We simulate the photodynamics of gas-phase cyclobutanone excited to the S2 state using fewest switches surface hopping (FSSH) dynamics powered by time-dependent density functional theory (TDDFT). We predict a total photoproduct yield of 8%, with a C3:C2 product ratio of 0 trajectories to 8 trajectories. One primary S2 → S1 conical intersection is identified involving the compression of an α-carbon-carbon-hydrogen bond angle. Excited state lifetimes computed with respect to electronic state populations were found to be 3.96ps (S2 → S1) and 498fs (S1 → S0). We also generate time-resolved difference pair distribution functions (ΔPDFs) from our TDDFT-FSSH dynamics results in order to generate direct comparisons with ultrafast electron diffraction experiment observables. Global and target analysis of time-resolved ΔPDFs produced a distinct set of lifetimes: (i) a 0.548ps decay and (ii) a 1.69ps decay, both resembling the S2 minimum, as well as (iii) a long decay that resembles the S1 minimum geometry and the fully separated C2 products. Finally, we contextualize our results by considering the impact of the most likely sources of significant errors.
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