AbstractBackgroundElevated plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) is associated with dementia, but the specific underlying mechanisms are largely unknown. We examined cross‐sectional and longitudinal relationships of plasma NfL with selected brain structural magnetic resonance imaging (sMRI) prognostic markers of dementia, namely global and cortical brain, hippocampal and white matter lesion volumes (WMLV).MethodData were extracted from three prospective visits within the Healthy Aging in Neighborhoods of Diversity Across the Life Span (HANDLS) study, selecting participants with complete v1 (2004‐2009) and v2 (2009‐2013) plasma NfL exposure and ancillary sMRI data at vscan (2011‐2015, n = 179, mean v1 to vscan time: 5.4y). Multivariable‐adjusted linear regression models were conducted, overall, by sex, and by race, correcting for multiple testing with q‐values.ResultNfL(v1) (Loge transformed) had a moderately strong association with larger WMLV at follow‐up vscan visit, after a period of 5‐6 years of follow‐up, overall (β = +2.131±0.660, b = +0.29, p = 0.001, q = 0.0029). Moreover, a 1 unit increase in NfLv2 was linked to a left hippocampal volume that was lower by 125 mm3 (p = 0.004, q = 0.015), using minimally adjusted models and mainly among males. Associations were largely unaltered by further adjustment for downstream health‐related factors.ConclusionIn summary, plasma NfL may be an independent medium‐term (within 5 years) marker for increase in WMLV, and a short term (within 1 year) marker for smaller hippocampal volumes normalized to the intracranial volume, independently of other confounding factors. Therefore, plasma NfL holds promise as a blood‐based marker to predict future subclinical brain pathologies in middle‐aged adults.