Potential Effects Of Climate Change Research Articles

Evolution and future prospects in quantifying the chemical burden in Portugal

Abstract The quantification of the burden associated with chemicals is essential for comprehending their impact on public health and implementing effective risk management strategies. This presentation underscores the significance of conducting such assessments at both national and local levels, taking into account the exposures and vulnerabilities of those populations. Our objective is to provide an overview of past burden quantification exercises in the Portuguese context while identifying ongoing and future initiatives. Drawing from past experiences, we have initially characterized the burden of the Portuguese population’s exposure to mycotoxins through food consumption, particularly aflatoxins, and the consequent health burden. This laid the groundwork for discussing the potential consequences of climate change in this context and the associated burden. Subsequently, various exercises have been undertaken, incorporating diverse data sources, including human biomonitoring. Currently, several exercises are ongoing or planned, addressing different chemicals and contexts. These include arsenic and its association with various types of cancer, mercury and lead linked to cognitive impairment, and air pollution (e.g., PM2.5 and NO2) and its impact on health (e.g., cardiovascular diseases, lung cancer, asthma). Given the evolving challenges posed by climate change and emerging contaminants, understanding the burden of chemicals assumes increased importance, reinforcing the role of these assessments in safeguarding public health, guiding policy decisions, and highlighting the necessity of prioritizing research and surveillance efforts to protect human health and mitigate the adverse effects of chemical exposures.

Impacts of adaptation to climate change on farmers’ food security and level of sesame production in Western Ethiopia

The existence of multiple stresses and poor adaptive capacity make Africa most susceptible to climate change. In Ethiopia the potential adverse effects of climate change on the agricultural sector, the main stay of the country’s economy, are major concerns. To ensure food security, reducing the vulnerability of agricultural systems through different feasible adaptation strategies is one of the policy options in response to climate change impact This study is a first of its kind in examining the relative effectiveness of various adaptation strategies in ensuring farmers’ food security and enhancing level of sesame production in rural area of Western Ethiopia. In addition to data obtained from meteorological stations, cross-sectional data were collected interviewing 400 farm households. Descriptive statistics, two-stage least square (2SLS) and double-hurdle (D-H) models were used to analyze the data. The results of the study indicate that households are adapting using various strategies to the looming climate change in the area. The study also indicated that, though sesame production was negatively impacted by the climate hazards, smallholders have continued its production at minimum level due mainly to its high value crop character. 2SLS estimation results revealed that rainfall and temperature variability have negative impact on household’s food security. Moreover, the result indicates effectiveness of climate adaptation strategies namely agronomic practices, irrigation and soil and water conservation in reducing climatic risks and ensuring household food security. The result also implicitly indicated that farmers continued to adapt sesame production under risk climate and it is contributing to farmers’ food security. Further, the result revealed that climate change adaptation strategies have positively impacted the level of sesame production. Consequently, policy that augments households’ climate awareness and promotes adaptation decision and strategies could help reducing risks pertaining to climate and thereby improves farmers’ food security status and production of high value export potential crop—sesame.

Quantifying Soil Loss in the Brazilian Savanna Ecosystem: Current Rates and Anticipated Impact of Climate Changes

ABSTRACTThe Brazilian Savanna (Cerrado) is the second‐largest South American biome that corresponds to almost two‐third of the national agricultural production. Extensive agricultural‐driven land‐use changes have significantly altered the landscape, causing increased soil erosion. Furthermore, projections of climate change effects on the Cerrado raise concerns about the potential exacerbation of soil loss and its consequences on ecosystem sustainability. This study investigated soil loss for the Cerrado ecosystem by assessing current rates and projecting the potential effects of future climate change. Current soil loss was based on experimental plots (100 m2) during 7 years maintained under typical main land cover in Brazil (sugarcane, pasture, Cerrado, and bare soil). Erosivity, by using the Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE), was estimated from observations, parameters of erodibility, and land cover. To assess the future soil loss (2100), we used the calibrated USLE equation with yearly erosivity derived from 12 downscaled and bias‐corrected SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios of CMIP6 climate model projections. Current agricultural practices induce considerable erosion, where sugarcane has 3.4 times higher soil loss as compared with the natural soil cover. Regarding future SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5 scenarios (2100), we estimated an increase of 4.9% and 7.6% in soil loss, respectively, for all land covers. The observed soil loss rates underscore the critical importance of implementing sustainable land management practices to mitigate further soil degradation. Climate change may impose additional stress on the Cerrado ecosystem, amplifying the urgency for adaptive measures to safeguard this important biome.

Interactive Effects of Climate Change and Pathogens on Plant Performance: A Global Meta-Analysis.

Plant health is increasingly threatened by abiotic and biotic stressors linked to anthropogenic global change. These stressors are frequently studied in isolation. However, they might have non-additive (antagonistic or synergistic) interactive effects that affect plant communities in unexpected ways. We conducted a global meta-analysis to summarize existing evidence on the joint effects of climate change (drought and warming) and biotic attack (pathogens) on plant performance. We also investigated the effect of drought and warming on pathogen performance, as this information is crucial for a mechanistic interpretation of potential indirect effects of climate change on plant performance mediated by pathogens. The final databases included 1230 pairwise cases extracted from 117 recently published scientific articles (from 2006) on a global scale. We found that the combined negative effects of drought and pathogens on plant growth were lower than expected based on their main effects, supporting the existence of antagonistic interactions. Thus, the larger the magnitude of the drought, the lower the pathogen capacity to limit plant growth. On the other hand, the combination of warming and pathogens caused larger plant damage than expected, supporting the existence of synergistic interactions. Our results on the effects of drought and warming on pathogens revealed a limitation of their growth rates and abundance invitro but an improvement under natural conditions, where multiple factors operate across the microbiome. Further research on the impact of climate change on traits explicitly defining the infective ability of pathogens would enhance the assessment of its indirect effects on plants. The evaluated plant and pathogen responses were conditioned by the intensity of drought or warming and by moderator categorical variables defining the pathosystems. Overall, our findings reveal the need to incorporate the joint effect of climatic and biotic components of global change into predictive models of plant performance to identify non-additive interactions.

Mapping the potential habitat suitability and opportunities of bush encroacher species in Southern Africa: a case study of the SteamBioAfrica project

Senegalia mellifera (Benth) Seigler & Ebinger., Dichrostachys cinerea (L.) Wight & Arn. and Terminalia sericea Burch. Ex DC., are three important bush encroacher species that contribute to the well-known ecological process named “thicketization” in Southern Africa. This issue has persisted for many years, impacting species distribution, plant communities, soil, and fauna dynamics. According to climate change projections, Southern Africa is expected to become drier and warmer in future scenarios, creating favourable conditions for proliferation of bush encroacher species. MaxEnt is a general-purpose machine learning method widely utilized in various ecological and biological scenarios to predict the potential suitable habitat of species. This is achieved by incorporating presence-only occurrence records and bioclimatic, and topographic variables. The analysis was performed in a Geographic Information System based on the current and future suitable areas for the respective Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios according to INM-CM5-0, UK-ESM1-0-LL and MPIES-M1-2-HR climate models. This was done to assess the potential effects of climate change on the distribution patterns of bush encroacher species. Model performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic (ROC), with 0.836, 0.822 and 0.738 as results to Terminalia sericea, Dichrostachys cinerea and Senegalia mellifera respectively. The current results show that Senegalia mellifera presents a habitat suitability of 56% (1,460,353 km²) of the total area, while Terminalia sericea and Dichrostachys cinerea have suitability over 37.9% (996,168 km²) and 43.9% (1,154,645 km²) of the area, respectively. These findings indicate that precipitation and temperature variables are the most important factors in explaining the spatial distribution of the bush encroacher species, predicting a future increase between 8–29.4%, 2.8–24%, and 3–24.2% for Senegalia mellifera, Terminalia sericea, and Dichrostachys cinerea respectively. Furthermore, each species has its own set of important variables and different ecological behaviour patterns. These results imply that an improved understanding of the response of woody species to a changing climate is important for managing bush encroachment in savanna ecosystems. Based on our analysis, Senegalia mellifera is currently suitable in 56% of the total area; while 43.9% of the total area is suitable for Dichrostachys cinerea, and 37.87% of the total area is currently suitable for Terminalia sericea. In the future scenarios, the habitat suitability increases for all three species compared to the current state. The unsuitable areas decrease in all the proposed scenarios with respect to the present, predicting a shrub expansion in the future throughout southern Africa. Furthermore, our results imply that Senegalia mellifera is the most potentially affected by bush encroachment in future changes, with a larger distribution area in future scenarios. These findings are supported by many studies, which indicate the probable increase of woody cover and loss of grasslands. Temperature and precipitation patterns are the main drivers behind the distribution of these bush encroachers, increasing or decreasing the competitiveness of these species according to these variables and their phenotypic plasticity. The increase in habitat suitability occurs throughout the case study, but there is a clear trend of shrub expansion towards the south of the case study. The change maps show a pattern of shrub movement towards South Africa and Botswana. This would fit with climate predictions for South Africa, which predict a decrease in rainfall in the east and north of the country, being more suitable for shrub competitive species.

Trophic cascades regulate arthropods density and plant damage across forest strata.

Research Highlight: Sivault, E., Kollross, J., Jorge, L., Finnie, S., Diez Mendez, D., Fernandez Garzon, S., Maraia, H., Lenc, J., Libra, M., Masashi, M., Nakaji, T., Nakamura, M., Sreekar, R., Sam, L., Abe, T., Weiss, M., & Sam, K. (2024). Insectivorous birds and bats outperform ants in the top-down regulation of arthropods across strata of a Japanese temperate forest. Journal of Animal Ecology. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.14146. Top-down predators exert strong effects on prey populations. Theoretical and empirical studies investigating the cascading effects of predators on biodiversity dynamics and ecosystem functionality have been central to advancing ecology and conservation biology. Yet, how intraguild predation and niche overlap drive the strength and direction of trophic cascades across forest strata is still barely understood. In a study published in this issue, Sivault etal. (2024) investigated the impacts of excluding vertebrate (birds and bats) and invertebrate (ants) predators on arthropod herbivores and plant damage in understory and canopy forest strata. The study finds that birds and bats (but not ants) have negative impacts on herbivore density, which, in turn, benefits plants by reducing leaf damage. Additionally, the effects of vertebrate predators are similar across strata. The authors also show that herbivore density and herbivory are greater in the understory compared to the canopy strata. Sivault etal. (2024) demonstrate that intraguild predation and niche overlap dictate the strength and direction of trophic cascades in forest ecosystems. In addition, these findings shed new light on forest ecology and conservation, especially considering the potential negative effects of climate change on top predators.

Redistribution of vocal snapping shrimps under climate change

A variety of marine organisms can produce sounds that are important components of the marine soundscape and play a critical role in maintaining marine biodiversity. Climate change has greatly altered the geographical ranges of many marine species, including sound-producing organisms. However, the direction and the magnitude of the potential impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of sound-producing marine organisms in future remain largely unknown. To address this knowledge gap, we selected snapping shrimp, one of the most well-known marine sound-producing organisms, as a model species and explored their redistribution under climate change via species distribution models. We aimed to predict the redistribution of snapping shrimps under climate change and identify the influencing factors, which have important implications for marine conservation. Our models exhibited good discrimination abilities and identified maximum temperature as the most influential predictor of snapping shrimp distribution. Model predictions suggested that species richness is higher in tropical and temperate coastal waters and peaks in the Indo-Pacific region. The majority of snapping shrimp species are expected to respond to the changing climate by shifting their geographical ranges to deeper waters and higher latitudes. Our results showed that, in the future, high-latitude species were more likely to experience range expansion, whereas low-latitude species might experience range contraction. Moreover, the Central Indo-Pacific are predicted to suffer the biggest decline in species richness, whereas areas such as the coastal waters of southern Australia and northern China might serve as climate refuges for snapping shrimps in the future. In summary, this study highlights the potential effects of climate change on the distribution of sound-producing snapping shrimps, which may result in cascading effects on marine ecosystems.

High thermal tolerance of egg clutches and potential adaptive capacity in green turtles

Climate warming threatens sea turtles, among other effects, because high temperatures increase embryo mortality. However, not all species and populations are expected to respond the same way because they could have different thermal tolerances and capacities to adapt. We tested the effect of incubation temperature on egg mortality in a population of green turtles (Chelonia mydas) previously suggested to be less affected by extreme climatic events than others. We (1) assessed the relationship between temperature and hatching success, (2) defined an optimal range of temperatures that maximized hatching success and (3) assessed the variability in the response to temperature among clutches laid by different mothers, which could allow adaptation. Hatching success was consistently high in green turtle clutches with a skew toward high values, with 50 % of clutches having a success above 94 %. Yet, it was mildly affected by temperature, declining at both low and high temperatures. The optimal range of mean incubation temperatures was between ~30.5 °C and 32.5 °C. Current mean temperatures (31.3 °C) fall within the middle of the optimal range, indicating a potential resilience to further rises in mean nest temperature. Hatching success was best described by nest temperature and the interaction between female identity and temperature. This last predictor indicated a variability in thermal tolerance among clutches laid by different mothers and therefore, a capacity to adapt. The studied population of green turtles seems to be less vulnerable than others to climate warming. Understanding how different populations could respond to increasing temperatures could help complete the picture on the potential effects of climate change on sea turtles.

Climatic variations and Fasciola: a review of impacts across the parasite life cycle.

Fasciolosis, caused by the liver fluke Fasciola spp., is a significant parasitic disease of livestock and humans worldwide. Fasciola transmission and life cycle are highly dependent on climatic conditions, especially temperature and humidity. This dependency has gained significance in the context of ongoing climate change. This literature review examined evidence on the effects of temperature variability on the developmental stages of Fasciola spp. and the snail intermediate hosts. We reviewed free larval stages of Fasciola spp. development, as well as snail intermediate hosts, while investigating the climate-related factors influencing each stage. We found that Fasciola spp. egg hatching and development were inhibited below 10 °C and optimal between 20 and 30 °C, miracidia hatching time decreased with higher temperatures and cercarial shedding by snail hosts accelerated around 27 °C. Further, metacercarial viability declined at higher temperatures but was prolonged by higher humidity. Snail intermediate host growth rates peaked at 25 °C, and their susceptibility to Fasciola infection depends on temperature, underscoring its importance in transmission dynamics. Overall, the Fasciola life cycle and snail host development exhibit stage-specific temperature thresholds, indicating a complex relationship between temperature fluctuations and parasite transmission potential. This research highlights the key role of temperature and humidity on Fasciola spp. and snail development, shedding light on the potential consequences of climate change on their survival, development, and disease transmission. Data limitations, primarily from the scarcity of high-resolution climate-related experiments, should drive future research to enhance predictive models and deepen our understanding of the impact of climate change on this parasitic disease.

Projections of the Adriatic wave conditions under climate changes

Assessing the impact of climate change on wave conditions, including average and extreme waves, is vital for numerous marine-related activities, industries, coastal vulnerability, and marine habitats. Previous research, primarily on a large scale, has investigated this topic, but its relevance for marginal basins like the Adriatic Sea is limited due to the low resolution of the wave models used and atmospheric forcing. To contribute to filling in the gap, here we implemented a high-resolution model (about 2 km) for the period 1992–2050. The future wave climate is simulated for the RCP8.5 emission scenario. This model, developed within the AdriaClim project, comprises, among others, a high-resolution atmospheric downscaling, a circulation Limited Area Model and a spectral wave model. A comparison of our simulation's results with Copernicus Marine Service wave reanalysis on the historical baseline, confirms its accuracy in reproducing both average wave parameters and 95th percentile values, as well as the seasonal cycle, showing the AdriaClim model's suitability as a source to predict future wave climates in the Adriatic Sea. The projected changes suggest a slight increase in average significant wave height and mean wave period, and a more significant decrease at the 95th percentile, with a relevant variability by location and season, partially aligning with previous studies. This study highlights the potential effect of local climate change in coastal areas and the importance of developing long-term simulation with a downscaled modeling system for regional areas.

Potential climate change effects on the distribution of urban and sylvatic dengue and yellow fever vectors

ABSTRACT Climate change may increase the risk of dengue and yellow fever transmission by urban and sylvatic mosquito vectors. Previous research primarily focused on Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. However, dengue and yellow fever have a complex transmission cycle involving sylvatic vectors. Our aim was to analyze how the distribution of areas favorable to both urban and sylvatic vectors could be modified as a consequence of climate change. We projected, to future scenarios, baseline distribution models already published for these vectors based on the favorability function, and mapped the areas where mosquitoes’ favorability could increase, decrease or remain stable in the near (2041–2060) and distant (2061–2080) future. Favorable areas for the presence of dengue and yellow fever vectors show little differences in the future compared to the baseline models, with changes being perceptible only at regional scales. The model projections predict dengue vectors expanding in West and Central Africa and in South-East Asia, reaching Borneo. Yellow fever vectors could spread in West and Central Africa and in the Amazon. In some locations of Europe, the models suggest a reestablishment of Ae. aegypti, while Ae. albopictus will continue to find new favorable areas. The results underline the need to focus more on vectors Ae. vittatus, Ae. luteocephalus and Ae. africanus in West and Central sub-Saharan Africa, especially Cameroon, Central Africa Republic, and northern Democratic Republic of Congo; and underscore the importance of enhancing entomological monitoring in areas where populations of often overlooked vectors may thrive as a result of climate changes.

Potential impact of climate change on Nearctic leafhopper distribution and richness in North America

Climate change significantly contributes to shifts in the geographical range of pests and diseases. Leafhoppers (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae), known vectors of phytoplasmas pathogens, are linked to the transmission of more than 600 diseases affecting a thousand plant species worldwide. Despite this, the potential effects of climate change on leafhopper vectors of phytoplasmas remain a critical knowledge gap. To address this gap, our study investigated the potential impact of climate change on 14 species of Nearctic leafhoppers previously associated with phytoplasma-related diseases. Using the MaxEnt species distribution algorithm and other ecological niche modeling techniques, we assessed (i) the expected species richness under current climate conditions and four future scenarios and (ii) the environmental niche similarity among these species across these scenarios. Our projections suggest that the eastern region of North America holds the potential for the highest species richness, a trend expected to persist across all future scenarios, gradually expanding eastward. Notably, our findings indicate the increasing suitability of northern Canada for more species. Network analysis further revealed a remarkable similarity in environmental niches among most leafhopper species. Moreover, across the four future scenarios, there is a tendency for an increase in this similarity. Altogether, our study underscores the potential persistent presence of Nearctic leafhoppers in their current habitats while pointing to a shift toward northern North America in future scenarios. These findings have significant implications for sustainable pest management practices, prompting a necessary discussion on strategies to mitigate climate change and pest migration’s impact on agricultural systems.

Environmental consequences and climate change linked ecotourism activities in remote and protected areas of South Africa

ABSTRACT The research focuses on the current and potential implications of ecotourism activities, and their environmental consequences for climate change and sustainability, in South Africa. By linking data and reports on the Musina Municipality's environmental biodiversity management, ecotourism administration, and local community subsistence issues in Limpopo Province are presented. The methods used include focus group discussions and field observations to examine the municipality's natural and tourism resource management and benchmarking ecotourism, conservation, and environmental degradation in terms of sustainability, sustainable tourism, and responsible tourism within the municipality. A detrimental association was uncovered between rural ecotourism-borne environmental consequences and exercises possessing potential climate change effects. When tourism activities adhere to the ideals of sustainable and responsible tourism, however, ecotourism management can result in sustainability achievements. In conclusion, the article argues environmental sustainability strategies can be achieved while permitting livelihoods.

A risk-based approach to the analysis of potential climate change effects on fish communities associated to Posidonia oceanica in the Mediterranean

The Mediterranean is recognized as a climate change hotspot, with ongoing warming anticipated to impact its habitats and their associated fish fauna. Among these habitats, the seagrass Posidonia oceanica stands out as a foundational species, critical for the stability of coastal fish communities. However, our understanding of climate change consequences on P. oceanica associated fish fauna to date remains limited in part due to a lack of long-term data. This study aimed to highlight potential climate change risks to fish species associated with Posidonia, integrating data on species' thermal envelopes with their habitat and depth preferences into a climate change risk index. Specifically, 9 species, including three pipefish and several wrasse species of the genus Symphodus, emerged as being at higher potential risk from climatic change. A historical time series from Palma Bay (Balearic Islands, Spain), spanning 45 years and providing clear evidence of warming, was employed to evaluate trends in species abundance and occurrence in relation to their relative climate risk score. While certain high-risk species like Symphodus cinereus and Diplodus annularis showed an increase in abundance over time, others, such as the pipefish Syngnathus acus, Syngnathus typhle and Nerophis maculatus experienced declines. The absence of observed declines in some high-risk species could be attributed to several factors, such as acclimation, adaptation, or unmet response thresholds. However, this does not rule out the potential for future changes in these species. Factors such as increased nutrient influx due to growing human populations and changes in fishing regulations may also have contributed to the observed trends. These findings underscore the intricate interplay of environmental and anthropogenic factors and accentuate the pressing need for sustained, long-term data acquisition to fathom the implications of climate change on this highly important marine ecosystem.

Widespread flooding dynamics under climate change: characterising floods using grid-based hydrological modelling and regional climate projections

Abstract. An event-based approach has been used to explore the potential effects of climate change on the spatial and temporal coherence of widespread flood events in Great Britain. Time series of daily mean river flow were generated using a gridded national-scale hydrological model (Grid-to-Grid) driven by a 12-member ensemble of regional climate projections from UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18), for 30-year baseline (1980–2010) and future (2050–2080) time slices. From these, sets of widespread extreme events were extracted. The question of what defines a “widespread flood event” is discussed; here it was defined as an event exceeding an at-site 99.5th percentile (equivalent to 2 d per year) simultaneously over an area of at least 20 km2, with a maximum duration of 14 d. This resulted in a set of 14 400 widespread events: approximately 20 events per year, per ensemble member, per time slice. Overall, results have shown that events are more temporally concentrated in winter in the future time slice compared to the baseline. Distributions of event area were similar in both time slices, but the distribution of at-site return periods showed some heavier tails in the future time slice. Such information could be useful for adaptation planning and risk management for floods under climate change, but the potential future changes have to be interpreted in the context of some differences in event characteristics between the baseline climate-projection-driven model runs and an observation-driven model run. While the focus here is Great Britain, the methods and analyses described could be applied to other regions with hydrological models and climate projections of appropriate resolution.

Comprehensive analysis of the effects of climate change on the species distribution and active components of Leonurus japonicus Houtt.

With the intensification of climate change, species migration or extinction events may occur on a wide scale. Leonurus japonicus Houtt. is an important medicinal species distributed globally. However, the potential effect of climate change on its distribution is not known. In this study, we developed a MaxEnt model for the global distribution of L. japonicus and identified locations of ecological suitability. From this we predicted future distribution changes under four different climate change scenarios. Furthermore, we assessed the medicinal value of L. japonicus in different locations according to the expression of chemical markers, then employed transcriptomics to explore genes associated with its ecological suitability and medicinal value. Our findings indicated that the primary environmental factors influencing its distribution include the precipitation of warmest quarter, the mean temperature of coldest quarter, and AWC range. L. japonicus is primarily distributed in Southeast Asia, Europe, South America, and the Gulf of Mexico. Future projections show an expanding distribution trend with migration towards higher latitudes. Highly and moderately suitable areas were more favorable for cultivating medicinal L. japonicus. We identified 103 transcription factors associated with its ecological suitability and 22 genes linked to its medicinal value. In summary, this study provides valuable guidance for the cultivation of L. japonicus under the changing climate. Additionally, it offers new insights into the accumulation patterns of medicinal components.

Assessing Reptile Conservation Status under Global Climate Change

Global climate change drives variations in species distribution patterns and affects biodiversity, potentially increasing the risk of species extinction. Investigating the potential distribution range of species under future global climate change is crucial for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management. In this study, we collected distributional data for 5282 reptile species to assess their conservation status based on distributional ranges using species distribution models. Our predictions indicate that the potential distribution ranges for over half of these species are projected to decrease under different scenarios. Under future scenarios with relatively low carbon emissions, the increase in the number of threatened reptiles is significantly lower, highlighting the importance of human efforts. Surprisingly, we identified some endangered species that are projected to expand their distribution ranges, underscoring the potential positive effects of climate change on some special species. Our findings emphasize the increased extinction risk faced by reptile species due to climate change and highlight the urgent need to mitigate the effects of habitat degradation and human activities on their potential distribution in the future.

Discussion on Radio: Peran Generasi Muda dalam Menjaga Lingkungan

The young generation was an agent of change demanding environmental hygiene, which was particularly vital to disease prevention efforts. Besides, young representatives from diverse groups were advocating for environmental restoration and preservation out of concern for the potential consequences of climate change on the global community in the future. Thus, the article's objective was to introduce the young generation to the significance of environmental protection and influence their perspective on beginning to safeguard the earth at a young age. Also, the article's objective was to disseminate information regarding the implementation of the concept of environmental protection, which was transmitted and disseminated on the radio via a sharing session. The approach method utilized in this article is a shared session, presented in the manner of a Talk Show. Therefore, the young generation were spearheading the effort to address climate change with enthusiasm, ingenuity, and an unyielding dedication to a sustainable trajectory. The youth's crucial position on the environment will solve climate change, emphasizing their contributions, obstacles, and the significance of their participation in shaping a more favorable future for future generations.

The Global Biogeochemical Cycle of the Rare Earth Elements

AbstractTo improve our understanding and guide future studies and applications, we review the biogeochemistry of the rare earth elements (REE). The REEs, which form a chemically uniform group due to their nearly identical physicochemical properties, include the lanthanide series elements plus scandium (Sc) and yttrium (Y). These elements, in conjunction with the neodymium isotopes, are powerful tools for understanding key oceanic, terrestrial, biological and even anthropogenic processes. Furthermore, their unique properties render them essential for various technological processes and products. Here, we delve into the characteristics of REE biogeochemistry and discuss normalization procedures and REE anomalies. We also examine the aqueous speciation of REEs, contributing to a better understanding of their behavior in aquatic settings, including the role of neodymium isotopes. We then focus on their environmental distribution, fractionation, and controlling processes in different environmental systems across the land‐ocean continuum. In addition, we analyze sinks, sources, and the mobility of REEs, providing insights into their behavior in these environments. We further investigate the sources of anthropogenic REEs and their bioavailability, bioaccumulation, and transfer along food webs. We also explore the potential effects of climate change on the cycling, mobility and bioavailability of REEs, underlining the importance of current research in this evolving field. In summary, we provide a comprehensive review of REE behavior in the environment, from their properties and roles to their distribution and anthropogenic impacts, offering valuable insights and pinpointing key knowledge gaps.

Leveraging climate and remote sensing metrics for predicting forest carbon stock using Bayesian geostatistical modelling under a projected climate warming in Zimbabwe

Climate change, driven by escalating carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, poses a significant threat to forest ecosystems and the livelihoods of communities reliant on them, especially for the global south countries and regions like the eastern highlands of Zimbabwe. The 2000 land redistribution programme reduced buffer zones between ecologically sensitive forests and land reform beneficiaries near major carbon reservoirs. In light of these challenges, this study aimed to assess the potential effects of climate change on a strategically important plantation forest ecosystem in Zimbabwe's eastern highlands. Using data from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), we modelled and predicted changes in forest carbon (C) stock density under different climate scenarios: current (1970–2000), SSP5–4.5, and SSP5–8.5. Employing a hierarchical Bayesian geostatistical approach, we compared the baseline scenario (1970–2000) with projected scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for 2075 to estimate changes in forest carbon stock distribution. Our results indicated a decline in carbon stock concentration under future climate scenarios, reflecting the adverse impact of greenhouse gas emissions on forest growth. We found that the projected range of forest carbon stock under the RCP8.5 scenario for 2075 is notably lower (2≤MgCha−1≤44.9) than that of the baseline period (1970–2000) (1≤MgCha−1≤97), suggesting a substantial reduction in carbon storage. As the difference in posterior mean C stock (μ̅1−μ̅2), 52.1 MgCha-1 is well above zero, we deduce that the posterior mean C stock distribution of the projected future RCP8.5 2075 climate projection is indeed credibly different from the current (1970–2000) climate scenario. Additionally, there is a high probability (>90%) that forest plantations will be adversely affected by the business-as-usual climate warming projection. Overall, our findings highlight the urgent need for climate change mitigation strategies, such as reforestation programs and careful selection of tree species for plantations, to safeguard forest ecosystems and the communities dependent on them. These insights are crucial for informing effective adaptation measures in the face of future climate uncertainties.