Basin Plain Research Articles

3D stochastic simulation of a deep-water turbidite system: An example from the Los Molles Formation, southern region of the Neuquén Basin, Argentina

A recurring challenge in geological modeling is bridging the gap between different scales. For example, difficulties arise when connecting outcrop data through production to exploration scale models. An object-based stochastic simulation was performed using outcrop data from the Arroyo La Jardinera area in the southern region of the Neuquén Basin, Argentina. This simulation involved four depositional sequences in a vertical succession that includes turbidites and associated deep marine facies. The aims of this study are (a) to determine the best geological model consistent with field and aerial image data; (b) to validate the application of object modeling to determine facies distribution; (c) to evaluate uncertainties from models based on scarce data. The studied interval covers a transgressive (J1) to regressive succession (J21, J22, and J23) of basin plain to slope depositional settings, featuring sandy and gravelly turbidite channels, turbidite lobes and interlobes, lobe fringes, and muddy slope and basin plain. Each depositional sequence model was constructed using specific input parameters for architectural elements, with lithological proportions based on sedimentary logs. The J1 sequence includes basin plain, lobe fringe, and minor lobe deposits; J21 features turbidite lobes, fringes, and subordinate channels; J22 accommodates turbidite channels scoured into muddy slope facies; and J23 encompasses gravelly and sandy turbidite channels carved on muddy slope facies. The geostatistical modeling of outcrop data has allowed building a quantitative sedimentological model useful for understanding subsurface facies heterogeneity in both exploration (vertical) and production (horizontal) scales.

Spatial Distribution Patterns and Influencing Factors of Dominant Species in Plain Valley Forests of the Irtysh River Basin

The Irtysh River, which stretches for 633 km, is the second longest river in Xinjiang. The valley forests within its basin are unique forest resources that exhibit crucial ecological functions and form an integral part of China’s “Three North” Shelterbelt Forest Project. However, previous studies mainly focused on individual tributaries or main streams, lacking comprehensive research on the overall river and valley forest resources and their ecological functions. To address this research gap based on comprehensive investigations, this study analyzed the dominant species composition, spatial distribution patterns, and influencing factors of valley forests across various branches of the Irtysh River basin plain. The results revealed the presence of 10 local tree species in the area, with Populus laurifolia, Populus alba, Salix alba, and Betula pendula as the dominant species. However, seedling regeneration was relatively weak. P. laurifolia, P. alba, and S. alba were widely distributed across tributaries and main streams, whereas B. pendula was primarily found in the tributaries. The four dominant species exhibited distinct clustering patterns. The concentration intensity of these dominant species in the main stream of the Irtysh River basin was significantly higher than those in other tributaries, with P. laurifolia showing a lower concentration intensity across the entire basin than the other dominant species. Negative density dependence was the primary biological factor influencing species aggregation intensity, with significant positive effects on P. alba and S. alba and significant negative effects on B. pendula. Among the abiotic factors, elevation had a significant positive effect on the aggregation intensities of P. alba, S. alba, and B. pendula, indicating that these species tend to aggregate more densely at higher elevations. Conversely, slope had a significant negative impact on the aggregation intensities of P. laurifolia, P. alba, and S. alba, suggesting that increasing slope steepness leads to a decrease in the clustering of these species. Similarly, the distance from the river channel had a significant negative effect on the aggregation intensities of S. alba and B. pendula, implying that as the distance from the river increases, the clustering patterns of these species become less pronounced. This study aimed to detail the current state of valley forest resources and their ecological functions, thereby laying a foundation for their effective protection.

Hydrological changes in a plain basin in central Argentina following expansion of rainfed agriculture and climate change

AbstractThe characterization of long‐term streamflow in regions undergoing climatic change and agricultural expansion is relevant for achieving sustainable development goals and for assessing the vulnerability of water‐dependent populations and agricultural activities. The objective of this work was to characterize the temporal patterns of water yield in the plain basin of the Carcarañá River (33,063 km2), located in central Argentina and to analyse its relationship with a fast expansion of rainfed cultivation and climate change. The streamflow data for the period 1980–2020 were analysed in conjunction with climatic data (rainfall, reference evapotranspiration), satellite data (NDVI) and cropping statistics (sown area of summer crops) data. The annual water yield averaged ~10% of the rainfall and showed a clear upward trend throughout the study period, both in absolute terms and relative to rainfall (i.e., runoff coefficient), which was not explained by rainfall or reference evapotranspiration temporal patterns. Conversely, we found that the trend in water yield was positively associated with the agricultural area (p < 0.05), which more than doubled during the study period (from 29% to 66%). Likewise, the mean NDVI of the basin, a proxy for primary productivity and vegetation transpiration, has decreased steadily over the last 20 years (p < 0.05). The separation between base flow and quick flow suggested that both flows increased during the analysed period (p < 0.05), though the latter would have been more relevant in explaining the trend observed in total flow. Taken together, our results suggest that agricultural expansion, rather than climate change, is the dominant factor explaining the hydrological changes observed in the study basin. Understanding the key role of land use in shaping the hydrology of a landscape is critical to developing policies and practices for more efficient and sustainable use of environmental resources.

Sedimentary Characteristics and Basin Evolution of a Compartmentalized Foreland Basin—Internal Ionian Zone, Western Greece

This study is based on the detailed sedimentological analysis of eleven sections and one well through the late Eocene–Oligocene flysch formation of the Internal Ionian Zone (IIZ) in Western Greece. The sections are spread from the northern parts of Epirus to the north and Aitolokarnania to the south. Sedimentological data combined with biostratigraphic analyses resulted in a five-stage evolutionary model for the basin. Unit I corresponds to the lower part of the examined sections, indicating the onset of clastic sedimentation. Regarding depositional environments, it is regarded as a basin plain where lobe distal fringe accumulations occur. Unit II consists almost exclusively of heterolithic facies, marking the advance of a lobe complex system. Massive sandstone facies dominate unit III and can be considered a more proximal submarine fan system. Unit IV reflects a calm period of the basin, where mud-dominated heterolithics and hemipelagic mudstones were deposited. Hemipelagic mudstone facies with intervals of heterolithics, conglomerates, and deformed and massive sandstone facies characterize unit V. The architecture resembles a slope system incised by canyons and channels. The sand-rich intervals in Units III and V could act as the most favorable reservoir levels. In contrast, the sand-rich intervals in Unit II are considered less promising due to their higher heterogeneity.

Seismic attributes and quantitative inverse dynamical simulations for characterization of late Cretaceous classical fluvial meander channelized stratigraphic traps system, onshore Indus, Pakistan: Implications for hydrocarbon exploration

Meandering channel systems and point bars (PBRL) of the fluvial depositional system (FDPS) globally form primary stratigraphic traps (PST). These ultra-thin-bedded and sub-seismic features are developed during rising sea-levels (transgressive) and standstill (aggradational parasequences) inside the transgressive system tract (TST). The aggradational parasequences of TST have coarse-grained sandstone-filled PSTs, which have specific thickness, density, velocity, angle of the sedimentary reserves, and depositional and erosional characteristics for the development of seismic reflection configurations. All these implications are the key controlling factors for developing the aggrading parasequence sets of TST throughout a sea-level standstill, which is not feasible to predict using the full spectrum-based time and depth mapping tools. The full spectrum-based amplitude volumes lack the tuning frequency content for achieving the above-addressed implications. They require sophisticated tuned-frequency amplitudes, which are responsible to resolve these PSTs when they are filled with porous (Ps) and gas-saturated (Sgas) sedimentary facies, and hence, they show unique seismic-based expressions (velocity and density). Therefore, all these implications are achieved in this study by operating the spectral attributes and the instantaneous spectral decomposition-based velocity and density reservoir simulations (SVDRS) on a hydrocarbons-producing arena, onshore Indus, Pakistan. The tuning thickness for this FDPS was 8.75 m. The 42-Hz spectral attribute shows ∼13 m parallel and wavy seismic reflection configurations, but failed in predicting the horizontally deposited PST, simulated density and velocity, shelf or basin plain, and lateral distribution of Sgas and Ps point bars along the subsidence zones. SVDRS have predicted the ∼86–95% Sgas; ∼31–35% Ps; 14–16 m thick (on inverted density simulation); 2453–2500 m/s velocity; inside the 2.2–2.3 g/c.c densely-fractured and inclined (<3°) aggradational parasequences with parallel reflection configurations for high sinuosity index (S.I) > 2.2 PBRLs, which implicates the presence of a meandering channelized reservoir stream. These stratigraphic configurations implicate the low-risk and highly rewarding hydrocarbon prospecting zones due to no spilling out of the hydrocarbon from the PST during the sea-level standstills. These hydrocarbon-bearing PBRLs have a lateral extent of >2 km, which is an appreciable signature of velocity and densities to develop these traps as the future stratigraphic prospect. These PBRLs with >90% Sgas and >32% Ps of PST are completely embedded within the topmost and horizontal regions with transgressive shales facies (seal) of TST and low-Ps shaly-sandstones, which implicates the landward shifting of shoreline during the sea-level rising events. The uncertainty analysis for simulated velocity and density validates a strong R2>0.85% and 0.90% along the high sinuosity index (S.I.)>2.2 implicates the presence of meandering channel streams., which have implicated the presence of non-Ps and water-statured (Sw) retrogradational parasequences. This workflow has developed this FDPS into a pure stratigraphic trap, and hence, the presented scheme of exploration may serve to explore the remaining reserves from the exploration zones for global FDPS.

A first syntaxonomic description of the vegetation of the Karstveld in Namibia

Aims: The Karstveld in Namibia has been recognized as an area of high plant diversity. However, this area is also recognised as a hotspot of various forms of degradation including bush encroachment. Minimal baseline data on the composition and diversity of vegetation in this area is available, therefore this paper is a first attempt to rectify this data deficiency. Study area: The Karstveld in Namibia is formed around the Otavi Mountain Range in northern Central Namibia, consisting of strongly karstified carbonate bedrock, rising up to 2000 m a.s.l. The Karstveld includes the Ovambo Basin plains with shallow calcrete soils north of the range, up to the Omuramba Ovambo. Because of orographic effects, the area receives some of the highest rainfall in Namibia, with up to 600 mm per year. Methods: A set of 889 relevés with 868 species was selected from the GVID ID AF-NA-001 database. A partial data set, using trees, shrubs, dwarf shrubs and grasses only, was used for the classification with modified TWINSPAN. The initial result yielded four main groups, according to which the data was split and further classified. Several vegetation types observed during field surveys were not reflected in the classification results; these were refined using Cocktail with known characteristic species. Results: The four main units represented wetlands and grasslands with six associations, a Thornbush savanna – Karstveld transition zone with four associations, Kalahari vegetation with four associations and the Karstveld proper with eight associations. The latter are grouped together as the Terminalietea prunioides, with two orders and three alliances recognised under them. We describe 16 associations according to the ICPN. Conclusions: Although the associations presented in this paper are clearly defined, there exists a high degree of diversity within these. The Karstveld is also extraordinary species rich within the context of the arid to semi-arid Namibian environment. Taxonomic reference: Klaassen and Kwembeya (2013) for vascular plants, with the exception of the genus Acacia s.l. (Fabaceae), for which Kyalangalilwa et al. (2013) was followed. Abbreviations: ga = annual grass; gp = perennial grass; GPS = Global Positioning System, referring to a hand-held ground receiver; hl = herb layer, containing all hemicryptophytes, therophytes and geophytes, but excluding grasses (Poaceae); ICPN = International Code of Phytosociological Nomenclature (Theurillat et al. 2021); MAP = mean annual precipitation; NMS = nonmetric multidimensional scaling (Kruskal 1964); RDL = Red Data List (IUCN Species Survival Commission 2001); s1 = tall shrubs, i.e. multi-stemmed phanerophytes between 1 and 5 m; s2 = short shrubs, i.e. chamaephytes or ‘dwarf shrubs’ below 1 m; SOTER = Global and National Soils and Terrain Digital Database (FAO 1993); t1 = tall trees, &amp;gt; 10 m; t2 = short trees, between 5 and 10 m; t3 = low trees, i.e. single-stemmed phanerophytes between 2 and 5 m; TWINSPAN = Two Way Indicator Species Analysis (Roleček et al. 2009); WGS84 = World Geodetic System, 1984 ensemble.

Environmental assessment of water management and urban growth: A case study in an Argentina Pampean plain's basin

Urbanization has been identified as one of the issues with the greatest environmental impacts on water resources. This study aims to make an environmental diagnosis of urban water management with a systematic approach in a basin with great hydrogeological complexity. We have analyzed urban water management in the Langueyú basin, Argentina, in the period comprehended between 1940 and 2015 in which the city has had a disordered urban growth. It showed that the lack of integrated management together with urban expansion have resulted in a process of building densification and infrastructure that favors the recurrence and magnitude of exceptional hydrological events. This has been accompanied by a spatial displacement of these events and a lack of sanitary services with the same sense of urbanization. It was also demonstrated that the lack of integrated water management this not only had consequences on the Tandil city services associated with the urban hydrological cycle, but also on the quality of its surface water resources (contamination of streams in its urban section) and groundwater (elevation of nitrates levels in water from wells water supply). The absence of a systemic approach to the problem has not considered the relationships between the subsystems involved in water management. This management has been based mainly on the application of structural measures. The main non-structural measure carried out has been to expand the regulations and some neighbor's struggle movements. Other non-structural measures promoted by several actors involved in urban water management, such as authorities, should be carried out in order to raise awareness amongst the population on the importance of water resource protection, especially in areas with hydrogeological limitations.

Model evaluation of total phosphorus prediction based on model accuracy and interpretability for the surface water in the river network of the Jiangnan Plain, China.

Due to climatic and hydrological changes and human activities, eutrophication and frequent outbreaks of cyanobacteria are prominent in the Jiangnan Plain basin of China. Therefore, building a suitable model to accurately predict the phosphorus concentration in surface water is of practical significance to prevent the above problems. This study built 10 models to predict the phosphorus element in the surface water of the river network in the Jiangnan Plain. The main water types in the basin include the Yangtze River, the Beijing-Hangzhou Canal, and the Gehu Lake. The 10 models in different datasets have been comprehensively evaluated by the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the model, and the calculation of the partial dependence diagram (PDP) and SHAP has proved that there is a transparent response relationship between phosphorus and different factors. The results show that the Yangtze River, Beijing-Hangzhou Canal, and Gehu Lake are suitable for random forest, linear regression, and random forest models, respectively, under the comprehensive evaluation of the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the model. Models with low prediction accuracy often show strong interpretability. In different water body types, turbidity, water temperature, and chlorophyll-a are the three factors that affect the model in predicting phosphorus.

Facies analysis, biostratigraphy, and provenance of the late Neogene Seulimeum Formation, Northwest Aceh basin, Sumatra (Indonesia)

A sedimentological, biostratigraphic, and petrographical investigation was conducted on exposed sedimentary rocks in the Seulimeum Formation in the Northwest Aceh Basin, Sumatra. Sedimentary facies analysis suggests a deep-marine depositional environment consists of an inner fan, middle fan, and outer fan to basin plain deposits. New foraminiferal data designated a late Miocene to early Pleistocene age for the studied rock unit, equivalent to N17 to N21 zone, with paleobathymetry in the bathyal environment. Petrographically, the sandstone of the Seulimeum Formation is included as subarkose, sublithic arenite, and lithic arenite, or classified as litho-quartzose, feldspatho-litho-quartzose, and litho-feldspatho-quartzose. Provenance analysis suggests that the origin of the sandstones is from the arc orogen sources. Furthermore, it is concluded that the development of the GSF zone in the late Neogene controls the formation of the deep-marine depositional setting. The west-south-west part of the fault is the footwall part (the Barisan Mountains), as the main high area of sedimentary source material consisting dominantly of the Woyla Group, with some contributions from Bentaro volcanic and Paleogene to early Neogene sediments. Our findings also suggest that the beginning of the Great Sumatran Fault, which corresponds with the uplift of the Barisan Mountains in the northern part of Sumatra, took place in the late Miocene, between 8.6 and 5.9 Ma.

Flow transformations, mud partitioning and the variable stratigraphic architecture of basin-floor fan fringes

Highly efficient sediment gravity flows can bypass mid fan channels and lobes and deposit significant volumes of sand, mud and particulate organic matter in outer fan and basin plain settings. The Serpukhovian to Bashkirian fill to the Shannon Basin, western Ireland, includes deep-water fan deposits (Ross Sandstone Fm) that gradationally overlie basin floor shales (Clare Shale Fm). As part of a broader progradational succession, the upward transition from muddy basin floor to sandy fan preserves the stacked deposits of settings present prior to and outboard of mid-fan channels and lobes. Three fully cored boreholes and associated wireline data constrain the facies tracts in an 18 km long panel orientated oblique to original depositional dip. Two distal successions dominated by hybrid event beds (HEBs) are recognised, separated by a prominent condensed section. The lower Cosheen system includes m-thick, tabular HEBs with prominent linked debrites that pass down dip into much thinner sandstones overlain by sand-speckled mudstone caps that thicken distally before thinning. The latter are interpreted as secondary mudflows released following reconstitution of more thoroughly mixed sections of the up-dip linked debrites. Significant bypass and accumulation of mud by this mechanism helped heal local topography and maintain a relatively flat sea floor promoting an overall tabular geometry for the deposits of larger volume hybrid flows reaching the distal sector of the basin. The overlying distal Ross system fringe is characterised by very fine to fine-grained sandstones and is lateral to compensationally-stacked lobes further to the west. It has a progradational (at least initially) stacking pattern, facies transitions developed over shorter length scales, and includes outsized event beds but these are thinner than those in the Cosheen system. Common banding and evidence for turbulence suppression by dispersed clay rather than entrained mud clasts indicate these were transitional flows. In this case, event beds are inferred to taper distally, with significant mud emplaced by plug flow retained as caps to sandy event beds rather than bypassing down-dip. Different flow transformation mechanisms thus impacted how mud was partitioned across the fringe of the two systems and this influenced bed geometries, larger scale bed stacking patterns and stratigraphy. Whereas the flow efficiency concept stresses the ability of flows to carry sand in a basinward direction, it is also imperative to consider the variable efficiency of mud transport given the operation of clay-induced flow transformations. These can either promote bypass or trigger premature fallout of mud with implications for how systems fill accommodation, bed -scale facies transitions and the burial and preservation of particulate organic carbon fractionated along with the clay in deep-water system fringes.

Unravelling megaturbidite deposition: Evidence for turbidite stacking/amalgamation and seiche influence during the 1601 ce earthquake at Lake Lucerne, Switzerland

ABSTRACTMegaturbidites are commonly used to reconstruct the seismic history (palaeoseismology) of areas where large earthquakes occur. However, the depositional mechanisms and sedimentary characteristics of these deposits are not yet fully understood. This study unravels the sequence of sediment deposition that occurred in Lake Lucerne (Vitznau Basin) following the 1601 ce earthquake in central Switzerland. During this event, slope failures were triggered, generating mass flows and turbidity currents that led to the formation of mass‐transport deposits and a megaturbidite. These deposits are sampled in 28 sediment cores, which are examined with X‐ray computed tomography scans (medical and μCT), grain‐size analysis and natural remanent magnetisation. This suite of analyses allows a detailed reconstruction of turbidite stacking and amalgamation in the centre of the basin, followed by settling of finer sediments influenced by a lake seiche. Initial deposition of mass‐transport deposits is followed by sandy turbidites reaching the depocentre. Some of these turbidite sands can be linked to their source areas, and evidence is found of some turbidites being overridden by mass flows in the peripheral parts of the megaturbidite deposit. Hereafter, sedimentation becomes controlled by seiche‐induced currents, which rework fine sediments upon deposition, leading to subtle grain‐size variations at the base of the seiche‐influenced sub‐unit and a ponded geometry of the megaturbidite. As the seiche movement dampens, a relatively muddy, homogeneous sub‐unit is deposited that drapes the basin plain. Overall, this study provides the first highly detailed sedimentological analysis of megaturbidite deposition in a lake, demonstrating the distinct sedimentological imprint of lake seiching and turbidite amalgamation/stacking. This will improve the recognition and interpretation of earthquake‐induced megaturbidites in other lake records or isolated basins, and demonstrates the value of using (μ)CT scans in combination with traditional sedimentological parameters to reconstruct the depositional processes of megaturbidites.

Niche modeling of bumble bee species (Hymenoptera, Apidae, Bombus) in Colombia reveals highly fragmented potential distribution for some species

Insect population decline has been reported worldwide, including those of pollinators important for ecosystem services. Therefore, conservation actions which rely on available rigorous species distribution data are necessary to protect biodiversity. Niche modeling is an appropriate approach to distribution maps, but when it comes to bumble bees, few studies have been performed in South America. We modeled ecological niches of nine Colombian Bombus species with MAXENT 3.4 software using bioclimatic variables available from WorldClim. This resulted in maps for each species that show the potential distribution area at the present time. Modeled species maps accurately represent potential niches according to the description of bioclimatic conditions in the species’ habitat. We grouped the species into three clusters based on our results, as well as on distributional information from literature on the topic: High Mountain, Mid- Mountain and inter-Andean, and the Amazon and Eastern Plains Basin. Niche modeling depicted bumble bee species’ distribution in Colombia, the results of which can serve as a useful tool for conservation policies in the country.

Rainfall-Runoff Time Lags from Saltwater Interface Interactions in Atlantic Coastal Plain Basins

The dynamic behavior of the freshwater-saltwater interface (FSI) in coastal aquifers can introduce unexpected lags between recharge and stream discharge, especially when recharge is forced by long-term cyclical precipitation patterns. This work seeks to assess these FSI impacts at the watershed scale. Recharge-discharge time lags were evaluated in 68 watersheds overlying the Floridan Aquifer System in the coastal region of the southeastern United States (Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina). Utilizing the strength of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) signal in this region, 10–20 year averaged recharge and discharge time series were used for the selected watersheds. Lags of 10–25 years between recharge and discharge were found in 16% of the basins considered, possibly induced by a dynamic FSI which responded slowly to the AMO-scale recharge signal. Freshwater storage coefficients (S) were estimated from time series of change-in-storage and groundwater level, with 11 basins showing S&gt;1.5 indicating water storage well above that expected for unconfined aquifers. These 11 basins with both multidecadal recharge-discharge time lags and high S values showed a positive linear relationship between time lag and FSI depth with slope 0.016 yr/m (R-squared = 0.30). These large time lags may be directly impacting the management of these basins as they obscure water and solute mass balances in the southeastern US.

Sedimentological Analysis of the Turbidite Sequence in the Northern Part of the West Crocker Formation, Northwest Sabah

Gravity-flow deposits form the northern part of the Crocker Formation (Oligocene–Early Miocene), with the most significant interpretation as a sand-rich system in the proximal and a mud-rich system in the distal area of the deep-water turbidite depositional setting. Seven outcrop localities in the northern-part area were selected for mapping and sampling, starting from Kota Kinabalu up to the Telipok area to evaluate the sedimentary sequence. This study used mapping, field observation, and log sketches in the field, as well as extensive analysis and interpretation of sedimentological methods to investigate the sequence of sediment outcrops in the Crocker Formation area of northwest Sabah. During the fieldwork, five main facies were found, namely, massive sandstone facies (f1), graded sandstone facies (f2), laminated sandstone facies (f3), interbedded sandstone and mudstone facies (f4), and mudstone facies (f5). These northern-part outcrops are interpreted as being deposited from the highest to the lowest turbidity currents and the actuality of pelagic mudstone deposition, based on their fining-coarsening-upward pattern. The five geometrical bodies were proposed as laterally contiguous depositional environments, namely, (1) inner fan channel, (2) inner fan channel–levee complex, (3) mid-fan channelized lobes, (4) non-channelized lobes/distal lobes, and (5) basin plains. The facies interpretation shows that the study area consists of lobes, channel–levee complexes, and levees formed in a fan of a deep-water basin setting, with the basinal plain enveloped by thick mudstone deposits. This northern part of the Crocker Formation is interpreted as a multiple-sourced sediment, shelf-fed, Type II, low-efficiency, and sand-rich turbidite depositional system.

CHANGES IN PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COASTAL BANGLADESH: A RIVER BASIN APPROACH

This study deals with the nature and state of geomorphic environmental changes of a coastal river basin at southwestern Bangladesh over a period of three decades (1973-2009). The study concentrates on the Kholpetua river basin, which receive fresh water flow from Betna in the upstream and tidal flow in the middle from Morichapa and finally drains to the Bay of Bengal through Kapotakshi River. The whole Kholpetua basin may be divided into three distinct parts: fresh water upstream, brackish water middle part and saline lower part.&#x0D; Large-scale population increase, both in the upper and middle basin; infrastructure development, in the form of road network and introduction of HYV rice in the floodplain of Betna and shrimp farming on the brackish water have lead to the loss of both quality and extent of wetland resources in the basin area, endangering the geomorphological balance in terms of input and output between upstream and downstream. A large section of Betna has dried-up, and most of the tributaries and distributaries of the Morichapa have been silted up, partly because of extensive polders of the sub-basin. As a result, energy exchange (through tide) between basin plains and channels ways has lost vitality.&#x0D; Multi-spectral remote sensing data, in conjunction with topographical maps and ancillary data analysis reveals that throughout the basin, a wide range of anthropogenic interference have physically altered the characteristic ecosystem of the basin. The agricultural land is about 79,395 ha. in 1973, which is reduced at about 53,328 ha in 2009. With 1779 to 2001, a strip of about 20 km wide mangrove forest has been disappeared. Such physical alteration has been initiated with the poldering of middle brackish water part of the basin and later with the introduction of extensive shrimp cultivation. Attempt has been made to explore the linkage of upstream landuse activities and drainage alteration to the hydrological and geomorphological behavior of the downstream basin areas, extrapolate ecological sensitivity of the basin.

High-resolution sequence stratigraphy applied to turbidites: The case study of jurassic los molles formation, Neuquén basin, Argentina

High-Resolution Sequence Stratigraphy is fundamental for attaining a refined and representative geological 3D model for oil and gas reservoirs. For its application on turbidite systems it is essential to have a robust facies and facies association framework, recognizing architectural elements and the cyclicity in different frequencies on the stacking pattern. This study is widely based on a multi-scale approach (4th and 5th orders), integrating satellite image, outcrop descriptions and microscopic data to achieve a predictive depositional model through time. The Jurassic Los Molles Formation, Neuquén Basin, was chosen as a case study due to its outcrop quality of offshore shelf (Carreri section) and slope/basin plain settings (La Jardinera section). This enabled a rich comparison between facies associations, architectural elements, stacking patterns and cyclicity on turbidite systems of different palaeo physiographic settings. The Carreri offshore shelf turbidites display higher confinement with predominance of tractive structures and coarser grain-sizes as opposed to deepwater deposits. Their base level variations are recorded by the stacking of turbidite channel-overbank systems to delta front deposits and tidal bars that culminate important regressions. In contrast, in La Jardinera slope and basin plain succession, the falling stage system tract of turbidite sequences is characterized by amalgamated composed lobes and wide composed channels with coarser grain-sizes and erosive contacts. The lowstand system tract is represented by less amalgamated lobes and interlobes, suggesting the system backstepping until the muddy transgressive system tract. The workflow of this study allows a better understanding of the evolution of a sedimentary system, correlating this to important stratigraphic surfaces that can represent fluid flow barriers and reservoir heterogeneities that could impact on production data. High resolution sequence stratigraphy, especially in turbidite systems, is key for more accurate reserve estimates and for developing predictive and economic exploration and production strategies in the petroleum industry.

SELECTING THE TIME OF CONCENTRATION CONSIDERING GROUNDWATER DEPTH AND RUNOFF COEFFICIENT IN THE ARGENTINIAN PAMPA REGION

The time of concentration (Tc) is one of the most sensitive parameters for calculating the maximum runoff in a basin and plays a key role in the determination of design flows. In this work, the consistency of the equations that make up the analytical methods used to estimate the Tc is evaluated through the contrast of observed events from the application of the graphical method in a plain basin located in the Pampa region, Argentina. The methodology used considers the complexity of the runoff generation process and of the water dynamics of the region taking into account the analysis of the groundwater depth and the runoff coefficient. This study shows that the equations available may generate Tc predictions with errors by up to 95% in plain basins. The results indicated that Ventura’s and Pasini’s equations are suitable to determine Tc under water deficit, while Izzard’s and Kinematic Wave equations are appropriate for saturated conditions of the system.

Prediction of future groundwater levels under representative concentration pathway scenarios using an inclusive multiple model coupled with artificial neural networks

Abstract Groundwater (GW) plays a key role in water supply in basins. As global warming and climate change affect groundwater level (GWL), it is important to predict it for planning and managing water resources. This study investigates the GWL of the Yazd-Ardakan Plain basin in Iran for the base period of 1979–2005 and predicts for periods of 2020–2059 and 2060–2099. Lagged temperature and rainfall are used as inputs to hybrid and standalone artificial neural network (ANN) models. In this study, the rat swarm algorithm (RSA), particle swarm optimisation (PSO), salp swarm algorithm (SSA), and genetic algorithm (GA) are used to adjust ANN models. The outcomes of these models are then entered into an inclusive multiple model (IMM) as an ensemble model. In this study, the output of climate models is also inserted into the IMM model to improve the estimation accuracy of temperature, rainfall, and GWL. The monthly average temperature for the base period is 12.9 °C, while average temperatures for 2020–2059 under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios are 14.5 and 15.1 °C, and for 2060–2099 they are 16.41 and 18.5 °C under the same scenarios, respectively. In future periods, rainfall is low in comparison with the base period. Lagged rainfall and temperature of the base period are inserted into ANN-RSA, ANN-SSA, ANN-PSO, ANN-GA, and ANN models to predict GWL for the base period. Outputs of IMM, ANN, and the five hybrid models (ANN-RSA, ANN-SSA, ANN-PSO, and ANN-GA) indicate that root mean square errors (RMSE) are 2.12, 3.2, 4.58, 6.12, 6.98, and 7.89 m, respectively, in the testing level. It is found that GWL depletion in 2020–2059 under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios are 0.60–0.88 m and 0.80–1.16 m, and in 2060–2099 under the same scenarios they are 1.49–1.97 m and 1.75–1.98 m, respectively. The results highlight the need to prevent overexploitation of GW in the Ardakan-Yazd Plain to avoid water shortages in the future.

Spatial Pattern and Influencing Factors of Rural Settlements in Qinba Mountains, Shaanxi Province, China

Spatial patterns and the influencing determinants of rural settlements are the most important indicators for understanding the constituent structure of rural regional systems. However, there is little knowledge addressing the characteristics from the settlement perspective by realizing the spatial reconstruction and sustainable development of rural settlements. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the geographical, size, and morphological properties of rural settlement patterns in the Qinba Mountains in southern Shaanxi Province, China, using rural settlement and remote sensing data through spatial measurement index, gradient transects, demographic-economic index, and geodetector analysis. The results show the following: (1) Overall, rural settlements have spatial characteristics of “high-density multi-core clusters (0.8–1.6/km2) and low-density broadly scattered (&lt;0.08/km2)”. There is a significant positive correlation between the scale of rural settlement density and the characteristics of high-value agglomeration. (2) The spatial disparities of morphological traits of settlement shapes are significant. Furthermore, 1840 NP/piece of plain basin landform types provide high-value areas for each settlement feature value, and locations with moderate slopes are best for settlement dispersal. Moreover, rivers, roads, and distance from township centers are all examples of beneficial directivity. There is consistency between the spatial differentiation of rural settlement areas per capita and the distribution of settlement scale. Conversely, the settlement density is inconsistent with the agricultural production value density’s spatial distribution features. (3) The impact of geographical factors on the diversification of settlement characteristics has significant spatial differences. Moreover, natural ecological characteristics such as elevation and landform and the distribution of cultivated land strongly influence the spatial pattern of the study region. Finally, the study findings can be beneficial for land and space planning and rural governments to develop sustainable rural settlements.

Seismo-Stratigraphic Model for the Urban Area of Milan (Italy) by Ambient-Vibration Monitoring and Implications for Seismic Site Effects Assessment

In this paper, we present the work carried out to characterize the spatial variability of seismic site response related to local soil conditions in the city of Milan and its surroundings, an area with ∼3 million inhabitants and a high density of industrial facilities. The area is located at the northwestern end of the Po Plain, a large and deep sedimentary basin in northern Italy. An urban-scale seismo-stratigraphic model is developed based on new passive and active seismic data, supported by the available geological data and stratigraphic information from shallow and deep vertical wells. In particular, 33 single-station and 4 ambient-vibration array measurements are acquired, together with 4 active multichannel analyses of surface waves (MAWS). To estimate the resonant frequencies of the sediments, the horizontal to vertical spectral ratio technique (HVSR) is applied to the ambient-vibration recordings, whereas to determine the Rayleigh-wave dispersion curves from the passive array, the data are analysed using the conventional frequency-wavenumber, the modified spatial autocorrelation and the extended spatial autocorrelation (ESAC) techniques. The array data are used to determine the local shear wave velocity profiles, VS, via joint inversion of the Rayleigh-wave dispersion and ellipticity curves deduced from the HVSR. The results from HVSR show three main bands of amplified frequencies, the first in the range 0.17–0.23 Hz, the second from 0.45 to 0.65 Hz and the third from 3 to 8 Hz. A decreasing trend of the main peaks is observed from the northern to the southern part of the city, allowing us to hypothesize a progressive deepening of the relative regional chrono-stratigraphic unconformities. The passive ambient noise array and MASW highlight the dispersion of the fundamental mode of the Rayleigh-wave in the range 0.4–30 Hz, enabling to obtain detailed Vs. profiles with depth down to about 1.8 km. The seismo-stratigraphic model is used as input for 1D numerical modelling assuming linear soil conditions. The theoretical 1D transfer functions are compared to the HVSR curves evaluated from both ambient noise signals and earthquake waveforms recorded by the IV. MILN station in the last 10 years.