Years Of Life Lost Research Articles

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Age-Specific All-Cause Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic

The end of the COVID-19 public health emergency (PHE) provides an opportunity to fully describe pandemic-associated racial and ethnic mortality disparities. Age-specific excess mortality differences have important downstream implications, especially in minoritized race and ethnicity populations. To characterize overall and age-specific all-cause excess mortality by race and ethnicity during the COVID-19 PHE and assess whether measured differences reflected changes from prepandemic disparities. This cross-sectional study analyzed data of all US residents and decedents during the COVID-19 PHE, aggregated by observed race and ethnicity (at time of death) and age. Statistical analysis was performed from March 2020 to May 2023. COVID-19 PHE period (March 2020 to May 2023). All-cause excess mortality (incident rates, observed-to-expected ratios) and all-cause mortality relative risks before and during the PHE. For the COVID-19 PHE period, data for 10 643 433 death certificates were available; mean (SD) decedent age was 72.7 (17.9) years; 944 318 (8.9%) were Hispanic; 78 973 (0.7%) were non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native; 288 680 (2.7%) were non-Hispanic Asian, 1 374 228 (12.9%) were non-Hispanic Black or African American, 52 905 (0.5%) were non-Hispanic more than 1 race, 15 135 (0.1%) were non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander, and 7 877 996 (74.1%) were non-Hispanic White. More than 1.38 million all-cause excess deaths (observed-to-expected ratio, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.12-1.18]) occurred, corresponding to approximately 23 million years of potential life lost (YPLL) during the pandemic. For the total population (all ages), the racial and ethnic groups with the highest observed-to-expected all-cause mortality ratios were the American Indian or Alaska Native (1.34 [95% CI, 1.31-1.37]) and Hispanic (1.31 [95% CI, 1.27-1.34]) populations. However, higher ratios were observed in the US population aged 25 to 64 years (1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.22]), greatest among the American Indian or Alaska Native (1.45 [95% CI, 1.42-1.48]), Hispanic (1.40 [95% CI, 1.38-1.42]), and Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (1.39 [95% CI, 1.34-1.44]) groups. In the total population aged younger than 25 years, the Black population accounted for 51.1% of excess mortality, despite representing 13.8% of the population. Had the rate of excess mortality observed among the White population been observed among the total population, more than 252 000 (18.3%) fewer excess deaths and more than 5.2 million (22.3%) fewer YPLL would have occurred. In this cross-sectional study of the US population during the COVID-19 PHE, excess mortality occurred in all racial and ethnic groups, with disparities affecting several minoritized populations. The greatest relative increases occurred in populations aged 25 to 64 years. Documented differences deviated from prepandemic disparities.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease attributable to air pollution in the South Asian countries: global burden of disease study 1990 - 2019.

This study investigates the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution in South Asia using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study from 1990 to 2019. Method Data for this study were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The burden was measured in terms of death, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and Years of life lost (YLLs). Results Since 1990, several countries in South Asia registered substantial declines in mortality rates attributed to COPD, ranging from -37.47% in Pakistan to -66.25% in Bangladesh. Similar trends were observed for DALYs and YLLs as well, which have potentially contributed to a considerable decrease in mortality rates at the regional level (-43.13%) compared to a 32.59% decline in Low SDI and 56.87% decline globally. Conclusion Despite significant declines since 1990, the burden of COPD attributable to air pollution reductions in the South Asian region's rates remains alarmingly high.

The burden of healthcare-associated infections in New Zealand public hospitals 2021.

There are no contemporary data on the burden of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) in New Zealand. To estimate the economic burden of HAIs in adults in New Zealand public hospitals by number and monetary value of bed days lost; number of deaths, number of life years lost, and the monetary value (in NZ dollars); Accident Compensation Commission (ACC) HAI treatment injury payments; and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The annual incidence rate was calculated from the observed prevalence of HAIs in New Zealand, and length of patient stays. Total HAIs for 2021 were estimated by multiplying adult admissions by incidence rates. The excess length of stay and mortality risk attributed to those with HAI was calculated using a multistate model. Payments for treatment injuries were obtained from the ACC. DALYs for HAIs were estimated from the literature. The incidence rate of HAI was 4.74%, predicting 24,191 HAIs for 2021, resulting in 76,861 lost bed days, 699 deaths, with 9,371 years of life lost (YoLL). The annual economic burden was estimated to be $955m comprised of $121m for lost bed days, $792m for cost of YoLL, and $43m ACC claims. There were 24,165 DALY which is greater than many other measured injuries in New Zealand, eg motor vehicle traffic crashes with 20,328 DALY. HAIs are a significant burden for patients, their families, and the public health system. Preventive guidelines for many HAIs exist and a strategic plan is needed to reduce HAIs in New Zealand.

Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Smoking is the leading behavioural risk factor for mortality globally, accounting for more than 175 million deaths and nearly 4·30 billion years of life lost (YLLs) from 1990 to 2021. The pace of decline in smoking prevalence has slowed in recent years for many countries, and although strategies have recently been proposed to achieve tobacco-free generations, none have been implemented to date. Assessing what could happen if current trends in smoking prevalence persist, and what could happen if additional smoking prevalence reductions occur, is important for communicating the effect of potential smoking policies. In this analysis, we use the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation's Future Health Scenarios platform to forecast the effects of three smoking prevalence scenarios on all-cause and cause-specific YLLs and life expectancy at birth until 2050. YLLs were computed for each scenario using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 reference life table and forecasts of cause-specific mortality under each scenario. The reference scenario forecasts what could occur if past smoking prevalence and other risk factor trends continue, the Tobacco Smoking Elimination as of 2023 (Elimination-2023) scenario quantifies the maximum potential future health benefits from assuming zero percent smoking prevalence from 2023 onwards, whereas the Tobacco Smoking Elimination by 2050 (Elimination-2050) scenario provides estimates for countries considering policies to steadily reduce smoking prevalence to 5%. Together, these scenarios underscore the magnitude of health benefits that could be reached by 2050 if countries take decisive action to eliminate smoking. The 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of estimates is based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile of draws that were carried through the multistage computational framework. Global age-standardised smoking prevalence was estimated to be 28·5% (95% UI 27·9-29·1) among males and 5·96% (5·76-6·21) among females in 2022. In the reference scenario, smoking prevalence declined by 25·9% (25·2-26·6) among males, and 30·0% (26·1-32·1) among females from 2022 to 2050. Under this scenario, we forecast a cumulative 29·3 billion (95% UI 26·8-32·4) overall YLLs among males and 22·2 billion (20·1-24·6) YLLs among females over this period. Life expectancy at birth under this scenario would increase from 73·6 years (95% UI 72·8-74·4) in 2022 to 78·3 years (75·9-80·3) in 2050. Under our Elimination-2023 scenario, we forecast 2·04 billion (95% UI 1·90-2·21) fewer cumulative YLLs by 2050 compared with the reference scenario, and life expectancy at birth would increase to 77·6 years (95% UI 75·1-79·6) among males and 81·0 years (78·5-83·1) among females. Under our Elimination-2050 scenario, we forecast 735 million (675-808) and 141 million (131-154) cumulative YLLs would be avoided among males and females, respectively. Life expectancy in 2050 would increase to 77·1 years (95% UI 74·6-79·0) among males and 80·8 years (78·3-82·9) among females. Existing tobacco policies must be maintained if smoking prevalence is to continue to decline as forecast by the reference scenario. In addition, substantial smoking-attributable burden can be avoided by accelerating the pace of smoking elimination. Implementation of new tobacco control policies are crucial in avoiding additional smoking-attributable burden in the coming decades and to ensure that the gains won over the past three decades are not lost. Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Country and continent-wise trends in mortality rates of ovarian cancer from 1980-2021: An analysis of GBD study 2021.

148 Background: Ovarian cancer is one of the major causes of cancer related deaths in women worldwide. Early detection, primarily via ultrasound , can result in lower mortality and morbidity. We present a comprehensive evaluation derived from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, depicting the ovarian cancer associated mortality pattern from 1980 to 2021. Methods: Data were methodically retrieved from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) study, which included age-standardized death rates, Years of Lost Life (YLL), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The dataset was stratified globally and categorized by continent, with Africa divided into Northern, Southern, Eastern, Western, and Central regions, and by World Bank income levels. Joinpoint Regression was employed to determine average annual percentage changes (AAPC). Results: Globally, the Age standardized death rates (ASDR) for ovarian cancer had an overall decline from 1980 to 2021. In 1980, the ASDR was 4.64 (95% UI: 4.3-5.14), and it declined to 4.05 (AAPC: -0.315; 95% CI: -0.35 to -0.27) in 2021. Globally, the disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) rate was 132.4 (95% UI: 121.3–145.6) per 100,000 people in 1990, and it decreased to 115.14 (AAPC: -0.44; 95% CI: -0.52 to -0.36) in 2021. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized years of life lost (YLL) showed a uniform drop with an AAPC of -0.36 (95% CI: -0.40 to -0.31). However, in continent wise analysis, while the Americas and Europe had continuously declining ASDRs, Asia and Africa had an increasing trend throughout the predetermined time frame. From 1980 to 2021, America had an AAPC of -0.67 (95% CI: -0.69 to -0.65). Similarly, Europe also had a decreasing trend from 1980 to 2021 with an AAPC of -0.48 (95% CI: -0.50 to -0.45). The AAPC for Africa was 1.203 (95% CI: 1.19 to 1.21), showing a greater incline compared to the other continents. The AAPC for Asia was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.527 to 0.563). During further analysis of the African region, we observed that southern and eastern Africa had the highest ASDRs. According to World Bank income levels, low-income and lower-middle-income countries had increasing death rates, while high and upper-middle income countries had decreasing death rates from 1980 to 2021. Conclusions: The study disclosed a global decline in ovarian cancer fatality rates from 1980 to 2021. Although significant progress has been made in the Americas and Europe, mortality rates have risen in Asia and Africa, with southern and eastern Africa exhibiting particularly high rates. An increase in death rates is also observed in low- and lower-middle-income countries, contrasting with an overall decrease globally and in high-income nations.

Systolic blood pressure, a predictor of mortality and life expectancy following heart failure hospitalization, 2010–2023

BackgroundOptimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) targets for the treatment of hospitalized acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients are not known. ObjectivesTo investigate the association between SBP <130 mmHg at discharge or within 30 days and all-cause mortality or years of life lost (YLL) after ADHF hospitalization. MethodsWe analyzed medical records of 14,611 adults who survived ADHF hospitalization at 17 hospitals (2010–2022) with follow-up until May 2023. Sensitivity analysis included 10,515 patients with post-discharge SBP measured within 30 days. ResultsMortality rates at 30 days, 180 days, 1 year, and 3 years were higher in patients with discharge SBP <130 mmHg (6.9 %, 21.1 %, 29.1 %, and 45.1 %) vs. SBP ≥130 mmHg (4.8 %, 16.0 %, 23.6 %, and 40.3 %). Hazard ratios (HR) for mortality were consistently higher in patients with discharge SBP <130 at 1.30 (95 % CI, 1.11–1.52), 1.45 (95 % CI, 1.33–1.58), 1.40 (95 % CI, 1.30–1.51), 1.31 (95 % CI, 1.23–1.38) at these intervals. The average YLL per deceased individual was 1–2 years greater in the discharge SBP <130 group (incidence rate ratios, 1.004 to 1.230). Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that HR for mortality shifted toward better outcomes at discharge SBP ≥130 Sensitivity analysis supported these findings. ConclusionIn hospitalized ADHF patients, SBP <130 mmHg at discharge or within 30 days post-discharge was linked to higher mortality and YLL, while SBP ≥130 mmHg or improvement to ≥130 mmHg post-discharge led to better short and long-term outcomes. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms and benefits of SBP optimization.

P4.17D.03 Analysis of Lung Cancer Mortality Trends and Factors Impacting Years of Life Lost: A 20-Year Hospital-Based Cohort Study in São Paulo, Brazil.

P4.17D.03 Analysis of Lung Cancer Mortality Trends and Factors Impacting Years of Life Lost: A 20-Year Hospital-Based Cohort Study in São Paulo, Brazil.

Pattern of burden cancer breast and relationshipin to human development index in Iran 2009 to 2019: an observational study based on the Global Burden of Diseases

ObjectiveBreast cancer is one of the most common cancers in women worldwide. This study aims is to investigate the burden of breast cancer in Iran and its relationship with the Human Development Index (HDI) during 2009 to 2019.Study designThe present study is an observational study in Iran during the years 2009 to 2019. Data related to the incidence, mortality, Years of Life with Disability (YLD), Years of Life Lost (YLL) and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALY) of breast cancer in Iran were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD-2019) website. Correlation tests are used to check the relationship between these indicators and the human development index.ResultsThe highest incidence rate of breast cancer in 2019 is related to the provinces of Gilan (29 per 100,000) and Tehran (28.55 per 100,000) and the highest rate of death from breast cancer is related to the provinces of Gilan (10.71 per 100,000). and Semnan (9.97 in 100,000). The results showed that there is a positive and significant correlation between DALY (r = 0.626, P < 0.0001), YLL (r = 0.611, P < 0.0001) and, YLD (r = 0.773, P < 0.0001) breast cancer with HDI index. There is a positive and significant correlation between the incidence (r = 0.794, P < 0.0001) and mortality (r = 0.503, P = 0.003) of breast cancer with the HDI index.ConclusionsConsidering that a positive correlation was observed between the incidence and burden of breast cancer and the human development index in the country, it is suggested to implement preventive measures such as public education programs to reduce the incidence and burden of breast cancer and the necessity of screening programs in areas with low human development index. It confirms the diagnosis of disease cases.

An Improved Air Health Index Based on Short-Term Cardiovascular Effects in Tianjin, China.

To construct an improved air health index (AHI) based on cardiovascular years of life lost (YLL) in Tianjin and assess its utility. We derived the exposure-response coefficients from time-series models and calculated the excess YLL (EYLL) for simultaneous exposure to air pollution and non-optimum temperature. The AHI was developed using the EYLL at the WHO 2021 Air Quality Guideline annual mean values and optimum temperature as a reference. We assessed the validity of AHI by comparing the correlations and model fit between the AHI, air quality health index (AQHI), and air quality index (AQI) with cause-specific YLLs. Each inter quartile range (IQR) increase in AHI was associated with 256.31 (95%CI: 183.05, 329.57), 150.34 (95%CI: 108.23, 192.46), 90.41 (95%CI: 64.80, 116.02) and 60.80 (95%CI:33.41, 88.18) person-year increments for non-accidental, cardiovascular, ischaemic, and cerebrovascular YLL, respectively. The AHI, in contrast to the AQHI and AQI, showed the strongest correlations with the risks of cause-specific YLLs, both in the total population and subpopulations. The AHI based on cardiovascular YLL has a greater predictive ability for health risks.

Impact on Fatality Rates and Years of Life Lost During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Experience of the Mexican Public Health Incident Management Command

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic challenged health systems worldwide. In Mexico, the Public Health Incident Management Command (COISS) strategy was implemented to improve health care for patients with COVID-19 who required hospitalization. To evaluate the impact of the COISS strategy on case fatality rates (CFR) and years of life lost (YLL) in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. The COISS strategy included eight actions implemented in states with high epidemic risk (COISS states). A secondary analysis of the public database from the Mexican Ministry of Health was performed considering patients with confirmed diagnoses of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The COISS strategy effectiveness was evaluated by its impact on in-hospital CFR and YLL at the beginning (T0) and end (T1) of the third wave, and at the end of the fourth wave (T2) and compared to states without intervention (non-COISS states). At T0, COISS states showed a higher CFR for hospitalized patients than non-COISS states, which decreased after the strategy implementation. After correction for baseline conditions, lower relative CFR at T1 and T2, compared to T0, and a protective effect in different age groups, especially in those ≥65 years, were found in hospitalized patients in COISS states. The COISS strategy was associated with lower CFR in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at both T1 and T2. At T0, YLLs were higher in COISS states, but there were no significant differences at T1 and T2. COISS interventions effectively reduced CFR in hospitalized patients with COVID-19, providing protection to vulnerable patients and reducing the YLL gap.

Burden of disease in Germany attributed to ambient particulate matter pollution : Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Ambient fine particulate matter pollution with adiameter less than 2.5micrometers (PM2.5) is asignificant risk factor for chronic noncommunicable diseases (NCDs), leading to asubstantial disease burden, decreased quality of life, and deaths globally. This study aimed to investigate the disease and mortality burdens attributed to PM2.5 in Germany in 2019. Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019 were used to investigate disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and deaths attributed to ambient PM2.5 pollution in Germany. In 2019, ambient PM2.5 pollution in Germany was associated with significant health impacts, contributing to 27,040 deaths (2.82% of total deaths), 568,784 DALYs (2.09% of total DALYs), 135,725 YLDs (1.09% of total YLDs), and 433,058 YLLs (2.92% of total YLLs). The analysis further revealed that cardiometabolic and respiratory conditions, such as ischemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, and diabetes mellitus, were the leading causes of mortality and disease burden associated with ambient PM2.5 pollution in Germany from 1990-2019. Comparative assessments between 1990 and 2019 underscored ambient PM2.5 as aconsistent prominent risk factor, ranking closely with traditional factors like smoking, arterial hypertension, and alcohol use contributing to deaths, DALYs, YLDs, and YLLs. Ambient PM2.5 pollution is one of the major health risk factors contributing significantly to the burden of disease and mortality in Germany, emphasizing the urgent need for targeted interventions to address its substantial contribution to chronic NCDs.

Inequalities in severe COVID-19 outcomes in Wales, UK

ObjectiveResearch evidence shows that COVID-19 has disproportionately affected people from more deprived backgrounds. In Wales (UK), there is strong evidence of a socioeconomic gradient in total hospitalisations, critical care admissions and deaths. This study focussed on a cohort of the Welsh population using anonymised individual-level linked population-scale data in the SAIL Databank. ApproachThis analysis examines the impact of confounding/mediating factors on severe health outcomes. We used logistic regression, considering the Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) 2019 as a predictor, to investigate how the coefficient for WIMD is changed when other variables (such as comorbidities, smoking status, Body Mass Index) are added, aiming to understand whether inequalities are mediated by observed characteristics or related to other unobserved factors. ResultsInitial findings show that age-standardised rates of hospital admissions, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions and deaths were roughly twice as high in the most deprived vs least deprived WIMD quintile in Wales. We estimated Years of Life Lost per 1,000 due to COVID-19 as 28.9, with variation between WIMD quintiles of 38.4 for the most deprived and 22.2 for the least deprived. The project also produced regression formulas to evaluate the contribution of the different confounding factors. ConclusionThis study built on existing research findings and further explored the potential reasons for known socioeconomic inequalities in relation to COVID-19 outcomes. Insights from this study have broadened the knowledge around the impact of mediating factors and may contribute to future pandemic preparedness and the formation of future policies.

Spatial-temporal distribution of neglected tropical diseases burdens in China from 2005 to 2020

BackgroundOut of the 21 neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) listed by the World Health Organization, 15 affect the People’s Republic of China. Despite significant achievements in controlling NTDs, comprehensive assessments of the disease burden based on actual case data and detailed information on spatial and temporal dynamics are still lacking. This study aims to assess the disease burden and spatial–temporal distribution of NTDs in China from 2005 to 2020, to provide a reference for the formulation of national health agendas in line with the global health agenda, and guide resource allocation.MethodsThe number of cases and deaths of major NTDs in China from 2005 to 2020 were downloaded from the China Public Health Science Data Center (https://www.phsciencedata.cn/Share/index.jsp) of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and relevant literatures. Simplified formulas for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) helped estimate the years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and total DALYs. Spatial autocorrelation analysis of the average NTDs burden data for the years 2005 to 2020 was evaluated using Moran's I statistic.ResultsChina's overall NTDs burden decreased significantly, from 245,444.53 DALYs in 2005 to 18,984.34 DALYs in 2020, marking a reduction of 92.27%. In 2005, the DALYs caused by schistosomiasis and rabies represent a substantial proportion of the total disease burden, accounting for 65.37% and 34.43% respectively. In 2015, Hunan and Sichuan provinces had the highest diversity of NTDs, with 9 and 8 number of different NTDs reported respectively. And the highest disease burden was observed in Sichuan (242,683.46 DALYs), Xizang Zizhiqu (178,318.99 DALYs) and Guangdong (154,228.31 DALYs). The “high-high” clustering areas of NTDs were mainly in China's central and southern regions, as identified by spatial autocorrelation analysis.ConclusionsChina has made unremitting efforts in the prevention and control of NTDs, and the disease burden of major NTDs in China has decreased significantly. Using the One Health concept to guide disease prevention and control in the field to effectively save medical resources and achieve precise intervention.Graphical abstract

Trend of gastrointestinal and liver diseases in China: Results of the Global Burden of Disease Study, 2019.

China is one of the countries with the largest burden of gastrointestinal and liver diseases (GILD) in the world. The GILD constitutes various causes of mortality and disability. The study aimed to investigate the trend of GILD in China using the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 (GBD 2019) data resources from 1990 to 2019. The data on the age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for GILD in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the GBD 2019 data resources. Furthermore, the ranking of the main causes of deaths and DALYs, as well as the trends of ASMR, DALYs, years of life lost (YLLs), and years of life lost due to disability (YLDs) per 1,000,000 in GILD were reported. The ASMR and DALYs for stomach cancer, liver cancer, and esophageal cancer, which ranked top three among the GILDs from 1990 to 2019, were gradually decreasing. Significant decreases in the ASMR and DALYs were found in diarrheal diseases and acute hepatitis (A, E, and C). However, noteworthy increases were found in those of colon and rectum cancer (CRC) and pancreatic cancer. Trend of DALYs, mortality, and YLLs rates for most of GILD were decreasing from 1990 to 2019, except the burden of CRC and pancreatic cancer with an increasing trend. The DALYs, mortality and YLLs of most GILD diseases showed decreasing trends from 1990 to 2019, except the burden of CRC and pancreatic cancer with an increasing trends. The result of the GBD 2019 showed that the rates of most GILDs decreased in China; however, gastrointestinal and liver cancer, such as stomach cancer still held the top ranking. Furthermore, the shift from infectious diseases to non-communicable causes among GILD burden is occurring and is likely to continue with many public health strategies implications.

The burden of liver cancer in Mongolia from 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Liver cancer remains the leading cause of death and public health threat among the Mongolian population. So far, there has been no in-depth analysis to describe the burden of common attributable factors to liver cancer in Mongolia. Therefore, we aimed to explore the most prevalent causes of liver cancer and its trends from 1990 to 2019. We extracted the primary liver cancer data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 to examine the mortality and morbidity of liver cancer by its etiological types, which included alcohol, viral hepatitis B and C, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). The data was extracted by sex and 5-year age intervals from 1990 to 2019. Data included mortality, incidence, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of liver cancer among the Mongolian population. Mongolia had the world's highest age-standardized DALYs for liver cancer (2558.1) in 2019. Alcohol-attributable DALYs (786.6) were 29 times higher than the global average (26.1), and liver cancer due to hepatitis C (752.6) and B (763.2) were 21.5 (35.0) and 10.9 (69.1) times higher, respectively. Over the past 30 years, there has been a steady increase in the incidence and number of deaths caused by liver cancer in Mongolia. In 2019, liver cancer incidence due to alcohol consumption was 3.1 times higher for males than females, and hepatitis B was 2.7 times higher for males than females. However, the incidence of hepatitis C and NASH were slightly higher for females. Deaths from liver cancer accounted for 9.51% (2365) of total deaths in Mongolia in 2019, with a continuously increasing trend in the fraction of death compared to 1990, which was 11 times higher than the global average (0.86%), particularly in females with a 319.6% (95% UI 234.9-435.7) increase observed during the study period. Liver cancer due to hepatitis B, C, and alcohol each shared about one-third of liver cancer deaths. A comprehensive analysis of the burden of liver cancer in Mongolia reveals alcohol use as a primary cause of liver cancer mortality, particularly affecting men and significantly impacting the disease burden. Viral hepatitis continues to pose a major public health concern in the country. Although significant milestones have progressed, addressing the unique demographic and geographical challenges requires tailored approaches for specific target populations. The evidence generated from this analysis is crucial to support policy guidance, contribute to evidence-based decisions, guide public health prevention measures, and amplify population health promotion and disease prevention throughout Mongolia.

Mortality Rate and Years of Life Lost Due to Ischemic Heart Disease in Southern Iran between 2004 and 2019: A Population-Based Study.

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) account for one-third of all deaths worldwide. In this cross-sectional study, we extracted all death records from the Electronic Death Registration System categorized as ischemic heart disease (IHD) based on age, gender, and the year of death according to ICD-10 for this cross-sectional analysis. The Fars province is situated in southern Iran with a population of about 4 million. An analysis of years of life lost (YLL) resulting from premature death from IHD was conducted using the World Health Organization's 2015 YLL framework. The trend of the YLL rates was investigated using joinpoint regression. In the Fars province, IHD was the cause of 46969 deaths throughout a 16-year study period, (2004 to 2019). Among these, 26,503 (56.4%) were men. The crude death rates per 100000 population for men and women were 84.2 and 66.5, respectively. The total YLL due to premature death due to IHD, during the 16-year study period, was 287625 in male, 209665 in female. The joinpoint regression showed a declining trend in the YLL rate associated with premature death. Annual Percent Change (APC) was -0.6% (95% CI -6.9 to 6.1, P=0.851) for males and -1.5% (95% CI -5.2 to 2.2, P=0.418) for females. The trends of the standardized mortality rate, YLL, and crude mortality rate held steady throughout a 16-year period. Planning for comprehensive primary and secondary prevention and increasing public knowledge of IHD are necessary.

Burden of biliary tract carcinoma in China (1990–2021): Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Biliary tract carcinoma (BTC) is a group of malignant tumors that originate in the digestive system and occurs with a high incidence in China. Few consistent and comparable assessments of BTC disease burden have been conducted at national or subnational levels, and little is known about the demographic, temporal, and geographic patterns of epidemiological characteristics and disease burden of BTC in China. The incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs) due to premature death and years lived with disability (YLDs) of BTC were comprehensively examined by age, sex, and calendar year in the Chinese population, using the methodological framework and analytical strategies used for the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study. All-age incidence increased from 17,077 to 51,720 between 1990 and 2021, and the age-standardized incidence rate rose by 13.62%; all-age deaths increased from 17,251 to 37,833, but the age-standardized mortality rate fell by nearly one-fifth. The DALYs rose by 89.57% while the age-standardized DALY rate fell by 23.24%. Variations of the tendencies in BTC burden were found between sexes and age groups. Data for each provincial region indicate that coastal eastern provincial regions have higher incidence and YLD levels, whereas northern provincial regions have higher mortality, DALY, and YLL levels. The proportions of DALYs attributable to high body mass index (BMI) illustrate the growing attribution obesity has made, and high BMI usually puts more burden on northern provincial regions. These results provide evidence to support precise, targeted, and customed public health strategies aimed at enhancing biliary tract health among the Chinese population.

Overall mortality for community-dwelling adults over 50years at risk of malnutrition.

It is well reported that malnutrition in acute care is associated with poorer health outcomes including increased mortality. However, the consequences of malnutrition on survival in community settings is uncertain. Malnutrition in people 65years or over is often cited. Nevertheless, this study includes both middle-aged and older adults as current public health policy is highlighting the need to increase disease-free life years and is moving away from just extending life to increase overall longevity. The aim of this study is to describe the association of the risk of malnutrition using the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST) with mortality in community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults. We used the UK Biobank to investigate the association between those at risk of malnutrition and mortality in participants aged ≥50years. MUST identified risk of malnutrition and linked data to national death registries confirmed mortality. Years of life lost (YLL) and Cox proportional hazard models with hazard ratios (HR) and confidence intervals (CI) described risk associated with all-cause mortality. There were 502408 participants recruited, 117830 were ≤50years leaving 384578 eligible participants. Based on MUST scores 63495 (16.5%) were at risk of malnutrition with 401 missing some data and excluded. Incidence of mortality for at risk participants was 755 per 100000 person-years, corresponding to 153476 YLL. Of those at risk of malnutrition, 9.5% died versus 7.8% at low risk. Initial survival analysis reported an increased risk of mortality (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.25 to 1.33) that decreased after adjusting for confounders (HR 1.14, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.18) in those at risk of malnutrition versus those at low risk. Risk of malnutrition was associated with increased overall mortality. Modest effect sizes are demonstrated but are supportive of public health policies, which advocate wide-scale community, based nutritional screening for middle-aged and older adults.

Burden of schistosomiasis in global, regional, and national 1990–2019: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BackgroundDespite the gradual decline of schistosomiasis due to the efforts of the WHO and various countries, with the WHO setting a goal to eliminate schistosomiasis by 2030, a comprehensive global assessment of the current status of schistosomiasis has not been conducted. ObjectivesTo provide a detailed description of the changes in schistosomiasis from 1990 to 2019 by using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 database. MethodsWe obtained all relevant data on schistosomiasis worldwide from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) database from 1990 to 2019. The mortality, prevalence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), Years of Life Lost (YLLs), Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) of schistosomiasis were examined by Socio-demographic Index (SDI), age, sex, and year at the global, region and national level. ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized rate(ASR)-prevalence of schistosomiasis has decreased from 2600.9 per 100,000(95% uncertainty interval (UI) 2191.2 to 3059.3) to 1805.0 per 100,000(95% UI 1503.4 to 2146.9). The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) from 1990 to 2019 was 1.28 (95% UI 1.22 to 1.33) in high SDI regions and −2.45 (95% UI −3.03 to −1.86) in low SDI regions. In North Africa and the Middle East, the most substantial reduction in DALYs occurred, with an observed EAPC of −5.36. ConclusionThe burden of schistosomiasis has decreased over the past three decades worldwide. However, the high SDI regions have shown the increasing burden of schistosomiasis. Besides, Multiple countries in Africa still bear a significant burden of schistosomiasis, necessitating robust prevention and control efforts.

Burden of alcohol use disorder and its consequences in Iran from 1990 to 2019: Findings from the global burden of disease study

BackgroundThis study aimed to provide an up-to-date evaluation of the burden of alcohol use disorder and its consequences in Iran from 1990 to 2019. MethodsWe assessed the burden of alcohol use disorder and its three subsequent disorders, including cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, liver cancer, and cardiomyopathy using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. We retrieved data on incidence, prevalence, death, Years of Life Lost from mortality (YLL), Years of healthy life Lost due to Disability (YLD), and Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY), which is calculated by summing YLL and YLD values, indices, as well as sociodemographic index (SDI) values. ResultsAge-standardized DALY rate of alcohol use disorder reduced from 55.5 in 1990 to 41.8 per 100,000 in 2019 (−24.1 %). Similarly, age-standardized DALY rates of cirrhosis due to alcohol use (−28.7 %), liver cancer due to alcohol use (−20.9 %), and alcoholic cardiomyopathy (−36.3 %) decreased in Iran from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, alcohol use disorder had the highest DALY rate among individuals younger than 55 years, while cirrhosis due to alcohol use imposed the greatest burden on those older than 55. After adjusting for the year, SDI was negatively associated with the age-standardized DALY rate of liver cancer due to alcohol use (p < 0.001), positively associated with that of alcoholic cardiomyopathy (p = 0.002), and not significantly associated with the burden of other conditions (p > 0.05). ConclusionsDespite reductions in the age-standardized DALY rate of alcohol use disorders and related consequences among Iranians, they remain a serious public health concern in Iran.