA flow-related aneurysms and posterior fossa AVM: rare association and challenging management: case presentation and review of literature

BackgroundThe association of an infratentorial arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) with a PICA aneurysm is very rare and the presence of associated aneurysms was an independent predictive factor of poor outcome at follow-up for posterior fossa AVMs (pfAVMs). We report the case of a 57-year-old female patient admitted to our institution with a challenging management of a pfAVM associated with multiple flow-related aneurysms of the PICA.Case presentationA 57-year-old patient with no medical past history was admitted to our emergency department with a sudden onset headache and severe neck stiffness. A cerebral CT Scan showed a cerebellar hematoma. Digital subtraction angiography demonstrates a right paramedian supero-posterior infratentorial AVM located at the posterosuperior part of the right cerebellar hemisphere with a small compact nidus supplied by branches of the right PICA and the right superior cerebellar artery. Venous drainage being toward the torcular. The AVM is associated with 3 flow-related aneurysms. We opted for surgical treatment of the 2 high-flow aneurysms on the distal branch of the right PICA. Patient was then sent for radiosurgery for the AVM. We opted for observation of the left small aneurysm.ConclusionMicrosurgery for PICA aneurysms is particularly well suited because exposure through a far-lateral craniotomy is excellent. Endovascular embolization can be used to occlude the aneurysm as well as treat the AVM at the same time in certain circumstances. Clipping or coiling the aneurysm should be discussed in a multidisciplinary meeting.

The Influence of Talar Displacement on Articular Contact Mechanics: A 3D Finite Element Analysis Study Using Weightbearing Computed Tomography.

Talar displacement is considered the main predictive factor for poor outcomes and the development of post-traumatic osteoarthritis after ankle fractures. Isolated lateral talar translation, as previously studied by Ramsey and Hamilton using carbon powder imprinting, does not fully replicate the multidirectional joint subluxations seen in ankle fractures. The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of multiple uniplanar talar displacements on tibiotalar contact mechanics utilizing weightbearing computed tomography (WBCT) and finite element analysis (FEA). Nineteen subjects (mean age = 37.6 years) with no history of ankle surgery or injury having undergone WBCT arthrogram (n = 1) and WBCT without arthrogram (n = 18) were included. Segmentation of the WBCT images into 3D simulated models of bone and cartilage was performed. Three-dimensional (3D) multiple uniplanar talar displacements were simulated to investigate the respective influence of various uniaxial displacements (including lateral translation, anteroposterior translation, varus-valgus angulation, and external rotation) on the tibiotalar contact mechanics using FEA. Tibiotalar peak contact stress and contact area were modeled for each displacement and its gradations. Our modeling demonstrated that peak contact stress of the talus and tibia increased, whereas contact area decreased, with incremental displacement in all tested directions. Contact stress maps of the talus and tibia were computed for each displacement demonstrating unique patterns of pressure derangement. One millimeter of lateral translation resulted in 14% increase of peak talar contact pressure and a 3% decrease in contact area. Our model predicted that with lateral talar translation, there is less noticeable change in tibiotalar contact area compared with prior studies whereas external rotation greater than 12 degrees had the largest effect on peak contact stress predictions. Level V, computational simulation study.

Predictive factors of poor outcome and mortality among anterior ischaemic stroke patients despite successful recanalisation in China: a secondary analysis of the CAPTURE trial

ObjectivesThis work aimed to analyse the risk factors for poor outcomes and mortality among patients with anterior large vessel occlusion (LVO) ischaemic stroke, despite successful recanalisation.Setting and participantsThis study conducted...

Tongue reconstruction after oncological resection: Analysis of the functional outcomes

The curative management of oral squamous cell carcinoma can be responsible for swallowing and/or speech impairments. In this study, we analyzed the functional outcomes in patients who underwent an oncological resection and a primary reconstruction of the tongue and/or of the floor of the mouth (TFM). We also investigated the predictive factors for poor functional outcomes. This retrospective study included operated patients from October 2013 to May 2021 at the TOURS University Hospital. We assessed the functional results two years after the completion of the cancer treatment with self-administered questionnaires quantifying swallowing and speech disorders. Thirty-three patients were included and reconstructed with antebrachial free flap (N = 16), local flap (N = 8) or Biodesign ® membrane (N = 9). A higher proportion of pT1 tumor was observed in patient who had a Biodesign-based reconstruction (p = 0.001). There was no significant difference between the groups in terms of postoperative complications or for the duration of enteral feeding. The 21 patients who had an adjuvant radiation therapy had no significant more altered functions. Functional scores were significantly higher in the free flap reconstruction group (DHI =24 and SHI=21) (p = 0.008). No predictive factors for poor outcomes were observed. The repair of TFM defects must be adapted to the resection size. The reconstruction techniques allow to get acceptable functional outcomes even for the greater tumors or in case of radiation therapy. Further research would be required to better identify the predictive factors for poor outcomes.

Analysis of predictive factors for post-traumatic osteoarthritis and poor outcomes in acetabular fractures treated surgically.

The aims of this study were (i) to assess the radiological and functional outcomes of surgically treated displaced acetabular fractures and (ii) to analyze the predictive factors of poor outcomes following surgery. A total of 119 patients (24 female, 95 male) who were operated between 2009 and 2019 were included in the study. The mean age was 47.5 years (range=18-61). The mean follow-up was 92.3 months (range=24-120). Failure to preserve the biological hip joint, as treated with total hip replacement or the Girdlestone procedure, was defined as a poor outcome. Patients' demographic information, comorbidities, fracture types, surgical approach, concomitant injuries, reduction quality, and complications were analyzed. Computed tomography was utilized to evaluate the fracture type and quality of reduction. Factors affecting poor outcomes were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. The modified Harris Hip Score was also used to evaluate the functional status. The poor outcome rate was 10.1%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that dislocation (odds ratio: 44.87, confi- dence interval: 3.18-633.22, P=.005), wound site problems (odds ratio: 9.09, confidence interval: 1.01-81.12, P=.04), reduction quality (odds ratio: 77.88, confidence interval: 5.95-1019.07, P = .001), and diabetes (odds ratio: 7.29, confidence interval: 1.01-52.07, P = .04) were associated with poor outcomes. Eight of the 12 patients with poor outcomes had a fair Harris Hip Score, and 4 had a poor Harris Hip Score. The relationship between poor outcomes and Harris Hip Score was found to be significant (P < .001). For a favorable functional outcome in acetabular fractures, preservation of the biological hip joint should be a top priority. The accompanying dislocation and the patient's diabetes appear to be uncontrollable factors for the poor prognosis. Good reduction qual- ity and wound infection protection are modifiable factors. Level IV, Therapeutic Study.

Gender and degree of tendon healing are independent predictive factors for clinical outcome in successfully healed rotator cuff tears.

Arthroscopic rotator cuff repair (aRCR) is a commonly performed procedure and has been reported to be a successful treatment. Successful healing has traditionally been considered to be associated with good outcome; however, knowledge on predictive factors affecting final outcome other than tendon healing is limited. This study aims to investigate predictive factors influencing clinical outcome following aRCR in patients with successfully healed tears. This retrospective case-control study was conducted in a single center with 135 patients who had successfully healed tendons based on Sugaya classification (grades I-III) on postoperative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans following aRCR. Clinical outcome measures included Constant-Murley score (CMS), range of motion (ROM), pain score. Various preoperative, intraoperative factors and degree of postoperative tendon healing were assessed to identify independent predictive factors for final clinical outcome. Mean age of patients was 55.9 ± 9.0years and mean follow-up duration was 46.8 ± 14.9months. There were 50 (37%) male and 85 (63.0%) female patients. At final follow-up, mean CMS was 85.7 ± 12.0. Considering mean postoperative CMS and the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) of 10 points for CMS, a cutoff level of 75 points for CMS was set (85-10 = 75) and study population was divided into two study groups (group I, poor outcome, CMS ≤ ;75, and group II, good outcome, CMS > 75). There were 24 (17.8%) patients in group I and 111 (82.2%) patients in group II. Univariate analysis revealed that gender, body mass index (BMI) and degree of tendon healing (Sugaya classification) differed significantly between two groups (p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis which was conducted with these variables showed that female gender (odds ratio 3.65) and Sugaya grade III (odds ratio 8.19) were independent predictive factors which were significantly associated with poor outcome (p < 0.05). This study showed that despite achieving a successful healing, considerable amount of patients (17.8%) have ended up with poor outcome. Female gender and degree of tendon healing were identified as independent predictive factors for poor outcome. These data would help surgeons during decision-making, risk assessment and patient counseling. III.

Spinal Tuberculosis: Features and Early Predictive Factors of Poor Outcomes.

Tuberculosis is still endemic in Tunisia. Among musculoskeletal involvement, spinal tuberculosis (STB) or «Pott's Disease» is the most common and can lead to serious neurological complications. The purpose of our study was to focus on STB features (clinical, biological, and radiological) and to identify factors associated with early unfavorable outcomes. This was a monocentric retrospective study, over a period of 20 years (2000-2020). Only patients treated appropriately were included. Patients' informations were noted. We defined the favorable outcome criterion as weight gain, apyrexia, improvement of the general state, relief of pain, improvement in the classic inflammatory markers (CRP), and absence of vertebral deformities, neurological impairment, or sepsis. The outcome was considered unfavorable otherwise. Our study involved 52 patients. Their average age was 55.21 years±17.79. The average symptom duration was 8.9 months±6.54. Spinal pain was the most common functional sign (90.4%) often inflammatory. Physical signs were dominated by segmental spinal stiffness (71.2%). Spinal magnetic resonance imaging was performed in 38 patients. The disco-vertebral biopsy puncture confirmed the diagnosis in 15 cases. All patients received anti-tuberculosis treatments with an average duration of 10.02±1.97months. The outcome at one month of follow-up was favorable in 32 cases. Poor prognosis factors were normochromic normocytic anaemia (p=0.018), initial lymphocytosis (p=0.048), and fever (p=0.01). However, vertebral fracture at standard X-ray was predictive of favorable outcome (p=0.001). STB is a frequent condition that needs to be treated rapidly. Poor prognosis factors were identified in this study such as normocytic normochromic anemia, initial lymphocytosis, and fever at baseline.

A 5-year characterization of trends and outcomes in elderly patients undergoing elective bariatric surgery.

The North American population with severe obesity is aging and with that so will the number of elderly patients (≥ 65years) meeting indications for metabolic surgery. Trends in bariatric delivery in this population are poorly characterized and outcomes remain conflicting, limiting potential uptake and delivery. The MBSAQIP database was used to identify elderly patients (≥ 65years) undergoing elective bariatric surgery from 2015 to 2019. Our objectives were to analyze their unique characteristics, surgical operative trends, and outcomes by comparing to a non-elderly cohort. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors of serious complications and 30-day mortality. There was a total of 751,607 patients, 5.3% (n = 39,854) were elderly. Mean ages were 43 ± 11years (non-elderly) versus 68 ± 3years (elderly). Elderly patients were less likely to be female (70.7% elderly; 80.1% non-elderly) and had lower BMI (43.17 ± 6.64kg/m2 elderly; 45.42 ± 7.87kg/m2 non-elderly). They had higher American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, lower functional status, more insulin dependent diabetes, and hypertension, among other comorbidities. There were no clinically significant differences between the most frequently performed bariatric surgery. Sleeve gastrectomy remained the most common (73.7% non-elderly; 72.3% elderly); however, operative time was longer among the elderly. Functional status was most predictive for both serious complications (OR 1.72; CI 1.53-1.94) and mortality (OR 2.92; CI 1.98-4.31). Surgery among elderly patients was associated with poorer 30-day postoperative outcomes across all categories and was independently associated with serious complications (OR 1.23; CI 1.17-1.30, p < 0.001; AR 4.64%) and 30-day mortality (OR 2.49; CI 2.00-3.11, p < 0.001; AR 0.27%), after adjusting for comorbidities. After adjusting for comorbidities, functional status remains the most predictive factor for poor outcomes; however, elderly patients have increased 30-day odds of serious complications and 30-day mortality, suggesting a need to tailor our approach to these individuals that carry a unique operative risk.

Correction: Takeuchi et al. Predictive Factors for Poor Outcome following Chemonucleolysis with Condoliase in Lumbar Disc Herniation. Medicina 2022, 58, 1868

In the original publication [...].

Using two-step cluster analysis to classify inpatients with primary biliary cholangitis based on autoantibodies: A real-world retrospective study of 537 patients in China.

A variety of autoantibodies have been detected in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC), while the presence of autoantibody clusters and their clinical significance have not been fully understood. We aimed at defining autoantibody clusters and to better understand the clinical features and prognosis of PBC patients based on autoantibody clusters under real-world conditions. We retrospectively analyzed 788 inpatients with PBC evaluated between October 2008 and July 2019, and included 537 patients. Nineteen autoantibodies which were measured routinely were investigated for cluster analysis. Two-step clustering, Kaplan-Meier survival, and Cox regression analyses were used. Five clusters were defined. A cluster of antinuclear antibodies (ANA) and anti-gp210 positive patients were identified with a high rate of cirrhosis at baseline and low survival rate; a cluster of ANA, anti-centromere antibodies (ACA) and/or anti-CENP-B female dominant patients with older disease onset, low level of platelet count at baseline, high rate of hepatic decompensation, and low survival rate was also characterized; and another cluster of anti-mitochondrial antibodies (AMA) and/or AMA-M2, anti-Ro52 and a high rate of anti-gp210 positive patients were identified with a high proportion of male patients and low survival rate. A subgroup of patients with anti-SSA and/or anti-SSB coexists with SjS was also identified; patients with only AMA and/or AMA-M2-positive with a benign clinical outcome and relatively high complication of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were also identified. Only anti-gp210 was considered as a significant predictor for poor outcomes especially in patients with cirrhosis. Clustering methods allow the identification of distinct autoantibody profiles of PBC that form clinical subsets and can be useful for personalized approaches to diagnosis, clinical management, and the prediction of clinical outcomes. Anti-gp210 was the strongest predictive factor for poor outcomes especially in PBC patients with cirrhosis under real-world conditions.

Predictive Factors for Poor Outcome following Chemonucleolysis with Condoliase in Lumbar Disc Herniation.

Background and Objectives: Condoliase, a chondroitin sulfate ABC endolyase, is a novel and minimally invasive chemonucleolytic drug for lumbar disc herniation. Despite the growing number of treatments for lumbar disc herniation, the predicting factors for poor outcomes following treatment remain unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive factors for unsuccessful clinical outcome following condoliase therapy. Material and Methods: We performed a retrospective single-center analysis of 101 patients who underwent chemonucleolysis with condoliase from January 2019 to December 2021. Patients were divided into good outcome (i.e., favorable outcome) and poor outcome (i.e., requiring additional surgical treatment) groups. Patient demographics and imaging findings were collected. Clinical outcomes were evaluated using the numerical rating scale and Japanese Orthopaedic Association scores at baseline and at 1- and 3-month follow-up. Pretreatment indicators for additional surgery were compared between the 2 groups. Results: There was a significant difference in baseline leg numbness between the good outcome and poor outcome groups (6.27 ± 1.90 vs. 4.42 ± 2.90, respectively; p = 0.033). Of the 101 included patients, 32 received a preoperative computed tomography scan. In those patients, the presence of calcification or ossification in disc hernia occurred more often in the poor outcome group (61.5% vs. 5.3%, respectively; p < 0.001; odds ratio = 22.242; p = 0.014). Receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis for accompanying calcification or ossification showed an area under the curve of 0.858 (95% confidence interval, 0.715−1.000; p = 0.001). Conclusions: Calcified or ossified disc herniation may be useful predictors of unsuccessful treatment in patients with condoliase administration.

Predictive Factors of Poor Outcome in Sanders Type III and IV Calcaneal Fractures Treated with an Open Reduction and Internal Fixation with Plate: A Medium-Term Follow-Up.

Background: Consensus on the treatment for severely comminuted calcaneus fractures has yet to be found. This study aims to analyze the functional and radiological short- and medium-term outcomes of displaced calcaneus fractures of type III and IV treated with ORIF, and to identify, if present, the early predictors of unfavorable outcomes. Methods: Thirty-three calcaneal fractures were included, 23 type III and 10 type IV, according to Sanders classification. AOFAS scales for ankle and hindfoot and SF-12 were used. Böhler and Gissane angles were analyzed before and after surgery. Results: The minimum follow-up was six years. The mean AOFAS score at six months was 16.5 points (24.2 ± 10.8 vs 10.8 ± 9.5; p = 0.03) with better outcomes in patients with Sanders type III fractures. This difference decreased in the subsequent follow-up. Likewise, the mental and physical score of SF-12 had the same trend. Two wound infections and no deep infections were recorded in the Sanders type III fracture group. Instead, in the Sanders type IV group, there were four wound infections and one deep infection. Conclusions: Clinical and radiological outcomes in Sanders Type III and Type IV calcaneus fractures treated with plate and screws were very similar in long-term follow-up. If ORIF provided better short- to medium-term follow-up in Sanders type III fracture, these benefits have been lost in six years. Polytrauma and psychiatric patients showed significantly lower clinical outcomes in long-term follow-up, appearing as the most reliable negative predictors.

Pericarditis in children: A 10-year descriptive study and evaluation of prognostic factors

Pericarditis is rare in pediatric patients and remains a diagnostic challenge. Moreover, there is no standardized management protocol. This descriptive study was conducted to improve knowledge and management of pericarditis in children. We realized a retrospective observational study including all patients aged 0 to 18 years with a diagnosis of pericarditis at the Clermont-Ferrand University Hospital from January 2010 to December 2020. Results expressed as numbers and percentages, median [1st quartile; 3rd quartile] or mean ± standard deviation. Univariate and multivariate analyses of poor prognostic factors for pericarditis were performed. Fifty-one patients were included. There was a male predominance with 66.7% of boys and the median age at diagnosis was 13.9 years [9.49; 15.9]. Pericarditis appeared preferentially in autumn-winter (with a spring peak). The most frequent symptoms were chest pain increased on inspiration (84.6%), with a positional character (77.7%), and a retrosternal location (63%), tachycardia (44%), fever (43.1%) and respiratory signs (37.2%). On admission, 65.3% of cases had ECG signs and 87.7% had a biological inflammatory syndrome. Echocardiogram and chest radiographs were contributory in 86.3% and 29.3% of cases, respectively. The most common cause of pericarditis was viral (39.2%) and post-surgical (21.6%). Pericarditis was complicated by tamponade in 11.7% of cases and recurrence in 21.6%. Subsequent painful attacks without recurrence of pericarditis occurred in 41% of cases. Predictive factors for poor outcome identified in multivariate analysis were the presence of an allergic history and pericardial thickening on echocardiogram admission. Pericarditis is rare condition in pediatrics that is sometimes difficult to diagnose. Despite the available therapies, there are complications such as tamponade and chronic disease. We need a better knowledge of physiopathological mechanisms and recent multicenter pediatric studies in order to develop recommendations adapted to each type of pericarditis.

Cardiac Complications of COVID-19 in Low-Risk Patients.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has resulted in over 6 million deaths and significant morbidity across the globe. Alongside common respiratory symptoms, COVID-19 is associated with a variety of cardiovascular complications in the acute and post-acute phases of infection. The suggested pathophysiological mechanisms that underlie these complications include direct viral infection of the myocardium via the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) protein and a cytokine release syndrome that results in indirect inflammatory damage to the heart. Patients with pre-existing cardiovascular disease and co-morbidities are generally more susceptible to the cardiac manifestations of COVID-19. However, studies have identified a variety of complications in low-risk individuals, including young adults and children. Myocarditis and paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome temporally associated with COVID-19 (PIMS) are among the adverse events reported in the acute phase of infection. Furthermore, patients have reported cardiac symptoms persisting beyond the acute phase in post-COVID syndrome. This review summarises the acute and chronic cardiac consequences of COVID-19 in low-risk patients, explores the pathophysiology behind them, and discusses new predictive factors for poor outcomes.

WITHDRAWN: Do skeletal muscle index and myosteatosis impact postoperative outcomes after liver transplantation?

• Skeletal muscle loss and myosteatosis is a frequent complication in patients with chronic or end-stage liver disease • The etiology of malnutrition in patients with chronic or end-stage liver disease is multifactorial. • Computed tomography (CT) with automated or semiautomated body composition analysis at the third lumbar vertebra has emerged as an objective method of defining the nutritional status of patients with chronic liver disease. • Nutritional status of a liver recipient is important, however due to complexity of liver transplant treatment not crucial. • Standardization and uniformity in definitions, methods, and cut-off points are crucial to producing reliable data in the future . Liver transplantation offers curative treatment to patients with acute liver failure and chronic end-stage liver disease. The impact of nutritional status on postoperative outcomes after liver transplantation remains poorly understood. The present study investigated the predictive value of skeletal muscle index (SMI) and myosteatosis (MI) on postoperative outcomes after liver transplantation. : Data of 138 adult patient patients who underwent their first orthotopic liver transplantation were retrospectively analysed. SMI and MI in CT scan at the third lumbar vertebra level were calculated, and groups with and without low muscle mass and myosteatosis were compared for the length of ICU and hospitalization, postoperative complications, infection, and graft rejection. : In 63% of male and 28.9% of female recipients, low SMI was found. High MI was found in 45(32.6%) patients. Male patients with high SMI had longer ICU stay ( P <0.025). Low SMI had no influence on ICU stay in female patients ( P =0.544) and length of hospitalisation (male, P >0.05; female, P =0,843). The presence of MI did not influence ICU stay ( P =0.161) or hospitalization ( P =0.771). Combining SMI and MI as predictive factors of poor outcome after liver transplantation had no influence on postoperative complication rates (males, P =0,883; females, P =0.113; both groups, P =0.839) and infection rate (males, P =0.293, females, P =0.285, both groups, P = 0.703). Graft rejection was not influenced by low SMI (males, P =0.875; females, P =0.135) and MI ( P =0.449). : In our study, changes in body composition of liver transplant recipients observed with SMI and MI had no impact on postoperative course after liver transplantation in patients with end-stage liver disease. Standardization and uniformly accepted definitions, methods, and cut-off points are crucial to producing reliable data in the future.

Disability and Mortality in Convulsive Status Epilepticus in Children at 3 Months' Follow-Up: A Prospective Study from India.

Background Convulsive status epilepticus (CSE) is a common neurological emergency with high mortality, morbidity, and poor quality of life. There is a paucity of follow-up studies from developing nations in pediatric age group. Objectives This article looks for clinico-etiological profile of CSE and estimates the immediate and short-term mortality in children with CSE and its predictive factors. Methodology This prospective longitudinal study was done at a tertiary care institute of Northern India. The patients between the ages of 1 and 16 years with CSE were enrolled after informed consent, they were observed in the hospital, and survived patients were followed till 3 months after discharge. Results A total of 200 patients (58% males) were enrolled. Acute symptomatic (63.5%) was the most common etiology. Twenty-five (12.5%) patients died during hospital stay; at discharge, 160 (80%) had good recovery and rest had a varying range of disability. The predictive factors for poor outcome were female gender, duration of CSE > 1 hour at presentation, generalized seizures, Glasgow Coma Scale < 8 at presentation, refractory status epilepticus, need for critical care support, and acute symptomatic etiology. On follow-up, two patients died at 1-month and one at 3-month follow-up, the cause of death was probably seizures in two patients and feed aspiration in one patient. Seven patients deteriorated from good recovery scoring to moderate disability during the time interval between first and second follow-up, none of them reported apparent repeat seizures. Conclusion Pediatric CSE is associated with immediate poor outcome; risk of death and new disabilities persist after discharge thus proper follow-up is essential.

Lupus Nephritis in Tunisian Children: Predictive Factors of Poor Outcomes.

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a multisystem autoimmune disorder of unknown etiology. Lupus nephritis (LN) is one of the most severe clinical manifestations observed in patients with SLE; it is more frequent and more severe in children than in adults. The aim of our study was to assess the predictive factors of poor outcomes in Tunisian children with LN. This was a multicenter retrospective observational study on 40 pediatric patients with biopsy-proven LN from five nephrology departments in Tunisia. The patients were 12.33 ± 3.3 years of age at the time of their kidney biopsy. Eleven patients developed end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (27.5%), and seven patients died. Overall, 18 (45%) patients reached our composite endpoint (ESRD or death). An age at diagnosis of more than 14 years, elevated serum creatinine at the time of the kidney biopsy, the existence of wire loops, thromboembolic complications as well as infectious complications are the most important clinical features associated with an increased risk of ESRD. Predictive factors of death were a baseline creatinine level of more than 2.26 mg/dL, a high proteinuria at baseline, fibrous crescents determined by renal biopsy, thromboembolic complications, infectious compli-cations, and ESRD. In summary, our results suggest that early and appropriate management is the best guarantee of a good renal outcome in children with LN.

Hematological features and risk factors of hospitalized COVID-19 patients: A retrospective analysis

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) became pandemic in 2020 and recently, mutated coronaviruses have emerged in many countries. The aim of this study was to identify the clinical characteristics and risk factors for critical illness in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Zhengzhou for clinical prevention and management. Materials and methods: A total of 70 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were enrolled between 21 January and 29 February 2020, in Zhengzhou, China. Clinical characteristics, hematological findings, neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and inflammatory index on admission were obtained from medical records, COVID-19 patients with different outcomes were compared. Results: The median age was 55 years. Forty-three (61.0%) patients were classified as having severe or critical cases. Eighteen (25.7%) patients died in hospital and the remaining 52 were discharged. Patients who died tend to be old with expectoration and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Compared to survivor, non-survivor had significantly higher numbers of leucocytes and neutrophils, NLR, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), prothrombin time, D-dimer, C-reactive protein, and decreased platelets, lymphocytes, uric acid, and albumin (ALB). Logistic regression analysis identified leucocytes, platelets, PLR, NLR, AST, and ALB as independent predictive factors for poor outcomes. The area under curve of the combination of leucocytes, PLR, NLR, and AST was 0.87, with a sensitivity of 0.83 and specificity of 0.81. Conclusion: Our results identified risk factors among COVID-19 patients for in-hospital mortality. Leucocytes, PLR, NLR, and AST could have important reference value for predicting prognosis, especially in low-resource countries.

English

Meningitis is a public health concern. It is caused by several etiologic agents that vary by age group and geographical area. This study aims to highlight the etiological and predictive factors of acute meningitis in hospitalized febrile patients in Mansoura Fever Hospital, Egypt. This study includes cases admitted with suspected meningitis. The study is conducted in the period between April 2019 and March 2020. Lumbar puncture, CSF examination and blood culture and sensitivity were done. Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) was performed before lumbar puncture in some patients. Detailed analysis of epidemiologic characteristics, clinical data, laboratory findings, the causative organisms and predictors of patients with Bacterial Meningitis (BM) were studied. This study included 110 patients had BM with CSF leukocytosis &gt; 100 cells/mm3. Out of 110 CSF samples, 95 cases (86.4%) pathogens were detected by direct Gram-stained smear. Gram positive cocci were the commonest microorganism isolated. 66.4% of patients had blood culture growth of the same organism as the CSF culture. Reagent strip CSF examinations showed a positive correlation compared with laboratory tests. BM had 22.7% mortality rate. Predictive factors of poor outcomes include CSF/serum glucose ratio &gt;0.6, CSF protein &gt;80 mg/dl and Tonsillitis. Prognostic factors that are associated with poor outcome include old age, late presentation, delayed antibiotics treatment, neurologic complications and Glasgo Coma Scale (GCS). BM remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality,so early diagnosis and treatment decrease both. Predictors of poor outcome of BM are CSF/serum glucose ratio &gt;0.6, CSF protein &gt;80 mg/dl and Tonsillitis. &nbsp; Key words: Bacterial meningitis, lumbar puncture, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analysis.