Precipitation-evaporation Balance Research Articles

Holocene hydroclimate variability reconstructed from Lake Pangodi sediments in Estonia

Long-term hydroclimate variability recorded in lake sediments from Estonia provide information about environmental changes in northern Europe during the Holocene. Lake Pangodi is a semi-closed basin lake in southern Estonia with a large surface area to volume ratio, making it sensitive to effective moisture balance (precipitation minus evapotranspiration), which is recorded as changes in the lake level. Here we conducted a ground penetrating radar (GPR) survey, sedimentological analyses, radiometric dating and lake level modeling study to identify periods of lake-level high- and low-stands. The radiocarbon-dated sedimentary stratigraphic features on our radargram support the model results, suggesting that Lake Pangodi formed at ∼12.8 ka. The water levels were likely variable during the early Holocene, and the comparison of Lake Pangodi sediment facies and the lake level model show relatively stable lake water depth between ∼9.8 ka and ∼2.4 ka, and an increase towards modern. A notable reduction in lake levels occurred between ∼8.2 and ∼7.7 ka, likely due to a significantly reduced precipitation-evaporation balance. Our middle Holocene reconstruction suggests water column depths nearly 2.0 m lower than modern. This aligns with the results from studies conducted in the Baltic region, yet contrasts those from Scandinavia, suggesting different hydroclimate driving mechanisms during the Holocene variations in hydrogeological regimes. Our model detected the most abrupt rise of 1.7 m in water levels between ∼1.5 and ∼1.3 ka. This study highlights the need to develop proxies from single lake basins combining multiple methods for a better spatiotemporal resolution of paleo-hydrological changes.

Development of a laboratory complex for measuring the condensation of atmospheric water vapors

This article presents the results of an experimental study of multiphase flows focusing on the influence of convective condensation of atmospheric water vapour on heat and mass transfer. The primary emphasis is on developing a laboratory setup capable of directly measuring the condensation rate of atmospheric water vapour on a water surface. Such an approach provides the opportunity to obtain more precise and reliable data on convective condensation and its impact on the water balance under various conditions. The experimental results revealed a nonlinear relationship between the condensation rate and the moisture excess, which differs from the linear relationship described by Dalton's law. This deviation was thoroughly examined, and a linear relationship between downward molecular flows and the forces induced by differences in relative humidity concentrations in the convective layer was proposed. The estimated average values of the condensation rate obtained in the experiments were 0.017 L/m²·hour, which, according to estimations, accounts for the condensation flux of water from the atmosphere to the ocean, consistent with the precipitation-evaporation balance in the land-ocean water balance. This information helps to more accurately determine the role of convective condensation in the water balance, contributing to refining assessments of water balance components in various watersheds. The results of this study have practical significance for hydrologists, climatologists, and experts in thermohydraulics and energy engineering. The proposed approaches and methods for measuring convective condensation of atmospheric water vapour can be applicable in various engineering systems and technologies to enhance the efficiency and accuracy of water balance calculations and forecasts.

The influence of multidecadal climate variability and abrupt landscape change on terrestrial ecosystem composition and fire regime in the upper Columbia River basin - A high-resolution Holocene perspective

High-resolution paleoclimatic and paleoecologic datasets from a small lake in eastern Washington (USA) help elucidate Holocene environmental dynamics in the interior Pacific Northwest. Round Lake lies near the ecotone between sagebrush steppe and dry pine forest, making it highly sensitive to changes in precipitation-evaporation (P-E) balance. We present isotopic, sedimentological, and paleoecological data from a single sedimentary sequence analyzed at sufficient resolution to detect sub-decadal climatic variability. During the early Holocene (11,000–8500 cal yr BP), when summer insolation was higher than present, Round Lake experienced persistent aridity that led to reduced forest cover and small, probably frequent surface fires. Sub-centennial hydroclimate fluctuations during this period were muted, as indicated by low multi-decadal variability in δ18Ocarbonate records from the region. Oxygen isotopes indicate increased cool-season moisture during the middle Holocene (8500-5300 BP), but stratigraphic evidence suggests intermediate and variable lake levels. The deposition of the Mazama tephra (ca. 7600 cal yr BP) immediately preceded to a protracted expansion of steppe at the expense of forest. Increased hydroclimate variability and fire activity following ash deposition likely restricted conifer taxa even when elevated cool-season moisture would have facilitated their growth. The late Holocene was marked by persistently high lake levels, as indicated by the lithostratigraphic and pollen records. Comparatively large multidecadal variations in precipitation, which peaked during the last millennium, were also prominent features of late-Holocene hydroclimate, and may have been related to the strengthening of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Pinus and Pseudotsuga show a 60–100 year lag in their response to hydroclimatic variations inferred from the oxygen isotope records. These results highlight how millennial-to-decadal scale hydroclimate conditions, along with abrupt landscape change, influence ecology in a water-stressed region of western North America.

Late Holocene climate dynamics in the Azores archipelago

The location of the Azores Archipelago makes this group of islands an excellent setting for investigating past long-term temperature and precipitation changes in the central North Atlantic region. Here, we present a chironomid-based quantitative temperature reconstruction and a record of oxygen isotope composition of chironomid head capsules for the last ca. 1200 years, based on the Lake Prata core (São Miguel Island, Azores). Chironomids from Lake Prata show that the temperature trend is aligned with the prevailing past global temperature trends, indicating warming during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA; ca. 950–1300 CE) and subsequent cooling during the Little Ice Age (LIA; ca. 1300–1800 CE). Furthermore, changes in lake water oxygen isotope composition from chironomid head capsules were recorded with more positive δ18O values (18.2 ± 0.2‰) during the MCA and more negative values (varying between 14.8‰ and 17.6‰) during the LIA, indicating a positive shift in the precipitation-evaporation balance and/or heavier precipitation in winter relative to summer. Our study revealed that, in subtropical regions with a temperate oceanic climate and low thermal variation, there is a limited correlation between the isotopic composition of precipitation and temperature. Additionally, the temporal sequence of oxygen isotope values obtained from chironomid head capsules closely corresponds to variations in precipitation seasonality inferred from distinct climatic proxies. This consistency underscores the robustness of quantitative reconstructions and indicates that δ18Ochironomid records are promising for future investigations, especially in the context of lakes located on oceanic islands characterised by limited thermal variability.

Modes of Pangean lake level cyclicity driven by astronomical climate pacing modulated by continental position and pCO2

Orbital cyclicity is a fundamental pacemaker of Earth's climate system. The Newark-Hartford Basin (NHB) lake sediment record of eastern North America contains compelling geologic expressions of this cyclicity, reflecting variations of climatic conditions in tropical Pangea during the Late Triassic and earliest Jurassic (~233 to 199 Ma). Climate modeling enables a deeper mechanistic understanding of Earth system modulation during this unique greenhouse and supercontinent period. We link major features of the NHB record to the combined climatic effects of orbital forcing, paleogeographic changes, and atmospheric pCO[Formula: see text] variations. An ensemble of transient, orbitally driven climate simulations is assessed for nine time slices, three atmospheric pCO[Formula: see text] values, and two paleogeographic reconstructions. Climatic transitions from tropical humid to more seasonal and ultimately semiarid are associated with tectonic drift of the NHB from [Formula: see text] to [Formula: see text]. The modeled orbital modulation of the precipitation-evaporation balance is most pronounced during the 220 to 200 Ma interval, whereas it is limited by weak seasonality and increasing aridity before and after this interval. Lower pCO[Formula: see text] at around 205 Ma contributes to drier climates and could have led to the observed damping of sediment cyclicity. Eccentricity-modulated precession dominates the orbitally driven climate response in the NHB region. High obliquity further amplifies summer precipitation through the seasonal shifts in the tropical rainfall belt. Regions with other proxy records are also assessed, providing guidance toward an integrated picture of global astronomical climate forcing in the Late Triassic and ultimately of other periods in Earth history.

Microbial marker for seawater intrusion in a coastal Mediterranean shallow Lake, Lake Vrana, Croatia

Climate change-induced rising sea levels and prolonged dry periods impose a global threat to the freshwater scarcity on the coastline: salinization. Lake Vrana is the largest surface freshwater resource in mid-Dalmatia, while the local springs are heavily used in agriculture. The karstified carbonate ridge that separates this shallow lake from the Adriatic Sea enables seawater intrusion if the lakes' precipitation-evaporation balance is disturbed. In this study, the impact of anthropogenic activities and drought exuberated salinization on microbial communities was tracked in Lake Vrana and its inlets, using 16S rRNA gene sequencing. The lack of precipitation and high water temperatures in summer months introduced an imbalance in the water regime of the lake, allowing for seawater intrusion, mainly via the karst conduit Jugovir. The determined microbial community spatial differences in the lake itself and the main drainage canals were driven by salinity, drought, and nutrient loading. Particle-associated and free-living microorganisms both strongly responded to the ecosystem perturbations, and their co-occurrence was driven by the salinization event. Notably, a bloom of halotolerant taxa, predominant the sulfur-oxidizing genus Sulfurovum, emerged with increased salinity and sulfate concentrations, having the potential to be used as an indicator for salinization of shallow coastal lakes. Following summer salinization, lake water column homogenization took from a couple of weeks up to a few months, while the entire system displayed increased salinity despite increased precipitation. This study represents a valuable contribution to understanding the impact of the Freshwater Salinization Syndrome on Mediterranean lakes' microbial communities and the ecosystem resilience.

Bacterial Communities Along Environmental Gradients in Tropical Soda Lakes.

Soda lake environments are known to be variable and can have distinct differences according to geographical location. In this study, we investigated the effects of different environmental conditions of six adjacent soda lakes in the Pantanal biome (Mato Grosso do Sul state, Brazil) on bacterial communities and their functioning using a metagenomic approach combined with flow cytometry and chemical analyses. Ordination analysis using flow cytometry and water chemistry data from two sampling periods (wet and dry) clustered soda lakes into three different profiles: eutrophic turbid (ET), oligotrophic turbid (OT), and clear vegetated oligotrophic (CVO). Analysis of bacterial community composition and functioning corroborated this ordination; the exception was one ET lake, which was similar to one OT lake during the wet season, indicating drastic shifts between seasons. Microbial abundance and diversity increased during the dry period, along with a considerable number of limnological variables, all indicative of a strong effect of the precipitation-evaporation balance in these systems. Cyanobacteria were associated with high electric conductivity, pH, and nutrient availability, whereas Actinobacteria, Alphaproteobacteria, and Betaproteobacteria were correlated with landscape morphology variability (surface water, surface perimeter, and lake volume) and with lower salinity and pH levels. Stress response metabolism was enhanced in OT and ET lakes and underrepresented in CVO lakes. The microbiome dataset of this study can serve as a baseline for restoring impacted soda lakes. Altogether, the results of this study demonstrate the sensitivity of tropical soda lakes to climate change, as slight changes in hydrological regimes might produce drastic shifts in community diversity.

Hydroclimate variability was the main control on fire activity in northern Africa over the last 50,000 years

North Africa features some of the most frequently burnt biomes on Earth, including the semi-arid grasslands of the Sahel and wetter savannas immediately to the south. Natural fires are fuelled by rapid biomass production during the wet season, its desiccation during the dry season and ignition by frequent dry lightning strikes. Today, fire activity decreases markedly both to the north of the Sahel, where rainfall is extremely low, almost eliminating biomass over the Sahara, and to the south where forest biomes are too wet to burn. Over the last glacial cycle, rainfall and vegetation cover over northern Africa varied dramatically in response to gradual astronomically-forced insolation change, changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, and abrupt cooling events over the North Atlantic Ocean associated with the reorganisation of Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC). Here we report the results of a study into the impact of these climate changes on fire activity in northern African over the last 50,000 years (50 kyr). Our reconstructions come from marine sediments with strong age control that provide an uninterrupted record of charcoal particles exported from the African continent. We studied three sites on a latitudinal transect along the northwest African margin between 21 and 9°N. Our sites exhibit a distinct latitudinal relationship between past changes in rainfall and fire activity. At the southernmost site (GeoB9528-3, 9°N), fire activity decreased during intervals of increasing humidity, while our northernmost site (ODP Site 658, 21°N) clearly demonstrates the opposite relationship. The site in the middle of our transect, offshore of the present day southern Sahel today (GeoB9508-5, 15°N), exhibits a “Goldilocks” relationship between fire activity and hydroclimate, wherein charcoal fluxes peak under intermediate rainfall climate conditions and are supressed by transition to more arid or more humid conditions. Our results are remarkably consistent with the predictions of the intermediate fire-productivity hypothesis developed in conceptual macroecological models and supported by empirical evidence of modern day fire activity. Feedback processes operating between fire, climate and vegetation are undoubtedly complex but temperature is suggested to be the main driver of temporal change in fire activity globally, with the precipitation-evaporation balance perhaps a secondary influence in the Holocene tropics. However, there is only sparse coverage of Africa in the composite records upon which those interpretations are based. We conclude that hydroclimate (not temperature) exerted the dominant control on burning in the tropics of northern Africa well before the Holocene (from at least 50 ka).

Adaptations of microbial communities and dissolved organics to seasonal pressures in a mesotrophic coastal Mediterranean lake

In lake ecosystems, changes in eukaryotic and prokaryotic microbes and the concentration and availability of dissolved organic matter (DOM) produced within or supplied to the system by allochthonous sources are components that characterize complex processes in the microbial loop. We address seasonal changes of microbial communities and DOM in the largest Croatian lake, Vrana. This shallow lake is connected to the Adriatic Sea and is impacted by agricultural activity. Microbial community and DOM structure were driven by several environmental stressors, including drought, seawater intrusion and heavy precipitation events. Bacterial composition of different lifestyles (free-living and particle-associated) differed and only a part of the particle-associated bacteria correlated with microbial eukaryotes. Oscillations of cyanobacterial relative abundance along with chlorophyll a revealed a high primary production season characterized by increased levels of autochthonous DOM that promoted bacterial processes of organic matter degradation. From our results, we infer that in coastal freshwater lakes dependent on precipitation-evaporation balance, prolonged dry season coupled with heavy irrigation impact microbial communities at different trophic levels even if salinity increases only slightly and allochthonous DOM inputs decrease. These pressures, if applied more frequently or at higher concentrations, could have the potential to overturn the trophic state of the lake.

Precipitation dynamics on the Tibetan Plateau during the Late Quaternary – Hydroclimatic sedimentary proxies versus lake level variability

Two of the largest and deepest endorheic lakes on the Tibetan Plateau, Nam Co and Tangra Yumco, were targeted to infer Late Quaternary (24 ka) responses of their hydrological balance to environmental dynamics. For this purpose, high-resolution multi-proxy records were used to obtain information on lake level variations and how these are related to direct precipitation proxies. Allochthonous minerogenic input as reflected by potassium (K), is directly linked to precipitation driven by variations in Indian Summer Monsoon. Negatively correlated elements such as Ca, Sr and Mg and associated carbonate mineral phases represent autochthonous sediment production, which is coupled to evaporation in these closed systems. δ 13 C and δ 18 O of bulk carbonates represent lake water conditions, i.e., salinity and lake water volume, interpreted as precipitation-evaporation (P/E) balance. In combination with geomorphological features, i.e., lake level terraces and paleo-shorelines, the multy-proxy data set from Nam Co is used to reconstruct lake level dynamics. Low lake levels of >90 m below the recent one between 20 and 16 ka cal BP are associated with most enriched δ 18 O carb values and the precipitation of aragonite and high-Mg calcite in a shallow lake with highly dynamic allochthonous minerogenic input. Similar conditions are observed between 13.1 and 11.4 ka cal BP matching the Younger Dryas chronozone. Between 15.5 and 13.1 ka cal BP as well as during the Early Holocene (11.4 to 8.0 ka cal BP) distinctly depleted δ 18 O carb and δ 13 C carb coupled with high rates of allochthonous minerogenic input suggest substantial strengthening in precipitation. After 9.4 ka cal BP, the terrigenous input and thus precipitation is significantly reduced, whereas δ 18 O carb reveals only a slight enrichment trend and thus a slowly but steady decrease in lake level througout the Mid- to Late Holocene. The decoupling of this relation between precipitation and lake level suggest that lake level terraces of large endorheic lakes on the TP and also δ 18 O carb records are not a direct indicator of (monsoonal) precipitiation, whereas the allochtonous minerogenic input can be directly linked to precipitation dynamics. This is supported by the comparison to regional archives from the Arabian Sea and the northern Bay of Bengal, showing the very same pattern in precipitation variability. The presented monsoon precipitation record from Nam Co additionally reveals a link to supra-regional atmospheric circulation components as it is oscillating in- and anti-phase to El-Niño strength and frequency. A distinct precipitation change at 2 ka cal BP seems to have affected all archives, however leaving space for future studies to find the cause of this Late-Holocene climatic shift. • First Late Quaternary lake level reconstruction for Nam Co, one of the best and most investigated lakes on the TP • Presentation of a robust paleo-precipitation proxy, i.e., allochthonous minerogenic input into the Tibetan lakes • Decoupling of lake level and precipitation proxy suggests e.g., paleo shorelines do not trace paleo-monsoonal variability • Robustness of the paleo-precipitation proxy supported by excellent temporal match of the variability to regional archives • Supra-regional link between paleo-precipitation on the Tibetan Plateau and the Tropical Pacific (El Niño variability)

A dynamic ocean driven by changes in CO2 and Antarctic ice-sheet in the middle Miocene

The middle Miocene climate transition (MMCT), likely triggered by a decrease in atmospheric CO2 concentration and changes in the Earth's orbital configuration, entailed major expansion of the Antarctic ice-sheet and cooling of the global ocean at ~15–13 Ma. By comparing simulations that use boundary conditions representative of 15 and 13 Ma, we assess the response of ocean temperatures and deep ocean circulation to atmospheric CO2 drawdown (from 400 to 200 ppmv) and Antarctic ice-sheet expansion (43 m of sea-level equivalent) during the MMCT by means of the Community Climate System Model version 3. The model simulates a decrease in mean global sea-surface temperature by 1.6 °C across the transition. Individual forcing experiments reveal that surface cooling is fully attributable to the CO2 drop, whereas expansion of the Antarctic ice-sheet tends to cause a slight global warming of the upper ocean. At depth, modelled ocean temperatures decrease by 1.5–2 °C across the MMCT in most regions. While the CO2 effect dominates deep-ocean cooling, about 25–30% is attributable to the expansion of the Antarctic ice-sheet.In the convection regions of the Southern Ocean, the CO2 drawdown causes an increase in salinity through sea ice formation and changes in the precipitation-evaporation balance. This increase in salinity, together with a decrease in surface temperatures, translates into an intensification in Antarctic Bottom Water formation that cools the deep ocean. The contribution of the Antarctic ice-sheet expansion to bottom and deep water cooling occurs through an increase in the surface heat flux from the ocean to the atmosphere, which is linked to intensified cold surface winds blowing off the Antarctic continent.This study suggests that the magnitude of cooling of deep waters across the MMCT inferred from proxy records can be explained by the combined effects of the CO2 decrease and Antarctic ice-sheet expansion. Our surface cooling estimates are generally lower than those indicated by proxies.

Andean drought and glacial retreat tied to Greenland warming during the last glacial period

Abrupt warming events recorded in Greenland ice cores known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) interstadials are linked to changes in tropical circulation during the last glacial cycle. Corresponding variations in South American summer monsoon (SASM) strength are documented, most commonly, in isotopic records from speleothems, but less is known about how these changes affected precipitation and Andean glacier mass balance. Here we present a sediment record spanning the last ~50 ka from Lake Junín (Peru) in the tropical Andes that has sufficient chronologic precision to document abrupt climatic events on a centennial-millennial time scale. DO events involved the near-complete disappearance of glaciers below 4700 masl in the eastern Andean cordillera and major reductions in the level of Peru’s second largest lake. Our results reveal the magnitude of the hydroclimatic disruptions in the highest reaches of the Amazon Basin that were caused by a weakening of the SASM during abrupt arctic warming. Accentuated warming in the Arctic could lead to significant reductions in the precipitation-evaporation balance of the southern tropical Andes with deleterious effects on this densely populated region of South America.

A Holocene history of the Indian monsoon from Qilu Lake, southwestern China

Understanding the magnitude, nature, and forcing mechanisms of past abrupt changes in Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) strength is central to characterizing future manifestations in the face of global climate change, particularly at centennial time scales. Here we summarize a 6200 year record of oxygen isotopes from Lake Qilu in Yunnan Province, China. The lake is sensitive to changes in precipitation-evaporation balance and precipitates calcite, potentially providing insight into past hydroclimate through oxygen isotope analysis. Beginning at 5200 cal years BP, oxygen isotopes shift to higher values, indicative of a period of aridity and lower lake levels which persist until 3600 cal years BP. Thereafter, lake levels are extraordinarily stable until 1500 cal years BP. At 1500 cal years BP, measurable anthropogenic impacts occur, resulting in the delivery of red, iron-rich catchment soil to the lake and higher oxygen isotope values. These changes are likely the result of land clearance for the expansion of agricultural activities. The Qilu record is remarkably consistent with the record from Xingyun Lake, 10 km to the north, strongly suggesting that regional climate drivers are responsible for the changes after 5200 cal years BP and then the stability from 3600 to 1500 cal years BP. Comparison of both these records with Dongge Cave illustrate the importance of evaporative enrichment in driving higher oxygen isotope values from 5200 to 3600 cal years BP.

Seasonal oxygen isotope variations in freshwater bivalve shells as recorders of Amazonian rivers hydrogeochemistry

ABSTRACTFreshwater bivalve shell oxygen isotope values (δ18OS) may act as a recorder of river δ18O variations that can then be interpreted in terms of hydrology (e.g. precipitation–evaporation balance, precipitation and river discharge patterns). We investigated the potential of this proxy measured across the hinge of South American unionid shells: Anodontites elongatus collected in Peru and A. trapesialis in Brazil. The isotopic signatures were reproducible between individuals of the same species. A. trapesialis clearly showed a strong δ18OS cyclicity in accordance with its growth patterns while A. elongatus presented less clear δ18OS with lower amplitude. We confirm that the deposition of successive growth lines and increments is annual, with growth line corresponding to the wet season. Also, we suggest that low amplitude of δ18OS in the A. elongatus shells indicates a habitat close to the river while large amplitude of δ18OS cycles observed in A. trapesialis shells would reflect a floodplain lake habitat, seasonally disconnected from the river and thus subjected to higher seasonal fluctuations in water δ18O. Considering these promising first results, future studies could be directed towards the use of fossil shells to reconstruct the past and present hydrological and geochemical conditions of the Amazon.

Reevaluation of carbonate concentration and oxygen isotope records from Lake Qinghai, the northeastern Tibetan Plateau

Lake Qinghai is the largest lake on the Tibetan Plateau, and it is also one of the important sites for studying global environmental changes. Over the past 30 years, many studies have used oxygen isotope of authigenic carbonates from the lake as the proxy to infer past environmental and climate changes on the Plateau. However, debate on interpretations of isotopic data and their environmental implications still exist, largely due to the complex arid environment settings and multiple sources/species for carbonate minerals within the lake. In this study, we systematically analyze δ18O values in different-type carbonates collected [i.e. bulk carbonates, ostracode shells, Chara encrustations, and fine-grain (<63 μm) carbonate minerals] from modern lake sediments and surrounding soils, as well as the down-core δ18O values of bulk/fine-grain carbonates since the Last Glacial Maximum. Together with previously published δ18O records from ostracode shells, we try to re-evaluate the controlling factors of variations in lacustrine carbonate δ18O data and to infer environmental changes on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau since the Last Glacial Maximum. Our results show that the lake depth, or the size of the water body, is an important factor to influence the lake water and carbonate δ18O values. A shallow and small lake would be more easily influenced by precipitation δ18O which is characterized by negative values at Lake Qinghai region, while a deep and large lake would be better to reflect environmental changes such as the precipitation-evaporation balance. The “lake volume” effect might be an explanation for the negative carbonate δ18O values during the early Holocene, which was likely caused by an increased influence of negative δ18O values in precipitation and glacial melt water under a small and shallow water body. The δ18O values of ostracode shells and bulk carbonates show similar variations since both of them are dominated by lake water oxygen isotopic composition, but they still have distinct geochemical information. The isotopic differences between ostracode and bulk carbonates probably reflect the temperature differences between the surface and the bottom of lake water. In addition, the δ18O values of evaporative induced carbonates may correlate with carbonate contents, while those of Chara encrustations do not show any correlation with carbonate contents. Our results suggest that special caution would be necessary when using lacustrine δ18O values of authigenic carbonates to infer past hydrological and climate changes in an arid environment.

Stable isotopes and trace elements in modern ostracod shells: implications for reconstructing past environments on the Tibetan Plateau, China

Stable isotopes and trace elements in ostracod shells have been used widely in paleolimnological investigations of past lake hydrochemistry and climate because they provide insights into past water balance and solute evolution of lakes. Regional differences in lake characteristics and species-specific element fractionation, however, do not permit generalization of results from other regions or ostracod species to the southern Tibetan Plateau, in part because most common taxa from the southern Tibetan Plateau are endemic to the area. This study evaluated relations between present-day environmental conditions and the geochemical composition of modern ostracod shells from the southern Tibetan Plateau, to assess the suitability of using shell chemistry to infer hydrological conditions. We studied nine lakes and their catchments, located along a west–east transect in the south-central part of the Tibetan Plateau. Stable oxygen and carbon isotope values and trace element concentrations in recent shells from the four most abundant ostracod species (Leucocytherella sinensis, ?Leucocythere dorsotuberosa, Limnocythere inopinata, Tonnacypris gyirongensis) were measured, together with hydrochemical properties of host waters at the time of sampling. Results revealed significant between-species differences in stable isotope fractionation and trace element incorporation into shell calcite. Stable oxygen and carbon isotope values of ostracod shells were correlated significantly with the stable isotope composition of the respective water body $$ \left( {\updelta^{18} {\text{O}}_{{{\text{H}}_{ 2} {\text{O}}}} \,{\text{and }}\updelta^{13} {\text{C}}_{{{\text{H}}_{ 2} {\text{O}}}} } \right) $$ , reflecting salinity and productivity, respectively. Offsets between δ18Oshell and δ13Cshell and inorganic calcite, the latter representing isotopic equilibrium, suggest shell formation of T. gyirongensis during spring melt. L. sinensis reproduces throughout the monsoon season until September and shows several consecutive generations, and L. inopinata molts to the adult stage after the monsoon season in August/September. The influence of pore water δ13C was displayed by L. inopinata, suggesting shell calcification within the sediment. Mg/Cashell is primarily influenced by water Mg/Ca ratios and salinity and confirms the use of this shell ratio as a proxy for precipitation-evaporation balance and lake level. In addition, Sr/Ca and Ba/Ca can be used to infer changes in salinity, at least in closed-basin lakes with calcite saturation. Observed effects of water Sr/Ca and salinity on Sr/Ca incorporation are biased by the presence of aragonite precipitation in the lakes, which removes bioavailable Sr from the host water, resulting in low Sr/Cashell values. Changes in carbonate mineralogy affect the bioavailability of trace elements, a process that should be considered in paleoclimate reconstructions. Oxygen isotopes and Mg/Cashell ratios were unaffected by water temperature. Positive correlations among Fe/Ca, Mn/Ca and U/Ca in ostracod shells, and their negative correlation with δ13C, which reflects organic matter decay, show the potential to infer changes in redox conditions that can be used to reconstruct past oxygen supply to bottom waters and thus past water-circulation changes within lakes. The intensity of microbial activity, associated with organic matter decomposition, can be inferred from U/Ca ratios in ostracod shells. These findings highlight the value of fossil ostracod records in lake deposits for inferring paleoenvironmental conditions on the southern Tibetan Plateau.

Calibration of hydroclimate proxies in freshwater bivalve shells from Central and West Africa

Freshwater bivalve shell oxygen and carbon stable isotope ratios (δ18O, δ13C) may act as recorders of hydroclimate (e.g., precipitation-evaporation balance, discharge) and aquatic biogeochemistry. We investigate the potential of these hydroclimate proxies measured along the growth axis of shells collected from the Oubangui River (Bangui, Central African Republic) and the Niger River (Niamey, Niger). Biweekly water samples and in situ measurements collected over several years, along with daily discharge data from both sites allowed a direct comparison with proxies recorded in the shells. Data from a total of 14 unionid shells, including three species (Chambardia wissmanni, Aspatharia dahomeyensis, and Aspatharia chaiziana), confirmed that shells precipitate carbonate in oxygen isotope equilibrium with ambient water. Because water temperature variations were small, shell δ18O values (δ18Oshell) also accurately record the seasonality and the range observed in water δ18O (δ18Ow) values when calculated using an average temperature. Calculated δ18Ow values were in good agreement over the entire record of measured δ18Ow values, thus δ18Oshell records can be reliably used to reconstruct past δ18Ow values. Discharge and δ18Ow values from both rivers fit a logarithmic relationship, which was used to attempt reconstruction of past hydrological conditions, after calculating δ18Ow values from δ18Oshell values. A comparison with measured discharge data suggests that for the two rivers considered, δ18Oshell data are good proxies for recording discharge conditions during low(er) discharge levels, but that high discharge values cannot be accurately reconstructed due to the large scatter in the discharge-δ18Ow relationship. Moreover, periods of bivalve shell growth cessation due to high turbidity or air exposure should be taken into account. While δ13C values of dissolved inorganic carbon in both rivers showed clear seasonality and correlated well with discharge, most of the shells analyzed did not record these variations adequately, likely due to the complication of vital effects including the variable contribution of metabolic CO2. Thus, tropical African unionid δ18Oshell values can be used to reconstruct δ18Ow values with high confidence to provide insight on past hydroclimate such as precipitation-evaporation balance and periods of low discharge.

Mid‐elevation ecosystems of Panama: future uncertainties in light of past global climatic variability

ABSTRACTModern changes in regional climates will result in high ecosystem turnover and substantial biodiversity rearrangements. Understanding these changes requires palaeoecological studies at temporal resolutions comparable to the time window at which modern climate change is occurring. Here we present a multi‐proxy, high‐resolution record of forest and lake ecosystem change that occurred during the last 1100 years at middle elevations in Panama. From ∼900 to 1400 CE, regional forest and lake ecosystems were characterized by high seasonality, probably associated with both high El Niño activity and higher global temperatures. At ∼1400 CE, an abrupt transition marked the decoupling of forest and lake responses, with forest responding mostly to local patterns of human occupation, and lake trophic status being controlled mostly by the regional precipitation–evaporation balance, possibly associated with solar irradiance. Factors that played important roles in shaping regional ecosystems during the last 1100 years will probably again play critical roles within the coming decades, i.e. higher precipitation seasonality and higher temperatures. Past responses of the system, together with pervasive human activities, suggest that future conditions will simplify mid‐elevation forests. Given the importance of these geographical locations as hotspots of biological diversity, substantial losses of global biodiversity are foreseen.

Oxygen isotope records of Holocene climate variability in the Pacific Northwest

Oxygen isotope (δ18O) measurements of authigenic carbonate from Cleland Lake (southeastern British Columbia), Paradise Lake (central British Columbia), and Lime Lake (eastern Washington) provide a ∼9000 year Holocene record of precipitation-evaporation balance variations in the Pacific Northwest. Both Cleland Lake and Paradise Lake are small, surficially closed-basin systems with no active inflows or outflows. Lime Lake is surficially open with a seasonally active overflow. Water isotope values from Cleland and Paradise plot along the local evaporation line, indicating that precipitation-evaporation balance is a strong influence on lake hydrology. In contrast, Lime Lake water isotope values plot on the local meteoric water line, signifying minimal influence by evaporation. To infer past hydrologic balance variations at a high temporal resolution, we sampled the Cleland, Paradise, and Lime Lake sediment cores at 1–60 mm intervals (∼3–33 years per sample on average) and measured the isotopic composition of fine-grained (<63 μm) authigenic CaCO3 in each sample. Negative δ18O values, which indicate wetter conditions in closed-basin lakes, occur in Cleland Lake sediment from 7600 to 2200 years before present (yr BP), and are followed by more positive δ18O values, which suggest drier conditions, after 2200 yr BP. Highly negative δ18O values in the Cleland Lake record centered on ∼2400 yr BP suggest that lake levels were high (and that the lake may have been overflowing) at this time as a result of a substantially wetter climate. Similarly, Paradise Lake sediment δ18O values are relatively low from 7600 to 4000 yr BP and increase from ∼4000 to 3000 yr BP and from ∼2000 yr BP to present, indicating that climate became drier from the middle through the late Holocene. The δ18O record from Lime Lake, which principally reflects changes in the isotopic composition of precipitation, exhibits less variability than the closed-basin lake records and follows a generally increasing trend from the mid-Holocene to present. These results are consistent with several proximal reconstructions of changes in lake-level, precipitation amount, and precipitation isotopic composition and may also reflect the establishment of modern El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability in the late Holocene, as inferred from proxy evidence of synoptic ocean-atmosphere changes in the Pacific basin. Results from mid-Holocene (6000 yr BP) climate model simulations conducted as part of the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (PMIP3) indicate that in much of western North America, the cold season (October–March) was wetter and the warm season (April–September) was considerably drier relative to the late Holocene, leading to an overall drier climate in western North America with enhanced hydroclimatic seasonality. This is consistent with inferences from the Cleland and Paradise δ18O records, which lake modeling experiments indicate are strongly influenced by cold season precipitation-evaporation balance. This also explains apparent inconsistencies between the lake δ18O records and other proxies of hydroclimatic change from the greater Pacific Northwest region that are less sensitive to cold season climate and thus indicate relatively drier conditions during the mid-Holocene. The abrupt negative excursion at ∼2400 yr BP in the Cleland Lake δ18O data, as well as the marked shift to more positive values after this time, demonstrate that gradual changes in ocean-atmosphere dynamics can produce abrupt, non-linear hydroclimate responses in the interior regions of western North America.

The climate variability in northern Levant over the past 20,000 years

The Levant constitutes an important region for assessing linkages between climate and societal changes throughout the course of human history. However, large uncertainties remain in our understanding of the region's hydroclimate variability under varying boundary conditions. Here we present a new high-resolution, precisely dated speleothem oxygen-carbon isotope and Sr/Ca records, spanning the last 20 ka from Jeita Cave, northern Levant. Our record reveals a higher (lower) precipitation-evaporation (P-E) balance during the Last Glacial Maximum and Bolling interstadial (Heinrich stadial 1). The early-middle Holocene is characterized by a trend toward higher P-E state, culminating between similar to 7 and 6 ka. The middle-late Holocene is characterized by two millennial-length drier periods during 5.3-4.2 and 2.8-1.4 ka. On submillennial time scale, the northern Levant climate variability is dominated by 500 year periodicity. Comparisons with the regional proxy records suggest persistent out-of-phase climate variability between the northern and southern Levant on a wide range of timescales.