Petrochemical Complex Research Articles

Health risk assessment in atmosphere near a petrochemical industrial complex: Measuring oxidative potential and oxidative burden

Particulate matter (PM) contributes substantially to the hazards associated with air pollution. Oxidative potential (OP) and oxidative burden (OB) can be useful to assess health risk. The population living in the area surrounding an industrial complex in the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo (Brazil) has exhibited higher frequencies of health impacts, such as thyroid diseases, which highlighted the authors' attention. In the present study, total suspended particles (TSP) and fine PM (PM2.5) were collected between 2015 and 2018. Then, OP and OB related to PM exposure at this industrial complex neighborhood were determined, using methods which measure the oxidation of lung antioxidants, glutathione (GHS), and ascorbic acid (AA), and reactive oxygen species (ROS) production by dithiothreitol (DTT) assay. TSP samples (2015 mean = 49 ± 21 μg m−3) showed higher concentrations than PM2.5 (2018 mean = 32 ± 18 μg m−3). PM2.5 campaigns presented high OP and OB for ascorbate (AA), and glutathione (GSH), while OP and OB for dithiothreitol (DTT) was higher in TSP. There were associations between OPAA and PM, for both TSP and PM2.5. However, no positive associations were found between PM and OBGSH and OBDTT indicating that in this context PM concentration did not necessarily reflect the health risk of exposure. The air masses trajectories indicated influences from industrial, vehicular emissions over the years. In conclusion, OP results may reveal critical health risks better than PM mass at this industrial complex region.

Spatial distribution, sources identification, and health risk assessment polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon compounds and polychlorinated biphenyl compounds in total suspended particulates (TSP) in the air of South Pars Industrial region-Iran.

South Pars Industrial Energy Zone, located in the southwest of Iran along the Persian Gulf coast, encompasses many industrial units in the vicinity of urban areas. This research study investigated the effects of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) on human health and the environment. Suspended particulate matters (SPM) in the air sampled, in summer and winter 2019, from ten stations next to industrial units and residential areas. The samples were analyzed by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS). Spatial distribution maps of pollutants in the region were prepared using GIS software. The highest carcinogenic risk due to PAHs and PCBs measured as ([Formula: see text]) and ([Formula: see text], respectively. According to the US Environmental Protection Agency limit ([Formula: see text]), the cancer risks from PAH compounds were significant and need further investigation. The PCB cancer risks were within acceptable ranges. The highest adsorption ratios for PAHs were obtained through skin and PCBs by ingestion. The maximum measured non-carcinogenic hazard indexes (HI) turned out to be 0.037 and 0.023 for PAH and PCB, respectively, and were reported as acceptable risks. The predominant source of PAH in industrial areas was liquid fossil combustion, and in urban areas replaced by coal-wood-sugarcane combustion. Petrochemical complexes, flares, power plants (69%), electric waste disposal sites, and commercial pigments (31%) were reported as PCB sources. Industries activities were the most effective factors in producing the highest level of carcinogenic compounds in the region, and it is necessary to include essential measures in the reform programs.

Characteristics and Impact of VOCs on Ozone Formation Potential in a Petrochemical Industrial Area, Thailand

In this study, the ambient concentrations of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were intensively measured from January 2012 to December 2016 using an evacuated canister and were analyzed using a gas chromatography/mass spectrophotometer (GC/MS) based on the US EPA TO-15 in the community and industrial areas of the largest petroleum refinery and petrochemical industrial complex in Map Ta Phut Thailand. The ternary diagram was used to identify the source of VOCs. Reactivity of VOCs on their ozone formation potential (OFP) were quantified by the maximum incremental reactivity coefficient method (MIR) and propylene-equivalent concentration methods. Results from the study revealed that aromatic hydrocarbon was the dominant group of VOCs greatly contributing to the total concentration of measured VOCs. Among the measured VOCs species, toluene had the highest concentration and contributed as the major precursor to ozone formation. The ternary analysis of benzene:toluene:ethybenzene ratios indicated that VOCs mainly originated from mobile sources and industrial processes. Within the industrial area, measured VOC concentration was dominated by halogenated hydrocarbons, and alkene was the highest contributor to ozone formation. The propylene-equivalent concentration method was also used to evaluate the reactivity of VOCs and their role in ozone formation, and secondly to support findings from the MIR method.

국가 석유화학 산업단지의 악취유발물질 배출특성에 관한 연구

This study analyzes and collects data for two years from 2020 to 2021 and analyzes 578 odor test data from Yeosu, Ulsan, and Seosan. Based on the analysis data by time zone, region, location, etc, this study proposes practical measures suitable for petrochemical complexes by focusing on the odor generation environment and the characteristics of inducing substances. In the case of complex odors, the Yeosu National Industrial Complex exceeded the strict emission allowance standard by six times at two points in the management area, the Daesan Industrial Complex exceeded the standard twice in the management area and affected area, and the Ulsan Industrial Complex was within the standard. In the case of ammonia, the Yeosu Industrial Complex had a detection rate of about 70.4 % compared to the Ulsan Industrial Complex, more than twice the detection rate of the Ulsan Industrial Complex at about 31.4 %. Three items out of 22 designated odors were detected in the Yeosu Industrial Complex, five items were detected in the Ulsan Industrial Complex, and four types of aldehydes were detected in Daesan Industrial Complex. Except for one detection of i-butyl alcohol at the Ulsan Industrial Complex, it was judged that few items belonging to volatile organic compounds were detected. However, due to the nature of the petrochemical complex, volatile organic compounds have been reported several times, which requires real-time air pollutant measurement vehicles or operation of odor integrated control centers linked to workplaces to quickly analyze and identify responsibility. Designated odors, which are odor-causing substances and air pollutants that account for most of the emissions from the petrochemical industrial complex, are mainly composed of carbon. This study, which investigates and analyzes the concentration data of odor substances in Korea''s three influential industries, aims to contribute to achieving the carbon neutral goal for zero carbon.

Industrial reuse of petrochemical effluents: A case study of ultrafiltration and reverse osmosis

The petrochemical industry uses high volumes of water in its production processes and generates effluents that have a great potential for reuse in production processes. The reuse of these effluents is, therefore, an alternative for the sustainable development of the sector. This study aimed at evaluating the application of ultrafiltration (UF) and reverse osmosis (RO) in the treatment of petrochemical effluents for the production of industrial reuse water, reducing environmental impacts caused by the disposal of effluents in the soil. The experiments were carried out with effluents named waste stabilization pond 1 (WSP-1), waste stabilization pond 8 (WSP-8) and an inorganic effluent (INO), which was used as feedwater in the pilot unit with a treatment capacity of 1 m³.h–1. The parameters chosen for evaluation in the treated effluents were calcium, magnesium, chloride, sulfate, electrical conductivity (EC), total organic carbon, color, chemical oxygen demand (COD), pH, total suspended solids and turbidity. Membrane permeate fluxes were determined to evaluate the performance of the pilot system. After treatment and characterization of each effluent, the results were compared to define the most suitable effluent to achieve the quality required for industrial reuse. The results showed that the proposed UF/RO treatment provided a stable flux for the WSP-8 effluent. Conversely, the other streams showed an accentuated decrease in flux, which indicates fouling processes of the UF and RO membranes. As for the efficiency of the treatment, the process removed compounds of interest such as COD above 90%, salts and EC above 92% for the three assessed effluents. Thus, considering all aspects evaluated in this study, WSP-8 was the most suitable to be used as feed in the pilot system with UF and RO. The permeate produced presented the necessary quality for reuse in the industries of the Southern Petrochemical Complex, presenting equivalent characteristics to those of clarified water. Thus, the reuse of treated petrochemical effluents may be an important alternative source of water resources in face of availability and scarcity restrictions in industries in southern Brazil.

Big petrochemical project may come to the Gulf Coast

The US Gulf Coast may be getting a massive new petrochemical complex. The engineering firm KBR says it has signed an agreement to license its catalytic olefin and steam cracking technologies to an unnamed “leading midstream company” that will use them to build a large facility. Midstream companies provide services such as operating pipelines, terminals, and storage facilities for the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries. They also fractionate chemical feedstocks like ethane from natural gas streams. Most don’t involve themselves directly in chemical production. KBR, one of the world’s largest petrochemical technology providers, says the facility will have 2.4 million metric tons (t) per year of light olefin capacity. That could make it larger than Dow’s new ethylene cracker in Freeport, Texas, which weighs in at 2 million t of capacity after a recent expansion and is billed as the largest facility of its kind in the world. KBR’s K-COT

Economy and energy saving in Kaveh petrochemical methanol complex with emphasis on heat exchanger networks using pinch technology

Economy and energy saving in Kaveh petrochemical methanol complex with emphasis on heat exchanger networks using pinch technology

STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS OF GATE VALVE BODY

Gate valves are machine elements which are commonly used to control the flow of volatile, often toxic, liquids and gases and keep them from being emitted into the atmosphere or spilled on the ground or into the water. This gate valve is widely used in various industries like refineries, petrochemical complexes, fertilizer plants, power generation plants (hydro - electric, thermal and nuclear) steel plants and allied industries etc. for a various process. This paper gives basic methodology of gate valve body design by using cad technologies and FEA at maximum operating pressure. The main purpose is structural analysis to be carried out for determining stresses and strains developed in the valve body. Keywords: gate valve body, structural analysis, FEA.

Influence of seasonal variability on source characteristics of VOCs at Houston industrial area

We studied the seasonal variations of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the Houston metropolitan area in the summertime and wintertime of 2018. The analysis of hourly measurements obtained from the automated gas chromatograph (auto-GC) network showed the total VOC average concentrations of 28.68 ppbC in the summertime and 33.81 ppbC in the wintertime. The largest contributions came from alkane compounds, which accounted for 61% and 82% of VOCs in the summer and winter, respectively. We performed principal component analysis (PCA) and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) and identified seven factors in the summertime and six factors in the wintertime, among which alkane species formed three factors according to their rate of reactions in both seasons: (1) the emissions of long-lived tracers from oil and natural gas (ONG long-lived species), (2) fuel evaporation, and (3) the emissions of short-lived tracers from oil and natural gas (ONG short-lived species). Two other similar factors were (4) emissions of aromatic compounds and (5) alkene species of ethylene and propylene. Summertime factor 6 was associated with acetylene, and one extra summertime factor 7 was influenced by the biogenic emissions. The factor 6 of wintertime was affected by vehicle exhaust. Higher nighttime and lower daytime values of the ethylene/acetylene ratios indicated a stronger rate of photochemical degradation during the summertime. Higher reactivities of alkenes and aromatics with radicals make seasonal differences of these compounds less variant. Also, the exploration of the photochemical processes of the VOCs showed that the ethylene and propylene had the highest contributions to the summertime and wintertime ozone formation as well as the emissions of the isoprene, which showed a high impact on summertime ozone. Our results acknowledged that ethylene and propylene continue to be significant emissions of VOCs, and their emissions control would help the mitigation of the ozone problem in downwind areas related to emissions at the Houston Ship Channel (HSC). Based on trajectory analysis, we localized the main VOC emission sources in HSC near local industrial areas and regions south of the HSC. Ambient concentrations of VOC in both seasons revealed compounds that measured at the HSC were influenced by the emissions from the petrochemical sectors and industrial complexes, especially from the Baytown refinery and Bayport industrial district next to the HSC and Galveston Bay refineries at the south of the study area.

New Procedure for Optimal Integration of Steam Power Plant With Process Site Utility to Produce Power, Steam, and Freshwater

Abstract Steam power plants are usually used for producing electricity and can simultaneously work as a multigeneration plant to produce steam, freshwater, and power. This study performed the optimal combination of a steam power station as the source and a site utility system as the sink of power and steam. Approximating the potential of the cogeneration before designing a central utility system for site utility systems is vital to set goals for onsite fuel demand along with power, freshwater, and steam production. For this purpose, a precise and efficient cogeneration targeting strategy was utilized to couple a site utility of a process and a steam power plant. This study proposed a novel strategy for optimal designing integrated steam power plants and site utility consisting of process station industries. Accordingly, exergy, exergoenvironmental, and exergoeconomic analyses were conducted. The environmental impacts of life cycle assessment (LCA) in exergoenvironmental analysis were apportioned to the exergy streams, pointing out the key factors of the system with the most significant impact on the environment and possible improvements related to them. Besides, the water cycle algorithm (WCA) was employed to optimize the integrated plant. The capabilities of the proposed procedure were implemented to the petrochemical complex site utility and steam power plant. The results showed that an optimum solution was achieved using the new procedure with significantly reduced computation time.

Assessment of the Carbon Budget of Local Governments in South Korea

This study was carried out to assess the carbon budget of local governments in South Korea. The carbon budget was obtained from the difference between net ecosystem productivity (NEP) that the natural ecosystem displays, and carbon dioxide emissions calculated from energy consumption in each local government. NEP was obtained from the difference between net primary productivity, measured by an allometric method, and soil respiration, measured with EGM-4 in natural forests and artificial plantations. Heterotrophic respiration was adjusted to 55% level of the total soil respiration based on existing research results. A field survey to obtain information for components of the carbon cycle was conducted in Cheongju (central Korea) and Yeosu (southern Korea). Pinus densiflora, Quercus acutissima, and Quercus mongolica (central Korea) and P. densiflora and Q. acutissima (southern Korea) forests were selected as the natural forests. Pinus rigida and Larix kaempferi (central Korea) and P. rigida (southern Korea) plantations were selected as the artificial plantations. Vegetation types were classified by analyzing LandSat images by applying a GIS program. CO2 emissions were the highest in Pohang, Gwangyang, and Yeosu, where the iron and the petrochemical industrial complexes are located. CO2 emissions per unit area were the highest in Seoul, followed by Pohang and Gwangyang. CO2 absorption was the highest in the Gangwon province, where the forest area ratio to the total area is the highest, and the lowest in the metropolitan areas such as Seoul, Incheon, Daegu, Daejeon, and Gwangju. The number of local governments in which the amount of absorption is more than the emission amount was highest in Gangwon-do, where 10 local governments showed a negative carbon budget. Eight, seven, five, five, three, and three local governments in Gyeongsangbuk-do, Jeollanam-do, Gyeongsangnam-do, Jeollabuk-do, Gyeonggi-do, and Chungcheongbuk-do, respectively, showed a negative carbon budget where the amount of carbon absorption was greater than the emission amount. The carbon budget showed a very close correlation with carbon emission, and the carbon emission showed a significant correlation with population size. Moreover, the amount of carbon absorption showed a negative correlation with population size, population density, and non-forest area, and a positive correlation with the total area of the forest, coniferous forest area, and broad-leaved forest area. Considering the reality that carbon emissions exceed their absorption, measures to secure absorption sources should be considered as important as measures to reduce carbon emissions to achieve carbon neutrality in the future. As a measure to secure absorption sources, it is proposed to improve the quality of existing absorption sources, secure new absorption sources such as riparian forests, and efficiently arrange absorption sources.

Water recovery from reverse osmosis concentrate by commercial nanofiltration membranes: A comparative study

In this work, the potential of three commercial nanofiltration membranes for the treatment of the RO concentrate of Fajr Petrochemical Complex, Iran, was examined. The effect of membrane type (TW30, NE70, and NE90), feed flow rate, and feed pressure on the permeation flux, flux decline, TDS removal, and ion rejections were investigated. The experimental results showed that by increasing the feed pressure and feed flow rate, the rejection and permeation flux were enhanced. Among the studied membranes, the TW30 membrane resulted in the highest TDS removal of 93.4% and water permeability of 2.84 L·m−2·h−1·bar−1 at 10 bar but showed more flux decline than NE90 and NE70. The rejection of calcium, magnesium, and chloride by TW30 membrane was 96.1%, 98.7%, and 90.3%, respectively, and the total hardness was reduced by 96.2%. The NE90 membrane showed also a good TDS removal (88.0%) but it had lower water permeability. The NE70 membrane exhibited the highest water permeability among the studied membranes but the permeate quality was not good and a TDS removal of 24.9% was observed which is not as good as the two other membranes.

State regulation measures and existing state strategy for the development of petrochemical industry in Russia

Development of petrochemical industry, in particular the increase in the efficiency and quality of refined products, necessitates high long-term capital expenditures from oil companies. Today the process of petrochemical industry modernization is facing certain difficulties, which include lack of high-quality modern technologies and engineering, instability of tax policy, lack of qualified personnel, underfunding of projects, low profitability of oil refineries, high dependence on imports of the industry, etc. Complexity of the domestic petrochemical industry development underpins its support from the state. Currently, the development of petrochemical industry is enshrined in three state program documents. These documents include general scheme for the development of oil industry for the period up to 2020, the plan for the development of gas and petrochemicals in Russia for the period up to 2030 and the strategy for the development of chemical and petrochemical complex for the period of up to 2030. This article examines state regulation measures and existing state strategy for the development of petrochemical industry in Russia, as well as the impact and consequences of this regulation reflected on the activities of corporations.

석유화학단지 내 화학물질 누출사고 발생 시 주민 대피 지원방안

In this study, we tried to suggest a plan to secure an evacuation site for local residents in preparation for the spread of anxiety and accidents caused by chemical accidents in petrochemical complexes. In the event of a chemical accident, it is recommended to limit movement as much as possible for optimal evacuation. Therefore, it is of paramount importance to utilize an evacuation space in your current location. Currently, civil defense facilities are designated as evacuation sites, and chemical disaster prevention equipment must be stored in existing evacuation facilities and air blocking facilities must be installed. To this end, it is necessary to establish comprehensive measures for chemical safety management of local governments. After that, preventive management and movement training functions such as accident prevention, measurement and monitoring, and follow-up evacuation support should be strengthened.

Factors Associated with Urinary 1-Hydroxypyrene and Malondialdehyde among Adults near a Petrochemical Factory: Implications for Sex and Lifestyle Modification.

Background: The association between the biomarkers of environmental exposure, oxidative stress, and health-related behaviors in community residents living in an endemic viral hepatitis area and near petrochemical industrial complexes remains unclear. From a health promotion perspective, healthcare providers must know what to do for residents concerned about their health and living environment, especially for individual-level and modifiable risk factors. Therefore, we aimed to explore the factors associated with urinary 1-hydroxypyrene (1-OHP) and malondialdehyde (MDA). Methods: A community-based, cross-sectional study was conducted between July 2018 and February 2019 in western coastal Yunlin County, Taiwan. All participants lived within a 10 km radius of a large petrochemical complex and did not work in the factory. This study was conducted with the local hospital through annual community health screening. Biological samples were collected and biomarkers determined and quantified in the central laboratory of the collaborating hospital. Results: A total of 6335 adult residents completed the study. The mean age was 47.7 (SD = 16) years. Out of the total population, 56.4% were female, 30.1% had metabolic syndrome (MetS), and 16.8% and 14.3% had hepatitis B virus antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis C virus antibody (anti-HCV) positivity, respectively. The median 1-OHP and MDA level was 0.11 and 0.9 μg/g creatinine with an interquartile range of 0.07–0.18, and 0.4–1.5, respectively. The MDA levels correlated with specific diseases. The multivariable ordinal logistic regression model revealed that female sex, smoking, betel nut use, HBsAg, and anti-HCV positivity were associated with higher 1-OHP levels. In men, MetS was associated with higher 1-OHP levels and regular exercise with lower 1-OHP levels. High MDA levels were associated with smoking, betel nut users, HBsAg, and anti-HCV positivity. Conclusions: The findings highlight the importance of initiating individualized health promotion programs for residents near petrochemical factories, especially for adults with substance-use and cardiometabolic risk factors. Furthermore, it is crucial to provide further treatment to patients with viral hepatitis.

Spatial distribution of BTEX emission and health risk assessment in the ambient air of pars special economic energy zone (PSEEZ) using passive sampling

Benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene and xylene (BTEX) are a challenging group of volatile organic compounds in industrial and energy areas. Since these aromatics may cause serious diseases such as cancer and respiratory illnesses, they must be monitored. Pars Special Economic Energy Zone (PSEEZ) in Iran is the second largest energy zone of the world with numerous gas refineries and petrochemical complexes for producing a wide range of products. This study is focused on determination of BTEX concentration in the whole South Pars area (46 sampling points) which is the active site of PSEEZ using passive sampling. Then, the results of the passive sampling are used for providing spatial distribution of BTEX using GIS. The annual BTEX measurements revealed that benzene and toluene concentration violates the maximum permitted values at numerous points most of which are located in the vicinity of petrochemical complexes. Active sampling in these complexes not only confirms the results of passive sampling, but also suggests a more intensified BTEX pollution in the air quality of the area which reaches as high as 3500μg.m-3 and 18,000μg.m-3 for benzene and toluene, respectively, being far beyond the acceptable standards. Health risk analysis also confirms the intensity of BTEX at the selected points. This study suggests a reconsideration of the location of non-operational sites and personnel who are more vulnerable to BTEX contamination. Also, BTEX profile provided by GIS in this research gives a suitable plan for relocating.

Simulation and Optimization of the Ethane Cracking Furnace Using ASPEN PLUS and MATLAB: A Case Study from Petrochemical Complexes

ABSTRACT Ethylene production is one of the most abundant activities in petrochemical industries. So, the main objective is to develop detailed models to describe a pyrolysis section in the real ethylene plant furnace located at the petrochemical complex (PC1), Basra, Iraq. Those models were utilized to evaluate the effects of the reaction temperature, steam to ethane ratio (DS/HC), and feedstock flowrate on the ethylene yield using different feedstock compositions. The simulation validity was tested by comparing the simulation results with the real data collected from the PC1 and showed an acceptable similarity and reliability depending on relative error values. A genetic algorithm coded by MATLAB and Aspen Plus optimizer was used to obtain the optimal operating conditions to give a maximum profit. The optimization results of Aspen Plus and GA showed an increase in the profit equal to 10.541 and 9.823% respectively when the reaction temperature, DS/HC and outlet flowrate of hydrocarbons were in the range of 850–920°C, 0.2–0.5, and 2421–1064 Kmole/hr respectively. Also, Increasing the ethane content in feedstock leads to an increase in the feedstock production of 16–19% ethane content.

MAPO-18 Catalysts for the Methanol to Olefins Process: Influence of Catalyst Acidity in a High-Pressure Syngas (CO and H2) Environment.

The transition from integrated petrochemical complexes toward decentralized chemical plants utilizing distributed feedstocks calls for simpler downstream unit operations. Less separation steps are attractive for future scenarios and provide an opportunity to design the next-generation catalysts, which function efficiently with effluent reactant mixtures. The methanol to olefins (MTO) reaction constitutes the second step in the conversion of CO2, CO, and H2 to light olefins. We present a series of isomorphically substituted zeotype catalysts with the AEI topology (MAPO-18s, M = Si, Mg, Co, or Zn) and demonstrate the superior performance of the M(II)-substituted MAPO-18s in the conversion of MTO when tested at 350 °C and 20 bar with reactive feed mixtures consisting of CH3OH/CO/CO2/H2. Co-feeding high pressure H2 with methanol improved the catalyst activity over time, but simultaneously led to the hydrogenation of olefins (olefin/paraffin ratio < 0.5). Co-feeding H2/CO/CO2/N2 mixtures with methanol revealed an important, hitherto undisclosed effect of CO in hindering the hydrogenation of olefins over the Brønsted acid sites (BAS). This effect was confirmed by dedicated ethene hydrogenation studies in the absence and presence of CO co-feed. Assisted by spectroscopic investigations, we ascribe the favorable performance of M(II)APO-18 under co-feed conditions to the importance of the M(II) heteroatom in altering the polarity of the M–O bond, leading to stronger BAS. Comparing SAPO-18 and MgAPO-18 with BAS concentrations ranging between 0.2 and 0.4 mmol/gcat, the strength of the acidic site and not the density was found to be the main activity descriptor. MgAPO-18 yielded the highest activity and stability upon syngas co-feeding with methanol, demonstrating its potential to be a next-generation MTO catalyst.

New blending facility for BRB’s silicones business in Malaysia

BRB International, a subsidiary of PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad (PCG), officially opened a new blending facility on December 14th in the vicinity of PCG’s petrochemical complex in Gebeng, Kuantan, Malaysia.

СТРУКТУРА ПРОИЗВОДСТВЕННОЙ СИСТЕМЫ РОССИЙСКОГО ХИМИЧЕСКОГО КОМПЛЕКСА: АНАЛИЗ ПРОШЕДШЕГО ПЯТИЛЕТИЯ

The authors monitored the organization of the production systems of the Russian chemical complex after half of the implementation period of the chemical industry development program until 2030. The results of 2021 were analyzed as indicators of the midpoint of the implementation of this program, which indicated the stability of the trends in the development of the complex. The article uses the results of the study «Expert and analytical support for assessing the state of the chemical complex of Russia and the performance targets for the implementation of the strategy for the development of the chemical and petrochemical complex for the period up to 2030» and the forecasts made by the authors at the initial stage of the program. It is shown that, despite the average utilization of the production capacities of the chemical complex by more than 80%, it is necessary to consider this indicator differentially by industry. The highest level of utilization was noted in the production of household chemicals and synthetic detergents, ammonia and methanol, and the lowest – in the production of chemical plant protection products and rubber products. It is concluded that the dynamics of the chemical complex of the Russian Federation demonstrates insufficient development of the direction associated with high processing of raw materials, therefore, it is advisable to increase the level of processing of raw materials in every possible way in the chemical industry, and to avoid strong dependence on fluctuations in world prices to focus on the domestic market, including innovative sectors of the economy and dual-use technologies.