Population-based Prospective Cohort Study Research Articles

Height, body mass index, physical activity, and risk of colorectal cancer in relation to expression of insulin receptor: The Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study.

To ascertain the involvement of insulin receptors (IRs) in colorectal carcinogenesis, we investigated the association of height, body mass index (BMI), and physical activity with colorectal cancer (CRC) and two subtypes of CRC according to the expression level of IR. We utilized data from a large-scale, population-based prospective cohort study of 18,158 middle-aged and elderly subjects in Akita and Okinawa, Japan. In the statistical analysis, we used the Cox proportional hazards model and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of CRC and its subtypes as defined by immunohistochemistry of IRβ, a transmembrane subunit of IR. In the IRβ-defined subtypes, height showed no apparent association with the risk of IRβ-positive CRC. In contrast, a multivariable HR of IRβ-positive CRC was 1.77 (95% CI = 1.04-3.03) with a BMI of ≥30.0 kg/m2 (i.e., obesity), compared to a BMI of <25.0 kg/m2. Further, an increase in physical activity was significantly associated with decreased risk of IRβ-positive CRC (multivariable HR per 5 METs-hour/day = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.88-0.99). Meanwhile, we found no significant association between any exposure and IRβ-negative CRC. Likewise, heterogeneity between the two subtypes of CRC was not statistically significant. These findings imply that obesity and physical activity exert promoting and suppressing effects on the development of CRC expressing IRs, respectively.

Improved Air Quality and Asthma Incidence from School-Age to Young Adulthood: A Population-based Prospective Cohort Study.

Background The benefits of improved air quality on asthma remain understudied. Therefore, our aim was to investigate associations of changes in ambient air pollution with incident asthma from school-age until young adulthood in an area with mostly low air pollution levels. Methods Participants in the BAMSE birth cohort from Stockholm without asthma before the 8-year follow-up were included (N=2371). We estimated the association of change in individual-level air pollutant exposure (particulate matter with diameter ⩽2.5 μm (PM2.5) and, ⩽10 μm (PM10), black carbon (BC) and nitrogen oxides (NOx)) from the first year of life to the 8-year follow-up with asthma incidence from the 8-year until the 24-year follow-up. Multi-pollutant trajectories were identified using Group-Based Multivariate Trajectory model. We also used parametric g-computation to quantify the asthma incidence under different hypothetical interventions regarding air pollution levels. Results Air pollution levels at residency decreased during the period, with median reductions of 5.6% for PM2.5, 3.1% for PM10, 5.9% for BC, and 26.8% for NOx. A total of 395 incident asthma cases were identified from the 8-year until the 24-year follow-up. The odds ratio for asthma was 0.89 (95%CI: 0.80, 0.99) for each interquartile range reduction in PM2.5 (equal to 8.1% reduction). Associations appeared less clear for PM10, BC and NOx. Five multi-pollutant trajectories were identified, where the largest reduction trajectory displayed the lowest odds of asthma (OR=0.55, 95%CI: 0.31, 0.98) compared with the least reduction trajectory. If the PM2.5 exposure had not declined up to the 8-year follow-up, the hypothetical asthma incidence was estimated to have been 10.9% higher (95%CI: 0.8%, 20.8%). Conclusions Decrease in PM2.5 levels during childhood was associated with lower risk of incident asthma from school-age to young adulthood in an area with relatively low air pollution levels, suggesting broad respiratory health benefits from improved air quality. This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Gratitude and Mortality Among Older US Female Nurses

Supporting healthy aging is a US public health priority, and gratitude is a potentially modifiable psychological factor that may enhance health and well-being in older adults. However, the association between gratitude and mortality has not been studied. To examine the association of gratitude with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in later life. This population-based prospective cohort study used data from self-reported questionnaires and medical records of 49 275 US older female registered nurses who participated in the Nurses' Health Study (2016 questionnaire wave to December 2019). Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of deaths by self-reported levels of gratitude at baseline. These models adjusted for baseline sociodemographic characteristics, social participation, physical health, lifestyle factors, cognitive function, and mental health. Data analysis was conducted from December 2022 to April 2024. Gratitude was assessed with the 6-item Gratitude Questionnaire, a validated and widely used measure of one's tendency to experience grateful affect. Deaths were identified from the National Death Index, state statistics records, reports by next of kin, and the postal system. Causes of death were ascertained by physicians through reviewing death certificates and medical records. Among the 49 275 participants (all female; mean [SD] age at baseline, 79 [6.16] years), 4608 incident deaths were identified over 151 496 person-years of follow-up. Greater gratitude at baseline was associated with a lower hazard of mortality in a monotonic fashion. For instance, the highest tertile of gratitude, compared with the lowest tertile, was associated with a lower hazard of all-cause deaths (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.99) after adjusting for baseline sociodemographic characteristics, social participation, religious involvement, physical health, lifestyle factors, cognitive function, and mental health. When considering cause-specific deaths, death from cardiovascular disease was inversely associated with gratitude (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.73-0.995). This study provides the first empirical evidence suggesting that experiencing grateful affect is associated with increased longevity among older adults. The findings will need to be replicated in future studies with more representative samples.

P-772 Assisted reproductive technology and the risk of minor congenital heart defects in the newborn

Abstract Study question Are children conceived through assisted reproductive technology (ART) at higher risk of minor congenital heart defects (CHD) compared with naturally conceived (NC) children? Summary answer Contrary to previous studies children conceived through ART had similar risk of minor CHDs compared with children conceived naturally. What is known already Congenital heart defects (CHD) may precipitate cardiac arrhythmias, lead to thromboembolic events, culminate in heart failure or even sudden cardiac demise. A systematic review and meta-analysis showed an elevated odds ratio (OR) for diagnosis of any CHD among children conceived through in-vitro fertilization (IVF) or intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) compared with NC children. Other studies indicate that ART is associated with an increased arterial blood pressure and vascular dysfunction in the pulmonary and systemic arterial vasculature. This association persists throughout childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood in individuals conceived through ART; this indicates a lasting impact on the cardiovascular circulatory system. Study design, size, duration The present study is a sub-study to the Copenhagen Baby Heart Study (CBHS), a prospective population-based cohort study of &amp;gt; 25 000 children born in the three main maternity wards in Copenhagen, Denmark, in 2016–2018. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was performed on all children within 60 days of delivery and diagnosis of CHD was reviewed by a specialist in paediatric cardiology. Information regarding parental health, pregnancy, delivery, and the newborn was collected through Danish patient registries. Participants/materials, setting, methods This study includes all children conceived by ART in the CBHS (n = 1 784), and a matched group (1:4 by maternal age at birth) of NC children (n = 7 141). Exclusion criteria were genetic or chromosomal syndromes and heart surgery. Minor CHD was defined as an atrial (ASD) or ventricular septum defects (VSD), bicuspid aortic valve, coarctation of the aorta, pulmonary stenosis, or patent ductus arteriosus. We calculated ORs using logistic regression analyses. Main results and the role of chance The mean maternal age at birth was 34.9 (standard deviation [SD] ±4.4) and 35.1 years (SD ± 4.6) and the newborn mean age at TTE was 12.1 (SD ± 9.3) and 12.2 days (SD ± 9.4) in the ART and NC population, respectively. Parental CHD was registered in 40 (2.2 %) children in the ART group and 121 (1.7 %) in the NC group. Overall, 165 (9.2%) children conceived by ART and 611 (8.6%) NC children were diagnosed with a minor CHD. The most prevalent CHDs were VSD and ASD which accounted for 38.8 % and 35.2 % in children with CHD in the ART group, respectively, and 36.8 % and 33.9 % in children with CHD in the NC group. The unadjusted OR for minor CHD was 1.09 (95% CI 0.91–1.30). Adjustments for maternal age and parental CHD did not change the OR. There were no differences in ORs when stratifying by minor CHD type. We stratified by the method of ART: ICSI and IVF and frozen embryo transfer and fresh embryo transfer, and calculated risk of minor CHD comparing the methods and with NC children. We found no difference in any ORs, crude or adjusted. Limitations, reasons for caution Children born preterm, and children with severe minor and major CHDs, were underrepresented in the cohort indicating parents of such children chose not to participate in a research project that would include another hospital visit. Residual confounding is plausible because parental CHD diagnoses were retrieved from patient registries. Wider implications of the findings The number of children conceived through ART is increasing each year and previous research have found an increased risk of CHD in children conceived through ART. Our findings indicate no increased risk of minor CHD, providing comforting and significant information for advising individuals considering or undergoing ART treatment. Trial registration number NCT02753348

Derivation and Validation of ICD-10 Codes for Identifying Incident Stroke

Claims data with International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes are routinely used in clinical research. However, the use of ICD-10 codes to define incident stroke has not been validated against expert-adjudicated outcomes in the US population. To develop and validate the accuracy of an ICD-10 code list to detect incident stroke events using Medicare inpatient fee-for-service claims data. This cohort study used data from 2 prospective population-based cohort studies, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, and included participants aged 65 years or older without prior stroke who had linked Medicare claims data. Stroke events in the ARIC and REGARDS studies were identified via active surveillance and adjudicated by expert review. Medicare-linked ARIC data (2016-2018) were used to develop a list of ICD-10 codes for incident stroke detection. The list was validated using Medicare-linked REGARDS data (2016-2019). Data were analyzed from September 1, 2022, through September 30, 2023. Stroke events detected in Medicare claims vs expert-adjudicated stroke events in the ARIC and REGARDS studies. The main outcomes were sensitivity and specificity of incident stroke detection using ICD-10 codes. In the ARIC study, there were 110 adjudicated incident stroke events among 5194 participants (mean [SD] age, 80.1 [5.3] years) over a median follow-up of 3.0 (range, 0.003-3.0) years. Most ARIC participants were women (3160 [60.8%]); 993 (19.1%) were Black and 4180 (80.5%) were White. Using the primary diagnosis code on a Medicare billing claim, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 81.8% (95% CI, 73.3%-88.5%) and a specificity of 99.1% (95% CI, 98.8%-99.3%) to detect incident stroke. Using any diagnosis code on a Medicare billing claim, the sensitivity was 94.5% (95% CI, 88.5%-98.0%) and the specificity was 98.4% (95% CI, 98.0%-98.8%). In the REGARDS study, there were 140 adjudicated incident strokes among 6359 participants (mean [SD] age, 75.8 [7.0] years) over a median follow-up of 4.0 (range, 0-4.0) years. More than half of the REGARDS participants were women (3351 [52.7%]); 1774 (27.9%) were Black and 4585 (72.1%) were White. For the primary diagnosis code, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 70.7% (95% CI, 63.2%-78.3%) and a specificity of 99.1% (95% CI, 98.9%-99.4%). For any diagnosis code, the ICD-10 code list had a sensitivity of 77.9% (95% CI, 71.0%-84.7%) and a specificity of 98.9% (95% CI, 98.6%-99.2%). These findings suggest that ICD-10 codes could be used to identify incident stroke events in Medicare claims with moderate sensitivity and high specificity.

Estimating risk of loneliness in adulthood using survey-based prediction models: A cohort study

It is widely accepted that loneliness is associated with health problems, but less is known about the predictors of loneliness. In this study, we constructed a model to predict individual risk of loneliness during adulthood. Data were from the prospective population-based FinHealth cohort study with 3444 participants (mean age 55.5 years, 53.4% women) who responded to a 81-item self-administered questionnaire and reported not to be lonely at baseline in 2017. The outcome was self-reported loneliness at follow-up in 2020. Predictive models were constructed using bootstrap enhanced LASSO regression (bolasso). The C-index from the final model including 11 predictors from the best bolasso -models varied between 0.65 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.70) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.75) the pooled C -index being 0.68 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.75). Although survey-based individualised prediction models for loneliness achieved a reasonable C-index, their predictive value was limited. High detection rates were associated with high false positive rates, while lower false positive rates were associated with low detection rates. These findings suggest that incident loneliness during adulthood.may be difficult to predict with standard survey data.

Influence of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic on respiratory viral infections - a prospective population-based cohort study.

DRKS.de, German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS), Identifier: DRKS00023418, Registered on 28 October 2020.

Association of depressive symptoms and sleep disturbances with survival among US adult cancer survivors

BackgroundDepression and sleep disturbances are associated with increased risks of various diseases and mortality, but their impacts on mortality in cancer survivors remain unclear. The objective of this study was to characterize the independent and joint associations of depressive symptoms and sleep disturbances with mortality outcomes in cancer survivors.MethodsThis population-based prospective cohort study included cancer survivors aged ≥ 20 years (n = 2947; weighted population, 21,003,811) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007–2018 cycles. Depressive symptoms and sleep disturbances were self-reported. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire 9 (PHQ-9). Death outcomes were determined by correlation with National Death Index records through December 31, 2019. Primary outcomes included all-cause, cancer-specific, and noncancer mortality.ResultsDuring the median follow-up of 69 months (interquartile range, 37–109 months), 686 deaths occurred: 240 participants died from cancer, 146 from heart disease, and 300 from other causes. Separate analyses revealed that compared with a PHQ-9 score (0–4), a PHQ-9 score (5–9) was associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.28; 95% CI, 1.03–1.59), and a PHQ-9 score (≥ 10) was associated with greater risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.04–1.80) and noncancer mortality (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.01–2.10). Single sleep disturbances were not associated with mortality risk. In joint analyses, the combination of a PHQ-9 score ≥ 5 and no sleep disturbances, but not sleep disturbances, was associated with increased risks of all-cause mortality, cancer-specific mortality, and noncancer mortality. Specifically, compared with individuals with a PHQ-9 score of 0–4 and no sleep disturbances, HRs for all-cause mortality and noncancer mortality in individuals with a PHQ-9 score of 5–9 and no sleep disturbances were 1.72 (1.21–2.44) and 1.69 (1.10–2.61), respectively, and 2.61 (1.43–4.78) and 2.77 (1.27–6.07), respectively, in individuals with a PHQ-9 score ≥ 10 and no sleep disturbances; HRs for cancer-specific mortality in individuals with a PHQ-9 score ≥ 5 and no sleep disturbances were 1.95 (1.16–3.27).ConclusionsDepressive symptoms were linked to a high risk of mortality in cancer survivors. The combination of a PHQ-9 score (≥ 5) and an absence of self-perceived sleep disturbances was associated with greater all-cause mortality, cancer-specific mortality, and noncancer mortality risks, particularly in individuals with a PHQ-9 score (≥ 10).

Association between adverse events after COVID-19 vaccination and anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody concentrations, the Netherlands, May 2021 to November 2022: a population-based prospective cohort study.

BackgroundNon-severe adverse events (AE) including pain at injection site or fever are common after COVID-19 vaccination.AimTo describe determinants of AE after COVID-19 vaccination and investigate the association between AE and pre- and post-vaccination antibody concentrations.MethodsParticipants of an ongoing prospective cohort study (VASCO) completed a questionnaire on AE within 2 months after vaccination and provided 6 monthly serum samples during May 2021-November 2022. Logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate AE determinants after mRNA vaccination, including pre-vaccination Ig antibody concentrations against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor binding domain. Multivariable linear regression was performed in SARS-CoV-2-naive participants to assess the association between AE and log-transformed antibody concentrations 3-8 weeks after mRNA vaccination.ResultsWe received 47,947 completed AE questionnaires by 28,032 participants. In 42% and 34% of questionnaires, injection site and systemic AE were reported, respectively. In 2.2% of questionnaires, participants sought medical attention. AE were reported more frequently by women, younger participants (< 60 years), participants with medical risk conditions and Spikevax recipients (vs Comirnaty). Higher pre-vaccination antibody concentrations were associated with higher incidence of systemic AE after the second and third dose, but not with injection site AE or AE for which medical attention was sought. Any AE after the third dose was associated with higher post-vaccination antibody concentrations (geometric mean concentration ratio: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.23-1.54).ConclusionsOur study suggests that high pre-vaccination antibody levels are associated with AE, and experiencing AE may be a marker for higher antibody response to vaccination.

Ratio of Red Blood Cell Distribution Width to Albumin Level and Risk of Mortality.

The ratio of red blood cell distribution width (RDW) to albumin concentration (RAR) has emerged as a reliable prognostic marker for mortality in patients with various diseases. However, whether RAR is associated with mortality in the general population remains unknown. To explore whether RAR is associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality and to elucidate their dose-response association. This population-based prospective cohort study used data from participants in the 1998-2018 US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and from the UK Biobank with baseline information provided from 2006 to 2010. Included participants had complete data on serum albumin concentration, RDW, and cause of death. The NHANES data were linked to the National Death Index records through December 31, 2019. For the UK Biobank, dates and causes of death were obtained from the National Health Service Information Centre (England and Wales) and the National Health Service Central Register Scotland (Scotland) to November 30, 2022. Potential associations between RAR and the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Restricted cubic spline regressions were applied to estimate possible nonlinear associations. In NHANES, 50 622 participants 18 years of age or older years were included (mean [SD] age, 48.6 [18.7] years; 26 136 [51.6%] female), and their mean (SD) RAR was 3.15 (0.51). In the UK Biobank, 418 950 participants 37 years of age or older (mean [SD], 56.6 [8.1] years; 225 038 [53.7%] female) were included, and their mean RAR (SD) was 2.99 (0.31). The NHANES documented 7590 deaths over a median (IQR) follow-up of 9.4 (5.1-14.2) years, and the UK Biobank documented 36 793 deaths over a median (IQR) follow-up of 13.8 (13.0-14.5) years. According to the multivariate analysis, elevated RAR was significantly associated with greater risk of all-cause mortality (NHANES: hazard ratio [HR], 1.83 [95% CI, 1.76-1.90]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.08 [95% CI, 2.03-2.13]), as well as mortality due to malignant neoplasm (NHANES: HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.73-2.07]; UK Biobank: HR, 1.93 [95% CI, 1.86-2.00]), heart disease (NHANES: HR, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.74-2.03]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.42 [95% CI, 2.29-2.57]), cerebrovascular disease (NHANES: HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.07-1.69]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.15 [95% CI, 1.91-2.42]), respiratory disease (NHANES: HR, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.68-2.35]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.96 [95% CI, 2.78-3.15]), diabetes (NHANES: HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.27-1.90]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.83 [95% CI, 2.35-3.40]), and other causes of mortality (NHANES: HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.86-2.08]; UK Biobank: HR, 2.40 [95% CI, 2.30-2.50]) in both cohorts. Additionally, a nonlinear association was observed between RAR levels and all-cause mortality in both cohorts. In this cohort study, a higher baseline RAR was associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the general population. These findings suggest that RAR may be a simple, reliable, and inexpensive indicator for identifying individuals at high risk of mortality in clinical practice.

Cardiovascular disease risk factors and infertility: multivariable analyses and one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses in the Trøndelag Health Study.

Are cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors causally associated with higher risk of infertility among women and men? We found evidence to support a causal relationship between smoking initiation and history of infertility in women. Several CVD risk factors are associated with history of infertility. Previous studies using Mendelian randomization (MR) further support a causal relationship between BMI and infertility in women. We used data from the Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) in Norway, a prospective population-based cohort study, including 26811 women and 15598 men participating in three survey collections in 1995-1997 (HUNT2), 2006-2008 (HUNT3), and 2017-2019 (HUNT4). Our outcome was women's self-reported history of infertility, defined as ever having tried to conceive for 12 months or more or having used ART. We assigned the history of infertility reported by women to their male partners; therefore, the measure of infertility was on the couple level. We used both conventional multivariable analyses and one-sample MR analyses to evaluate the association between female and male CVD risk factors (including BMI, blood pressure, lipid profile measurements, and smoking behaviours) and history of infertility in women and men, separately. A total of 4702 women (18%) and 2508 men (16%) were classified with a history of infertility. We found a higher risk of infertility among female smokers compared to non-smokers in both multivariable and MR analyses (odds ratio (OR) in multivariable analysis, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.12-1.28; OR in MR analysis, 1.13; CI, 1.02-1.26), and potentially for higher BMI (OR in multivariable analysis, 1.13; CI, 1.09-1.18; OR in MR analysis, 1.11, CI, 0.92-1.34). In multivariable analysis in women, we also found evidence of associations between triglyceride levels, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, lifetime smoking index, and smoking intensity with higher risk of infertility. However, these results were not consistent in MR analyses. We found no robust or consistent associations between male CVD risk factors and infertility. Our main limitation was that the CVD risk factors measured might not adequately capture the relevant time periods for when couples were trying to conceive. Additionally, we did not have information on causes of infertility in either women or men. Women with infertility could have a worse CVD risk factor profile and thus public health interventions aimed at reducing the impact of some CVD risk factors, such as smoking and BMI, could reduce the burden of infertility. However, additional MR studies of the relationship between CVD risk factors and infertility with a larger sample size would be of value. The study was supported by a grant from the European Research Council under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreements no. 947684). This research was also supported by the Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence funding scheme (project no. 262700) and partly funded by the Research Council of Norway, project: Women's fertility-an essential component of health and well-being (project no. 320656). D.A.L. and A.F. work in a unit that is supported by the University of Bristol and the UK Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00011/6). D.A.L.'s contribution to the article is supported by the European Research Council (101021566), the British Heart Foundation (CH/F/20/90003 and AA/18/7/34219). S.B.'s contribution to the article is supported by the Wellcome Trust (225790/Z/22/Z). B.M.B. is funded by The Liaison Committee for education, research and innovation in Central Norway; and the Joint Research Committee between St. Olavs Hospital and the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU. The genotyping in HUNT was financed by the National Institute of Health (NIH); University of Michigan; The Research Council of Norway; The Liaison Committee for education, research and innovation in Central Norway; and the Joint Research Committee between St. Olavs Hospital and the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, NTNU. None of the funding organizations influenced the study design, reporting, or interpretation of results. The views expressed in the present article are those of the authors and not necessarily any acknowledged funding organization. D.A.L. reports grants from Medtronic Ltd and Roche Diagnostics outside the submitted work. The other authors have no conflicts of interest. N/A.

Prospective associations of occupational and leisure-time physical activity with risk of diabetes: a cohort study from the United States.

Leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) can reduce the risk of incident diabetes, whereas the role of occupational physical activity (OPA) in developing diabetes is still unclear due to conflicting evidence. Moreover, the joint associations of OPA and LTPA with incident diabetes among US workers have not yet been systematically examined. The objective of this study was to assess the independent and joint associations of OPA and LTPA with incident diabetes. This prospective cohort study included 1406 workers free from diabetes at baseline (2004-2006) from the national, population-based Mid-life in the United States (MIDUS) study. Associations of OPA and LTPA at baseline with incident diabetes during 9 years of follow-up were examined using Poisson regression models. High OPA was defined based on engagement in physical demands at work, and high LTPA was defined as participation in moderate or vigorous LTPA at least once per week. High OPA was associated with an increased risk of diabetes compared to low OPA (adjusted risk ratios and 95% confidence interval = 1.52 [1.04, 2.22]), while high LTPA was associated with a decreased risk of diabetes compared to low LTPA (0.66 [0.44, 0.97]). Diabetes risk was the highest among workers with high OPA and low LTPA (2.30 [1.30, 4.07]). In a national, population-based prospective cohort study of US workers, high OPA was associated with an elevated risk of diabetes, while high LTPA was associated with a decreased diabetes risk. The combination of high OPA and low LTPA exhibited the greatest risk of diabetes.

The Effect of Thiazide Diuretics on Urinary Prostaglandin E2 Excretion and Serum Sodium in the General Population.

Thiazide-induced hyponatremia is one of the most common forms of hyponatremia, but its pathogenesis is incompletely understood. Recent clinical data suggest links with prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) and a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the prostaglandin transporter gene (SLCO2A1), but it is unknown if these findings also apply to the general population. To study the associations between serum sodium, thiazide diuretics, urinary excretions of PGE2 and its metabolite (PGEM), and the rs34550074 SNP in SLCO2A1 in the general population. Prospective population-based cohort study (Rotterdam Study). General population. 2,178 participants (65% female, age 64 ± 8 years). None. Serum sodium levels. Higher urinary PGE2 excretion was associated with lower serum sodium: difference in serum sodium for each two-fold higher PGE2 -0.19 mmol/l (95%CI -0.31 to -0.06), PGEM -0.29 mmol/l (95%CI -0.41 to -0.17). This association was stronger in thiazide users (per two-fold higher PGE2 -0.73 vs. -0.12 mmol/l and PGEM -0.6 vs. -0.25 mmol/l, p for interaction < 0.05 for both). A propensity score matching analysis of thiazide vs. non-thiazide users yielded similar results. The SNP rs34550074 was not associated with lower serum sodium or higher urinary PGE2 or PGEM excretion in thiazide or non-thiazide users. Serum sodium is lower in people with higher urinary PGE2 and PGEM excretion and this association is stronger in thiazide users. This suggests that PGE2-mediated water reabsorption regulates serum sodium, which is relevant for the pathogenesis of hyponatremia in general and thiazide-induced hyponatremia in specific.

Outdoor walking, genetic predisposition, and the risk of incident osteoporosis among older adults: A prospective large population-based cohort study

SummaryThis large-scale prospective study showed that a significant association between longer duration of daily outdoor walking and reduced osteoporosis risk was found among older adults, particularly among those with a low genetic predisposition to osteoporosis, which highlighted the importance of outdoor walking as a simple, cost-effective adjunct for preventing osteoporosis.PurposeThe available cross-sectional data and small-scale studies indicate that outdoor walking benefits bone metabolism. Nevertheless, there is a scarcity of comprehensive prospective research investigating the enduring correlation between outdoor walking and osteoporosis. This study aims to conduct a prospective analysis of the correlation between outdoor walking and osteoporosis while also examining potential variations influenced by genetic susceptibility to osteoporosis.Methods24,700 older adults without osteoporosis at baseline were enrolled. These individuals were followed up until December 31, 2021, during which data on outdoor walking was gathered. The genetic risk score for osteoporosis was comprised of 14 single-nucleotide polymorphisms.Results4,586 cases of osteoporosis were identified throughout a median follow-up period of 37.3 months. Those who walked outside for > 30 but ≤ 60 min per day had a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.83 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.72–0.95) for incident osteoporosis, whereas those who walked outside for > 60 min per day had an HR of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.39–0.92). We found that osteoporosis risk exhibited a declining trend in individuals with low genetic risk. Individuals walking outside for > 60 min per day tended to have the lowest overall osteoporosis risk among those with high genetic risk.ConclusionsA significant negative correlation exists between an extended period of daily outdoor walking and osteoporosis incidence risk. This correlation is particularly pronounced among individuals with low genetic risk. The results above underscore the significance of outdoor walking as a simple and economical adjunct to public health programs to prevent osteoporosis.

Interacting and joint effects of triglyceride-glucose index and hypertension on stroke risk in middle-aged and older Chinese adults: a population-based prospective cohort study.

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and hypertension were well-established risk factors for stroke. And TyG index was associated with hypertension. However, no prior study has investigated the interactive effects of the TyG index and hypertension on stroke. This study examined whether hypertension mediates associations of TyG index with incident stroke and the extent of interaction or joint relations of TyG index and hypertension with stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. The China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) is an ongoing nationally representative prospective cohort study initiated in 2011. This cohort study included 9,145 middle-aged and older Chinese adults without stroke at baseline. The eposures were TyG index and the logarithmized product of hypertension, as determined during the baseline health examination. The main outcome was self-reported physician-diagnosed stroke which followed up from June 1, 2011, to June 30, 2018. Of the 9,145 participants, 4,251 were men (46.5%); the mean (SD) age was 59.20 (9.33) years. During a median follow-up of 7.1 years, 637 (7.0%) participants developed stroke. In multivariable-adjusted models, the TyG index was significantly associated with the risk of hypertension [odds ratio (OR) per 1-SD increase, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.19-1.41] and stroke [hazard ratio (HR) per 1-SD increase, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.02-1.33]. Both multiplicative and additive interactions were observed between TyG index and hypertension on stroke (HR for multiplicative: 2.34, 95% CI, 1.57-3.48; Synergy index: 4.13, 95% CI, 2.73-6.25). Mediation analysis showed that 20.0% of the association between TyG index and stroke was mediated through hypertension. This study suggests a synergistic effect of TyG index and hypertension on stroke, and a small proportion of the association between TyG index and stroke was mediated by hypertension, indicating the benefit of coordinated control strategies for both exposures.

Ambient air pollution, lifestyle, and genetic predisposition on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: A prospective cohort study

BackgroundAlthough it is widely acknowledged that long-term exposure to ambient air pollution is closely related to the risk of mortality, there were inconsistencies in terms of cause-specific mortality and it is still unknown whether lifestyle and genetic susceptibility could modify the association. MethodsThis population-based prospective cohort study involved 461,112 participants from the UK Biobank. The land-use regression model was used to estimate the concentrations of particulate matter (PM2.5, PMcoarse, PM10), and nitrogen oxides (NO2 and NOx). The association between air pollution and mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. Furthermore, a lifestyle score incorporated with smoking status, physical activity, alcohol consumption, and diet behaviors, and polygenic risk score using 12 genetic variants, were developed to assess the modifying effect of air pollution on mortality outcomes. ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 14.0 years, 33,903 deaths were recorded, including 17,083 (2835; 14,248), 6970, 2429, and 1287 deaths due to cancer (lung cancer, non-lung cancer), cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory and digestive disease, respectively. Each interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5, NO2 and NOx was associated with 7 %, 6 % and 5 % higher risk of all-cause mortality, respectively. Specifically, for cause-specific mortality, each IQR increase in PM2.5, NO2 and NOx was also linked to mortality due to cancer (lung cancer and non-lung cancer), CVD, respiratory and digestive disease. Furthermore, additive and multiplicative interactions were identified between high ambient air pollution and unhealthy lifestyle on mortality. In addition, associations between air pollution and mortality were modified by lifestyle behaviors. ConclusionLong-term exposure to air pollutants increased the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality, which was modified by lifestyle behaviors. In addition, we also revealed a synergistically detrimental effect between air pollution and an unhealthy lifestyle, suggesting the significance of joint air pollution management and adherence to a healthy lifestyle on public health.

Air pollutants, genetic susceptibility, and incident schizophrenia in later life: A prospective study in the UK Biobank

ObjectiveAir pollution has been linked to multiple psychiatric disorders, but little is known on its long-term association with schizophrenia. The interaction between air pollution and genetic susceptibility on incident schizophrenia has never been reported. We aimed to explore the associations between long-term air pollution exposure and late-onset schizophrenia and evaluate whether genetic susceptibility could modify the association. MethodsThis population-based prospective cohort study included 437,802 middle-aged and elderly individuals free of schizophrenia at baseline in the UK Biobank. Land use regression models were applied in the estimation of the annual average concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and inhalable particulate matter (PM10) at residence. The associations between air pollutants and schizophrenia were evaluated by using Cox proportional hazard models. A polygenic risk score of schizophrenia was constructed for exploring potential interaction of air pollutants with genetic susceptibility. ResultsAn interquartile range increase in PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and NOx was associated with the hazard ratios (HR) for incident schizophrenia at 1.19, 1.16, 1.22, and 1.09, respectively. The exposure-response curves for the association of air pollution with incident schizophrenia were approximately linear. There are additive interactions of air pollution score (APS), PM10, NO2, and NOx with genetic risk. Specifically, compared with participants with low genetic susceptibility and low APS, the HR was 3.23 for individuals with high genetic risk and high APS, among which 0.49 excess risk could be attributed to the additive interaction, accounting for 15 % of the schizophrenia risk. ConclusionThis large-scale, prospective cohort study conveys the first-hand evidence that long-term air pollution exposure could elevate schizophrenia incidence in later life, especially for individuals with higher genetic risks. The findings highlight the importance of improving air quality for preventing the late-onset schizophrenia in an aging era, especially among those with high genetic risks.

Association of healthy lifestyle behaviours with incident irritable bowel syndrome: a large population-based prospective cohort study

ObjectivesTo evaluate the association between healthy lifestyle behaviours and the incidence of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS).DesignPopulation-based prospective cohort study.SettingThe UK Biobank.Participants64 268 adults aged 37 to 73 years who had...

Lifestyle and genetic predisposition are associated with incident irritable bowel syndrome: A population-based prospective cohort study

Few prospective studies have investigated the joint effect of lifestyle factors and genetic susceptibility on the risk of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). This study aims to evaluate the associations of lifestyle and genetic factors with incident IBS in the UK Biobank. We analyzed data from 481,057 participants (54% female) without prevalent IBS at enrollment in the UK Biobank. An overall healthy lifestyle was defined using six modifiable lifestyle factors, including smoking, body mass index (BMI), sleep duration, diet, physical activity, and alcohol consumption, and hence categorized into ‘favorable’, ‘intermediate’, and ‘unfavorable’ lifestyles. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to investigate the association between a healthy lifestyle and incident IBS. Furthermore, we constructed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for IBS and assessed whether lifestyle modified the effect of genetics on the development of IBS. During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 8,645 incident IBS were ascertained. Specifically, among the six modifiable lifestyle factors, adequate sleep demonstrates the greatest protective effect (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.69,0.75) against IBS.Compared with a favorable lifestyle, an unfavorable lifestyle was associated with a 56% (95% CI: 46%-67%) increased risk of IBS (P = 8.99×10-40). The risk of incident IBS was 12% (95% CI: 4%-21%) higher among those at high genetic risk compared with those at low genetic risk (P = 0.005). When considering the joint effect of lifestyle and genetic susceptibility, the HR nearly doubled among individuals with high genetic risk and unfavorable lifestyle (HR: 1.80; 95% CI:1.51-2.15; P = 3.50×10-11) compared to those with low genetic risk and favorable lifestyle. No multiplicative or addictive interaction was observed between lifestyle and genetics. The findings from this study indicated that lifestyle and genetic factors were independently associated with the risk of incident IBS. All these results implicated a possible clinical strategy of lowering the incidence of IBS by advocating a healthy lifestyle.

Women with a history of gestational diabetes mellitus present an accumulation of cardiovascular risk factors at age 46-A birth cohort study.

The incidence of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is globally increasing, and it has been associated with later type 2 diabetes, metabolic syndrome (MetS), and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, long-term population-based studies investigating common CVD risk factors years after pregnancy are lacking. To evaluate the future mortality and morbidity in cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, we conducted a thorough investigation of midlife risk factors in women with and without previous GDM. A prospective population-based cohort study was conducted of 3173 parous women from the Northern Finland Birth Cohort, 1966. Study participants were obtained from the national register or patient records. Those with a GDM diagnosis formed the GDM cohort (n = 271), and those without a previous GDM diagnosis formed the control cohort (n = 2902). Clinical examinations were performed on participants at the age of 46 and included anthropometric measurements, oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT), biochemical measurements, and cardiovascular assessment. At the age of 46, women in the GDM cohort had a higher body mass index (BMI, 29.0 kg/m2 vs 26.3 kg/m2, p < 0.001) and greater waist circumference (94.1 cm vs 86.5 cm, p < 0.001) than the control cohort. In the GDM cohort, a higher incidence of impaired glucose tolerance (12.6% vs 7.3%, p = 0.002), more previously diagnosed and OGTT-detected type 2 diabetes (23.3% vs 3.9%, p < 0.001), lower high-density lipoprotein (1.53 mmol/L vs 1.67 mmol/L, p = 0.011), higher triglycerides (1.26 mmol/L vs 1.05 mmol/L, p = 0.002) and a higher fatty liver index (6.82 vs 2.47, p < 0.001), were observed even after adjusting for BMI, polycystic ovary syndrome, parity, level of education, physical activity, smoking, and alcohol consumption. The women in the GDM cohort also had more MetS (42.6% vs 21.9%, p < 0.001) and higher risk scores for CVD and fatal events (Framingham 4.95 vs 3.60, p < 0.001; FINRISK 1.71 vs 1.08, p < 0.001). Women with a previous diagnosis of GDM exhibit more risk factors for CVD in midlife and are at a higher risk for cardiovascular events later in life.