Prediction Of Quality Index Research Articles

A novel hybrid BPNN model based on adaptive evolutionary Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm for water quality index prediction

With the accelerated industrialization and urbanization process, water pollution in rivers is being increasingly worsened, and has caused a series of ecological and environmental issues. The prediction of river water quality index (WQI) is a prerequisite for river pollution prevention and management. However, the water quality data series is non-smooth and non-linear, and a strong coupling relationship between different water quality parameters that influence each other is observed, making it an inevitable problem to accurately predict water quality parameters. To this end, a combination of machine learning and intelligent optimization algorithms was hereby used to break this dilemma. Specifically, a Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) model was established using the Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) algorithm, with the three adaptive evolutionary strategies, i.e., dynamic adaptive factors, probability selection and gradient initialization combined to form the Adaptive Evolutionary Artificial Bee Colony (AEABC) algorithm. The experimental results of this algorithm demonstrate that the AEABC-BPNN model only requires 14 iterations to converge in this case. The predictions of WQI can reduce the error evaluation indicators of mean square error (MSE) to 0.2745, which is at least 25.2% lower than those of the rest algorithms compared, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is lower than 7.58%. In four WQIs, the prediction interval coverage percentage (PICP) reaches 100%. Besides, robustness testing experiments were also designed to verify that the AEABC-BPNN model still outperforms the rest of the algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy when guided by historical error data. The proposed model plays a pivotal role in water pollution management in rivers and lakes, and has scientific significance for future water environmental protection.

Water quality prediction research based on SSA-LSTM model

In recent years, due to too much attention to economic development and ignoring the ecological environment, environmental pollution and resource shortage have become increasingly serious, and the protection of water resources is the most important part of ecological protection. Therefore, by establishing relevant prediction models, it is particularly important to predict the trend of various indicators of water bodies in the future based on the data that has been monitored. This paper studies water quality prediction models, aiming to infer the trend of water quality data by mining and analyzing the regularity information hidden behind water quality data. Firstly, a sparrow search algorithm is established to optimize the water quality prediction model of generalized Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM). Using the global optimization characteristics of the Sparrow Search Optimization Algorithm (SSA), the key parameters can be optimized, and the high-precision approximation ability of the LSTM is combined to establish a water quality prediction model. The experimental results show that the root mean square error of the water quality prediction model of the SSA to optimize the LSTM is 0.0039543 in the training of PH value, which not only has a more stable prediction curve compared with the classical water quality prediction model, but also shows better prediction accuracy in the overall prediction of PH water quality index.

Research on Enterprise Quality Index Prediction Based on SSA Optimization Neural Network

Research on Enterprise Quality Index Prediction Based on SSA Optimization Neural Network

A Stacked Ensemble Deep Learning Approach for Imbalanced Multi-Class Water Quality Index Prediction

A Stacked Ensemble Deep Learning Approach for Imbalanced Multi-Class Water Quality Index Prediction

A Machine Learning Approach for Air-Quality Forecast by Integrating GNSS Radio Occultation Observation and Weather Modeling

Air-quality monitoring and forecasting are crucial for atmosphere pollution control and management. We propose an innovative data-driven framework for air quality index (AQI) prediction by integrating GNSS radio occultation (GNSS-RO) observation and weather modeling. Empowered by the state-of-the-art machine learning approach, our method can effectively predict regional AQI with a comparable accuracy much more quickly than the traditional numerical modeling and simulation approach. In a real case study using a representative region of China, our data-driven approach achieves a 2000 times speedup; meanwhile, the prediction error measured by rRMSE is only 2.4%. We investigate further the effects of different models, hyperparameters, and meteorological factors on the performance of our AQI prediction framework, and reveal that wind field and atmospheric boundary-layer height are important influencing factors of AQI. This paper showcases a direct application of GNSS-RO observation in assisting in forecasting regional AQI. From a machine learning point of view, it provides a new way to leverage the unique merits of GNSS atmospheric remote sensing technology with the help of the more traditional weather forecasting modeling approach.

Fuzzy Neural Network for the Online Course Quality Assessment System

Under the influence of COVID-19, online office and online education has ushered in a golden period of development. The teaching quality of online education has been a controversial issue. Our study takes online course teaching quality assessment as the starting point, explores the influencing factors of online course quality assessment with online courses as the research object, and analyzes the latest research proposal for an online course quality index. To make the online course quality assessment more intelligent, we propose an online course quality assessment method based on a fuzzy neural network. The method uses fuzzy rules as the baseline and adds a TSK perception mechanism to expand the perception domain of the fuzzy neural network and improve the course quality index prediction accuracy. At the input side of the fuzzy neural network, we preclassify the online course data into four parts, and each part of the data represents a different assessment domain. Due to the large data cost, we expanded the collective amount of data using data augmentation methods. In addition, we parse the structure of the fuzzy neural network hierarchy and introduce the construction and role of the TSK perception mechanism in the fuzzy rules. An optimal learning strategy is proposed in the fuzzy neural network training. Finally, in the experimental session, we verify the effectiveness of data augmentation and explore the distribution of course quality assessment weights. In the comparison of the model prediction results with the actual assessment results, our method achieves an excellent matching rate, which proves the high efficiency of our method in the online course quality assessment system.

Improving Water Quality Index Prediction Using Regression Learning Models.

Rivers are the main sources of freshwater supply for the world population. However, many economic activities contribute to river water pollution. River water quality can be monitored using various parameters, such as the pH level, dissolved oxygen, total suspended solids, and the chemical properties. Analyzing the trend and pattern of these parameters enables the prediction of the water quality so that proactive measures can be made by relevant authorities to prevent water pollution and predict the effectiveness of water restoration measures. Machine learning regression algorithms can be applied for this purpose. Here, eight machine learning regression techniques, including decision tree regression, linear regression, ridge, Lasso, support vector regression, random forest regression, extra tree regression, and the artificial neural network, are applied for the purpose of water quality index prediction. Historical data from Indian rivers are adopted for this study. The data refer to six water parameters. Twelve other features are then derived from the original six parameters. The performances of the models using different algorithms and sets of features are compared. The derived water quality rating scale features are identified to contribute toward the development of better regression models, while the linear regression and ridge offer the best performance. The best mean square error achieved is 0 and the correlation coefficient is 1.

Air Quality Index prediction using an effective hybrid deep learning model

Environmentalism has become an intrinsic part of everyday life. One of the greatest challenge to the environment's long-term existence is the air pollution. Delhi, the capital of India, has experienced decreasing of air quality for several years. The poor air quality has a significant impact on the lives of individuals. Air Quality Index (AQI) prediction can help to its beneficiaries in taking safeguards about their health before moving to any polluted area. In this study, a variety of data forecasting approaches is evaluated to predict the AQI value for Particulate Matter (PM2.5) μm at a particular area of Delhi and several error-prone strategies such as R-Squared (R2), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) methods are catalogued. In the proposed approach two deep learning models like Long-Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) are combined to predict the AQI of the environment. Several stand alone machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models such as LSTM, Linear-Regression (LR), GRU, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are also trained on the same dataset to compare their performances with the proposed hybrid (LSTM-GRU) model and it is found that the proposed hybrid model shows supremacy in the performance with the MAE value 36.11 and R2 value 0.84.

Air quality index prediction via multi-task machine learning technique: spatial analysis for human capital and intensive air quality monitoring stations

Air quality index prediction via multi-task machine learning technique: spatial analysis for human capital and intensive air quality monitoring stations

Performance Analysis of Neural Network Architecture in Developing Real-Time Malaysian River Water Quality Model

According to the world health organization, 485,000 people died each year due to water-related health diseases which are mainly contributed by poor river water quality. As a result, water quality monitoring stations have been deployed across the world. Unfortunately, due to the complex nature of the off-site water quality parameters, the water quality index (WQI) cannot be assessed in real-time. This has led to a significant push for the scientific community to develop an accurate and robust water quality prediction model. The dynamic and nonlinear nature of water quality parameters are major challenges for traditional machine learning algorithms such as multi linear regression to capture. In this study, the water quality index prediction model was developed using the feedforward artificial neural network (FANN) algorithms utilizing only on-site parameters. The performance of different nonlinear activation functions in the hidden neurons was thoroughly analysed which includes rectified linear unit (ReLU), scaled exponential linear unit (SELU), and exponential linear unit (ELU). Additionally, various initialization and optimization algorithms were also evaluated for maximum performance and efficiency. The results shows that FANN-ELU model coupled with Glorot initialization technique and AdaGrad optimizer outperformed other model combinations with an R2 value of 0.88 and mean squared error (MSE) value of 22.74.

Forecasting the yield of wafer by using improved genetic algorithm, high dimensional alternating feature selection and SVM with uneven distribution and high-dimensional data

AbstractWafer yield prediction, as the basis of quality control, is dedicated to predicting quality indices of the wafer manufacturing process. In recent years, data-driven machine learning methods have received a lot of attention due to their accuracy, robustness, and convenience for the prediction of quality indices. However, the existing studies mainly focus on the model level to improve the accuracy of yield prediction does not consider the impact of data characteristics on yield prediction. To tackle the above issues, a novel wafer yield prediction method is proposed, in which the improved genetic algorithm (IGA) is an under-sampling method, which is used to solve the problem of data overlap between finished products and defective products caused by the similarity of manufacturing processes between finished products and defective products in the wafer manufacturing process, and the problem of data imbalance caused by too few defective samples, that is, the problem of uneven distribution of data. In addition, the high-dimensional alternating feature selection method (HAFS) is used to select key influencing processes, that is, key parameters to avoid overfitting in the prediction model caused by many input parameters. Finally, SVM is used to predict the yield. Furthermore, experiments are conducted on a public wafer yield prediction dataset collected from an actual wafer manufacturing system. IGA-HAFS-SVM achieves state-of-art results on this dataset, which confirms the effectiveness of IGA-HAFS-SVM. Additionally, on this dataset, the proposed method improves the AUC score, G-Mean and F1-score by 21.6%, 34.6% and 0.6% respectively compared with the conventional method. Moreover, the experimental results prove the influence of data characteristics on wafer yield prediction.

Water Quality Index Prediction for Improvement of Treatment Processes on Drinking Water Treatment Plant

In order to improve the treatment processes of the drinking water treatment plant (DWTP) located near the Butoniga reservoir in Istria (Croatia), a prediction of the water quality index (WQI) was done. Based on parameters such as temperature, pH, turbidity, KMnO4, NH4, Mn, Al and Fe, the calculation of WQI was conducted, while for the WQI prediction models, along with the mentioned parameters, O2, TOC and UV254 were additionally used. Four models were built to predict WQI with a time step of one, five, ten, and fifteen days in advance, in order to improve treatment processes of the DWTP regarding the changes in raw water quality in the Butoniga reservoir. Therefore, obtained models can help in the optimization of treatment processes, which depend on the quality of raw water, and overall, in the sustainability of the treatment plant. Results showed that the obtained correlation coefficients for all models are relatively high and, as expected, decrease as the number of prediction days increases; conversely, the number of rules, and related linear equations, depends on the parameters set in the WEKA modelling software, which are set to default settings which give the highest values of correlation coefficient (R) for each model and the optimal number of rules. In addition, all models have high accuracy compared to the measured data, with a good prediction of the peak values. Therefore, the obtained models, through the prediction of WQI, can help to manage the treatment processes of the DWTP, which depend on the quality of raw water in the Butoniga reservoir.

Air quality indicators and AQI prediction coupling long-short term memory (LSTM) and sparrow search algorithm (SSA): A case study of Shanghai

Air quality indicators and air quality index (AQI) prediction are effective approaches for urban decision-makers, planners, managers and even city residents to arrange their risk abatement measures in advance. In this study, five models, including Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Long-short term memory (LSTM) and Long-short term memory coupling with sparrow search algorithm (LSTM-SSA), were used to predict hourly, daily and weekly concentrations of six air quality indicators (PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, O3) and AQI. The case study was based on the hourly observed data of Shanghai from February 1, 2021 to January 31, 2022 and prediction accuracy for different prediction models, indicators and periods was compared. Results revealed that: (1) The prediction accuracy of three neural network models (MLP, LSTM, LSTM-SSA) was superior to two tree-based models (RF, XGBoost) in terms of MAPE, RMSE, MAE and R2. (2) Comparing three neural network models, LSTM-SSA was more accurate than MLP and LSTM in terms of MAPE, RMSE, MAE and R2. (3) For LSTM-SSA, the MAPE of AQI was minimal (1.53%), followed by PM2.5 (2.72%), O3 (3.93%), PM10 (4.87%), NO2 (5.74%), CO (7.54%) and SO2 (8.82%). (4) For LSTM-SSA, the value of MAPE increased from 3.88%, 5.28%–5.91% when the prediction period increased from an hour, a day to a week.

An Optimized Approach for Predicting Water Quality Features Based on Machine Learning

Traditionally, water quality is assessed using costly laboratory and statistical methods, rendering real-time monitoring useless. Poor water quality requires a more practical and cost-effective solution. The machine learning classification approach appears promising for rapid detection and prediction of water quality. Machine learning has been used successfully to predict water quality. However, research on machine learning for water quality index (WQI) prediction is generally lacking. Therefore, this research aims to identify the important features for the WQI, which necessitated the classification of numerous indicators. This study develops four machine learning models (Artificial Neural Network, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Naïve Bayes) based on the WQI and chemical parameters. The Langat Basin in Selangor dataset from the Department of Environment of Malaysia trains and validates each machine learning model. Several data preprocessing tasks such as data cleaning and feature selection have been conducted on the raw dataset to ensure the quality of the training data. The performance of these machine learning algorithms is further rectified based on the selected features set by several feature selection strategies such as information gain, correlation, and symmetrical uncertainty. Each classifier is then optimized using different tuning parameters to achieve optimum values before comparing the output of the three classifiers against each other. The observational results have shown that the optimized Random Forest classifier with the WQI parameter selected by the information gain feature selection method achieved the highest performance. The experimental results show that the WQI parameters are more relevant in predicting the WQI than the other variables. Consequently, this result shows that parameter oxygen (DO) and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) are important features for predicting WQI. The proposed model achieved reasonable accuracy with minimal parameters, indicating that it could be used in real-time water quality detection systems.

MFRFNN: Multi-Functional Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network for Chaotic Time Series Prediction

Chaotic time series prediction, a challenging research topic in dynamic system modeling, has drawn great attention from researchers around the world. In recent years extensive researches have been done on developing chaotic time series prediction methods, and various models have been proposed. Among them, recurrent fuzzy neural networks (RFNNs) have shown significant potential in this area. Most of the proposed RFNNs learn a single function, but when dealing with chaotic time series, different outputs may be generated for a specific input based on the system’s state. So, a network is required that can learn multiple functions simultaneously. Based on this concept, a novel multi-functional recurrent fuzzy neural network (MFRFNN) is proposed in this paper. MFRFNN consists of two fuzzy neural networks with Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy rules, one is used to produce the output, and the other to determine the system’s state. There is a feedback loop between these two networks, which makes MFRFNN capable of learning and memorizing historical information of past observations. Employing the states allows the proposed network to learn multiple functions simultaneously. Moreover, a new learning algorithm, which employs the particle swarm optimization algorithm, is developed to train the networks’ weights. The effectiveness of MFRFNN is validated using the Lorenz and Rossler chaotic time series and four real-world datasets, including Box–Jenkins gas furnace, wind speed prediction, Google stock price prediction, and air quality index prediction. Based on the root mean square error, the proposed method shows a decrease of 35.12%,13.95%, and 49.62% from the second best methods in the Lorenz time series, Box–Jenkins gas furnace, and wind speed prediction dataset, respectively.

River Water Quality Prediction and index classification using Machine Learning

Various pollutants have had a substantial impact on the quality of water in recent years. The quality of water directly impacts human health and the environment. The water quality index (WQI) is an indicator of effective water management. Water quality modelling and prediction have become essential in the fight against water pollution. The research aims to build an efficient prediction model for river water quality and to categorize the index value according to the water quality standards. The data has been collected from eleven sampling stations located in various locations across the Bhavani River, which flows through Kerala and Tamilnadu. The water quality index is determined by 27different parameters affecting water quality like dissolved oxygen, temperature, pH, alkalinity, hardness, chloride, coliform, etc. Data normalization and feature selection are done to construct the dataset to develop machine learning models. Machine learning algorithms such as linear regression, MLP regressor, support vector regressor and random forest has been employed to build a water quality prediction model. Support vector machines (SVM), naïve bayes, decision trees, MLP classifiers, have been used to develop a classification model for classifying water quality index. The experimental results revealed that the MLP regressor efficiently predicts the water Quality index with root mean squared error as 2.432, MLP classifier classifies the water quality index with 81% accuracy. The developed models show promising output concerning water quality index prediction and classification.

Spatial Air Quality Index and Air Pollutant Concentration prediction using Linear Regression based Recursive Feature Elimination with Random Forest Regression (RFERF): a case study in India

Spatial Air Quality Index and Air Pollutant Concentration prediction using Linear Regression based Recursive Feature Elimination with Random Forest Regression (RFERF): a case study in India

Hybridization of long short-term memory with Sparrow Search Optimization model for water quality index prediction

Water quality (WQ) analysis is a critical stage in water resource management and should be handled immediately in order to control pollutants that could have a negative influence on the ecosystem. The dramatic increase in population, the use of fertilizers and pesticides, and the industrial revolution have resulted in severe effects on the WQ environment. As a result, the prediction of WQ greatly helped to monitor water pollution. Accurate prediction of WQ is the foundation of managing water environments and is of high importance for protecting water environment. WQ data presents in the form of multi-variate time-sequence dataset. It is clear that the accuracy of predicting WQ will be enhanced when the multi-variate relation and time sequence dataset of WQ are fully utilized. This article presents the Water Quality Prediction utilising Sparrow Search Optimization with Hybrid Long Short-Term Memory (WQP-SSHLSTM) model. The presented WQP-SSHLSTM model intends to examine the data and classify WQ into distinct classes. To achieve this, the presented WQP-SSHLSTM model undergoes data scaling process to scale the input data into uniform format. Followed by, a hybrid long short-term memory-deep belief network (LSTM-DBN) technique is employed for the recognition and classification of WQ. Moreover, Sparrow search optimization algorithm (SSOA) is utilized as a hyperparameter optimizer of the proposed DBN-LSTM model. For demonstrating the enhanced outcomes of the presented WQP-SSHLSTM model, a sequence of experiments has been performed and the outcomes are reviewed under distinct prospects. The WQP-SSHLSTM model has achieved 99.84 percent accuracy, which is the maximum attainable. The simulation outcomes ensured the enhanced outcomes of the WQP-SSHLSTM model on recent methods.

Groundwater quality prediction based on LSTM RNN: An Iranian experience.

Groundwater quality prediction has practical significance for the prevention of water pollution. Based on the exogenous variables which are effective on water quality indicators, this paper proposes a new method with new effective parameters based on LSTM RNN for groundwater quality index prediction. The effective parameters on the groundwater quality index include rainfall rate, temperature, and humidity, and groundwater abstraction was collected. Monthly time series data selection was done from five different locations in the Damavand region in Iran from 2009 to 2021. Neural network architecture is tested by “f-score” tested to obtain the best neural network performance. A comparison of the real value and the result of the prediction show that the water quality index prediction has been done sensibly and quite properly in most cases.

A new hybrid prediction model of air quality index based on secondary decomposition and improved kernel extreme learning machine

Air quality index (AQI) prediction is important to control air pollution. To improve its accuracy, a new hybrid prediction model of AQI based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), multivariate multiscale dispersion entropy (mvMDE), variational mode decomposition optimized by bald eagle search (BES) algorithm (BVMD) and kernel extreme learning machine optimized by rat swarm optimizer (RSO) algorithm (RSO-KELM), named CEEMDAN-mvMDE-BVMD-RSO-KELM, is proposed. Firstly, AQI series is decomposed by CEEMDAN to obtain multiple intrinsic mode function (IMF) components, and each IMF component's complexity is calculated by mvMDE. Secondly, VMD optimized by BES algorithm, named BVMD, is proposed to solve the problem of choosing the decomposition level K and penalty factor α of VMD, and BVMD is used to perform the secondary decomposition of high complexity components. Thirdly, the penalty coefficient and kernel parameter of KELM optimized by RSO algorithm, named RSO-KELM, is proposed, and all IMF components are predicted by RSO-KELM. Finally, the final prediction results are obtained by reconstructing the prediction results of all IMF components. The objective of this study is to propose a new hybrid prediction model of AQI based on secondary decomposition and improved KELM. Taking Shanghai, Beijing and Xi'an as examples, the results show that compared with the comparison models, the proposed model has the highest prediction accuracy.