SUMMARYThe Carhart notch (CN) is a depression in the bone-conduction audiogram of patients with clinical otosclerosis. The middle frequencies from 0.5 to 2 kHz, which correspond to the resonance frequency of the middle ear, can be substantially improved upon following successful stapes surgery. This retrospective audiometric database and chart review in a tertiary referral centre was performed with the aim of assessing whether the presence of a CN could be predictive of results after stapes surgery in otosclerosis, through improvement in bone conduction (BC) thresholds. Nine hundred and thirty-one cases of stapes surgery over a period of 25 years benefitted from audiological assessment before and 4 months after surgery. A CN was considered present when the BC threshold at the notch frequency (0.5, 1 or 2 kHz) exceeded the mean thresholds at higher and lower adjacent frequencies by at least 7.5 dB. BC threshold improvement was better at 2 kHz (+14.1 ± 12.5 dB vs +12 ± 13.2 dB) and lower at 4 kHz (+3.6 ± 13.5 dB vs +11 ± 14.7 dB) for the CN+ group compared to the CN- group. Moreover, sensorineural hearing loss was more frequent in the CN+ group than in the CN- group. These results indicate that a CN on preoperative audiogram should alert the clinician to lesser postoperative BC improvement at 4 kHz related to a preoperative sensorineural hearing loss or to a higher incidence of postoperative sensorineural hearing loss.