Optical Follow-up Research Articles

Correction to: How limiting is optical follow-up for fast radio burst applications? Forecasts for radio and optical surveys

Correction to: How limiting is optical follow-up for fast radio burst applications? Forecasts for radio and optical surveys

Artificial Intelligence Techniques for Uncovering Resolved Planetary Nebula Candidates from Wide-field VPHAS+ Survey Data

ABSTRACT Artificial intelligence (AI) and deep learning techniques are playing an increasing role in astronomy to deal with the data avalanche. Here we describe an application for finding resolved planetary nebulae (PNe) in crowded, wide-field, narrow-band Hα survey imagery in the Galactic plane, to test and facilitate more objective, reproducible, efficient and reliable trawls for them. PNe are important for studying the late-stage stellar evolution of low-mass to intermediate-mass stars. However, the confirmed ∼3800 Galactic PNe fall far short of the numbers expected. Traditional visual searching for resolved PNe is time-consuming because of the large data size and areal coverage of modern astronomical surveys. The training and validation data set of our algorithm was built with the INT Photometric Hα Survey (IPHAS) and true PNe from the Hong Kong/AAO/Strasbourg Hα (HASH) data base. Our algorithm correctly identified 444 PNe in the validation set of 454 PNe, with only 16 explicable ‘false’ positives, achieving a precision rate of 96.5 per cent and a recall rate of 97.8 per cent. After transfer learning, it was then applied to the VST Photometric Hα Survey of the Southern Galactic plane and bulge (VPHAS+), examining 979 out of 2284 survey fields, each covering 1° × 1°. It returned ∼20 000 detections, including 2637 known PNe and other kinds of catalogued non-PNe. A total of 815 new high-quality PNe candidates were found, 31 of which were selected as top-quality targets for optical spectroscopic follow-up. We found that 74 per cent of them are true, likely, and possible PNe. Representative preliminary confirmatory spectroscopy results are presented here to demonstrate the effectiveness of our techniques, with full details to be given in our forthcoming paper.

10-Year optical coherence tomography follow-up of 'full-plastic jacket' with bioresorbable vascular scaffolds.

10-Year optical coherence tomography follow-up of 'full-plastic jacket' with bioresorbable vascular scaffolds.

Identification of 1RXS J165424.6-433758 as a Polar Cataclysmic Variable

We present the results of our X-ray, ultraviolet, and optical follow-up campaigns of 1RXS J165424.6-433758, an X-ray source detected with the Swift Deep Galactic Plane Survey. The source X-ray spectrum (Swift and NuSTAR) is described by thermal bremsstrahlung radiation with a temperature of kT = 10.1 ± 1.2 keV, yielding an X-ray (0.3–10 keV8) luminosity L X = (6.5 ± 0.8) × 1031 erg s−1 at a Gaia distance of 460 pc. Spectroscopy with the Southern African Large Telescope revealed a flat continuum dominated by emission features, demonstrating an inverse Balmer decrement, the λ4640 Bowen blend, almost a dozen He i lines, and He ii λ4541, λ4686, and λ5411. Our high-speed photometry demonstrates a preponderance of flickering and flaring episodes, and revealed the orbital period of the system, P orb = 2.87 hr, which fell well within the cataclysmic variable (CV) period gap between 2 and 3 hr. These features classify 1RXS J165424.6-433758 as a nearby polar magnetic CV.

Optical coherence tomography angiography findings and follow-up in acute solar retinopathy

Optical coherence tomography angiography findings and follow-up in acute solar retinopathy

SN 2021gno: a calcium-rich transient with double-peaked light curves

ABSTRACT We present extensive ultraviolet (UV) and optical photometric and optical spectroscopic follow-up of supernova (SN) 2021gno by the ‘Precision Observations of Infant Supernova Explosions’ (POISE) project, starting less than 2 d after the explosion. Given its intermediate luminosity, fast photometric evolution, and quick transition to the nebular phase with spectra dominated by [Ca ii] lines, SN 2021gno belongs to the small family of Calcium-rich transients. Moreover, it shows double-peaked light curves, a phenomenon shared with only four other Calcium-rich events. The projected distance from the centre of the host galaxy is not as large as other objects in this family. The initial optical light-curve peaks coincide with a very quick decline of the UV flux, indicating a fast initial cooling phase. Through hydrodynamical modelling of the bolometric light curve and line velocity evolution, we found that the observations are compatible with the explosion of a highly stripped massive star with an ejecta mass of $0.8\, M_\odot$ and a 56Ni mass of 0.024 M⊙. The initial cooling phase (first light-curve peak) is explained by the presence of an extended circumstellar material comprising ∼$10^{-2}\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$ with an extension of $1100\, R_{\odot }$. We discuss if hydrogen features are present in both maximum-light and nebular spectra, and their implications in terms of the proposed progenitor scenarios for Calcium-rich transients.

Three is the magic number: Distance measurement of NGC 3147 using SN 2021hpr and its siblings

Context. The nearby spiral galaxy NGC 3147 hosted three Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) in the past decades that have been the subjects of intense follow-up observations. Simultaneous analysis of their data provides a unique opportunity for testing different methods of light curve fitting and distance estimation. Aims. The detailed optical follow-up of SN 2021hpr allows us to revise the previous distance estimations to NGC 3147 and compare the widely used light curve fitting algorithms to each other. After the combination of the available and newly published data of SN 2021hpr, its physical properties can also be estimated with higher accuracy. Methods. We present and analyse new BV griz and Swift photometry of SN 2021hpr to constrain its general physical properties. Together with its siblings, SNe 1997bq and 2008fv, we cross-compared the individual distance estimates of these three SNe given by the Spectral Adaptive Lightcurve Template (SALT) code, and we also checked their consistency with the results from the Multi-Color Light Curve Shape (MLCS) code. The early spectral series of SN 2021hpr was also fit with the radiative spectral code TARDIS to verify the explosion properties and constrain the chemical distribution of the outer ejecta. Results. After combining the distance estimates for the three SNe, the mean distance to their host galaxy, NGC 3127, is 42.5 ± 1.0 Mpc, which matches with the distance inferred by the most up-to-date light curve fitters, SALT3 and BayeSN. We confirm that SN 2021hpr is a Branch-normal Type Ia SN that ejected ~1.12 ± 0.28 M⊙ from its progenitor white dwarf and synthesized ~0.44 ± 0.14 M⊙ of radioactive 56Ni.

Probing the Origin of Changing-look Quasar Transitions with Chandra

Extremely variable quasars can also show strong changes in broad-line emission strength and are known as changing-look quasars (CLQs). To study the CLQ transition mechanism, we present a pilot sample of CLQs with X-ray observations in both the bright and faint states. From a sample of quasars with bright-state archival SDSS spectra and (Chandra or XMM-Newton) X-ray data, we identified five new CLQs via optical spectroscopic follow-up and then obtained new target-of-opportunity X-ray observations with Chandra. No strong absorption is detected in either the bright- or the faint-state X-ray spectra. The intrinsic X-ray flux generally changes along with the optical variability, and the X-ray power-law slope becomes harder in the faint state. Large-amplitude mid-infrared variability is detected in all five CLQs, and it echoes the variability in the optical with a time lag expected from the light-crossing time of the dusty torus for CLQs with robust lag measurements. The changing-obscuration model is not consistent with the observed X-ray spectra and spectral energy distribution changes seen in these CLQs. It is highly likely that the observed changes are due to the changing accretion rate of the supermassive black hole, so the multiwavelength emission varies accordingly, with promising analogies to the accretion states of X-ray binaries.

Tormund’s return: Hints of quasi-periodic eruption features from a recent optical tidal disruption event

Context. Quasi-periodic eruptions (QPEs) are repeating thermal X-ray bursts associated with accreting massive black holes, the precise underlying physical mechanisms of which are still unclear. Aims. We present a new candidate QPE source, AT 2019vcb (nicknamed Tormund by the Zwicky Transient Facility Collaboration), which was found during an archival search for QPEs in the XMM-Newton archive. It was first discovered in 2019 as an optical tidal disruption event (TDE) at z = 0.088, and its X-ray follow-up exhibited QPE-like properties. Our goals are to verify its robustness as QPE candidate and to investigate its properties to improve our understanding of QPEs. Methods. We performed a detailed study of the X-ray spectral behaviour of this source over the course of the XMM-Newton archival observation. We also report on recent Swift and NICER follow-up observations to constrain the source’s current activity and overall lifetime, as well as an optical spectral follow-up. Results. The first two Swift detections and the first half of the 30 ks XMM-Newton exposure of Tormund displayed a decaying thermal emission typical of an X-ray TDE. However, the second half of the exposure showed a dramatic rise in temperature (from 53.5−7.7+9.2 eV to 113.8−2.7+2.9 eV) and 0.2–2 keV luminosity (from 3.2−1.0+1.6 × 1042 erg s−1 to 1.19−0.05+0.05 × 1044 erg s−1) over ∼15 ks. The late-time NICER follow-up indicates that the source is still X-ray bright more than three years after the initial optical TDE. Conclusions. Although only a rise phase was observed, Tormund’s strong similarities with a known QPE source (eRO-QPE1) and the impossibility to simultaneously account for all observational features with alternative interpretations allow us to classify Tormund as a candidate QPE. If confirmed as a QPE, it would further strengthen the observational link between TDEs and QPEs. It is also the first QPE candidate for which an associated optical TDE was directly observed, constraining the formation time of QPEs.

How limiting is optical follow-up for fast radio burst applications? Forecasts for radio and optical surveys

ABSTRACT Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are the first cosmological radio sources that vary on millisecond time-scales, which makes them a unique probe of the Universe. Many proposed applications of FRBs require associated redshifts. These can only be obtained by localizing FRBs to their host galaxies and subsequently measuring their redshifts. Upcoming FRB surveys will provide arcsecond localization for many FRBs, not all of which can be followed up with dedicated optical observations. We aim to estimate the fraction of FRB hosts that will be catalogued with redshifts by existing and future optical surveys. We use the population synthesis code frbpoppy to simulate several FRB surveys, and the semi-analytical galaxy formation code galform to simulate their host galaxies. We obtain redshift distributions for the simulated FRBs and the fraction with host galaxies in a survey. Depending on whether FRBs follow the cosmic star formation rate or stellar mass, 20–40 per cent of CHIME FRB hosts will be observed in an SDSS-like survey, all at z < 0.5. The deeper DELVE survey will detect 63–85 per cent of ASKAP FRBs found in its coherent search mode. CHIME FRBs will reach z ∼ 3, SKA1-Mid FRBs z ∼ 5, but ground based follow-up is limited to z ≲ 1.5. We discuss the consequences for several FRB applications. If ∼1/2 of ASKAP FRBs have measured redshifts, 1000 detected FRBs can be used to constrain Ωbh70 to within ∼10 per cent at 95 per cent credibility. We provide strategies for optimized follow-up, when building on data from existing surveys. Data and codes are made available.

Discovery of the lensed quasar eRASS1 J050129.5−073309 with SRG/eROSITA and Gaia

We report the discovery and spectroscopic identification of the bright doubly lensed quasar eRASS1 J050129.5−073309 at redshift z = 2.47, selected from the first all-sky survey of the Spectrum Roentgen Gamma (SRG) eROSITA telescope and the Gaia EDR3 catalog. We systematically searched for extragalactic sources with eROSITA X-ray positions that have multiple Gaia counterparts, and we have started spectroscopic follow-up of the most promising candidates using long-slit spectroscopy with NTT/EFOSC2 to confirm the lens nature. The two images are separated by 2.7″, and their average Gaia g-band magnitudes are 16.95 and 17.33. Legacy Survey DR10 imaging and image modeling reveal both the lensing galaxy and tentatively the lensed image of the quasar host galaxy. Archival optical light curves show evidence of a variability time delay, with the fainter component lagging the brighter by about 100 days. The brightness of the fainter image has also decreased by about one magnitude since 2019. This dimming was still obvious at the time of the spectroscopic observations and is probably caused by microlensing. The optical spectroscopic follow-up obtained from NTT/EFOSC2 and the evidence provided by the imaging and timing analysis allow us to confirm the lensed nature of eRASS1 J050129.5−073309.

Follow-up Survey for the Binary Black Hole Merger GW200224_222234 Using Subaru/HSC and GTC/OSIRIS

The LIGO/Virgo detected a gravitational wave (GW) event, named GW200224_222234 (also known as S200224ca) and classified as a binary-black hole coalescence, on 2020 February 24. Given its relatively small localization skymap (71 deg2 for a 90% credible region; revised to 50 deg2 in GWTC-3), we performed target-of-opportunity observations using the Subaru/Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) in the r2 and z bands. Observations were conducted on 2020 February 25 and 28 and March 23, with the first epoch beginning 12.3 hr after the GW detection. The survey covered the highest-probability sky area of 56.6 deg2, corresponding to a 91% probability. This was the first deep follow-up (m r ≳ 24, m z ≳ 23) for a binary-black hole merger covering >90% of the localization. By performing image subtraction and candidate screening including light-curve fitting with transient templates and examples, we found 22 off-nucleus transients that were not ruled out as the counterparts of GW200224_222234 with our Subaru/HSC data alone. We also performed GTC/OSIRIS spectroscopy of the probable host galaxies for five candidates; two are likely to be located within the 3D skymap, whereas the others are not. In conclusion, 19 transients remain as possible optical counterparts of GW200224_222234; but we could not identify a unique promising counterpart. If there are no counterparts in the remaining candidates, the upper limits of the optical luminosity are erg s−1 and erg s−1 in the r2 and z bands, respectively, at ∼12 hr after GW detection. We also discuss improvements in the strategies of optical follow-ups for future GW events.

StarDICE

Context. The Hubble diagram of type-Ia supernovae (SNe-Ia) provides cosmological constraints on the nature of dark energy with an accuracy limited by the flux calibration of currently available spectrophotometric standards. This motivates new developments to improve the link between existing astrophysical flux standards and laboratory standards. Aims. The StarDICE experiment aims to establish a five-stage metrology chain from NIST photodiodes to stars, with a targeted accuracy of 1 mmag in griz colors. We present the first two stages, resulting in the calibration transfer from NIST photodiodes to a demonstration 150 mpixel CMOS sensor (Sony IMX411ALR as implemented in the QHY411M camera by QHYCCD). As a side-product, we provide full characterization of this camera, which we believe to be of potential interest in astronomical imaging and photometry and specifically discuss its use in the context of gravitational wave optical follow-up. Methods. A fully automated spectrophotometric bench was built to perform the calibration transfer. The sensor readout electronics was studied using thousands of flat-field images from which we derived stability, high-resolution photon transfer curves (PTC), and estimates of the individual pixel gain. The sensor quantum efficiency (QE) was then measured relatively to a NIST-calibrated photodiode, in a well-defined monochromatic light beam from 375 to 1078 nm. Last, flat-field scans at 16 different wavelengths were used to build maps of the sensor response, fully characterizing the sensor for absolute photometric measurements. Results. We demonstrated statistical uncertainty on QE below 0.001 e−/γ between 387 nm and 950 nm, the range being limited by the sensitivity decline of the tested sensor in the infrared. Systematic uncertainties in the bench optics are controlled at the level of 1 × 10−3 e−/γ. Linearity issues are detected at the level of 5 × 10−3 e−/γ for the tested camera and require further developments to fully correct. Uncertainty in the overall normalization of the QE curve (without relevance for the cosmology, but relevant to evaluate the performance of the camera itself) is 1%. Regarding the camera we demonstrate stability in steady state conditions at the level of 32.5 ppm. Homogeneity in the response is below 1% RMS across the entire sensor area. Quantum efficiency stays above 50% in most of the visible range, peaking well above 80% between 440 nm and 570 nm. Differential nonlinearities at the level of 1% are detected. A simple two-parameter model is proposed to mitigate the effect and found to adequately correct the shape of the PTC on half the numerical scale. No significant deviations from integral linearity were detected in our limited test. Static and dynamical correlations between pixels are low, making the device likely suitable for galaxy shape measurements.

Identifying the 3FHL Catalog. VI. Results of the 2019 Gemini Optical Spectroscopy

Active galactic nuclei with their relativistic jets pointed toward the observer are a class of luminous gamma-ray sources commonly known as blazars. The study of this source class is essential to unveil the physical processes powering these extreme jets, to understand their cosmic evolution, as well as to indirectly probe the extragalactic background light. To do so, however, one needs to correctly classify and measure a redshift for a large sample of these sources. The Third Fermi–LAT Catalog of High-Energy Sources (3FHL) contains 1212 blazars detected at energies greater than 10 GeV. However, ∼25% of these sources are unclassified and ∼56% lack redshift information. To increase the optical completeness of blazars in the 3FHL catalog, we devised an optical spectroscopic follow-up campaign using 4 m and 8 m telescopes. In this paper, we present the results of the last part of this campaign, where we observed 5 blazars using the 8 m Gemini-S telescope in Chile. We report all the 5 sources to be classified as BL Lacs, a redshift lower limit for 2 sources, and featureless spectra for the remaining 3 sources. We also performed a one-zone leptonic fit to the two sources with the redshift lower limits.

Long-Term Outcomes of High-Dose Conbercept Treatment for Myopic Choroidal Neovascularization and Idiopathic Choroidal Neovascularization

Introduction: The aim of the study was to report 2-year outcomes of intravitreal injection of high-dose conbercept (1 mg 2 + PRN scheme) for subjects with myopic choroidal neovascularization (mCNV) and idiopathic choroidal neovascularization (iCNV) by optical coherence tomography angiography follow-up. Methods: A total of 38 subjects (38 eyes) were enrolled in this retrospective study, which were divided into group A (mCNV, 20 subjects, 20 eyes) and group B (iCNV, 18 subjects, 18 eyes). All subjects received 1.0 mg of conbercept intravitreally at diagnosis and again 35 days later. Additional conbercept injection was administered upon findings of decreased best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA); metamorphosis aggravation, macular hemorrhage, or edema; increased central retinal thickness (CRT); or leakage observed by fluorescein angiography. The BCVA, CRT, and CNV areas of the two groups were evaluated at baseline and at 1, 2, 4, 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery. Results: The BCVA of group A improved from 0.31 ± 0.16 logMAR at baseline to 0.12 ± 0.03 logMAR at the final follow-up (p < 0.001), while in group B the corresponding improvement was from 0.33 ± 0.16 logMAR at baseline to 0.12 ± 0.03 logMAR at the final follow-up (p < 0.001). Visual acuity improved in 17 subjects in group A and 15 in group B, while it remained stable in 3 subjects in each of groups A and B. CRT decreased from 311.83 ± 30.95 μm in group A and 351.17 ± 37.09 μm in group B preoperation to 229.56 ± 5.75 μm and 227.67 ± 4.98 μm at 24-month follow-up, respectively (p < 0.001 in groups A and B). Metamorphopsia was improved in subjects in groups A and B. CNV had disappeared in the two groups at the last postoperative visit. The BCVA, CRT, and CNV areas showed no statistical differences between the two groups at 6-, 12-, and 24-month follow-up (p > 0.05). Conclusion: Intravitreal injection of conbercept (1 mg 2 + PRN scheme) is effective for treating patients with mCNV or iCNV, which can improve and stabilize vision as well as dramatically alleviate metamorphopsia.

The Lockman-SpReSO project

Context. Extragalactic surveys are a key tool for better understanding the evolution of galaxies. Both deep and wide-field surveys serve to provide a clearer emerging picture of the physical processes that take place in and around galaxies, and to identify which of these processes are the most important in shaping the properties of galaxies. Aims. The Lockman Spectroscopic Redshift Survey using Osiris (Lockman-SpReSO) aims to provide one of the most complete optical spectroscopic follow-ups of the far-infrared (FIR) sources detected by the Herschel Space Observatory in the Lockman Hole (LH) field. The optical spectroscopic study of the FIR-selected galaxies supplies valuable information about the relation between fundamental FIR and optical parameters, including extinction, star formation rate, and gas metallicity. In this article, we introduce and provide an in-depth description of the Lockman-SpReSO project and of its early results. Methods. We selected FIR sources from Herschel observations of the central 24 arcmin ×24 arcmin of the LH field with an optical counterpart up to 24.5 RC(AB). The sample comprises 956 Herschel FIR sources, plus 188 additional interesting objects in the field. These are point X-ray sources, cataclysmic variable star candidates, high-velocity halo star candidates, radio sources, very red quasi-stellar objects, and optical counterparts of sub-millimetre galaxies. The faint component of the catalogue (RC(AB) ≥ 20) was observed using the OSIRIS instrument on the 10.4 m Gran Telescopio Canarias in multi-object spectroscopy (MOS) mode. The bright component was observed using two multi-fibre spectrographs: the AF2-WYFFOS at the William Herschel Telescope and the HYDRA instrument at the WYIN telescope. Results. From an input catalogue of 1144 sources, we measured a secure spectroscopic redshift in the range 0.03 ≲ z ≲ 4.96 for 357 sources with at least two identified spectral lines. In addition, for 99 sources that show only one emission or absorption line, a spectroscopic redshift was postulated based on the line and object properties, and photometric redshift. In both cases, properties of emission and absorption lines were measured. Furthermore, to characterize the sample in more depth with determined spectroscopic redshifts, spectral energy distribution (SED) fits were performed using the CIGALE software. The IR luminosity and the stellar mass estimations for the sample are also presented as a preliminary description.

Optical follow-up of the tick-tock massive black hole binary candidate

ABSTRACT The observation of a population of massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) is key for our complete understanding of galaxy mergers and for the characterization of the expected gravitational waves (GWs) signal. However, MBHBs still remain elusive with only a few candidates proposed to date. Among these, SDSSJ143016.05 + 230344.4 (’tick-tock’ hereafter) is the only candidate with a remarkably well sampled light curve showing a clear reduction of the modulation period and amplitude over three years of observations. This particular feature has been recently claimed to be the signature of a MBHB that is about to merge. In this paper, we provide an optical follow-up of the tick-tock source using the Rapid Eye Mount (REM) telescope. The decreasing luminosity observed in our follow up is hardly explained within the binary scenario. We speculate about an alternative scenario that might explain the observed light curve through relativistic Lense-Thirring precession of an accretion disc around a single massive black hole.

Optical and X-ray follow-up to a globular cluster ultraluminous X-ray source in NGC 4472

ABSTRACT NGC 4472 is home to five ultraluminous X-ray sources hosted by globular clusters. These sources have been suggested as good black hole candidates in extragalactic globular clusters—a highly sought after population that may provide observational information regarding the progenitors of merging black hole binaries. In this body of work, we present X-ray and optical follow-up to one of these sources, CXOUJ1229410+075744 (GCU1). We find no evidence of [OIII] optical emission in GCU1 which indicates a lack of significant evidence for super-Eddington outflows, unlike what is seen in a handful of ULXs in extragalactic GCs. X-ray monitoring from 2019 to 2021 shows no detected X-ray emission above a few × 1038 erg/s. Comparisons of the multiwavelength properties to disc-dominated, near Eddington Galactic black hole low-mass X-ray binaries (GRS 1915+105 and XTEJ1817-330) suggests that GCU1 may show similar behaviour to GRS 1915+105 in terms of X-ray variability and similar relationships between LX and kT, with GCU1 showing maximum X-ray luminosities on order of higher magnitude.

Flat-topped NIR profiles originating from an unmixed helium shell in the Type IIb SN 2020acat

ABSTRACT The Near Infrared (NIR) spectra of the Type IIb supernova (SN IIb) SN 2020acat, obtained at various times throughout the optical follow-up campaign, are presented here. The dominant He i 1.0830 and 2.0581 $\mu$m features are seen to develop flat-topped P-Cygni profiles as the NIR spectra evolve towards the nebular phase. The nature of the NIR helium peaks imply that there was a lack of mixing between the helium shell and the heavier inner ejecta in SN 2020acat. Analysis of the flat-top features showed that the boundary of the lower velocity of the helium shell was ∼3 − 4 × 103 km s−1. The NIR spectra of SN 2020acat were compared to both SN 2008ax and SN 2011dh to determine the uniqueness of the flat-topped helium features. While SN 2011dh lacked a flat-topped NIR helium profile, SN 2008ax displayed NIR helium features that were very similar to those seen in SN 2020acat, suggesting that the flat-topped feature is not unique to SN 2020acat and may be the product of the progenitors structure.

Multi-messenger Observations of Binary Neutron Star Mergers in the O4 Run

We present realistic expectations for the number and properties of neutron star binary mergers to be detected as multi-messenger sources during the upcoming fourth observing run (O4) of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA gravitational-wave (GW) detectors, with the aim of providing guidance for the optimization of observing strategies. Our predictions are based on a population synthesis mode, which includes the GW signal-to-noise ratio, the kilonova (KN) optical and near-infrared light curves, the relativistic jet gamma-ray burst (GRB) prompt emission peak photon flux, and the afterglow light curves in radio, optical, and X-rays. Within our assumptions, the rate of GW events to be confidently detected during O4 is yr−1 (calendar year), 78% of which will produce a KN, and a lower 52% will also produce a relativistic jet. The typical depth of current optical electromagnetic search and follow-up strategies is still sufficient to detect most of the KNæ in O4, but only for the first night or two. The prospects for detecting relativistic jet emission are not promising. While closer events (within z ≲ 0.02) will likely still have a detectable cocoon shock breakout, most events will have their GRB emission (both prompt and afterglow) missed unless seen under a small viewing angle. This reduces the fraction of events with detectable jets to 2% (prompt emission, serendipitous) and 10% (afterglow, deep radio monitoring), corresponding to detection rates of and yr−1, respectively. When considering a GW subthreshold search triggered by a GRB detection, our predicted rate of joint GW+GRB prompt emission detections increases up to a more promising yr−1.