Potential Risk Factors For Mortality Research Articles

Risk Factor Analysis Including Inflammatory Markers for ICU Admission and Survival After Pneumonectomy.

Background and Objectives: To assess the impact of preoperative inflammatory parameters on the necessity for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and survival after pneumonectomy. Materials and Methods: We enrolled 207 adult patients who underwent pneumonectomy between December 2016 and January 2022. We collected data from patients' electronic medical records. Results: The preoperative albumin level was statistically lower, need for blood transfusion was higher, and length of hospital stay was longer in ICU-admitted patients (p = 0.017, p = 0.020, and p = 0.026, respectively). In multivariate analysis, intra-pericardial pneumonectomy and postoperative complications were predictive factors for ICU admission (OR = 3.46; 95%CI: 1.45-8.23; p = 0.005 and OR = 5.10; 95%CI: 2.21-11.79; p < 0.001, respectively). Sleeve or pericardial pneumonectomy (p = 0.010), intraoperative vascular injury (p = 0.003), the need for mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001), acute renal failure (p = 0.018), sepsis (p = 0.008), respiratory failure (p < 0.001), pneumonia (p = 0.025), the need for blood transfusion (p = 0.047), elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (p = 0.046), and elevated creatinine levels (p = 0.004) were more common in patients who died within 28 days. Patients who died within 90 days exhibited higher preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) values (p = 0.019) and serum creatinine levels (p = 0.008), had a greater prevalence of sleeve or intra-pericardial pneumonectomy (p = 0.002), the need for mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001), intraoperative vascular injury (p = 0.049), sepsis (p < 0.001), respiratory failure (p = 0.019), and contralateral pneumonia (p = 0.008) than those who did not. Conclusions: Intra-pericardial pneumonectomy and postoperative complications are independent predictors of ICU admission after pneumonectomy. Tracheal sleeve and intra-pericardial procedures, intraoperative and postoperative complications, the need for blood transfusion, preoperative NLR ratio, BUN and creatinine levels may also be potential risk factors for mortality.

Serum homocysteine levels and mortality: a cohort study

Abstract Background Homocysteine, an intermediate metabolite derived from dietary methionine, plays a pivotal role in deoxyribonucleic acid expression and contribute to its antioxidant capabilities. Elevated homocysteine levels can increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and neurological disorder; however, low levels of homocysteine are generally not considered harmful. This study evaluates the association between all levels of homocysteine-both low and high-and the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Korean adult men. Methods A study involving 221,356 Korean adult men categorized them into quintiles based on their homocysteine levels. The main outcomes examined were mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, and dementia. Hazard ratios (HRs) were determined using Cox proportional hazards models, and the dose-response relationship between homocysteine levels and mortality risk was further analyzed using a restricted cubic splines model. Results Compared to the reference category (Q2, 8.8-9.9 µmol/L), there was a significant increase in all-cause mortality associated with both low and high homocysteine levels after adjusting for multiple variables (Pinteraction=0.002). Furthermore, spline regression revealed a U-shaped relationship between homocysteine levels and both all-cause and CVD mortality, with an inflection point at 9.1 µmol/L. This U-shaped association was not observed in the subgroup that received vitamin supplements. Conclusions Among young and middle-aged Korean adult men, both low and high homocysteine levels were found to increase the risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, demonstrating a U-shaped relationship. However, this association lost statistical significance with vitamin supplementation. These findings underscore the importance of monitoring both low and high homocysteine levels as potential mortality risk factors in men and suggest a possible protective role of vitamins. Key messages • Both low and high levels of homocysteine in young and middle-aged Korean men are associated with increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, demonstrating a U-shaped relationship. • Vitamin supplementation appears to nullify this association, suggesting a potential protective effect against mortality.

Prognostic Impact of Pulmonary Diseases in 952 Patients with Thoracic and/or Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm

Background/Objectives: Pulmonary diseases are common in patients with thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA) and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Although high prevalences of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and lung cancer (LC) are known, the prevalence of these and other pulmonary diseases regarding their relation to the outcome of TAA and/or AAA are not determined. Methods: Pulmonary diseases present at aortic aneurysm (AA) diagnosis and follow-up periods and cause of death of 952 patients with TAA, AAA, or TAA + AAA (including thoracoabdominal AA) treated at our institution in Japan were retrospectively analyzed. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate potential risk factors of mortality. Results: The mean patient age was 72.4 years, and the median follow-up was 4.92 years. At diagnosis, 528 (55.5%) patients had pulmonary diseases, including emphysema without interstitial lung disease (ILD) or LC, LC, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) without LC, non-IPF ILD without LC, and interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) without LC in 250, 85, 65, 15, and 58 patients, respectively. During follow-up, LC and acute exacerbation (AE) of IPF developed in 50 and 12 patients, respectively. In 213 patients who died, there were 45 (21.1%) aortic disease-related deaths. Other causes of death included LC (27.7%), cardiovascular events (9.4%), pneumonia (5.6%), and interstitial lung disease (4.7%). In a multivariate Cox regression hazard model, age; larger maximum aneurysm diameter; and coexisting LC, IPF, or concomitant cancer were associated with poor prognosis. Conclusions: In patients with AA, not only age and aneurysm diameter but also coexisting LC and IPF were prognostic factors for mortality.

Retinal detachment and mortality in patients with cytomegalovirus retinitis: A multicenter study in taiwan.

To characterize patients with cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis and identify risk factors for retinal detachment (RD) and mortality in this Taiwanese patient population. This retrospective study included patients diagnosed with CMV retinitis between 2007 and 2019. The diagnosis was confirmed through aqueous polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Relevant data were collected from the Chang Gung Research Database. Univariate Cox regression was performed to identify the associations of RD and mortality risks with various patient characteristics, including demographic features, comorbidities, laboratory results, and medication use patterns. In total, 32 patients with CMV retinitis were included. Among these patients, 78.1% had an immunocompromised status, including 56.3% with high-dose systemic steroid use, 21.9% with HIV infection, 12.5% with hematologic malignancy, and 9.4% with renal transplantation. Approximately 21.9% of patients had RD 2.4 ± 2.1 months after CMV retinitis diagnosis, and 34.4% died within 6.2 [4.2, 38.2] months after diagnosis. Patients with RD had a statistically significant, but likely not clinically significant, later initiation of anti-CMV medications compared to their non-RD counterparts (8 [5, 23] days vs. 2 [1,11] days, p = 0.039). Mortality was significantly associated with older age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.06; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.10), hematologic malignancy (HR: 5.92; 95% CI: 1.44-24.37), and positivity for CMV on blood PCR (HR: 4.93; 95% CI: 1.49-16.35). Our study suggests that older age, hematologic malignancy, and positivity for CMV on blood PCR are risk factors for mortality in patients with CMV retinitis. What is known Cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis is the predominant sight-threatening opportunistic ocular infection in patients with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). What is new In the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy for AIDS, the majority of CMV retinitis patients are those receiving immunomodulatory therapy for underlying diseases. Older age, hematologic malignancy, and positive blood polymerase chain reaction for CMV are potential risk factors for mortality in patients with CMV retinitis.

The Association Between Elevated Myocardial Injury-Related Biomarker (TnI) and Increased Mortality in Patients With Severe Fever With Thrombocytopenia Syndrome.

The objective of this study was to investigate the dynamic profiles of myocardial injury biomarkers and their association with mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS). A retrospective cohort study. Union Hospital in Wuhan, China. A total of 580 patients with SFTS, observed between May 2014 and December 2021, were included in the final analysis. None. In total, 580 patients with SFTS were enrolled in the study, comprised of 469 survivors and 111 nonsurvivors, with a 21-day fatality rate of 19.1%. The elevation of troponin I (TnI) was observed in 61.6% patients (357/580) with SFTS upon admission, and 68.4% patients (397/580) developed an abnormal TnI level during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic regression identified age, viral load, platelet count, creatinine level, and TnI level as potential risk factors for mortality in patients with SFTS. The results of restricted cubic splines revealed that when the TnI level (baseline TnI: 1.55 [lg (ng/L+1)], peak value: TnI 1.90 [lg (ng/L+1)]) exceeded a certain threshold, the predicted mortality of patients with SFTS increased alongside the rise in TnI levels. Mortality rate surpassed 40% among patients with SFTS with TnI greater than or equal to 10 times the upper limit of normal at admission (43.8%) or during hospitalization (41.7%). Older age, a history of cardiovascular disease, and higher d -dimer levels were potential risk factors for elevated TnI levels in patients with SFTS. Elevated TnI levels were prevalent among patients with SFTS and were strongly associated with an increased risk of mortality.

Mortality risk of patients with intestinal obstruction

BackgroundIntestinal obstruction represents a severe intestinal disease associated with higher mortality rates. However, the determinants of mortality in patients with intestinal obstruction remain inadequately understood. This study sought to elucidate the potential risk factors associated with mortality in the context of intestinal obstruction during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed on a cohort of 227 patients diagnosed with intestinal obstruction at the First Hospital of Hebei Medical University, spanning the period from September 7, 2022, to January 7, 2023. The primary endpoint of the study was mortality within four weeks following discharge. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression models were utilized to evaluate the risk factors associated with mortality outcomes.ResultsA cohort of 227 patients diagnosed with intestinal obstruction (median age, 59.02 years [IQR, 48.95–70.85 years]) was included in our study. Malignant bowel obstruction (MBO) and COVID-19 were identified as independent risk factors for mortality among these patients. Notably, the mortality rate increased significantly to 38.46% when MBO was concomitant with COVID-19. Furthermore, postoperative pulmonary complications (PPC) (OR, 54.21 [death]; 95% CI, 3.17-926.31), gastric cancer (OR, 9.71 [death]; 95% CI, 1.38–68.18), VTE (Caprini Score ≥ 5) (OR, 7.64 [death]; 95% CI, 1.37–42.51), and COVID-19 (OR, 5.72 [death]; 95% CI, 1.01–32.29) were all determined to be independent risk factors for postoperative mortality. Additionally, gastric cancer could have emerged as one of the most severe risk factors for mortality in individuals with intestinal obstruction within the cohort of cancer patients, of which gastric cancer exhibited higher mortality rates compared to individuals with other forms of cancer.ConclusionThe study identifies MBO, gastric cancer, COVID-19, PPC, and VTE as potential risk factors for mortality in cases of intestinal obstruction. These findings highlight the necessity for continuous monitoring of indicators related to these mortality risk factors and their associated complications, thereby offering valuable insights for the management and treatment of intestinal obstruction.

The Onset of Antinuclear Antibodies (ANAs) as a Potential Risk Factor for Mortality and Morbidity in COVID-19 Patients: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.

The immune system's amplified response to SARS-CoV-2 may lead to the production of autoantibodies, but their specific impact on disease severity and outcome remains unclear. This study aims to assess if hospitalized COVID-19 patients face a worse prognosis based on ANA presence, even without autoimmune diseases. We performed a retrospective, single-center, observational cohort study, enrolling 638 COVID-19 patients hospitalized from April 2020 to March 2021 at Hospital "Policlinico Riuniti" of Foggia (Italy). COVID-19 patients with a positive ANA test exhibited a significantly lower 30-day survival rate (64.4% vs. 83.0%) and a higher likelihood of severe respiratory complications during hospitalization than those with negative ANA screening (35.4% vs. 17.0%) (p < 0.001). The association between poor prognosis and ANA status was identified by calculating the HALP score (Hemoglobin-Albumin-Lymphocyte-Platelet), which was lower in COVID-19 patients with a positive ANA test compared to ANA-negative patients (108.1 ± 7.4 vs. 218.6 ± 11.2 AU; p < 0.011). In detail, COVID-19 patients with a low HALP showed a lower 30-day survival rate (99.1% vs. 83.6% vs. 55.2% for high, medium, and low HALP, respectively; p < 0.001) and a higher incidence of adverse respiratory events compared to those with high and medium HALP (13.1% vs. 35.2% vs. 64.6% for high, medium, and low HALP, respectively; p < 0.001). In summary, ANA positivity in COVID-19 patients appears to be linked to a more aggressive disease phenotype with a reduced survival rate. Furthermore, we propose that the HALP score could serve as a valuable parameter to assess prognosis for COVID-19 patients.

Management and Long-Term Outcomes of Drug Reaction with Eosinophilia and Systemic Symptoms (DReSS) in Children: A Scoping Review.

Drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DReSS) is known to cause mortality and long-term sequelae in the pediatric population, however there are no established clinical practice guidelines for the management of pediatric DReSS. We conducted a scoping review, according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, to summarize the currently available data on treatment, mortality, and long-term sequelae of DReSS in children (aged 0-18 years). Data from 644 individuals revealed that various treatment strategies are being used in the management of pediatric DReSS, and strategies were often used in combination. The diversity in treatment approaches cannot be solely attributed to age or disease severity and reflects the lack of evidence-based management guidelines for DReSS. Children are also at risk of developing autoimmune sequelae following DReSS, most commonly thyroid disease and type 1 diabetes mellitus. We found that the eventual development of autoimmune disease was more often associated with DReSS caused by antibiotics, especially minocycline and sulfamethoxazole, in comparison with individuals who did not develop sequelae. In this study, we identify strengths and weaknesses in the currently available literature and highlight that future prospective studies with structured and long-term follow-up of children with DReSS are needed to better understand potential risk factors for mortality and development of sequelae after DReSS.

Clinical characteristics and assessment of risk factors in patients with influenza A-induced severe pneumonia after the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2.

The aim of this study is to describe the novel epidemiological and clinical characteristics of influenza A-induced severe pneumonia occurring after the prevalence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and to further assess its potential risk factors for mortality. We retrospectively studied the consecutive case series of 30 patients with confirmed influenza A-induced severe pneumonia treated in the intensive care unit at Dazhou Central Hospital in Sichuan, China, from March 1 to April 30, 2023. Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to evaluate the predictive efficacy of associated risk factors for mortality. The mortality rate was 33.3% in this study. Independent risk factors for mortality of patients were acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (p = 0.044) and septic shock (p = 0.012). ROC statistics for ARDS and septic shock to predict mortality in patients with influenza A-induced severe pneumonia demonstrated an area under the curve of 0.800 (sensitivity 80.0%, specificity 80.0%) and 0.825 (sensitivity 70.0%, specificity 95.0%), respectively. ARDS and septic shock were the independent risk factors for mortality in patients with influenza A-induced severe pneumonia following the end of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. But high level of next generation sequencing reads Aspergillus coinfection, and comorbidities did not increase death risk of the study population.

Factors Associated with Mortality Among Severe Omicron Patients for COVID-19.

The purpose of the study was to explore the potential risk factors of mortality in patients with severe pneumonia during the omicron pandemic in South China in 2022. Clinical data was collected from patients hospitalized with omicron COVID-19. Then, patients were categorized into the non-survival and survival groups. A comprehensive analysis was conducted to analyze the factors associated with negative outcome in individuals suffering from severe omicron COVID-19. In this study, 155 severe COVID-19 patients were included, comprising 55 non-survivors and 100 survivors. Non-survivors, in comparison to survivors, exhibited elevated levels of various biomarkers including neutrophil count, hypersensitive troponin T, urea, creatinine, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, interleukin-6, plasma D-dimer, and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) (P < 0.05). They also displayed reduced lymphocyte count, platelet count, and albumin levels (P < 0.05) and were more prone to developing comorbidities, including shock, acute cardiac and renal injury, acute respiratory distress syndrome, coagulation disorders, and secondary infections. Platelet count (PLT) <100 × 10^/L, interleukin-6 (IL-6) >100 pg/mL, and dNLR >5.0 independently contributed to the risk of death in patients suffering from severe COVID-19. PLT, IL-6, and dNRL independently contributed to the risk of mortality in patients with severe pneumonia during the 2022 omicron pandemic in South China.

4C mortality score and CT severity score among COVID-19 patients: a single center prospective study

BackgroundPredictions about the hospital course of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients are of paramount value. This research was designed to validate 4C mortality and CT severity scores (CT-SS) as prognostication tools of mortality and detect their relations among patients with COVID-19 who are hospitalized. The identification of other potential mortality risk factors was also evaluated.MethodsTwo hundred and ninety-six confirmed COVID-19 adult cases were prospectively included. They were allocated into 3 groups according to severity; 78 in moderate group, 97 in severe group, and 121 patients in critical group. Patient demographics, clinical characteristics, co-morbidities, lines of treatment, 4C mortality score and CT severity score were assessed upon admission.ResultsThe study revealed that 90% and 84.3% sensitivities were observed for 4C mortality and CT-SS respectively as predictors of mortality. Significant correlation between both scores (r = 0.6. p = 0.0001) was detected. Multivariate analysis identified 6.9-fold increased risk of mortality for the patients with 4C mortality score > 9.5 (p = 0.001). CT-SS > 12, age ≥ 60, male gender, hypertension and diabetes mellitus were also found as significant independent factors associated with increased mortality.ConclusionsBoth of 4C mortality score and CT-SS have a high sensitivity as a risk-stratification scores with a considerable correlation. In addition, they represent the most independent risk factors associated with mortality in comparison to other clinical or laboratory indices.

Spectrum of Liver Injury in Dengue Fever: Cause or Effect of Severe Dengue?

The study aimed to determine if deranged liver function tests (LFTs) can predict severe dengue or mortality. It included 135 dengue patients, with a mean age of 30.9 ± 12.09 years. Among the patients, 82 (60.7%) were under 30 years of age. Nearly half of the patients (64, 47. 4%) had some degree of liver damage indicated by deranged LFTs, 27 (42.1%) had elevated alanine transaminase (ALT), 7 (10.9%) had increased bilirubin, and 30 (46.9%) had high values of alkaline phosphatase (ALP). However, only elevated ALP levels were positively correlated with mortality (Pearson's R = 0.282, p = <0.05). The mean bilirubin was 11.711 ± 8.602 umol/l, and the mean values of ALT and ALP were 107 ± 240 and 113.571 ± 59.91 IU/L, respectively, which were higher than the normal. The study findings suggested that hepatic derangement is a common occurrence in dengue patients, and increased ALP levels could be an indicator of a higher risk of mortality. These findings can help improve patient care by identifying the potential risk factors for mortality. Key Words: Dengue, Liver function tests, Alanine transaminase, Alkaline phosphatase.

Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Factors for Adult HIV-Negative Burkitt Lymphoma: a Single-Center Retrospective Study.

We performed a retrospective cohort study to examine the clinical characteristics, prognosis factors, and survival outcomes of HIV-negative adult Burkitt's lymphoma. The retrospective study was conducted on adult patients, who were diagnosed with HIV-negative Burkitt lymphoma at our center between 2014 and 2022. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify potential risk factors for mortality. Survival rates were estimated, using the Kaplan-Meier curve and the log-rank test. A total of 23 patients were identified, with male patients making up the majority (69.6%). Over half (56.5%) of the patients had bone marrow involvement, while a third (30.4%) had central nervous system involvement. More than half of the patients (13/23) were given R-hyper CVAD as their first-line therapy. The median PFS and OS were 11 and 12 months, respectively. In multivariate analysis, central CNS involvement was found to be an independent predictor of worse OS among patients with BL, with a hazard ratio of 15.53 (95% CI: 1.09 - 22.5). We also found that patients with CNS involvement were more likely to have higher LDH (p = 0.045) and ECOG scores (p = 0.002). Our research revealed that CNS is an important predictor of OS and DFS. LDH > 3ULN levels were associated with worse PSF. This study is valuable, because it shows the characteristics of a population that is currently poorly studied and has a lower incidence in China.

Epidemiology, antimicrobial resistance, and outcomes of intra-abdominal infections in China (PRIME): Protocol of a multicenter, prospective, observational study

Introduction: Intra-abdominal infections (IAIs) are a common cause of inpatient morbidity and poor clinical outcomes. Currently, epidemiological studies on IAIs are scarce and generally limited to single-center reports or regional initiatives in China. There is still a lack of epidemiological data on patients with IAIs. This study aims to provide an up-to-date investigation of the epidemiologic characteristics, microbiology, antibiotic treatments, risk factors, and outcomes of patients with IAIs in China, and to provide guidelines for clinical practice. Subjects and Methods: The PRIME study is a multicenter, prospective, observational study, which is conducted in 44 hospitals in China. The study is estimated to include 2250 eligible adult patients diagnosed with IAIs. Data including demographics, severity of disease expression, and microbiological data are collected by trained physicians at each center through a designed electronic data capture system. In addition, the application of antimicrobial therapy and source control, organ support, and clinical outcomes are also recorded. The primary outcome is 28-day mortality. Logistic regression analysis will be used to assess the potential risk factors for mortality. The study is designed to be carried out from November 2023 to November 2024. Results: The main demographics and clinical characteristics of all patients will be summarized. The spectrum and antimicrobial resistance information of pathogenic bacteria in patients with IAIs will be reported. The study will also compare differences in the prevalence of antimicrobial resistance in different regions of China. Treatments against IAI, including infection source control and the application of antimicrobial agents, will be recorded and analyzed. The calculation of 28-day mortality rate and the assessment of risk factors for mortality will be conducted. Discussion: By conducting this multicenter observational study, we hope to provide first-hand data on the epidemiologic characteristics, antimicrobial resistance, and outcomes and the latest epidemiological insights of patients with IAIs in China. Conclusions: This multicenter observational study will provide the latest epidemiological insights of patients with IAIs in China.

Risk Factors Associated with PTLD Related Mortality in Adult Multivisceral Transplant Recipients - A Single Centre Cohort Study.

Background: PTLD is a heterogeneous group of lymphoproliferative diseases which can add significant mortality following multivisceral transplantation (MVTx). Our study aimed to identify potential risk factors of mortality in adult MVTx recipients who developed PTLD. Methods: All adult recipients of intestinal-containing grafts transplanted in our institution between 2013 and 2022, and who developed PTLD, were included in the study. Results: PTLD-associated mortality was 28.6% (6/21). Increased relative risk of mortality was associated with Stage 3 ECOG performance score (p=0.005; HR 34.77; 95%CI 2.94-410.91), if the recipients had a splenectomy (p=0.036; HR 14.36; 95%CI 1.19-172.89), or required retransplantation (p=0.039; HR 11.23; 95% CI 1.13-112.12). There was a significant trend for increased risk of PTLD mortality with higher peak EBV load (p=0.008), longer time from MVTx to PTLD diagnosis (p=0.008), and higher donor age (p 0.001). Peak LDH before treatment commencement was significantly higher in the mortality group vs the survival group (520.3 +- 422.8 IU/L vs 321.8 +- 154.4 IU/L; HR 1.00, 95%CI 1.00 to 1.01, p=0.019). Peak viral load prior to treatment initiation (Cycle Threshold (CT) cutoff = 32) correlated with the relative risk of death in MVTx patients who developed PTLD [29.4 (3.5) CTs in survivors compared to 23.0 (4.0) CTs in the mortality group]. Conclusions: This is the first study to identify risk factors for PTLD-associated mortality in an adult MVTx recipient cohort. Validation in larger multicentre studies and subsequent risk stratification according to these risk factors may contribute to better survival in this group of patients.

Risk factors of in-hospital mortality and discriminating capacity of NIVO score in exacerbations of COPD requiring noninvasive ventilation.

Noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) is recommended as the initial mode of ventilation to treat acute respiratory failure in patients with AECOPD. The Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score has been proposed to evaluate the prognosis in patients with AECOPD requiring assisted NIV. However, it is not validated in Chinese patients. We used data from the MAGNET AECOPD Registry study, which is a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter, real-world study conducted between September 2017 and July 2021 in China. Data for the potential risk factors of mortality were collected and the NIVO score was calculated, and the in-hospital mortality was evaluated using the NIVO risk score. A total of 1164 patients were included in the study, and 57 patients (4.9%) died during their hospital stay. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that age ≥75years, DBP <60mmHg, Glasgow Coma Scale ≤14, anemia and BUN >7mmol/L were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The in-hospital mortality was associated with an increase in the risk level of NIVO score and the difference was statistically significant (p < .001). The NIVO risk score showed an acceptable accuracy for predicting the in-hospital mortality in AECOPD requiring assisted NIV (AUC: 0.657, 95% CI: 0.584-0.729, p < .001). Our findings identified predictors of mortality in patients with AECOPD receiving NIV, providing useful information to identify severe patients and guide the management of AECOPD. The NIVO score showed an acceptable predictive value for AECOPD receiving NIV in Chinese patients, and additional studies are needed to develop and validate predictive scores based on specific populations.

Mortality risk factors in patients receiving ECPR after cardiac arrest: Development and validation of a clinical prognostic prediction model

BackgroundPrevious studies have shown an increasing trend of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) use in patients with cardiac arrest (CA). Although ECPR have been found to reduce mortality in patients with CA compared with conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CCPR), the mortality remains high. This study was designed to identify the potential mortality risk factors for ECPR patients for further optimization of patient management and treatment selection. MethodsWe conducted a prospective, multicentre study collecting 990 CA patients undergoing ECPR in 61 hospitals in China from January 2017 to May 2022 in CSECLS registry database. A clinical prediction model was developed using cox regression and validated with external data. ResultsThe data of 351 patients meeting the inclusion criteria before October 2021 was used to develop a prediction model and that of 68 patients after October 2021 for validation. Of the 351 patients with CA treated with ECPR, 227 (64.8%) patients died before hospital discharge. Multivariate analysis suggested that a medical history of cerebrovascular diseases, pulseless electrical activity (PEA)/asystole and higher Lactate (Lac) were risk factors for mortality while aged 45–60, higher pH and intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) during ECPR have protective effects. Internal validation by bootstrap resampling was subsequently used to evaluate the stability of the model, showing moderate discrimination, especially in the early stage following ECPR, with a C statistic of 0.70 and adequate calibration with GOF chi-square = 10.4 (p = 0.50) for the entire cohort. Fair discrimination with c statistic of 0.65 and good calibration (GOF chi-square = 6.1, p = 0.809) in the external validation cohort demonstrating the model's ability to predict in-hospital death across a wide range of probabilities. ConclusionRisk factors have been identified among ECPR patients including a history of cerebrovascular diseases, higher Lac and presence of PEA or asystole. While factor such as age 45–60, higher pH and use of IABP have been found protective against in-hospital mortality. These factors can be used for risk prediction, thereby improving the management and treatment selection of patients for this resource-intensive therapy.

Reevaluating age restrictions of spinal metastasis surgery in elderly groups with over 2-year follow-up

This study aimed to compare and assess clinical outcomes of spinal metastasis with epidural spinal cord compression (MESCC) in patients aged 65–79 years and ≥ 80 years with an acute onset of neurological illness who underwent laminectomy. A second goal was to determine morbidity rates and potential risk factors for mortality. This retrospective review of electronic medical records at a single institution was conducted between September 2005 and December 2020. Data on patient demographics, surgical characteristics, complications, hospital clinical course, and 90-day mortality were also collected. Comorbidities were assessed using the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (CCI). A total of 99 patients with an overall mean age of 76.2 ± 3.4 years diagnosed with MESCC within a 16-year period, of which 65 patients aged 65–79 years and 34 patients aged 80 years and older were enrolled in the study. Patients aged 80 and over had higher age-adjusted CCI (9.2 ± 2.1) compared to those aged 65–79 (5.1 ± 1.6; p < 0.001). Prostate cancer was the primary cause of spinal metastasis. Significant neurological and functional decline was more pronounced in the older group, evidenced by Karnofsky Performance Index (KPI) scores (80+ years: 47.8% ± 19.5; 65–79 years: 69.0% ± 23.9; p < 0.001). Despite requiring shorter decompression duration (148.8 ± 62.5 min vs. 199.4 ± 78.9 min; p = 0.004), the older group had more spinal levels needing decompression. Median survival time was 14.1 ± 4.3 months. Mortality risk factors included deteriorating functional status and comorbidities, but not motor weakness, surgical duration, extension of surgery, hospital or ICU stay, or complications. Overcoming age barriers in elderly surgical treatment in MSCC patients can reduce procedural delays and has the potential to significantly improve patient functionality. It emphasizes that age should not be a deterrent for spine surgery when medically necessary, although older MESCC patients may have reduced survival.

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of COVID-19 Inpatients and Potential Risk Factors for Mortality in Zahedan, Iran: A Multicenter Study

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an emerging global threat to public health. Objectives: This study examined the epidemiological and clinical characteristics and death-related factors of COVID-19 in inpatients in Zahedan, Iran. Methods: This multicenter study included all COVID-19 patients admitted to Zahedan hospitals within February to April 2020. Demographic, epidemiological, and clinical characteristics were extracted from medical records. Bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to examine the risk factors associated with inpatient mortality. Results: Of 425 patients in this study, 237 and 188 were male and female, respectively. Moreover, 31 (7.29%) patients died. The patients with a severe stage of pneumonia and those with a severe/critical condition of COVID-19 were 35.8% and 35.1%, respectively. The most prevalent symptoms were cough (70.8%), shortness of breath (62.1%), fever (34.1%), bruising (28.7%), and shivering (28.5%). The most prevalent underlying diseases were hypertension (23.3%), diabetes (16.7%), cardiovascular disease (13.2%), chronic pulmonary disease (9.6%), and asthma (5.4%). Adjusted odds ratio (OR) of in-hospital mortality increased for patients with older age (OR = 3.74, 95% CI: 1.39 - 10.32), at least one underlying disease (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.01 - 1.32), severe disease (OR = 30.9, 95% CI: 4.01 - 239.09), and critically severe disease (OR = 736.5, 95% CI: 74.75 - 7256.1) compared to mild/moderate disease. Conclusions: This study showed that older age, disease severity, and underlying diseases were mortality risk factors due to COVID‐19 infection. This finding indicates that priorities for hospital admission must be given to patients with a higher risk of mortality due to limited facilities, especially in less privileged areas.

Invasive Fungal Infections: The Early Killer after Liver Transplantation

Background: Liver transplantation is a standard of care and a life-saving procedure for end-stage liver diseases and certain malignancies. The evidence on predictors and risk factors for poor outcomes is lacking. Therefore, we aimed to identify potential risk factors for mortality and to report on overall 90-day mortality after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), especially focusing on the role of fungal infections. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed medical charts of all patients undergoing OLT at a tertiary university center in Europe. Results: From 299 patients, 214 adult patients who received a first-time OLT were included. The OLT indication was mainly due to tumors (42%, 89/214) and cirrhosis (32%, 68/214), including acute liver failure in 4.7% (10/214) of patients. In total, 8% (17/214) of patients died within the first three months, with a median time to death of 15 (1–80) days. Despite a targeted antimycotic prophylaxis using echinocandins, invasive fungal infections occurred in 12% (26/214) of the patients. In the multivariate analysis, patients with invasive fungal infections had an almost five times higher chance of death (HR 4.6, 95% CI 1.1–18.8; p = 0.032). Conclusions: Short-term mortality after OLT is mainly determined by infectious and procedural complications. Fungal breakthrough infections are becoming a growing concern. Procedural, host, and fungal factors can contribute to a failure of prophylaxis. Finally, invasive fungal infections may be a potentially modifiable risk factor, but the ideal perioperative antimycotic prophylaxis has yet to be determined.