Yield Prediction Research Articles

New Strategies for constructing and analyzing semiconductor photosynthetic biohybrid systems based on ensemble Machine learning Models: Visualizing complex mechanisms and yield prediction

Photosynthetic biohybrid systems (PBSs) composed of semiconductor-microbial hybrids provide a novel approach for converting light into chemical energy. However, comprehending the intricate interactions between materials and microbes that lead to PBSs with high apparent quantum yields (AQY) is challenging. Machine learning holds promise in predicting these interactions. To address this issue, this study employs ensemble learning (ESL) based on Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting to predict AQY of PBSs utilizing a dataset comprising 15 influential factors. The ESL model demonstrates exceptional accuracy and interpretability (R2 value of 0.927), offering insights into the impact of these factors on AQY while facilitating the selection of efficient semiconductors. Furthermore, this research propose that efficient charge carrier separation and transfer at the bio-abiotic interface are crucial for achieving high AQY levels. This research provides guidance for selecting semiconductors suitable for productive PBSs while elucidating mechanisms underlying their enhanced efficiency.

Statistical and machine learning models for location-specific crop yield prediction using weather indices.

Crop yield prediction gains growing importance for all stakeholders in agriculture. Since the growth and development of crops are fully connected with many weather factors, it is inevitable to incorporate meteorological information into yield prediction mechanism. The changes in climate-yield relationship are more pronounced at a local level than across relatively large regions. Hence, district or sub-region-level modeling may be an appropriate approach. To obtain a location- and crop-specific model, different models with different functional forms have to be explored. This systematic review aims to discuss research papers related to statistical and machine-learning models commonly used to predict crop yield using weather factors. It was found that Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multiple Linear Regression were the most applied models. Support Vector Regression (SVR) model has a high success ratio as it performed well in most of the cases. The optimization options in ANN and SVR models allow us to tune models to specific patterns of association between weather conditions of a location and crop yield. ANN model can be trained using different activation functions with optimized learning rate and number of hidden layer neurons. Similarly, the SVR model can be trained with different kernel functions and various combinations of hyperparameters. Penalized regression models namely, LASSO and Elastic Net are better alternatives to simple linear regression. The nonlinear machine learning models namely, SVR and ANN were found to perform better in most of the cases which indicates there exists a nonlinear complex association between crop yield and weather factors.

Enhanced Rubber Yield Prediction in High-Density Plantation Areas Using a GIS and Machine Learning-Based Forest Classification and Regression Model

Rubber is a perennial plant grown for natural rubber production, which is used in various global products. Ensuring the sustainability of rubber cultivation is crucial for smallholder farmers and economic development. Accurately predicting rubber yields is necessary to maintain price stability. Remote sensing technology is a valuable tool for collecting spatial data on a large scale. However, for smaller plots of land owned by smallholder farmers, it is necessary to process productivity estimates from high-resolution satellite data that are accurate and reliable. This study examines the impact of spatial factors on rubber yield and evaluates the technical suitability of using grouping analysis with the forest classification and regression (FCR) method. We developed a high-density variable using spatial data from rubber plots in close proximity to each other. Our approach incorporates eight environmental variables (proximity to streamlines, proximity to main river, soil drainage, slope, aspect, NDWI, NDVI, and precipitation) using an FCR model and GIS. We obtained a dataset of 1951 rubber yield locations, which we split into a training set (60%) for model development and a validation set (40%) for assessment using area under the curve (AUC) analysis. The results of the alternative FCR models indicate that Model 1 performs the best. It achieved the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) value of 19.15 kg/ha, the highest R-squared (R2) value (FCR) of 0.787, and also the highest R2 (OLS) value of 0.642. The AUC scores for Model 1, Model 2, and Model 3 were 0.792, 0.764, and 0.732, respectively. Overall, Model 4 exhibited the highest performance according to the AUC scores, while Model 3 performed the poorest with the lowest AUC score. Based on these findings, it can be concluded that Model 1 is the most effective in predicting FCR compared to the other alternative models.

Improved Winter Wheat Yield Estimation by Combining Remote Sensing Data, Machine Learning, and Phenological Metrics

Accurate yield prediction is essential for global food security and effective agricultural management. Traditional empirical statistical models and crop models face significant limitations, including high computational demands and dependency on high-resolution soil and daily weather data, that restrict their scalability across different temporal and spatial scales. Moreover, the lack of sufficient observational data further hinders the broad application of these methods. In this study, building on the SCYM method, we propose an integrated framework that combines crop models and machine learning techniques to optimize crop yield modeling methods and the selection of vegetation indices. We evaluated three commonly used vegetation indices and three widely applied ML techniques. Additionally, we assessed the impact of combining meteorological and phenological variables on yield estimation accuracy. The results indicated that the green chlorophyll vegetation index (GCVI) outperformed the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) in linear models, achieving an R2 of 0.31 and an RMSE of 396 kg/ha. Non-linear ML methods, particularly LightGBM, demonstrated superior performance, with an R2 of 0.42 and RMSE of 365 kg/ha for GCVI. The combination of GCVI with meteorological and phenological data provided the best results, with an R2 of 0.60 and an RMSE of 295 kg/ha. Our proposed framework significantly enhances the accuracy and efficiency of winter wheat yield estimation, supporting more effective agricultural management and policymaking.

Yield estimation from SAR data using patch-based deep learning and machine learning techniques

This study demonstrates how the availability of frequent Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) observations has transformed crop yield prediction, a critical component of food security and agricultural practices. SAR observations along with the climatic variables are integrated into an advanced deep learning technique for predicting crop yield. Capitalizing on the unique advantages of high-resolution SAR images, including consistent acquisition schedule, and not being affected by cloud cover and variations between day and night, this research explores new potential in agriculture. Deep learning due to its ability to discern both spatial and temporal relationships within SAR data, captures the salient features from SAR observations to predict the yield of Michigan’s non-irrigated Corn, Soybean, and Winter Wheat.We employed advanced deep learning and established machine learning techniques including patch-based 3D Convolutional Neural Networks (3D-CNNs), Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and XGBoost to significantly improve the accuracy of yield estimation.Spanning eight years from 2016 to 2023, our analysis underscores the exceptional potential of VH channel of Sentinel-1 SAR data for near accurate yield prediction. Among the methods tested, XGBoost consistently surpassed others in crop yield estimating accuracy, particularly in scenarios with limited reference data. Patch-based 3D-CNNs also demonstrated a remarkable ability to approximate XGBoost’s performance, albeit with a streamlined set of input features. Our study further illuminates the delicate balance required in selecting SAR data resolution, demonstrating the need for careful compromise between reducing noise and preserving crucial data intricacies. Notably, our predictive models showcased formidable precision, predicting yields with a mere 7.5% margin of error a full month prior to harvest. These compelling findings signal the need for continued innovation and integration of deep learning technologies, calling for the enrichment of yield datasets to realize more comprehensive and pinpoint-accurate yield predictions.

Feasibility of machine learning-based rice yield prediction in India at the district level using climate reanalysis and remote sensing data

CONTEXTYield forecasting, the science of predicting agricultural productivity before the crop harvest occurs, helps a wide range of stakeholders make better decisions around agricultural planning. OBJECTIVEThis study aims to investigate whether machine learning-based yield prediction models can capably predict Kharif season rice yields at the district level in India several months before the rice harvest takes place. METHODOLOGYThe methodology involved training 19 machine learning models such as CatBoost, LightGBM, Orthogonal Matching Pursuit, and Extremely Randomized Trees on 20 years of climate, satellite, and rice yield data across 247 of India's rice-producing districts. In addition to model-building, a dynamic dashboard was built understand how the reliability of rice yield predictions varies across district. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONSThe results of the proof-of-concept machine learning pipeline demonstrated that rice yields can be predicted with a reasonable degree of accuracy, with out-of-sample R2, MAE, and MAPE performance of up to 0.82, 0.29, and 0.16 respectively. This performance outperformed test set performance reported in related literature on rice yield modelling in other contexts and countries. In addition, SHAP value analysis was conducted to infer both the importance and directional impact of the climate and remote sensing variables included in the model. Important features driving rice yields included temperature, soil water volume, and leaf area index. In particular, higher temperatures in August correlate with increased rice yields, particularly when the leaf area index in August is also high. Building on the results, a proof-of-concept dashboard was developed to allow users to easily explore which districts may experience a rise or fall in yield relative to the previous year. The dashboard show that the model may perform better in some regions than in others. For instance, the absolute percentage error for predicted versus actual yields ranged from an average of 7.1 % in districts in Uttarakhand to an average of 14.7 % in Uttar Pradesh. SIGNIFICANCEThis study underscores the potential for policymakers to consider scaling and operationalizing machine learning approaches to rice yield prediction in the context of agricultural early warning systems to deliver timely crop yield forecasts on a rolling basis throughout the season, thereby equipping agricultural decision-makers with the ability to make informed choices on irrigation scheduling, fertilizer application, and harvest planning to optimize crop output and resource use.

Random forest machine learning for maize yield and agronomic efficiency prediction in Ghana

Maize (Zea mays) is an important staple crop for food security in Sub-Saharan Africa. However, there is need to increase production to feed a growing population. In Ghana, this is mainly done by increasing acreage with adverse environmental consequences, rather than yield increment per unit area. Accurate prediction of maize yields and nutrient use efficiency in production is critical to making informed decisions toward economic and ecological sustainability. We trained the random forest machine learning algorithm to predict maize yield and agronomic efficiency in Ghana using soil, climate, environment, and management factors, including fertilizer application. We calibrated and evaluated the performance of the random forest machine learning algorithm using a 5 × 10-fold nested cross-validation approach. Data from 482 maize field trials consisting of 3136 georeferenced treatment plots conducted in Ghana from 1991 to 2020 were used to train the algorithm, identify important predictor variables, and quantify the uncertainties associated with the random forest predictions. The mean error, root mean squared error, model efficiency coefficient and 90 % prediction interval coverage probability were calculated. The results obtained on test data demonstrate good prediction performance for yield (MEC = 0.81) and moderate performance for agronomic efficiency (MEC = 0.63, 0.55 and 0.54 for AE-N, AE-P and AE-K, respectively). We found that climatic variables were less important predictors than soil variables for yield prediction, but temperature was of key importance to yield prediction and rainfall to agronomic efficiency. The developed random forest models provided a better understanding of the drivers of maize yield and agronomic efficiency in a tropical climate and an insight towards improving fertilizer recommendations for sustainable maize production and food security in Sub-Saharan Africa.

A novel soybean mapping index within the global optimal time window

Efficient soybean mapping is critical for agricultural production and yield prediction. However, current sample-driven soybean mapping methods heavily rely on large representative sample datasets, limiting the interpretability of physical mechanisms. Besides, sample-free methods failed to exploit key features that differentiate soybean from other crops, especially Chlorophyll content. Misclassification errors persist and spatiotemporal generalization remains limited. Therefore, this study develops a novel Soybean Mapping Composite Index (SMCI) within a precise Global Optimal Time Window (GOTW). It integrates unique features of soybean Chlorophyll content, canopy water content, and canopy greenness by coupling three red-edge bands (RE2, RE3, and RE4), one near-infrared band, one shortwave infrared band, and two feature indices (Enhanced Vegetation Index and Green Chlorophyll Vegetation Index). The novel index was applied to soybean mapping at six sites in four major soybean producing countries (China, Argentina, Brazil, and the United States) from 2019 to 2021, using an optimal threshold of 3.25. Within the GOTW, the index responds better to spectral features and improves soybean separability. The average overall accuracy (OA: 91%) and average Kappa coefficient (Kappa: 0.83) for the novel index at all sites outperformed the traditional sample-driven Random Forest (RF) method (OA: 84%, Kappa: 0.70) and the existing sample-free index-based Greenness and Water Content Composite Index (GWCCI) (OA: 81%, Kappa: 0.64). Furthermore, interannual transfer experiments consistently showed high accuracy, demonstrating robust spatiotemporal transferability. The proposed SMCI index meets the need for a lightweight and stable soybean mapping tool and serves as a valuable reference for efficient global crop mapping.

Using unmanned aerial vehicle acquired RGB images and Density-Cluster-Count model for tree-level apple flower quantification

Accurate estimation of apple flower quantity is vital for flower thinning strategies, yield prediction, and other aspects related to orchard management. Compared to flower quantity estimation based on partial regions, achieving tree-level flower quantification is more meaningful. To achieve tree-level apple flower cluster counting, an aerial apple tree image-based approach was developed based on density estimation and density peak. Initially, images of apple trees captured by UAV were input into the apple flower density estimation model, which was based on a multi-scale feature fusion network, to obtain a density map of apple flowers. Utilizing the growth patterns and distribution characteristics of apple flowers and clusters, apple flower cluster counting was accomplished through the identification of local density peaks. Following testing, the proposed method achieved a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 5.39 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 8.10 in apple flower cluster counting. The MAE was decreased by 3.83, 16.22, and 11.13 compared to apple flower cluster counting methods based on YOLOv5s, U-Net, and MCNN, respectively. Additionally, the RMSE was 4.44, 22.13, and 15.79 lower compared to the three aforementioned methods. This research facilitated a relatively accurate counting of apple flower clusters at the tree-level in orchards, offering valuable information for tasks including flowering monitoring, load estimation, and yield forecasting.

Remote Sensing Data Assimilation in Crop Growth Modeling from an Agricultural Perspective: New Insights on Challenges and Prospects

The frequent occurrence of global climate change and natural disasters highlights the importance of precision agricultural monitoring, yield forecasting, and early warning systems. The data assimilation method provides a new possibility to solve the problems of low accuracy of yield prediction, strong dependence on the field, and poor adaptability of the model in traditional agricultural applications. Therefore, this study makes a systematic literature retrieval based on Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar, and PubMed databases, introduces in detail the assimilation strategies based on many new remote sensing data sources, such as satellite constellation, UAV, ground observation stations, and mobile platforms, and compares and analyzes the progress of assimilation models such as compulsion method, model parameter method, state update method, and Bayesian paradigm method. The results show that: (1) the new remote sensing platform data assimilation shows significant advantages in precision agriculture, especially in emerging satellite constellation remote sensing and UAV data assimilation. (2) SWAP model is the most widely used in simulating crop growth, while Aquacrop, WOFOST, and APSIM models have great potential for application. (3) Sequential assimilation strategy is the most widely used algorithm in the field of agricultural data assimilation, especially the ensemble Kalman filter algorithm, and hierarchical Bayesian assimilation strategy is considered to be a promising method. (4) Leaf area index (LAI) is considered to be the most preferred assimilation variable, and the study of soil moisture (SM) and vegetation index (VIs) has also been strengthened. In addition, the quality, resolution, and applicability of assimilation data sources are the key bottlenecks that affect the application of data assimilation in the development of precision agriculture. In the future, the development of data assimilation models tends to be more refined, diversified, and integrated. To sum up, this study can provide a comprehensive reference for agricultural monitoring, yield prediction, and crop early warning by using the data assimilation model.

Research of real-time corn yield monitoring system with DNN-based prediction model.

The real-time monitoring of corn yield by a combine harvester is a critical data source for constructing the yield histogram, which significantly benefits precision management and decision-making in modern precision agriculture. While widely used, the current photoelectric sensor-based yield monitoring method has limitations. It detects the corn height on each scraper and calculates the yield through a geometric formula. However, it neglects the noticeable difference in the corn stacking patterns affected by factors such as feeding volume, terrain, and driving speed. This oversight often results in low accuracy and poor stability in the prediction of corn yield, highlighting the need for a more advanced approach. To resolve this, we employ EDEM discrete element simulation to demonstrate the large difference of corn stacking patterns on the scraper of the elevator corresponding to feeding volume. Then, we develop a real-time monitoring system on our self-developed double elevator testing rig for carrying out a composite dataset for training three machine learning algorithm-based models, namely Deep Neural Networks (DNN), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Random Forest (RF). Importantly, these models have undergone rigorous validation under various feeding volumes, ensuring their robustness and reliability. The auxiliary elevator speed is meticulously set at 150r/min, 225r/min, and 450r/min, providing a comprehensive performance assessment. The results denote that the DNN model performs best and is stable, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.998, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.526, and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.425. The paper also performs field experiments to test the proposed three prediction models and the system. The results also denote the DNN-based prediction model's best performance for the lowest relative error of 2.29% and the highest average accuracy of 97.85%. Consequently, the proposed real-time corn yield monitoring system achieves high accuracy and reliability for the combine harvester applications.

Using the MSFNet Model to Explore the Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Crop Planting Area and Increase Its Contribution to the Application of UAV Remote Sensing

Remote sensing technology can be used to monitor changes in crop planting areas to guide agricultural production management and help achieve regional carbon neutrality. Agricultural UAV remote sensing technology is efficient, accurate, and flexible, which can quickly collect and transmit high-resolution data in real time to help precision agriculture management. It is widely used in crop monitoring, yield prediction, and irrigation management. However, the application of remote sensing technology faces challenges such as a high imbalance of land cover types, scarcity of labeled samples, and complex and changeable coverage types of long-term remote sensing images, which have brought great limitations to the monitoring of cultivated land cover changes. In order to solve the abovementioned problems, this paper proposed a multi-scale fusion network (MSFNet) model based on multi-scale input and feature fusion based on cultivated land time series images, and further combined MSFNet and Model Diagnostic Meta Learning (MAML) methods, using particle swarm optimization (PSO) to optimize the parameters of the neural network. The proposed method is applied to remote sensing of crops and tomatoes. The experimental results showed that the average accuracy, F1-score, and average IoU of the MSFNet model optimized by PSO + MAML (PSML) were 94.902%, 91.901%, and 90.557%, respectively. Compared with other schemes such as U-Net, PSPNet, and DeepLabv3+, this method has a better effect in solving the problem of complex ground objects and the scarcity of remote sensing image samples and provides technical support for the application of subsequent agricultural UAV remote sensing technology. The study found that the change in different crop planting areas was closely related to different climatic conditions and regional policies, which helps to guide the management of cultivated land use and provides technical support for the realization of regional carbon neutrality.

Yield prediction for crops by gradient-based algorithms.

A timely and consistent assessment of crop yield will assist the farmers in improving their income, minimizing losses, and deriving strategic plans in agricultural commodities to adopt import-export policies. Crop yield predictions are one of the various challenges faced in the agriculture sector and play a significant role in planning and decision-making. Machine learning algorithms provided enough belief and proved their ability to predict crop yield. The selection of the most suitable crop is influenced by various environmental factors such as temperature, soil fertility, water availability, quality, and seasonal variations, as well as economic considerations such as stock availability, preservation capabilities, market demand, purchasing power, and crop prices. The paper outlines a framework used to evaluate the performance of various machine-learning algorithms for forecasting crop yields. The models were based on a range of prime parameters including pesticides, rainfall and average temperature. The Results of three machine learning algorithms, Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LightGBM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) are compared and found more accurate than other algorithms in predicting crop yields. The RMSE and R2 values were calculated to compare the predicted and observed rice yields, resulting in the following values: CatBoost with 800 (0.24), LightGBM with 737 (0.33), and XGBoost with 744 (0.31). Among these three machine learning algorithms, CatBoost demonstrated the highest precision in predicting yields, achieving an accuracy rate of 99.123%.

Local Field-Scale Winter Wheat Yield Prediction Using VENµS Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning Techniques

Reliable and accurate crop yield prediction at the field scale is critical for meeting the global demand for reliable food sources. In this study, we tested the viability of VENμS satellite data as an alternative to other popular and publicly available multispectral satellite data to predict winter wheat yield and produce a yield prediction map for a field located in southwestern Ontario, Canada, in 2020. Random forest (RF) and support vector regression (SVR) were the two machine learning techniques employed. Our results indicate that machine learning models paired with vegetation indices (VIs) derived from VENμS imagery can accurately predict winter wheat yield 1~2 months prior to harvest, with the most accurate predictions achieved during the early fruit development stage. While both machine learning approaches were viable, SVR produced the most accurate prediction with an R2 of 0.86 and an RMSE of 0.3925 t/ha using data collected from tillering to the early fruit development stage. NDRE-1, NDRE-2, and REP from various growth stages were ranked among the top seven variables in terms of importance for the prediction. These findings provide valuable insights into using high-resolution satellites as tools for non-destructive yield potential analysis.

Enhanced Coconut Yield Prediction Using Internet of Things and Deep Learning: A Bi-Directional Long Short-Term Memory Lévy Flight and Seagull Optimization Algorithm Approach

In coastal areas, coconuts are a common crop. Everyone from farmers to lawmakers and businesses would benefit from an accurate forecast of coconut production. Internet of Things (IoT) sensors are strategically positioned to continuously monitor the environment and gather production statistics to obtain accurate agricultural output predictions. To effectively estimate coconut prediction, this study presents an enhanced deep learning classifier called Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (BILSTM) with the integrated Lévy Flight and Seagull Optimization Algorithm (LFSOA). LASSO feature selection is applied to eliminate the superfluous characteristics in the yield estimation. To further enhance the coconut yield estimate, the optimal set of hyperparameters for BILSTM is tuned by the LFSOA, which helps to avoid the overfitting issue. For the results, the BILSTM is compared against different classifiers such as Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Random Forest Classifier (RFC), and LSTM. Similarly, LFSOA-based hyperparameter tuning is contrasted with different optimization algorithms. The outputs show that LFSOA-based hyperparameter tuning in BILSTM achieved accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score of 98.963%, 99.026%, 99.155%, and 95.758%, respectively, which are higher when compared to existing methods. Similarly, the BILSTM-LFSOA accomplished better results in statistical measures, including the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.105, Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.011, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.094, and coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.954, respectively. From the overall analysis, the proposed BILSTM-LFSOA improves coconut yield prediction by achieving better results in all the performance measures when compared with existing models. The results of this study are important to many stakeholders, including but not limited to policymakers, farmers, banks, and insurance companies. As coconuts are an important crop in developing countries, accurate coconut yield forecasting will lead to greater financial and food security in these regions.

A Hybrid Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique and Deep Neural Network Framework for Improving Rice Yield Estimation in an Open Environment

Quick and accurate prediction of crop yields is beneficial for guiding crop field management and genetic breeding. This paper utilizes the fast and non-destructive advantages of an unmanned aerial vehicle equipped with a multispectral camera to acquire spatial characteristics of rice and conducts research on yield estimation in an open environment. The study proposes a yield estimation framework that hybrids synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) and deep neural network (DNN). Firstly, the framework used the Pearson correlation coefficient to select 10 key vegetation indices and determine the optimal feature combination. Secondly, it created a dataset for data augmentation through SMOTE, addressing the challenge of long data collection cycles and small sample sizes caused by long growth cycles. Then, based on this dataset, a yield estimation model was trained using DNN and compared with partial least squares regression (PLSR), support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF). The experimental results indicate that the hybrid framework proposed in this study performs the best (R2 = 0.810, RMSE = 0.69 t/ha), significantly improving the accuracy of yield estimation compared to other methods, with an R2 improvement of at least 0.191. It demonstrates that the framework proposed in this study can be used for rice yield estimation. Additionally, it provides a new approach for future yield estimation with small sample sizes for other crops or for predicting numerical crop indicators.

From data to harvest: Leveraging ensemble machine learning for enhanced crop yield predictions across Canada amidst climate change

Accurate crop yield predictions are crucial for farmers and policymakers. Despite the widespread use of ensemble machine learning (ML) models in computer science, their application in crop yield prediction remains relatively underexplored. This study, conducted in Canada, aims to assess the potential of five distinct ensemble ML models—Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, LightGBM, and Random Forest (RF)—in predicting crop yields chosen for their ability to manage complex datasets and their strong performance potential. The study integrated various factors, including climate variables, satellite-derived vegetation indices, soil characteristics, and honeybee census data. Data preparation comprised two main steps: first, climate variables were interpolated and averaged for croplands in ArcGIS Pro, along with averaging vegetation indices and soil characteristics. Honeybee census data was also incorporated. Second, the data was organized in Python to create a structured format for models' input. The models' accuracy was assessed using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), R-squared, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). XGBoost emerged as the most accurate model, with the lowest MAE (68.70 for canola and 39.47 for soybeans), lowest RMSE (119.48 for canola and 102.39 for soybeans), and highest R-squared values (0.95 for canola and 0.96 for soybeans) on the test dataset. The study also assessed crop yields under various climate change scenarios, finding minimal variations across the scenarios, but significant negative impacts on canola and soybean yields across Canada. Honeybee colonies were identified as the most influential factor on crop yields, contributing 52.34 % to canola and 57.18 % to soybean yields. This research provides detailed crop yield maps of canola and soybeans at the Census Consolidated Subdivisions (CCS) level across Canada's agricultural landscape, offering valuable forecasts for localized decision-making. Additionally, it offers a proactive strategy for climate change preparedness, assisting farmers and stakeholders optimise resource allocation and manage risks effectively.

Critical insights into ensemble learning with decision trees for the prediction of biochar yield and higher heating value from pyrolysis of biomass

Pyrolysis is an efficient thermochemical conversion process, but accurate prediction of yield and properties of biochar presents a significant challenge. Three prominent ensemble learning methods, viz. Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) were utilized to develop models to predict yield and higher heating value (HHV) of biochar. Dataset comprising 423 observations from 44 different biomasses was curated from peer-reviewed journals for predicting biochar yield. RF regressor achieved a test R2 of 0.86 for biochar yield, while XGB regressor achieved a test R2 of 0.87 for biochar HHV prediction. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was conducted to assess influence of each feature on the model’s output. Pyrolysis temperature and ash content of biomass were identified as the most influential features for the prediction of both yield and HHV of biochar. The partial dependence plots (PDPs) revealed nonlinear relationships, interpreting how the model formulates its predictions.

A Comprehensive Review of LiDAR Applications in Crop Management for Precision Agriculture.

Precision agriculture has revolutionized crop management and agricultural production, with LiDAR technology attracting significant interest among various technological advancements. This extensive review examines the various applications of LiDAR in precision agriculture, with a particular emphasis on its function in crop cultivation and harvests. The introduction provides an overview of precision agriculture, highlighting the need for effective agricultural management and the growing significance of LiDAR technology. The prospective advantages of LiDAR for increasing productivity, optimizing resource utilization, managing crop diseases and pesticides, and reducing environmental impact are discussed. The introduction comprehensively covers LiDAR technology in precision agriculture, detailing airborne, terrestrial, and mobile systems along with their specialized applications in the field. After that, the paper reviews the several uses of LiDAR in agricultural cultivation, including crop growth and yield estimate, disease detection, weed control, and plant health evaluation. The use of LiDAR for soil analysis and management, including soil mapping and categorization and the measurement of moisture content and nutrient levels, is reviewed. Additionally, the article examines how LiDAR is used for harvesting crops, including its use in autonomous harvesting systems, post-harvest quality evaluation, and the prediction of crop maturity and yield. Future perspectives, emergent trends, and innovative developments in LiDAR technology for precision agriculture are discussed, along with the critical challenges and research gaps that must be filled. The review concludes by emphasizing potential solutions and future directions for maximizing LiDAR's potential in precision agriculture. This in-depth review of the uses of LiDAR gives helpful insights for academics, practitioners, and stakeholders interested in using this technology for effective and environmentally friendly crop management, which will eventually contribute to the development of precision agricultural methods.

Prediction of spatial heterogeneity in nutrient-limited sub-tropical maize yield: Implications for precision management in the eastern Indo-Gangetic Plains

Knowledge of the factors influencing nutrient-limited subtropical maize yield and subsequent prediction is crucial for effective nutrient management, maximizing profitability, ensuring food security, and promoting environmental sustainability. We analyzed data from nutrient omission plot trials (NOPTs) conducted in 324 farmers' fields across ten agroecological zones (AEZs) in the Eastern Indo-Gangetic Plains (EIGP) of Bangladesh to explain maize yield variability and identify variables controlling nutrient-limited yields. An additive main effect and multiplicative interaction (AMMI) model was used to explain maize yield variability with nutrient addition. Interpretable machine learning (ML) algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) frameworks were subsequently used to predict attainable yield relative nutrient-limited yield (RY) and to rank variables that control RY. The stack-ensemble model was identified as the best-performing model for predicting RYs of N, P, and Zn. In contrast, deep learning outperformed all base learners for predicting RYK. The best model's square errors (RMSEs) were 0.122, 0.105, 0.123, and 0.104 for RYN, RYP, RYK, and RYZn, respectively. The permutation-based feature importance technique identified soil pH as the most critical variable controlling RYN and RYP. The RYK showed lower in the eastern longitudinal direction. Soil N and Zn were associated with RYZn. The predicted median RY of N, P, K, and Zn, representing average soil fertility, was 0.51, 0.84, 0.87, and 0.97, accounting for 44, 54, 54, and 48% upland dry season crop area of Bangladesh, respectively. Efforts are needed to update databases cataloging variability in land type inundation classes, soil characteristics, and INS and combine them with farmers' crop management information to develop more precise nutrient guidelines for maize in the EIGP.