Positive Potential Vorticity Anomalies Research Articles

Smoke with Induced Rotation and Lofting (SWIRL) Generated by the February 2009 Australian Black Saturday PyroCb Plume

AbstractThe discovery of smoke‐induced dynamical anomalies in the stratosphere associated with the 2019/2020 Australian New Year pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) super outbreak initiated a new field of study involving aerosol/weather anomalies. This paper documents the dynamical anomalies associated with the February 2009 Australian Black Saturday pyroCb outbreak. Positive potential vorticity anomalies (indicating anticyclonic rotation) with horizontal extent ∼1000 km and vertical thickness ∼2 km are associated with the plume, which we classify as a Smoke With Induced Rotation and Lofting (SWIRL). The SWIRL initially formed east of Australia, but then moved westward, crossing over Australia, and continuing to Africa. The SWIRL lasted for nearly three weeks (13 February–4 March), traveling ∼27,000 km and rising from potential temperatures of ∼410–500 K (altitudes ∼18–21 km). The altitude of the SWIRL is corroborated with coincident satellite‐based profiles of H2O, CO, HCN, O3, and aerosol extinction. A vertical temperature dipole (±3 K) accompanied the PV anomaly, as verified with coincident Global Navigation Satellite System radio occultation temperatures. The SWIRL dissipated as it passed over Africa. Operational ECMWF forecasts with early initialization (13 February) and late initialization (21 February) are examined. In the early case, the forecasted PV anomaly disappeared within 4 days, as expected due to lack of smoke heating in the forecast model. In the late case, while the forecasted PV anomaly was weaker than in the reanalyzes, a remnant anomaly remained out to 10 days.

Effects of Precipitation Latent Heating on Structure and Evolution of Northeast China Cold Vortex: A PV Perspective

AbstractBased on potential vorticity (PV) thinking, northeast China cold vortex (NCCV) corresponds to an upper‐level high PV anomaly from stratospheric PV downward intrusion. Within a vortex, latent heating from precipitation would produce a vertical dipole of PV anomalies that would affect structures and evolution of the vortex. In this paper, three‐dimensional structures and evolution of NCCV and, effects of latent heating from precipitation along bent‐back, cold and warm fronts on them are investigated based on convection‐allowing simulations for an intense NCCV case during 8–17 June 2012. Trajectory analysis shows that the negative upper‐level diabatic PV anomaly from bent‐back frontal precipitation, near the vortex center, is the dominant contributor to erosion of high PV in the vortex core region as it is advected in, leading to the weakening of the vortex. The negative PV anomalies along the cold and warm fronts, at the east‐to‐southeast side of the vortex, are mostly advected downstream away from the NCCV. In the middle troposphere, positive PV anomalies are primarily generated along fronts and the accumulated positive PV anomalies filling the vortex region help to reinforce the low‐level cyclonic circulation. The lower‐level PV is affected by surface heating and cooling through their effects on static stability, but such effects are periodic and create mainly diurnal variations. The NCCV eventually decays as the upper‐level vortex weakens due to significant PV erosion.

Impacts of the Surface Potential Vorticity Circulation over the Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian Monsoon in July

Based on the definition of potential vorticity substance (W) and its equation, an index “iPV” representing the leading mode of the surface potential vorticity circulation (PVC) over the Tibetan Plateau is defined to characterize the orographic potential vorticity (PV) forcing on the atmospheric general circulation. The relationships between the iPV index and the East Asian monsoon in July, as well as the Silk Road pattern in Eurasia, are investigated on an interannual time scale. Results show that the iPV in July is closely related to the interannual variability of the East Asian monsoon. Corresponding to the positive phase of iPV with negative (positive) PVC over the north (south) of the plateau, strong positive PV anomalies and westerly flows develop in the troposphere over the plateau. Consequently, in the downstream region, the zonal PV advection increases with height just above the Jianghuai Meiyu front, which is conducive to the generation of upward movement. Over the East Asian area, the upper troposphere is controlled by the eastward shifted South Asian High. In the lower troposphere, the southwesterly flow anomaly on the northwestern side of the strengthened western Pacific subtropical high transports abundant water vapor to the north, forming a convergence in the Jianghuai area, leading to the formation of large-scale precipitation along the Meiyu front. Results from partial correlation analysis also demonstrate that the link between the variability of the East Asian monsoon in July and the plateau PV forcing is affected very little by the Silk Road pattern, whereas the plateau PV forcing plays a key “bridging” role in the influence of the Silk Road pattern on the East Asian monsoon.

Influences of the Mid-Level Vortex on the Formation of Tropical Cyclone Toraji (2013)

This study analyzes the influences of the mid-level vortex on the formation of Tropical Cyclone Toraji (2013). A rare case of a tropical cyclone that formed near Taiwan involved a mid-level vortex that was a remnant of Tropical Cyclone Kong-Rey (2013). The piecewise potential vorticity inversion method is applied to examine the contribution of the mid-level vortex to the low-level wind field under quasi-balanced conditions. Numerical sensitivity experiments are conducted to quantify the importance of the mid-level vortex on Toraji formation, in which the mid-level vortex is removed with different removing factors (percentages) from the initial field. The results indicate that mid-level positive potential vorticity anomalies significantly contribute to the low-level positive vorticity before Toraji formation. Furthermore, when the removing factors increase in the sensitivity experiments, either the intensity of the simulated low-level vortex or the development trend of pre-Toraji decreases. However, there is no significant relationship between the convection’s magnitude and the intensity of the mid-level vortex. The main difference comes from the mid-level vortex’s intensity, which would result in a greater high-level warm core structure and cause stronger vertical mass flux. In summary, the mid-level vortex plays a critical role in the formation of Toraji. It provides a favorable environment for forming the pre-Toraji vortex by maintaining a high-level warm-core structure, leading to the formation of Toraji.

Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events in Eastern Siberia and Mongolia

The socioeconomic impacts caused by floods in the south of Eastern Siberia (SES), and the expected increase in precipitation extremes over northern Eurasia, have revealed the need to search for atmospheric circulation patterns that cause extreme precipitation events (EPE) in SES, as well as their changes. We investigate the circulation patterns causing extreme precipitation in SES and Mongolia, by examining the instability and moisture transport associated with potential vorticity (PV) dynamics during two time periods: 1982–1998 and 1999–2019. The EPE were characterized by an increase in instability within the precipitation area, which was compensated by stability around the area, with the East Asian summer monsoon transport being enhanced. PV in the subtropical regions and mid-latitudes has shown the amplification of positive and negative PV anomalies to the southeast and northwest of Lake Baikal, respectively. The PV contours for EPE have shapes of cyclonic wave breaking and cutoff low. EPE accompanied by wave breaking are characterized by strong redistribution areas, with extremely high and low stability and moisture. This can lead to the coexistence of floods and droughts, and in part was the driver of the earlier revealed “seesaw” precipitation mode over Mongolia and SES. We suggest a shift of extreme precipitation to the northwest has occurred, which was probably caused by the wave propagation change.

Analysis of the Environment that Supports Easterly Waves over the Eastern Pacific and the Intra-Americas Sea in the Boreal Summer—A Potential Vorticity Perspective

Abstract A review of the mean state over the tropical eastern Pacific (EPAC) and the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS) region is provided to assess the characteristics that impact the development and genesis of easterly waves (EWs). The EPAC–IAS region is characterized by complex topography, the Western Hemisphere warm pool, the ITCZ at 10°N, and predominant deep convection over the Panama Bight around 9°N, 78°W. A prominent easterly jet at 600 hPa of about 5.5 m s−1, is oriented approximately parallel to the Mexican coast. The jet is characterized by a strip of high potential vorticity (PV) on the cyclonic shear side and low PV on the anticyclonic side. This distribution of PV satisfies the necessary conditions for barotropic instability: the Charney–Stern condition, as well as the Fjørtoft condition. Together these conditions suggest the potential for barotropic growth of EWs over the EPAC region. The mean high PV region over the EPAC is created in association with two different populations of cloud/convection systems: stratiform and shallow, with the former being key for the creation of positive PV anomalies at midlevels. Evidence is also provided that suggests that the low PV region arises in association with sources of negative PV anomalies over the Sierra Madre region likely resulting from frequent dry convection. This is a key and novel result that is basic for the setting up of a negative meridional PV gradient and fundamental for the Charney–Stern condition associated with barotropic instability and growth of EWs. Significance Statement The tropical eastern Pacific is influenced by synoptic easterly waves that impact daily weather in the region and can trigger tropical cyclones. This research explores the nature of a midlevel jet that supports the development of easterly waves in this basin. The jet is established in association with moist convection over the ocean that leads to a midlevel potential vorticity maximum equatorward of the jet and, frequent dry convection over the Mexican Sierra Madre region that leads to a low-level potential vorticity minimum poleward of the jet. This finding highlights the need to better understand, and ultimately predict, these potential vorticity sources in order to better understand and predict the nature of the easterly wave developments in this region.

Systematic assessment of the diabatic processes that modify low-level potential vorticity in extratropical cyclones

Abstract. Diabatic processes significantly affect the development and structure of extratropical cyclones. Previous studies quantified the dynamical relevance of selected diabatic processes by studying their influence on potential vorticity (PV) in individual cyclones. However, a more general assessment of the relevance of all PV-modifying processes in a larger ensemble of cyclones is currently missing. Based on a series of twelve 35 d model simulations using the Integrated Forecasting System of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, this study systematically quantifies the diabatic modification of positive and negative low-level PV anomalies along the cold front, warm front, and in the center of 288 rapidly intensifying extratropical cyclones. Diabatic PV modification is assessed by accumulating PV tendencies associated with each parametrized process along 15 h backward trajectories. The primary processes that modify PV typically remain temporally consistent during cyclone intensification. However, a pronounced case-to-case variability is found when comparing the most important processes across individual cyclones. Along the cold front, PV is primarily generated by condensation in half of the investigated cyclones in the cold season (October to March). For most of the remaining cyclones, convection or long-wave radiative cooling is the most important process. Similar results are found in the warm season (April to September); however, the fraction of cyclones with PV generation by convection as the most important process is reduced. Negative PV west of the cold front is primarily produced by turbulent mixing of momentum, long-wave radiative heating, or turbulent mixing of temperature. The positive PV anomaly at the warm front is most often primarily generated by condensation in the cold season and by turbulent mixing of momentum in the warm season. Convection is the most important process only in a few cyclones. Negative PV along the warm front is primarily produced by long-wave radiative heating, turbulent mixing of temperature, or melting of snow in the cold season. Turbulent mixing of temperature becomes the primary process in the warm season, followed by melting of snow and turbulent mixing of momentum. The positive PV anomaly in the cyclone center is primarily produced by condensation in most cyclones, with only few cases primarily associated with turbulent mixing or convection. A composite analysis further reveals that cyclones primarily associated with PV generation by convection exhibit a negative air–surface temperature difference in the warm sector, which promotes a heat flux directed into the atmosphere. These cyclones generally occur over warm ocean currents in the cold season. On the other hand, cyclones that occur in a significantly colder environment are often associated with a positive air–surface temperature difference in the warm sector, leading to PV generation by long-wave radiative cooling. Finally, long-wave radiative heating due to a negative air–surface temperature difference in the cold sector produces negative PV along the cold and warm front, in particular in the cold season.

Analysis of the Anomalous Signals near the Tropopause before the Overshooting Convective System Onset over the Tibetan Plateau

This study investigates the anomalous signals near the tropopause before the overshooting convective system (OCS) onset over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). It is found that the tropopause height is stable at the maximum height for the 7th day and the 5th day before the OCS onset. It then decreases significantly one day before and on the day of the OCS onset. The upward motion in the troposphere is the strongest for the 5th day before the OCS onset. From one day before and after the OCS onset, there are strong ascending motions at 500–300 hPa but weak descending motions near the tropopause. It is proposed that the descending of the tropopause height on the day of the OCS onset is caused by frequent tropopause fold events over the eastern TP associated with frequent cold trough intrusion from the north and the southeastward movement of upper-level westerly jet stream. The decrease of the tropopause height is accompanied by the intrusion of stratospheric air with higher potential vorticity (PV). Positive potential vorticity anomalies on 350 K isentropic surface can be noted in the region where the tropopause height decreases one day before and on the day of the OCS onset. With the deepening of the tropopause fold on the day of the OCS onset, there is not only downward motion near the tropopause in the area behind of the fold but also upward motion in the troposphere beneath the folding region. In addition, the upward displacement of isentropic surfaces leads to an upper-level cold pool, which causes a reduction in static stability beneath the PV anomaly on the day of the OCS onset. The upper-level PV anomalies and their associated strong instability in the middle troposphere can trigger convective activities by the release of potential instability on the day of the OCS onset. The overshooting convection is more likely to occur due to lower tropopause height, although upward motion in the troposphere is not the strongest.

Relations between the quasi‐biweekly oscillation over the East Asian monsoon region and the East Asian tropical monsoon depressions

AbstractAn empirical orthogonal function analysis was applied to 34 years of anomalous daily 10–20 day filtered outgoing longwave radiation data to determine the north‐westward propagating mode of quasi‐biweekly oscillations (QBWOs) over tropical East Asia during boreal summer. The centres of active QBWO convection coincided with positive potential vorticity (PV) anomalies at 500·hPa and cyclonic gyres at 850·hPa, whereas the centres of suppressed convection were superimposed upon negative PV anomalies and anticyclonic gyres. These circulations formed an inclined northwest–southeast wave train. The vertical dynamic and thermodynamic structures of the QBWO mode evince two centres of PV at 500 and 750·hPa, respectively, and an almost upright structure in the troposphere up to 300·hPa. The QBWO's convective cell has a warm‐over‐cold structure in the troposphere. These features have several similarities to East Asian tropical monsoon depressions (EAMDs), implying a close relationship between the north‐westward propagating mode of QBWOs and EAMDs. Further investigation indicates that EAMDs are prone to appear in the region of deep convection and move north‐westward with the QBWO circulation. The westernmost position of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), which is linked to the QBWO phase, strongly influences the route of EAMDs. An EAMD generated in the easterly winds to the south of WPSH moves westward under the influence of the horizontal adiabatic advection of PV. More eastward‐moving and turning EAMDs appear when WPSH weakens and retreats eastward due to enhancement of QBWO convection over the South China Sea (SCS) and western North Pacific. Most EAMDs reach peak intensity when moving over the SCS, and show a strong relation to the vigorous convection. However, there is no significant relation between the QBWO convection and the points of disappearance of the EAMDs.

Strengthening of the Kuroshio current by intensifying tropical cyclones.

A positive feedback mechanism between tropical cyclones (TCs) and climate warming can be seen by examining TC-induced energy and potential vorticity (PV) changes of oceanic geostrophic eddies. We found that substantial dissipation of eddies, with a strong bias toward dissipation of anticyclonic eddies, is directly linked to TC activity. East of Taiwan, where TCs show a remarkable intensifying trend in recent decades, the ocean exhibits a corresponding upward trend of positive PV anomalies. Carried westward by eddies, increasing numbers of positive PV anomalies impinge on the Kuroshio current, causing the mean current to accelerate downstream. This acts in opposition to decreasing basin-scale wind stress and has a potentially important warming impact on the extratropical ocean and climate.

Potential vorticity structure of embedded convection in a warm conveyor belt and its relevance for large-scale dynamics

Abstract. Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are important airstreams in extratropical cyclones. They can influence large-scale flow evolution by modifying the potential vorticity (PV) distribution during their cross-isentropic ascent. Although WCBs are typically described as slantwise-ascending and stratiform-cloud-producing airstreams, recent studies identified convective activity embedded within the large-scale WCB cloud band. However, the impacts of this WCB-embedded convection have not been investigated in detail. In this study, we systematically analyze the influence of embedded convection in an eastern North Atlantic WCB on the cloud and precipitation structure, on the PV distribution, and on larger-scale flow. For this reason, we apply online trajectories in a high-resolution convection-permitting simulation and perform a composite analysis to compare quasi-vertically ascending convective WCB trajectories with typical slantwise-ascending WCB trajectories. We find that the convective WCB ascent leads to substantially stronger surface precipitation and the formation of graupel in the middle to upper troposphere, which is absent for the slantwise WCB category, indicating the key role of WCB-embedded convection for precipitation extremes. Compared to the slantwise WCB trajectories, the initial equivalent potential temperature of the convective WCB trajectories is higher, and the convective WCB trajectories originate from a region of larger potential instability, which gives rise to more intense cloud diabatic heating and stronger cross-isentropic ascent. Moreover, the signature of embedded convection is distinctly imprinted in the PV structure. The diabatically generated low-level positive PV anomalies, associated with a cyclonic circulation anomaly, are substantially stronger for the convective WCB trajectories. The slantwise WCB trajectories lead to the formation of a widespread region of low-PV air (that still have weakly positive PV values) in the upper troposphere, in agreement with previous studies. In contrast, the convective WCB trajectories form mesoscale horizontal PV dipoles at upper levels, with one pole reaching negative PV values. On a larger scale, these individual mesoscale PV anomalies can aggregate to elongated PV dipole bands extending from the convective updraft region, which are associated with coherent larger-scale circulation anomalies. An illustrative example of such a convectively generated PV dipole band shows that within around 10 h the negative PV pole is advected closer to the upper-level waveguide, where it strengthens the isentropic PV gradient and contributes to the formation of a jet streak. This suggests that the mesoscale PV anomalies produced by embedded convection upstream organize and persist for several hours and therefore can influence the synoptic-scale circulation. They thus can be dynamically relevant, influence the jet stream and (potentially) the downstream flow evolution, which are highly relevant aspects for medium-range weather forecast. Finally, our results imply that a distinction between slantwise and convective WCB trajectories is meaningful because the convective WCB trajectories are characterized by distinct properties.

Potential Vorticity Generation by West African Squall Lines

Abstract The West African summer monsoon features multiple, complex interactions between African easterly waves (AEWs), moist convection, variable land surface properties, dust aerosols, and the diurnal cycle. One aspect of these interactions, the coupling between convection and AEWs, is explored using observations obtained during the 2006 African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (AMMA) field campaign. During AMMA, a research weather radar operated at Niamey, Niger, where it surveilled 28 squall-line systems characterized by leading convective lines and trailing stratiform regions. Nieto Ferreira et al. found that the squall lines were linked with the passage of AEWs and classified them into two tracks, northerly and southerly, based on the position of the African easterly jet (AEJ). Using AMMA sounding data, we create a composite of northerly squall lines that tracked on the cyclonic shear side of the AEJ. Latent heating within the trailing stratiform regions produced a midtropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomaly centered at the melting level, as commonly observed in such systems. However, a unique aspect of these PV anomalies is that they combined with a 400–500-hPa positive PV anomaly extending southward from the Sahara. The latter feature is a consequence of the deep convective boundary layer over the hot Saharan Desert. Results provide evidence of a coupling and merging of two PV sources—one associated with the Saharan heat low and another with latent heating—that ends up creating a prominent midtropospheric positive PV maximum to the rear of West African squall lines.

On the determining factors in cases of moderate to heavy precipitation in Tehran

Investigating the factors responsible for heavy precipitation events is important because of the financial and non-financial losses they often cause. Based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis and a numerical mesoscale forecasting model (WRF), the effects of four factors on significant precipitations in Tehran are studied. The four factors are upper-level potential vorticity (PV) anomalies, and mid-tropospheric PV anomalies as two meteorological factors; and the Alborz and Zagros mountains as two external factors. A factor separation analysis is applied to six days that are representative (most similar) of the six circulation types (CTs) previously identified for moderate to heavy precipitations in Tehran. The independent contribution of the upper-level PV anomaly to precipitation in each of the selected days of the second to the sixth CT is higher than 60%; hence, the upper-level tropospheric flow provided the main precipitation forcing factor, with much less contribution from the thermodynamic factor of the mid-level troposphere. Regarding the two orographic external factors, the higher positive impact on Tehran precipitation is found for the Alborz mountains. This is related to synoptic-scale weather systems that induce a northerly low-level flow towards the Alborz mountains. Moreover, in all the studied cases, except the fifth CT, the independent impact of the Zagros mountains on Tehran precipitation is positive. In all of the selected days except that of the first CT, the main factor responsible for precipitation is the intrusion of dry and cold stratospheric air associated with a large positive PV anomaly (streamer) at upper-tropospheric levels. For the first CT, further quest is necessary to find out the main factor.

Coastal outflow currents into a buoyant layer of arbitrary depth

The long-wave, reduced-gravity, shallow-water equations (the semi-geostrophic equations) are used to study the outflow of a river into the ocean. While previous models have studied dynamics driven by gradients in density, the focus here is on the effects of potential vorticity anomaly (PVa). The river water is taken to have the same density as a finite-depth upper layer of oceanic fluid, but the two fluids have different, uniform, potential vorticities. Under these assumptions, the governing equations reduce to two first-order, nonlinear partial differential equations which are integrated numerically for a prescribed efflux of river water and PVa. Results are found to depend strongly on the sign of the PVa, with all fluid turning downstream (in the direction of Kelvin-wave propagation) when the river water has positive PVa and anticyclonic flow upstream of the river mouth when the PVa is negative. In all cases, a nonlinear Kelvin wave propagates at finite speed ahead of the river water. Away from the river mouth, the uniformity of one set of Riemann invariants allows for similarity solutions that describe the shape of the outflow, as well as a theory that predicts properties of the Kelvin wave. A range of behaviours is observed, including flows that develop shocks and flows that continue to expand offshore. The qualitative behaviour of the outflow is strongly correlated with the value of a single dimensionless parameter that expresses the ratio of the speed of the flow driven by the Kelvin wave to that driven by image vorticity.

The role of mid-level vortex in the intensification and weakening of tropical cyclones

The present study examines the dynamics of mid-tropospheric vortex during cyclogenesis and quantifies the importance of such vortex developments in the intensification of tropical cyclone. The genesis of tropical cyclones are investigated based on two most widely accepted theories that explain the mechanism of cyclone formation namely ‘top-down’ and ‘bottom-up’ dynamics. The Weather Research and Forecast model is employed to generate high resolution dataset required for analysis. The development of the mid-level vortex was analyzed with regard to the evolution of potential vorticity (PV), relative vorticity (RV) and vertical wind shear. Two tropical cyclones which include the developing cyclone, Hudhud and the non-developing cyclone, Helen are considered. Further, Hudhud and Helen, is compared to a deep depression formed over Bay of Bengal to highlight the significance of the mid-level vortex in the genesis of a tropical cyclone. Major results obtained are as follows: stronger positive PV anomalies are noticed over upper and lower levels of troposphere near the storm center for Hudhud as compared to Helen and the depression; Constructive interference in upper and lower level positive PV anomaly maxima resulted in the intensification of Hudhud. For Hudhud, the evolution of RV follows ‘top-down’ dynamics, in which the growth starts from the middle troposphere and then progresses downwards. As for Helen, RV growth seems to follow ‘bottom-up’ mechanism initiating growth from the lower troposphere. Though, the growth of RV for the depression initiates from mid-troposphere, rapid dissipation of mid-level vortex destabilizes the system. It is found that the formation mid-level vortex in the genesis phase is significantly important for the intensification of the storm.

The Microphysical Building Blocks of Low-Level Potential Vorticity Anomalies in an Idealized Extratropical Cyclone

Abstract Diabatically generated low-level potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in extratropical cyclones enhance near-surface winds and influence the cyclone’s development. Positive and negative PV anomalies in the warm-frontal region of an extratropical cyclone, simulated with an idealized moist baroclinic channel model, are investigated to identify the microphysical processes that produce them. Using a novel method based on backward trajectories from the PV anomalies, the contribution of different microphysical processes to the formation of the anomalies is quantified. It is found that, for each anomaly, typically one specific microphysical process takes the leading role in its diabatic generation. A large but rather weak low- and midlevel positive anomaly is produced by depositional growth of ice and snow. Two smaller but stronger positive anomalies at lower levels are generated mainly by in-cloud condensational heating at the warm front and below-cloud rain evaporation and snow melting 200 km farther north. In addition, near-surface negative anomalies are produced by snow melting and snow sublimation. In summary, this idealized study reveals that (i) a variety of microphysical processes are involved in generating the complex mesoscale PV structures along the warm front; (ii) the model representation of these processes, some of them still insufficiently understood and parameterized, therefore matters for an accurate prediction of these features; (iii) below-cloud processes are also relevant for PV anomalies located in clouds, owing to accumulation of diabatic PV tendencies along ascending air parcels; and (iv) the diabatic history of the air parcels is essential in order to explain the observed PV pattern.

Warm Conveyor Belts in the ERA-Interim Dataset (1979–2010). Part I: Climatology and Potential Vorticity Evolution

Abstract A global climatology of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) is presented for the years 1979–2010, based on trajectories calculated with Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) data. WCB trajectories are identified as strongly ascending air parcels (600 hPa in 2 days) near extratropical cyclones. Corroborating earlier studies, WCBs are more frequent during winter than summer and they ascend preferentially in the western ocean basins between 25° and 50° latitude. Before ascending, WCB trajectories typically approach from the subtropics in summer and from more midlatitude regions in winter. Considering humidity, cloud water, and potential temperature along WCBs confirms that they experience strong condensation and integrated latent heating during the ascent (typically >20 K). Liquid and ice water contents along WCBs peak at about 700 and 550 hPa, respectively. The mean potential vorticity (PV) evolution shows typical tropospheric values near 900 hPa, followed by an increase to almost 1 potential vorticity unit (PVU) at 700 hPa, and a decrease to less than 0.5 PVU at 300 hPa. These low PV values in the upper troposphere constitute significant negative anomalies with amplitudes of 1–3 PVU, which can strongly influence the downstream flow. Considering the low-level diabatic PV production, (i) WCBs starting at low latitudes (<40°) are unlikely to attain high PV (due to weak planetary vorticity) although they exhibit the strongest latent heating, and (ii) for those ascending at higher latitudes, a strong vertical heating gradient and high absolute vorticity are both important. This study therefore provides climatological insight into the cloud diabatic formation of significant positive and negative PV anomalies in the extratropical lower and upper troposphere, respectively.

Observational evidence of planetary wave influences on ozone enhancements over upper troposphere North Africa

MOZAIC instrument measured enhanced ozone on two occasions in February, 1996 and 1997 at cruise altitude over North Africa. The cause and source of ozone enhancements over the region are investigated using additional reanalysis data from ERA-Interim. The ERA-Interim reprocessed GOME ozone indicated existence of enhancement as well. Both observational data revealed that the increase in ozone has wider latitudinal coverage extending from North Europe upto North Africa. The geopotential heights and zonal wind from ERA-Interim have indicated existence of planetary-scale flow that allowed meridional airmass exchanges between subtropics and higher latitudes. The presence of troughs-ridge pattern are attributable to large amplitude waves of zonal wavenumber 1–5 propagating eastward in the winter hemisphere westerly current as determined from Hayashi spectra as well as local fractional variance spectra determined from Multitaper Method-Singular Value Decomposition (MTM-SVD) spectral method. MTM-SVD is also used to understand the role of these waves on ozone enhancement and variability during the observation period in a mechanistic approach. A joint analysis of driving field, such as wind and potential vorticity (PV) for which only signals of the dominant zonal wavenumbers of prevailing planetary waves are retained, has revealed strong linkage between wave activity and ozone enhancement over the region at a temporal cycle of 5.8days. One of these features is the displacement of the polar vortex southward during the enhancements, allowing strong airmass, energy and momentum exchanges. Evidence of cutoff laws that are formed within the deep trough, characteristics of Rossby wave breaking, is also seen in the ozone horizontal distribution at different pressure levels during the events. The reconstruction of signals with the cycle of 5.8days has shown that the time and strength of enhancement depend on the circulation patterns dictated by planetary-scale flow relative to the location of observation. The positive PV anomalies upstream or at the observation region bring ozone rich airmass to the region while a negative PV anomaly upstream does the opposite. The position of the anomalies with time changes in accordance with the period of the waves involved. The snap shot of coherent variation of PV and ozone at different time during half cycle of the 5.8-day period has indicated that a region could experience positive (enhancement) or negative (depletion) ozone anomalies of different degree as the wave propagates eastward.

Equatorward breaking Rossby waves over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean region in the ECMWF operational Ensemble Prediction System

AbstractThe equatorward breaking of Rossby waves is a frequent feature of the synoptic‐scale circulation over the North Atlantic. It often creates upper‐level disturbances at low latitudes which can cause heavy precipitation in the Mediterranean region and Saharan dust outbreaks. The present study is the first to systematically explore the enormous dynamical information content of 12 years of data from the operational Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts for this particular atmospheric feature. Dynamical precursors, forecast quality and predictability are investigated using a range of verification and analysis tools based on potential vorticity (PV). The main conclusions from this work are: (i) the EPS shows an underdispersive behaviour in the subtropics during PV streamer events; (ii) there is a tendency for too weak Rossby wave breaking and therefore a northward shift of the streamers in the forecast; (iii) strong PV streamers in the medium‐range forecasts are preceded by an active wave train in the Subtropics, strongly positive PV anomalies in the Extratropics, and latent heating upstream of the PV streamer. There are no clear indications that blocking downstream is an important factor, in contrast to other studies. Analysis tools developed specifically for EPS data in this study such as ensemble correlation techniques could be applied to other atmospheric phenomena in the future.

A 10-yr Climatology of Diabatic Rossby Waves in the Northern Hemisphere

AbstractDiabatic Rossby waves (DRWs) are low-tropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in moist and sufficiently baroclinic regions. They regenerate continuously by moist-diabatic processes and potentially develop into explosively intensifying cyclones. In this study a specific DRW-tracking algorithm is developed and applied to operational ECMWF analyses to compile a first climatology of DRWs in the Northern Hemisphere for the years 2001–10. DRWs are more frequent over the North Pacific than over the North Atlantic with on average 81 and 43 systems per year, respectively. Less than 15% of these systems intensify explosively, on average 12 per year over the Pacific and 5 over the Atlantic. DRWs are most frequent in summer but most of the explosively intensifying DRWs occur in autumn and winter. DRWs are generated typically between 30°–50°N over the eastern parts of the continents and the western/central parts of the oceans. They propagate fairly zonally along the midlatitude baroclinic zone. The generation of the initial low-tropospheric PV anomalies goes along with precipitation processes in characteristic flow patterns, which correspond to 1) flow around the subtropical high against the midlatitude baroclinic zone, 2) flow induced by an upper-level cutoff or a (tropical) cyclone against the baroclinic zone, 3) upper-level trough-induced ascent at the baroclinic zone, and 4) PV remnants of a tropical cyclone or a mesoscale convective system that are advected into the baroclinic zone where they start propagating as a DRW. In most cases, explosive intensification of DRWs occurs through interaction with a preexisting upper-level trough.