Post-crisis Phase Research Articles

Improving foreign language reading technique using neural text-to-speech technology

Introduction. The intensification and technical development of the country, the COVID-19 pandemic and the post-crisis phase have led to the active integration of digital resources into the educational process, which has led to a new stage of development of the modern Russian education system – its digitalization. At present, new digital technologies, including artificial intelligence technologies, are being developed and introduced into the teaching of foreign languages. This article considers the use of text-to-speech technology functioning via neural networks to improve the reading technique in English and German of students of linguistic and non-linguistic specialties. Reading skills in a foreign language can be improved with the help of Natural Reader and TTSFree speech synthesizers, which students can use on their own. Due to application of the new FES HVE (Federal Educational Standards of Higher Vocational Education) of 2018 the volume of classroom work with students has decreased and the volume of independent work of students and students number in educational groups have increased, according to this matter the practical use of speech synthesizers in a foreign language classes seems relevant and important. Materials and Methods. Conducting an experiment to determine the effectiveness of the use of Natural Reader and TTSFree speech synthesizers to improve reading skills of linguistic and non-linguistic specialties students, calculating the number of phonetic errors when reading a foreign text before and after using of the voice generator, summarizing and interpreting the results obtained. Results. The list of publications studied in the process of scientific research makes 40 Russian and foreign works. These materials allowed to study the application of TTS technology with the use of neural networks, as well as Natural Reader and TTSFree speech synthesizers in foreign language classes at the university, which allowed to prove in practice the effectiveness of the analyzed services to improve the reading technique in English and German. Discussion and Conclusions. On the basis of theoretical research of scientific sources, as well as studying the experience of practical application of speech synthesizers Natural Reader and TTSFree, the conclusion about the great didactic potential of TTS technology is formulated. Possible applications of speech synthesis include the creation of an authentic language environment, the automation of reading, listening and speaking skills, as well as the self-control of students with their written language, voiced by TTS technology.

Characterization of transient movements within the Joshimath hillslope complex: Results from multi-sensor InSAR observations

This paper investigates the spatiotemporal characteristics and life-cycle of movements within the Joshimath landslide-prone slope over the period from 2015 to 2024, utilizing multi-sensor interferometric data from Sentinel‑1, ALOS‑2, and TerraSAR‑X satellites. Multi-temporal InSAR analysis before the 2023 slope destabilization crisis, when the region experienced significant ground deformation acceleration, revealed two distinct deformation clusters within the eastern and middle parts of the slope. These active deformation regions have been creeping up to −200 mm/yr. Slope deformation analysis indicates that the entire Joshimath landslide-prone slope can be categorized kinematically as either Extremely-Slow (ES) or Very-Slow (VS) moving slope, with the eastern cluster mainly exhibiting ES movements, while the middle cluster showing VS movements. Two episodes of significant acceleration occurred on August 21, 2019 and November 2, 2021, with the rate of slope deformation increasing by 20% (from −50 to −60 mm/yr) and around threefold (from −60 to −249 mm/yr), respectively. Following the 2023 destabilization crisis, the rate of ground deformation notably increased across all datasets for both clusters, except for the Sentinel‑1 ascending data in the eastern cluster. Pre-crisis, horizontal deformation was dominant both in the eastern and middle clusters. Horizontal deformation remained dominant and increased significantly in the eastern cluster post-crisis phase, whereas vertical deformation became predominant in the middle cluster. Wavelet analysis reveals a strong correlation between two acceleration episodes and extreme precipitation in 2019 and 2021, but no similar correlation was detected in other years. This indicates that while extreme rainfall significantly influenced the dynamics of slope movements during these episodes, less strong precipitation had a minimal impact on slope movements during other periods.

Investigating the indirect impact of transformational leadership on performance and work alienation: evidence from school principals navigating COVID-19

PurposeAlthough significant research has examined the concept of transformational leadership, few studies have explored the indirect impact of transformational leadership on individual and organizational outcomes within the context of crisis. Accordingly, this study aims to advance our understanding of the indirect impact of transformational leadership on school performance and principals' work alienation within the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. In doing so, this study contributes to this developing stream of literature by hypothesizing the indirect effect of two relational resources, namely employee trust and relational coordination, which mediate the relationship between transformational leadership, school performance and principals' work alienation.Design/methodology/approachThis study draws on a unique sample of 634 principals from Irish primary schools navigating the COVID-19 crisis. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was performed using Mplus 8.3 to test the hypothesized model.FindingsMixed findings emerged concerning the mediating process of relational resources and their impact on transformational leadership, school performance and principals' work-alienation. In particular, support is found for the critical role of principals whose transformational leadership style can help increase school performance. However, evidence suggests that employee trust does not mediate the relationship between transformational leadership and principals' work alienation.Practical implicationsThis study provides several practical insights for education professionals, policymakers and HRM practitioners across each phase of the crisis management cycle. Firstly, regarding the pre-crisis stage, educational institutions should invest in targeted leadership development programs that prioritize relationship-building and effective communication among stakeholders. Second, during crises, the study emphasizes the role of relational resources in mediating the impact of leadership on school performance. Moreover, the study illustrates the importance of proactively cultivating strong connections with stakeholders, fostering timely, problem-solving-based communication. Finally, in the post-crisis phase, collaboration with government stakeholders is recommended to inform recovery policies.Originality/valueThis study makes several contributions to the literature on leadership and crisis management. First, this study adds new insights suggesting how principals as leaders influence school performance during crisis. Second, by adopting a relational perspective, this study suggests two types of relational resources (i.e. employee trust and relational coordination), as the mediators between transformational leadership, school performance and principals' work alienation. Third, this study moves the existing research on leadership during crisis forward by focusing on the functional effectiveness of leadership while focusing on the principals' work alienation during the pandemic.

Does crude oil price volatility respond asymmetrically to financial shocks?

Recent literature has explored the effect of monetary and financial shocks, along with oil supply and global demand shocks, in determining oil price volatility. This paper elucidates whether the change in oil price volatility in response to financial shocks differs over quantiles over the period 1993–2021. First, we disintegrate the structural innovations to oil price volatility, originating from crude oil production, global demand, oil demand, oil inventories, interest rates, and financial market volatility, using the SVAR approach during pre-crisis and post-crisis phases. Furthermore, using quantile autoregressive distributed lag models (QARDL) and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) models, we analyze the plausible asymmetric effects of these shocks. The findings indicate the significance of supply-side and global demand shocks on oil price volatility in the pre-crisis periods, followed by the increase in the explanatory power of financial shocks on oil price volatility after the crisis. It also suggests that oil price volatility responds asymmetrically to oil supply, inventories, and financial shocks.

Manajemen Krisis PR Es Teh Indonesia dalam Pemulihan Image Negatif Pasca Somasi Konsumen pada Akun Twitter @gandhoyy

The purpose of this research is to find out the crisis management of Indonesian Ice Tea PR in the recovery of the negative image after consumer subpoenas on the Twitter account @gandhoyy in three phases, namely pre-crisis, crisis-response, and post-crisis. This study uses a qualitative descriptive method with the object of PR Es Teh Indonesia and the Twitter account @gandhoyy. Data was taken by observation, interview, and documentation techniques. The interview was conducted with the Head of Public Relations of PT. Es Teh Indonesia via company email. The results showed that during the pre-crisis phase, PR representatives from PT. Es Teh Indonesia identified the problem by discussing tweets from the Twitter account @gandhoyy with related parties. Then the organization gives a subpoena for defamation. Instead of taking legal action, PT. Es Teh Indonesia only wants the account owner named Gandhi to admit his guilt because the criticisms conveyed are insulting and not actual facts. Then, in the post-crisis phase, PT. Es Teh Indonesia withdrew the subpoena given to Gandhi's brother because he had already apologized. The Indonesian Ice Tea party has also made improvements by conducting an evaluation in the form of product differentiation, namely by providing a choice of sweetness level or variant of sweetness starting from no sugar (0%), slight (30%), half (50%), less (80%), and normal (100%) so that it can be adjusted to consumer tastes.

Independent risk factors for in-hospital outcome of myasthenic crisis: a prospective cohort study.

Myasthenic crisis (MC) is a life-threatening condition for myasthenia gravis (MG). Therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) efficaciously treat patients with MC. However, not every MC responds well to rescue therapies, and the determinants for outcome with the evidence from prospective cohorts are still lacking. To explore the risk factors for in-hospital outcomes in patients with MC. Using a national neuromuscular center-based cohort of MG with prospective follow-ups from the crisis to the post-crisis phase, we finally included 90 MC episodes from 76 independent patients who received a standard regimen of rescue therapies. The mean admission age was 52.89 ± 15.72 years. With a female predominance of 63.16% (48/76) and a high proportion of thymoma-associated MG (TMG) of 63.16% (48/76), the overall in-hospital mortality was 2.63% (2/76) and the average duration for mechanical ventilation (MV) use was 17.09 ± 13.36 days (0-53 days). In contrast to the patients with anti-acetylcholine receptor (AChR) antibodies, muscle-specific tyrosine kinase (MuSK)-associated MC exhibited a shorter MV support (5.20 ± 5.07 versus 17.40 ± 13.24 days, p = 0.023), length of intensive care units (ICU) stay (6.00 ± 4.64 versus 19.16 ± 17.54 days, p = 0.046), and hospital stay (16.00 ± 4.12 versus 34.43 ± 20.48 days, p = 0.011). Thymoma [odds ratio (OR): 0.200, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.058-0.687, p = 0.011], partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PCO2) in blood gas before MV (OR: 1.238, 95% CI: 1.015-1.510, p = 0.035), and pneumonia (OR: 0.204, 95% CI: 0.049-0.841, p = 0.028) were identified as independent risk factors for prolonged MV use. TMG patients with thymoma burden exhibited a notable longer MV use (22.08 ± 17.54 versus 8.88 ± 6.79 days, p = 0.001), a prolonged hospital stay (40.40 ± 26.13 versus 23.67 ± 13.83 days, p = 0.009) compared with non-TMG. Even with complete thymoma resection (R0), TMG exhibited an unfavorable outcome versus non-TMG. With timely rescue therapies and prospective follow-ups, the in-hospital outcome of MCs was substantially improved. Thymoma, PCO2 in blood gas before MV, and pneumonia were identified as independent risk factors for prolonged MV use.

MANAGING RESTAURANTS CRISIS COMMUNICATIONS: THE ROLE OF PUBLIC RELATIONS

This study investigates the role of public relations in crisis management, focusing on pre-crisis, crisis,and post-crisis phases. Many public and private entities, including restaurants, lack effective crisis PR plans. The research centres on American restaurants due to their susceptibility to crises and explores Twitter's role in crisis PR. Guided by the Situational Crisis Communication Theory (SCCT), qualitative data analysis reveals the importance of proactive crisis strategies, crisis teams, and social media expertise. The study underscores the need for anticipating and averting crises through effective planning and online engagement. Keywords: Public Relations, Crisis Management, Twitter, Situational Crisis Communication Theory, social media.

Does US financial crisis influence the relationship between ownership holdings and stock performance? The case of a developing economy

This study investigates the influence of the U.S. financial crisis on the relationship between ownership holdings and stock performance by assessing the asymmetries between the effects of insider and institutional ownership before, during and after the U.S. financial crisis. The study examines NIFTY 500-listed companies over a period of 16 years, from 2002 to 2017, and distinguishes between three economic phases, namely the pre-crisis (2002–2007), the crisis (2008–2009) and the post-crisis (2010–2017) period. To test our hypothesis, we employ the panel-data techniques of feasible generalised least squares and system-generalised methods of moments to control for autocorrelation, heteroscedasticity and endogeneity issues. The findings reveal that insider ownership had significant U-shaped and inverted-U-shaped effects during the pre-crisis and the post-crisis phase, respectively, which confirms the existence of the monitoring and expropriation effects of insiders. The favourable effect of domestic institutions during the crisis phase supports the notion that such owners engage in efficient monitoring during periods of economic turbulence. The adverse effect of foreign institutional ownership during the pre-crisis period implies either a conflict of interest or capital-gain motives that resulted in selling behaviour when the market economy was growing. The time-variant effects of insider and institutional ownership are noted. Our findings have immense significance for investors and executives who wish to understand the varied effects of insider and institutional ownership as they pertain to the management of a crisis that is caused by an exogenous shock.

In anticipation of a downturn: The role of impression management in buffering against failure

The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a surge in worldwide business failures. Firms have been actively searching for solutions to survive the crisis and improve business resilience in the post-crisis phase. In developing strategic responses to the risks of failing to get through the “black swan” event, tactics such as impression management may be selected by managers to mitigate contemporary challenges. This paper aims to uncover the actions taken by organisations to manage financial information and market perceptions. It compares the effects of the strategies in normal and unprecedented situations. The empirical analysis of delisting events suggests that the application of impression management is associated with lower delisting risks; however, the effects of such tactics are attenuated in the presence of macro-environmental shocks. Further analyses of market reaction reveal that investors seem to discount all information at the time of disclosure during the pandemic, making the market reaction to impression management less favourable. This provides further support for the reduced efficiency of impression management in alleviating delisting risks following the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results have important implications for firms' development of strategies in response to external turbulence.

Analysis of the Quality of Scientific and Innovative Transformations in the Territories in the General Economic Conditions of the Crisis

Relevance. Recently, the Russian economy has been experiencing a number of serious problems due to the sanctioning influence of Western countries and the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. Together, these factors complicate the dynamic development of the country's economic complex in almost all directions, hindering the creation and generation of knowledge-intensive solutions. In this regard, research that helps to identify the trends and nature of reproductive processes in the regions, as well as the regularities of formation of optimal growth parameters when passing through the post-crisis phase of the socio-economic system, is of particular relevance.The purpose is a quantitative analysis of the quality of scientific and innovative transformations in the territories of the Russian Federation in the pre- and post-crisis periods of functioning of the economy.Objectives: to identify trends in the development of innovation potential of the regions in the context of two time phases (before and after 2014) according to two indicators: the average per capita turnover of innovative products and specific costs of research work. At the same time, it is proposed to link the studied results to the euro exchange rate.Methodology. The article considers the theoretical framework that reveals the peculiarities of the emergence and passage of crises by territories. The work is based on quantitative research methods (econometric and correlation and regression analysis). The data are systematized and synthesized thanks to freely available official statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service. Results. The maximum value of dynamics on the average per capita turnover of innovation products in the pre-crisis period was achieved in Moscow. In the post-crisis phase, the harshest drop in this indicator was also recorded for the Moscow region. In terms of specific R&D expenditures, none of the territories under consideration is characterized by positive transformations in 2014-20120 in relation to 2000-2013.Conclusions. The calculations confirm the existence of a protracted crisis in the reproductive sphere of the analyzed territories. In addition, a strong correlation between the states of the research and innovation sectors is quantitatively substantiated. In this regard, in order to move the country to a fundamentally different level of technological development there is a need to strengthen the support of the scientific base, as well as continuous monitoring of the achieved results.

Urban water crisis and the promise of infrastructure: a case study of Shimla, India

Urban water configurations evolve through synergetic relationships that are non-linear, spatially variable, and temporally contingent. As urban development grows in complexity, dense water flow networks intensify within the urban landscape and pose a major challenge to urban water governance. At this junction, this study takes up the specific case study of the water crisis in Shimla, a city situated in the Western Himalayas, which was once the summer capital of British India. Shimla witnessed two significant episodes of a severe water crisis in 2016 and 2018, respectively. While the mainstream discourses identified erratic rainfall due to climate change, urban growth, and tourism as the prime causes, the crisis was not marked by absolute scarcity. Multitude configurations of infrastructure politics, distribution, and access produced scarcity, which differentially impacted the people in the city and continues to do so. Marginalized social groups (class, caste, gender, and religion) and people living on the periphery, such as slum dwellers, daily wage laborers, and informal sector workers with inadequate economic and social safety nets seem to have been missing from the discourse. In addition, the crisis events in Shimla have led to institutional changes in the governance of water by establishing a parastatal body for a water utility in the city and the proposal of mega water infrastructure projects for the bulk supply of water from the Sutlej River. Deriving from a situated urban political ecology approach, this study presents an in-depth empirical understanding of the complex urban waterscape of Shimla city, where the tourism industry is a major stakeholder, and a critical analysis of the emerging “new” politics of water, which is also a politics of infrastructure in Shimla's post-crisis phase. It adopts a qualitative research design involving in-depth interviews with different stakeholders in urban water governance in Shimla and a neighborhood-level case study to understand the post-crisis water scenario in the city. Locating the Shimla case study within the broader planetary geography, this study argues that the water crisis, as a context, is dialectical. Despite the implementation of several hydraulic projects and the financialization of nature, the inherent fissures of inequality within the city that cause differential access to water remain.

An Acute Crisis adds to Unresolved Chronic Crisis

Residents in a community in the South Peninsula of the Western Cape, South Africa live with the reality of unresolved challenges. The women and children of this community face a burden from the prevailing inequality and structural violence that plays out in their daily lives as high levels of unemployment, substance abuse, violence in many forms, food insecurity, high school dropout rates and teenage pregnancy. The complexities of living in this community were exacerbated by the arrival of the Covid-19 pandemic and the resultant lockdown regulations that destabilised all previous notions of normality. The pre-existing social challenges can be viewed as the residents’ experiences of hazards and stressors that have been in place for years in the unequal social structures of South Africa (The World Bank 2022). In this environment, of what can be interpreted as a community in chronic crisis (Dekker et al., 2021), the addition of the acute crisis of the pandemic, posed further cumulative effects on households that impacted more seriously on those who are already the most vulnerable. This paper presents reflections on the stories of women talking about their experiences of the global pandemic to this coastal community. We aim to show the impact on their lives as members of families within their community. The analysis will utilise the phases of a crisis (Emergency Management, 2022) where the pre-crisis or prodromal phase was recognised as life in the chronic crisis of structural violence. The acute or crisis phase of the pandemic became a lens for the effects of an existing long-term crisis compounded by athe. The response or chronic phase of the acute crisis was again found to be exacerbated by the existence of a long drawn out response phase to the chronic crisis. This paper is a window into the innovative attempts by this community to cope with the immense challenges of Covid-19, followed now by the post-crisis (resolution) phase that reflects the ongoing efforts to rebuild the community in the face of the cumulative effects of the pandemic, as but a temporary diversion from the challenges of a continuous chronic crisis. The post-crisis phase remains incomplete, however, a deeper understanding of crisis upon crisis provides knowledge that can assist those implementing social interventions in this community to tackle challenges as a state of chronic crisis for residents.

Adaptation of logistics companies to operation under the Covid-19 pandemic restrictions

The COVID-19 pandemic has made the problem of companies adapting to operate under restrictions more acute. Logistics companies were the special focus of researchers because of the specifics of the COVID-19 pandemic. The article aims to determine the features of the management of logistics companies to adapt them against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions. The methodological background of the analysis is the analysis of financial ratios — Total Revenue Growth; Capital Expenditure Growth; Working Capital Growth; Debt/ Equity ratio; Equity/Total Assets, as well as the case method — a description of the business situation of the company in the sample of JD Logistics, which have successfully adapted to changes against the background of the COVID-19 pandemic. Analysis of the financial statements of the surveyed companies revealed several trends in their financial management during the pandemic — a decline in net income from sales after the pandemic; an increase of capital investments in 2019-2021; reduction of working capital growth rates after 2019; growth of the debt-to-equity ratio after the beginning of the pandemic; maintaining the equity to assets ratio at a stable level in 2019-2021. A set of factors influencing the exogenous and endogenous environment is identified in support of the logistics companies adaptation programme under the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions by the following blocks: “government action and regulatory policy”; “support of the company’s operation”; “company finance”; “customer relations”; “relations with suppliers”. Prospects for further research involve studying financial and market factors influencing the practice of adaptation of logistics companies in a pandemic, as well as studying the problem of adaptation of companies in the post-crisis phase after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Presenting the model of the functions of social networks in the control of the psychological security crisis of the family in the post-crisis stage (Khuzestan flood case study)

Aim: The purpose of the current research was to develop a model of the functions of social networks in the control of the psychological security crisis of the family (the post-crisis phase of the Khuzestan flood case study). This research was done in two parts, qualitative and quantitative. Method: in the qualitative part, by interview and grounded theory method, the components of the model of social network functions effective on the control of the psychological security crisis of the family in the post-crisis phase were categorized into 6 data networks of the foundation, including: The central phenomenon, causal conditions, contextual conditions, intervening conditions, strategies and consequences were categorized. The statistical population in the qualitative part includes academic professors specializing in crisis management and the functions of social networks, as well as experienced experts in the field of flood crisis management in Khuzestan province who are active in this field (such as managers of the crisis management organization). Sampling method in the qualitative part was obtained from saturated and targeted level equal to 20 people. In the quantitative part, the qualitative model presented in the previous part was tested by questionnaire and structural equation method. The statistical population in the quantitative part was the experts and employees of the crisis management organization in Iran. Findings: Sampling in quantitative part was obtained by simple random sampling equal to 384 people. Based on the results of the qualitative section, the identified codes were categorized into 6 main networks, 16 main components and 87 sub-components. Based on the results of the quantitative part, causal conditions with a factor load of 0.588 have an effect on the central phenomenon. The central phenomenon, contextual conditions, and intervening conditions are effective on strategies with factor loadings of 0.515, 0.309, and 0.419, respectively, and strategies are effective on outcomes with factor loadings of 0.558. Conclusion: Based on the obtained results, it is suggested that in the post-crisis phase such as Khuzestan flood, the internet should be provided to the people of the society so that they can receive news and information quickly through social networks. Society must be ready to accept social networks; Therefore, for this purpose, the government should create the necessary culture for using social networks among the people.

Coach leadership in a crisis context: Investigating effective coach behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic with a process view.

Drawing from the crisis leadership conceptualization, this study aims to investigate coaches' opinion patterns on effective leadership behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study used a process view to explore how coaches as leaders act in pre, during, and post-crisis phases. Thirty-two fulltime professional coaches (28 males and 4 females) from individual and team sports who experienced the entire COVID-19 pandemic from January 2020 to July 2021 in the United Kingdom were invited to express their perceptions of effective leadership behaviors. The study used Q methodology to analyze coaches' perceptions and experiences. The study revealed that the most effective coach leadership behaviors occurred during-crisis phase, which has the most positive ratings (n = 48) compared to the pre-and post-crisis phases (n = 18). The study's main findings highlighted different phases of the COVID-19 pandemic demand various effective countermeasures from coaches. These practical and successful experiences were summarized as: division of labor, athlete-centered, team-driven, consulting, safe environment, and online coaching. The findings of this study further highlight (1) the importance of coach leadership in creating a safe environment as it provides a much better platform to prepare for a pre-crisis stage, (2) that coaches should employ more positive than negative behaviors while interacting with team members more frequently especially during the crisis period, reducing athletes' negative feelings such as anxiety and worry, and (3) that the online training-related activities and interactions during the crisis time can be expanded to noncrisis times, as a crisis event can have positive implications for the future if handled properly.

Regional importation and asymmetric within-country spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in the Netherlands.

Variants of concern (VOCs) of SARS-CoV-2 have caused resurging waves of infections worldwide. In the Netherlands, the Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Delta VOCs circulated widely between September 2020 and August 2021. We sought to elucidate how various control measures, including targeted flight restrictions, had impacted the introduction and spread of these VOCs in the Netherlands. We performed phylogenetic analyses on 39,844 SARS-CoV-2 genomes collected under the Dutch national surveillance program. We found that all four VOCs were introduced before targeted flight restrictions were imposed on countries where the VOCs first emerged. Importantly, foreign introductions, predominantly from other European countries, continued during these restrictions. After their respective introductions into the Netherlands, the Alpha and Delta VOCs largely circulated within more populous regions of the country with international connections before asymmetric bidirectional transmissions occurred with the rest of the country and the VOC became the dominant circulating lineage. Our findings show that flight restrictions had limited effectiveness in deterring VOC introductions due to the strength of regional land travel importation risks. As countries consider scaling down SARS-CoV-2 surveillance efforts in the post-crisis phase of the pandemic, our results highlight that robust surveillance in regions of early spread is important for providing timely information for variant detection and outbreak control. None.

Manajemen Krisis di Kawasan Ekonomi Khusus Pariwisata Tanjung Lesung Pasca Tsunami Selat Sunda tahun 2018

Tanjung Lesung Tourism Special Economic Zone is one of the ten priority tourist destinations inIndonesia. This area was hit by a tsunami that was caused by tidal waves and underwater landslides dueto the eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau on December 22, 2018. This tsunami was a silent tsunami so itwas difficult to predict, causing a severe impact in the tourism sector. Thus, the researcher examines thecrisis and crisis management after the Sunda Strait tsunami in the tourist destination of Tanjung Lesung.The concepts used as the basis for this research are crisis management, disaster management, SpecialEconomic Zones, tsunamis and destination images. The method used is a qualitative research method withqualitative descriptive analysis techniques. The types of data used are qualitative and quantitative. Thedata sources used are primary and secondary data. The data is collected through observation, interviewsand documentation. The technique of determining the informants in this study was using purposivesampling technique.The results of this study indicate that the impact of the post-tsunami crisis in Tanjung Lesung can beseen from several aspects, namely the physical, economic, social and psychological impacts. The physicalimpact is damage to attractions, accommodation and access to Tanjung Lesung. The economic impact isseen from the reduction in employment, decreased income and the amount of investment that is not in linewith the target. The social impact caused is the number of casualties, while the psychological impact isthe existence of trauma, anxiety, stress, depression and post traumatic disorder. Crisis management isdivided into three stages, namely pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis. In the pre-crisis phase, it was knownthat Tanjung Lesung was one of the tsunami-prone areas because it was directly adjacent to the SundaStrait, besides that the area administrator still did not have its own Standard Operating Procedure (SOP)that was in accordance with the situation of the area. At the crisis stage, the cooperation between thegovernment and managers was already going well in evacuating tourists and distributing aid. In addition,social media control is also carried out by monitoring various news media. In the post-crisis phase,improvements to tourism attractions, facilities and access are carried out, improving the image of SEZtourism to become disaster-resilient tourism areas, updating disaster detection systems and evacuationroutes, as well as promotion by holding events, festivals and several promotional visits.Keywords: Crisis Management, Impact, Tsunami, Tanjung Lesung Tourism SEZ.

The Crisis Multiple: Divergent Experiences of Disruption and Continuity among HIV (Self-)Support Groups in Northeastern Tanzania

Since about 2012, rhetoric regarding the “normalization” and “nearing end” of the HIV/AIDS crisis has proliferated globally. This discursive shift is undergirded by a temporal trope of a distinct transformation of the HIV crisis into a postcrisis situation. Drawing on long-term ethnographic research within HIV (self-)support groups in Tanga, Tanzania, this article explores whether the group members’ struggles to stabilize their lives with the virus indeed attest to this representation. It argues that, rather than a unilinear and universal transition from a monolithic crisis scenario to an equally monolithic postcrisis phase, the current situation in Tanzania amounts to a dynamic and cross-scalar configuration of multiple fluctuating crises.

The Impacts of COVID-19 on Distance Education with the Application of Traditional and Digital Appliances: Evidence from 60 Developing Countries.

Educational disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic during school closures have become a remarkable social issue, particularly among the developing countries. Ample literature has verified the adverse effects of the long-lasing epidemic on school education. However, rare studies seek to understand the association between the severity of COVID-19 and distance learning, an alternative education pattern, and foster policy designs to promote educational transition, particularly targeting the post-crisis phase of the COVID-19. By combining four data surveys, this article empirically examines the impacts of COVID-19 on children’s distance education with the application of various appliances across 60 developing countries. The results suggest that, after controlling socio-economic, geographic, and demographic variables, a higher level of mortality rate of COVID-19 contributes to more households participating in distance education. In particular, this positive term is larger for distance education by using TVs and radios compared with the usage of digital appliances. To explore the potential channel of the above linkage, this article argues that the positive association between mortality rate and the use of traditional appliances is weakened through higher levels of stringency in lockdown measures. Timely policies are, therefore, recommended to guide towards distance learning with economic and technological supports to guarantee a wave of inclusive educational recovery in the ongoing post-COVID-19 era.

Explaining the challenges of hospitals admitting COVID-19 patients from the perspective of managers (a qualitative study).

Crises are often unavoidable events that occur around the world. Hospitals play an important role in treating patients and preventing extensive injuries in times of crisis, requiring adequate preparedness. In order to design a proper planning system, it is essential to be aware of the challenges of hospitals during a crisis. The purpose of this study was to explain the challenges of hospitals admitting COVID-19 patients in the city of Mashhad, Iran, from the perspective of their managers. This study employed a qualitative approach, using the method of conventional content analysis and was conducted from May to July 2020. A purposive sampling method was used to recruit the senior managers of hospitals admitting COVID-19 patients in Mashhad. The interviews were conducted face to face, with open-ended questions following an interview guide based on semi-structured questions, and continued until data saturation was reached. Data were analyzed using Atlas Ti software. After the implementation of the interviews, first 665 initial codes were extracted from the data, and after removing the overlapping sequences, a total of 115 codes were obtained. Three categories (organizational challenges, extra organizational challenges, and challenges related to information domain), 13 sub-categories, and 33 codes were extracted from the content analysis of the interviews. The main themes propounded in the field of challenges of COVID-19 referral hospitals in Mashhad were organizational challenges, extra organizational challenges, and information domain challenges. The results of this study showed that the hospitals admitting COVID-19 patients in Mashhad faced many challenges. To improve the quality of services in postcrisis phase, replacing hospitals' equipment, revising curriculums at medical universities, staff retraining, recruiting skilled human resources, and creating a supportive community context are necessary. For sure, the COVID-19 crisis will not be the last one, we have to be prepared for the bigger health crisis.