Pediatric patients are often referred to cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) laboratories for assessment of exercise-related symptoms. For clinicians to understand results in the context of performance relative to peers, adequate fitness-based prediction equations must be available. However, reference equations for prediction of peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak) in pediatrics are largely developed from field-based testing, and equations derived from CPET are primarily developed using adult data. Our objective was to develop a pediatric reference equation for VO2peak. Clinical CPET data from a validation cohort of 1,383 pediatric patients aged 6 to 18years who achieved a peak respiratory exchange ratio ≥1.00 were analyzed to identify clinical and exercise testing factors that contributed to the prediction of VO2peak from tests performed using the Bruce protocol. The resultant prediction equation was applied to a cross-validation cohort of 1,367 pediatric patients. Exercise duration, gender, weight, and age contributed to the prediction of VO2peak, generating the following prediction equation: (R2=0.645, p <0.001, standard error of the estimate=6.19ml/kg/min): VO2peak (ml/kg/min) =16.411+ 3.423 (exercise duration [minutes]) - 5.145 (gender [0=male, 1=female]) - 0.121 (weight [kg])+0.179 (age [years]). This equation was stable across the age range included in the present study, with differences ≤0.5ml/kg/min between mean measured and predicted VO2peak in all age groups. In conclusion, this study represents what we believe is the largest pediatric CPET-derived VO2peak prediction effort to date, and this VO2peak prediction equation provides clinicians who perform and interpret exercise tests in pediatric patients with a resource with which to better quantify fitness when CPET is not available.
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