Click to increase image sizeClick to decrease image size Notes 1. See Kenneth M. Pollack and Ray Takeyh, “Taking on Tehran,” Foreign Affairs 84, no. 2 (March/April 2005); and Kenneth M. Pollack, The Persian Puzzle: The Conflict Between Iran and America (New York: Random House, 2004), especially pp. 375-424. 2. On Iranian decisionmaking, see David E. Thaler et al., Mullahs, Guards, and Bonyads: An Exploration of Iranian Leadership Dynamics (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2010), http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2009/RAND_MG878.pdf 3. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Islamic Republic News Agency, August 20, 2010. 4. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Islamic Republic News Agency, June 30, 2011. 5. See for instance, “Oil Finds $100 Floor on Saudi Politics and Output Costs,” Reuters, April 4, 2011,http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/9278/Business/Economy/Oil-finds--floor-on-Saudi-politics-and-output-cost.aspxhttp://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/9278/Business/Economy/Oil-finds--floor-on-Saudi-politics-and-output-cost.aspx. 6. Djavad Salehi-Isfahani, “Iran: Subsidy Reform Amid Regional Turmoil,” The Brookings Institution, March 3, 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2011/0303_iran_salehi_isfahani.aspx 7. Shortly after Gingrich's statement, Iran began to build a new group, Saudi Hizballah, which eventually conducted the terrorist attack on the Khobar Towers housing complex in Saudi Arabia, killing 19 American servicemen there. See Pollack, The Persian Puzzle, pp. 280-286. 8. See Independent Inquiry Committee into the United Nations Oil-for-Food Programme, “Manipulation of the Oil-for-Food Programme by the Iraqi Regime” (Colloquially known as the “Volcker Committee Report”), The United Nations, October 27, 2005, http://www.iic-offp.org/documents/IIC%20Final%20Report%2027Oct2005.pdf 9. See the various IAEA reports on Iran. Most recently, International Atomic Energy Agency Board of Directors, “Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions in the Islamic Republic of Iran,” International Atomic Energy Agency, June 9, 2011, http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2011/gov2011-29.pdf 10. Yossi Melman, “Outgoing Mossad Chief: Iran Won't Have Nuclear Capability Before 2015,” Haaretz, January 7, 2011, http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/outgoing-mossad-chief-iran-won-t-have-nuclear-capability-before-2015-1.335656 Additional informationNotes on contributorsKenneth M. PollackKenneth M. Pollack is the Director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings InstitutionRay TakeyhRay Takeyh is a Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations