Poleward Boundary Research Articles

Impact of Climate Change on the Dynamics of the Southern Senegal Upwelling Center

AbstractThe Canary current upwelling System (CCS) is one the most productive marine ecosystems. CMIP5 simulations under the RCP8.5 scenario for the end of the 21st century project a modest upwelling‐favorable wind decrease over the CCS southern outpost, that is, the southern senegalese upwelling center (SSUC). We explore the coastal‐scale physical manifestations of climate change in the SSUC through dynamical downscaling of projected changes from nine CMIP5 models selected for their realistic representation of present‐day thermohaline structure. We find that coastal upwelling reduction due to wind changes is projected to be aggravated by geostrophic/pressure adjustments related, in large part, to changes in upper ocean stratification. The reduction could reach 25% of present‐day upwelling rates. The intensity of the poleward boundary current offshore of the SSUC is projected to decrease. Together with upper ocean warming this opens vast possibilities of ecological evolutions with large impact on neighboring societies.

Auroral and Magnetotail Dynamics During Quiet‐Time STEVE and SAID

AbstractAlthough Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement (STEVE) and subauroral ion drifts (SAID) are often considered in the context of geomagnetically disturbed times, we found that STEVE and SAID can occur even during quiet times. Quiet‐time STEVE has the same properties as substorm‐time STEVE, including its purple/mauve color and occurrence near the equatorward boundary of the pre‐midnight auroral oval. Quiet‐time STEVE and SAID emerged during a non‐substorm auroral intensification at or near the poleward boundary of the auroral oval followed by a streamer. Quiet‐time STEVE only lasted a few minutes but can reappear multiple times, and its latitude was much higher than substorm‐time STEVE due to the contracted auroral oval. The THEMIS satellites in the plasma sheet detected dipolarization fronts and fast flows associated with the auroral intensification, indicating that the transient energy release in the magnetotail was the source of quiet‐time STEVE and SAID. Particle injection was weaker and electron temperature was lower than the events without quiet‐time STEVE. The plasmapause extended beyond the geosynchronous orbit, and the ring current and tail current were weak. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz was close to zero, while the IMF Bx was dominant. We suggest that the small energy release in the quiet magnetosphere can significantly impact the flow and field‐aligned current system.

Unveiling the Connection between the Alfvénic Oval and the Open–Closed Field Line Boundary at Ganymede

Alfvén waves generated by the interactions between the Ganymede magnetosphere and the fast-corotating Jovian plasma carry a significant amount of energy. This energy is partially transferred to precipitating particles, which correspond to a feature called the Alfvénic oval. However, the spatial distribution of the Alfvénic oval in the Ganymede system is unclear, and the physical correlation between the Alfvénic oval and the open–closed field line boundary (OCFB) has not been studied quantitatively. Using a high-resolution, three-dimensional global magnetohydrodynamics simulation of Ganymede's magnetosphere, we investigate the spatial distribution of the Alfvénic oval mapped on the ionosphere surface of Ganymede based on upstream measurements from Juno's PJ34 flyby. Our results show that (1) the simulated Alfvénic oval of Ganymede closely resembles the observed aurora oval, and although without kinetic physics, the magnitude of the simulated Afvénic Poynting flux is significantly lower than the estimation based on auroral luminosity; (2) the OCFB aligns closely with the poleward (equatorial) boundary of the enhanced Alfvénic power on the downstream (upstream) side; and (3) the magnetospheric flux tube convection pattern can guide the Alfvénic wave packet to propagate toward latitudes either equatorward or poleward of the OCFB on the downstream/upstream side. These results, presented for the first time in this study, provide testable predictions for both the ongoing Juno mission and future Jovian missions such as JUICE probing the minimagnetosphere system.

Ecological Shifts: Plant Establishment in an Animal-Based Ecosystem

Shifts from saltmarsh to mangroves are well-documented at mangrove poleward boundaries. A regime shift from intertidal oyster (Crassostrea virginica) reefs to mangrove islands has recently been documented in transitional phases in Florida, USA. To understand the local drivers of an oyster/mangrove regime shift and potential tipping points leading to a permanent mangrove state, we tracked all mangrove propagules (n = 1681) across 15 intertidal oyster reefs with or without adult mangroves for 15 months in Mosquito Lagoon, FL. While no propagule bottleneck was observed, few (3.2%) mangrove propagules/seedlings survived on reefs with no prior encroachment, compared to 11.3% and 16.1% on reefs with established older (pre-1943) or newer (1943 to present) adult mangrove stands, respectively. In total, 90.6% of the arriving propagules were from the red mangrove Rhizophora mangle; 13.2% of these were alive at the end of this study. Survival was <1% for black (Avicenna germinans) and 0% for white (Laguncularia racemosa) mangroves. Factors that promoted red mangrove success included close proximity (≤0.3 m) to adult mangroves, especially black mangroves; partial, upright burial of propagules in sediment; and arrival on reefs after annual high-water season. Additionally, once reefs had 50% mangrove cover, the density of red mangrove seedlings increased from 0.04 to 0.46 individuals m−2. Although climate change has alleviated the impact of extreme freezes on mangroves, local factors determine whether the regime shift will be complete and permanent; positive feedback loops associated with established mangroves suggest mangrove recruitment on intertidal oyster reefs will continue to increase.

Obtaining Continental‐Scale, High‐Resolution 2‐D Ionospheric Flows and Application to Meso‐Scale Flow Science

AbstractAn approach for creating continental‐scale, multi‐scale plasma convection maps in the nightside high‐latitude ionosphere using the spherical elementary current systems technique has been developed and evaluated. The capability to reconstruct meso‐scale flow channels improved dramatically, and the velocity errors were reduced by ∼30% compared to the spherical harmonic fitting method. Uncertainties of velocity vectors estimated by varying the model setup was also low. Convection maps for a substorm event revealed multiple flow channels in the polar cap, dominating the convection in the quiet time and early growth phase. The meso‐scale flows extended toward the nightside auroral oval and had continuous flow channels over >20° of latitude, and the flow channels dynamically merged and bifurcated. The substorm onset occurred along one of the flow channels, and the azimuthal extent of the enhanced flows coincided with the initial width of the auroral breakup. During the expansion phase, the meso‐scale flows repetitively crossed the oval poleward boundary, and some of them contributed to subauroral polarization streams enhancements. Increased flows extended duskward, along with the westward traveling surge. Then, flows near midnight weakened and evolved to the Harang flow shear. The meso‐scale flow channels had significant (∼10%–40% on average) contributions to the total plasma transport. The meso‐scale flows were highly variable on ∼10 min time scales and their individual maximum contributions reached upto 73%. These results demonstrate the capability of specifying realistic convection patterns, quantifying the contribution of meso‐scale transport, and evaluating the relationship between meso‐scale flows and localized auroral forms.

Microbursts of the UV atmospheric emission in the auroral zone

In this paper we present data on the UV-microburst (300–400 nm flashes with a duration less than 1 s) measurements in the auroral zone. Measurements were performed during the period 09.2021–04.2022 by the highly sensitive imaging photometer installed at the Verkhnetulomsky observatory of the Polar Geophysical Institute. It is shown that microbursts are grouped in a series with a duration from 10 s to 10 min. They were observed in relatively quiet geomagnetic conditions (KP < 3) at the southern boundary of the auroral oval in the evening magnetic local time (MLT) sector. UV-microbursts are observed in different observational conditions (clouds, transparent clouds and clear sky) and spatially represent various patterns: uniform diffuse illumination, local spots. Joint analyses of the optical measurements and satellite data on charged particle fluxes demonstrates that an auroral oval, characterized by a plasma, is placed to the north of the observatory. At the same time increased flux of electrons with energy more than 100 keV is observed at the same L-shell and MLT sector. The possible origin of the UV-microbursts is a precipitation of energetic electrons from a poleward boundary of the outer radiation belt in a form of relativistic electron microbursts is discussed.

Mesoscale Auroral Curls in Antarctica

AbstractThe morphology and motion of auroras have been widely studied due to their indications on magnetospheric processes. Here, we report a new kind of “auroral curls,” which have wavelengths in the mesoscale (∼100 km) and propagate azimuthally. Utilizing data from the Chinese Antarctic Zhongshan Station (the all‐sky imager and the high‐frequency radar), the Active Magnetosphere and Planetary Electrodynamics Response Experiment and the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program, we analyze an event occurred on 23 April 2019. We find these curls are fine structures in the poleward boundary of multiple arcs. Corresponding field‐aligned currents manifest as a series of longitudinally arranged pairs, while ionospheric flow velocities nearby oscillate with periods in the Pc 5 band. Observational evidence suggests these curls are connected with ultra‐low frequency (ULF) waves, which opens the possibility of using auroras to globally image ULF waves.

Latitudinal Profiles of Auroral Forms/Motions and Plasma Properties Based on Simultaneous Image‐Particle Measurements by Reimei in the Midnight Auroral Oval

AbstractWe present the simultaneous and conjugated auroral emission and particle data obtained by a low‐altitude polar‐orbiting micro‐satellite, Reimei, for elucidating their latitudinal distributions and variations in the nightside auroral oval. Here are reported a few notable examples of the Reimei observations with high time and spatial resolutions, namely ∼120 msec. and ∼1.2 km × 1.2 km for multispectral auroral images and 40 msec. for energy‐pitch angle distributions of electrons and ions with energies of 10 eV–12 keV, respectively. The auroral images show various fine‐scale auroral activities characterized by the following types of auroral forms and variations: faint bands, streaming multiple arcs, shearing arcs, and vortices/curls, which are typical of the latitudinal properties of auroras. The particle analyzer simultaneously observed various properties of electron energy‐pitch angle and latitudinal distributions, and their temporal variations, each of which corresponds to a type of the auroral activities. Their features are summarized below. Reimei repetitively observed inverted‐V signatures of low‐energy (&lt;1 keV) field‐aligned electrons in addition to the higher‐energy (several keV) diffuse electrons in low‐latitude auroral oval. In more active regions at higher latitudes, the dominant energy flux responsible for the multiple‐arc emissions was carried by the well‐known inverted‐V electron precipitation. The rapidly rotating vortices or so‐called curls of fine‐scale discrete auroras near the poleward boundary of the auroral oval were closely associated with the significant energy fluxes of spiky field‐aligned electron bursts with energy‐time dispersions produced by dispersive Alfvén waves.

Robust Estimates of Spatiotemporal Variations in the Auroral Boundaries Derived From Global UV Imaging

AbstractThe aurora often appears as an approximately oval shape surrounding the magnetic poles, and is a visible manifestation of the intricate coupling between the Earth's upper atmosphere and the near‐Earth space environment. While the average size of the auroral oval increases with geomagnetic activity, the instantaneous shape and size of the aurora is highly dynamic. The identification of auroral boundaries holds significant value in space physics, as it serves to define and differentiate regions within the magnetosphere connected to the aurora by magnetic field lines. In this work, we demonstrate a new method to estimate the spatiotemporal variations of the poleward and equatorward boundaries in global UV images. We apply our method, which is robust against outliers and occasional bad data, to 2.5 years of UV imagery from the Imager for Magnetopause‐to‐Aurora Global Exploration satellite. The resulting data set is compared to recently published boundaries based on the same images (Chisham et al., 2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JA030622), and shown to give consistent results on average. Our data set reveals a root mean square boundary normal velocity of 149 m/s for the poleward boundary and 96 m/s for the equatorward boundary and the velocities are shown to be stronger on the nightside than on the dayside. Interestingly, our findings demonstrate an absence of correlation between the amount of open magnetic flux and the amount of flux enclosed within the auroral oval.

Evolution of a long-duration transpolar arc during very quiet period

In this study, we explore the evolution of long-duration transpolar arcs observed during an exceptionally quiet period by the Fengyun-3D and Defense Meteorological Satellite Program satellites on 17 January 2019. Leveraging the extensive field of view of WAI, we captured the complete structure and evolution of the TPA over a very quiet period exceeding 7 h, with AE&amp;lt;30 nT. The TPA initially manifested at the poleward boundary of the auroral oval in the dawn sector, gradually migrating towards the dusk as the y-component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF BY) transitioned from negative to positive. Throughout this phase, the TPA underwent a distortion, transforming from a straight line to an “l-shape”. Following a reversal in interplanetary magnetic field BY to negative, the TPA retraced its path towards dawn and ultimately dissipated when the IMF turned southward. Of particular interest is the observation that when the TPA approached the noon-midnight line, small-scale spiral structures became apparent within the TPA. This suggests the presence of intricate small-scale magnetic field topologies or plasma instabilities/shears in the source region. These observations highlight the likelihood of complex field and particle dynamics in the high-latitude reconnection region and the twisted tail plasma sheet.

Auroral Characteristics Related to AU&amp;AL Indices

AbstractAuroral images of the N2 Lyman‐Birge‐Hopfield emissions from Polar Ultraviolet Imager (UVI) for 1.5 years are used to investigate the auroral characteristics related to the AU and AL indices that represent the directly driven and unloading processes in the solar wind‐magnetosphere‐ionosphere coupling, respectively. Findings include: (a) Growing AL mainly relates to the nightside aurora and tends to keep the general auroral morphology. (b) As AU increases, the aurora brightens and expands more globally, especially in the midnight to postmidnight sector. (c) The regional auroral power (AP), equatorward boundary, poleward boundary, and peak intensity change quasi‐linearly with intensifying AU and AL. (d) The rates of change depend on the MLT and AU/AL levels. The same dataset has been used to construct the empirical Feature Tracking of Auroral Precipitation (FTA) model which specifies the global energy flux and mean energy determined by the AE index (FTA‐AE). As an extension of FTA‐AE, the relationships of the auroral emission with the AU&amp;AL indices were derived to construct the FTA‐AU&amp;AL model which specifies a more consistent aurora during different magnetospheric driving modes compared to FTA‐AE. Comparisons of AP from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program Special Sensor Ultraviolet Spectrographic Imagers (SSUSI) measurements and empirical auroral models show that the FTA‐AE and ‐AU&amp;AL models predicted larger AP than the Fuller‐Rowell and Evans (1987) model and the OVATION‐prime model did. As the activity level increased, all four models tended to underestimate the AP but the FTA APs increased relatively faster and were therefore more consistent with the data.

Roles of Thermal Forced and Eddy‐Driven Effects in the Northward Shifting of the Subtropical Westerly Jet Under Recent Climate Change

AbstractThe zonal‐mean subtropical westerly jet (SWJ) in boreal winter shows a significant northward shift trend under recent climate change. Previous studies proposed thermal forcing—represented by the thermal wind associated with the temperature gradient—and the driving effect of the eddy momentum flux (EMF) convergence that leads to the eddy‐driven jet as explanations for this process; however, their relative importance in influencing the SWJ shift requires further investigation. In this study, we examined the roles of thermal forced and eddy‐driven jet components in the zonal‐mean northward SWJ shift. We also investigated the role of Hadley circulation because its poleward boundary is related to the zonal‐mean SWJ. Results suggest that thermal forced component plays a major role, while EMF‐driven component plays a secondary role. Specifically, the subtropical warming, which is primarily influenced by enhanced adiabatic downward motion of the Hadley circulation, increases the meridional temperature gradient and the associated thermal wind poleward of the SWJ. It also reduces atmospheric static stability aloft and converges the EMF on the poleward side of the climatological SWJ. Enhanced meridional temperature gradient and EMF convergence on the poleward side push the SWJ northward. Results from further mathematical analysis indicate that thermal forced and eddy‐driven zonal wind components account for 72% and 28% of the shift distance, respectively. In addition to elucidating the relative importance of thermal and EMF forcings, this study emphasizes the critical role of the subtropical warming driven by the intensified local descending branch of the Hadley circulation in shifting the zonal‐mean SWJ.

Localized Plasma Density Peak at Middle Latitudes During the April 2023 Geomagnetic Storm

AbstractThis paper conducts a multi‐instrument analysis of a latitudinal plasma density peak at the middle latitudes during the early recovery phase of the April 2023 geomagnetic storm. The total electron content (TEC), peak density of the F layer, and the in situ plasma density from Swarm and Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites all capture this peak feature. This narrow latitudinal peak structure appeared around 50°N and extended from 40°E to 150°E in longitude with a prolonged duration of about 8 hr from sunset to midnight. This mid‐latitude peak reveals a noticeable equatorward motion and a slight westward shift. According to the plasma composition observations from DMSP satellites, this peak structure shows an O+ ions dominance, which means that this peak is more likely to be formed by an internal rather than an external source from the plasmasphere. Meanwhile, the middle latitude Fabry–Perot interferometer (FPI) observed strong equatorward thermospheric winds, and the peak height of the F layer presented a visible elevation, which suggests that the equatorward wind lifting caused the plasma density enhancement. Besides, the O/N2 ratio significantly decreased at lower and middle latitudes, and ion drift observations showed a distinct subauroral westward channel. Based on these simultaneous measurements, this structure's sharp equatorward and poleward boundaries might be related to the O/N2 ratio change and the subauroral polarization stream (SAPS) flow separately.

Space weather with an arc’s ∼2 h trip across the nightside polar cap

Flow channels can extend across the polar cap from the dayside to the nightside auroral oval, where they lead to localized reconnection and auroral oval disturbances. Such flow channels can persist within the polar cap &amp;gt;1½ hours, can move azimuthally with direction controlled by IMF By, and may affect time and location of auroral oval disturbances. We have followed a polar cap arc as it moved duskward from Canada to Alaska for ∼2 h while connected to the oval. Two-dimensional ionospheric flows show an adjacent flow channel that moved westward with the arc and was a distinct feature of polar cap convection that locally impinged upon the outer boundary of the auroral oval. The flow channel’s interaction with the oval appears to have triggered two separate substorms during its trip across western Canada and Alaska, controlling the onset location and contributing to subsequent development of substorm activity within the oval. The first substorm (over Canada) occurred during approximately equatorward polar cap flow, whereas the second substorm (over Alaska) occurred as the polar cap arc and flow channel bent strongly azimuthally and appeared to “lay down” along the poleward boundary. The oval became unusually thin, leading to near contact between the polar cap arc and the brightening onset auroral arc within the oval. These observations illustrate the crucial role of polar cap flow channels in the time, location, and duration of space weather activity, and the importance of the duration and azimuthal motion of flow channels within the nightside polar cap.

Intermittent Lobe Reconnection Under Prolonged Northward Interplanetary Magnetic Field Condition: Insights From Cusp Spot Event Observations

AbstractPrevious studies have suggested that lobe reconnection under stable northward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) conditions should be continuous. However, to what extent it can be considered as continuous is unknown. Auroral cusp spots have been considered a signature of lobe reconnection. Here, we show that during a cusp spot event continuously observed by the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program for approximately 4 hr under stable IMF conditions, the ground radars recorded multiple intermittent equatorward‐moving radar forms (EMRFs) near local noon and multiple intermittent poleward‐moving radar forms (PMRFs) at post‐noon, each lasting ∼20–30 min. These intermittent EMRFs and PMRFs are suggested to correspond to intermittent lobe reconnections occurring at the cusp's poleward boundary near local noon and the duskside boundary at post‐noon, respectively. These findings challenge the previously held notion of continuous lobe reconnection under stable IMF conditions.

Magnetosphere–Ionosphere Drivers of Transient‐Large‐Amplitude Geomagnetic Disturbances: Statistical Analysis and Event Study

AbstractWe present a comprehensive statistical analysis of high‐frequency transient‐large‐amplitude (TLA) magnetic perturbation events that occurred at 12 high‐latitude ground magnetometer stations throughout Solar Cycle 24 from 2009 to 2019. TLA signatures are defined as one or more second‐timescale dB/dt interval with magnitude ≥6 nT/s within an hour event window. This study characterizes high‐frequency TLA events based on their spatial and temporal behavior, relation to ring current activity, auroral substorms, and nighttime geomagnetic disturbance (GMD) events. We show that TLA events occur primarily at night, solely in the high‐latitude region above 60° geomagnetic latitude, and commonly within 30 min of substorm onsets. The largest TLA events occurred more often in the declining phase of the solar cycle when ring current activity was lower and solar wind velocity was higher, suggesting association to high‐speed streams caused by coronal holes and subsequent corotating interaction regions reaching Earth. TLA perturbations often occurred preceding or within the most extreme nighttime GMD events that have 5–10 min timescales, but the TLA intervals were often even more localized than the ∼300 km effective scale size of GMDs. We provide evidence that shows TLA‐related GMD events are associated with dipolarization fronts in the magnetotail and fast flows toward Earth and are closely temporally associated with poleward boundary intensifications (PBIs) and auroral streamers. The highly localized behavior and connection to the most extreme GMD events suggests that TLA intervals are a ground manifestation of features within rapid and complex ionospheric structures that can drive geomagnetically induced currents.

Nightside High‐Latitude Phase and Amplitude Scintillation During a Substorm Using 1‐Second Scintillation Indices

AbstractWe examined evolution of Global Positioning System (GPS) scintillation during a substorm in the nightside high latitude ionosphere, using 1‐s phase and amplitude scintillation indices from the Canadian High Arctic Ionospheric Network (CHAIN) network. The traditional 1‐min scintillation indices showed that the phase scintillation was dominant, while the amplitude scintillation was weak. However, the 1‐s amplitude scintillation occurred more often in association with major auroral structures (polar cap arc, growth phase arc, onset arc, poleward expanding arc, poleward boundary intensification, and diffuse aurora) that were detected by the THEMIS all‐sky imagers (ASIs). The 1‐min index missed much of the amplitude fluctuations because they only lasted ∼10 s near a local peak or at the gradients of the auroral structures. The 1‐s phase scintillation was concurrent with the amplitude scintillation but was much weaker than the 1‐min phase scintillation. The frequency spectral analysis showed that the spectral power above ∼1 Hz was diffractive and below ∼1 Hz was refractive. We suggest that the amplitude scintillation in the high‐latitude ionosphere is much more common than previously considered, and that a short time window of the order of 1 s should be used to detect the scintillation. The 1‐min phase scintillation index is largely influenced by refractive effects due to total electron content (TEC) variations, and the spectral power below ∼1 Hz should be removed to identify diffractive scintillation.

Multiscale Nature of Atmospheric Rivers

AbstractThis study provides evidence for the multiscale nature of atmospheric rivers (ARs) by differentiating them based on high‐ (HF) and low‐frequency (LF) moisture transports. The HF‐dominant ARs exhibit migratory behavior as they are typically accompanied by extratropical cyclones. Their spatial distribution is seasonally synchronized with midlatitude storm activity. On the other hand, the LF‐dominant ARs stay in place as they are associated with quasi‐stationary circulation. They prevail in the subtropical monsoon regions in the summer hemisphere. The ARs are often jointly affected by HF and LF processes. Such intermediate ARs are frequently observed along the poleward boundary of subtropical highs. The latter two AR types are locally more persistent than the HF‐dominant ARs, implying the importance of LF dynamics in long‐lasting AR impacts. We suggest that multiscale analysis of ARs will offer valuable insights into their diversity and hydrological impacts.

Tracing equatorward and poleward boundaries of the cusp from the simulated X-ray image

Tracing equatorward and poleward boundaries of the cusp from the simulated X-ray image

A ConvLSTM‐Based Prediction Model of Aurora Evolution During the Substorm Expansion Phase

AbstractAurora is an important manifestation of solar‐terrestrial physical processes. The aurora activities have rapid changes in spatial and intensity distribution during a substorm, especially the expansion phase. In this paper, a newly developed aurora evolution model is built based on the Convolutional Long Short‐Term Memory network, using the aurora images captured by the ultraviolet imager on the Polar satellite during the substorm expansion phases. Given the images after the onset, the model can predict the evolution of aurora with reasonable accuracy. The structure similarity, Peak Signal‐to‐Noise Ratio (Peak Signal to Noise Ratio), and Root Mean Square Error are used to evaluate the similarity between the predicted and observed images. The results demonstrate that the model performs well at different scales of evolution. Additionally, the model can estimate the evolution of both the aurora intensities and the movement of the poleward boundary. Furthermore, three cases are displayed to illustrate the behavior of the model and its limitation.