Poisson Analysis Research Articles

Quantifying the magnitude of the general contextual effect in a multilevel study of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Ontario, Canada: application of the median rate ratio in population health research

BackgroundRegional variations in SARS-CoV-2 infection were observed in Canada and other countries. Studies have used multilevel analyses to examine how a context, such as a neighbourhood, can affect the SARS-CoV-2 infection rates of the people within it. However, few multilevel studies have quantified the magnitude of the general contextual effect (GCE) in SARS-CoV-2 infection rates and assessed how it may be associated with individual- and area-level characteristics. To address this gap, we will illustrate the application of the median rate ratio (MRR) in a multilevel Poisson analysis for quantifying the GCE in SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in Ontario, Canada.MethodsWe conducted a population-based, two-level multilevel observational study where individuals were nested into regions (i.e., forward sortation areas [FSAs]). The study population included community-dwelling adults in Ontario, Canada, between March 1, 2020, and May 1, 2021. The model included seven individual-level variables (age, sex, asthma, diabetes, hypertension, congestive heart failure, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) and four FSA census-based variables (household size, household income, employment, and driving to work). The MRR is a median value of the rate ratios comparing two patients with identical characteristics randomly selected from two different regions ordered by rate. We examined the attenuation of the MRR after including individual-level and FSA census-based variables to assess their role in explaining the variation in rates between regions.ResultsOf the 11 789 128 Ontario adult community-dwelling residents, 343 787 had at least one SARS-CoV-2 infection during the study period. After adjusting for individual-level and FSA census-based variables, the MRR was attenuated to 1.67 (39% reduction from unadjusted MRR). The strongest FSA census-based associations were household size (RR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.71–1.97) and driving to work (RR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.65–0.71).ConclusionsThe individual- and area-level characteristics in our study accounted for approximately 40% of the between-region variation in SARS-CoV-2 infection rates measured by MRR in Ontario, Canada. These findings suggest that population-based policies to address social determinants of health that attenuate the MRR may reduce the observed between-region heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 infection rates.

Novel use of clinical pathways to improve clinical trial accrual.

414 Background: Fewer than 10% of adult cancer patients participate in clinical trials. Clinical pathways platforms have traditionally sought to improve trial accrual by displaying available trials for eligible patients. Our team explored how Pathways navigation data can also be used to identify eligible patients of poorly accruing trials and provide study investigators with a near real-time data feed of those patients. Methods: Providers at Dana-Farber Cancer Institute are asked to navigate the pathways decision-support platform and order systemic cancer therapies 7 days in advance of administration to assist with authorization. We invited Principal Investigators (PIs) of poorly accruing trials to collaborate with our Pathways data team through our Pathways to Accrual to Clinical Trials (PACT) service. Through PACT, PIs are informed of patients who were navigated to nodes involving the trial in question but received standard therapy instead. PIs are given access to a Tableau Dashboard that is updated with new data daily and receive weekly reminders about the dashboard. The current analysis includes two trials that have been using PACT for at least one year. We reviewed monthly trial accrual rates from the time of the trials opening until March 2024. The dataset did not meet criteria for Poisson analysis, so Fischer’s exact test was used to compare accrual rates. We ensured the denominator of potentially eligible patients was relatively consistent. Results: DF-21-519 accrued 16 patients over 14 months prior to PACT and 33 patients over 12 months using PACT. DF-22-028 accrued 0 patients over 6 months prior to PACT and 12 patients over 14 months using PACT. Collectively, use of PACT more than doubled accrual rates for the involved trials (one-tailed p = 0.048). Conclusions: A real-time Pathways data feed can be used to identify patients for appropriate clinical resources. Here, we show how our PACT program helped to more than double clinical trial accrual for the involved studies. Scaling this technology across a broader swath of clinical trials could be an important advance for trial participation for users of this pathways platform. Trial Accruals, Pre PACT Accrual Rate, Pre PACT (Accruals/month) Accruals, Post PACT Accrual Rate, Post PACT (Accruals/month) DF-21-519 16 accruals in 14 mo 1.14 33 accruals in 12 mo 2.75 DF-22-028 0 accruals in 6 mo 0 12 accruals in 14 mo 0.86 Total 16 accruals in 20 mo 0.8 45 accruals in 26 mo 1.73 one-tailed p is 0.048

Factors related to blood pressure assessment during pregnancy in Ethiopia: Multilevel analysis using the 2019 mini demographic and health survey data.

Blood pressure assessment is an essential strategy for early detection and treatment of hypertension and hypotension. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are major public health problems resulting in a significant burden of perinatal and maternal morbidity and mortality. In Ethiopia, among pregnancies complicated by HDP, 25% end up with perinatal death. Perinatal and maternal mortality related to HDP were found to be higher in Ethiopia compared to high-income and most of the low- and middle-income countries. Despite its importance, there is limited evidence on blood pressure assessment during pregnancy. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the prevalence of blood pressure assessment during pregnancy and its associated factors in Ethiopia. This study was based on the 2019 Mini Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data. A total weighted sample of 2923 women who had a live birth five years before the survey were included and Stata version 16 software was used for statistical analysis. To identify associated factors, a multilevel robust Poisson regression model was fitted since the prevalence of blood pressure assessment was higher than 10%. Variables with p-value < 0.2 in the bi-variable analysis were exported to the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable analysis, the adjusted prevalence ratio with its 95% confidence interval was used to declare a statistically significant association. In Ethiopia, the prevalence of blood pressure assessment during pregnancy was 88.1% (95% CI: 86.9%, 89.2%). In the multivariable multilevel robust Poisson analysis, primary education and secondary education, grand-multiparity, initiation of antenatal care before three months and 3-6 months, four and above antenatal care visits, being counselled by a health professional, being from richer and richest households, residing in Afar and Amhara regions were significantly associated with BP assessment during pregnancy in Ethiopia. To reduce the high burden of mortality related to hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in the country, blood pressure assessment should be improved. Therefore, policymakers should design interventions that empower women in terms of education and economy, promoting early initiation of antenatal care visits and prenatal counselling could improve blood pressure assessment.

To appreciate the influence of contributed determinants on dental care utilization in the context of socio-economic inequalities

BackgroundTo appreciate dental care utilization in ‌the context of socio-economic inequalities, it is imperative to identify sources of inequalities and evaluate the extent to which dental care utilization is still related to socio-economic status. This study aimed to quantify the influence of contributed determinants on dental care utilization in the context of socio-economic inequalities amongst adults residing in Tehran metropolis.MethodsIn this cross-sectional community-based study, a stratified random sample of 1,510 subjects aged over 18 years was investigated by the zero-inflated Poisson analysis to measure the effect of determinants on utilization of dental care, and concentration index as well as the decomposition approach to identify the contributions of deterministic variables to the socio-economic inequality. Data was obtained by employing a phone interview survey. Individuals who were not willing or able to answer the questions in the telephone interview due to hearing or neurological problems did not participate in the interview. Dental care utilization was measured using the number of dental appointments.ResultsGender (male), oral health-related behaviors (such as brushing and dental flossing), experience of toothache, and concern about dental appearance were associated with an increased likelihood of utilizing dental care. Individuals who belonged to advanced age groups and lived alone significantly underutilized dental care. The concentration index equaling 0.05 (SE = 0.05) corroborates a pro-rich inequality. Decomposition analysis demonstrated the impact of oral health-related behaviors (i.e. dental brushing and use of dental flossing), concern about dental appearance, toothache, gender (male), insurance coverage of dental care, and smoking habit on the poor-rich gap in the dental care utilization.ConclusionsThe influence of socio-economic inequalities on dental care utilization is discernable along the entire spectrum of socio-economic status. Individuals with lower socio-economic status experience more underutilization of dental care. Community subgroups, particularly the more deprived bracket, require consideration from key stakeholders, including policymakers and health professionals for the enhancement of dental care utilization as revealed by underlying determinants.

Using technology broadcasting to explore market applications: The moderating role of a firm's domain‐specific and general knowledge

AbstractInnovative firms, like startups, are increasingly making use of technology broadcasting to explore market applications for their technology. While findings from previous studies suggest that these firms can get access to a large pool of suggestions for market applications through technology broadcasting, we lack empirical evidence on whether firms that use technology broadcasting will actually be able to process and explore these suggestions. The current study points to the distinct role of firms' domain‐specific and general knowledge base in this respect. It proposes that technology broadcasting is positively related to the number of market applications a firm explores. Moreover, it hypothesizes that this relationship is weakened by the firm's domain‐specific knowledge and strengthened by its general knowledge base. We use Poisson analyses on hand‐collected survey and secondary data on a sample of 205 Flemish startups. We find that technology broadcasting is positively associated with the number of market applications a firm explores. Furthermore, this positive relationship is stronger with increasing general knowledge, but weaker with increasing domain‐specific knowledge. These findings advance our understanding of the boundary conditions of technology broadcasting. Additionally, our study contributes to the open innovation literature which has called for more attention to the challenges an organization faces in managing its external knowledge search. Finally, our study provides important practical insights for innovative firms that are trying to find market applications for their technology.

Geographically weighted regression analysis to assess hotspots of early sexual initiation and associated factors in Ethiopia

BackgroundEarly sexual initiation (ESI) causes unintended pregnancy, sexually transmitted infections (STI), high risk of depression and anxiety, developmental delays, lack of emotional maturity, and difficulty in pursuing education. This study aims to analyze the geographically weighted regression and associated factors of ESI of women in Ethiopia. MethodsThe study utilized data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey, 2016. It included a weighted sample of 11,775 women. Spatial regression was carried out to determine which factors are related to hotspots of ESI of women. To identify the factors associated with ESI, a multilevel Poisson regression model with robust variance was conducted. An adjusted prevalence ratio (APR) with its 95 % confidence interval was presented. ResultsThe prevalence of ESI was 75.3 % (95%CI: 74.6 %, 76.1 %), showing notable spatial variation across different regions of Ethiopia. Areas of significant hotspots of ESI were identified in Western and Southern Tigray, most parts of Amhara, Southern, Central and Western Afar, Eastern Gambella, and North Western SNNPR. The significant variables for the spatial variation of ESI were; being single, rural residence, and having no formal education of the women. Factors including; wealth index, marital status, khat chewing, education level, residence, and region were associated significantly with ESI in the multilevel robust Poisson analysis. ConclusionA higher proportion of ESI in women was found. Public health interventions must be made by targeting hotspot areas of ESI through increasing health care access and education (specifically among rural residents), developing a comprehensive sexual education, implementing policies and laws that outlaw early marriage, and mass community-based programs to increase awareness about the importance of delaying sexual activity.

Risk of heavy metal(loid) compositions in fine particulate matter on acute cardiovascular mortality: a poisson analysis in Anyang, China.

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a risk factor of cardiovascular disease. Associations between PM2.5 compositions and cardiovascular disease are a point of special interest but inconsistent. This study aimed to explore the cardiovascular effects of heavy metal(loid) compositions in PM2.5. Data for mortality, air pollutants and meteorological factors in Anyang, China from 2017 to 2021 were collected. Heavy metal(loid) in PM2.5 were monitored and examined monthly. A Case-crossover design was applied to the estimated data set. The interquartile range increase in cadmium (Cd), antimony (Sb) and arsenic (As) at lag 1 was associated with increment of 8.1% (95% CI: 3.3, 13.2), 4.8% (95% CI: 0.2, 9.5) and 3.5% (95% CI: 1.1, 6.0) cardiovascular mortality. Selenium in lag 2 was inversely associated with cerebrovascular mortality (RR = 0.920 95% CI: 0.862, 0.983). Current-day exposure of aluminum was positively associated with mortality from ischemic heart disease (RR = 1.083 95% CI: 1.001, 1.172). Stratified analysis indicated sex, age and season modified the cardiovascular effects of As (P < 0.05). Our study reveals that heavy metal(loid) play key roles in adverse effects of PM2.5. Cd, Sb and As were significant risk factors of cardiovascular mortality. These findings have potential implications for accurate air pollutants control and management to improve public health benefits.

Association between willingness to use an overdose prevention center and probation or parole status among people who use drugs in Rhode Island

BackgroundOverdose prevention centers (OPCs) are being implemented in the United States as a strategy to reduce drug-related mortality and morbidity. Previous studies have suggested that people who use drugs (PWUD) with a history of criminal legal system (CLS) involvement (e.g. current probation/parole) are at greater risk of overdose but may also encounter significant barriers to OPC use. The objective of this study was to explore the association between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status in a sample of PWUD in Rhode Island.MethodsThis study utilized data from the Rhode Island Prescription and Illicit Drug Study, which enrolled adult PWUD from August 2020 to February 2023. We used Pearson’s chi-square and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests to assess bivariate associations between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status (current/previous/never), as well as other sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics. In multivariable Poisson analyses, we examined the association between willingness to use an OPC and probation/parole status, adjusting for key sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics.ResultsAmong 482 study participants, 67% were male, 56% identified as white, 20% identified as Hispanic/Latine, and the median age was 43 (IQR 35–53). Nearly a quarter (24%) had never been on probation/parole, 44% were not currently on probation/parole but had a lifetime history of probation and parole, and 32% were currently on probation/parole. Most participants (71%) reported willingness to use an OPC, and in both bivariate and multivariable analyses, willingness to use an OPC did not vary by probation/parole status. Crack cocaine use and lifetime non-fatal overdose were associated with greater willingness to use an OPC (all p < 0.05).ConclusionsThese data demonstrate high willingness to use OPC among PWUD in Rhode Island regardless of CLS-involvement. As OPCs begin to be implemented in Rhode Island, it will be imperative to engage people with CLS-involvement and to ensure access to the OPC and protection against re-incarceration due to potential barriers, such as police surveillance of OPCs.

Impact of Rapid Response Teams on Pediatric Care: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Unplanned PICU Admissions and Cardiac Arrests.

Pediatric rapid response teams (RRTs) are expected to significantly lower pediatric mortality in healthcare settings. This study evaluates RRTs' effectiveness in decreasing cardiac arrests and unexpected Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) admissions. A quasi-experimental study (2014-2017) at King Abdulaziz University Hospital, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, involved 3261 pediatric inpatients, split into pre-intervention (1604) and post-intervention (1657) groups. Baseline pediatric warning scores and monthly data on admissions, transfers, arrests, and mortality were analyzed pre- and post-intervention. Statistical methods including bootstrapping, segmented regression, and a Zero-Inflation Poisson model were employed to ensure a comprehensive evaluation of the intervention's impact. RRT was activated 471 times, primarily for respiratory distress (29.30%), sepsis (22.30%), clinical anxiety (13.80%), and hematological abnormalities (6.7%). Family concerns triggered 0.1% of activations. Post-RRT implementation, unplanned PICU admissions significantly reduced (RR = 0.552, 95% CI 0.485-0.628, p < 0.0001), and non-ICU cardiac arrests were eliminated (RR = 0). Patient care improvement was notable, with a -9.61 coefficient for PICU admissions (95% CI: -12.65 to -6.57, p < 0.001) and a -1.641 coefficient for non-ICU cardiac arrests (95% CI: -2.22 to -1.06, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis showed mixed results for PICU admissions, while zero-inflation Poisson analysis confirmed a reduction in non-ICU arrests. The deployment of pediatric RRTs is associated with fewer unexpected PICU admissions and non-ICU cardiopulmonary arrests, indicating improved PICU management. Further research using robust scientific methods is necessary to conclusively determine RRTs' clinical benefits.

Projections of discovery potentials from expected background

Background channels with their expected strength and uncertainty levels are usually known in the searches of novel phenomena prior to the experiments are conducted at their design stage. We quantitatively study the projected sensitivities in terms of discovery potentials. These are essential for the optimizations of the experimental specifications as well as of the cost effectiveness in various investments. Sensitivities in counting analysis are derived with complete Poisson statistics and its continuous approximation, and are compared with those using maximum likelihood analysis in which additional measurables are included as signatures. The roles and effects due to uncertainties in the background estimates are studied. Two expected features to establish positive effects are verified and quantified: (i) In counting-only experiments, the required signal strength can be derived with complete Poisson analysis, and the continuous approximation would underestimate the results. (ii) Incorporating continuous variables as additional constraints would reduce the required signal strength relative to that of counting-only analysis. The formulations are applied to the case on the experimental searches of neutrinoless double beta decay in which both ambient and two-neutrino backgrounds are considered. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Effect of Individual Patient Characteristics and Treatment Choices on Reliever Medication Use in Moderate-Severe Asthma: A Poisson Analysis of Randomised Clinical Trials.

Even though increased use of reliever medication, including short-acting beta agonists (SABA), provides an indirect measure of symptom worsening, there have been limited efforts to assess how different patterns of reliever use correlate with symptom control and future risk of exacerbations. Here, we evaluate the effect of individual baseline characteristics on reliever use in patients with moderate-severe asthma on regular maintenance therapy with fluticasone propionate (FP) or combination therapy with fluticasone propionate/salmeterol (FP/SAL) or budesonide/formoterol (BUD/FOR). A drug-disease model describing the number of 24-h puffs and overnight occasions was developed with data from five clinical studies (N = 6212). The model was implemented using a nonlinear mixed effects approach and a Poisson function, considering clinical and demographic baseline characteristics. Goodness of fit and model predictive performance were assessed. Heatmaps were created to summarise the effect of concurrent baseline factors on reliever utilisation. The final model accurately described individual patterns of reliever use, which is significantly increased with time since diagnosis, smoking, higher Asthma Control Questionnaire (ACQ-5) score and higher body mass index (BMI) at baseline. Whilst the number of puffs decreases slowly after an initial drop relative to the start of treatment, exacerbating patients utilise significantly more reliever than those who do not exacerbate. The mean effect of FP/SAL (median dose: 250/50μg BID) on reliever use was slightly higher than that of BUD/FOR (median dose: 160/4.5μg BID), i.e. a 75.3% vs 69.3% reduction in reliever use, respectively. The availability of individual-level patient data in conjunction with a parametric approach enabled the characterisation of interindividual differences in the patterns of reliever use in patients with moderate-severe asthma. Taken together, individual demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as exacerbation history, can be considered an indicator of the degree of asthma control. High SABA reliever use suggests suboptimal clinical management of patients on maintenance therapy.

The Population-Attributable Fractions of Small-for-Gestational-Age Births: Results from the Japan Birth Cohort Consortium.

A fetal growth restriction is related to adverse child outcomes. We investigated risk ratios and population-attributable fractions (PAF) of small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants in the Japanese population. Among 28,838 infants from five ongoing prospective birth cohort studies under the Japan Birth Cohort Consortium, two-stage individual-participant data meta-analyses were conducted to calculate risk ratios and PAFs for SGA in advanced maternal age, pre-pregnancy underweight, and smoking and alcohol consumption during pregnancy. Risk ratio was calculated using modified Poisson analyses with robust variance and PAF was calculated in each cohort, following common analyses protocols. Then, results from each cohort study were combined by meta-analyses using random-effects models to obtain the overall estimate for the Japanese population. In this meta-analysis, an increased risk (risk ratio, [95% confidence interval of SGA]) was significantly associated with pre-pregnancy underweight (1.72 [1.42-2.09]), gestational weight gain (1.95 [1.61-2.38]), and continued smoking during pregnancy (1.59 [1.01-2.50]). PAF of underweight, inadequate gestational weight gain, and continued smoking during pregnancy was 10.0% [4.6-15.1%], 31.4% [22.1-39.6%], and 3.2% [-4.8-10.5%], respectively. In conclusion, maternal weight status was a major contributor to SGA births in Japan. Improving maternal weight status should be prioritized to prevent fetal growth restriction.

Telepsiquiatria no Brasil: construção, validação e aplicação de questionário de Conhecimento, Atitude e Prática

ABSTRACT Introduction: Telepsychiatry, defined as the use of electronic communication to provide or support remote psychiatric care, has gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic and the emergence of telemedicine regulations in Brazil. This study aims to assess the adoption of telepsychiatry among Brazilian psychiatrists, employing KAP (Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice) questionnaires to understand their knowledge, attitudes, and practices related to this field. Objective: Constructing, validating, and applying a questionnaire to determine the level of knowledge, attitude, and practice of Brazilian psychiatrists regarding telepsychiatry in the past year and identifying factors associated with adequate knowledge, attitude, and practice. Method: A methodological study was conducted to construct and validate the instrument, followed by a cross-sectional study with an analytical KAP questionnaire. After the questionnaire development, psychiatry experts validated the instrument using the Delphi method. Subsequently, the questionnaire was distributed to psychiatrists across Brazil through social networks and the Brazilian Psychiatric Association. Data analysis was performed using the Stata 12.1 software, employing multivariate Poisson analyses. Results: The KAP questionnaire was validated with a high degree of agreement among the experts. Among the participants, 68.3% demonstrated adequate knowledge, 80.1% had an adequate attitude, and 81.2% exhibited adequate practices concerning telepsychiatry. The multivariate analysis revealed significant associations, such as adequate attitudes being linked to not practicing in medical offices and providing care to children, while adequate practices were associated with providing care to both the elderly and adolescent patients. Conclusion: The study concludes that the KAP questionnaire is valid and can be applied in future research. It underscores the significance of telepsychiatry in the practices of Brazilian psychiatrists, with notable differences in adequate attitudes and practices based on the age groups of treated patients. These findings indicate the need to consider these variables when implementing telepsychiatry, contributing to guiding mental health policies and specific clinical practices for different age groups.

Roles of low muscle strength and sarcopenic obesity on incident symptomatic knee osteoarthritis: A longitudinal cohort study.

Sarcopenia is prevalent in middle to old age. We aimed to investigate the association between muscle strength and the incident knee osteoarthritis (OA). 12,043 participants were collected from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. The effects of sarcopenic obesity (defined by obesity in combination with possible sarcopenia) on knee OA onset were calculated using Poisson regression models. Mediation analysis was fit to estimate mediating proportion of muscle strength on the association between obesity and incident knee OA. The study all enrolled 12,043 participants with 2,008 progressed to knee OA. Poisson analyses demonstrated causal association of general obesity (RR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.39) and abdominal obesity (RR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.35) with knee OA onset. For the risk of incident knee OA, participants with the highest level of normalized grip strength had a decreased risk of incident knee OA by 0.33 (RR:0.67, 95% CI: 0.60 to 0.75) times compared to the control group, and chair-rising time was associated with increased risk of incident knee OA by 0.65 (RR:1.65, 95% CI: 1.17 to 2.33) times. Sensitivity analysis identified similar results. Participants with sarcopenic obesity were about 2 times risk of incident knee OA than reference group. Normalized grip strength and chair-rising time mediated the association between obesity and incidence of knee OA. Sarcopenic obesity is correlated with an increased risk of knee OA. Muscle strength recovery may alleviate the risk of incident knee OA in middle to old age with obesity.

Access to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in immigrants in Italy, by geographical area of origin

ObjectiveImmigrants are commonly considered disadvantaged and at high risk of not receiving appropriate care, including vaccination. This study aimed to evaluate the access to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in immigrants, by geographical area of origin, compared with Italian citizens. We also evaluated sex differences in vaccine’s coverage by geographical area of origin. MethodsWe performed a retrospective observational study in four Italian regions, including all resident subjects aged 5–69 years, and undergoing first dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in the period 28th December 2020- 3rd April 2022. We estimated cumulative coverage percentages, by age class and geographical area. To compare first-dose vaccine coverage by geographical area of origin, we estimated, through a Poisson analysis, Vaccine Coverage Ratios (VCR) with 95 % confidence intervals (95 %CI), adjusting for age and sex. ResultsWe included 16,294,785 Italian citizens and 2,534,351 immigrants aged 5–69 years and resident in the four regions considered. Regarding the geographical area of origin, 40.7 % of immigrants came from Eastern Europe, 13.5 % from North Africa and 13.1 % from Western Asia. A great variability in the first dose vaccine coverage emerged. We documented substantial heterogeneity in the first-dose vaccine coverage within immigrant’s population, expressed with Italy as a reference, ranging from 0,768 (95 %CI: 0,766–0,769) in Eastern Europe countries to 1,013 (95 %CI: 1,009 – 1,018) in Eastern Asia. The chance of being vaccinated was found higher in males compared with females for African countries (VCR 1.07, 95 %CI 1.06–1.08) and Western Asian countries (VCR 1.08, 95 %CI 1.07–1.09). ConclusionWe observed substantial heterogeneity in first-dose SARS-CoV-2 vaccination coverage in immigrants, suggesting a different propensity to vaccines according to the geographical area of origin. These data can help define appropriate and tailored strategies in order to improve vaccine coverage in some specific immigrant groups at the local health district level.

A digital platform to support communication and organization in the general practice: Evaluation of healthcare usage and costs using claims data of a health insurer

IntroductionThe pressure on general practitioners (GPs) is rising due to the increasing demand for care and a decreasing availability of GPs. eHealth is seen as one of the solutions to enhance accessibility and reduce workload. A platform supporting the organization and communication in general practice has been developed offering services, such as econsultations. This study aims to evaluate healthcare usage and costs of patients using this platform by comparing these outcomes (1) before and after implementation and (2) an intervention with a matched control group. Material and methodsThis study is a retrospective observational cohort study. To evaluate the longitudinal impact of the implementation on healthcare usage, mixed model Poisson analyses were used with time as a factor term for the within-subject analysis and exposure to the platform as a factor term and an interaction term (i.e., exposure X 6-months) in the between-subject analysis. Cost analyses were done with mixed model analyses of variance over time. ResultsThe total number of GP consultations significantly increased after compared to before implementation (i.e., Rate = 1.52; p < .001). The number of GP consultations was higher in the intervention compared to the control group (respectively, Rate = 1.23; p = .035). Healthcare costs increased for GP consultations after compared to before implementation (€13,57; p < .001). The costs for GP consults were significantly higher in the intervention compared to the control group (€7,06; p .018). ConclusionThis study showed a rise in GP consultations and costs when implementing a digital platform. This increase was presumably and partly caused by circumstances in one of the two included practices. Moreover, creating new options for contacting and communicating with the GP can enhance care accessibility and thereby driving an increase in consultations. This digital platform is a promising working method in general practice to facilitate patients and provide GPs with more flexibility.

Diacylglycerol-dependent hexamers of the SNARE-assembling chaperone Munc13-1 cooperatively bind vesicles.

Munc13-1 is essential for vesicle docking and fusion at the active zone of synapses. Here, we report that Munc13-1 self-assembles into molecular clusters within diacylglycerol-rich microdomains present in phospholipid bilayers. Although the copy number of Munc13-1 molecules in these clusters has a broad distribution, a systematic Poisson analysis shows that this is most likely the result of two molecular species: monomers and mainly hexameric oligomers. Each oligomer is able to capture one vesicle independently. Hexamers have also been observed in crystals of Munc13-1 that form between opposed phospholipid bilayers [K. Grushin, R. V. Kalyana Sundaram, C. V. Sindelar, J. E. Rothman, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 119, e2121259119 (2022)]. Mutations targeting the contacts stabilizing the crystallographic hexagons also disrupt the isolated hexamers, suggesting they are identical. Additionally, these mutations also convert vesicle binding from a cooperative to progressive mode. Our study provides an independent approach showing that Munc13-1 can form mainly hexamers on lipid bilayers each capable of vesicle capture.

Factors associated with mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children in sub-Saharan Africa: a multilevel robust Poisson regression modelling

BackgroundTimely and appropriate treatment for childhood illness saves the lives of millions of children. In low-middle-income countries such as sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), poor healthcare-seeking behavior for childhood illnesses is identified as a major contributor to the increased risk of child morbidity and mortality. However, studies are limited on Factors associated with mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children in sub-Saharan Africa.ObjectiveTo examine factors associated with a mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children in sub-Saharan Africa.MethodsA secondary data analysis was conducted based on the latest Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data of 36 sub-Saharan African countries. A total weighted sample of 16,925 mothers who had under-five children with acute respiratory infection symptoms was considered. The Intraclass Correlation Coefficient (ICC), Median Odds Ratio (MOR), and Likelihood Ratio (LR) tests were done to assess the presence of clustering. Model comparison was made based on deviance (-2LLR) value. Variables with a p-value < 0.2 in the bivariable multilevel robust Poisson analysis were considered for the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable multilevel robust Poisson regression analysis, the Adjusted Prevalence Ratio (APR) with the 95% Confidence Interval (CI) was reported to declare the statistical significance and strength of the association.ResultsThe prevalence of mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children in SSA was 64.9% (95% CI: 64.2%, 65.7%). In the multivariable analysis; mothers who attained primary education (APR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.15), secondary education (APR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09, 1.18), and higher education (APR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.27), belonged to the richest household (APR = 1.07: 95% CI: 1.02, 1.12), had media exposure (APR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.15), currently working (APR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.11), had ANC use (APR = 1.25: 95% CI: 1.17, 1.35), health facility delivery (APR = 1.10, 95% CI: 1.07, 1.14), belonged to West Africa (APR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.08) and being in the community with high media exposure (APR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02, 1,07) were significantly associated with higher prevalence of mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children. On the other hand, distance to a health facility (APR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.84, 0.91), and being in central Africa (APR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.84, 0.91) were significantly associated with a lower prevalence of mother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children.ConclusionMother's healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children. It was influenced by maternal education, maternal working status, media exposure, household wealth status, distance to the health facility, and maternal health care service use. Any interventions aiming at improving maternal education, maternal healthcare services, and media access are critical in improving mothers' healthcare-seeking behavior for symptoms of acute respiratory infection in under-five children, hence lowering the prevalence of ARI-related death and morbidity.

Euler-Maruyama Approximation of Stochastic Dependent Poisson-Jump in Black-Scholes Asset Price Model

Abstract In this study, the Gaussian white noise and the differential Poisson of the Stochastic Differential Equation(SDE) with distributed jump are examined. Using Ito integral as a tool, a one step Euler-Maruyama (E-M) method is considered for the approximation of Stochastic Dependent Poisson Analysis (SDPA) in finance. The Deterministic Quadrature Rule (DQR) was used in the establishment of the method for easy examination of the Black-Scholes asset price model for stock investors; MATLAB package was used for simulation of the method. However the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as well as Strong Order of Convergence (SOC) method was considered to ascertain its usability. The result clearly shows entry points and exit points of stock market. Consequently, the findings of this research is strongly recommended. Keywords: Euler-Maruyama method, Stochastic differential equation, Ito integral, Poisson distributed jump, Random variables, Deterministic model.

Hepatitis C antibody prevalence and active hepatitis C infection in HIV-negative gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men in Barcelona and Madrid, Spain (March 2018-March 2021)

ObjectivesHepatitis C virus (HCV) has been recognized as a sexually transmitted infection (STI) in HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM), with an increased notification in HIV-negative MSM. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of HCV antibody and active HCV infection in HIV-negative gay, bisexual, and other MSM (GBMSM), and their characteristics, in Barcelona and Madrid, from March 2018 to March 2021. MethodsCross-sectional study conducted on 3548 HIV-undiagnosed GBMSM, across four HIV/STI testing centers. Respondents submitted an online, self-administered questionnaire after consultation, which collected information on sociodemographics, sexual health history, HCV knowledge, and substance consumption. Prevalence of HCV antibodies was determined by a reactive result in a rapid anti-HCV test or enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), while active HCV infection was determined by participants who were also positive on an HCV-RNA test. Crude and adjusted Poisson analyses with robust variance are presented for both prevalence and active infection. ResultsIn total, 97.6% of participants (n = 3463) were HIV-negative. Of those, 18 were found to have HCV antibodies (0.52%), of which nine (0.26%) were also HCV-RNA positive. Those with HCV antibodies were associated to have lived with an HCV (+) person (adjusted prevalence ratio [APR]: 7.84, [95% confidence interval: 2.50-24.53]), using injectable drugs for sex (APR: 6.92, [1.20-39.79]) and testing positive for an STI in the previous year (APR: 4.06, [1.09-15.12]). Presenting an active infection was strongly associated with a previous HCV diagnosis (APR: 100.82 [22.16-458.76]), sexualized injectable drug use (APR: 17.53 [2.70-113.76]), and sharing douching material (APR: 7.45, [2.12-25.95]). ConclusionSexual practices with a higher risk of bleeding and sexualized drug use, particularly sexualized injectable drug use, were associated with higher rates of HCV diagnosis in GBMSM. Identifying these practices during consultation, contact tracing new cases and regularly testing those with a previous history of HCV, will facilitate HCV eradication.