Two randomized clinical trials (STOMP and ORIOLE) demonstrated that stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) can prolong ADT-free survival or progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with metachronous oligometastatic prostate cancer (omCSPC) patients. While most omCSPC patients have a more modest delay in progression, a small subset achieves a durable response following SABR. We investigated the prognostic and predictive value of circulating PSMA-positive extracellular vesicles (PSMA+EV) and prostate specific antigen (PSA) in a biomarker correlative study using blood samples from three independent patient cohorts. Plasma samples from 46 patients on the ORIOLE trial and 127 patients on the STOMP trial protocol with omCSPC patients treated with SABR. Pre-SABR PSMA+EV levels (EVs/ml) were measured by nanoscale flow cytometry. Kaplan-Meier curves and logistic regression models were used to determine the association of PSMA+EV and PSA levels with clinical outcomes. In the pooled cohorts, median bPFS were 26.1 and 15.0 months (p=0.005) and median rPFS were 36.0 and 25.0 months (p=0.003) for PSMA+EV low and high groups, respectively. The combination of pre-SABR low levels of both PSMA+EV and PSA was associated with lower risk of radiographic progression (HR=0.34, 95% CI: 0.18-0.58, p=0.0002). In the ORIOLE cohort, which included both a SABR arm and an observation arm, low PSMA+EV was predictive of benefit from SABR (p=0.012). PSMA+EV is a novel prognostic and predictive biomarker of radiographically occult tumor burden in omCSPC. PSMA+EV may inform clinical decisions regarding which patients achieve a durable benefit from consolidative SABR alone.
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