Portfolio Investment Inflows Research Articles

What explains foreign portfolio investment inflows to BRICS countries?

Large and volatile foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows raise financial instability concerns and create several macroeconomic challenges for developing countries. Identifying the factors driving FPI inflows is therefore essential for formulating appropriate policies to manage these inflows efficiently. This study uses a GM-FMOLS panel cointegration approach to examine and identify such factors for BRICS countries, the leading recipients of FPI inflows among all developing countries. The study finds that the 10-year US Treasury bond yield exerts a significant negative influence on FPI inflows. These bonds provide risk-free long-term returns to portfolio investors; hence, a rise in the yield on such bonds prompts them to readjust their portfolios away from assets in developing countries to US Treasuries, leading to a decline in FPI inflows. The study further finds that a thriving domestic stock market, a higher interest rate differential, an appreciating domestic currency, an improvement in the recipient country’s creditworthiness, and a greater degree of trade openness are conducive to FPI inflows. However, a rising consumer price index, higher foreign output growth, and greater global financial volatility discourage these inflows.

An Empirical Investigation of the Nexus Among Foreign Portfolio Investment, Stock Market Growth and Domestic Investment in Nigeria

The study investigated the nexus among foreign portfolio investment, stock market growth and domestic investment in Nigeria from 1986 to 2022 using annual time series data. The study was anchored on the theoretical foundations of the foreign capital movement and the Tobin’s Qtheory of investment. The employed the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) to analyze the data. Findings of the study revealed that, there is a positive pass-through effect of foreign portfolio investment to domestic investment through the stock market growth in Nigeria. The study concluded that, foreign portfolio is important in stimulating domestic investment in Nigeria. Based on these findings, the study made the following recommendations. The government through the ministry of trade and investment in conjunction with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) should create market access by liberalizing the capital market by expanding the shareholdings of the foreign investors beyond the existing 10% to attract more inflows of foreign portfolio investment. Second, to retain foreign portfolio investment and avoid frequent investment rebalancing in the stock market, the government through the National Assembly should enact laws that ensure transparent regulatory framework in the stock market in the country. This would enable foreign investors to have a clear understanding of the rules and procedures governing their investments, as well as the regulatory framework in which they operate. This requires strong legal frameworks that safeguard investors’ rights, ensure fair treatment, and provide dispute resolution mechanisms.

Foreign Investment Flows and Stock Market Performance in Nigeria

This study looks at how foreign investment flows affected Nigeria’s stock market performance from 1994 to 2023. The paper utilised an ex-post facto research approach, and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) bulletin, 2023, offered the data for analysis. Market capitalisation (MCAP) was the dependent variable in the study, and the independent variables used to measure foreign investment flows were foreign direct investment inflows (FDINF), outflows (FDIOUF), inflows from foreign portfolio investments (FPINF), and outflows from foreign portfolio investments (FPIOUT). The study tested the proposed hypotheses using the Ordinary Least Squares estimation approach. In order to determine the dependent variable, market capitalisation, the research examined the effects of four independent variables: FPI inflow, FDI inflows, and FPI outflows. The results show that the influx of FDI has little effect on market capitalisation. Outflows of FDI have a big effect on market capitalisation. Inflows of foreign portfolio investments have little effect on market capitalisation. Outflows from foreign portfolio investments dramatically increase the capitalisation of the stock market. As per the r2, changes in foreign investment variables in Nigeria may account for around 59% of the variations in stock market performance within the Nigerian economy. According to the study’s findings, foreign investment flows significantly affect Nigeria’s market capitalisation. Suggestions include promoting foreign direct investment inflows continuously, encouraging domestic companies to invest overseas, improving market transparency to draw in foreign portfolio investment inflows, and cautiously promoting outward investments to avoid excessive capital outflows.

Connecting Cross‐Border Market Participants: The Intermediary Role of International Analysts in Global Capital Markets

AbstractAlthough the analyst profession has rapidly expanded internationally, very few studies have examined the distinct role of international analysts in the global economy. Motivated to address this need, we examine the role of international analysts as key intermediaries connecting local firms with foreign investors. Specifically, we investigate whether and under what circumstances the international analyst community in a host country influences foreign equity investment in the country. Our analyses of foreign portfolio investment inflows in 57 countries from 1987 to 2007 demonstrate that the international analyst community plays an essential role in facilitating cross‐border equity investment by mitigating foreign investors' information challenges. We also find that the extent of such influence is further affected by the heterogeneity of the host country's information environment and by that of the international analyst community. These findings extend the extant knowledge of analysts, information intermediaries, cross‐border capital investment, and global professions.

Sector Specific Determinants of Foreign Portfolio Investment Inflows in India: A Panel ARDL Approach

This article investigates the factors that influence foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows to various sectors in India from February 2012 to July 2020. We find evidence that in the short-run FPI inflows in India have a significant positive relationship with the index of industrial production (IIP), foreign direct investment (FDI) and market capitalization (MC) while a significant negative relationship with the US dollars exchange rate (DEXR) and real effective exchange rate (REER). The results of the panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach show that sectoral FPI inflows to the various sector in India have a significant negative relationship with interest rate differential (IRD), MC and the US DEXR in the long run. However, in the long run, it has a significant positive relationship with international liquidity (IL) and REER. In addition, we observe that for all sectors the interest rate differential boosts FPI inflows in India except for new economy sectors. The policy prescription of the study points toward the creation of a conducive investment climate to encourage foreign portfolio investors.

The Dynamics of Foreign Portfolio Investment and Exchange Rates: An Interconnection Approach in ASEAN

This paper examines the spatial dependence of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows among ASEAN countries in 2002Q1-2018Q4 utilizing the spatial econometric approach. This paper adds clarity to the identification of the true nature of portfolio investment performances. I show a competitive relationship among ASEAN countries, indicating crowding out of FPI in the host country is most likely to occur when the neighboring country is experiencing a crowding out. I also show that exchange rate volatility and changes, both in the host country and neighboring country, do not significantly affect FPI in the host country. Furthermore, I find that, aside from macroeconomic factors of the host country, foreign investors also consider the macroeconomic conditions in the neighboring country, suggesting the existence of spatial dependency. Robustness checks are conducted to confirm the main findings of this study.

An Empirical Investigation of Foreign and Domestic Portfolio Investment on Economic Growth in Nigeria

This paper empirically investigated the growth implications of foreign portfolio investment inflows and foreign portfolio investment outflows in Nigeria over the period 1986 to 2018. Secondary data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and World Development Indicator (WDI) was used for examining the relationships among the endogenous variable and exogenous variables included in the model. The study employed Augumented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test, Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root test, Johansen co-integration test, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) multiple regression technique to investigate the relationships among real gross domestic product (RGDP), foreign portfolio investment outflows (FPI), foreign portfolio investment inflows (DPI), exchange rate (EXGR) and inflation rate (INFR). Empirical findings revealed that foreign portfolio investment inflows (DPI) exerted statistically significant positive relationship with economic growth (RGDP) whereas foreign portfolio investment outflows (FPI) exhibited statistically significant negative relationship with economic growth (RGDP) in Nigeria over the studied period. Based on the estimated results, government at all levels in Nigeria should create enabling environment for the attraction of foreign portfolio investment inflows in order to spur economic growth; and monetary authorities in Nigeria should ensure stabilization of capital and money market activities with appropriate policies to sustain internalization and attractiveness to investors. Keywords: Foreign portfolio investment outflows, Domestic portfolio investment inflows, Economic growth, Ordinary Least Square Regression, Nigeria DOI: 10.7176/JESD/13-2-02 Publication date: January 31 st 2022

Effectiveness of controlling foreign portfolio investment inflows using macroeconomic policy instruments and institutional strengthening (case study in Indonesia and Thailand)

This study analyzed the influence of macroeconomic and institutional variables on foreign portfolio investment inflows in two ASEAN countries, Namely Indonesia and Thailand, in 2005 – 2019. The analytical tools used in this research are Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) and Panel Ordinary Least Square (POLS). The estimation results show that the macroeconomic variables that are proxied using inflation and openness economy and institutional variables that are proxied using the variable level of corruption and quality of regulation have a significant effect. In the long term, the inflation rate, the openness economy, and the quality of regulation variables significantly affect foreign portfolio investment. Meanwhile, in a short time, only the inflation rate variable and the openness ratio have a significant effect on foreign portfolio investment. The two analytical tools used found that macroeconomic and institutional variables consistently affect foreign portfolio investment.

Inequality, autocracy, and sovereign funds as determinants of foreign portfolio equity flows

AbstractWe identify new country characteristics that influence cross‐border equity flows: income inequality, autocracy, and sovereign wealth funds. Using 149 source countries and 34 Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development (OECD) host countries for 2002–2013, we find that OECD host countries receive higher foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows from source countries with high income inequality and source countries with a sovereign wealth fund, but lower inflows from autocratic source countries. We argue that concentrated wealth in a society, overseas investments for the benefit of future generations, and political regimes influence FPI. These variables have been understudied though they provide valuable indicators for policy makers and investors. We supplement our core analysis with realistic interactions between these new variables and with the increasing importance of tax havens. Our results hold throughout a variety of robustness checks.

Güney Afrika'da Yabancı Portföy Yatırım Akışına Neden Olan Faktörler Nelerdir?

: The aim of this study is to examine the macroeconomic indicators that pull and/or push foreign portfolio investment (FPI) inflows in South Africa. The ARDL method of co-integration and the bounds test are employed to establish a dynamic relationship between the macroeconomic indicators. The bounds test revealed that there is a long run relationship between FPI and its regressors where all the push and pull variables determine the FPI significantly. The short-run relationship between the FPI and its regressors are also estimated alongside with the rate at which diverging variables return to equilibrium after a short-run shock. Both pull and push variables are significant determinants of FPI in the short-run and it returns to the long-run equilibrium at the speed of 73 percent after a short-run shock.

An Empirical Investigation on Foreign Capital Inflows and Economic Development in Nigeria

In an attempt to attained sustainable level of economic development in a nation, empirical studies as well as financial theories posit that foreign capital inflows play a lead role. As such, this study set out to empirically investigate the extent to which foreign capital flows promotes economic development in Nigeria. Time series data between the periods 1986 to 2018 were sourced from the central bank of Nigeria statistical bulletin and world bank data based. The study proxied foreign capital flows using foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, foreign aids and external borrowings which is decomposed into multilateral and bilateral loans while Human development index is used as proxy for economic development. The study further employed unit root test, co-integration test, error correction model and granger causality test to ascertain the direction of relationship. Findings reveal that of the five indices of foreign capital inflows, three (foreign portfolio investment, foreign aids and bilateral loan) prove to be significant in promoting economic development in Nigeria, while foreign direct investment and multilateral loan are negatively related to economic development in Nigeria. As such, the study conclude that foreign capital inflows in the form of foreign portfolio investment, foreign aids and bilateral loans are significant in boosting economic development in Nigeria. Therefore, we recommend that managers of the Nigerian economic should create an enabling financial environment as this will help in accelerating further inflows of portfolio investment and thus boost economic development in Nigeria.

Impact of central bank independence and transparency on international equity portfolio allocation: A cross-country analysis

In this study, we analyse the effects of central bank independence (CBI) and central bank transparency (CBT) and their interactions with institutional quality on foreign equity portfolio inflows. Employing a dataset from 42 countries over the period from 2001 to 2014, we find strong evidence that independent and transparent central bank has a positive and significant influence on foreign equity investment inflows. Further analysis shows that institutional quality interacts with central bank independence and transparency in attracting foreign equity portfolio. Our results are robust to alternative specifications, endogeneity concerns and that economic policy uncertainty increases asymmetric information and deters foreign equity portfolio investment inflows.

The behavior of Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spread: evidence from Turkey with the effect of Covid-19 pandemic

This study examines how sovereign CDS spreads of Turkey behave in Covid-19 pandemic times by considering that CDS spreads reflect the riskiness, vulnerability, financial stability, and macroeconomic stability of countries and CDS spreads of most of the emerging countries have increased with the emergence of Covid-19 pandemic. Therefore, the study focuses on the year 2020 which includes before Covid-19 and Covid-19 pandemic times periods. In this context, daily data between 12.06.2019 and 06.16.2020, 6 independent variables, and 6 Covid-19 situations are analyzed by employing Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) method. The findings reveal that (i) influential factors on Turkey's CDS spreads are BIST100 index, VIX index, MSCI Turkey index, and USD/TL foreign exchange rates for the period which is before Covid-19 pandemic times; (ii) MSCI emerging market index, number of new deaths from Covid-19, USD/TL foreign exchange rates, weighted average cost of funds, number of new cases from Covid-19, and VIX index have effect on Turkey's CDS spreads in Covid-19 pandemic times, respectively; (iii) on the other hand, number of cumulative cases, number of cumulative deaths, and measures do not have effect on Turkey's CDS spreads in any period. Taking precautions to decrease negative effects on Turkey's CDS spreads by considering the importance of deaths number from Covid-19 pandemic is very important. Hence, Turkey could stimulate foreign portfolio investment inflows with decreasing CDS spreads.

The Behavior of Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) Spread: Evidence from Turkey with the Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic

This study examines how sovereign CDS spreads of Turkey behave in COVID-19 pandemic times by considering that CDS spreads reflect the riskiness, vulnerability, financial stability, and macroeconomic stability of countries and CDS spreads of most of the emerging countries have increased with the emergence of COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, the study focuses on the year 2020 which includes before COVID-19 and COVID-19 pandemic times periods. In this context, daily data between 12.06.2019 and 06.16.2020, 6 independent variables, and 6 COVID-19 situations are analyzed by employing Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) method. The findings reveal that (i) influential factors on Turkey’s CDS spreads are BIST100 index, VIX index, MSCI Turkey index, and USD/TL foreign exchange rates for the period which is before COVID-19 pandemic times; (ii) MSCI emerging market index, number of new deaths from COVID-19, USD/TL foreign exchange rates, weighted average cost of funds, number of new cases from Covid-19, and VIX index have effect on Turkey’s CDS spreads in COVID-19 pandemic times, respectively; (iii) on the other hand, number of cumulative cases, number of cumulative deaths, and measures do not have effect on Turkey’s CDS spreads in any period. Taking precautions to decrease negative effects on Turkey’s CDS spreads by considering the importance of deaths number from COVID-19 pandemic is very important. Hence, Turkey could stimulate foreign portfolio investment inflows with decreasing CDS spreads.

Dynamic effects of macroeconomic policies on categories of emerging markets’ capital inflows

ABSTRACTUsing panel and country-specific structural vector autoregressions, this paper analyzes the dynamic and size effects of the US monetary policy shock as well as domestic monetary and exchange rate shocks on gross foreign direct and portfolio investment inflows to emerging markets. While the effects of macroeconomic policy shocks are heterogeneous across countries, foreign direct investment inflow’s response to macroeconomic policy shocks is weak in contrast to the strong and on impact response of foreign portfolio investment. Structural vector autoregressions provide richer dynamic structure and a clearer comparison of ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors in financial flows via forecast error variance decomposition. This paper does not find evidence for ‘push’ factors’ dominance in either capital inflow type or across the countries.

Foreign Portfolio Investment And Macroeconomic Factors In India

Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) is a part of worldwide capital flows comprising of put out of monetary assets such as currency, supply or bonds across global borders in wish for earnings. FPI is a sole entity, which either boosts or impedes Indian economy and savings approach with each of momentary waft. For the period of behind 1980s and near the beginning 1990s portfolio savings emerged as a most essential type of resources inflow to growing countries. The consequence of portfolio savings to budding countries has arrived downward once the East Asian crisis of 1997. On the additional, most other emergent countries, India is at a standstill more reliant in the lead of Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) than Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) as a resource of foreign investment. Foreign Portfolio Investment inflows and outflows have a direct impact on Indian economy. One of the majority imperative features of the expansion of Indian economy in the last twenty years has been the mounting participation of FPI. Portfolio investment being an immediate verity it displays the Indian economy influence instantly. The aim of this revise is to check the relationship between Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) and select macroeconomic Indicators in India.

Economic growth effect of private capital inflows: a structural VAR approach for Nigeria

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of shocks in the various components of private capital inflows on economic growth in Nigeria using quarterly data in the period 1986Q1–2016Q4. Design/methodology/approach The study employs the impulse response function and the forecast error variance decomposition of the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. Findings The research result shows that shocks in foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and portfolio investment inflows have a positive and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. In addition, FDIs accounted for significant variation in the growth of the Nigerian economy followed by portfolio investments, while personal remittances exerted the least variation in growth. Practical implications The government should promote a favorable macroeconomic environment for existing and potential foreign investors to ensure the continued inflows of FDI and portfolio investment. Originality/value The novelty of this study lies in disaggregating private capital inflows and analyzing the effect of the shock of each component on the growth of the Nigerian economy using SVAR.

Before the interests are invested: disputes over asset control and equity market restrictions in Russia

This article investigates changes in the preference concerning restrictions on minority foreign ownership of equities among powerful groups of domestic asset holders in Russia. In three episodes between 1992 and 2006, local business interests opposed the easing of the rules for minority foreign ownership while they competed for control over disputed assets. Once they gained outright control of those assets, the winning groups began favoring lowering the barriers to portfolio investment inflows that would allow them to access liquidity and investment, and also aid their efforts to legitimize ownership rights. This account of financial integration in Russia suggests that domestic economic elites change their preferences with respect to financial openness policies depending on the outcome of ongoing contests for control over the relevant assets. Scholars of financial globalization in developing and emerging market economies should consider how contestability of property rights in the absence of the rule of law can influence the preferences of key domestic groups toward policies that enable or restrict the process of financial internationalization.

Foreign Portfolio Equity Investment and the Performance of the Nigerian Stock Market: A Sectoral Distribution Analysis

Most developing countries, such as Nigeria, have always been challenged by saving-investment gap, while many of them have consistently harnessed the Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) inflows to bridge the gap. In spite of the increased inflow of this type of investment to the Nigerian economy, its influence on stock market performance has been less consensual while such investment is also vulnerable to economic shocks. Therefore, this study examines the effect of foreign portfolio equity investment on stock market performance in Nigeria. The study employed ex-post facto research method using monthly time series data from 2007 to 2017. Using Kruskal-Wallis non-parametric test and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, the results reveal that there exists a significant difference in the sectoral distribution of FPI inflows to the Nigerian economy. It also finds that foreign portfolio equity investment has a significant positive influence on the Nigerian stock market performance at 5% level (t-stat= 6.8913, P= 0.0000<0.05; R2 = 0.77). The study concludes that foreign portfolio equity investment significantly predict stock market performance in Nigeria, and therefore recommends that the regulatory authorities should deepen the equity stocks of the market and encourage more firms to get listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange with a view to channelling more investments into the economy thereby fast-tracking industrialisation and economic development.

Corruption’s Impact on Liquidity, Investment Flows, and Cost of Capital

Corruption decreases liquidity available to institutional traders and discourages foreign portfolio investment inflows into a country. Corruption also increases corporations’ cost of equity capital. The effects of corruption on foreign investment and the cost of equity capital are nonlinear and reverse J-shaped, with intermediate levels of corruption yielding the most negative effects. Highly transparent nations, where a “level playing field” exists between foreign and local investors due to lack of information asymmetries related to corruption, attract the most investment flows. However, at the margin, very corrupt countries attract more flows than moderately corrupt countries because a “perverse level playing field” in the former countries may put foreigners and locals on an even footing in terms of resolving asymmetric information problems.