Population-based Cohort Study Research Articles

Multidimensional Sleep Profiles via Machine learning and Risk of Dementia and Cardiovascular Disease.

Sleep health comprises several dimensions such as duration and fragmentation of sleep, circadian activity, and daytime behavior. Yet, most research has focused on individual sleep characteristics. Studies are needed to identify sleep profiles incorporating multiple dimensions and to assess how different profiles may be linked to adverse health outcomes. To identify actigraphy-based 24-hour sleep/circadian profiles in older men and to investigate whether these profiles are associated with the incidence of dementia and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events over 12 years. Data came from a prospective sleep study with participants recruited between 20032005 and followed until 2015-2016. Multicenter population-based cohort study. Among the 3,135 men enrolled, we excluded 331 men with missing or invalid actigraphy data and 137 with significant cognitive impairment at baseline, leading to a sample of 2,667 participants. Leveraging 20 actigraphy-derived sleep and circadian activity rhythm variables, we determined sleep/circadian profiles using an unsupervised machine learning technique based on multiple coalesced generalized hyperbolic mixture modeling. Incidence of dementia and CVD events. We identified three distinct sleep/circadian profiles: active healthy sleepers (AHS; n=1,707 (64.0%); characterized by normal sleep duration, higher sleep quality, stronger circadian rhythmicity, and higher activity during wake periods), fragmented poor sleepers (FPS; n=376 (14.1%); lower sleep quality, higher sleep fragmentation, shorter sleep duration, and weaker circadian rhythmicity), and long and frequent nappers (LFN; n=584 (21.9%); longer and more frequent naps, higher sleep quality, normal sleep duration, and more fragmented circadian rhythmicity). Over the 12-year follow-up, compared to AHS, FPS had increased risks of dementia and CVD events (Hazard Ratio (HR)=1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.02-1.78 and HR=1.32, 95% CI=1.08-1.60, respectively) after multivariable adjustment, whereas LFN showed a marginal association with increased CVD events risk (HR=1.16, 95% CI=0.98-1.37) but not with dementia (HR=1.09, 95%CI=0.86-1.38). We identified three distinct multidimensional profiles of sleep health. Compared to healthy sleepers, older men with overall poor sleep and circadian activity rhythms exhibited worse incident cognitive and cardiovascular health. These results highlight potential targets for sleep interventions and the need for more comprehensive screening of poor sleepers for adverse outcomes.

Neighborhood Socioeconomic Disadvantage and 30-Day Outcomes for Common Cardiovascular Conditions.

Understanding the relationship between neighborhood environment and cardiovascular outcomes is important to achieve health equity and implement effective quality strategies. We conducted a population-based cohort study to determine the association of neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation and 30-day mortality and readmission rate for patients admitted with common cardiovascular conditions. We examined claims data from fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years between 2017 and 2019 admitted for heart failure, valvular heart disease, ischemic heart disease, or cardiac arrhythmias. The primary exposure was the Area Deprivation Index; outcomes were 30-day all-cause death and unplanned readmission. More than 2 million admissions were included. After sequential adjustment for patient characteristics (demographics, dual eligibility, comorbidities), area health care resources (primary care clinicians, specialists, and hospital beds per capita), and admitting hospital characteristics (ownership, size, teaching status), there was a dose-dependent association between neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation and 30-day mortality rate for all conditions. In the fully adjusted model for death, estimated effect sizes of residence in the most disadvantaged versus least disadvantaged neighborhoods ranged from adjusted odds ratio 1.29 (95% CI, 1.22-1.36) for the heart failure group to adjusted odds ratio 1.63 (95% CI, 1.36-1.95) for the valvular heart disease group. Neighborhood deprivation was associated with increased adjusted 30-day readmission rates, with estimated effect sizes from adjusted odds ratio 1.09 (95% CI, 1.05-1.14) for heart failure to adjusted odds ratio 1.19 (95% CI, 1.13-1.26) for arrhythmia. Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage was associated with 30-day mortality rate and readmission for patients admitted with common cardiovascular conditions independent of individual demographics, socioeconomic status, medical risk, care access, or admitting hospital characteristics.

The potential of residual clinical Group B Streptococcus swabs for assessing the vaginorectal microbiome in late pregnancy

The maternal pregnancy microbiome (including genitourinary and gut) has been linked to important pregnancy/birth and later childhood health outcomes. However, such sampling as part of large population cohort studies is logistically and financially challenging. Many countries routinely collect vaginal or vaginal-rectal swabs in late pregnancy for Group B Streptococcus (GBS) screening, but their utility for population-based research is still unclear. As part of planning for the Generation Victoria population-based cohort study beginning in pregnancy, we assessed the utility and reliability of residual clinical GBS vaginal/vaginal-rectal swabs for generating late pregnancy microbiome data. We carried out a two-phased pilot study. Phase one assessed the level of microbial diversity apparent in ‘residual’ clinical vaginal/vaginal-rectal swabs post clinical testing and storage for 7–10 days at 4 °C (routine clinical practice). Phase two directly assessed the impact of storage time and temperature on the microbial composition of vaginal/vaginal-rectal swabs collected specifically for research purposes. The microbiota composition in the ‘residual’ clinical swabs aligned with published studies. The ‘research’ swabs, stored at 4 °C for up to ten days, showed minimal changes in microbiota profile, compared to swabs examined on the day of collection. In contrast, significant variation in diversity was seen in swabs stored at room temperature for up to 48 h. Residual clinical material from swabs collected primarily for GBS screening in late pregnancy represent a reliable and abundant source of material for assessing the late pregnancy maternal microbiome for research purposes. This represents a low-burden opportunity for population-representative pregnancy studies to assess the potential of late pregnancy microbiome for prediction and understanding maternal and child health outcomes.

Clinical suspicion and empirical treatment of infective endocarditis on hospital admission – a population-based cohort study

Introduction Infective endocarditis (IE) is a challenging diagnosis to suspect and to confirm. The purpose of this study was to clarify how often IE is suspected already on hospital admission, which clinical signs trigger the physicians’ suspicions and to investigate if the empirical treatment is adequate. Methods A retrospective observational study of cases with definitive IE, during 2018–2019 in Skåne Region, Sweden was performed. Cases were identified by ICD-codes for IE and medical records were reviewed to reveal if IE was suspected at hospital admission and if empirical treatment was adequate. Results Of 156 episodes with definitive IE, suspicion of IE arose on admission in 36 (23%) of the cases. A longer symptom duration, heart murmurs, male sex, and lower age were significantly more common in the group where IE was suspected. In the 118 cases where empirical antibiotic treatment was initiated, 98 (83%) got an adequate empirical treatment while in 16 (14%) of the cases the organism identified was resistant. IE-directed treatment was achieved significantly earlier in the suspicion group, median of 1 day, compared to a median of 2 days (p < 0.0001) when endocarditis was not initially suspected. Conclusion IE is suspected already upon admission mainly in cases with a subacute presentation. Increased knowledge of IE with acute presentation could possibly result in earlier diagnosis and correct IE-directed treatment. The clinical impact of this is uncertain since most cases still were treated with adequate empirical antibiotics.

Comparison of subjective cognitive decline and polygenic risk score in the prediction of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease and vascular dementia

BackgroundPolygenic risk scores (PRS) and subjective cognitive decline (SCD) are associated with the risk of developing dementia. It remains to examine whether they can improve the established cardiovascular risk factors aging and dementia (CAIDE) model and how their predictive abilities compare.MethodsThe CAIDE model was applied to a sub-sample of a large, population-based cohort study (n = 5,360; aged 50–75) and evaluated for the outcomes of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VD) by calculating Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) and the area under the curve (AUC). The improvement of the CAIDE model by PRS and SCD was further examined using the net reclassification improvement (NRI) method and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).ResultsDuring 17 years of follow-up, 410 participants were diagnosed with dementia, including 139 AD and 152 VD diagnoses. Overall, the CAIDE model showed high discriminative ability for all outcomes, reaching AUCs of 0.785, 0.793, and 0.789 for all-cause dementia, AD, and VD, respectively. Adding information on SCD significantly increased NRI for all-cause dementia (4.4%, p = 0.04) and VD (7.7%, p = 0.01). In contrast, prediction models for AD further improved when PRS was added to the model (NRI, 8.4%, p = 0.03). When APOE ε4 carrier status was included (CAIDE Model 2), AUCs increased, but PRS and SCD did not further improve the prediction.ConclusionsUnlike PRS, information on SCD can be assessed more efficiently, and thus, the model including SCD can be more easily transferred to the clinical setting. Nevertheless, the two variables seem negligible if APOE ε4 carrier status is available.

Physical Activity Modifies the Risk of Incident Cardiac Conduction Disorders Upon Inflammation: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Emerging evidence suggests a central role for inflammation in cardiac conduction disorder (CCD). It is unknown whether habitual physical activity could modulate the inflammation-associated risks of incident CCD in the general population. This population-based cohort was derived from the China Kailuan study, including a total of 97 192 participants without prior CCD. The end points included incident CCD and its subcategories (atrioventricular block and bundle-branch block). Systemic inflammation was indicated by the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR). Over a median 10.91-year follow-up, 3747 cases of CCD occurred, with 1062 cases of atrioventricular block and 2697 cases of bundle-branch block. An overall linear dose-dependent relationship was observed between MLR and each study end point (all P-nonlinearity≥0.05). Both higher MLR and physical inactivity were significantly associated with higher risks of conduction block. The MLR-associated risks of developing study end points were higher in the physically inactive individuals than in those being physically active, with significant interactions between MLR levels and physical activity for developing CCD (P-interaction=0.07) and bundle-branch block (P-interaction<0.05) found. Compared with those in MLR quartile 2 and being physically active, those in the highest MLR quartile and being physically inactive had significantly higher risks for all study end points (1.42 [95% CI, 1.24-1.63], 1.62 [95% CI, 1.25-2.10], and 1.33 [95% CI, 1.13-1.56], respectively, for incident CCD, atrioventricular block, and bundle-branch block). MLR should be a biomarker for the risk assessment of incident CCD. Adherence to habitual physical activity is favorable for reducing the MLR-associated risks of CCD.

Incidence and Survival Outcomes of Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors

The incidence of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) increased after the implementation of GIST-specific histology coding in 2001, but updated data on trends and survival are lacking. To examine the evolving epidemiology of GISTs in major organ sites. This descriptive, population-based cohort study used nationally representative data from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program, including the SEER-22 and SEER-17 registries. Data were from evaluated patients aged 20 years or older with GISTs diagnosed between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2019. Analyses were last updated on October 29, 2023. Organ site-specific trends in age-standardized incidence rates and annual percent changes (APCs) in rates were estimated by race and ethnicity and, when possible, by sex, age, and primary indicator. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine racial and ethnic differences in overall and GIST-specific survival by site. The SEER-22 and SEER-17 datasets contained 23 001 and 12 109 case patients with GISTs, respectively. Patients in the SEER-22 registry had a mean (SD) age of 64 (13) years and 51.3% were men. With regard to race and ethnicity, 9.7% of patients were Asian or Pacific Islander, 12.3% were Hispanic, 19.6% were non-Hispanic Black, and 57.7% were non-Hispanic White. Overall incidence rates of GISTs in the SEER-22 cohort increased substantially over time for all organ sites but the colon (APCs: esophagus, 7.3% [95% CI, 4.4% to 10.2%]; gastric, 5.1% [95% CI, 4.2% to 6.1%]; small intestine, 2.7% [95% CI, 1.8% to 3.7%]; colon, -0.2% [95% CI, -1.3% to 0.9%]; and rectum, 1.9% [95% CI, 0.1% to 3.8%]). There were similar increasing trends by age groups (<50 vs ≥50 years), sex, race and ethnicity, and primary indicator for gastric and small intestine GISTs. Increases were mainly restricted to localized stage disease. Patients in the SEER-17 cohort had a mean (SD) age of 64 (14) years and 51.9% were men. With regard to race and ethnicity, 13.3% of patients were Asian or Pacific Islander, 11.6% were Hispanic, 17.8% were non-Hispanic Black, and 56.6% were non-Hispanic White. Non-Hispanic Black individuals had higher overall mortality for esophageal (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 6.4 [95% CI, 2.0 to 20.3]) and gastric (adjusted HR, 1.4 [95% CI, 1.2 to 1.5]) GISTs compared with non-Hispanic White individuals. Asian or Pacific Islander individuals also had higher overall mortality for esophageal GISTs (adjusted HR, 5.6 [95% CI, 1.5 to 20.2]). Results were similar for GIST-specific survival. In this cohort study using SEER data, the incidence of GISTs in major organ sites increased in the last 2 decades among several population groups. These findings suggest that additional studies are warranted to identify risk factors, because histologic reclassification and higher availability of endoscopy and imaging do not fully explain these unfavorable incidence trends. Prevention efforts are needed to reduce the substantial survival disparities among racial and ethnic minoritized populations.

Association of Uterine Leiomyoma with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Young Women: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

We investigated the association between uterine leiomyoma (UL) and incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in young women. A nationwide population-based cohort study of 2,541,550 women aged between 20 and 40 years was performed using the National Health Information Database. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the risk of incident T2DM according to the presence of UL and myomectomy. The mean age was 29.70 years, and mean body mass index was 21.31 kg/m2. Among 2,541,550 participants, 18,375 (0.72%) women had UL. During a median 7.45 years of follow-up, 23,829 women (0.94%) were diagnosed with T2DM. The incidence of T2DM in women with UL (1.805/1,000 person-years) was higher than in those without UL (1.289/1,000 person-years). Compared with women without UL, women with UL had a higher risk of incident T2DM (hazard ratio, 1.216; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.071 to 1.382). Women with UL who did not undergo myomectomy had a 1.505 times (95% CI, 1.297 to 1.748) higher risk for incident T2DM than women without UL. However, women with UL who underwent myomectomy did not have increased risk for incident T2DM. Young women with UL were associated with a high risk of incident T2DM. In addition, myomectomy seemed to attenuate the risk for incident T2DM in young women with UL.

Lipid control and stroke risk in atrial fibrillation patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants and statins.

The risk of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with intensive lipid control by statins among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who require direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) is unclear. We aimed to determine the risks of ischemic stroke and ICH in AF patients treated with DOAC and statins. In a population-based retrospective cohort study, we identified AF patients concurrently on DOAC and statins from 2015 to 2021 in Hong Kong. Primary outcome was ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes were ICH and death. We correlated study outcomes with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) as time-varying, continuous variables with restricted cubic spline. In secondary analyses, the risks of study outcomes with statin intensity (low, moderate, high) were determined by multivariable time-dependent marginal structural Cox models. We identified 32,752 AF patients co-prescribed with DOAC and statins. Lower LDL-C (p < 0.001) and higher HDL-C (p < 0.001) levels were associated with lower risk of ischemic stroke but not significantly associated with ICH. LDL-C of <1.8 mmol/L (70 mg/dL) was not associated with mortality (19.6% vs 18.4%, difference 1.2% [95% CI -0.35 to 2.13]). High-intensity statin was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke compared with low-intensity statin (weighted Cox-specific hazard ratio [95% CI]: 0.82 [0.67-0.99], p = 0.040) independent of LDL-C levels. Similar associations were found in 11,444 AF patients with a history of ischemic stroke. Intensive lipid control by high-intensity statins was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke in AF patients who required DOACs and did not appear to increase the risk of ICH.

Long-term exposure to air pollution and the risks of venous thromboembolism: a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study.

To delineate the effects of exposure to air pollution on the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The association between air pollution and arterial occlusive diseases has been well reported in the literature. VTE is the third most common acute cardiovascular syndrome; however, its relationship with exposure to air pollution has been controversial. This study linked data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database with that from the Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration. Patients who were first admitted for VTE between January 1, 2001, and December 31, 2013, were analyzed. A time-stratified, case-crossover design was employed. Three different exposure periods were defined: exposure for 1month, one quarter, and 1year. Four control periods were designated for each exposure period. The association between exposure to air pollutants and the risk of VTE was tested using logistic regression analysis. Subgroup analyses were also performed, stratified by age, sex, type of VTE, the use of hormone therapy, and level of urbanization at the site of residence. Exposures to particulate matter (PM) smaller than 2.5µm (PM2.5) and those smaller than 10µm (PM10) were associated with higher risks of VTE, with longer exposures associated with higher risk. The concentration of PM2.5 exposure for 1month was linearly associated with a greater risk of VTE up to 28.0µg/m3, beyond which there was no association. PM2.5 exposure for one quarter or 1year remained significantly associated with higher risks of VTE at higher concentrations. The increased risk in VTE associated with exposure to PM2.5 was more prominent in older patients and in patients not under hormone therapy. Similar results were observed for PM10 exposures. Exposure to PM, particularly PM2.5, leads to an increased risk of VTE, with possible accumulative effects. With increased PM production in industrializing countries, the effects of PM on VTE occurrence warrant further attention.

Trajectories of hepatic steatosis and incidence of cardiovascular disease over a 29-year follow-up.

To examine the dynamic change in hepatic steatosis status during repeated assessments over time, and its potential impact on the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD). We assessed trajectories of hepatic steatosis and other metabolic disorders in 3134 middle-aged adults undergoing longitudinal assessment of ultrasonography during a pre-baseline period (1993-2009) in a population-based cohort study of liver health. Subsequently, we determined the association of hepatic steatosis trajectories with the incidence of CVD among 2185 CVD-free individuals, followed until 2021. Metabolic risk factors and cardiovascular events (including coronary heart disease and stroke) were determined through medical examination and linkage with nationwide health databases. We identified three discrete trajectories of hepatic steatosis according to changing pattern over time through group-based trajectory modeling: "stable, non-steatosis" (n=1298), "intermittent" (n=921), and "persistent steatosis" (n=915). During the pre-baseline period, hepatic steatosis trajectories were associated with trajectories of developing diabetes and hypertension, and persistent steatosis (vs. other trajectories) was associated with higher risks and rapidly progressive disease patterns. At a median 13.6years of follow-up, 629 CVD events occurred. A persistent (vs. non-steatosis: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.17-1.76), but not intermittent, steatosis pattern predicted the future risk of CVD, after adjustment for age, sex, smoking, and obesity. This association was independent of genetic background, and remained after accounting for pre-baseline body-mass index, other cardiometabolic risk factors, Framingham risk score, medications, and hepatic fibrosis score. The persistence of hepatic steatosis is associated with trajectories of metabolic disorder development and increased risk of CVD. These data have important implications for practice and further research.

Overall Survival, Treatment Duration, and Rechallenge Outcomes With ICI Therapy for Recurrent or Metastatic HNSCC

Immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI) is a frontline treatment for recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC), but questions remain surrounding optimal duration of therapy, benefits and risks of ICI rechallenge, and efficacy in first vs subsequent lines of therapy. To estimate survival in US patients receiving ICI-based treatment for R/M HNSCC, compare outcomes associated with treatment discontinuation vs continuation at 1 or 2 years, and assess outcomes after immunotherapy rechallenge. This retrospective, population-based cohort study included adult patients in the Flatiron Health nationwide oncology database treated with immunotherapy for R/M HNSCC from 2015 to 2023. Data cutoff was August 31, 2023; data analysis was conducted from December 2023 to February 2024. Treatment continuation vs discontinuation at 1 and 2 years; rechallenge with ICI after at least a 60-day period off ICI therapy without intervening systemic treatment (immediate rechallenge), or with intervening systemic treatment (delayed rechallenge). Overall survival (OS) from ICI initiation was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox multivariable regression was used to examine associations of key variables (line of therapy, human papillomavirus [HPV] status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group [ECOG] performance status) with survival. The cohort included 4549 patients with R/M HNSCC who received ICI-containing therapy (median [IQR] age, 66 [59-72] years; 3551 [78.1%] male; 56 [1.2%] Asian, 260 [5.7%] Black or African American, 3020 [66.4%] White, 1213 [26.7%] other or unknown race; 3226 [70.9%] ECOG performance status 0 or 1). There were 3000 patients (65.9%) who received ICI in frontline and 1207 (26.5%) in second line; 3478 patients (76.5%) received ICI monotherapy. Median (IQR) OS was 10.9 (4.1-29.1) months and was longer in patients who received ICI in frontline therapy (12.2 [4.8-32.0] vs 8.7 [3.2-22.4] months), had HPV-positive cancer (16.6 [6.5-43.9] vs 8.8 [3.5-24.0] months), and had ECOG performance status 0 or 1 (13.5 [5.2-33.9] vs 5.5 [2.0-13.7] months). There were no survival differences on adjusted analysis between patients who stopped vs those who continued ICI at 1 or 2 years. Median (IQR) OS after ICI rechallenge was 15.7 (13.7-21.9) months in the immediate rechallenge group and 9.9 (3.7-18.1) months in the delayed rechallenge group. In this large cohort study of patients with R/M HNSCC receiving ICI-based therapy, survival estimates closely mirrored clinical trial results, both in frontline and later-line settings. Discontinuation of ICI in long-term responders at 1 or 2 years may be a reasonable strategy that does not appear to compromise survival. ICI rechallenge was associated with clinical benefit in a subset of patients.

Role of chronic kidney disease and risk factors in preeclampsia

BackgroundOur goal was to identify what impact chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its associated risk factors, such as body mass index (BMI), diabetes and hypertension, have on preeclampsia and other adverse pregnancy outcomes in the CKD population. MethodsThis was a population-based cohort study of women with CKD who had a pregnancy from 2010 to 2022 (n = 95). At the time of the woman’s pregnancy, data was collected on demographics, clinical measures, BMI, CKD etiology and other renal parameters. Outcomes included preeclampsia, pre-term delivery, and low birth weight. ResultsPre-pregnancy BMI increased over time in patients with CKD, with a median (interquartile range) BMI of 25 (22–29) prior to 2016 and 29 (25–34) after 2016 (p = 0.01). There were significant trends of increasing age at delivery and decreasing pre-pregnancy estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by delivery year. Preeclampsia affected nearly half of pregnancies in this cohort. In multivariate analyses, BMI and chronic hypertension did not impact the odds of preeclampsia, preterm delivery or low birth weight, though a CKD etiology of diabetes (19/20 with type I diabetes), was associated with a significant increase in preeclampsia risk (odds ratio (OR) 7.41 (95 % CI 2.1–26.1)). Higher pre-pregnancy eGFR was associated with a lower odds of preterm delivery (OR 0.81 (95 % CI 0.67–0.98)) per 10 ml/min/1.73 m2). ConclusionPre-pregnancy BMI significantly increased over time, similar to the general population. While preeclampsia was common in CKD patients, outcomes were associated with eGFR and CKD etiology as opposed to BMI and chronic hypertension.

Prevalence, Risk Factors, and Postoperative Infection Rates of Blood Transfusion in Lumbar Spinal Fusion Surgery: A Nationwide Population-Based Study.

Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. Objectives: Effects of blood loss that requires blood transfusion after lumbar spinal fusion remain an important issue. Blood transfusions are used commonly in cases of significant blood loss in lumbar spinal fusion but are associated with adverse effects. The objective was to assess the rate of blood transfusion and the associated risk after lumbar spinal fusion from 2013 to 2018. Methods: In this nationwide population-based cohort study, the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database was reviewed retrospectively from 2013 to 2018. Data were extracted from patients who underwent lumbar spinal fusion without history of lumbar spinal surgery in the preceding year. The primary outcome was the rate of blood transfusion within 1 week of surgery. In addition, the risk factors for blood transfusion and the rate of postoperative infection were evaluated. Results: A total of 188,581 patients underwent lumbar spinal fusion between 2013 and 2018. A significant decline in blood transfusions was observed during the study period (56.38-47.51%). The presence of comorbidities was associated with an increased risk of blood transfusion. Patients who underwent the posterior approach were more likely to receive blood transfusion than patients who underwent the anterior or anterior and posterior approach. Receiving blood transfusion was associated with postoperative infection. Conclusions: In the present study, the prevalence, risk factors, and postoperative infection rates associated with blood transfusion in lumbar spinal fusion were identified. Spine surgeons should consider these risk factors in patients at high risk of blood transfusion.

Multimorbidity and adverse outcomes following emergency department attendance: population based cohort study

ObjectivesTo describe the effect of multimorbidity on adverse patient centred outcomes in people attending emergency department.DesignPopulation based cohort study.SettingEmergency departments in NHS Lothian in Scotland, from 1 January 2012 to...

4. The impact of cannabis on opioid use and postoperative complications in cervical fusion: a population-based longitudinal cohort study

4. The impact of cannabis on opioid use and postoperative complications in cervical fusion: a population-based longitudinal cohort study

Trends in incidence, prevalence, and survival of breast cancer in the United Kingdom from 2000 to 2021

Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer in females globally. However, we know relatively little about trends in males. This study describes United Kingdom (UK) secular trends in breast cancer from 2000 to 2021 for both sexes. We describe a population-based cohort study using UK primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD and Aurum databases. There were 5,848,436 eligible females and 5,539,681 males aged 18+ years, with ≥ one year of prior data availability in the study period. We estimated crude breast cancer incidence rates (IR), prevalence and survival probability at one-, five- and 10-years after diagnosis using the Kaplan–Meier method. Analyses were further stratified by age. Crude IR of breast cancer from 2000 to 2021 was 194.4 per 100,000 person-years for females and 1.16 for males. Crude prevalence in 2021 was 2.1% for females and 0.009% for males. Both sexes have seen around a 2.5-fold increase in prevalence across time. Incidence increased with age for both sexes, peaking in females aged 60–69 years and males 90+ . There was a drop in incidence for females aged 70–79 years. From 2003–2019, incidence increased > twofold in younger females (aged 18–29: IR 2.12 in 2003 vs. 4.58 in 2018); decreased in females aged 50–69 years; and further declined from 2015 onwards in females aged 70–89 years. Survival probability for females after one-, five-, and ten-years after diagnosis was 95.1%, 80.2%, and 68.4%, and for males 92.9%, 69.0%, and 51.3%. Survival probability at one-year increased by 2.08% points, and survival at five years increased by 5.39% from 2000–2004 to 2015–2019 for females, particularly those aged 50–70 years. For males, there were no clear time-trends for short-term and long-term survival probability. Changes in incidence of breast cancer in females largely reflect the success of screening programmes, as rates rise and fall in synchronicity with ages of eligibility for such programmes. Overall survival from breast cancer for females has improved from 2000 to 2021, again reflecting the success of screening programmes, early diagnosis, and improvements in treatments. Male breast cancer patients have worse survival outcomes compared to females, highlighting the need to develop male-specific diagnosis and treatment strategies to improve long-term survival in line with females.

Sex-Specific Associations of Aldosterone and Renin with Body Composition: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) activation is closely linked to obesity; however, the sex-specific associations between RAAS activity and body composition among individuals without obesity are not well understood. To investigate the associations of aldosterone and renin with body composition according to sex in the general population. Population-based cohort study. Québec (Canada). Adults aged 40-69 years enrolled to CARTaGENE between 2009 and 2010 (N=3,687). Plasma aldosterone and renin concentrations. Body composition assessed via anthropometrics (waist circumference and waist-to-hip ratio), bioelectrical impedance (lean body mass, fat mass, and muscle mass), and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (epicardial and pericardial adipose tissue volumes). The mean (SD) age and body mass index were 55 (8) years and 27.3 (4.8) kg/m2, respectively. Among males, higher aldosterone and renin were associated with increased waist circumference, increased waist-to-hip ratio, increased fat mass, decreased lean body mass, and decreased muscle mass (p<0.05). Aldosterone (p=0.02), but not renin (p=0.43), was associated with increased ectopic cardiac adiposity in males. In contrast, higher renin (p<0.05), but not aldosterone (p≥0.05), was associated with increased waist circumference, increased waist-to-hip ratio, and increased cardiac adiposity in females. Among females, higher renin and aldosterone were associated with increased fat mass (p<0.05) but were not associated with lean body mass or muscle mass (p≥0.05). All aforementioned associations were independent of body weight. Independent of body weight, increased RAAS activity is associated with unfavorable differences in body composition; however, the strength and pattern of association varies by sex.

Neurodevelopment at age 5.5 years according to Ages & Stages Questionnaire at 2 years’ corrected age in children born preterm: the EPIPAGE-2 cohort study

ObjectiveTo report neurodevelopment at age 5.5 years according to developmental delay screening with the Ages & Stages Questionnaire (ASQ) in late infancy in preterm-born children.DesignPopulation-based cohort study, EPIPAGE-2.SettingFrance, 2011–2017.Participants2504 children...

Associations of Co-Occurring Chronic Conditions With Use of Rehabilitation Services in Older Adults With Back Pain: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

The objective was to examine the associations of number and type of chronic conditions with use of rehabilitation services among older adults with bothersome back pain. We conducted a cohort study using the National Health and Aging Trends Study, a longitudinal survey of Medicare beneficiaries ≥65years. We included community-dwelling older adults with bothersome back pain in 2015. We assessed 12 self-reported chronic conditions, including arthritis, depression, and anxiety. We used 2016 data to ascertain self-reported use of any rehabilitation services in the prior year. We used weighted, logistic regression to examine the association of conditions with rehabilitation use. The sample size was 2443. A majority were age ≥ 75years (59%); female (62%); and White, non-Hispanic (71%). The median number of chronic conditions was 3 (interquartile range, 2-4). Arthritis was the most common chronic condition (73%); 14% had anxiety and 16% had depression. For every additional chronic condition, adjusted odds of any rehabilitation use increased 21% (Odds Ratio = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.11-1.31). Those with ≥4 chronic conditions had 2.13 times higher odds (95% CI: 1.36-3.34) of any rehabilitation use in the next year versus those with 0-1 condition. Participants with arthritis had 1.96 times higher odds (95% CI: 1.41-2.72) of any rehabilitation use versus those without arthritis. Anxiety and depression were not significantly associated with rehabilitation use. Among older adults with back pain, a greater number of chronic conditions and arthritis were associated with higher use of rehabilitation services. Those with anxiety or depression had no difference in their use of rehabilitation care versus those without these conditions. This pattern suggests appropriate use of rehabilitation for patients with back pain and multiple chronic conditions based on greater need, but there may be potential underuse for those with back pain and psychological conditions.