Piecewise Potential Vorticity Research Articles

A Potential Vorticity Diagnosis of Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Errors

AbstractTropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting provides essential guidance for coastal communities. However, track forecast errors still occur, highlighting the need for continued research into error sources. Piecewise potential vorticity (PV) inversion is used systematically to quantitatively diagnose errors in track forecasts in four models during the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. The deep layer mean steering flow (DLMSF) provides a sufficient proxy for hurricane movement, and DLMSF errors are correlated with TC track errors. Analysis of track forecasts for Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria reveals that their track errors are attributed to steering errors caused by misrepresentations of specific pressure systems. Harvey's westward track error in the GFS resulted from zonal wind errors from the Continental High, while Irma's northward track error in the SHiELD gfsIC resulted from meridional wind errors in the Bermuda High and Continental High. Maria's southward track error in the IFS resulted from meridional wind errors in the Bermuda High and a misrepresentation of Jose to Maria's northwest. The mean absolute error of the DLMSF shows that the Bermuda High contributed the most to steering flow errors in the cases examined. Our results show that piecewise PV inversion can identify the sources of biases in TC track forecasts. The correction of these biases may lead to improved track forecasts. Quantitative diagnostics presented here provide useful information for future model development.

Influences of the Mid-Level Vortex on the Formation of Tropical Cyclone Toraji (2013)

This study analyzes the influences of the mid-level vortex on the formation of Tropical Cyclone Toraji (2013). A rare case of a tropical cyclone that formed near Taiwan involved a mid-level vortex that was a remnant of Tropical Cyclone Kong-Rey (2013). The piecewise potential vorticity inversion method is applied to examine the contribution of the mid-level vortex to the low-level wind field under quasi-balanced conditions. Numerical sensitivity experiments are conducted to quantify the importance of the mid-level vortex on Toraji formation, in which the mid-level vortex is removed with different removing factors (percentages) from the initial field. The results indicate that mid-level positive potential vorticity anomalies significantly contribute to the low-level positive vorticity before Toraji formation. Furthermore, when the removing factors increase in the sensitivity experiments, either the intensity of the simulated low-level vortex or the development trend of pre-Toraji decreases. However, there is no significant relationship between the convection’s magnitude and the intensity of the mid-level vortex. The main difference comes from the mid-level vortex’s intensity, which would result in a greater high-level warm core structure and cause stronger vertical mass flux. In summary, the mid-level vortex plays a critical role in the formation of Toraji. It provides a favorable environment for forming the pre-Toraji vortex by maintaining a high-level warm-core structure, leading to the formation of Toraji.

Similarity and variability of blocked weather-regime dynamics in the Atlantic–European region

Abstract. Weather regimes govern an important part of the sub-seasonal variability of the mid-latitude circulation. Due to their role in weather extremes and atmospheric predictability, regimes that feature a blocking anticyclone are of particular interest. This study investigates the dynamics of these “blocked” regimes in the North Atlantic–European region from a year-round perspective. For a comprehensive diagnostic, wave activity concepts and a piecewise potential vorticity (PV) tendency framework are combined. The latter essentially quantifies the well-established PV perspective of mid-latitude dynamics. The four blocked regimes (namely Atlantic ridge, European blocking, Scandinavian blocking, and Greenland blocking) during the 1979–2021 period of ERA5 reanalysis are considered. Wave activity characteristics exhibit distinct differences between blocked regimes. After regime onset, Greenland blocking is associated with a suppression of wave activity flux, whereas Atlantic ridge and European blocking are associated with a northward deflection of the flux without a clear net change. During onset, the envelope of Rossby wave activity retracts upstream for Greenland blocking, whereas the envelope extends downstream for Atlantic ridge and European blocking. Scandinavian blocking exhibits intermediate wave activity characteristics. From the perspective of piecewise PV tendencies projected onto the respective regime pattern, the dynamics that govern regime onset exhibit a large degree of similarity: linear Rossby wave dynamics and nonlinear eddy PV fluxes dominate and are of approximately equal relative importance, whereas baroclinic coupling and divergent amplification make minor contributions. Most strikingly, all blocked regimes exhibit very similar (intra-regime) variability: a retrograde and an upstream pathway to regime onset. The retrograde pathway is dominated by nonlinear PV eddy fluxes, whereas the upstream pathway is dominated by linear Rossby wave dynamics. Importantly, there is a large degree of cancellation between the two pathways for some of the mechanisms before regime onset. The physical meaning of a regime-mean perspective before onset can thus be severely limited. Implications of our results for understanding predictability of blocked regimes are discussed. Further discussed are the limitations of projected tendencies in capturing the importance of moist-baroclinic growth, which tends to occur in regions where the amplitude of the regime pattern, and thus the projection onto it, is small. Finally, it is stressed that this study investigates the variability of the governing dynamics without prior empirical stratification of data by season or by type of regime transition. It is demonstrated, however, that our dynamics-centered approach does not merely reflect variability that is associated with these factors. The main modes of dynamical variability revealed herein and the large similarity of the blocked regimes in exhibiting this variability are thus significant results.

On the Successiveness of the Two Extreme Cold Events in China during the 2020/21 Winter According to Cold Air Trajectories

Two extreme cold air events successively hit China during 28–31 December 2020 (the late 2020 event) and during 6–8 January 2021 (the early 2021 event), which caused great losses. These two events have received extensive attention in relation to synoptic weather systems and remote forcing. Although it has been noted that a near-surface cool condition can greatly impact tropospheric circulation, its role in the successiveness of two such extreme cold waves remains unclear. This study focused on cold air pathways from the Lagrangian perspective, and explored the potential influence of cold air over the key region in terms of connecting the two cold events using a piecewise potential vorticity inversion. With the obtained results, three cold air sources with three corresponding air routes were identified in the two cold events. The northern pathway dominated the late 2020 event, in which the cold air intruded from the eastern Laptev Sea and moved southward to China. In contrast, the early 2021 event was mainly associated with the northwestern pathway in which the cold air came from the Ural Mountains and moved clockwise. Notably, cold air traveling along the western route from western Lake Balkhash arrived at the north of the Tianshan Mountains earlier and amplified the positive height anomaly in situ. Moreover, such an enhanced positive height anomaly moved the direction of the cold air from the northern and northwestern routes southward and thus played a key role in the successiveness of the two extreme cold events.

Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 1: Cyclone intensity, potential vorticity anomalies, and horizontal wind speed

Abstract. Strong low-level winds associated with extratropical cyclones can have substantial impacts on society. The wind intensity and the spatial distribution of wind maxima may change in a warming climate; however, the involved changes in cyclone structure and dynamics are not entirely clear. Here, such structural changes of strong North Atlantic cyclones in a warmer climate close to the end of the current century are investigated with storm-relative composites based on Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) simulations. Furthermore, a piecewise potential vorticity inversion is applied to associate such changes in low-level winds to changes in potential vorticity (PV) anomalies at different levels. Projected changes in cyclone intensity are generally rather small. However, using cyclone-relative composites, we identify an extended wind footprint southeast of the center of strong cyclones, where the wind speed tends to intensify in a warmer climate. Both an amplified low-level PV anomaly driven by enhanced diabatic heating and a dipole change in upper-level PV anomalies contribute to this wind intensification. On the contrary, wind changes associated with lower- and upper-level PV anomalies mostly compensate for each other upstream of the cyclone center. Wind changes at upper levels are dominated by changes in upper-level PV anomalies and the background flow. Altogether, our results indicate that a complex interaction of enhanced diabatic heating and altered non-linear upper-tropospheric wave dynamics shape future changes in near-surface winds in North Atlantic cyclones.

The Impact of Intra-Seasonal Oscillation on Westward Track Deflection of Super Typhoon Fitow (2013)

Typhoon Fitow (2013) took an unusual westward track deflection after a lengthy northward movement over the western North Pacific (WNP). Based on observation and wave analysis, it is found that the track deflection of Fitow is attributed to the transition of environmental flow from meridional to zonal orientation, which is closely associated with a low-frequency intra-seasonal oscillation (ISO). Furthermore, the impact of ISO on tropical cyclone (TC) unusual movement is investigated using the Advanced Research version of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-ARW) model. The control simulation (CTL) reproduces well the synoptic pattern and track deflection of the TC. The TC moves straightly westward and northwestward without track deflection in the sensitivity experiments with the removal of total ISOs and the west-propagating ISO component, while keeping the recurving track with the removal of east-propagating ISO, which suggests that the west-propagating ISO plays a dominant role in the westward track deflection. In the experiment of removing west-propagating ISOs, an anomalous southeast–northwest-oriented wave train around the TC is modified, the mid-latitude trough decays, and the enhanced zonally elongated subtropical high is responsible for the straight northwestward motion of the TC. However, after removing a weaker convection anomaly associated with east-propagating ISOs in the form of a southwest–northeast oriented dipole circulation, the TC is affected by a sustained shallow mid-latitude trough and a west-extended ridge of subtropical high to keep the cyclonic track turning analogous to the counterpart in CTL. The piecewise potential vorticity inversion diagnosis further assesses the contribution of the different ISO components to TC track deflection.

Understanding the Impacts of Upper-Tropospheric Cold Low on Typhoon Jongdari (2018) Using Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion

AbstractTyphoon Jongdari (2018) had an unusual looping path before making landfall in Japan, which posed a forecasting challenge for operational numerical models. The impacts of an upper-tropospheric cold low (UTCL) on the track and intensity of Jongdari are investigated using numerical simulations. The storm track and intensity are well simulated in the control experiment using the GFS analysis as the initial and boundary conditions. In the sensitivity experiment (RCL), the UTCL is removed from the initial-condition fields using the piecewise potential vorticity inversion (PPVI), and both the track and intensity of Jongdari change substantially. The diagnosis of potential vorticity tendency suggests that horizontal advection is the primary contributor for storm motion. Flow decomposition using the PPVI further demonstrates that the steering flow is strongly affected by the UTCL, and the looping path of Jongdari results from the Fujiwhara interaction between the typhoon and UTCL. Jongdari first intensifies and then weakens in the control experiment, consistent with the observation. In contrast, it undergoes a gradual intensification in the RCL experiment. The UTCL contributes to the intensification of Jongdari at the early stage by enhancing the eddy flux convergence of angular momentum and reducing inertial stability, and it contributes to the storm weakening via enhanced vertical wind shear at the later stage when moving closer to Jongdari. Different sea surface temperatures and other environmental conditions along the different storm tracks also contribute to the intensity differences between the control and the RCL experiments, indicating the indirect impacts of the UTCL on the typhoon intensity.

Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion without Far-Field Response?

AbstractGiven a flow domain D with subdomains D1 and D2, piecewise potential vorticity inversion (PPVI) inverts a potential vorticity (PV) anomaly in D2 and assumes vanishing PV in D1 where boundary conditions must be taken into account. It is a widely held view that the PV anomaly exerts a far-field influence on D1, which is revealed by PPVI. Tests of this assertion are conducted using a simple quasigeostrophic model where an upper layer D2 contains a PV anomaly and D1 is the layer underneath. This anomaly is inverted. Any downward physical impact of PV in D2 must also be represented in the results of a downward piecewise density inversion (PDI) based on the hydrostatic relation and the density in D2 as following from PPVI. There is no doubt about the impact of the mass in D2 on the flow in the lower layer D1. Thus results of PPVI and PDI have to agree closely. First, PPVI is applied to a locally confined PV anomaly in D2. There is no far-field “response” in D1 if stationarity is imposed. Modifications of boundary conditions lead to “induced” flows in D1 but the results of PPVI and PDI differ widely. This leads to a simple proof that there is no physical far-field influence of PV anomalies in D2. Wave patterns of the streamfunction restricted to D2 are prescribed in a second series of tests. The related PV anomalies are obtained by differentiation and are also confined to D2 in this case. This approach illustrates the basic procedure to derive PV fields from observations which excludes a far-field response.

How Were the Eastward-Moving Heavy Rainfall Events from the Tibetan Plateau to the Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River Enhanced?

AbstractThis study investigates eastward-moving summer heavy rainfall events in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River (LRYR), which are associated with the Tibetan Plateau (TP) vortices. On the basis of rainfall data from gauges and additional atmospheric data from ERA-Interim, the dynamic and thermodynamic effects of moisture transport and diabatic heating are estimated to determine the physical mechanisms that support the eastward-moving heavy rainfall events. As the rainband moves eastward, it is accompanied by anomalous cyclonic circulation in the upper and middle troposphere and enhanced vertical motion throughout the troposphere. In particular, the rainfall region is located in the fore of the upper-level trough, which is ideal for baroclinic organization of the convective system and further development of the eastward-moving vortex. The large atmospheric apparent heat source (Q1) also contributes for lifting the lower-level air into the upper atmosphere and for enhancing the low-level convective motion and convergence during the heavy rainfall process. Piecewise potential vorticity inversion further verifies the crucial role that the diabatic heating played in developing the anomalous geopotential height favorable for the enhanced rainfall. The combined action of the dynamic and thermodynamic processes, as well as the rich moisture supply from the seas, synergistically sustained and enhanced the eastward-moving rainfall.

A Modeling Study on the Impacts of Typhoon Morakot's (2009) Vortex Structure on Rainfall in Taiwan Using Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion

A Modeling Study on the Impacts of Typhoon Morakot's (2009) Vortex Structure on Rainfall in Taiwan Using Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion

Impacts of Convective Activity over the Tibetan Plateau on Plateau Vortex, Southwest Vortex, and Downstream Precipitation

Abstract In summer, convective activity over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is vigorous, with some of it moving eastward and vacating the plateau [defined as the eastward-moving type (EMT)]. Although the EMT only accounts for a small proportion, it is closely related to heavy precipitation east of the TP. This study investigates EMT impacts based on a series of composite semi-idealized simulations and piecewise potential vorticity (PV) inversion. The main results are as follows. (i) An EMT begins to affect downstream precipitation before it vacates the TP. A weaker EMT tends to cause the main downstream rainband to reduce in intensity and move southward. (ii) The EMT contributes to the formation of an eastward-moving plateau vortex (PLV) by enhancing convergence-induced stretching. Over the TP, the PLV mainly enhances/maintains the EMT, whereas during the vacating stage, the PLV dissipates (since convergence decreases rapidly when sensible heating from the TP reduces), which substantially reduces the intensity of the EMT. (iii) After PLV dissipation, a southwest vortex (SWV) forms around the Sichuan basin mainly due to convergence-induced stretching, convection-related tilting, and background transport. Piecewise PV inversion indicates that an EMT can directly contribute to SWV formation via lowering geopotential height and enhancing cyclonic wind perturbations around the Sichuan basin (even before its vacating stage), while neither of them governs the SWV formation. Sensitivity runs show that an EMT is not necessary for SWV formation, but can modify the SWV formation time and location, as well as its displacement, which significantly affects downstream precipitation.

A Climatological Assessment of Intense Extratropical Cyclones from the Potential Vorticity Perspective

Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) are known to intensify due to three vertically interacting positive potential vorticity perturbations that are associated with potential temperature anomalies close to the surface (θB), condensational heating in the lower-level atmosphere (qsat), and stratospheric intrusion in the upper-level atmosphere (qtr). This study presents the first climatological assessment of how much each of these three mechanisms contributes to the intensity of extreme ETCs. Using relative vorticity at 850 hPa as a measure of ETC intensity, results show that in about half of all cases the largest contributions during maximum ETC intensity are associated with qsat (53% of all ETCs), followed by qtr (36%) and θB (11%). The relative frequency of storms that are dominated by qsat is higher 1) during warmer months (61% of all ETCs during warmer months) compared to colder months (50%) and 2) in the Pacific (56% of all ETCs in the Pacific) compared to the Atlantic (46%). The relative frequency of ETCs that are dominated by θB is larger 1) during colder months (13%) compared to warmer months (3%), 2) in the Atlantic (15%) compared to the Pacific (8%), and 3) in western (11%–20%) compared to eastern ocean basins (4%–9%). These findings are based on piecewise potential vorticity inversion conducted for intense ETCs that occurred from 1980 to 2016 in the Northern Hemisphere (3273 events; top 7%). The results may serve as a baseline for evaluating ETC biases and uncertainties in global climate models.

Investigating the Mechanisms Associated With the Evolutions of Twin Extratropical Cyclones Over the Northwest Pacific Ocean in Mid‐January 2011

AbstractTwin extratropical cyclones that appeared over the northwest Pacific Ocean in mid‐January 2011 experienced significantly different transitions: the northern cyclone dissipated rapidly, whereas the southern cyclone developed into an extreme example of an explosive (i.e., rapidly deepening) extratropical cyclone. This event was reasonably reproduced by the fifth‐generation Mesoscale Model, and its associated mechanisms were investigated using piecewise potential vorticity inversion and the Zwack‐Okossi vorticity budget. Main results are as follows. (i) The extratropical cyclone‐included twin cyclone event showed a Fujiwhara effect, during which the two cyclones orbited cyclonically about a midpoint, approached each other, and finally merged. The twin cyclone interactions enhanced the northern cyclone, but weakened the southern cyclone, by inducing warm advection and cold advection, respectively. (ii) Although upper level tropopause folding contributed the most to deepening of the twin cyclones, significant differences in their deepening rates were due predominantly to the contrast between lower level temperature advection and precipitation‐related latent heating. (iii) Stronger upper tropospheric positive absolute‐vorticity advection and warm advection associated with an upper level jet, and larger latent heating, made geostrophic vorticity of the southern cyclone increase more rapidly than that of the northern cyclone. (iv) Explosive deepening of the southern cyclone showed insensitive responses to its relative configuration with the upper level jet, whereas its rotation enhancement was faster when the cyclone was embedded within the upper level jet. (v) The upper level forcing had a greater influence on the large‐scale flow associated with the twin cyclones, whereas the middle‐level and lower level forcings were more dominant close to the cyclone core regions.

Composite Analysis of Polar Mesocyclones over the Western Part of the Sea of Japan

Polar mesocyclones occur frequently over the Sea of Japan during winter in association with cold air outbreaks from the Eurasian continent. In this study, the general characteristics of polar mesocyclones over the western part of the Sea of Japan are examined using composite analysis. The synoptic-scale environment associated with these mesocyclones is characterized by a negative sea level pressure anomaly to the east that causes a cold air outbreak at low levels. There is also a geopotential height trough moving eastward at upper levels. In the cold air outbreak, a convergence zone known as the Japan Sea polar airmass convergence zone (JPCZ), collocated with a thermal ridge, develops on the lee side of the mountains at the root of the Korean Peninsula. These polar mesocyclones are generated when the upper-level trough approaches the JPCZ from the west. However, the behavior of the JPCZ and the movement of the polar mesocyclones differ depending on the location of the upper-level trough. A piecewise potential vorticity inversion analysis revealed that the circulation associated with the upper-level trough modifies the low-level winds, which affects the direction of extension of the JPCZ as well as the genesis location and the movement of the polar mesocyclones.

Nonuniqueness of Attribution in Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion

Abstract Piecewise potential vorticity inversion (PPVI) seeks to determine the impact of observed potential vorticity (PV) anomalies on the surrounding flow. This widely used technique is based on dividing a flow domain D into subdomains D1 and D2 = D − D1. The influence of PV in D1 on the flow in D2 is assessed by removing all PV anomalies in D2 and then inverting the modified PV in D. The resulting flow with streamfunction ψ1 is attributed to the PV anomalies in D1. The relation of PV in D1 to ψ1 in D2 is not unique, because there are many PV distributions in D1 that induce the same ψ1. There is, however, a unique solution if the ageostrophic circulation is included in the inversion procedure. The superposition principle requires that the sum of inverted flows with PV = 0 in D2 and the complementary ones with PV = 0 in D1 equal the inverted flow for the complete observed PV in D. It is demonstrated, using two isolated PV balls as a paradigmatic example, that the superposition principle is violated if the ageostrophic circulation is included in PPVI, because the ageostrophic circulation cannot be associated with only one of the anomalies. Inversions of Ertel’s PV are carried out using Charney’s balance condition. PPVI is not unique in that case, because many different PV fields can be specified in D1, which all lead to the same inverted flow in D2. The balance condition assumes vanishing vertical velocity w so that uniqueness cannot be established by including w in the inversion, as was possible in the quasigeostrophic case.

Diagnosis of a North American Polar–Subtropical Jet Superposition Employing Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion

Abstract The polar jet (PJ) and subtropical jet (STJ) often reside in different climatological latitude bands. On occasion, the meridional separation between the two jets can vanish, resulting in a relatively rare vertical superposition of the PJ and STJ. A large-scale environment conducive to jet superposition can be conceptualized as one that facilitates the simultaneous advection of tropopause-level potential vorticity (PV) perturbations along the polar and subtropical waveguides toward midlatitudes. Once these PV perturbations are transported into close proximity to one another, interactions between tropopause-level, lower-tropospheric, and diabatically generated PV perturbations work to restructure the tropopause into the two-step, pole-to-equator tropopause structure characteristic of a jet superposition. This study employs piecewise PV inversion to diagnose the interactions between large-scale PV perturbations throughout the development of a jet superposition during the 18–20 December 2009 mid-Atlantic blizzard. While the influence of PV perturbations in the lower troposphere as well as those generated via diabatic processes were notable in this case, tropopause-level PV perturbations played the most substantial role in restructuring the tropopause prior to jet superposition. A novel PV partitioning scheme is presented that isolates PV perturbations associated with the PJ and STJ, respectively. Inversion of the jet-specific PV perturbations suggests that these separate features make distinct contributions to the restructuring of the tropopause that characterizes the development of a jet superposition.

A diagnostic study on heavy rainfall induced by landfalling Typhoon Utor (2013) in South China: 2. Postlandfall rainfall

AbstractIn this part, mechanisms responsible for the maintenance of Typhoon Utor (2013) after landfall and its associated heavy rainfall in South China were investigated with methods including piecewise potential vorticity (PV) inversion. The focus was on the monsoonal influence and the interaction between Utor and the mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) embedded in the southwesterly monsoon flow. The results show that after landfall Utor underwent coalescence with the cyclonic monsoon gyres, related to the quasi‐biweekly oscillation (QBWO) and the Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO). The QBWO cyclonic gyre, which better developed and coalesced with the tropical cyclone (TC) vortex, enhanced the large‐scale southwesterly monsoon flow southeast of the TC, providing favorable condition for initiation of convection and organization of MCSs in the eastern outer rainband of the TC. Latent heat release in the MCSs provided a positive feedback to enhance the TC circulation and the southwesterly monsoon flow, slowing down the decay of Utor and sustaining heavy rainfall. Piecewise PV inversion confirmed that the nonlinear balanced flow inverted from the PV anomaly associated with latent heating in MCSs led to an increase of the low‐level southwesterly flow south of the TC by over 4 m s−1, which contributed notably to the formation of the low‐level jet and moisture convergence in the eastern outer rainband. It is suggested that the positive feedback between the outer rainband MCSs and the southwesterly monsoon flow is a major mechanism responsible for the maintenance of Typhoon Utor after its landfall and the associated postlandfall heavy rainfall over South China.

Structural and Environmental Characteristics of Extratropical Cyclones that Cause Tornado Outbreaks in the Warm Sector: A Composite Study

Abstract The structural and environmental characteristics of extratropical cyclones that cause tornado outbreaks [outbreak cyclones (OCs)] and that do not [nonoutbreak cyclones (NOCs)] are examined using the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis dataset (JRA-55). Composite analyses show differences between OCs and NOCs: for OCs, storm relative environmental helicity (SREH) and convective available potential energy (CAPE) are notably larger, and the areas in which these parameters have significant values are wider in the warm sector than they are for NOCs. The larger CAPE in OCs is due to larger amounts of low-level water vapor, while the greater SREH is due to stronger low-level southerly wind. The composite analyses for environmental fields defined by 20-day means suggest that environmental meridional flows have the potential to advect large amounts of warm and moist air northward, creating atmospheric instability in the troposphere that contributes to the occurrence of a tornado outbreak. A piecewise potential vorticity (PV) diagnosis shows that low- to midlevel PV anomalies are the main contributor to the difference in the low-level winds between OCs and NOCs, whereas upper-level PV anomalies make only a minor contribution. An examination of the structures of the extratropical cyclones and the upper-level jet stream suggests that the difference in the low-level winds between OCs and NOCs is due to differences in the structure of the jet stream. The OCs develop when the jet stream displays larger anticyclonic shear. This causes a more meridionally elongated structure of OCs, resulting in stronger low-level winds in the southeastern quadrant of the cyclones.

Accelerating two-stage explosive development of an extratropical cyclone over the northwestern Pacific Ocean: a piecewise potential vorticity diagnosis

An extreme explosive extratropical cyclone over the northwestern Pacific Ocean (NPO) that formed in winter 2004 and went through two distinct rapid deepening periods was successfully simulated by a non-hydrostatic mesoscale model (MM5). Based on the simulation, the cyclone's rapid deepening was investigated in detail using the piecewise potential vorticity (PV) inversion method which successfully captured the characteristics of the cyclone and its associated background circulations. Results indicated that explosive development of the cyclone was dominated by forcings in the extended surface layer (ESL), which were closely related to baroclinity (temperature advection) and boundary layer processes (sensible heat exchange). In the interior layer (IL), direct effects of condensation were mainly conducive to the cyclone's development, whereas indirect effects (interactions with other layers) mainly acted conversely. Processes associated with latent heat release (LHR) were characterised by nonlinearity. Features of the precipitation, including intensity, duration, range and relative configuration to the cyclone determined the influences of condensation on the cyclone. In the upper layer (UL), tropopause-folding processes and horizontal PV advection were main influencing factors to the evolution of the cyclone. Upper-level forcings firstly exerted slight effects on the cyclone's development, since upper-level positive PV anomalies were far from the cyclone; then, as the influencing short-wave trough and the cyclone both moved northeastward, upper-level positive PV anomalies merged, enhanced and entered key areas of the cyclone, and thus both direct and indirect effects associated with the upper-level forcings strengthened significantly around the cyclone, and this dominated the cyclone's transition from a moderate explosive cyclone to an extreme one.

Comments on “The Usefulness of Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion”

Comments on “The Usefulness of Piecewise Potential Vorticity Inversion”