Population-based Prospective Cohort Study Research Articles

Sex-specific associations among neck circumference, the rs9939609 FTO gene polymorphism, and the 14-year risk of metabolic syndrome.

Limited data exist on the relation between neck circumference (NC) and the risk of developing metabolic syndrome (MS). This study investigated sex-specific associations between NC and the 14-year risk of MS and explored the impact of the FTO rs9939609 polymorphism on these associations. This population-based prospective cohort study involved 2,666 participants (1,301 men and 1,365 women), who were free of MS at baseline (2005-2006). Incident MS cases, defined by the presence of 3 or more criteria regarding blood pressure and blood levels of glucose, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, were identified through biennial examinations until 2020. NC measurements taken at baseline and between 2013 and 2014 were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression to determine sex-specific associations with MS risk. Controlling for potential confounders such as waist circumference (WC), significant associations were observed in both sexes. Individuals in the highest NC quartile exhibited more than a 2-fold higher MS risk than those in the lowest quartile; with hazard ratios of 2.37 (95% CI, 1.74 to 3.22) for men and 2.65 (95% CI, 1.89 to 3.72) for women (p-value for trend <0.001). No significant interaction was found between the FTO polymorphism and NC. In diagnostic test analyses, NC and WC demonstrated comparable area under the curve values in both sexes. The findings suggest that NC is as effective as WC for predicting the incidence of MS.

The effectiveness of nirsevimab in reducing the burden of disease due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection over time in the Madrid region (Spain): a prospective population-based cohort study.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is one of the main causes of morbidity and mortality from lower respiratory tract infections in children under 5 years of age worldwide. Given that, the objective of this study was estimate the effectiveness of nirsevimab (a single-dose, long-acting, human recombinant monoclonal antibody against RSV) over time for the prevention of respiratory episodes treated at different levels of care. A prospective and dynamic population-based cohort study was performed including infants born between April 1 and December 31, 2023, in the Madrid region who resided there during the follow-up period from October 1, 2023, to February 29, 2024. Infants were considered immunized from the day after receiving one dose (50 or 100 mg) of nirsevimab or nonimmunized individuals if they did not receive any dose. There were 4,100 episodes of primary care, 1,954 hospital emergencies, and 509 admissions, 82 of which required intensive care in the 33,859 participants analyzed. The adjusted effectiveness of nirsevimab in preventing hospitalization due to RSV infection was 93.6% (95% CI: 89.7 to 96.1) at 30 days and 87.6% (95% CI: 67.7 to 95.3) at 150 days. The number needed to treat to prevent one hospitalization were 314.19 (95% CI: 306.22 to 327.99) at 30 days and 24.30 (95% CI: 22.31 to 31.61) at 150 days. The adjusted effectiveness of nirsevimab in avoiding admission to an intensive care unit was 94.4% (95% CI: 87.3 to 97.5) at 30 days and 92.1% (95% CI: 64.0 to 98.3) at 90 days. The adjusted effectiveness of nirsevimab for avoiding primary care consultations and hospital emergency visits was lower. Immunization with nirsevimab is an effective measure for reducing the burden of care related to RSV at all levels of care albeit it decreases throughout follow-up. At 150 days it remained high for preventing hospital admissions. Other articles already published have also demonstrated high effectiveness although with preliminary results, short follow-up periods and wide confidence intervals. None have detected a decrease in effectiveness over time. These results can be quite useful in individual infant prevention and in the design of immunization campaigns.

Risk factors for raised left ventricular filling pressure by cardiovascular magnetic resonance: Prognostic insights.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging shows promise in estimating pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) non-invasively. At the population level, the prognostic role of CMR-modelled PCWP remains unknown. Furthermore, the relationship between CMR-modelled PCWP and established risk factors for cardiovascular disease has not been well characterized. The main aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of CMR-modelled PCWP at the population level. Employing data from the imaging substudy of the UK Biobank, a very large prospective population-based cohort study, CMR-modelled PCWP was calculated using a model incorporating left atrial volume, left ventricular mass and sex. Logistic regression explored the relationships between typical cardiovascular risk factors and raised CMR-modelled PCWP (≥15mmHg). Cox regression was used to examine the impact of typical risk factors and CMR-modelled PCWP on heart failure (HF) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Data from 39163 participants were included in the study. Median age of all participants was 64years (inter-quartile range: 58 to 70), and 47% were males. Clinical characteristics independently associated with raised CMR-modelled PCWP included hypertension [odds ratio (OR) 1.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44-1.70, P<0.001], body mass index (BMI) [OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.52-1.62, per standard deviation (SD) increment, P<0.001], male sex (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.26-1.47, P<0.001), age (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.27-1.41, per decade increment, P<0.001) and regular alcohol consumption (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.02-1.19, P=0.012). After adjusting for potential confounders, CMR-modelled PCWP was independently associated with incident HF [hazard ratio (HR) 2.91, 95% CI 2.07-4.07, P<0.001] and MACE (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.16-1.89, P=0.002). Raised CMR-modelled PCWP is an independent risk factor for incident HF and MACE. CMR-modelled PCWP should be incorporated into routine CMR reports to guide HF diagnosis and further management.

Dietary flavonoid intake and risk of hormone-related cancers: A population-based prospective cohort study

BackgroundDietary flavonoids may have potential effects on hormone-related cancers (HRCs) due to their anti-cancer properties via regulating hormones and suppressing inflammation and oxidative stress. We aimed to examine the association of flavonoid intake with risks of HRCs and whether this association was mediated by blood biomarkers involved in biological mechanisms. MethodsThis prospective cohort study from UK Biobank included 187,350 participants free of cancer when the last dietary recall was completed. The dietary intakes of flavonoids and subclasses were assessed using 24-hour dietary recalls. Venous blood was collected at baseline and assayed for biomarkers of inflammation, hormones, and oxidative stress. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % confidential intervals (CI) for the associations between flavonoid intake and HRCs risk were estimated by the cause-specific Cox proportional hazards model. The role of blood biomarkers in the flavonoids-HRCs association was investigated through mediation analysis. ResultsOver a median follow-up of 9.5 years, 3,392 female breast cancer, 417 ovarian cancer, 516 endometrial cancer, 4,305 prostate cancer, 45 testicular cancer, and 146 thyroid cancer cases were documented. Compared to the lowest quintile, multivariable-adjusted HRs (95 % CIs) in the highest quintile of total flavonoid intake were 0.89 (0.80–0.99) for breast cancer, 0.68 (0.50–0.92) for ovarian cancer, and 0.88 (0.80–0.98) for female-specific cancers. For subclasses, intakes of flavonols and anthocyanidins were inversely associated with the risk of female-specific cancers (Ptrend <0.05). Anthocyanidin intake was positively related to prostate cancer risk, whereas isoflavone intake was inversely linked to thyroid cancer risk (Ptrend <0.05). Additionally, certain biomarkers of inflammation, hormones and oxidative stress jointly mediated the association of flavonoid intake with the risk of female-specific cancers and prostate cancer. ConclusionsOur findings highlighted the importance of dietary flavonoids for the prevention of HRCs in the general population, providing epidemiological evidence for dietary guidelines.

The cardiovascular exercise response in children with overweight or obesity measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging.

Overweight and obesity are among the main causes of cardiovascular diseases. Exercise testing can aid in the early detection of subtle cardiac dysfunction not present in rest. We hypothesized that the cardiovascular response to exercise is impaired among children with overweight or obesity, characterized by the inability of the cardiovascular system to adapt to exercise by increasing cardiac volumes and blood pressure. We performed a cardiovascular stress test to investigate whether the cardiovascular exercise response is altered in children with overweight and obesity, as compared to children with a normal weight. A subgroup of the Generation R population-based prospective cohort study, consisting of 41 children with overweight or obesity and 166 children with a normal weight with a mean age of 16 years, performed an isometric exercise. Continuous heart rate and blood pressure were measured during rest, exercise and recovery. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) measurements were performed during rest and exercise. Higher BMI was associated with a higher resting systolic and diastolic blood pressure (difference: 0.24 SDS (95% CI 0.10, 0.37) and 0.20 SDS (95% CI 0.06, 0.33)) and lower systolic and diastolic blood pressure increases from rest to peak exercise (-0.11 SDS (95% CI -0.20, -0.03) and -0.07 SDS (95% CI -0.07, -0.01)). BMI was also associated with a slower decrease in systolic and diastolic blood pressure during recovery (p values < 0.05). Higher childhood BMI was associated with lower BSA corrected left ventricular mass, end-diastolic volume and stroke volume (p values < 0.05). There were no associations of childhood BMI with the cardiac response to exercise measured by heart rate and CMR measurements. Childhood BMI is, across the full range, associated with a blunted blood pressure response to static exercise but there were no differences in cardiac response to exercise. Our findings suggest that adiposity may especially affect the vascular exercise reaction without affecting cardiac response.

Loneliness and social isolation are associated with an increased risk of glaucoma: a UK Biobank cohort study

BackgroundLoneliness and social isolation have been found to be associated with various health-related outcomes. Our study aimed to evaluate the association of loneliness and social isolation with the risk of glaucoma.MethodsA total of 373,330 participants from the UK Biobank without glaucoma at recruitment were included in this study. Self-reported questionnaires were used to define loneliness and social isolation. Incident glaucoma events were identified by hospital inpatient admissions and self-reported data. COX proportional hazards models adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health-related factors were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 13.1 (interquartile range: 12.3–13.9) years, 6,489 participants developed glaucoma. After adjusting for confounding factors, loneliness (yes vs. no: adjusted HR: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.04–1.30; P = 0.009) and social isolation (yes vs. no: adjusted HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.01–1.16; P = 0.033) were associated with an increased risk of glaucoma.ConclusionsIn this population-based prospective cohort study, loneliness and social isolation were associated with a higher risk of glaucoma.

Pain Medication and Pain Intensity Following Hip Fractures-Analyses Based on the ProFem Cohort Study.

Pain is a common symptom following proximal femoral fractures (PFF), however, information on its treatment in terms of agents and type of use (scheduled vs. pro re nata [PRN]) is scarce. The main objective of this study was to examine pain medication regimens according to pain intensity following PFF. Furthermore, we explored the utilization of medication plans. The "ProFem"-study on healthcare provision, functional ability, and quality of life after PFF is a German population-based prospective cohort study based on statutory health insurance data and individually linked survey data from different time points including information on the currently used medication. This present analysis refers to the participants' baseline interviews (about 3 months following PFF) conducted from 2018 to 2019 in the participants' private surroundings. The study population comprised 444 participants (mean age: 81.2 years, 71.0% female). Half of them reported high intensity pain, and the mean value for the EuroQol visual analogue scale was 50.8. Most commonly used analgesics were metamizole and tilidine/naloxone. Among participants with high intensity pain, 21.9% received only PRN pain medication and 17.2% no pain medication at all. Overall, 61.5% of participants presented any (printed) medication plan and only 25.2% a "federal standardized medication plan" (BMP). As a substantial number of patients reports high intensity pain about 3 months following a PFF, the large proportion of those receiving no or only PRN pain medication raises questions regarding the appropriateness of the therapy. The overall low utilization of the BMP indicates potential for improvement.

Association of Lipopolysaccharide-Type Endotoxins with Retinal Neurodegeneration: The Alienor Study

PurposeLipopolysaccharide (LPS) -type endotoxins are naturally found in the gut microbiota and there is emerging evidence linking gut microbiota and neuroinflammation leading to retinal neurodegeneration. Thinning of the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) is a biomarker of retinal neurodegeneration, and a hallmark of glaucoma, the second leading cause of blindness worldwide. We assessed the association of a blood biomarker of LPS with peripapillary RNFL thickness (RNFLT) and its longitudinal evolution up to 11 years. DesignThe Alienor study is a single center prospective population-based cohort study. SubjectsThe studied sample of this study includes 1062 eyes of 548 participants receiving at least one gradable RNFL measurement. MethodsPlasma esterified 3-hydroxy fatty acids (3-OH FAs) were measured as a proxy of LPS burden. RNFLT was acquired using spectral domain optical coherence tomography imaging every two years from 2009 to 2020 (up to 5 visits). Main Outcome MeasureAssociations of plasma esterified 3-OH FAs with RNFLT were assessed using linear mixed models. ResultsMean age of the included 548 participants was 82.4 ± 4.3 years and 62.6 % were women. Higher plasma esterified 3-OH FAs was significantly associated with thinner RNFLT at baseline (Coefficient Beta (ß)= -1.42 microns for 1 SD-increase in 3-OH FAs, 95% confidence interval [-2.56; -0.28], p = 0.02). This association remained stable after multivariate adjustment for potential confounders. No statistically significant association was found between 3-OH FAs and longitudinal RNFLT change. ConclusionsHigher plasma esterified 3-OH FAs were associated with thinner RNFLT at baseline, indicating an involvement of LPS in the early processes of optic nerve neurodegeneration and highlighting the potential importance of the human microbiota in preserving retinal health.

Comorbidity and sex differences in functional disorders and internalizing disorders

ObjectiveIn the current exploratory study we estimate comorbidity rates between FDs [fibromyalgia (FM), myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS), and irritable bowel syndrome (IBS)]—and IDs—[major depressive disorder (MDD) and generalized anxiety disorder (GAD)] by using self-reported diagnostic criteria. MethodWe analyzed data from 107,849 participants (mean age = 49.3 (SD = 13.0), 58.6% women) of the Lifelines Cohort Study. Lifelines is a prospective population-based cohort study in the northeast of the Netherlands. Current IDs were assessed using the Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview. Current FM, ME/CFS, and IBS were assessed according to the 2010 American College of Rheumatology criteria, the 1994 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria and the ROME IV criteria, respectively. We estimated tetrachoric correlations between diagnoses and tested for sex differences. Additionally, we estimated the ratio of observed-to-expected frequency for combinations of diagnoses. ResultsFDs and IDs are highly comorbid (odds ratios: 3.2–12.6) with associations stronger among men. Participants with at least three disorders/diagnoses were more prevalent than expected by chance. ConclusionStudies that aim to explain sex differences and the comorbidity of specific combinations of IDs and FDs will be an important contribution to understanding the etiology of these conditions.

Leveraging real-world data to predict cancer cachexia stage, quality of life, and survival in a racially and ethnically diverse multi-institutional cohort of treatment-naïve patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Cancer-associated cachexia (CC) is a progressive syndrome characterized by unintentional weight loss, muscle atrophy, fatigue, and poor outcomes that affects most patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The ability to identify and classify CC stage along its continuum early in the disease process is challenging but critical for management. The main objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of CC stage overall and by sex and race and ethnicity among treatment-naïve PDAC cases using clinical, nutritional, and functional criteria. Secondary objectives included identifying the prevalence and predictors of higher symptom burden, supportive care needs, and quality of life (QoL), and examining their influence on overall survival (OS). A population-based multi-institutional prospective cohort study of patients with PDAC was conducted between 2018 and 2021 by the Florida Pancreas Collaborative. Leveraging patient-reported data and laboratory values, participants were classified at baseline into four stages [non-cachexia (NCa), pre-cachexia (PCa), cachexia (Ca), and refractory cachexia (RCa)]. Multivariate regression, Kaplan Meier analyses, and Cox regression were conducted to evaluate associations. CC stage was estimated for 309 PDAC cases (156 females, 153 males). The overall prevalence of NCa, PCa, Ca, and RCa was 12.9%, 24.6%, 54.1%, and 8.4%, respectively. CC prevalence across all CC stages was highest for males and racial and ethnic minorities. Criteria differentiated NCa cases from other groups, but did not distinguish PCa from Ca. The most frequently reported symptoms included weight loss, fatigue, pain, anxiety, and depression, with pain significantly worsening over time. The greatest supportive care needs included emotional and physical domains. Males, Black people, and those with RCa had the worst OS. Using clinical, nutritional, and functional criteria, nearly one-quarter of the PDAC cases in our diverse, multi-institutional cohort had PCa and 62.5% had Ca or RCa at the time of diagnosis. The PCa estimate is higher than that reported in prior studies. We recommend these criteria be used to aid in CC classification, monitoring, and management of all incident PDAC cases. Findings also highlight the recommendation for continued emotional support, assistance in alleviating pain, and supportive care needs throughout the PDAC treatment journey.

Depressive symptoms and sex differences in the risk of post-COVID-19 persistent symptoms: a prospective population-based cohort study

Depressive symptoms and sex differences in the risk of post-COVID-19 persistent symptoms: a prospective population-based cohort study

Diagnostic accuracy of dipsticks for urinary tract infections in acutely hospitalised patients: a prospective population-based observational cohort study

ObjectiveTo determine the added diagnostic value of dipsticks for urinary tract infections (UTI) in acutely hospitalised individuals.DesignProspective population-based cohort study.SettingNorth Denmark.ParticipantsAll adults (≥18 years) examined with dipsticks at emergency departments...

Height, body mass index, physical activity, and risk of colorectal cancer in relation to expression of insulin receptor: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study.

To ascertain the involvement of insulin receptors (IRs) in colorectal carcinogenesis, we investigated the association of height, body mass index (BMI), and physical activity with colorectal cancer (CRC) and two subtypes of CRC according to the expression level of IR. We utilized data from a large-scale, population-based prospective cohort study of 18,158 middle-aged and elderly subjects in Akita and Okinawa, Japan. In the statistical analysis, we used the Cox proportional hazards model and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of CRC and its subtypes as defined by immunohistochemistry of IRβ, a transmembrane subunit of IR. In the IRβ-defined subtypes, height showed no apparent association with the risk of IRβ-positive CRC. In contrast, a multivariable HR of IRβ-positive CRC was 1.77 (95% CI = 1.04-3.03) with a BMI of ≥30.0 kg/m2 (i.e., obesity), compared to a BMI of <25.0 kg/m2. Further, an increase in physical activity was significantly associated with decreased risk of IRβ-positive CRC (multivariable HR per 5 METs-hour/day = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.88-0.99). Meanwhile, we found no significant association between any exposure and IRβ-negative CRC. Likewise, heterogeneity between the two subtypes of CRC was not statistically significant. These findings imply that obesity and physical activity exert promoting and suppressing effects on the development of CRC expressing IRs, respectively.

Improved Air Quality and Asthma Incidence from School Age to Young Adulthood: A Population-based Prospective Cohort Study.

Rationale: The benefits of improved air quality on asthma remain understudied. Objectives: Our aim was to investigate associations of changes in ambient air pollution with incident asthma from school age until young adulthood in an area with mostly low air pollution levels. Methods: Participants in the BAMSE (Swedish abbreviation for Children, Allergy, Environment, Stockholm, Epidemiology) birth cohort from Stockholm without asthma before the 8-year follow-up were included (N = 2,371). We estimated the association of change in individual-level air pollutant exposure (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μm [PM2.5] and ≤ 10 μm [PM10], black carbon [BC], and nitrogen oxides [NOx]) from the first year of life to the 8-year follow-up with asthma incidence from the 8-year until the 24-year follow-up. Multipollutant trajectories were identified using the group-based multivariate trajectory model. We also used parametric G-computation to quantify the asthma incidence under different hypothetical interventions regarding air pollution levels. Results: Air pollution levels at residency decreased during the period, with median reductions of 5.6% for PM2.5, 3.1% for PM10, 5.9% for BC, and 26.8% for NOx. A total of 395 incident asthma cases were identified from the 8-year until the 24-year follow-up. The odds ratio for asthma was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-0.99) for each interquartile range reduction in PM2.5 (equal to 8.1% reduction). Associations appeared less clear for PM10, BC, and NOx. Five multipollutant trajectories were identified; the largest reduction trajectory displayed the lowest odds of asthma (odds ratio, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.31-0.98) compared with the lowest reduction trajectory. If the PM2.5 exposure had not declined up to the 8-year follow-up, the hypothetical asthma incidence was estimated to have been 10.9% higher (95% CI, 0.8-20.8%). Conclusions: A decrease in PM2.5 levels during childhood was associated with a lower risk of incident asthma from school age to young adulthood in an area with relatively low air pollution levels, suggesting broad respiratory health benefits from improved air quality.

Gratitude and Mortality Among Older US Female Nurses

Supporting healthy aging is a US public health priority, and gratitude is a potentially modifiable psychological factor that may enhance health and well-being in older adults. However, the association between gratitude and mortality has not been studied. To examine the association of gratitude with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in later life. This population-based prospective cohort study used data from self-reported questionnaires and medical records of 49 275 US older female registered nurses who participated in the Nurses' Health Study (2016 questionnaire wave to December 2019). Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of deaths by self-reported levels of gratitude at baseline. These models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic characteristics, social participation, physical health, lifestyle factors, cognitive function, and mental health. Data analysis was conducted from December 2022 to April 2024. Gratitude was assessed with the 6-item Gratitude Questionnaire, a validated and widely used measure of one's tendency to experience grateful affect. Deaths were identified from the National Death Index, state statistics records, reports by next of kin, and the postal system. Causes of death were ascertained by physicians through reviewing death certificates and medical records. Among the 49 275 participants (all female; mean [SD] age at baseline, 79 [6.16] years), 4608 incident deaths were identified over 151 496 person-years of follow-up. Greater gratitude at baseline was associated with a lower hazard of mortality in a monotonic fashion. For instance, the highest tertile of gratitude, compared with the lowest tertile, was associated with a lower hazard of all-cause deaths (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99) after adjusting for baseline sociodemographic characteristics, social participation, religious involvement, physical health, lifestyle factors, cognitive function, and mental health. When considering cause-specific deaths, death from cardiovascular disease was inversely associated with gratitude (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.73-0.995). This study provides the first empirical evidence suggesting that experiencing grateful affect is associated with increased longevity among older adults. The findings will need to be replicated in future studies with more representative samples.

P-772 Assisted reproductive technology and the risk of minor congenital heart defects in the newborn

Abstract Study question Are children conceived through assisted reproductive technology (ART) at higher risk of minor congenital heart defects (CHD) compared with naturally conceived (NC) children? Summary answer Contrary to previous studies children conceived through ART had similar risk of minor CHDs compared with children conceived naturally. What is known already Congenital heart defects (CHD) may precipitate cardiac arrhythmias, lead to thromboembolic events, culminate in heart failure or even sudden cardiac demise. A systematic review and meta-analysis showed an elevated odds ratio (OR) for diagnosis of any CHD among children conceived through in-vitro fertilization (IVF) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) compared with NC children. Other studies indicate that ART is associated with an increased arterial blood pressure and vascular dysfunction in the pulmonary and systemic arterial vasculature. This association persists throughout childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood in individuals conceived through ART; this indicates a lasting impact on the cardiovascular circulatory system. Study design, size, duration The present study is a sub-study to the Copenhagen Baby Heart Study (CBHS), a prospective population-based cohort study of &amp;gt; 25 000 children born in the three main maternity wards in Copenhagen, Denmark, in 2016–2018. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was performed on all children within 60 days of delivery and diagnosis of CHD was reviewed by a specialist in paediatric cardiology. Information regarding parental health, pregnancy, delivery, and the newborn was collected through Danish patient registries. Participants/materials, setting, methods This study includes all children conceived by ART in the CBHS (n = 1 784), and a matched group (1:4 by maternal age at birth) of NC children (n = 7 141). Exclusion criteria were genetic or chromosomal syndromes and heart surgery. Minor CHD was defined as an atrial (ASD) or ventricular septum defects (VSD), bicuspid aortic valve, coarctation of the aorta, pulmonary stenosis, or patent ductus arteriosus. We calculated ORs using logistic regression analyses. Main results and the role of chance The mean maternal age at birth was 34.9 (standard deviation [SD] ±4.4) and 35.1 years (SD ± 4.6) and the newborn mean age at TTE was 12.1 (SD ± 9.3) and 12.2 days (SD ± 9.4) in the ART and NC population, respectively. Parental CHD was registered in 40 (2.2 %) children in the ART group and 121 (1.7 %) in the NC group. Overall, 165 (9.2%) children conceived by ART and 611 (8.6%) NC children were diagnosed with a minor CHD. The most prevalent CHDs were VSD and ASD which accounted for 38.8 % and 35.2 % in children with CHD in the ART group, respectively, and 36.8 % and 33.9 % in children with CHD in the NC group. The unadjusted OR for minor CHD was 1.09 (95% CI 0.91–1.30). Adjustments for maternal age and parental CHD did not change the OR. There were no differences in ORs when stratifying by minor CHD type. We stratified by the method of ART: ICSI and IVF and frozen embryo transfer and fresh embryo transfer, and calculated risk of minor CHD comparing the methods and with NC children. We found no difference in any ORs, crude or adjusted. Limitations, reasons for caution Children born preterm, and children with severe minor and major CHDs, were underrepresented in the cohort indicating parents of such children chose not to participate in a research project that would include another hospital visit. Residual confounding is plausible because parental CHD diagnoses were retrieved from patient registries. Wider implications of the findings The number of children conceived through ART is increasing each year and previous research have found an increased risk of CHD in children conceived through ART. Our findings indicate no increased risk of minor CHD, providing comforting and significant information for advising individuals considering or undergoing ART treatment. Trial registration number NCT02753348

Life’s Essential 8, Genetic Susceptibility, and Incident Cardiac Arrhythmias: A Population-Based Prospective Cohort Study

BackgroundIdeal cardiovascular health (CVH) has been associated with reduced cardiovascular disease risk and mortality, but its association with cardiac arrhythmias was still unsettled. In this prospective cohort study, we investigated the relationship between CVH and subsequent arrhythmias risk, including atrial fibrillation (AF)/flutter, ventricular arrhythmias, and bradyarrhythmias. MethodsData from 287,264 participants initially free of arrhythmias in the UK Biobank were included in the analysis. Cox regression models were used to examine the relationship between CVH levels calculated by the American Heart Association’s Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) metrics, with cardiac arrhythmias risk. ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 12.8 years, 16,802 incident AF, 2186 incident ventricular arrhythmias, and 4128 incident bradyarrhythmias were identified. After adjustment for confounding factors, participants with high initial CVH levels had significantly lower risks for AF (hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59-0.68), ventricular arrhythmias (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40-0.59), and bradyarrhythmias (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.55-0.74) compared with those with low CVH levels. Furthermore, each standard deviation (SD) increase in LE8 scores was associated with a 15% lower risk of AF, 21% for ventricular arrhythmias, and 13% for bradyarrhythmias, respectively. In addition, a significant interaction was observed between CVH levels and the genetic risk of AF (P for interaction, 0.021). The reverse correlation seemed to be more noticeable in individuals with a lower genetic susceptibility to AF. ConclusionsWe concluded that higher levels of CVH, estimated by the LE8 metrics, were associated with significantly reduced risks of AF, ventricular arrhythmias, and bradyarrhythmias.

Association of maternal body mass index and gestational weight gain rate with cardiometabolic traits in childhood: A prospective cohort study

Background and aimsEvidence on the association of maternal obesity with offspring cardiometabolic health is limited, particularly for the Asian population. We aimed to examine the associations of maternal body mass index (BMI) in early pregnancy and gestational weight gain (GWG) rate in mid- and late-pregnancy with childhood cardiometabolic traits. Methods and resultsWe used data of 1452 mother-child pairs from a population-based prospective cohort study in China. Maternal BMI in early pregnancy and GWG rate in mid- and late-pregnancy were calculated. Childhood cardiometabolic traits were assessed at aged 4–7 years, including BMI, BMI-z, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, total cholesterol, triglycerides, fasting glucose, and C-reactive protein. Each 1 kg/m2 increase in maternal BMI in early pregnancy was associated with 0.46% (95% confidence interval, 0.19%–0.72%) higher children BMI, 0.05 (0.02–0.08) higher BMI-z, 0.41% (0.22%–0.59%) higher waist circumference, and 0.24% (0.03%–0.46%) higher SBP. Each 1 kg/week higher GWG rate in mid- and late-pregnancy was associated with higher children SBP (4.58% [1.46%–7.71%]), triglycerides (18.28% [3.13%–33.44%]), and fasting glucose (5.83% [2.64%–9.02%]) and lower BMI-z (−0.45 [−0.82 to −0.08]). Additional adjustment for offspring BMI attenuated the associations for maternal BMI but not for GWG rate. ConclusionsThe increase in maternal BMI and GWG are associated with adverse cardiometabolic profiles in childhood. The association between maternal BMI and childhood cardiometabolic traits is likely mediated using the offspring BMI.

Derivation and Validation of ICD-10 Codes for Identifying Incident Stroke

Claims data with International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes are routinely used in clinical research. However, the use of ICD-10 codes to define incident stroke has not been validated against expert-adjudicated outcomes in the US population. To develop and validate the accuracy of an ICD-10 code list to detect incident stroke events using Medicare inpatient fee-for-service claims data. This cohort study used data from 2 prospective population-based cohort studies, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, and included participants aged 65 years or older without prior stroke who had linked Medicare claims data. Stroke events in the ARIC and REGARDS studies were identified via active surveillance and adjudicated by expert review. Medicare-linked ARIC data (2016-2018) were used to develop a list of ICD-10 codes for incident stroke detection. The list was validated using Medicare-linked REGARDS data (2016-2019). Data were analyzed from September 1, 2022, through September 30, 2023. Stroke events detected in Medicare claims vs expert-adjudicated stroke events in the ARIC and REGARDS studies. The main outcomes were sensitivity and specificity of incident stroke detection using ICD-10 codes. In the ARIC study, there were 110 adjudicated incident stroke events among 5194 participants (mean [SD] age, 80.1 [5.3] years) over a median follow-up of 3.0 (range, 0.003-3.0) years. Most ARIC participants were women (3160 [60.8%]); 993 (19.1%) were Black and 4180 (80.5%) were White. Using the primary diagnosis code on a Medicare billing claim, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 81.8% (95% CI, 73.3%-88.5%) and a specificity of 99.1% (95% CI, 98.8%-99.3%) to detect incident stroke. Using any diagnosis code on a Medicare billing claim, the sensitivity was 94.5% (95% CI, 88.5%-98.0%) and the specificity was 98.4% (95% CI, 98.0%-98.8%). In the REGARDS study, there were 140 adjudicated incident strokes among 6359 participants (mean [SD] age, 75.8 [7.0] years) over a median follow-up of 4.0 (range, 0-4.0) years. More than half of the REGARDS participants were women (3351 [52.7%]); 1774 (27.9%) were Black and 4585 (72.1%) were White. For the primary diagnosis code, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 70.7% (95% CI, 63.2%-78.3%) and a specificity of 99.1% (95% CI, 98.9%-99.4%). For any diagnosis code, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 77.9% (95% CI, 71.0%-84.7%) and a specificity of 98.9% (95% CI, 98.6%-99.2%). These findings suggest that ICD-10 codes could be used to identify incident stroke events in Medicare claims with moderate sensitivity and high specificity.

COVID-19 vaccination-induced antibody responses and waning by age and comorbidity status in a large population-based prospective cohort study

BackgroundInformation on the magnitude and duration of antibody levels after COVID-19 vaccination in different groups may be useful for prioritizing of additional vaccinations. MethodsSerum samples were collected every six months in a prospective cohort study among adults in the Netherlands. Geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) of antibodies against the receptor binding domain of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein were calculated after the primary series, first, and second booster vaccinations. Effects of age (18–59 vs 60–85 years) and medical risk conditions on GMC 2–6 weeks and 21–25 weeks after each vaccination, and on waning during 3–25 weeks after each vaccination, were estimated by linear regression. ResultsWe included 20,640, 15,229 and 8,392 samples collected after primary, first and second booster vaccination, respectively. GMCs at 2–6 and 21–25 weeks after primary series were lower in participants with older age or medical risk conditions. After the first booster, older age was associated with lower GMC at 2–6 weeks and at 21–25 weeks. Waning after the first and second boosters (only 60–85) was not associated with age or medical risk conditions. ConclusionsSince antibody differences by age and medical risk groups have become small with increasing number of doses, other factors such as COVID-19 disease severity rather than antibody levels are useful for prioritization of additional vaccinations.