Paleoclimatic Evidence Research Articles

Climate and ice sheet dynamics in Patagonia throughout marine isotope stages 2 and 3

Abstract. During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ∼ 23 000 to 19 000 years ago), the Patagonian Ice Sheet (PIS) covered the central chain of the Andes between ∼ 38 to 55° S. Existing paleoclimate evidence – mostly derived from glacial landforms – suggests that maximum ice sheet expansions in the Southern Hemisphere and Northern Hemisphere were not synchronized. However, large uncertainties still exist in the timing of the onset of regional deglaciation and its major drivers. Here we present an ensemble of numerical simulations of the PIS during the LGM. We assess the skill of paleoclimate model products in reproducing the range of atmospheric conditions needed to enable an ice sheet growth in concordance with geomorphological and geochronological evidence. The resulting best-fit climate product is then combined with records from southern South America offshore sediment cores and Antarctic ice cores to drive transient simulations throughout the last 70 ka using a glacial index approach. Our analysis suggests a strong dependence of the PIS geometry on near-surface air temperature forcing. Most ensemble members underestimate the ice cover in the northern part of Patagonia, while tending to expand beyond its constrained eastern boundaries. We largely attribute these discrepancies between the model-based ice geometries and geological evidence to the low resolution of paleoclimate models and their prescribed ice mask. In the southernmost sector, evidence suggests full glacial conditions during marine isotope stage 3 (MIS3, ∼ 59 400 to 27 800 years ago), followed by a warming trend towards MIS2 (∼ 27 800 to 14 700 years ago). However, in northern Patagonia, this deglacial trend is absent, indicating a relatively consistent signal throughout MIS3 and MIS2. Notably, Antarctic cores do not reflect a glacial history consistent with the geochronological observations. Therefore, investigations of the glacial history of the PIS should take into account southern midlatitude records to capture effectively its past climatic variability.

Current evidence indicates a Eurasian origin for the Last Common Ancestor of African apes and humans, and supports a new hypothesis suggesting that the Zanclean Megaflood (5.3 Ma) may have played a role in the ultimate divergence of Pan and Homo.

While the established paradigm of human evolution asserts that the lineages leading to the extant great apes and Homo arose in Africa, the large number of fossil discoveries from Europe in recent decades support arguments for a European origin of the Hominidae (all great apes) and plausibly, also a European common ancestor of the Homininae (African great apes, Australopithecus species, and the genus Homo). Meanwhile, a lack of consensus remains regarding the phylogenetic placement of australopithecine fossil species in Africa, with substantial evidence indicating that some of them may align more closely to extant African great apes than to Homo. Based on a novel interpretation of existing fossil, genetic, paleogeographic and paleoclimatic evidence, this paper aims to put forward a new hypothesis regarding the separate divergences of Gorilla, Pan, and Homo. We support existing arguments that the last common ancestor of African great apes and Homo may have lived in Europe in the late Miocene, and we put forward a new hypothesis as to where, when, and why the separate lineages may have started to diverge. Extreme conditions during the Vallesian Crisis (11.6-8.0 Ma) and the Messinian Salinity Crisis (6.0-5.3 Ma) may have forced separate branches of European hominids to migrate out of the Mediterranean region. We argue that the lineages leading to Gorilla and Pan independently migrated into Africa, while the lineage leading to Homo went in another direction. Thereafter, the Zanclean Megaflood (5.3 Ma)--which caused the Mediterranean to refill very quickly--may have cut off the migration route between Eurasia and Africa at the Sinai Peninsula, isolating a small population (the putative Homo lineage) on the Arabian Peninsula / Red Sea coast during a period of hyperaridity. The other group (Pan lineage) crossed into Africa, where it subsequently diversified into various species of Australopithecus.

Spontaneous Activation of the Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation (PMOC) in Long-Term Ocean Response to Greenhouse Forcing

Abstract The present-day deep ocean global meridional overturning circulation is dominated by the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), with dense water sinking in the high-latitude North Atlantic Ocean. In contrast, deep-water formation in the subarctic North Pacific is inhibited by a strong upper-ocean halocline, which prevents the development of an analogous Pacific meridional overturning circulation (PMOC). Nevertheless, paleoclimate evidence suggests that a PMOC with deep-water formation in the North Pacific was active, for instance, during the warm Pliocene epoch and possibly during the most recent deglaciation. In the present study, we describe a spontaneous activation of the PMOC in a multimillennial abrupt 4 × CO2 experiment using one of the configurations of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1). Soon after the imposed CO2 increase, the model’s AMOC collapses and remains in a weakened state for several thousand years. The PMOC emerges after some 2500 years of integration, persists for about 1000 years, reaching nearly 10 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1), but eventually declines to about 5 Sv. The PMOC decline follows the AMOC recovery in the model, consistent with an Atlantic–Pacific interbasin seesaw. The PMOC activation relies on two factors: (i) gradual warming and freshening of the North Pacific deep ocean, which reduces ocean vertical stratification on millennial time scales, and (ii) upper-ocean salinity increase in the subarctic North Pacific over several centuries, followed by a rapid erosion of the pycnocline and activation of deep-water formation. Ultimately, our results provide insights on the characteristics of global ocean overturning in warm climates.

Determining of an oceanic anoxic event and paleoenvironmental conditions of the Gulneri Formation Kirkuk Oilfield, Northern Iraq

Stable isotopic geochemistry in relation to major and trace elements geochemistry of core samples from the Gulneri Formation at Kirkuk Oilfield Northern Iraq has been conducted to determine the occurrence of the oceanic anoxic event (OAE2) and reconstruct the paleoenvironmental conditions during this event. Positive values of the stable carbon isotopic data have revealed that temperature is high during deposition accompanied with higher organic productivity and a high rate of organic carbon burial with a decrease in dissolved oxygen in marine environments, whereas, negative oxygen isotopic values indicate deposition in hot, dry, semi-arid environments with salty marine waters and high organic productivity. These results were also supported by geochemical evidence of paleoclimate through C-value and ratios of Sr/Cu, Rb/Sr, and Ga/Rb, paleosalinity using proxies from Ca/Ca+Fe and Sr/Ba ratios, and paleoproductivity using P/Ti, P/Al and barium ratios. The paleoredox proxies from V/(V+Ni), V/Ni, and U/Th ratios and Uδ indicate dominant anoxic conditions. The recorded oceanic anoxic event (OAE2) has been determined through significant excursion in carbon and oxygen isotopic values as well as geochemical proxies within the sequences of the upper part of the formation marking the final stage of the OAE event.

Clay mineralogical evidence of Quaternary paleoclimate in Northern Morocco

The paleoclimate during the Pleistocene period can be deduced from the study of the composition of clay minerals in the marine terraces of the Tangier region, Morocco. In the study, samples collected from the study area's deposits were examined to determine the different clay mineral compositions and their palaeoclimatic implications. Consequently, quantitative assemblages of clay minerals were obtained by studying data from X-ray diffraction (XRD) diffractograms. These assemblages are mainly composed of illite and minor quantities of montmorillonite. The dominance of the mineral illite reveals that the region experienced dry, arid climatic conditions, and the montmorillonite shows seasonal climatic periods. These data are strongly correlated with Pleistocene climatic conditions in the Mediterranean region.

Diversification of faunal exploitation strategy and human-climate interaction in Southern China and Southeast Asia during the last deglaciation

Southern China and Southeast Asia were favourable habitats for foragers during the Last Glacial Maximum (∼25–18 ka BP) and the Last Deglaciation (∼18–11.7 ka BP), despite various climate fluctuation. However, the underlying subsistence strategies in these areas remains unclear, due to the lack of systematic chronological and archaeological data. The current study reports new results of radiocarbon dating, U-series dating, and zooarchaeological analysis from the Naminan cave site, located at the boundary between Southern China and Southeast Asia. It reveals that deer was consumed as the primary source of meat (91.7 %), supplemented by turtles, wild oxen, monkeys, wild boars, and mustelids during ∼17.35–16.49 ka BP. The subsequent period of ∼15.55–15.35 ka BP saw a radical declining proportion of deer, with various new species being consumed, such as shrews, porcupines, fish, crab, canidae, and wild cat. Human occupation of the Naminan cave site might have lasted until the Early Holocene. Comparing archaeological and paleoclimate evidence from Southern China and Southeast Asia, it is reasonable to argue that a progressively drier and colder climate during ∼17.35–15.35 ka BP appeared to trigger a remarkable decline in human activity but greater range of diets in locations such as the Naminan cave and Yuchanyan sites, facilitating further expansion of hunting-gathering groups during the late phase of the Last Deglaciation with warm and humid climate. This study contributes fresh data and perspective to a greater understanding of the evolution of human-climate interactions in low-latitude regions during Late Paleolithic period.

California margin temperatures modulate regional circulation and extreme summer precipitation in the desert Southwest

In August 2022, Death Valley, the driest place in North America, experienced record flooding from summertime rainfall associated with the North American monsoon (NAM). Given the socioeconomic cost of these type of events, there is a dire need to understand their drivers and future statistics. Existing theory predicts that increases in the intensity of precipitation is a robust response to anthropogenic warming. Paleoclimatic evidence suggests that northeast Pacific (NEP) sea surface temperature (SST) variability could further intensify summertime NAM rainfall over the desert southwest. Drawing on this paleoclimatic evidence, we use historical observations and reanalyzes to test the hypothesis that warm SSTs on the southern California margin are linked to more frequent extreme precipitation events in the NAM domain. We find that summers with above-average coastal SSTs are more favorable to moist convection in the northern edge of the NAM domain (southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, and the southern Great Basin). This is because warmer SSTs drive circulation changes that increase moisture flux into the desert southwest, driving more frequent precipitation extremes and increases in seasonal rainfall totals. These results, which are robust across observational products, establish a linkage between marine and terrestrial extremes, since summers with anomalously warm SSTs on the California margin have been linked to seasonal or multi-year NEP marine heatwaves. However, current generation earth system models (ESMs) struggle to reproduce the observed relationship between coastal SSTs and NAM precipitation. Across models, there is a strong negative relationship between the magnitude of an ESM’s warm SST bias on the California margin and its skill at reproducing the correlation with desert southwest rainfall. Given persistent NEP SST biases in ESMs, our results suggest that efforts to improve representation of climatological SSTs are crucial for accurately predicting future changes in hydroclimate extremes in the desert southwest.

Archaeobotanical Insights into Kañawa (Chenopodium pallidicaule Aellen) Domestication: A Rustic Seed Crop of the Andean Altiplano

Kañawa/Cañihua (Chenopodium pallidicaule Aellen) is the lesser-known cousin of the domesticated Andean pseudocereal quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.). In 1970, Daniel Gade hypothesized that Andean farmers may have domesticated volunteer wild kañawa plants that occupied quinoa or potato fields after observing that they could survive harsh climatic events such as drought or frost. To revisit this question of kañawa domestication, this paper provides an overview of the current botanical, genetic, and archaeological knowledge of kañawa domestication. It then provides patterns in the presence of wild and domesticated kañawa seeds from archaeological sites in the southern Lake Titicaca Basin of Bolivia, spanning the Formative and Tiwanaku periods from approximately 1500 BCE to 1100 CE. This archaeobotanical evidence supports Gade’s hypothesis that kañawa was a later domesticate, not appearing until after 250 CE. Regional paleoclimatic evidence of frequent climatic fluctuations lends support to the argument that kañawa contributed to a diversified food supply, which could provide a buffer against climate risks.

Understanding Nevada’s Current Drought in Historical and Paleoclimatic Context

Nevada lies in one of the driest parts of North America. The region has long grappled with droughts and also with extended periods in which the already dry climate aridified for decades or centuries. Here we place Nevada’s most recent statewide drought (2020 – present) in the context of historical, archaeological and paleoclimate records dating back through the Mid-Holocene. The current drought is distinct from historical droughts that impacted the state in the 1930s, 1950s, and 1970’s and 1980s. It is notably warmer than droughts of the 20th century and more spatially extensive than any of these, although the 1930s drought also impacted much of the West. The early 2020s drought is also embedded within a two-decade long dry period, raising important questions about whether it is (1) drought, a relatively short period of abnormal dryness; (2) megadrought, a longer and typically more severe period of unusually dry conditions; (3) the manifestation of aridification, a shift toward a generally drier climate because of long-term precipitation declines and/or warming; or (4) some combination of the three. A broader view suggests that at least some aspects of drought since 2020 may not be unique. Paleoclimate evidence from cave deposits, lake and meadow sediments, animal middens, dead wood and tree rings indicate that Nevada and much of the western United States experienced decadal and centennial long dry periods in the Middle Holocene (5000 – 7000 years ago), the Late Holocene, (1800 – 3100 years ago), during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (1000 – 650 years ago) and again 600 – 500 years ago. The archaeological record shows that Indigenous Nevadans responded by repeatedly adapting to changing paleoenvironmental conditions. However, some key questions about fine-scale temporal and spatial variability in the experience of drought remain. Limitations in the spatial, seasonal and temporal resolutions of climate reconstructions—and in the observational record—may obscure the evidence for short or seasonally specific wet periods within longer dry periods or spatial variability in precipitation. Nonetheless, proxy and archaeological evidence from the last 10,000 years shows that understanding and responding to drought requires viewing drought on these time spans with an appreciation for the details that appear in modern observations.

Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model

Given paleoclimatic evidence that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may affect the global climate system, we conduct model experiments with EC-Earth3, a state-of-the-art GCM, to specifically investigate, for the first time, mechanisms of precipitation change over the Euro-Atlantic sector induced by a weakened AMOC. We artificially weaken the strength of the AMOC in the model through the release of a freshwater anomaly into the Northern Hemisphere high latitude ocean, thereby obtaining a ~ 57% weaker AMOC with respect to its preindustrial strength for 60 model years. Similar to prior studies, we find that Northern Hemisphere precipitation decreases in response to a weakened AMOC. However, we also find that the frequency of wet days increases in some regions. By computing the atmospheric moisture budget, we find that intensified but drier storms cause less precipitation over land. Nevertheless, changes in the jet stream tend to enhance precipitation over northwestern Europe. We further investigate the association of precipitation anomalies with large-scale atmospheric circulations by computing weather regimes through clustering of geopotential height daily anomalies. We find an increase in the frequency of the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO+), which is associated with an increase in the occurrence of wet days over northern Europe and drier conditions over southern Europe. Since a ~ 57% reduction in the AMOC strength is within the inter-model range of projected AMOC declines by the end of the twenty-first century, our results have implications for understanding the role of AMOC in future hydrological changes.

Paleogene Ficus leaves from India and their implications for fig evolution and diversification.

Ficus is a scientifically and economically important genus with abundant fossil records from the Paleocene to Pleistocene, but with an intriguing early evolutionary history that remains unresolved. Here, the foliage of three well-preserved figs is described from the early Paleogene succession of the Gurha mine, Rajasthan, India. These fossils provide new morphological data that strengthens our understanding of the past occurrences of Ficus and, alongside all validly published records of fossil figs, helps to trace the evolutionary history of figs. Fossils were identified and described by comparison with their closest modern analogs using the Nearest Living Relative (NLR) technique. Validated fig records are listed and categorized into six geological time frames. Modern precipitation data for the current distributions of NLRs were downloaded from the Climatic Research Unit Timeseries. Fossil leaves assigned to three new species Ficus paleodicranostyla, F. paleovariegata, and F. paleoauriculata closely resemble their modern analogs based on leaf morphology. Reliable fossil records were used to hypothesize historical fig distributions and paleodispersal pathways. Precipitation data suggest higher precipitations at the fossil locality during the early Paleogene than at present. The fossils described herein supplement fig fossil records known from other regions indicating that figs were widely diverse across low latitudes by the early Paleogene. These data support a Eurasian origin for figs, highlight a pivotal role for the Indian subcontinent during the early phase of fig diversification, and depict a perhumid-to-humid climate with high rainfall concordant with paleoclimate evidence from the Gurha mine.

Holocene hydroclimatic variability in the tropical Pacific explained by changing ENSO diversity

Understanding El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) response to past climate forcings is hindered by conflicting paleoclimate evidence. Records from the eastern Pacific show an intensification of ENSO variability from early to late Holocene, while records from the central Pacific show highly variable ENSO throughout the Holocene without an obvious relation to insolation forcing, which is the main climate driver during this interval. Here, we show via climate model simulations that conflicting Holocene records can be reconciled by considering changes in the relative frequency of the three preferred spatial patterns in which El Niño events occur (Eastern Pacific, Central Pacific, and Coastal) and in the strength of their hydroclimatic impacts. The relationship between ENSO diversity and variance is not only crucial for interpreting paleo-ENSO records and understanding ENSO response to external forcings but can also be used across climate model simulations to help evaluate the realism of ENSO projections in a changing climate.

Megadrought: A Series of Unfortunate La Niña Events?

AbstractMegadroughts are multidecadal periods of aridity more persistent than most droughts during the instrumental period. Paleoclimate evidence suggests that megadroughts occur in many parts of the world, including North America, Central America, western Europe, eastern Asia, and northern Africa. It remains unclear to what extent such megadroughts require external forcing or whether they can arise from internal climate variability alone. A novel statistical–dynamical approach is used to evaluate the possibility that such events arise solely as a function of interannual tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variations. A statistical emulator of tropical SST variations is constructed by using an empirical moving‐blocks bootstrap approach that randomly samples multiyear sequences of the observational SST record. This approach preserves the power spectrum, seasonal cycle, and spatial pattern of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) but removes longer timescale fluctuations embedded in the observational record. These resampled SST anomalies are then used to force an atmospheric model (the Community Atmosphere Model Version 5). As megadroughts emerge in this run, they should, therefore, be solely a consequence of La Niña sequences combined with internal atmospheric variability and persistence driven by soil moisture storage and other land‐surface processes. We indeed find that megadroughts in this simulation have an amplitude‐duration rate that is generally indistinguishable from the rate documented in paleoclimate records of the western United States. Our findings support the idea that megadroughts may occur randomly when the unforced climate system evolves freely over a sufficiently long period of time, implying that an unforced unusual but statistically plausible series of La Niña events may be sufficient to generate megadrought.

New paleoclimatic evidence of an extraordinary rise in temperature in the Northern Hemisphere in the last 3–4 decades

ABSTRACT Prognosis of temperature changes in the Northern Hemisphere for the period 1980–2020 was made using seven temperature paleoreconstructions covering the last 1–2 millennia and ending 1979–2016. Forecasts were made using the analogue nonlinear prediction method. A part of paleodata before 1800 (prior to the beginning of anthropogenic impact) was used as an information bank. In all seven cases, the forecast gave either a decrease or a very slight increase in temperature during 1980–2020. Statistical experiments performed with using prediction errors based on a conservative estimation of reconstruction uncertainties showed that a temperature increase of 0.25°C in the specified epoch is not excluded, but its probability is low (P < 0.20). This means that if the climate in the 20th - early 21st century was controlled by the same dynamic system as before 1800, the noticeable warming of the Northern Hemisphere in 1980–2020 should not be observed. Thus, it was shown that the data of modern paleoclimatology confirm that the climate of the Northern Hemisphere in the last 40–50 years was significantly influensed by an additional factor that did not act in the previous 1–2 millennia. It was also shown that if the actual uncertainties are significantly higher than the conservative estimates used, a warming of 0.5 degrees between 1980 and 2020 due to internal climate variability becomes possible.

Stable Southern Hemisphere westerly winds throughout the Holocene until intensification in the last two millennia

The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds sustain the Southern Ocean’s role as one of Earth’s main carbon sinks, and have helped sequester nearly half the anthropogenic CO2 stored in the ocean. Observations show shifts in the vigor of this climate regulator, but models disagree how future change impacts carbon storage due to scarce baseline data. Here, we use the hydrogen isotope ratios of sedimentary lipids to resolve Holocene changes in Southern Hemisphere westerly wind strength. Our reconstruction reveals stable values until ~2150 years ago when aquatic compounds became more 2H-enriched. We attribute this isotope excursion to wind-driven lake water evaporation, and regional paleoclimate evidence shows it marks a trend towards a negative Southern Annular Mode – the Southern Ocean’s main mode of atmospheric variability. Because this shift is unmatched in the past 7000 years, our findings suggest that previously published millennium-long Southern Annular Mode indices used to benchmark future change may not capture the full range of natural variability.

Clay-cation composition of river sediments as evidence of wet versus dry paleoclimate

Cation compositions (XNa, XCa, XMg) of clays in a fluvial, Late Pleistocene, clay-rich siliciclastic sedimentary unit are shown to reflect the composition of surface water at the time of deposition, with clays deposited from surface water in a semi-arid climate (evaporation > precipitation) having an XNa >8%, compared with XNa < 8% for clays deposited under wetter conditions (evaporation < precipitation). This is a product of evaporation in the dry climate that results in an increase in Na relative to Ca and Mg in the surface water during deposition. This trend is shown in fluvial sediments from the Texas Gulf Coast where both the present-day climate, and the climate during Late Pleistocene deposition, have a gradient from wet humid subtropical (mild temperate) in the north, to dry semi-arid subtropical in the south where evaporation exceeds precipitation for much of the year. The possibility that the clay-cation compositions could have been altered by meteoric water recharge after deposition was considered by comparing the ratios of the conservative ion Cl against Na, which undergoes cation exchange. It was found that the Na-rich clays currently present in the dry environment are releasing Na into the groundwater where they are enriched in Na relative to Cl, which strongly supports the original deposition of Na-rich clays rather than Na-poor clays in the south. This trend was not present in the northern sediments with the wetter climate, which supports the original deposition of Na-poor clays. These results support that the Na content relative to Ca and Mg in clays deposited with siliciclastic sediments from surface water in a fluvial environment could possibly be used as paleoclimate proxies to predict wet versus dry climates.

Holocene environmental changes in the fuegian forest and steppe, Argentina

Environmental changes were reconstructed from a multiproxy synthesis of over 30 localities from the Isla Grande de Tierra del Fuego and Isla de los Estados, southernmost South America. At a local scale, the results from the mountain forest and gently undulating steppe areas were integrated as well as those from the marine environments of the Beagle Channel and the Atlantic coasts. At a regional scale, the results were integrated with those published for the southernmost Andean and Extra-Andean Patagonia and the Antarctic Peninsula. This study focuses on the environmental evolution during the Late Glacial-Holocene transition, the Middle to Late Holocene transgressive-regressive hemicycle and wet-dry oscillations, the Medieval Climate Anomaly, the Little Ice Age, the tephra inputs from the Patagonian Andes, and the recent climatic warming. Most paleoenvironmental changes are related to variations in the latitudinal position and intensity of the Southern Westerly Winds (SWW) while others are associated with astronomical or endogenous forcings. At a strong intensity of the SWW, a greater contribution of humidity to the forest areas and an increase in the rainfall gradient create windy and arid conditions in the steppe. At a weak intensity of the SWW, lower humidity input in the forest areas and the advection of air masses from the Atlantic Ocean promoted humid and slightly windy conditions in the steppe. Similar environmental trends are observed between terrestrial and marine environments in the center and south of Tierra del Fuego, Isla de los Estados and the Antarctic Peninsula, and between the Fuegian steppe and Extra-Andean Patagonia. The paleoclimatic evidence reveal high environmental variability in the last 10,000 years for this sector of the Southern Hemisphere.

Revisiting 1177 BCE and the Late Bronze Age Collapse

Revisiting 1177 BCE and the Late Bronze Age Collapse

A tree ring-based hydroclimate reconstruction for eastern Europe reveals large-scale teleconnection patterns

We present a new beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) tree-ring width composite chronology from five natural low-elevation forests in eastern Romania, which represent the species’ continental distribution limit. Our regional beech chronology reflects April–June hydroclimate variability in form of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index over large parts of Romania, Ukraine, and the Republic of Moldova, for which high-resolution paleoclimatic evidence is broadly missing. Most of the reconstructed hydroclimatic extremes back to 1768 CE are confirmed by documentary evidences, and a robust association is found with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns in the Northern Hemisphere and sea surface temperatures over the North Atlantic. Reconstructed pluvials coincide with a high-pressure system over the North Atlantic Ocean and north-western Europe, and with a low-pressure system over south-western, central and eastern Europe, whereas historical droughts coincide with a high-pressure system over Europe and a low-pressure system over the central part of the Atlantic Ocean. Our study demonstrates the potential to produce well-replicated, multi-centennial beech chronologies for eastern Europe to reconstruct regional hydroclimate variation and better understand the causes and consequences of large-scale teleconnection patterns.

Prolonged drying trend coincident with the demise of Norse settlement in southern Greenland.

Declining temperature has been thought to explain the abandonment of Norse settlements, southern Greenland, in the early 15th century, although limited paleoclimate evidence is available from the inner settlement region itself. Here, we reconstruct the temperature and hydroclimate history from lake sediments at a site adjacent to a former Norse farm. We find no substantial temperature changes during the settlement period but rather that the region experienced a persistent drying trend, which peaked in the 16th century. Drier climate would have notably reduced grass production, which was essential for livestock overwintering, and this drying trend is concurrent with a Norse diet shift. We conclude that increasingly dry conditions played a more important role in undermining the viability of the Eastern Settlement than minor temperature changes.