Objective To study the prognostic factors of survival in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) treated with sunitinib. Methods From May 2008 to Dec 2012, the clinical data of 82 cases with mRCC adminstered by sunitinib were reviewed retrospectively. The study included 60 male patients and 22 female patients, whose age ranged from 29 to 82 years [mean (56.1±11.3) years]. Among them, 52 cases presented hematuria, flank pain and palpable mass. The size of renal tumor ranged from 2.0 to 18.0 cm [mean (8.0±3.0) cm]. The location of tumor included 41 in left kidney, 37 in right kidney and 4 in bilateral kidney. The pathological tissue obtained from the operation in 69 cases and from biopsy in 13 cases. The pathological results demonstrated renal cell carcinoma in 75 cases, papillary cell carcinoma in 2 cases, chromophobe cell carcinoma in 2 cases, sarcomatoid carcinoma in 2 cases, collecting duct carcinoma in one case. The site of metastasis included lung in 50 cases, liver in 11 cases, bone in 14 cases, pancrease in 3 cases, retroperitoneal lymph node in 31 cases. In 52 cases, the ECOG scores ranged from 1 to 2. The others scores were more than 3. The average level of hemoglobin, AKP, LDH and leukocyte were (132±24) g/L, (90±65) U/L, (168±114) U/L and (6.4±2.0)×109/L, respectively. Before treatment, the abnormal cases in those parameters were 59, 9, 6 and 2, respectively. According to the MSKCC risk model, 14 cases were classified into the high risk group and 68 cases into medium risk group. 74 cases were accepted the sunitinb therapy within one year after diagnosis and 8 cases were accepted same therapy until one year after diagnosis. The overall survival (OS) rates were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the influencing factors and the prognosis. Results The average OS was (21.6±14.1) months (ranged 2.8 to 64.1 months). The survival rate at 1st, 2nd and 3rd year were 71%, 64% and 58%, respectively. Single factor analysis showed that significant prognostic factors were as follows: ECOG performance status ≥2 (P=0.005), clinical symptom during first clinic visiting (P=0.031), without nephrectomy (P=0.012), the number of metastatic sites≥2 (P=0.015), hemoglobin before treatment (P=0.005), serum AKP level before treatment (>126 U/L) (P=0.007), MSKCC score≥3 (P=0.000), the presence of liver metastases (P=0.000) and bone metastases (P=0.000) and relative dose intensity in the first month (1M-RDI) of sunitinib ≥50% (P=0.000). Cox regression model showed that the beneficial predictive factors were ECOG performance status<2 (P=0.136), no symptom during the first clinic visiting (P=0.801), serum AKP <126 U/L (P=0.618) before treatment, the absence of bone (P=0.068) and pancreas metastases (P=0.265). Sunitinib 1M-RDI ≥50% was the independent predictive factor (P=0.000). Conclusions In targeted therapy era, there is some change in the prognostic factors for mRCC and target drug play an important role in the prognosis of mRCC. Sunitinib 1M-RDI ≥50% is the independent predictive factor for the prognosis of renal carcinoma. Key words: Metastatic renal cell carcinoma; Targeted therapy; Prognostic factor; Relative dose intensity in the first month
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