Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Research Articles

CO2 variability over a tropical coastal station in India: Synergy of observation and model

Carbon dioxide (CO2), being the prime greenhouse gas, has largest contribution in radiative forcing and global warming due to increased anthropogenic emissions leading to regional and global climate change. We performed CO2 measurements using a continuous monitoring instrument at a tropical coastal station at the southern tip of India (Thumba; 8.54° N, 76.86° E) during 2017–2021. Combining measurements with model simulations and satellite observations, present study aims to understand CO2 variabilities, contribution of various sources and role of dynamics. The observed trend of 2.19 ppm y−1 is well simulated (2.47 ppm y−1) by the chemistry-transport model (MIROC4-ACTM), which is contributed by trends in fossil fuel (4.59 ppm y−1), biosphere (−1.46 ppm y−1) and ocean (−0.66 ppm y−1) tracers of CO2 flux. Mean seasonal cycle with amplitude of about 8 ppm is observed, with a maximum during premonsoon (April) and minimum at the end of the monsoon season (September). The model reproduced the observed seasonal cycle well (r2 = 0.89) and showed that the seasonal peak is predominantly contributed by the land biospheric flux seasonality. Biospheric sink during postmonsoon is counterbalanced by emissions from fossil fuel burning. Biosphere and fossil fuel are major contributors in shaping the observed seasonal pattern with negligible seasonality in oceanic tracer due to its uniform flux patterns in the Indian Ocean. Mean diurnal pattern of CO2 exhibits lower values during daytime (cleaner marine airmass) and higher values during nighttime (continental airmass) with deeper diurnal amplitude in the winter (~50 ppm) than in the summer (~31 ppm). Seasonal pattern in total column CO2 from OCO-2 (Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2) is similar to the surface observations but shows nearly half of the observed seasonal amplitude. Long-term continuous measurements over distinct environments are desirable for further deepening the understanding of CO2 variability, estimation of regional carbon budget and for climate mitigation policies.

Evaluating the performance of carbon dioxide and methane observations from carbon-monitoring satellite products over China

As the primary greenhouse gases contributing to climate change, carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH4) play a critical role in the Earth's radiative balance and temperature regulation. Continuous and accurate satellite monitoring of CO₂ and CH₄ is essential for developing effective policies and strategies to mitigate their impacts. This study utilizes ground-based Fourier-transform infrared measurements from the Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) to evaluate the performance of current mainstream carbon-monitoring satellites over China, the world's largest carbon emitter. Our findings show that TanSat performs excellently for CO₂ observations at both Hefei and Xianghe sites, achieving a standard deviation (SD) of about 2 ppm and a maximum bias of 0.25 ppm, dropping to 0.02 ppm at Xianghe. In contrast, Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO)-3 and Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT)-2 CO2 measurements are slightly less reliable. For CH₄ monitoring, GOSAT outperforms GOSAT-2, with a SD of around 14 ppb and bias within 2 ppb, compared to GOSAT-2's 17.58 ppb SD and 2.15 ppb bias at Hefei. These results indicate that the latest carbon-monitoring satellites are less precise and accurate than their predecessors. Additionally, we provide detailed assessments of the data products based on different spatial matching criteria. We also discuss the variation in satellite accuracy over time, revealing periodic bias variations and the instability in satellite performance. Furthermore, while the spatial distribution trends of satellite acquisitions are generally consistent on an annual scale, we observe non-negligible differences in the annual averages across specific land surfaces. Our study presents a meticulous evaluation of the reliability of satellite-based carbon-monitoring products over the Chinese region and provides scientific evidence for analyzing uncertainty in carbon source-sink studies.

Greenhouse gas column observations from a portable spectrometer in Uganda

Abstract. The extensive terrestrial ecosystems of tropical Africa are a significant store of carbon and play a key but uncertain role in the atmospheric budgets of carbon dioxide and methane. As ground-based observations in the tropics are scarce compared with other parts of the world, recent studies have instead made use of satellite observations assimilated into atmospheric chemistry and transport models to conclude that methane emissions from this geographical region have increased since 2010 as a result of increased wetland extent, accounting for up to a third of global methane growth, and that the tropical Africa region dominates net carbon emission across the tropics. These studies critically rely on the accuracy of satellite datasets, such as those from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2), the Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT), and the Sentinel-5 Precursor TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), along with results from atmospheric transport models, over a geographical region where there are little independent data to test the robustness of published results. In this paper we present the first ground-based observations of greenhouse gas column concentrations over East Africa, obtained using a portable Bruker EM27/SUN Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer during a deployment covering the first few months of 2020 in Jinja, Uganda. We operated the instrument near autonomously by way of an automated weatherproof enclosure and observed total atmospheric column concentrations of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane, as well as carbon monoxide, a useful proxy for emissions from incomplete combustion processes in the region. We discuss the performance of the combined enclosure and spectrometer system that we deployed in Jinja to obtain these data and show comparisons of our ground-based observations with satellite datasets from OCO-2 and Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3 (OCO-3) for carbon dioxide and TROPOMI for methane and carbon monoxide, whilst also comparing our results with concentration data from the GEOS-Chem and Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) atmospheric inversions that provide a means of increasing spatial and temporal coverage where satellite data are not available. For our measurement period, we find mean differences in XCO2 between OCO-2 and the EM27/SUN of −0.29 % and between OCO-3 and the EM27/SUN of −0.28 %. In the case of TROPOMI, the mean difference in XCH4 that we find between TROPOMI and the EM27/SUN is −0.44 %, whilst for XCO the mean difference is −5.65 %. In each of these cases, the mean difference observed between the satellite and ground-based column concentrations is either close to or within the precision and accuracy requirements for the respective missions. With regard to the model and reanalysis comparisons with the EM27/SUN column concentrations, we see mean differences from the EM27/SUN of a global GEOS-Chem inversion for XCO2 of −0.08 %, a regional high-resolution GEOS-Chem inversion for XCH4 of −0.22 %, and the CAMS global reanalysis for XCO of −9.79 %. Our results demonstrate the value of ground-based observations of total column concentrations and show that the combined EM27/SUN and enclosure system employed would be suitable for acquisition of the longer-term observations needed to rigorously evaluate satellite observations and model and reanalysis calculations over tropical Africa.

Understanding Terrestrial Water and Carbon Cycles and Their Interactions Using Integrated SMAP Soil Moisture and OCO‐2 SIF Observations and Land Surface Models

AbstractRecently, more advanced synchronous global‐scale satellite observations, the Soil Moisture Active Passive enhanced Level 3 (SMAP L3) soil moisture product and the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO‐2) solar‐induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) product, provide an opportunity to improve the predictive understanding of both water and carbon cycles in land surface modeling. The Simplified Simple Biosphere Model version 4 (SSiB4) was coupled with the Top‐down Representation of Interactive Foliage and Flora Including Dynamics Model (TRIFFID) and a mechanistic representation of SIF. Incorporating dynamic vegetation processes reduced global SIF root‐mean‐squared error (RMSE) by 12%. Offline experiments were conducted to understand the water and carbon cycles and their interactions using satellite data as constraints. Results indicate that soil hydraulic properties, the soil hydraulic conductivity at saturation (Ks) and the water retention curve, significantly impact soil moisture and SIF simulation, especially in the semi‐arid regions. The wilting point and maximum Rubisco carboxylation rate (Vmax) affect photosynthesis and transpiration, then soil moisture. However, without atmospheric feedback processes, their effects on soil moisture are undermined due to the compensation between soil evaporation and transpiration. With optimized parameters based on SMAP L3 and OCO‐2 data, the global RMSE of soil moisture and SIF simulations decreased by 15% and 12%, respectively. These findings highlight the importance of integrating advanced satellite data and dynamic vegetation processes to improve land surface models, enhancing understanding of terrestrial water and carbon cycles.

Mapping high-resolution XCO2 concentrations in China from 2015 to 2020 based on spatiotemporal ensemble learning model

High-resolution column-averaged dry air mole fraction of CO2 (XCO2) data is crucial for understanding the spatiotemporal patterns of XCO2 and for mitigating carbon emissions. Due to the limited scanning range of sensors and strict inversion conditions, satellite-retrieved XCO2 data are often significantly incomplete. Machine learning models are widely used to fill these gaps in satellite XCO2 data. However, the limitations of individual machine learning models and the complexity of the spatial distribution of XCO₂ mean that the accuracy of XCO2 predictions still needs improvement. In this study, a new spatiotemporal stacked ensemble learning model (STEL) was developed by combining random forest (RF), extremely randomized trees (ERT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), optical gradient boosting (LightGBM), and categorical boosting (CatBoost) using the stacking ensemble learning methodology. Considering the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of XCO2, a novel spatiotemporal weighting feature was constructed as part of the model's input parameters. Finally, the XCO2 observed by Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) was reconstructed using STEL, and a monthly mean XCO2 dataset covering China from 2015 to 2020 was generated at a spatial resolution of 0.1°. The results show that STEL exhibits superior performance and generalization capabilities compared to individual machine-learning models. R2 RMSE and MAPE were 0.9624, 1.0023 ppm, and 0.1583 % on the test set, and 0.8970, 1.4213 ppm, and 0.2475 % for R2, RMSE, and MAPE in ground validation, respectively. In 10-fold cross-validation, STEL's RMSE was reduced by 9.52 % compared to the best-performing single model (RF). The spatiotemporal trend of CO2 in China from 2015 to 2020 was analyzed using STEL XCO2 data. The results indicate that this dataset accurately reflects the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of XCO2 distribution at a fine scale. Overall, XCO2 exhibited a spatiotemporal pattern of “high in the east and low in the west” and “high in spring and low in summer.” Except in summer, high XCO₂ values were mainly distributed in the North China Plain. XCO2 trends and hotspots showed considerable spatial variation. The Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations have the fastest XCO2 growth rates, and the distribution of XCO2 hotspots is consistent with the distribution of population and economic centers. In the sparsely populated northwest of China, XCO2 is growing rapidly due to increased thermal power generation and coal mining. XCO2 hotspots in Northwest China are mainly located in Xinjiang, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia. The methodology and data presented are useful for further research on carbon emissions, carbon sinks, and climate change.

A leaf age-dependent light use efficiency model for remote sensing the gross primary productivity seasonality over pantropical evergreen broadleaved forests.

Tropical and subtropical evergreen broadleaved forests (TEFs) contribute more than one-third of terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP). However, the continental-scale leaf phenology-photosynthesis nexus over TEFs is still poorly understood to date. This knowledge gap hinders most light use efficiency (LUE) models from accurately simulating the GPP seasonality in TEFs. Leaf age is the crucial plant trait to link the dynamics of leaf phenology with GPP seasonality. Thus, here we incorporated the seasonal leaf area index of different leaf age cohorts into a widely used LUE model (i.e., EC-LUE) and proposed a novel leaf age-dependent LUE model (denoted as LA-LUE model). At the site level, the LA-LUE model (average R2 = .59, average root-mean-square error [RMSE] = 1.23 gC m-2 day-1) performs better than the EC-LUE model in simulating the GPP seasonality across the nine TEFs sites (average R2 = .18; average RMSE = 1.87 gC m-2 day-1). At the continental scale, the monthly GPP estimates from the LA-LUE model are consistent with FLUXCOM GPP data (R2 = .80; average RMSE = 1.74 gC m-2 day-1), and satellite-based GPP data retrieved from the global Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) based solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) product (GOSIF) (R2 = .64; average RMSE = 1.90 gC m-2 day-1) and the reconstructed TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument SIF dataset using machine learning algorithms (RTSIF) (R2 = .78; average RMSE = 1.88 gC m-2 day-1). Typically, the estimated monthly GPP not only successfully represents the unimodal GPP seasonality near the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn, but also captures well the bimodal GPP seasonality near the Equator. Overall, this study for the first time integrates the leaf age information into the satellite-based LUE model and provides a feasible implementation for mapping the continental-scale GPP seasonality over the entire TEFs.

Characterizing the Regional Differences in Carbon Dioxide Concentration Based on Satellite Observations in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region during 2015–2021

The regional differences in carbon dioxide (CO2) variations from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (Jing-Jin-Ji) region from 2015 to 2021 are analyzed in this study. This study shows an annual increase and a seasonal cycle; the CO2 annual growth rate was about 2.63 ppm year−1, with the highest value being in spring and the lowest in summer. The spatial distribution is unbalanced, regional differences are prominent, and the CO2 concentration is lower in the north of the Jing-Jin-Ji region (like Zhangjiakou, Chengde, and Qinhuangdao). Land-type structures and population economy distributions are the key factors affecting CO2 concentration. By analyzing the land-type structures over Jing-Jin-Ji in 2020, we find that cropland, woodland, and grassland (CWG) are the main land cover types in Jing-Jin-Ji; the proportion of these three types is about 83.3%. The woodland areas in Zhangjiakou, Chengde, and Qinhuangdao account for about 65% of the total woodland areas in Jing-Jin-Ji; meanwhile, the grassland areas in these three regions account for 62% of the total grassland areas in Jing-Jin-Ji. CO2 concentration variation shows a high negative correlation with CWG land areas (coefficient of determination (R2) > 0.76). The regions with lower population and GDP secondary industry (SI) density also have lower CO2 concentration (like Zhangjiakou, Chengde, and Qinhuangdao), and the regions with higher population and GDP SI density also have higher CO2 concentration (like the southeast of Jing-Jin-Jin).

Random Forest Model-Based Inversion of Aerosol Vertical Profiles in China Using Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Oxygen A-Band Observations

Aerosol research is important for the protection of the ecological environment, the improvement of air quality, and as a response to climate change. In this study, a random forest (RF) estimation model of aerosol optical depth (AOD) and extinction coefficient vertical profiles was, respectively, established using Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) oxygen-A band (O2 A-band) data from China and its surrounding areas in 2016, combined with geographical information (longitude, latitude, and elevation) and viewing angle data. To address the high number of OCO-2 O2 A-band channels, principal component analysis (PCA) was employed for dimensionality reduction. The model was then applied to estimate the aerosol extinction coefficients for the region in 2017, and its validity was verified by comparing the estimated values with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) Level 2 extinction coefficients. In the comprehensive analysis of overall performance, an AOD model was initially constructed using variables, achieving a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.676. Subsequently, predictions for aerosol extinction coefficients were generated, revealing a satisfactory agreement between the predicted and the actual values in the vertical direction, with an R of 0.535 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.107 km−1. Of the four seasons of the year, the model performs best in autumn (R = 0.557), while its performance was relatively lower in summer (R = 0.442). Height had a significant effect on the model, with both R and RMSE decreasing as height increased. Furthermore, the accuracy of aerosol profile inversion shows a dependence on AOD, with a better accuracy when AOD is less than 0.3 and RMSE can be less than 0.06 km−1.

Refining Spatial and Temporal XCO2 Characteristics Observed by Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 and Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3 Using Sentinel-5P Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument NO2 Observations in China

Refining Spatial and Temporal XCO2 Characteristics Observed by Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 and Orbiting Carbon Observatory-3 Using Sentinel-5P Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument NO2 Observations in China

Fast retrieval of XCO2 over east Asia based on Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) spectral measurements

Abstract. The increase in greenhouse gas concentrations, particularly CO2, has significant implications for global climate patterns and various aspects of human life. Spaceborne remote sensing satellites play a crucial role in high-resolution monitoring of atmospheric CO2. However, the next generation of greenhouse gas monitoring satellites is expected to face challenges, particularly in terms of computational efficiency in atmospheric CO2 retrieval and analysis. To address these challenges, this study focuses on improving the speed of retrieving the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of carbon dioxide (XCO2) using spectral data from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) satellite while still maintaining retrieval accuracy. A novel approach based on neural network (NN) models is proposed to tackle the nonlinear inversion problems associated with XCO2 retrievals. The study employs a data-driven supervised learning method and explores two distinct training strategies. Firstly, training is conducted using experimental data obtained from the inversion of the operational optimization model, which is released as the OCO-2 satellite products. Secondly, training is performed using a simulated dataset generated by an accurate forward calculation model. The inversion performance and prediction performance of the machine learning model for XCO2 are compared, analyzed, and discussed for the observed region over east Asia. The results demonstrate that the model trained on simulated data accurately predicts XCO2 in the target area. Furthermore, when compared to OCO-2 satellite product data, the developed XCO2 retrieval model not only achieves rapid predictions (<1 ms) with good accuracy (1.8 ppm or approximately 0.45 %) but also effectively captures sudden increases in XCO2 plumes near industrial emission sources. The accuracy of the machine learning model retrieval results is validated against reliable data from Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) sites, demonstrating its ability to effectively capture CO2 seasonal variations and annual growth trends.

A global surface CO2 flux dataset (2015–2022) inferred from OCO-2 retrievals using the GONGGA inversion system

Abstract. Accurate assessment of the size and distribution of carbon dioxide (CO2) sources and sinks is important for efforts to understand the carbon cycle and support policy decisions regarding climate mitigation actions. Satellite retrievals of the column-averaged dry-air mole fractions of CO2 (XCO2) have been widely used to infer spatial and temporal variations in carbon fluxes through atmospheric inversion techniques. In this study, we present a global spatially resolved terrestrial and ocean carbon flux dataset for 2015–2022. The dataset was generated by the Global ObservatioN-based system for monitoring Greenhouse GAses (GONGGA) atmospheric inversion system through the assimilation of Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) XCO2 retrievals. We describe the carbon budget, interannual variability, and seasonal cycle for the global scale and a set of TransCom regions. The 8-year mean net biosphere exchange and ocean carbon fluxes were −2.22 ± 0.75 and −2.32 ± 0.18 Pg C yr−1, absorbing approximately 23 % and 24 % of contemporary fossil fuel CO2 emissions, respectively. The annual mean global atmospheric CO2 growth rate was 5.17 ± 0.68 Pg C yr−1, which is consistent with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) measurement (5.24 ± 0.59 Pg C yr−1). Europe has the largest terrestrial sink among the 11 TransCom land regions, followed by Boreal Asia and Temperate Asia. The dataset was evaluated by comparing posterior CO2 simulations with Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) retrievals as well as Observation Package (ObsPack) surface flask observations and aircraft observations. Compared with CO2 simulations using the unoptimized fluxes, the bias and root mean square error (RMSE) in posterior CO2 simulations were largely reduced across the full range of locations, confirming that the GONGGA system improves the estimates of spatial and temporal variations in carbon fluxes by assimilating OCO-2 XCO2 data. This dataset will improve the broader understanding of global carbon cycle dynamics and their response to climate change. The dataset can be accessed at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8368846 (Jin et al., 2023a).

Quantitative analysis of spatiotemporal coverage and uncertainty decomposition in OCO-2/3 XCO2 across China

The Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2/3 (OCO-2/3) employs a full-physics inversion algorithm and estimates the column-averaged dry air mole fraction of carbon dioxide (XCO2). This research focuses on the spatiotemporal coverage and associated uncertainties of OCO-2/3's XCO2 measurements within the Chinese region. We undertook an extensive statistical examination of the daily, weekly, 16-day, and monthly spatiotemporal coverage of XCO2 across China, employing data from both OCO-2 and OCO-3 and their amalgamated datasets. Additionally, we used a posterior error analysis method to rigorously evaluate the uncertainties induced by various input parameters in the XCO2 inversion model across different regions in China. Our findings reveal that OCO-2's spatial coverage spans 2.3–53.8% in China at a spatial resolution of 1° × 1°, and OCO-3's spatial coverage spans 3.3 and 47.4% across these time scales in China. Notably, the combined coverage rates of both satellites are significantly higher, ranging from 5.4 to 72.6%. Our analysis also reveals a gradual decrease in XCO2 coverage and inversion rates from north to south and west to east across China. A significant portion of the uncertainties in OCO-2/3 XCO2 measurements, over 90%, were attributed to primary error sources such as instrument, aerosol, and CO2 prior profile. Aerosol-induced errors show regional variations, with higher levels observed in Southeast China. Compared to TCCON data, the accuracy of XCO2 measurements in the two Chinese sites was lower than the global average. Our research identifies the spatiotemporal distribution and uncertainty decomposition of carbon satellites at a regional scale in China, providing an essential reference for future research.

Interannual variability of summertime formaldehyde (HCHO) vertical column density and its main drivers at northern high latitudes

Abstract. The northern high latitudes (50–90° N, mostly including boreal-forest and tundra ecosystems) have been undergoing rapid climate and ecological changes over recent decades, leading to significant variations in volatile organic compounds (VOC) emissions from biogenic and biomass burning sources. Formaldehyde (HCHO) is an indicator of VOC emissions, but the interannual variability of HCHO and its main drivers over the region remains unclear. In this study, we use the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model and satellite retrievals from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) and the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) to examine the interannual variability of HCHO vertical column density (VCD) during the summer seasons spanning from 2005 to 2019. Our results show that, in 2005–2019 summers, wildfires contributed 75 %–90 % of the interannual variability of HCHO VCD over Siberia, Alaska and northern Canada, while biogenic emissions and background methane oxidation account for ∼ 90 % of HCHO interannual variability over eastern Europe. We find that monthly solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2), an efficient proxy for plant photosynthesis, shows a good linear relationship (R= 0.6–0.7) with the modeled biogenic HCHO column (dVCDBio,GC) in eastern Europe, Siberia, Alaska and northern Canada, indicating the coupling between SIF and biogenic VOC emissions over the four domains on a monthly scale. In Alaska, Siberia and northern Canada, SIF and dVCDBio,GC both show relatively lower interannual variabilities (SIF: CV = 1 %–9 %, dVCDBio,GC: CV = 1 %–2 %; note that CV stands for coefficient of variation) in comparison to wildfire-induced HCHO (CV = 8 %–13 %), suggesting that the high interannual variabilities of OMI HCHO VCD (CV = 10 %–16 %) in these domains are likely driven by wildfires instead of biogenic emissions.

Integration of surface-based and space-based atmospheric CO2 measurements for improving carbon flux estimates using a new developed 3-GAS inversion model

The ongoing necessity and developmental trajectory in atmospheric CO2 assimilation system revolve around enhancing the optimization efficacy of assimilation inversions through the synergistic integration of distinct observational datasets. In this study, we developed an new inversion system-Global Greenhouse-Gases Assimilation System (3-GAS), by coupling the global atmospheric transport model GEOS-Chem with the four-dimensional local ensemble transform Kalman filter (4D-LETKF) algorithm. We compiled an integrated dataset utilizing the widely recognized carbon observation data from ObsPack (Observation Package), GOSAT (The Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite), and OCO-2 (Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2) to estimate global surface fluxes. The integration of multiple observational data significantly amplifies spatial coverage, enhances the variability in flux inversion, and fosters improvements in localized assimilation efficacy. The spatial distribution of the carbon flux from the combined assimilation emerges as a comprehensive outcome, born from the assimilation with individual observational data. This distribution is primarily influenced by the coverage attributes of the original observations and the meticulous selection of observations during the assimilation process. The validation with surface and aircraft observations reveals that the results of combined assimilation possess composite advantages, which are manifested in alleviating certain intrinsic errors inherent to individual assimilation. The combined assimilation improves the accuracy based on root-mean-square error reduced by 9%, 22% and 33% in comparison to surface-only, GOSAT-only and OCO-2-only assimilation. Eventually, predicated upon preliminary inversion results and regional characteristics, we endeavor to propose a more refined filtration scheme and error determination method for the integrated dataset, as the initiative for the efficient assimilation of multi-source data.

Urban XCO2 Gradients From a Dense Network of Solar Absorption Spectrometers and OCO‐3 Over Mexico City

AbstractSatellite measurements of urban CO2 plumes offer a global approach to track CO2 emissions for large cities. To examine and to quantify the feasibility of space‐based monitoring, an intensive measurement campaign (MERCI‐CO2) using seven solar‐tracking Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometers has been conducted over the Mexico City Metropolitan Area (MCMA) to monitor urban emissions and to evaluate Snapshot Area Map (SAM) observations from the NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory‐3 (OCO‐3) mission. Once adjusted for their respective averaging kernels, we diagnosed a positive difference between OCO‐3 and FTIR column measurements (1.06 ppm). Thanks to this unprecedented amount of column observations over a large city, we demonstrate that XCO2 gradients within OCO‐3 SAMs align with the inter‐calibrated FTIR measurements (mean bias of 0.3 ppm), confirming the potential to track CO2 emissions from space over large metropolitan areas. XCO2 urban‐rural differences across the FTIR network, show a strong correlation with observed gradients, with Pearson's correlation coefficients (R) around 0.92. The correlation is significantly lower when considering intra‐urban gradients, where R drop to around 0.24. Simulated XCO2 enhancements (ΔXCO2) based on X‐STILT for both FTIR and OCO‐3 show relatively high correlations (R is around 0.6) using high‐resolution footprints and two gridded inventories. Spatial correlations with OCO‐3 improve when aggregating satellite retrievals at coarser resolutions (10 km). Our study demonstrates the capabilities of detecting urban gradients by FTIR network and OCO‐3 SAM observations over MCMA, a promising result to evaluate the evolution of MCMA's emissions over the coming decade.

Revisiting the quantification of power plant CO2 emissions in the United States and China from satellite: A comparative study using three top-down approaches

Top-down constraints of CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants are critical to improving the accuracy of CO2 emission inventory and designing carbon reduction strategies. Different top-down models based on satellite observation have been proposed in previous studies, but discrepancies between these models and the underlying drivers are rarely explored, limiting the confidence of their application for monitoring point-source CO2 emissions from satellite. Here, we apply three top-down models to estimate CO2 emissions from individual coal-fired power plants in the United States (US) and China in 2014–2021 from Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) satellite observations. The first one applies the Gaussian plume model to optimize emissions by fitting modeled CO2 enhancement to the observation. The second and third methods apply the same inversion framework using the maximum likelihood estimation, but with WRF-Chem and WRF-FLEXPART as forward models, respectively. We evaluate consistency between the three methods in estimating emissions of 10 power plants in the US, using daily reported values from the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) as a benchmark, and then apply the three methods to quantify emissions of 13 power plants in China. Results show that the WRF-Chem and WRF-FLEXPART based inversion results are consistent with the EPA reported emission rates, with correlation coefficients (r) of 0.76 and 0.85 and mean biases (MB) of 4.06 and 3.97 ktCO2/d relative to EPA reports at all 10 power plants, respectively. The Gaussian plume model driven by wind fields from WRF-Chem model without the wind rotation shows comparable ability in reproducing the EPA reported emission rates at 7 power plants (r = 0.82, MB = 6.17), but is not applicable for the other three cases. We find that application of the high-resolution three-dimensional wind fields can better capture the shape of observed plumes, especially under complex wind conditions, compared to the Gaussian plume model which relies on wind field at a single point, and thus the Gaussian plume model has difficulty to optimize emissions under inhomogeneous wind fields or when observations are far away from the power plant. In general, using the WRF-FLEXPART model as the forward model in the inverse analysis shows advanced capability to simulate narrow-shape plumes in the absence of numerical diffusion which is inherent in Eulerian model such as WRF-Chem. Emissions estimated by the three top-town methods show a moderate consistency at 13 coal-fired power plant cases in China, with 8 of 13 cases showing differences of <30% between at least two methods. However, large differences emerge when wind fields are inhomogeneous and number of available observations is limited. Using different meteorological wind fields and OCO-2 data versions can also bring substantial differences to the posterior emissions for all three approaches. We find that the posterior CO2 emissions, though only reflecting instantaneous emission rates at satellite overpass time, are not proportional to the reported capacities of these power plants, indicating that attributing CO2 emissions simply based on the capacity of power plants in some bottom-up approaches may have significant discrepancies. Our study exposes the capability and limitation of different top-down approaches in quantifying point-source CO2 emissions, advancing their application for better serving increasing constellations of point-source imagers in the future.

Data Drought in the Humid Tropics: How to Overcome the Cloud Barrier in Greenhouse Gas Remote Sensing

AbstractDiagnosing land‐atmosphere fluxes of carbon‐dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) is essential for evaluating carbon‐climate feedbacks. Greenhouse gas satellite missions aim to fill data gaps in regions like the humid tropics but obtain very few valid measurements due to cloud contamination. We examined data yields from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory alongside Sentinel‐2 cloud statistics. We find that the main contribution to low data yields are frequent shallow cumulus clouds. In the Amazon, the success rate in obtaining valid measurements vary from 0.1% to 1.0%. By far the lowest yields occur in the wet season, consistent with Sentinel‐2 cloud patterns. We find that increasing the spatial resolution of observations to ∼200 m would increase yields by 2–3 orders of magnitude and allow regular measurements in the wet season. Thus, the key to effective tropical greenhouse gas observations lies in regularly acquiring high‐spatial resolution data.

Assessing the impact of global carbon dioxide changes on atmospheric fluctuations in Iran through satellite data analysis

ABSTRACT Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (CO2), a significant greenhouse gas, drives climate change, influencing temperature, rainfall, and the hydrologic cycle. This alters precipitation patterns, intensifies storms, and changes drought frequency and timing of floods, impacting ecosystems, agriculture, water resources, and societies globally. Understanding how global CO2 fluctuations impact regional atmospheric CO2 levels can inform mitigation strategies and Facilitate water resources management. The study investigates how global CO2 fluctuations affect atmospheric CO2 concentrations (XCO2) in Iran from 2015 to 2020, aiming to inform mitigation strategies against climate change. XCO2 data OCO-2 satellite and CO2 surface flux data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) were analyzed. Over the 6 years, XCO2 in Iran increased steadily by 12.66 ppm, mirroring global rises. However, Iran's CO2 surface flux decreased, with slight increases in anthropogenic emissions but decreased natural and total fluxes. Monthly patterns of XCO2 and surface flux exhibited variations, with XCO2 reaching its zenith in spring and dipping to its lowest point during summer, while surface flux peaked during the summer months. The results reveal a significant discrepancy between Iran's surface CO2 flux and atmospheric XCO2 trends. While Iran's anthropogenic emissions increased barely from 2015–2020, its natural and total CO2 fluxes decreased. However, XCO2 increased steadily over this period, indicating the dominant impact of global rather than local factors on Iran's XCO2. Curbing worldwide greenhouse gas output is imperative to disrupt the current trajectory of climate change. Reporting CO2 levels can inform climate mitigation plans, reducing emissions to combat global warming and minimize global impacts on the hydrologic cycle.

Tracking Carbon Dioxide with Lagrangian Transport Simulations: Case Study of Canadian Forest Fires in May 2021

The large amounts of greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, produced by severe forest fires not only seriously affect the ecosystems in the area where the fires occur but also cause a greenhouse effect that has a profound impact on the natural environment in other parts of the world. Numerical simulations of greenhouse gas transport processes are often affected by uncertainties in the location and timing of the emission sources and local meteorological conditions, and it is difficult to obtain accurate and credible predictions by combining remote sensing satellite data with given meteorological forecasts or reanalyses. To study the regional transport processes and impacts of greenhouse gases produced by sudden large-scale forest fires, this study applies the Lagrangian particle dispersion model Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) to conduct forward simulations of the CO2 transport process of greenhouse gases emitted from forest fires in the central region of Saskatchewan, Canada, during the period of 17 May to 25 May 2021. The simulation results are validated with the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Goddard Earth Observing System (OCO-2 GEOS) Level 3 daily gridded CO2 product over the study area. In order to leverage the high computational costs of the numerical simulations of the model, we implement the forward simulations on the Tianhe-2 supercomputer platform and the JUWELS HPC system, which greatly improves the computational efficiency through parallel computation and makes near-real-time predictions of atmospheric transport processes feasible.

The importance of digital elevation model accuracy in XCO2 retrievals: improving the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 Atmospheric Carbon Observations from Space version 11 retrieval product

Abstract. Knowledge of surface pressure is essential for calculating column-averaged dry-air mole fractions of trace gases, such as CO2 (XCO2). In the NASA Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) Atmospheric Carbon Observations from Space (ACOS) retrieval algorithm, the retrieved surface pressures have been found to have unacceptable errors, warranting a parametric bias correction. This correction depends on the difference between retrieved and a priori surface pressures, which are derived from a meteorological model that is hypsometrically adjusted to the surface elevation using a digital elevation model (DEM). As a result, the effectiveness of the OCO-2 bias correction is contingent upon the accuracy of the referenced DEM. Here, we investigate several different DEM datasets for use in the OCO-2 ACOS retrieval algorithm: the OCODEM used in ACOS v10 and previous versions, the NASADEM+ (a composite of SRTMv4, ASTER GDEMv3, GIMP, and RAMPv2 DEMs) used in ACOS v11, the Copernicus GLO-90 DEM (GLO-90 DEM), and two polar regional DEMs (ArcticDEM and REMA). We find that the NASADEM+ (ASTER GDEMv3) has a persistent negative bias on the order of 10 to 20 m across most regions north of 60° N latitude, relative to all the other DEMs considered (OCODEM, ArcticDEM, and GLO-90 DEM). Variations of 10 m in DEM elevations lead to variations in XCO2 of approximately 0.4 ppm, meaning that the XCO2 from OCO-2 ACOS v11 retrievals tends to be 0.4 to 0.8 ppm lower across regions north of 60° N than XCO2 from OCO-2 ACOS v10. Our analysis also suggests that the GLO-90 DEM has superior global continuity and accuracy compared to the other DEMs, motivating a post-processing update from OCO-2 v11 Lite files (which used NASADEM+) to OCO-2 v11.1 by substituting the GLO-90 DEM globally. We find that OCO-2 v11.1 improves accuracy and spatial continuity in the bias-corrected XCO2 product relative to both v10 and v11 in high-latitude regions while resulting in marginal or no change in most regions within ± 60° latitude. In addition, OCO-2 v11.1 provides increased data throughput after quality control filtering in most regions, partly due to the change in DEM but mostly due to other corrections to quality control parameters. Given large-scale differences north of 60° N between the OCODEM and NASADEM+, we find that replacing the OCODEM with NASADEM+ yields a ∼ 100 TgC shift in inferred carbon uptake for the zones spanning 30 to 60° N and 60 to 90° N, which is on the order of 5 % to 7 % of the estimated pan-Arctic land sink. Changes in inferred fluxes from replacing the OCODEM with the GLO-90 DEM are smaller, and given the evidence for improved accuracies from this DEM, this suggests that large changes in inferred fluxes from the NASADEM+ are likely erroneous.