Prediction Mode Research Articles

Mapping Health Pathways: A Network Analysis for Improved Illness Prediction

ABSTRACTComplex networks and network reconstruction have now become powerful tools for exploring relationships and interactions within systems across various fields to identify patterns and increase predictive accuracy. It provides a structured framework to investigate the relations or connections among individual components or entities within a system. Recently, the importance of the healthcare prediction model in life‐saving efforts has increased. A model is proposed for health prediction that uses network reconstruction methods to build a network from available information, representing features as nodes and the relationships between them as edges. Subsequently, a method is introduced to calculate the value of the decision parameter () for predicting an individual's health status. The proposed model shows substantial improvement over the current state of the prediction model. The first aim of the proposed model is to classify an individual into their appropriate class properly. Another contribution of the proposed model is to measure the factors that are responsible for classifying an individual into a class that shows its significance and impact over the existing state‐of‐the‐art. It provides a new dimension to the prediction mode, emphasizing the importance of identifying critical features and their interdependencies for personalized health diagnostics.

Spatio-temporal and multi-mode prediction for blast furnace gas flow

The reasonable and stable distribution of blast furnace (BF) gas flow is the basis for maintaining the smooth operation of BF. Therefore, the accurate detection of the gas flow distribution is essential in the BF ironmaking process due to the direct impact on productivity, stability, and efficiency. However, there is a significant challenge to capture the complex interactions and dynamic changes of the ironmaking process by single predictive mode and two-dimensional (2D) distribution, leading to a lack of flexibility and interpretability in dealing with different abnormalities. To address this issue, a novel spatio-temporal multi-mode approach for three-dimensional (3D) BF gas flow prediction is proposed in this article. First, Pearson correlation analysis is employed to evaluate correlated variables in the spatial dimension. The precise temporal correlations among the multiple variables are matched with mutual information (MI) to extract spatio-temporal variables. Next, the spatio-temporal variables are decomposed utilizing variation mode decomposition (VMD), and the noise is removed with integrated correlation analysis and Fourier transform (FT) to identify and retain the relevant information. Finally, the MI-VMD-Informer is innovatively proposed to establish three different prediction modes based on spatio-temporal features, thus obtaining 2D and 3D gas flow distributions. The superiority of the proposed method is verified by actual BF production data.

Metaheuristic optimization of extreme gradient boosting machine for enhanced prediction of lateral strength of reinforced concrete columns under cyclic loadings

The estimation of lateral strength in reinforced concrete (RC) columns subjected to cyclic loads is crucial in structural design. The failure of RC columns under lateral forces can lead to catastrophic structural collapses. This fact emphasizes the need for accurate assessments of their dynamic behavior. This paper proposes a data-driven model for estimating the lateral strength of RC columns. A historical dataset comprising 12 predictor variables and 247 samples has been compiled to train and validate of the proposed approach. The extreme gradient boosting machine (XGBoost) is employed to establish a predictive relationship between the lateral strength of RC columns and their influencing factors. Since model selection is critical for constructing a reliable prediction mode, this study relies on utilizing metaheuristic approaches, including Genetic Algorithm, Particle Swarm Optimization, Artificial Bee Colony, and Ant Colony Optimization, to optimize the performance of the XGBoost model. Experimental results show that the integration of Ant Colony Optimization and XGBoost can help attain outstanding prediction accuracy with a correlation of determination (R2) of 0.95. Additionally, an asymmetric squared error loss function is utilized to reduce overestimations by 12 %. The newly developed method can be utilized in practical applications where reliable predictions of the lateral strength of RC columns under cyclic loads are required.

Hardware Failure Prediction Modes Powered by Artificial Intelligence

With the increase of the system scale and complexity of modern computer systems and electronic equipment, the physical components (hardware) in computer or electronic equipment are damaged, the performance is reduced or the normal operation of computer and electronic systems is greatly increased due to various reasons. Detecting and predicting hardware faults in time is the key to ensure system stability and reliability. Hardware failure prediction technology based on artificial intelligence (AI) can effectively predict potential hardware failures by analyzing historical data, monitoring equipment operating status in real time, and reducing system downtime and maintenance costs. This paper reviews the current hardware fault prediction methods based on artificial intelligence, discusses the common algorithms, technical challenges, and application scenarios, and looks forward to the future development direction of this field.

Air quality historical correlation model based on time series

Air quality is closely linked to human health and social development, making accurate air quality prediction highly significant. The Air Quality Index (AQI) is inherently a time series. However, most previous studies have overlooked its temporal features and have not thoroughly explored the relationship between pollutant emissions and air quality. To address this issue, this study establishes a historical correlation model for air quality based on a time series model—the Gaussian Hidden Markov Model (GHMM)—using industrial exhaust emissions and historical air quality data. Firstly, a traversal method is used to select the optimal number of hidden states for the GHMM. To optimize the traditional GHMM and reduce error accumulation in the prediction process, the Multi-day Weighted Matching method and the Fixed Training Set Length method are utilized. Both direct and indirect prediction modes are then used to predict the AQI in the Zhangdian District. Experimental results indicate that the improved GHMM with the indirect mode provides higher accuracy and more stable state estimation results (MAE = 13.59, RMSE = 17.59, mean forecasted value = 117.94). Finally, the air quality historical correlation model is integrated with the air quality meteorological correlation model from a previous study, further improving prediction accuracy (MAE = 11.59, RMSE = 14.87, mean forecasted value = 120.88). This study demonstrates that the GHMM’s strong ability to analyze temporal features significantly enhances the accuracy and stability of air quality predictions. The integration of the air quality historical correlation model with the air quality meteorological correlation model from a previous study leverages the strengths of each sub-model in handling different feature groups, leading to even more accurate predictions.

Unveiling user interests: A deep user interest exploration network for sequential location recommendation

Sequential location recommendation, also known as next location prediction, is a crucial task aiming to compute the likelihood of a user visiting a certain point of interest (POI). It has significant applications in route planning and location-based advertisements. Despite the utilization of geographical information, existing methods often adopt a rigidly sequential prediction mode, focusing solely on predicting the next destination (i.e., where to go), which limits their ability to effectively model user trajectories in terms of predicting from where the user came. Moreover, these methods struggle to capture the evolving and deep user interests along their trajectory. To deal with these problems, we propose a novel approach called Deep User Interest Exploration Network (DUIEN) for sequential location recommendation. DUIEN incorporates two essential components to enhance recommendation accuracy. First, we employ a bidirectional neural network with the Cloze objective, enabling it to predict random masked POIs within user trajectories. This approach aids the model in gaining a better understanding of the context and dynamics of user trajectories. Second, we introduce a user interest exploration layer that seamlessly integrates into the sequential learning process. This layer effectively utilizes tag information associated with POIs and learns the intricate interplay between user interests and their trajectories using a deep user interest exploration method. In our experiments, DUIEN outperforms state-of-the-art sequential location recommendation models, demonstrating the effectiveness of the designed update mechanisms for deep user interest exploration. This showcases the potential of our approach to significantly enhance the accuracy of sequential location recommendation.

Fast Depth Map Coding Algorithm for 3D-HEVC Based on Gradient Boosting Machine

Three-Dimensional High-Efficiency Video Coding (3D-HEVC) has been extensively researched due to its efficient compression and deep image representation, but encoding complexity continues to pose a difficulty. This is mainly attributed to redundancy in the coding unit (CU) recursive partitioning process and rate–distortion (RD) cost calculation, resulting in a complex encoding process. Therefore, enhancing encoding efficiency and reducing redundant computations are key objectives for optimizing 3D-HEVC. This paper introduces a fast-encoding method for 3D-HEVC, comprising an adaptive CU partitioning algorithm and a rapid rate–distortion-optimization (RDO) algorithm. Based on the ALV features extracted from each coding unit, a Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) model is constructed to obtain the corresponding CU thresholds. These thresholds are compared with the ALV to further decide whether to continue dividing the coding unit. The RDO algorithm is used to optimize the RD cost calculation process, selecting the optimal prediction mode as much as possible. The simulation results show that this method saves 52.49% of complexity while ensuring good video quality.

Development and Evaluation of Conformal Prediction Methods for Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship.

The quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) regression model is a commonly used technique for predicting the biological activities of compounds using their molecular descriptors. Besides accurate activity estimation, obtaining a prediction uncertainty metric like a prediction interval is highly desirable. Quantifying prediction uncertainty is an active research area in statistical and machine learning (ML), but the implementation for QSAR remains challenging. However, most ML algorithms with high predictive performance require add-on companions for estimating the uncertainty of their prediction. Conformal prediction (CP) is a promising approach as its main components are agnostic to the prediction modes, and it produces valid prediction intervals under weak assumptions on the data distribution. We proposed computationally efficient CP algorithms tailored to the most widely used ML models, including random forests, deep neural networks, and gradient boosting. The algorithms use a novel approach to the derivation of nonconformity scores from the estimates of prediction uncertainty generated by the ensembles of point predictions. The validity and efficiency of proposed algorithms are demonstrated on a diverse collection of QSAR data sets as well as simulation studies. The provided software implementing our algorithms can be used as stand-alone or easily incorporated into other ML software packages for QSAR modeling.

Experiment study on adhesion dynamic characteristics of droplet impacting on an inclined heated surface

The behaviors and mechanisms of droplet impact on an inclined heated surface is of great importance. In this work, an experimental platform for the droplets impact on the surfaces with different inclined angles and temperatures was established to study the various impact patterns and dynamics. The impact pattern, sliding distance, lengths at the leading and trailing edge points and maximum spreading factor were studied in detail. The results show that the impact patterns were classified as adhesion, splash, rebound and breakup patterns. In the adhesion pattern, a sliding distance model was developed based on Newton's second law and force analysis that considered the viscous, adhesion and gravitational forces for different angles. Larger angle promotes length of the leading edge point, inhibits length of the trailing edge point. Higher temperature suppresses the length of the trailing edge point by boiling. In addition, a model for the maximum spreading factor of the inclined surface was developed by combining a spreading prediction mode with an energy conservation equation, which incorporates kinetic, surface and dissipation energies. An increase in the normal Weber number suppresses the maximum spreading factor. Temperature has a different effect on the maximum spreading factor depending on the normal Weber number.

Основанный на генетическом подходе алгоритм внутрикодирования для H.266/VVC

This paper presents a genetic approach for optimizing intra coding in H.266/VVC. The proposed algorithm efficiently selects coding tools and Multi-Type Tree (MTT) partitions to achieve a balance between encoding time and video quality. The fitness evaluation function, which combines perceptual metrics and coding efficiency metrics, is used to assess the quality of each candidate solution. The results demonstrate a significant reduction in encoding time without compromising video quality. The proposed algorithm selects coding tools from a set of available tools in H.266/VVC. These tools include intra prediction modes, transform units, quantization parameters, and entropy coding modes. The MTT partitioning scheme includes four types of partitions: quadtree, binary tree, ternary tree, and quad-binary tree. Perceptual metrics are used to evaluate the visual quality of the encoded video. Coding efficiency metrics are used to evaluate the coding efficiency of the encoded video. The fitness evaluation function combines perceptual metrics and coding efficiency metrics to assess the quality of each candidate solution.

Analysis and Enlightenment on the Relationships between Two Kinds of Cutter Life Evaluation Indexes and Installation Radius: A Case Study

Accurate evaluation of cutter life at different cutter positions on the cutter head is helpful to determine the time of cutter change and reduce the time of cutter wear measurement, which is of great significance to improve the tunneling efficiency of tunnel boring machine (TBM) projects. Unfortunately, there is no unified cutter life evaluation index now. The field data of cutter wear are collected from a section of a long TBM tunneling water conveyance tunnel in China. Two kinds of cutter life evaluation indexes (based on the radial wear extent of cutter rings and replacement number of cutter rings) are selected and the variation rule between these two kinds of indexes with cutter installation radius is statistically analyzed. The results show that the regression relationships between the two kinds of cutter life evaluation indexes and installation radius mainly present linear functions and quadratic functions. Those regression relationships are affected by factors such as wear type, installation angle, cutter spacing, influence width, and allowable limit wear extent of cutter rings. Considering the calculation accuracy of the evaluation index, the actual working conditions of the disc cutter, and ignoring the influence of tunnel diameter, it is recommended to preferentially choose the radial wear extent of cutter rings per unit rolling distance as the evaluation index of cutter life. The research results can provide a reference for the selection of cutter life evaluation index, prediction of disc cutter life at different cutter positions, and establishment of cutter life prediction mode.

Omics data classification using constitutive artificial neural network optimized with single candidate optimizer

ABSTRACT Recent technical advancements enable omics-based biological study of molecules with very high throughput and low cost, such as genomic, proteomic, and microbionics’. To overcome this drawback, Omics Data Classification using Constitutive Artificial Neural Network Optimized with Single Candidate Optimizer (ODC-ZOA-CANN-SCO) is proposed in this manuscript. The input data is pre-processing by using Adaptive variational Bayesian filtering (AVBF) to replace missing values. The pre-processing data is fed to Zebra Optimization Algorithm (ZOA) for dimensionality reduction. Then, the Constitutive Artificial Neural Network (CANN) is employed to classify omics data. The weight parameter is optimized by Single Candidate Optimizer (SCO). The proposed ODC-ZOA-CANN-SCO method attains 25.36%, 21.04%, 22.18%, 26.90%, and 28.12% higher accuracy when analysed to the existing methods like multi-omics data integration utilizing adaptive graph learning and attention mode for patient categorization with biomarker identification (MOD-AGL-AM-PABI), deep learning method depending upon multi-omics data integration to create risk stratification prediction mode for skin cutaneous melanoma (DL-MODI-RSP-SCM), Deep belief network-base model for identifying Alzheimer’s disease utilizing multi-omics data (DDN-DAD-MOD), hybrid cancer prediction depending upon multi-omics data and reinforcement learning state action reward state action (HCP-MOD-RL-SARSA), machine learning basis method under omics data including biological knowledge database for cancer clinical endpoint prediction (ML-ODBKD-CCEP) methods, respectively.

Prediction of fracture initiation in cohesive soils based on data mining modelling and large-scale laboratory verification

Many empirical and analytical methods have been proposed to predict fracturing pressure in cohesive soils. Most of them take into account three to four specific influencing factors and rely on the assumption of a failure mode. In this study, a novel data-mining approach based on the XGBoost algorithm is investigated for predicting fracture initiation in cohesive soils. This has the advantage of handling multiple influencing factors simultaneously, without pre-determining a failure mode. A dataset of 416 samples consisting of 14 distinct features was herein collected from past studies, and used for developing a regressor and a classifier model for fracturing pressure prediction and failure mode classification respectively. The results show that the intrinsic characteristics of the soil govern the failure mode while the fracturing pressure is more sensitive to the stress state. The XGBoost-based model was also tested against conventional approaches, as well as a similar machine learning algorithm namely random forest model. Additionally, several large-scale triaxial fracturing tests and an in-situ case study were carried out to further verify the generalization ability and applicability of the proposed data mining approach, and the results indicate a superior performance of the XGBoost model.

Damage prediction and failure mode analysis of composite aeroengine blade impacted by the breakstone

Damage prediction and failure mode analysis of composite aeroengine blade impacted by the breakstone

An APSO-based TPA-BLSTM model for predicting ship motion in irregular waves using wave-series input

ABSTRACT Combining the bidirectional long short-term memory neural network and temporal pattern attention mechanism, a machine learning model based on multi-feature inputs is developed to predict ship motion in irregular waves. An adaptive particle swarm optimisation algorithm is proposed to adapt the parameters of neural network to different feature inputs. The study indicates that the improved particle swarm optimisation algorithm avoids the problem of poor adaptability of empirical parameters to different advance time. The combination of bidirectional long short-term memory neural network and temporary pattern attention mechanism further enhances the data mining ability. Compared with the prediction mode solely based on the ship motion input, the inclusion of wave elevation input can effectively improve the accuracy and advance time for ship’s motion prediction. Importantly, the prediction accuracy will improve with an increased number of inputs of wave probes, which are arranged along the wave propagation direction.

A switched adaptive strategy for state estimation in MEMS-based inertial navigation systems with application for a flight test

Abstract This paper proposes a switched model to improve the estimation of Euler angles and decrease the inertial navigation system (INS) error, when the centrifugal acceleration occurs. Depending on the situation, one of the subsystems of the proposed switched model is activated for the estimation procedure. During global positioning system (GPS) outages, an extended Kalman filter (EKF) operates in the prediction mode and corrects the INS information, based on the system error model. Compared with previous works, the main advantages of the proposed switched-based adaptive EKF (SAEKF) method are (i) elimination of INS error, during the centrifugal acceleration, and (ii) high accuracy in estimating the attitude and positioning, particularly during GPS outages. To validate the efficiency of the proposed method in various trajectories, an experimental flight test is performed and discussed, involving a microelectromechanical (MEMS)-based INS. The comparative study shows that the proposed method considerably improves the accuracy in various scenarios.

A novel adaptively combined model based on induced ordered weighted averaging for wind power forecasting

Accurate wind power prediction is a vital factor in day-ahead dispatch and increasing the high penetration of renewable energy integration. Some combined prediction models based on weight are proposed to provide uncertain information about wind power. However, the optimal weight issues to be addressed are still a tough problem. This paper proposes an adaptively combined prediction model based on the induced ordered weighted averaging operator. First, four classical prediction models are used as a predictor to forecast wind power. Second, the optimal weight is expressed as an optimization problem to minimize the prediction errors with the nonnegative constraints and summation constraint of weights, and the optimal optimization problem is transformed into a quadratic programming model, which can be easily solved to determine the optimal weights for multiple prediction models. Third, an interval prediction mode based on errors distribution produced by the proposed combined model with different confidence intervals is constructed, which can perform deterministic and probabilistic prediction of wind power simultaneously. Furthermore, the model's effectiveness is comprehensively evaluated using both deterministic and probabilistic approaches. This analysis is further enriched with a comprehensive examination of a year-round dataset obtained from a wind farm cluster in Ningxia, China. The data, recorded at 15-min intervals, offer robust evidence of the combined model's superior performance. The results show that the proposed approach can achieve higher accuracy than other benchmark prediction models, further verifying its reliability for wind power dispatch.

Occupancy map-based low complexity motion prediction for video-based point cloud compression

This paper proposes an occupancy map-based low complexity motion prediction method for video-based point cloud compression (V-PCC). Firstly, we propose to utilize the occupancy map, direction gradient, and regional dispersion to divide the attribute maps into static, complex, and common blocks. Then, we propose an early termination method for static blocks, an adaptive motion search range method for complex blocks, and an early inter prediction mode decision algorithm for affine motion regions in common blocks. Experiment results show that, in comparison to the test model category2 (TMC2) v15.0, called the anchor method, the average bitrate savings of Y, U, and V components of the proposed method achieve 24.27%, 32.64%, and 31.23% on 8i voxelized full bodies version 2 (8iVFBv2) dataset, respectively. Further, the time savings is 41.97% for attribute maps. Similarly, the proposed method also achieves consistent performance on Microsoft voxelized upper bodies (MVUB) dataset.

Prediction of dissolved gas content in transformer oil based on multi‐information fusion

AbstractIn order to accurately predict the content and variation trend of dissolved gas in transformer oil and guide the condition maintenance of power transformers, a combined prediction model based on multi‐information fusion is proposed and its effectiveness is analysed. First of all, based on the possibility of pathological and missing historical sample data, a detection and filling method based on variable weight combination samples is established. Second, the authors propose two models. Aiming at the non‐linear and non‐stationary characteristics of gas content, a univariate decomposition prediction mode HBA‐VMD‐TCN which based on the Honey Badger algorithm, variational mode decomposition and time convolutional network (TCN) is established. Then the multivariate Informer prediction model is established for gas content affected by multiple variables. Third, the cross‐entropy theory is used to determine the weight coefficients of the two models, and the multi‐information fusion combined prediction model is formed. Finally, on the basis of the above, a method to determine the time step and the position information of the transition point adaptively in the process of prediction is proposed to further improve the prediction accuracy. The results show that, through a series of simulation experiments of model comparison and transformer anomaly prediction, the accuracy and effectiveness of the combined prediction model are verified.

A multi-embedding domain video steganography algorithm based on TU partitioning and intra prediction mode

With High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC) becoming a popular video coding standard in the world, combing the HEVC with data hiding methods is a complex task. In this paper, a multi-embedded video steganography algorithm based on Intra Prediction Mode (IPM) and Transform Unit (TU) partition is proposed. By analyzing the coding characteristics of the TU partition and the IPM, we select embedded regions that are relatively independent as much as possible. Then, suitable distortion functions are designed for different embedding domains. Using the minimum distortion framework of the STC model to embed messages. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method achieves a maximum embedding capacity 1.5 times larger than that of traditional single domain embedding methods, while maintaining good visual quality.