Population-based Measures Research Articles

Public deliberation on health gain measures

Abstract Researchers and decision-makers use health gain measures to assess the value of health interventions. However, our current understanding of how these measures are understandable and accessible to the community is limited. This study examined a diverse group of stakeholders’ attitudes and preferences for 9 commonly used health gain measures. We recruited 20 stakeholders, including patients, caregivers, pharmacists, allied health professionals, and citizens. We conducted 2 in-person deliberative meetings in which participants learned, discussed, deliberated on, and ranked 9 health gain measures. The final ranking conducted after unified deliberation showed the quality-adjusted life year (QALY) as the top-ranked measure, followed by the clinical benefit rating method used by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, and multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA). We identified 3 themes during deliberations: the importance of using patient values in population-based health gain measures, examining complementary measures together, and choosing measures that are intuitive and easy to understand. Future policymaking should consider incorporating the QALY, clinical benefit rating, and MCDA into prioritization decisions.

Maintaining disorder: estimating the association between policing and psychiatric hospitalization among youth in New York City by neighborhood racial composition, 2006-2014.

To assess whether neighborhood-level measures of policing are spatio-temporally associated with psychiatric hospialization among adolescents and young adults in New York City, and whether this association varies by neighborhood racial composition. We derived population-based measures of policing from the New York City Police Department (NYPD), psychiatric hospitalization from Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) data, and socio-demographic data from the American Community Survey (ACS), aggregated by month and ZIP Code Tabulation Area (ZCTA) from 2006 to 2014. Multi-level negative binomial regression models assessed hospitalization-time of youth aged 10-24 as the dependent variable and the rate of policing events as the primary independent variable, adjusting for neighborhood poverty, unemployment, and educational attainment. Multiplicative interaction was assessed between policing and tertiles of the percentage of Black residents. A total of 11,900,192 policing incidents and 2,118,481 person-days of hospitalization were aggregated to 19,440 ZCTA-months. After adjusting for neighborhood-level sociodemographic characteristics, an increase in one policing incident per 1,000 residents was associated with a 0.3% increase in the rate of youth psychiatric hospitalization time (IRR 1.003 [1.001-1.005]). Neighborhood racial composition modified this effect; not only was the rate of psychiatric hospitalization and policing higher in neighborhoods with a higher proportion of Black residents, but the association between these was also significantly higher in neighorhoods with a larger share of Black residents compared with predominantly non-Black neighborhoods. Neighborhoods experiencing higher rates of policing during the study period experienced higher burdens of psychiatric hospitalization among adolescent and young adult residents. This association was larger in neighborhoods of color which have been disproportionately targeted by "hot spot" and order-maintenance policing practices and policies.

Understanding ethnic inequities associated with tobacco use in Aotearoa New Zealand: a quantitative analysis.

Despite the inclusion of both individual interventions and population-based measures in the Aotearoa New Zealand (Aotearoa NZ) Tobacco Control Programme, the gap between Māori, Pacific peoples and European/Asian/Other (EAO) populations in tobacco use has not decreased significantly. Tobacco control interventions that focus on individual behaviour change have produced little impact towards reducing tobacco smoking inequities for Māori and Pacific peoples in Aotearoa NZ. Using data from the New Zealand Health Survey (NZHS), this research investigates the impact of the wider determinants of health and individual-level factors on inequities in tobacco use between Māori, Pacific peoples and EAO. A conceptual framework was developed to support the theoretical positioning of this research and to inform data categorization, framing, discourse, analyses and interpretation. We conducted hierarchical regression to examine the effect of factors from each domain on ethnic inequities in tobacco use. We found that socioeconomic factors accounted for a significant amount of the disparity in adults currently smoking between Māori and Pacific peoples and EAO. Our results suggest that socioeconomic factors may be a more effective target of intervention than individual behaviours for reducing tobacco-related inequities. Addressing the broader determinants of health through comprehensive cross-agency cooperation to reduce ethnic inequities in tobacco use in Aotearoa NZ is likely to be more effective than individual behaviour change approaches.

Physical activity of older children and adolescents in Germany - Results of the HBSC study 2022 and trends since 2009/10.

Physical activity is central to health, beginning in childhood and adolescence, and regular monitoring provides important information for strategic decisions on promoting physical activity in Germany. The current survey cycle of the Health Behaviour in School-aged Children (HBSC) study gives an insight into the prevalence of the indicators daily recommended physical activity, high and low physical activity, and sporting activity among students aged between 11 and 15 for 2022. In addition, the data is compared to the survey cycles of the 2009/10, 2013/14, and 2017/18 school years and analysed over time. The results of the current survey cycle show that 10.8 % of girls, 20.9 % of boys, and 12.4 % of gender diverse adolescents fulfil the daily physical activity recommendation. There are also major gender-specific differences for the other indicators. The group of gender diverse adolescents needs to be analysed further. The changes over time between 2009/10 and 2022 are relatively small. While girls' physical activity habits decreased slightly for the various indicators between 2009/10 and 2022, boys' prevalence remained relatively stable over the same period. Overall, in part due to the effects of the various COVID-19 lockdowns, the need for effective and population-based measures to promote physical activity in childhood and adolescence remains high.

The Latent Threat in Wild Birds: Clostridium botulinum.

Avian botulism caused by Clostridium botulinum emerged in 1910, affecting birds across North America, leading to severe outbreaks exacerbated by climate change, decreasing water levels, and inadequate wastewater management. While deadly for birds, its epidemiological impact on humans and other animals remains limited. Despite its significance, understanding and controlling the disease remain challenging. This review delves into the pathogen's epidemiology in wild bird populations, exploring the transmission, pathogenicity, clinical symptoms, diagnosis and treatment. The disease's growing concern in wild birds relates to the bacterium's adaptability and expansive spread, evident through genetic similarities among strains across countries. Outbreaks are influenced by environmental factors such as temperature and soil characteristics. Wild birds inadvertently transmit the bacterium, perpetuating the cycle through carcasses and flies. Some species suffer severely, while others, like scavengers, show resistance. Understanding disease mechanisms, involving potential toxin ingestion or internal production, remains ongoing. Clinical signs vary, affecting diverse bird orders. Diagnostic methods evolve, with treatment success varying among affected populations. Prevention and surveillance take precedence due to treatment challenges, emphasising population-based strategies and preventive measures to manage the widespread presence of C. botulinum.

Community-Based Pediatric Palliative Care: How Services Support Children's and Families' Quality of Life.

Background: The Massachusetts Department of Public Health's Pediatric Palliative Care Network (PPCN) provides Community-Based Pediatric Palliative Care (CBPPC) to children with life-limiting conditions and their families. CBPPC services aim to improve children and families' quality of life (QOL). Objectives: To identify perceived domains of QOL important for children and families and to understand whether and how CBPPC supports QOL. Design: A community-based participatory research framework was used to develop recruitment and data collection materials for eight focus groups and seven interviews. Collected data were transcribed and analyzed with an inductive approach. Setting/Subjects: A convenience sample of 33 PPCN caregivers, 20 providers, and seven key informants, including policymakers, community organizations, and hospital-based clinicians, were interviewed virtually in the United States. Measurements: Perceived QOL domains for children and families, respectively, and perceived impact of CBPPC services on QOL. Results: Reported QOL domains described as important for children were socialization/community integration and accessibility; expression/play; and physical wellness. Control or autonomy, psycho-emotional wellness, and self-care were identified as important for families. Clinical services were described as "integral to mental health" through offered spiritual support; advocacy in the community; and education. PPCN's integrative services were noted as distractions from pain and helped improve communication and bonding. Sibling support and bereavement care were also mentioned as impactful on QOL. Conclusions: Family-centered CBPPC was described as supportive of children's and families' QOL. Future studies should consider using population-based QOL measures, leveraging the QOL domains identified through this analysis and other outcome measures in a cost-effectiveness analysis.

119 Pedigree and Population-Based Genomic Inbreeding Trends Over Time in Five Commercial Swine Breeding Populations

Abstract Controlling inbreeding within a population is critical to maintain additive genetic variance and reduce negative consequences such as inbreeding depression in small, closed herds. Some breeding programs may utilize subjective standard operating procedures (SOPs) such as setting the minimum number of boars, limiting the number of matings per boar, and limiting the relationships among active boars. Software programs such as Matesel can control inbreeding within a population more precisely using evolutionary algorithms by optimizing the mating and selection process to constrain inbreeding at a given target degree or other metric specified (e.g., coancestry). The main problem has been the choice of what relationship matrix to use in constraining inbreeding in these programs. Furthermore, there are many different genomic inbreeding metrics that can be used to quantify inbreeding rates over time. The objective of the current research was to investigate the trends in the pedigree [PED, (A diagonal – 1) * 100] and two population-based genomic inbreeding metrics. One based on expected homozygosity (2pq, Ghom) and one based on drift (squared allele frequency changes, Gdrift). Data included nucleus animals born from 2017 through 2022 from five different genetic lines (lines A-E). Most parents and male selection candidates were genotyped using the commercial 50k SNP panel from GeneSeek. Pedigree was traced back at least 3 generations. A total of 80k animals were sampled from the total number of genotyped animals for computational reasons across line and birth year. Results show that in general, the maternal lines (A and B) showed the least rate of inbreeding over time (0.30 and 0.43% / year for A and B, respectively), while terminal lines were greater, especially line D (0.36 to 0.76% / year). Pedigree inbreeding in 2022 was between 1.48% (line A) to 3.80% (line D) after subtracting the average pedigree inbreeding in 2017. Population-based genomic measures of inbreeding showed a very small difference in line A (0.09%), larger Gdrift than Ghom in line B (1.37%), and larger Ghom than Gdrift in lines C, D, and E (2.87% to 4.38%). In general, the trend for PED and Gdrift was very similar for all lines, while Ghom tended to increase rapidly out of control in the three terminal lines (C-E) in later years. Future research will focus on integrating results from the diagonals of a variety of G matrices on an individual basis (e.g., VanRaden 1 and 2, runs-of-homozygosity, and a linkage-analysis matrix). Results showed the pedigree and genomic drift trends over time were similar, however, the genomic homozygosity trend was much greater in terminal lines.

National public health response to an outbreak of toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae among asylum seekers in England, 2022: a descriptive epidemiological study

In July, 2022, an increase in diphtheria cases caused by toxigenic Corynebacterium diphtheriae (C diphtheriae) was reported among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England. Rising case numbers presented challenges for case and contact management in initial reception centres, prompting changes to national guidance and implementation of population-based control measures. This study aimed to describe the outbreak of toxigenic C diphtheriae among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022 by use of national surveillance data. We undertook a descriptive epidemiological analysis of cases of toxigenic C diphtheriae among asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022, incorporating genomic sequencing data, antibiotic susceptibility testing results, and epidemiological data obtained through the UK Health Security Agency's national enhanced surveillance programme. Health Protection Teams conducted risk assessments, and operational data (including details regarding offer and uptake of antibiotics and vaccinations) were obtained from National Health Service partners supporting the intervention programme. In 2022, C diphtheriae isolates from 86 asylum seekers arriving by small boats were submitted to the National Reference Laboratory for confirmation and testing. Toxigenic C diphtheriae was confirmed for 72 (84%) cases and one individual with typical diphtheritic lesions but from whom no C diphtheriae was isolated from clinical swabs was also included as a probable case, resulting in 73 cases of diphtheria. 71 (97%) were male, 39 (53%) were younger than 18 years, and 36 (49%) presented with cutaneous diphtheria. The prevalence of diphtheria was highest among Afghans (1·3%) compared with all other nationalities (<0·1%). Local antibiotic susceptibility testing identified six cases with a macrolide resistant strain. The increase in diphtheria coincided with a high volume of asylum seekers arriving by small boats to England during 2022, and subsequently increased clinical awareness of the disease among this population. Long-term disruption to vaccination programmes in origin countries along with barriers to accessing health care along migrant routes puts asylum seekers arriving by small boats at risk of disease. With arrivals expected to continue in 2023, the UK Health Security Agency has recommended continuation of population-based control measures in England until October, 2023, subject to ongoing review. The UK Health Security Agency.

Cross-country analysis of national mental health investment case studies in sub-Saharan Africa and Central, South and South-East Asia.

Despite the increasing interest in and political commitment to mental health service development in many regions of the world, there remains a very low level of financial commitment and corresponding investment. Assessment of the projected costs and benefits of scaling up the delivery of effective mental health interventions can help to promote, inform and guide greater investment in public mental health. A series of national mental health investment case studies were carried out (in Bangladesh, Kenya, Nepal, Philippines, Uganda, Uzbekistan and Zimbabwe), using standardized guidance developed by WHO and UNDP and implemented by a multi-disciplinary team. Intervention costs and the monetized value of improved health and production were computed in national currency units and, for comparison, US dollars. Benefit-cost ratios were derived. Across seven countries, the economic burden of mental health conditions was estimated at between 0.5%-1.0% of Gross Domestic Product. Delivery of an evidence-based package of mental health interventions was estimated to cost US$ 0.40-2.40 per capita per year, depending on the country and its scale-up period. For most conditions and country contexts there was a return of >1 for each dollar or unit of local currency invested (range: 0.0-10.6 to 1) when productivity gains alone are included, and >2 (range: 0.4-30.3 to 1) when the intrinsic economic value of health is also considered. There was considerable variation in benefit-cost ratios between intervention areas, with population-based preventive measures and treatment of common mental, neurological and conditions showing the most attractive returns when all assessed benefits are taken into account. Performing a mental health investment case can provide national-level decision makers with new and contextualized information on the outlays and returns that can be expected from renewed local efforts to enhance access to quality mental health services. Economic evidence from seven low- and middle-income countries indicates that the economic burden of mental health conditions is high, the investment costs are low and the potential returns are substantial.

41-OR: The Health Effects of a Behavior Change Program for Prediabetes—Quasi-Experimental Evidence from 2.1 Million Primary Care Patients in England

Introduction: There is an urgent need to implement population-based measures that prevent diabetes, enhance its detection, and avert its progression to complications. However, there remains widespread doubt among clinicians that lifestyle counseling provided in routine care can improve health. This study aims to investigate whether the largest behavior change program for pre-diabetes globally (the English Diabetes Prevention Programme) leads to improvements in key cardiovascular risk factors. Methods: We exploited the threshold in HbA1c used to decide on program eligibility by applying a regression discontinuity design, one of the most credible quasi-experimental strategies for causal inference, to electronic health data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, covering nearly one fifth of all GP practices in England. Using local linear regression, we compared patients lying closely on either side of the threshold for program entry (HbA1c of 42 mmol/mol [6.0%]). The primary outcome was change in HbA1c. Secondary outcomes were body mass index (BMI), weight, blood pressure, and serum lipids. Results: 2 106 469 adult patients met inclusion criteria in 2017-2018 with follow-up ending June 2020. Program referral led to significant improvement in HbA1c (-0.82 mmol/mol, 95%CI -1.42, -0.21), BMI (-1.34, 95%CI -1.86, -0.81), weight (-2.94 kg, 95%CI -4.33, -1.56), and triglycerides (-0.32 mmol/l, 95%CI -0.53, -0.10). There was suggestive evidence that program referral improved HDL (0.04 mmol/l, 95%CI 0, 0.08). Blood pressure and LDL did not significantly improve. Sensitivity analyses showed that improvements in HbA1c were not attributable to being prescribed medication. Conclusion: By leveraging a threshold rule induced by public health guidelines, this analysis provides causal, rather than associational, evidence that lifestyle counseling implemented in a national health system can achieve important health improvements. Disclosure J.M.Lemp: None. C.Bommer: None. M.Xie: None. J.Davies: None. A.Jani: Advisory Panel; Allergan. S.Vollmer: None. T.Barnighausen: None. P.Geldsetzer: None. Funding Chan Zuckerberg Biohub Investigator Award (to P.G.); Alexander von Humboldt Foundation (to T.B.); Ministry of Science, Research, and the Arts Baden-Wuerttemberg; German Research Foundation (INST 35/1314-1 FUGG); State of Baden-Wuerttemberg, Germany

COVID-19 Close Contact Management: An Evolution of Operations Harnessing the Digital Edge

Singapore, like many other nations globally, had to contend with significant caseloads arising from the Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. This paper focuses on using technology as an intervention for pandemic management. With scant scientific evidence on effective medications and vaccinations (i.e., pharmaceutical interventions) initially, disease containment strategies predominated during the early phases. Non-pharmaceutical interventions were critical in slowing disease transmission and preventing public healthcare institutions from being overwhelmed. Such interventions could be broadly divided into case-based interventions (e.g., contact tracing and quarantining of close contacts) and population-based measures (e.g., mask use and social distancing). The paper describes Singapore's experience in the operational implementation of contact-based interventions, and illustrates how harnessing the digital edge enabled fast, accurate, resource-efficient, and flexible execution of ground operations. Singapore applied digital technology and developed an integrated system to facilitate issuance and acknowledgement of quarantine orders, submission of COVID-19 test results, and collection of antigen rapid test kits at the population level. Data was obtained from this proprietary centralised, automated platform. The paper demonstrates how such simple, yet elegant systems could have a direct impact on disease transmission in an outbreak setting and on population health. Moving forward, it is recommended that technology and digital solutions feature prominently in work process designs beyond COVID-19 such as in the management of emerging infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases.

Diverse associations between adiposity and blood pressure among 80,000 multi-ethnic Chinese adults

BackgroundAdiposity is widely recognized as one of the risk factors for high blood pressure (BP) and increasing adiposity is associated with elevated BP. However, which measures of adiposity could be most strongly associated with BP in multi-ethnic population remains uncertain, giving rise to implications that population-based adiposity measures could be necessary.Methods80,000 multi-ethnic adults recruited from 5 provinces across Southwest China during 2018 ~ 2019 were studied. Multiple linear regression was applied to investigate the associations of systolic blood pressure (SBP) with: (1) two measures of general adiposity, body mass index (BMI) and height-adjusted weight; and (2) three measures of central adiposity, waist circumference (WC), hip circumference (HC) and waist hip ratio (WHR).ResultsTwo distinct population-specific patterns were identified, as “BMI to SBP” and “WC to SBP”. 90% of the participants fall into “BMI to SBP” pattern, in which the associations of SBP with BMI were independent of WC, and SBP-WC associations were considerably decreased by adjustment for BMI. And in this pattern, 10 kg/m2 greater BMI was associated with 11.9 mm Hg higher SBP on average. As for the rest population (Han males in Yunnan and Tibetans in Lhasa), they are suited for “WC to SBP” pattern, 10 cm wider WC was associated with 3.4 mm Hg higher SBP.ConclusionOur results indicated that when selecting proper predictors for BP, population-specific adiposity measures are needed, considering ethnicity, sex and residing regions. A better understanding of adiposity and BP may better contribute to the potential clinical practices and developing precision application strategies.

Health economic evaluation on population-based Helicobacter pylori eradication and endoscopic screening for gastric cancer prevention.

Gastric cancer is a global public health burden, nearly one million new cases are diagnosed per year worldwide, of which 44% of cases occur in China. The prognosis of gastric cancer varies remarkably by the stage of cancer, and most of the patients in China are diagnosed at advanced stages, resulting in poor prognoses. Effective strategies to reduce the burden of gastric cancer include primary prevention through testing and treatment of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) and secondary prevention by screening and early detection. Although many countries have issued management guidelines and consensus reports concerning these strategies, the limited availability of healthcare resources often precludes their widespread implementation. Therefore, assessing the costs, benefits, and harms of population-based intervention measures through health economic evaluation is necessary for informed health policy decisions. Accordingly, we synthesize management approaches from different countries on H. pylori eradication and endoscopic screening, and also summarize recent advancements in health economic evaluations on population-based preventive strategies. The goal of the review is to provide empirical evidence supporting optimal resource allocation, maximizing benefits for the population, and ultimately reducing the burden of gastric cancer.

Protocol for validation of the Global Scales for Early Development (GSED) for children under 3 years of age in seven countries

IntroductionChildren’s early development is affected by caregiving experiences, with lifelong health and well-being implications. Governments and civil societies need population-based measures to monitor children’s early development and ensure that children...

Neurological consultations via telemedicine for specialized outpatient palliative care (SOPC) at home and in hospice (TANNE project): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BackgroundNeurological diseases cause numerous challenges in palliative care. Telemedicine may improve the access to specialized expertise in neurology for patients, their relatives, and palliative care physicians. The TANNE study offers teleconsultations by a hospital-based neuropalliative center for specialized outpatient palliative care (SOPC) and hospices. A prospective, partially randomized, controlled trial aims at generating evidence for clinical improvements, quality of life, and cost efficiency.MethodsSOPC and hospice teams in Bavaria, Germany, are partially randomized to one of two study arms, namely a treatment group with teleconsultations by specialists for neurology and palliative medicine or to a control group with interventions after a 12-months delay. Individual and population-based measures are assessed with a mixed-methods design in order to evaluate the medical effects, the potential for implementation in standard care, and health economic aspects. The primary outcome consists of the mean change difference between groups in the Integrated Palliative Care Outcome Scale (IPOS), which physicians assess before and after treatment of a neurological event. Besides, several secondary outcomes are investigated, including quality of life, which is measured with the revised McGill Quality of Life Questionnaire (McGill QOL-R) as well as items regarding general and health-related quality of life. Further secondary outcomes include the concrete progress of the neurological signs and symptoms; the subjective change in well-being since the start of the treatment of the neurological diseases from the perspectives of patients, their relatives, as well as medical and nursing professionals; as well as patient, professional, and caregiver satisfaction with the teleconsultations. Moreover, a health economic evaluation compares group differences regarding hospital visits and emergency calls with utilization measurements.DiscussionThe TANNE trial provides a comprehensive and complex evaluation design for teleconsultations in neuropalliative care. Ethical considerations need to take the patients’ vulnerability into account. The project promises to substantially broaden the width of health care services and to improve the quality of life for deserving patients.Trial registrationGerman Clinical Trials Register (www.germanctr.de [July 17, 2022], DRKS ID: DRKS00027436. Registered February 10th, 2022, retrospectively registered. https://www.drks.de/drks_web/navigate.do?navigationId=trial.HTML&TRIAL_ID=DRKS00027436 [July 17, 2022].

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 in children

BackgroundSeveral individual studies from specific countries have reported rising numbers of pediatric COVID-19 cases with inconsistent reports on the clinical symptoms including respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms as well as diverse reports on the mean age and household exposure in children. The epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 in children are not fully understood, hence, comprehensive meta-analyses are needed to provide a better understanding of these characteristics.MethodsThis review was conducted in Medline, Scopus, Cochrane library, Embase, Web of Science, and published reports on COVID-19 in children. Data were extracted by two independent researchers and a third researcher resolved disputes. STATA software and the random-effect model were used in the synthesis of our data. For each model, the heterogeneity between studies was estimated using the Q Cochrane test. Heterogeneity and publication bias were calculated using the I2 statistic and Egger’s/Begg’s tests.ResultsThe qualitative systematic review was performed on 32 articles. Furthermore, the meta-analysis estimated an overall rate of involvement at 12% (95% CI: 9–15%) among children, with an I2 of 98.36%. The proportion of household exposure was calculated to be 50.99% (95% CI: 20.80%–80.80%) and the proportion of admitted cases was calculated to be 45% (95% CI: 24%–67%). Additionally, the prevalence of cough, fatigue, fever and dyspnea was calculated to be 25% (95% CI: 0.16–0.36), 9% (95% CI: 0.03–0.18), 33% (95% CI: 0.21–0.47) and 9% (95% CI: 0.04–0.15), respectively. It is estimated that 4% (95% CI: 1–8%) of cases required intensive care unit admission.ConclusionsThe pediatric clinical picture of COVID-19 is not simply a classic respiratory infection, but unusual presentations have been reported. Given the high incidence of household transmission and atypical clinical presentation in children, we strongly recommend their inclusion in research and population-based preventive measures like vaccination as well as clinical trials to ensure efficacy, safety, and tolerability in this age group.

Demographic and clinical profile of black patients with chronic kidney disease attending a tertiary hospital in Johannesburg, South Africa.

BackgroundThe prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is increasing worldwide; black patients have an increased risk of developing CKD and end stage kidney disease (ESKD) at significantly higher rates than other races.MethodsA cross sectional study was carried out on black patients with CKD attending the kidney outpatient clinic at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital (CMJAH) in South Africa, between September 2019 to March 2020. Demographic and clinical data were extracted from the ongoing kidney outpatient clinic records and interviews, and were filled in a questionnaire. Patients provided blood and urine for laboratory investigations as standard of care, and data were descriptively and inferentially entered into REDcap and analysed using STATA version 17. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify demographic and clinical variables associated with advanced CKD.ResultsA total of 312 black patients with CKD were enrolled in the study with a median age of 58 (IQR 46–67) years; 58% patients had advanced CKD, 31.5% of whom had grossly increased proteinuria, 96.7% had hypertension, 38.7% had diabetes mellitus and 38.1% had both hypertension and diabetes mellitus. In patients with advanced CKD, the median age was 61 (IQR 51–69) years, eGFR 33 (30–39) mL/min/1.73 m2, serum bicarbonate 22 (IQR 20–24), haemoglobin 12.9 (IQR 11.5–14.0) g/dl and serum uric acid 0.43 (IQR 0.37–0.53). The prevalence of metabolic acidosis was 62.4%, anemia 46.4% and gout 30.9% among those with advanced CKD, while the prevalence of metabolic acidosis and anaemia was 46.6% and 25.9% respectively in those with early CKD. Variables with higher odds for advanced CKD after multivariable logistic regression analysis were hypertension (OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.2–9.2, P = 0.020), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.1–3.3, P = 0.024), severe proteinuria (OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.9–6.5, P = 0.001), angina (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.2–5.1, P = 0.008), anaemia (OR 2.9, 95% CI 1.7–4.9, P = 0.001), hyperuricemia (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4–4.1, P = 0.001), and metabolic acidosis (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2–3.1, P = 0.005). Other associations with advanced CKD were loss of spouse (widow/widower) (OR 3.2, 95% CI 1.4–7.4, P = 0.006), low transferrin (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.1–5.1, P = 0.028), hyperkalemia (OR 5.4, 95% CI 1.2–24.1, P = 0.029), use of allopurinol (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4–4.3, P = 0.005) and doxazosin (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2–3.1, P = 0.006).ConclusionHypertension and diabetes mellitus were strongly associated with advanced CKD, suggesting a need for primary and secondary population-based prevention measures. Metabolic acidosis, anemia with low transferrin levels, hyperuricemia and hyperkalemia were highly prevalent in our patients, including those with early CKD, and they were strongly associated with advanced CKD, requiring clinicians and dietitians to be proactive in supporting the needs of CKD patients in meeting their daily dietary requirements towards preventing and slowing the progression of CKD.

Comparison of Hungarian Central Statistical Office's causes of death data with the database of the Hungarian National Cancer Registry

Introduction: In international comparison, Hungary is in the forefront of cancer incidence and mortality statistics. Based on paper-based death certificates, mortality statistics are compiled by the Hungarian Central Statistical Office, while population-based measures of cancer incidences are performed by the Hungarian National Cancer Registry. Objective: Linking the records of these two independent databases can highlight their weaknesses and provide an opportunity to reconcile and verify collected data, which may emphasize the need to expand current data exchange protocols. Method: Based on the Hungarian unique health care insurance ID, the mortality database of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office between 2012 and 2020 was compared with the data of the Hungarian National Cancer Registry from 2001 to 2020. Deaths in 2018, in particular those related to lung cancer, were examined in more depth to demonstrate the biases resulting from erroneous data collection. Results: The mortality database of the Hungarian Central Statistical Office contained 32 586 cases with an underlying cause of death of malignant neoplasm for 2018, of which 29 970 were identified in the Hungarian National Cancer Registry. Out of the 8716 deaths coded to lung cancer, 7957 corresponding individuals were also found in the Registry. From the matches, 7381 cases were marked with lung cancer in the Hungarian National Cancer Registry. For the remaining 576 cases, the Registry recorded different types of cancers, of which in 69 cases with lung metastasis. Discussion: The differences between the two databases may be caused by methodological differences in data collection, incomplete, inaccurate reporting and differences in processing algorithms. Nevertheless, the majority of the data in the examined databases were found to be appropriate for epidemiological studies. Conclusion: Based on the outcomes of the present analysis, a revision of the data transfer between the two institutions is in order. The introduction of electronic Death certificate recording and validity checks are expected to improve the reliability of ID numbers and may shorten data processing times.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mental health in gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men in China: Difference by HIV status

Population-based measures and public health response to stem the spread of the coronavirus may have caused unintended isolation and increased the risk of psychiatric illnesses. The objective of this study is to assess psychological distress among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM) in China during the COVID-19 pandemic and examine whether these mental health outcomes differ by HIV status. Data were derived from a cross-sectional survey on the impact of COVID-19 on users of Blued, the largest gay social networking app in July 2020. All active users on Blued were invited to complete a survey regarding sexual behaviors, HIV prevention and treatment service utilization, and various health and mental health outcomes. Among all participants (n = 1205), over half (53.2%) of the participants screened mild to severe psychological distress: 34.9% screened mild, 11.6% screened moderate, and 6.6% screened severe psychological distress. Of all participants, 20.9% met the criteria for anxiety and 19.6% for depression. Psychological distress was associated with younger age having a degree below college, being unemployed, and having lower income. MSM with HIV were more likely to report depression or anxiety compared to HIV negative/unknown status MSM after adjusting for study covariates (AOR = 1.80, 95%CI 1.01–3.26; AOR = 2.04, 95%CI 1.11–3.67, respectively). MSM in China experience a high burden of psychological distress during the COVID-19 pandemic. Integrated HIV treatment and mental health services are needed to provide adequate and timely mental health support to MSM living with HIV.

Public health and social measures to mitigate the health and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey, Egypt, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Poland during 2020–2021: situational analysis

BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic had a colossal impact on human society globally. There were similarities and differences in the public health and social measures taken by countries, and comparative analysis facilitates cross-country learning of contextual practices and sharing lessons to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic impact. Our aim is to conduct a situational analysis of the public health and social measures to mitigate the health and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey, Egypt, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Poland during 2020–2021.MethodsWe conducted a situational analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic response in Turkey, Egypt, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Poland from the perspectives of the health system and health finance, national coordination, surveillance, testing capacity, health infrastructure, healthcare workforce, medical supply, physical distancing and non-pharmaceutical interventions, health communication, impact on non-COVID-19 health services, impact on the economy, education, gender and civil liberties, and COVID-19 vaccination.ResultsSince the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, Turkey, Egypt, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Poland have expanded COVID-19 testing and treatment capacity over time. However, they faced a shortage of healthcare workforce and medical supplies. They took population-based quarantine measures rather than individual-based isolation measures, which significantly burdened their economies and disrupted education. The unemployment rate increased, and economic growth stagnated. Economic stimulus policy was accompanied by high inflation. Despite the effort to sustain essential health services, healthcare access declined. Schools were closed for 5–11 months. Gender inequality was aggravated in Turkey and Ukraine, and an issue was raised for balancing public health measures and civil liberties in Egypt and Poland. Digital technologies played an important role in maintaining routine healthcare, education, and public health communication.ConclusionsThe COVID-19 pandemic has exposed weaknesses in healthcare systems in the emerging economies of Turkey, Egypt, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Poland, and highlighted the intricate link between health and economy. Individual-level testing, isolation, and contact tracing are effective public health interventions in mitigating the health and economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in comparison to population-level measures of lockdowns. Smart investments in public health, including digital health and linking health security with sustainable development, are key for economic gain, social stability, and more equitable and sustainable development.