Warm Phase Research Articles

The Panama Low Level Jet: extension, annual cycle and modes of variation

The Panama Low Level Jet (PLLJ) is the inter-isthmic jet closest to the equator, whose activation modifies circulation, sea surface temperature and climate in most of the Eastern Tropical Pacific off Colombia. Through the analysis of 26 years (1992-2018) of sea wind data, the extent of the jet and its main frequencies of variability were determined, in addition to its relationship with phenomena of climatic variability. The area of direct influence of the jet was estimated to be 59295.34 km², being located between 4.63° and 9oN. The PLLJ is activated annually during the boreal summer (December-April) with intense intra-seasonal variability (with frequencies between 1 to 5 months) and inter annual perturbations associated with El Nino Southern Oscillation events. During warm ENSO events, the PLLJ activity last ~ 2 months more (from mid-November to the end of May) and its spatial extent increases southerly reaching ~ 2 ° N. Additionally, during warm ENSO years, there is an extemporaneous activation of PLLJ in the boreal summer, possibly linked to the intensification of the North Trade Winds over the Caribbean basin in the middle of the year and the increase in the north-south pressure gradient through the Panama isthmus during intense El Nino events. The entry of Caribbean winds in unusual seasons changes the climatology of the PLLJ and increasing its influence in the Eastern Tropical Pacific during the ENSO warm phases.

Principles underlying the complex dynamics of temperature entrainment by a circadian clock

SummaryAutonomously oscillating circadian clocks resonate with daily environmental (zeitgeber) rhythms to organize physiology around the solar day. Although entrainment properties and mechanisms have been studied widely and in great detail for light-dark cycles, entrainment to daily temperature rhythms remains poorly understood despite that they are potent zeitgebers. Here we investigate the entrainment of the chronobiological model organism Neurospora crassa, subject to thermocycles of different periods and fractions of warm versus cold phases, mimicking seasonal variations. Depending on the properties of these thermocycles, regularly entrained rhythms, period-doubling (frequency demultiplication) but also irregular aperiodic behavior occurs. We demonstrate that the complex nonlinear phenomena of experimentally observed entrainment dynamics can be understood by molecular mathematical modeling.

Diet and environment of Mylodon darwinii based on pollen of a Late-Glacial coprolite from the Mylodon Cave in southern Chile

We studied the pollen content of a well-preserved coprolite of a Late-Glacial giant ground sloth (Mylodon darwinii) from the Mylodon Cave, province Última Esperanza, southern Chile. The specimen was obtained in 1909 and has been stored in a museum in the Netherlands since. It was radiocarbon dated to 13,140 ± 55 BP (15,927–15,522 cal BP), which fits with other radiocarbon dates showing the early Late-Glacial presence of M. darwinii in the province Última Esperanza. Contemporaneous oxygen isotope data from Antarctic EPICA Dome C indicates that our Mylodon specimen lived during a warming phase of the Late-Glacial, ca. 1000 years before the start of the Antarctic Cold Reversal. We compared our pollen data with pollen records showing contemporaneous regional vegetation and discuss the uncertainties in the interpretation of pollen spectra from faeces. To expand on the pollen data, we tested ancient DNA preservation in the sample; we sequenced ~9.4 million DNA reads and found that the concentration of ancient plant DNA is below detectable levels. Pollen analysis confirms earlier findings that the Mylodon was a grazer, but the discovery of large amounts of Fragaria and Azorella pollen in the faeces may indicate that Mylodon was also able to select and consume specific plants, and therefore could also be regarded as a selective feeder.

Climate and ice sheet evolutions from the last glacial maximum to the pre-industrial period with an ice-sheet–climate coupled model

Abstract. The last deglaciation offers an unique opportunity to understand the climate–ice-sheet interactions in a global warming context. In this paper, to tackle this question, we use an Earth system model of intermediate complexity coupled to an ice sheet model covering the Northern Hemisphere to simulate the last deglaciation and the Holocene (26–0 ka). We use a synchronous coupling every year between the ice sheet and the rest of the climate system and we ensure a closed water cycle considering the release of freshwater flux to the ocean due to ice sheet melting. Our reference experiment displays a gradual warming in response to the forcings, with no abrupt changes. In this case, while the amplitude of the freshwater flux to the ocean induced by ice sheet retreat is realistic, it is sufficient to shut down the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation from which the model does not recover within the time period simulated. However, with reduced freshwater flux we are nonetheless able to obtain different oceanic circulation evolutions, including some abrupt transitions between shut-down and active circulation states in the course of the deglaciation. The inclusion of a parameterisation for the sinking of brines around Antarctica also produces an abrupt recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, absent in the reference experiment. The fast oceanic circulation recoveries lead to abrupt warming phases in Greenland. Our simulated ice sheet geometry evolution is in overall good agreement with available global reconstructions, even though the abrupt sea level rise at 14.6 ka is underestimated, possibly because the climate model underestimates the millennial-scale temperature variability. In the course of the deglaciation, large-scale grounding line instabilities are simulated both for the Eurasian and North American ice sheets. The first instability occurs in the Barents–Kara seas for the Eurasian ice sheet at 14.5 ka. A second grounding line instability occurs ca. 12 ka in the proglacial lake that formed at the southern margin of the North American ice sheet. With additional asynchronously coupled experiments, we assess the sensitivity of our results to different ice sheet model choices related to surface and sub-shelf mass balance, ice deformation and grounding line representation. While the ice sheet evolutions differ within this ensemble, the global climate trajectory is only weakly affected by these choices. In our experiments, only the abrupt shifts in the oceanic circulation due to freshwater fluxes are able to produce some millennial-scale variability since no self-generating abrupt transitions are simulated without these fluxes.

Atlantic zonal mode-monsoon teleconnection in a warming scenario

The dominant interannual SST variability in the eastern equatorial Atlantic is referred to as the Atlantic Zonal Mode (AZM), which peaks in boreal summer impacts global weather patterns. The cold (warm) phase of this ocean-atmospheric coupled phenomenon enhances (weakens) the intensity of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR). Observational studies show a strengthening relationship between AZM and ISMR in recent decades, providing a predictive signal for the ISMR. However, a suite of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) model simulations in the highest emission scenario (SSP58.5) show a weakening relationship between ISMR and AZM in the future (2050–2099). The strengthening of atmospheric thermal stability over the tropical Atlantic in the warming scenario weakens the associated convection over the eastern equatorial Atlantic in response to the warm phase of AZM. This leads to weakening velocity potential response over the Indian subcontinent, resulting in a weak AZM–ISMR relationship. There is no convincing evidence to indicate that either the tropical Atlantic SST bias or the AZM–ISMR teleconnection bias plays a crucial role in the potential weakening of this relationship. These results imply that ISMR prediction will become more challenging in a warming scenario as one of the major external boundary forces that influence monsoon weakens.

Regulation of autophagy protects against liver injury in liver surgery-induced ischaemia/reperfusion.

Transient ischaemia and reperfusion in liver tissue induce hepatic ischaemia/reperfusion (I/R) tissue injury and a profound inflammatory response in vivo. Hepatic I/R can be classified into warm I/R and cold I/R and is characterized by three main types of cell death, apoptosis, necrosis and autophagy, in rodents or patients following I/R. Warm I/R is observed in patients or animal models undergoing liver resection, haemorrhagic shock, trauma, cardiac arrest or hepatic sinusoidal obstruction syndrome when vascular occlusion inhibits normal blood perfusion in liver tissue. Cold I/R is a condition that affects only patients who have undergone liver transplantation (LT) and is caused by donated liver graft preservation in a hypothermic environment prior to entering a warm reperfusion phase. Under stress conditions, autophagy plays a critical role in promoting cell survival and maintaining liver homeostasis by generating new adenosine triphosphate (ATP) and organelle components after the degradation of macromolecules and organelles in liver tissue. This role of autophagy may contribute to the protection of hepatic I/R‐induced liver injury; however, a considerable amount of evidence has shown that autophagy inhibition also protects against hepatic I/R injury by inhibiting autophagic cell death under specific circumstances. In this review, we comprehensively discuss current strategies and underlying mechanisms of autophagy regulation that alleviates I/R injury after liver resection and LT. Directed autophagy regulation can maintain liver homeostasis and improve liver function in individuals undergoing warm or cold I/R. In this way, autophagy regulation can contribute to improving the prognosis of patients undergoing liver resection or LT.

Characterizing mass, momentum, energy, and metal outflow rates of multiphase galactic winds in the FIRE-2 cosmological simulations

ABSTRACT We characterize mass, momentum, energy, and metal outflow rates of multiphase galactic winds in a suite of FIRE-2 cosmological ‘zoom-in’ simulations from the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE) project. We analyse simulations of low-mass dwarfs, intermediate-mass dwarfs, Milky Way-mass haloes, and high-redshift massive haloes. Consistent with previous work, we find that dwarfs eject about 100 times more gas from their interstellar medium (ISM) than they form in stars, while this mass ‘loading factor’ drops below one in massive galaxies. Most of the mass is carried by the hot phase (>105 K) in massive haloes and the warm phase (103−105 K) in dwarfs; cold outflows (<103 K) are negligible except in high-redshift dwarfs. Energy, momentum, and metal loading factors from the ISM are of order unity in dwarfs and significantly lower in more massive haloes. Hot outflows have 2−5 × higher specific energy than needed to escape from the gravitational potential of dwarf haloes; indeed, in dwarfs, the mass, momentum, and metal outflow rates increase with radius whereas energy is roughly conserved, indicating swept up halo gas. Burst-averaged mass loading factors tend to be larger during more powerful star formation episodes and when the inner halo is not virialized, but we see effectively no trend with the dense ISM gas fraction. We discuss how our results can guide future controlled numerical experiments that aim to elucidate the key parameters governing galactic winds and the resulting associated preventative feedback.

The response of calcareous plankton to the Sapropel S1 interval in North Ionian Sea

A high resolution study of calcareous nannofossils has been performed on samples from the Sapropel S1interval deposited in the North Ionian Sea, with the aim to assess the paleoenvironmental changes in the photic zone during this crucial interval in Mediterranean circulation. Calcareous nannofossil data have been integrated with planktonic foraminiferal data recently published from which the paleoclimatic curve has been constructed. Placoliths (namely Emiliania huxleyi) and Florisphaera profunda distributions, along with that of planktonic foraminifer Globigerinoides ruber white, evidence that, after a progressive weakening of surface water mixing, a deep chlorophyll maximum developed just prior to the sapropel deposition. We suggest that these changes took place as a response to enhanced precipitation conditions and riverine discharge as testified by increasing trend of reworked coccoliths and the occurrence of lower salinity taxon Braarudosphaera bigelowii. Calcareous nannofossils also point out that the oceanographic (water column stratification, reduced bottom water ventilation) and biogeochemical (increased primary production) processes that occurred during the S1 formation were particularly dominant during the earliest part of the older S1 warm phase (S1a). Our results support than some re-ventilation events of the shallow depth of studied site (665 m) occurred to some extent, particularly during the final phases of S1a. The distribution of holococcoliths, more abundant during the cold interruption phase S1i, seems confirm that the preservation of these tiny and delicate coccoliths, highly susceptible to dissolution, is enhanced under seafloor re-ventilation conditions. Finally, we tentatively suggest that preservation also plays a significant role in the distribution of the warm upper photic zone taxa, particularly during the warm S1b interval.

Northward shift of the southern westerlies during the Antarctic Cold Reversal

Inter-hemispheric asynchrony of climate change through the last deglaciation has been theoretically linked to latitudinal shifts in the southern westerlies via their influence over CO2 out-gassing from the Southern Ocean. Proxy-based reconstructions disagree on the behaviour of the westerlies through this interval. The last deglaciation was interrupted in the Southern Hemisphere by the Antarctic Cold Reversal (ACR; 14.7 to 13.0 ka BP (thousand years Before Present)), a millennial-scale cooling event that coincided with the Bølling–Allerød warm phase in the North Atlantic (BA; 14.7 to 12.7 ka BP). We present terrestrial proxy palaeoclimate data that demonstrate a migration of the westerlies during the last deglaciation. We support the hypothesis that wind-driven out-gassing of old CO2 from the Southern Ocean drove the deglacial rise in atmospheric CO2.

Spatial distribution and interannual variability of coastal fog and low clouds cover in the hyperarid Atacama Desert and implications for past and present Tillandsia landbeckii ecosystems

The hyperarid Atacama Desert coast receives scarce moisture inputs mainly from the Pacific Ocean in the form of marine advective fog. The collected moisture supports highly specialized ecosystems, where the bromeliad Tillandsia landbeckii is the dominant species. The fog and low clouds (FLCs) on which these ecosystems depend are affected in their interannual variability and spatial distribution by global phenomena, such as ENSO. Yet, there is a lack of understanding of how ENSO influences recent FLCs spatial changes and their interconnections and how these variations can affect existing Tillandsia stands. In this study, we analyze FLCs occurrence, its trends and the influence of ENSO on the interannual variations of FLCs presence by processing GOES satellite images (1995–2017). Our results show that ENSO exerts a significant influence over FLCs interannual variability in the Atacama at ~ 20°S. Linear regression analyses reveal a relation between ENSO3.4 anomalies and FLCs with opposite seasonal effects depending on the ENSO phase. During summer (winter), the ENSO warm phase is associated with an increase (decrease) of the FLCs occurrence, whereas the opposite occurs during ENSO cool phases. In addition, the ONI Index explains up to ~ 50 and ~ 60% variance of the interannual FLCs presence in the T. landbeckii site during summer and winter, respectively. Finally, weak negative (positive) trends of FLCs presence are observed above (below) 1000 m a. s. l. These results have direct implications for understanding the present and past distribution of Tillandsia ecosystems under the extreme conditions characterizing our study area.

Centennial to millennial-scale changes in thermocline ventilation in the Arabian Sea: insights from the pteropod preservation record

The Arabian Sea hosts one of the three thickest oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) of the world ocean. Mid–depth oxygen depletion profoundly influences the chemistry of thermocline waters (HCO3ˉ, CO32ˉ and pH), which in turn significantly influences the preservation state of carbonates. The carbonate preservation is primarily controlled by the degree of saturation level of seawater with respect to the calcite and aragonite. The seawater in OMZ is undersaturated with respect to the aragonite (a metastable polymorph of CaCO3). Pteropod test being aragonitic in composition is therefore highly susceptible to the dissolution and dissolves completely below the aragonite compensation depth (ACD). Because of the current condition of intense OMZ due to high primary productivity, enhanced respiration of sinking organic carbon and reduced thermocline circulation; the ACD is shallow, lying in the middle of the OMZ. Hence, preservation record of pteropods in sea–floor sediment archives past changes in thermocline oxygen condition, carbonate chemistry, the ACD and OMZ intensity. High resolution records of various pteropod preservation indices (total pteropod abundance, transparent Limacina inflata abundance, fragmentation index) in a sediment core from the lower OMZ of the Indian margin (off Goa) enabled to investigate aragonite preservation/dissolution events and their links with the changes in ACD and OMZ intensity in the eastern Arabian Sea during the last 70 kyr BP. The proxy records reveal centennial to millennial scale changes in aragonite preservation condition in concert with Northern Hemisphere climatic events (Dansgaard–Oeschger (D–O) cycles and Heinrich events). The pteropod preservation spikes apparently correspond to the Northern Hemisphere cold events (D–O stadials and Heinrich events). Whereas, the pteropod tests were either poorly preserved or completely dissolved during the warm phases of D–O cycles (interstadials). The aragonite preservation events are attributed to the low monsoon induced productivity combined with the increased thermocline ventilation by Subantarctic Mode and Antarctic Intermediate Waters (SAMW–AAIW) resulting a weak OMZ and deeper ACD. The novel proxies (abundances of Globorotalia menardii, a planktic foraminifera and Styliola subula, a pteropod species) are used to gain better insights in to the variability of thermocline ventilation and OMZ intensity through time.

Vulnerability of rice production to temperature extremes during rice reproductive stage in Yangtze River Valley, China

The increasing trend of extreme heat events poses serious implications for rice production in China, especially when it coincides with the heat-sensitive reproductive growth period (RGP) leading to high temperature-induced spikelet sterility. (2) Methods: This study analyzed the long-term meteorological data of Jiangsu province, located at lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley, to ascertain changing trends in temperature extremes. Moreover, stress days and nights were derived from temperature extremes, during RGP as a proxy of rice sterility in the province. The stress days were defined in three ways, with higher daily maximum (≥35 °C, hot day, HD), and minimum temperature (≥28 °C, hot night, HN) and days with both critical limits (severe hot day, SHD). (3) Results: The analysis of data revealed that a definite warming hiatus period in the 1970s and a transitional phase in 1980s were evident for daily maximum temperatures (TMX) in the province. Warm phases since 1990s were evident for both day and night temperature extremes. Asymmetric warming of TMX and daily minimum (TMN) temperatures reduced diurnal temperature range (DTR) over time. The slight negative trend for TMX and HD were observed, while trends for TMN, HN and SHD were strongly positive in the province with regional variations. (4) Conclusion: Observed increasing trends of TMN, HNs, and SHDs, as well as the decreasing DTR during rice RGP can be a threat to rice production in the province. Rice crop in the Southern Jiangsu is more vulnerable to higher temperature extremes while in the northern Jiangsu, decreasing DTR can be crucial. These findings could have useful implications for improving rice yield under changing climate.

The Hot Circumgalactic Medium of the Milky Way: Evidence for Supervirial, Virial, and Subvirial Temperatures; Nonsolar Chemical Composition; and Nonthermal Line Broadening

Abstract For the first time, we present the simultaneous detection and characterization of three distinct phases at >105 K in z = 0 absorption using deep Chandra observations toward Mrk 421. The extraordinarily high signal-to-noise ratio (≥60) of the spectra has allowed us to detect a hot phase of the Milky Way circumgalactic medium (CGM) at 3.2 − 0.5 + 1.5 × 107 K coexisting with a warm-hot phase at 1.5 ± 0.1 × 106 K and a warm phase at 3.0 ± 0.4 × 105 K. The warm-hot phase is at the virial temperature of the Galaxy, and the warm phase may have cooled from the warm-hot phase, but the supervirial hot phase remains a mystery. We find that [C/O] in the warm and warm-hot phases, [Mg/O] in the warm-hot phase, and [Ne/O] in the hot phase are supersolar, and the hot and the warm-hot phases are α-enhanced. Nonthermal line broadening is evident in the warm-hot and the hot phases, and it dominates the total line broadening. Our results indicate that the >105 K CGM is a complex ecosystem. It provides insights on the thermal and chemical history of the Milky Way CGM and theories of galaxy evolution.

Comparison of serum versus EDTA plasma in canine major crossmatch reactions

Protocols for crossmatch reactions vary in veterinary medicine, particularly regarding the use of recipient serum vs plasma. Sources suggest that major crossmatch results might differ when recipient plasma is used instead of serum, but there are conflicting reports as to the exact effects on the results. The aim of this study was to determine the frequency and degree of discrepancy, if any, between canine major crossmatch reactions using serum versus EDTA plasma, performed via a standard tube method. One hundred duplicate canine major crossmatch reactions were performed with both serum and EDTA plasma from 100 different "recipient" dogs against erythrocytes from a single, healthy "donor." Decreasing concentrations of a rabbit anti-dog erythrocyte antibody were added to generate strong positive, weak positive, and negative results for each crossmatch reaction. Crossmatch results were followed through the following phases: immediate spin, cold, warm, albumin, and Coombs. Semi-quantitative results were compared between reactions using serum vs EDTA plasma. Weak positive, major crossmatch reactions were significantly more likely to demonstrate stronger agglutination in EDTA plasma compared with serum in the immediate spin phase, cold phase, warm phase, and albumin phase (P<0.001). There was no statistically significant difference between serum and EDTA plasma results in the Coombs' phase (P=0.313). In this experimental setting, EDTA plasma and serum were both deemed acceptable for use in canine major crossmatch reactions. EDTA plasma might be preferable to detect weak agglutination with more sensitivity and reduce recipient blood volumes needed to complete the crossmatch reaction.

Valanginian cold/warm climatic oscillation and synsedimentary tectonic interaction for drowning the carbonate platform of Southern Tethys (Sicily)

Valanginian is a deeply investigated time interval due to the climatic, environmental and oceanographic changes that characterised it, globally recorded in sedimentary successions.During the Valanginian, an oscillation between warm and cold climatic phases is generally accepted as causing change in sedimentation, especially along the carbonate platform successions. In this context the so-called “Weissert event” occurred.The analysed stratigraphic interval consists of a Valanginian–Hauterivian package of two black metallic crusts (hardgrounds) and condensed pelagites, interbedded in the Lower Cretaceous carbonate shallow-water succession outcropping in the Palermo Mountains (NW Sicily). Integrating facies, structural, mineralogical and geochemical analysis, including analysis of δ13C and δ18O isotope records, the interaction between synsedimentary tectonics and climatic changes, as causing palaeoenvironmental and palaeoceanographic changes in the Lower Cretaceous Panormide carbonate platform, has been envisaged.A regional extensional tectonic event in the Southern Tethyan margin was detected at the Berriasian/Valanginian boundary, as responsible for the tectonic fragmentation of the Mesozoic Panormide carbonate platform in various fault-blocks. Locally, tectonic subsidence caused drowning of some of the fault-blocks. Before the recovery of the benthic carbonate factory in the Barremian, condensed pelagites and mineralised (Fe–Mn) crusts developed during the alternation of warm and cold climatic pulses.The positive–negative excursions of the Valanginian–Hauterivian δ13C pattern of the Colombrina section provide solid evidence for the chronostratigraphic assignment of the study interval to the drowning of many carbonate platforms that preludes the onset of the “Weissert event”. In detail, the drastic negative shift of δ13C in the late early Valanginian mineralised crust reveals massive release of isotopically light carbon to the atmosphere/hydrosphere reservoirs from a possible excess of volcanogenic CO2 or methane release from clathrate dissociation. Combining sedimentological data with the increase of the δ18O isotope records, two cold climate pulses are envisaged. The first one is assigned to the Berriasian/Valanginian boundary and led to the formation of the lower mineralised crust. The second and more evident positive shift of δ18O is assigned to the earliest late Valanginian, during the sedimentation of the laminated pelagites deposited immediately after the upper mineralisation event. These cold events that are comparable with the coeval cooling pulses recorded at a global scale highlight icehouse interludes during the Lower Cretaceous greenhouse mode.

Multidecadal Variations in the East Asian Winter Monsoon and Their Relationship with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation since 1850

AbstractThis study investigates the characteristics and physical mechanisms of the multidecadal variations in the East Asian winter (December–February) monsoon (EAWM) since 1850 based on multiple observational and reanalysis datasets. The results indicate that the EAWM undergoes multidecadal weakening during the periods of 1869–1919 and 1986–2004 but strengthening during the period of 1920–85. Similar evolutions can be observed in the time series of the area-averaged winter surface air temperature over East Asia. Associated with the EAWM multidecadal variations, a quasi-barotropic Rossby wave train originating from the subtropical North Atlantic propagating across the Eurasian continent to Northeast Asia also experiences phase shifting at the same time. In its positive phase, the low-level anticyclonic anomaly over the northern Eurasian continent causes a stronger Siberian high; the mid- and high-level cyclonic anomalies over Northeast Asia deepen the East Asian trough and strengthen the East Asian jet stream, respectively. Thus, the positive phase of the wave train is conducive to stronger EAWMs and vice versa. The diagnostic analysis of the Rossby wave source indicates that the upper-tropospheric divergence anomalies over the North Atlantic can favor the excitation of this wave train, and the feedback forcing of high-frequency eddies plays important roles in its maintenance. In addition, the phase shifting of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) can induce a similar Rossby wave train across the Eurasian continent, through which it further modulates the multidecadal variations in the EAWM. Warm phases of the AMO are favorable for a stronger EAWM and colder midlatitude Eurasian continent and vice versa.

Tropical drought patterns and their linkages to large‐scale climate variability over Peninsular Malaysia

AbstractOcean–atmosphere modes of climate variability in the Pacific and Indian oceans, as well as monsoons, regulate the regional wet and dry episodes in tropical regions. However, how those modes of climate variability, and their interactions, lead to spatial differences in drought patterns over tropical Asia at seasonal to interannual time scales remains unclear. This study aims to analyse the hydroclimate processes for both short‐ and long‐term spatial drought patterns (3‐, 6, 12‐ and 24‐months) over Peninsular Malaysia using the Standardized Precipitation Index, Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, and Palmer Drought Severity Index. Besides that, a generalized least squares regression is used to explore underlying circulation mechanisms of these spatio‐temporal drought patterns. The tested drought indices indicate a tendency towards wetter conditions over Peninsular Malaysia. Based on principal component analysis, distinct spatio‐temporal drought patterns are revealed, suggesting North–South and East–West gradients in drought distribution. The Pacific El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the South Western Indian Ocean (SWIO) variability, and the quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) are significant contributors to the observed spatio‐temporal variability in drought. Both the ENSO and the SWIO modulate the North–South gradient in drought conditions over Peninsular Malaysia, while the QBO contributes more to the East–West gradient. Through modulating regional moisture fluxes, the warm phases of the ENSO and the SWIO, and the western phases of the QBO weaken the southwest and northeast monsoon, leading to precipitation deficits and droughts over Peninsular Malaysia. The East–West or North–South gradients in droughts are related to the middle mountains blocking southwest and northeast moisture fluxes towards Peninsular Malaysia. In addition, the ENSO and QBO variations are significantly leading to short‐term droughts (less than a year), while the SWIO is significantly associated with longer‐duration droughts (2 years or more). Overall, this work demonstrates how spatio‐temporal drought patterns in tropical regions are related to monsoons and moisture transports affected by the oscillations over the Pacific and Indian oceans, which is important for national water risk management.

Holocene evolution of a proglacial lake in southern Kamchatka, Russian Far East

The Kamchatka Peninsula (Russian Far East) remains among the least studied regions of eastern Asia. Recent studies revealed a high degree of palaeoenvironmental variability between different parts of the peninsula. We investigated semi‐aquatic (chironomids) and terrestrial (leaf wax biomarkers) proxies from a sediment core collected from Lake Sokoch (southern Kamchatka) to provide reconstruction of the mean July air temperature and variations in limnic conditions. The lake formed after 10.0 cal. ka BP as a result of postglacial warming and was fed by glacial meltwaters from neighbouring glaciers. Our data show a later beginning of the Holocene thermal maximum (HTM) relative to more northern sites in Kamchatka, Siberia and Chukotka and support climate model experiments that suggest that the HTM was delayed in southern and central Kamchatka by about 2000 years compared with Alaska and NE Siberia. Warm conditions prevailed between 10.0 and 6.4 cal. ka BP with a short spell of cool and dry climate around 8.2 cal. ka BP that might be related to the 8.2 ka cooling event. The HTM took place between 6.5 and 3.4 cal. ka BP with the warmest phase from 6.0 to 5.0 cal. ka BP. An onset of Neoglacial cooling at 3.4 cal. ka BP is consistent with the strengthening of both the Siberian High and the Aleutian Low. Warming between 1.2 and 0.9 cal. ka BP can be attributed to the Mediaeval Climate Anomaly. The LIA cooling is related to another strengthening of the Siberian High and the Aleutian Low. The modern warming, though weakly traced in our record, is consistent with the recent meteorological observations. The presented palaeoenvironment record confirms the earlier findings of spatial differences within Kamchatka in timing and magnitude of the major Holocene climate fluctuations and contributes towards understanding the expression of Holocene climate change in Kamchatka.

Variability in lightning hazard over Indian region with respect to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases

Abstract. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) modulates the lightning flash density (LFD) variability over India during premonsoon, monsoon and postmonsoon seasons. This study intends to shed light on the impact of ENSO phases on the LFD over the Indian subcontinent using the data obtained from Optical Transient Detector (OTD) and Lightning Imaging Sensors (LIS) onboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite. Results suggest the LFD over northeast India (NEI) and southern peninsular India (SPI) strengthened (weakened) during the warm (cold) phase of ENSO in the premonsoon season. During monsoon season, NNWI (north of northwest India) shows above (below) normal LFD in the cold (warm) ENSO phase. It is striking to note that there are three hot spots of LFD over the Indian land region which became more prominent during the monsoon seasons of the last decade. A widespread increase in LFD is observed all over India during the warm phase of ENSO in the postmonsoon season. A robust rise in graupel/snow concentration is found during the postmonsoon season over SPI in the ENSO warm phase, with the lowest fluctuations over the NEI and NNWI regions. The subtropical westerly jet stream is shifted south in association with the warm phase, accompanied by an increase in geopotential height (GPH) all over India for the same period. This exciting remark may explain the indirect influences of ENSO's warm phase on LFD during the postmonsoon season by pushing the mean position of the subtropical westerly towards southern latitudes. However, the marked increase in LFD is confined mostly over the NNWI in the cold ENSO phase.

Coastal drowning in Costa Rica: incident analysis and comparisons between Costa Rican nationals and foreigners.

International and domestic tourism is a growing industry in Costa Rica, with the most attractive places located along the coast. Despite their beauty, Costa Rican beaches can pose a high risk for foreign visitors: Drowning is the primary cause of unintentional death among international visitors. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of demographics, spatial and temporal trends of national and foreigner fatal drowning occurring at Costa Rican beaches during 2001–2019. For national beachgoers, teens and young male adults, ages 15–30 years are at greatest risk of drowning, while for foreigners, older adults ages 45–60 years exhibit higher risk. Temporal trends in drowning appear to be correlated with the number of beach visitors, which seem to be driven mainly by a combination of socioeconomical and climatic/weather factors. For instance, strong economic indicators for the Costa Rican population combined with good weather fostered during warm phases of El Niño Southern Oscillation attract more national beachgoers, which may increase the number of drowning deaths. These results will help authorities better understand the complex and dynamic drowning situation to develop better prevention strategies and policies that improve beach safety and raise awareness about coastal hazards and risk. Such actions will bolster the reputation of Costa Rica as a safe touristic destination.