Onshore Flow Research Articles

Onshore flow characteristics of the 1755 CE Lisbon tsunami: Linking forward and inverse numerical modeling

The 1755 CE Lisbon earthquake triggered the largest historical tsunami ever impacting the Atlantic coasts of Europe. Despite recent efforts to better understand this event, there are still unanswered questions about the location of its epicenter and whether physical and historical evidences are in agreement.Inverse modeling using tsunami sediments can be applied to quantify onshore flow characteristics. Forward numerical modeling is also a powerful tool capable of simulating tsunami hydrodynamics and the induced sediment transport. This work presents novel results from a combination of inverse and forward modeling to assess tsunami characteristics onshore. The study site is located on the Portuguese southern coast, at the Salgados lowland where inverse modeling was performed using TsuSedMod (Jaffe and Gelfenbaum, 2007) based on data retrieved from sediment samples. Forward modeling, including tsunami generation and propagation, was performed using the FLOW module of Delft3D suite model. Onshore topography was corrected for the 1755 CE scenario based on extensive tsunami sedimentary deposit thickness data. The tsunami source was chosen based on recent results from the authors that pointed to a good correlation between modeled and field tsunami data for the Marques de Pombal Fault (MPF), Horseshoe Fault (HSF) and a hypothetical scenario represented by a simple combination between Gorringe Bank and Horseshoe Fault (Scenario 1 - SC1).Results from inverse model show tsunami onshore average speed varying from 7.3 up to 9.3 m/s and shear velocities from 0.52 up to 0.66 m/s. Forward modeling results show a wide variation according to the seismic source and tsunami onshore velocities can range from around 7 m/s when considering MPF to even an absence of inundation (SC1). The good agreement between both modeling approaches estimating tsunami velocity confirms the potential of numerical modeling coupled with geological records to improve the understanding of historical events.

Long Island enhanced aerosol event during 2018 LISTOS: Association with heatwave and marine influences.

The co-occurrence of enhancement in aerosol concentration, temperatures, and ozone mixing ratio was observed between June 29 and July 4, 2018 (enhanced period, EP) on Long Island (LI) and the greater NYC metropolitan area during part of the 2018 Long Island Sound Tropospheric Ozone Study (LISTOS). Two aerosol formation pathways were identified during the EP, the first being the condensation of semi- and intermediate volatility oxidation products of anthropogenic volatile organic compounds (AVOCs) under stagnant synoptic flow conditions, high temperatures and afternoon sea-breeze circulation. While this first pathway was prevalent, the most abundant organic aerosol factor was less oxidized oxygenated organic aerosol or LO-OOA. The second formation pathway occurred during a period of more persistent (synoptic) on-shore flow transporting more aged aerosol which consisted of an internal mixture of more oxidized oxygenated organic aerosol (MO-OOA), methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and sulfate. It was estimated that 35% of the sulfate observed during the mature period (an average of about 1.2μgm-3) originated from oceanic dimethyl sulfide (DMS) emissions. These two formation pathways helped elucidate the sources of fine particle pollution, highlighted the interaction between human emissions and natural DMS emission, and will help our understanding of pollution affecting other urban areas adjacent to large bodies of water during hot and stagnant periods.

Modelling three-dimensional flow over spur-and-groove morphology

Spur-and-groove (SAG) morphology characterizes the fore reef of many coral reefs worldwide. Although the existence and geometrical properties of SAG have been well documented, an understanding of the hydrodynamics over them is limited. Here, the three-dimensional flow patterns over SAG formations, and a sensitivity of those patterns to waves, currents, and SAG geometry were characterized using the physics-based Delft3D-FLOW and SWAN models. Shore-normal shoaling waves over SAG formations were shown to drive two circulation cells: a cell on the lower fore reef with offshore flow over the spurs and onshore flow over the grooves, except near the seabed where velocities were always onshore, and a cell on the upper fore reef with offshore surface velocities and onshore bottom currents, which result in depth-averaged onshore and offshore flow over the spurs and grooves, respectively. The mechanism driving this flow results from the net of the radiation stress gradients and pressure gradient, which is balanced by the Reynolds stress gradients and bottom friction that differ over the spur and over the groove. Waves were the primary driver of variations in modelled flow over SAG, with the flow strength increasing for increasing wave heights and periods. Spur height, SAG wavelength, and the water depth at peak spur height were the dominant influences on the hydrodynamics, with spur heights directly proportional to the strength of SAG circulation cells. SAG formations with shorter SAG wavelengths only presented one circulation cell on the shallower portion of the reef, as opposed to the two circulation cells for longer SAG wavelengths. SAG formations with peak spur heights occurring in shallower water had stronger circulation than those with peak spur heights occurring in deeper water. These hydrodynamic patterns also likely affect coral and reef development through sediment and nutrient fluxes.

Heavy Rainfall Events over Central Oahu under Weak Wind Conditions during Seasonal Transitions

AbstractShort-lived afternoon heavy rainfall events may form over central Oahu during seasonal transition periods (June and October) under favorable large-scale settings. These include a deep moist layer with relatively high precipitable water (>40 mm), blocking pattern in midlatitudes with a northeast–southwest moist tongue from low latitudes ahead of an upper-level trough, absence of a trade wind inversion, and weak (<3 m s−1) low-level winds. Our high-resolution (1.5 km) model results show that immediately before the storm initiation, daytime land surface heating deepens the mixed layer over central Oahu and the top of the mixed layer reaches the lifting condensation level. Meanwhile, the development of onshore/sea-breeze flows, driven by land–sea thermal contrast, brings in moist maritime air over the island interior. Finally, convergence of onshore flows over central Oahu provides the localized lifting required for the release of instability. Based on synoptic and observational analyses, nowcasting with a lead time of 2–3 h ahead of this type of event is possible. In the absence of orographic effects after removing model topography, processes that lead to heavy rainfall are largely unchanged, and subsequent development of heavy showers over central Oahu are still simulated. However, when surface heat and moisture fluxes are turned off, convective cells are not simulated in the area. These results indicate that daytime heating is crucial for the development of this type of heavy rainfall event under favorable large-scale settings.

A Hybrid Precipitation Index Inspired by the SPI, PDSI, and MCDI. Part II: Application to Investigate Precipitation Variability along the West Coast of North America

AbstractThe hybrid precipitation index developed in Part I of this study is applied to investigate precipitation variability along the west coast of North America during the wet season November–March on monthly-to-interannual time scales. The variability in each of six regions considered in this study is negatively correlated with nearby 500-hPa geopotential height anomalies. Except in Southeast Alaska, these correlation patterns indicate that precipitation variability in each region is predominantly influenced by local atmospheric forcing analogous to the ridging of the westerly flow that has been studied extensively with regard to California drought variability. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) accounts for nearly all of the Southeast Alaska precipitation variability, which is controlled by the strength of the onshore flow rather than ridging. In association with this mode of variability, precipitation anomalies of opposite sign account for about 40% of the precipitation variance in Northern California and Oregon on all time scales. On short time scales, the second and third EOFs account primarily for precipitation variability in British Columbia/Washington and California, respectively. With increasing time scale, the third EOF diminishes in importance and the second EOF evolves into a pattern of synchronous precipitation anomalies of the same sign from British Columbia to Northern California. Precipitation variability in Southern California is only modestly related to precipitation elsewhere. With increasing time scale, Southern California precipitation variability becomes increasingly related to precipitation anomalies of opposite sign in Washington.

Four Atmospheric Circulation Regimes Over the North Pacific and Their Relationship to California Precipitation on Daily to Seasonal Timescales

AbstractPrecipitation in California is highly variable and not well forecasted on subseasonal‐to‐seasonal (S2S) timescales. Understanding relationships between synoptic‐scale atmospheric circulation and hydrometeorological extremes could improve predictability. This work demonstrates the importance of four North Pacific circulation regimes (called the NP4 modes) in modulating precipitation, flooding, and water resources in California. Here we demonstrate how, on daily timescales, interactions between the NP4 modes drive coastal flow that can result in dry conditions from atmospheric ridging or wet conditions associated with enhanced onshore flow and atmospheric river (AR) landfalls. Seasonally, the prevalence of certain NP4 phase relationships can tip the scale toward wet or dry conditions. Relationships between El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the NP4 are explored, and we provide insight into the poorly forecasted Western US seasonal precipitation during the “Godzilla” El Niño winter of 2016 by examining climate‐weather linkages in a historical context.

Present Temperature, Precipitation, and Rain‐on‐Snow Climate in Svalbard

AbstractThe Svalbard Archipelago has undergone rapid warming in the recent decades leading to warmer and wetter winter conditions. This study relates the present (2013–2018) 2 m temperature, precipitation, and rain‐on‐snow (ROS) climate in Svalbard to different atmospheric circulation (AC) types utilizing the high‐resolution numerical weather prediction model Application of Research to Operations at Mesoscale (AROME)‐Arctic. We find that the 2 m median temperatures vary most across AC types in winter and spring and in summer they vary the least. In all seasons the 10th percentile 2 m temperatures are above 0°C with southwesterly AC types over Svalbard. In comparison, the relationship between AC type and precipitation varies more spatially, with most accumulated precipitation and highest median precipitation intensities with onshore flow over open water. Our results suggest that sea ice explains a large part of the local variability in both 2 m temperature and precipitation. In the studied period ROS is a frequent phenomenon up to 150 m above sea level (ASL) on land, with most events in the southwestern parts of the archipelago (57 cases during five winter seasons). ROS events in winter occur predominantly with AC types from the southerly sector or during a low‐pressure center/trough passage. The southwesterly cyclonic AC type, with a low‐pressure center west of Svalbard, is the most frequent AC type for ROS events. In addition to being the most frequent, the southwesterly AC has the largest spatial coverage of ROS.

Maximal Heights of Nearshore Storm Waves and Resultant Onshore Flow Velocities

Storm waves, after breaking or overtopping, generate strong onshore flows that do significant mechanical work, including eroding and transporting large boulders. The waves can be amplified on approach, and the flows themselves may be further intensified by local topographic effects. These processes are currently poorly parameterised, but are of great importance for understanding the interactions between waves and coasts. We present a highly generalised equation for estimating maximal coastal wave heights and consequent onshore flow velocities. Although very approximate, this method contains no embedded assumptions, and thus provides a more realistic first-order check of storm wave capabilities than previous approaches. Initial analysis suggests that amplified waves may generate maximal onshore flow velocities up to six times the phase speed of the offshore waves. Although the probability of occurrence in any given storm is very low, the possibility of such extreme values cannot be ignored, especially when interpreting ancient deposits of large boulders. The equations presented here can be used as a first-order test for coastal boulder deposits currently interpreted as tsunami deposits, to evaluate whether a storm-wave origin should be reconsidered. This approach could also be employed at coasts in general, to evaluate long-term probabilities of damaging flows, as a component of coastal risk analysis.

A Comparison of the Polarimetric Radar Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall From Hurricanes Harvey (2017) and Florence (2018)

AbstractPolarimetric coastal radar data are used to compare the rainfall characteristics of Hurricanes Harvey (2017) and Florence (2018). Intense rainfall was an infrequent yet important contributor to the total rainfall in Harvey, but its relative contribution varied spatially. The total rainfall over land maximized near the coast over Beaumont, TX, due to intense convection resulting from prolonged onshore flow downshear from the circulation center. Overall, polarimetric radar observations in Harvey show a dominance of high concentrations of small‐to‐medium drops, consistent with prior tropical cyclone studies. The microphysical characteristics were spatially and temporally inhomogeneous however, with larger drops more frequent on 27 August and higher number concentrations more frequent on 28 and 30 August. The polarimetric variables and raindrop characteristics observed during Florence share broad similarities to Harvey, but had reduced variability, fewer observations of stronger reflectivity and differential reflectivity, and a lower frequency of high number concentrations and medium‐sized drops. The radar data indicate Florence had reduced coverage of stronger convection compared to Harvey. We hypothesize that differences in storm motion, intensity decay rates, and vertical wind shear produce the distinct precipitation structures and microphysical differences seen in Harvey and Florence.

Offshore transport of organic carbon by upwelling filaments in the Canary Current System

A coupled physical-biogeochemical model (ROMS-PISCES) forced by climatological fields is used to examine the role of upwelling filaments in the offshore exchange of particulate (POC) and dissolved (DOC) organic carbon in the Canary Current eastern boundary upwelling system (CanC EBUS). In this region, mesoscale filaments at Capes Ghir (∼30.5 °N) and Juby (∼27.5 °N) have been frequently described using both observational and numerical data. Due to their semi-permanent presence and unique dynamical characteristics, studies focusing on filaments often provide an incomplete picture of the physical and biological processes at work, and their effects on coast-to-ocean export. The present model experiment confirms the complex three-dimensional structure of the filaments that comprises both offshore and onshore flow components. The model shows strong seasonal variability in the offshore transport mediated by the filaments. Recirculation at the edges of the filaments returns water towards the shore, especially in autumn when they are diverted northwards by the large scale boundary circulation. By contrast, offshore transport peaks during late spring - early summer when onshore recirculation is limited. Overall, the estimated net annual offshore flux of excess total organic carbon (e-TOC, the non-refractory pools of DOC and POC) averages 2.0 ×109 kg C y−1, and may increase up to 4.3 ×109 kg C y−1 during the peak upwelling season, each filament contributing to export of up to 22.6% of the organic carbon within the first 100 km from shore along the CanC EBUS (between 9.5 and 32 ° N). These results strongly support the inclusion of offshore transport estimates by coastal filaments in regional carbon budgets.

The characterization of fine particulate matter downwind of Houston: Using integrated factor analysis to identify anthropogenic and natural sources

The interpretation of large air pollution datasets involves a great deal of complexity. To gain a better understanding of the complicated relationships and patterns within datasets, we perform factor analysis. Between December 2015 and December 2017, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) samples were collected at a suburban site northeast of the Houston metropolitan area, TX. A total of 233 filter samples were analyzed for chemical composition. The average of all PM2.5 samples consisted of 38.1% inorganic ions, 28.9% elements, 29.1% organic carbon, and 3.7% elemental carbon and other organic materials. Principal component analysis and positive matrix factorization were utilized to identify eight factors: regional aerosols, biomass burning, gasoline combustion, industry, crustal material, incineration, marine dust, and fireworks. The first three contributed more than 70% of the total PM2.5 mass. The receptor models also captured the impact of fireworks and classified it as a source of PM2.5 over Houston. To identify the origins of air masses transporting PM2.5 to the site, we applied the NOAA hybrid single-particle Lagrangian integrated trajectory model and performed a cluster analysis of back trajectories and determined six cluster source regions: the Gulf of Mexico, the Southeast, two midwestern clusters, the Pacific Northwest, and the Southwest. The results of our analysis show that during the summer months, marine and crustal sources were often associated with an onshore flow from the Gulf of Mexico and that four clusters covering 38% of the West Liberty area were strongly influenced by trajectories originating from biomass burning. The results of this study represented a variety of sources that affect the PM2.5 over the Houston metropolitan area. The quantified contributions of these sources could provide policymakers with useful information for developing more efficient control systems and making more effective decisions to cope with the harmful effects of ambient air pollution.

Effect of Clouds on the Diurnal Evolution of the Atmospheric Boundary-Layer Height Over a Tropical Coastal Station

The growth of the daytime convective atmospheric boundary layer, which plays a pivotal role in the vertical mixing and dispersal of water vapour and pollutants, is modulated by cloud radiative effects. Assessment of this cloud effect is sparse in any geographical region and non-existent over tropical coastal regions. We investigate the effect of clouds on the diurnal evolution of boundary-layer height over tropical coastal location Thumba (8.5°N, 77°E) during onshore and offshore flow using multi-year (2010–2016) microwave radiometer profiler observations. The boundary-layer height during both cloudy and clear-sky periods increases rapidly from 0800 LT (local time = UTC + 5.1 h) to attain a daytime peak around noon (400–1500 m). The seasonal mean noontime boundary layer height during cloudy periods is lower than that during clear-sky periods by > 900 m (> 400 m) when offshore (onshore) flow prevails during winter and pre-monsoon seasons. The forenoon growth rate of the boundary-layer height during clear-sky offshore flow is rapid (> 380 m h−1) compared to that during cloudy offshore (160 m h−1), clear-sky onshore (160–250 m h−1), and cloudy onshore (> 100 m h−1) flow. Effects of shortwave cloud radiative forcing and soil temperature on the noontime boundary-layer height and their interdependencies are presented. These observations reveal the contrasting and significant effect of clouds on the growth of the daytime boundary layer during onshore and offshore flow, and the coupled effects of cloud radiative forcing and soil temperature on boundary-layer height over tropical coastal regions, which provide essential constraints for evaluating model simulations.

Nearshore response to cold air outbreaks in the Gulf of Mexico

The nearshore response to synoptic meteorological patterns called Cold Air Outbreaks (CAOs) was studied with a cross-shelf mooring array located 7 km west of an estuarine outflow in the Northern Gulf of Mexico. The array consisted of 6 stations that spanned the nearshore measuring waves, currents, temperature, and salinity for a two-week period in December 2013. CAOs are prevalent during winter and are characterized by the passage of atmospheric cold fronts with offshore winds known to cool coastal waters. The prefrontal phases of CAOs coincided with downwelling favorable winds and westward flow that introduced a river plume into the nearshore. Offshore winds during the high pressure phase formed a two-layer circulation with offshore flow in the surface layer and onshore flow beneath, which was moderated by a river plume. The downwind advection of the river plume tended to enhance surface transport until the plume was flushed out of the nearshore, which formed adverse density gradients that reduced surface transport through vertical mixing. When the plume was not fully flushed out of the inner shelf, surface transport remained enhanced during the high pressure phase due to stratification that limited the formation of adverse density gradients. When the plume was initially shore detached at the onset of the high pressure phase, offshore flow was not enhanced by the downwind advection of the plume due to the existence of initial adverse density gradients. These results highlight the effects of nearshore river plumes in regulating inner shelf circulation during cold fronts.

Southern Australia Current System based on a gridded hydrography and a high-resolution model

We quantify the annual-mean structure, transport budget and coupling between surface and deep currents along the southern Australian shelves, that we propose be collectively known as the Southern Australia Current System. The system contains eastward Shelf Break Currents (SBC) including the Leeuwin Current Extension, the South Australian Current and the Zeehan Current; and a counter-flowing westward Flinders Current (FC). In this work, we use a high resolution climatological hydrography and a high resolution ocean model forced by an atmospheric climatology.The westward FC is dual structured with (1) the slope-FC, an undercurrent to the SBC trapped near 600 m depth; and (2) the offshore-FC, a large deep-reaching flow located offshore of the SBC. Along the slanted shelf (not zonally oriented), onshore flows feeding into the FC are weak, and the FC is disconnected from the Tasman Leakage south of Tasmania. Along the zonal shelf, where nearly 80% of total onshore flows occur, the FC intensifies resulting in 12.3 Sv transport at Cape Leeuwin.The eastward SBC are continuous flows in the upper 250 m. Over steep slopes, downwelling occurs from the SBC into the slope-FC and may be important in maintaining the slope-FC. The Leeuwin Current Extension transport decreases from 1.1 Sv at Cape Leeuwin to 0.1 Sv near the Great Australian Bight due to strong downwelling and offshore exports around Cape Leeuwin. The South Australian Current is weak and steady, and the Zeehan Current increases to 0.4 Sv due to onshore flows stronger than downwelling exports.We find that the SBC and offshore-FC are coupled through onshore Ekman drift and the SBC and slope-FC are coupled through downwelling. The combined effect is a conversion of widespread northward Ekman drift into downwelling with little impact on the eastward SBC transport. In contrast, the onshore flows feeding into the FC are largely converted into increasing westward FC transport. Even though the Leeuwin Current System off western Australia is fed by geostrophic flows and the Southern Australia Current System is fed by Ekman drift, the annual-mean circulation of the two systems are remarkably similar.In summer, when the winds are upwelling favourable, the SBC are weaker and partly reversed (to westward). In autumn, the winds become downwelling favourable and the FC is weaker and partly reversed (to eastward). In contrast, the Leeuwin Current System persists annually. The balance mechanism maintaining the seasonal opposition between the SBC and FC warrants further research.

Terrain Trapped Airflows and Precipitation Variability during an Atmospheric River Event

AbstractWe examine thermodynamic and kinematic structures of terrain trapped airflows (TTAs) during an atmospheric river (AR) event impacting Northern California 10–11 March 2016 using Alpha Jet Atmospheric eXperiment (AJAX) aircraft data, in situ observations, and Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) Model simulations. TTAs are identified by locally intensified low-level winds flowing parallel to the coastal ranges and having maxima over the near-coastal waters. Multiple mechanisms can produce TTAs, including terrain blocking and gap flows. The changes in winds can significantly alter the distribution, timing, and intensity of precipitation. We show here how different mechanisms producing TTAs evolve during this event and influence local precipitation variations. Three different periods are identified from the time-varying wind fields. During period 1 (P1), a TTA develops during synoptic-scale onshore flow that backs to southerly flow near the coast. This TTA occurs when the Froude number (Fr) is less than 1, suggesting low-level terrain blocking is the primary mechanism. During period 2 (P2), a Petaluma offshore gap flow develops, with flows turning parallel to the coast offshore and with Fr > 1. Periods P1 and P2 are associated with slightly more coastal than mountain precipitation. In period 3 (P3), the gap flow initiated during P2 merges with a pre-cold-frontal low-level jet (LLJ) and enhanced precipitation shifts to higher mountain regions. Dynamical mixing also becomes more important as the TTA becomes confluent with the approaching LLJ. The different mechanisms producing TTAs and their effects on precipitation pose challenges to observational and modeling systems needed to improve forecasts and early warnings of AR events.

Projected slow down of South Indian Ocean circulation

Using an ensemble of 28 climate models, we examine hindcasts and ‘business as usual’ future changes to large-scale South Indian Ocean dynamics. We compare model ensemble seasonal-to-annual volume transports to observations and explore drivers of past and future circulation variability and change. Off the west coast of Australia, models consistently project a weakening of the Leeuwin Current and Undercurrent due to reduced onshore flow and downwelling. The reduced onshore flow is related to changes in the alongshore pressure gradient. While the alongshore pressure gradient change is consistent with the Indonesian Throughflow projected weakening, we found no inter-model relationship between these changes. In the south-western Indian Ocean, the models project a robust weakening of the North East and South East Madagascar Currents, Agulhas Current and transport through the Mozambique Channel. This reduced Indian Ocean western boundary flow is partly associated with a weaker Indonesian Throughflow and overturning circulation, where the latter is related to a decrease in the convergence of deep Southern Ocean waters into the Indian Ocean. In contrast to the weakening of other features, the westward flowing Agulhas Current extension south of Africa is projected to strengthen, which is consistent with an intensification of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current.

Impact of Sea Breeze Circulation on the Transport of Ship Emissions in Tangshan Port, China

A sea breeze is a local circulation that occurs in coastal regions from the poles to the equator. The adverse influence of ship emissions on air quality in coastal areas may be aggravated by the onshore flow of sea breeze circulation. However, our knowledge regarding the evolution of ship-emitted pollutants during a specific sea breeze episode is still limited. To address this knowledge gap, this study investigated the evolution of ship emissions during a sea breeze episode that occurred on 29 June, 2014 in Tangshan port in China by employing the WRF/Chem model. NO2, one of the primary pollutants emitted by ships, was selected as the target pollutant for investigation. The results indicate that the ground level NO2 concentration was considerably affected by sea breeze circulation. Although the onset of the sea breeze was delayed until nearly midday due to offshore synoptic winds, ship-emitted NO2 was transported to more than 100 km inland with the penetration of the sea breeze. Further investigation found that the averaged concentration of ship-contributed NO2 during the episode showed an evident downward trend as the distance from the coastline increased. Vertically, the shallow atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) on the sea limited the vertical dispersion of ship emissions, and the pollutant was transported shoreward by the sea breeze within this shallow ABL. The height of the ABLs is lowered in coastal regions due to the cooling effect of sea breezes which brings the cool marine air to the hot land surface. Ship-contributed NO2 was mostly trapped in the shallow ABL; thereby, its concentration increased.

Wintertime aerosol measurements during the Chilean Coastal Orographic Precipitation Experiment

Abstract. The Chilean Coastal Orographic Precipitation Experiment (CCOPE) was a 3-month field campaign (June, July and August 2015) that investigated wintertime coastal rain events. Reported here are analyses of aerosol measurements made at a coastal site during CCOPE. The aerosol monitoring site was located near Arauco, Chile. Aerosol number concentrations and aerosol size distributions were acquired with a condensation particle counter (CPC) and an ultra high sensitivity aerosol spectrometer (UHSAS). Arauco CPC data were compared to values measured at the NOAA observatory Trinidad Head (THD) on the northern Pacific coast of California. The winter-averaged CPC concentration at Arauco is 2971 ± 1802 cm−3; at THD the average is 1059 ± 855 cm−3. Despite the typically more pristine South Pacific region, the Arauco average is larger than at THD (p<0.01). Aerosol size distributions acquired during episodes of onshore flow were analyzed with Köhler theory and used to parameterize cloud condensation nuclei activation spectra. In addition, sea salt aerosol (SSA) concentration was parameterized as a function of sea surface wind speed. It is anticipated these parameterizations will be applied in modeling of wintertime Chilean coastal precipitation.

A 142-Year Climatology of Northern California Landslides and Atmospheric Rivers

AbstractWe compare a novel dataset of San Francisco Bay Area landslides from 1871 to 2012 to corresponding atmospheric conditions commonly associated with Pacific winter storms and landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs). Landslides in the San Francisco Bay Area occur primarily during winter months, coinciding with enhanced integrated water vapor transport (IVT) magnitudes ≥250 kg m–1s–1at the coast 76% of the time and with landfalling ARs over the near-offshore northeast Pacific 82% of the time. Results illustrate that days, or the first in a series of days, with a landslide (i.e., landslide onset days) typically occur in association with NOAA Twentieth Century Reanalysis–derived IVT magnitudes ≥250 kg m–1s–1that persist for ∼20 h and temporal maxima in precipitation rates. Composite analyses of sea level pressure, integrated water vapor, and IVT during 3-month periods during September–May on landslide onset days further illustrate that these events coincide with regions of low pressure to the northwest of California and high pressure to the south, synoptic-scale flow conditions associated with strong onshore flow, and water vapor transports in the form of landfalling ARs.

Impacts of black carbon on the formation of advection–radiation fog during a haze pollution episode in eastern China

Abstract. Aerosols can not only participate in fog formation by acting as condensation nuclei of droplets but also modify the meteorological conditions such as air temperature and moisture, planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and regional circulation during haze events. The impact of aerosols on fog formation, yet to be revealed, can be critical in understanding and predicting fog–haze events. In this study, we used the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) to investigate a heavy fog event during a multiday intense haze pollution episode in early December 2013 in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region in eastern China. Using the WRF-Chem model, we conducted four parallel numerical experiments to evaluate the roles of aerosol–radiation interaction (ARI), aerosol–cloud interaction (ACI), black carbon (BC) and non-BC aerosols in the formation and maintenance of the heavy fog event. We find that only when the aerosols' feedback processes are considered can the model capture the haze pollution and the fog event well. And the effects of ARI during the fog–haze episode in early December 2013 played a dominant role, while the effects of ACI were negligible. Furthermore, our analyses show that BC was more important in inducing fog formation in the YRD region on 7 December than non-BC aerosols. The dome effect of BC leads to an increase in air moisture over the sea by reducing PBLH and weakening vertical mixing, thereby confining more water vapor to the near-surface layer. The strengthened daytime onshore flow by a cyclonic wind anomaly, induced by contrast temperature perturbation over land and sea, transported moister air to the YRD region, where the suppressed PBLH and weakened daytime vertical mixing maintained the high moisture level. Then heavy fog formed due to the surface cooling at night. This study highlights the importance of anthropogenic emissions in the formation of advection–radiation fog in the polluted coastal areas.