Ocean Warming Research Articles

Poleward migration of tropical corals inhibited by future trends of seawater temperature and calcium carbonate (CaCO3) saturation

Poleward range expansion of marine organisms is commonly attributed to anthropogenic ocean warming. However, the extent to which a single species can migrate poleward remains unclear. In this study, we used molecular data to examine the current distribution of the Pocillopora damicornis species complex in Taiwan waters and applied niche modeling to predict its potential range through the end of the 21st Century. The P. damicornis species complex is widespread across shallow, tropical and subtropical waters of the Indo-Pacific regions. Our results revealed that populations from subtropical nonreefal coral communities are P. damicornis, whose native geographical ranges are approximately between 23°N and 35°N. In contrast, those from tropical reefs are P. acuta. Our analysis of 50 environmental data layers demonstrated that the concentrations of CaCO3 polymorphs had the greatest contributions to the distributions of the two species. Future projections under intermediate shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) 2–4.5 and very high (SSP5–8.5) scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions showed that while sea surface temperature (SST) isotherms would shift northwards, saturation isolines of two CaCO3 polymorphs, calcite (Ωcal) and aragonite (Ωarag), would shift southwards by 2100. Subsequent predictions of future suitable habitats under those conditions indicated that distinct delimitation of geographical ranges for the two species would persist, and neither would extend beyond its native geographical zones, indicating that tropical Taiwan waters are the northern limit for P. acuta. In contrast, subtropical waters are the southern limit for P. damicornis. We concluded that the decline in CaCO3 saturation would make high latitudes less inhabitable, which could be one of the boundary elements that limit poleward range expansion driven by rising SSTs and preserve the latitudinal diversity gradient (LDG) on Earth. Consequently, poleward migration of tropical reef corals to cope with warming oceans should be reevaluated.

Publisher's note to: Multispecies population-scale emergence of climate change signals in an ocean warming hotspot

Publisher's note to: <i>Multispecies population-scale emergence of climate change signals in an ocean warming hotspot</i>

The impact of ocean warming on selected commercial fisheries in New Zealand

AbstractWarming oceans affect the growth, reproduction and location of fish species. Using a bioeconomic framework, we estimate the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and the catch of de facto open‐access commercial fisheries of flatfish, trevally and jack mackerel in New Zealand. Assuming either a logarithmic or quadratic relationship between the SST and the carrying capacity of the fish stock, we consider three fishing methods (bottom trawl, set net and midwater trawl) and two measures of effort (count and duration). We show that ocean warming results in an increase in catch for all species if we assume a logarithmic relationship, with the highest marginal product of SST () for jack mackerel caught using midwater trawl. The highest marginal revenue product (computed by the MPSST, current price and fished area) is found for flatfish caught by set net. However, when assuming a quadratic relationship, there is a threshold above which catch starts to decrease, with the maximum catch of species ranging between 10 and 12.2°C. These results also vary spatially, with higher values of MPSST observed in areas closer to the South Pole. Our findings are relevant for any review of fisheries management systems in response to ocean warming.

Global-scale future climate projections from ACCESS model contributions to CMIP6

This paper describes projected climate evolution and outcomes simulated by the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) to varying future scenarios, including of socio-ecological and technological development, and land-use and land-cover change. Contributions to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) from the climate model version, ACCESS-CM2, and the fully coupled Earth System Model version, ACCESS-ESM1.5, are presented for the near-future (2020–2050), 21st Century (2000–2100) and longer-term (2100–2300). Scenario differentiation in the near future is aided by high-density sampling in large-ensemble ACCESS-ESM1.5, more clearly illustrating projected 2020–2050 global changes in temperature, precipitation and aerosol optical depth. Over the 21st Century, the heightened equilibrium climate sensitivity of ACCESS-CM2 relative to ACCESS-ESM1.5 results in persistently greater surface air temperature increases and larger amplified polar warming, leading to more rapid sea ice decline. Although weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) occurs in both models, 21st Century recovery under aggressive-mitigation and overshoot scenarios only occurs in ACCESS-ESM1.5; AMOC weakening continues under all scenarios in ACCESS-CM2 through to 2100. Longer-term climate response from simulations extending to 2300 depict opposing hemispheric responses of polar surface air temperatures and sea ice in both models under scenarios based on aggressive mitigation action, leading to a resurgence of surface ocean warming and Antarctic sea ice decline. Under a future scenario where development is driven by continued fossil fuel use, both AMOC and Antarctic Bottom Water Formation continue to weaken across 2200–2300 in both models, reaching such low levels in ACCESS-CM2 that these pivotal components of global meridional overturning circulation could be considered essentially to have ceased.

The dominant influence of indian ocean dipole-like ocean warming on decreased precipitation over eastern East Antarctica

East Antarctica is undergoing a noticeable decrease in precipitation, significantly impacting ice mass loss. However, there is a lack of research on the underlying factors behind this change. This study highlights that on an interannual timescale, the precipitation variations in Eastern East Antarctica (EEA) are predominantly influenced by the Indian Ocean Dipole mode (IOD) compared to other climate variabilities like the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and north Atlantic variability. Through trend analysis of each climate variability, we confirmed that the observed decrease in EEA precipitation can be attributed to positive IOD-like ocean warming. A positive SAM trend also contributed to specific Wilkes Land and Queen Mary Land regions. Despite these influence on long-term trend, the relationship between IOD and EEA precipitation exhibits sporadic changes on interdecadal timescales. Notably, the apparent negative correlation between the two declined to insignificance in the early 2000s, only to re-establish a significant negative correlation by the early 2010s. The primary driver of this change is the inconsistent propagation of waves originating from the Indian Ocean. During periods of high correlation, these waves propagate southeastward, inducing a robust low-pressure anomaly near Victoria Land, ultimately leading to decreased EEA precipitation. However, during periods of low correlation, the waves move eastward and fail to alter the circulation anomalies near East Antarctica.

Improving the sampling of red Noctiluca scintillans to understand its impact on coastal ecosystem dynamics

Abstract Recently, natural and anthropogenic pressures caused an apparent increase in the frequency and spread of red Noctiluca scintillans (RNS) blooms. Here, we describe this potential expansion and the associated environmental factors based on an extensive literature review (1857–2023). Our analysis suggests that Noctiluca increased over time in several Australian, Chinese and European coastal regions. We point to eutrophication, ocean warming and deoxygenation as possible drivers of these intensifications. Moreover, we demonstrate Noctiluca’s importance for coastal ecosystems: with competitive advantages causing fast and intense blooms, Noctiluca has the potential to alter plankton communities, influencing productivity in affected areas. Throughout our analysis, we identified major knowledge gaps that are relevant to assess Noctiluca: (i) challenges in determining its spatiotemporal evolution; (ii) limited knowledge about drivers triggering and ending blooms; (iii) scarce information about feeding, reproduction and interaction in situ and (iv) uncertainty regarding its contribution to carbon export. We hypothesize that these gaps are related to limitations in traditional sampling techniques, and we highlight the need for a holistic approach combining traditional with novel techniques like remote sensing and underwater cameras. Our suggested approach could help filling the identified gaps and facilitate predictions of bloom dynamics and impacts under future climate conditions.

Large spread in marine heatwave assessments for Asia and the Indo-Pacific between sea-surface-temperature products

Prolonged extremely warm ocean temperatures have great impacts on both natural ecosystems and human communities. These phenomena (i.e., marine heatwaves) could be easily monitored globally by satellite-based sea surface temperatures; however, the choice of datasets may lead to potential uncertainties in the marine heatwave assessment. Here we compared the marine heatwaves using three commonly used satellite products to illustrate the uncertainties over Asia and the Indo-Pacific. Distinct differences were found in the occurrence, duration, and long-term trend of marine heatwaves over both coastal and open oceans, while some discrepancies could become comparable with the obtained metrics themselves. Although differences in mean sea surface temperatures or their variances among datasets could not explain the abovementioned discrepancies, different sensors, procedures, and sea ice treatments in each dataset may contribute partially. Overall, our study suggests that the use of multiple datasets is crucial for evaluations of extreme events.

Exploring the mechanisms behind swimming performance limits to ocean warming and acidification in the Atlantic king scallop, Pecten maximus

Recently, we could show that scallops show limitations of muscular performance like a reduced force under ocean warming and acidification. However, the underlying mechanisms at the cellular level are not completely understood. Metabolomics has become a valuable tool to evaluate the responses of marine organisms to various stressors. In the present study we therefore used a semi-targeted, multi tissue NMR based metabolomic approach to analyze metabolite patterns in the Atlantic king scallop, Pecten maximus, that were long-term acclimated to different end of century conditions of ocean warming (OW), ocean acidification (OA) and their combination (OWA). We investigated tissue specific metabolic profiles and metabolite concentrations in frozen tissues from gills, mantle and phasic and tonic adductor muscle of P. maximus under present conditions using 1H-HR-MAS NMR spectroscopy. A set of 33 metabolites revealed a clear tissue-specific pattern which can be attributed to the individual functions of the respective tissue type. We then evaluated the impact of OW, OA and OWA on the metabolic profiles of the different tissues. OW was the main driver of the changes in metabolites. In particular, energy-related metabolites seem to play an important role in the physiological response of scallops to OW and OWA. In combination with pathway analysis and network exploration we propose a possible correlation between metabolic changes in the adductor muscle and limited swimming performance of P. maximus under future climate. While the metabolic response of the phasic muscle seems to mainly depend on net consumption of energy related metabolites such as ATP and phospho-L-arginine, the tonic muscle seems to rely on metabolizing specific amino acids and beta-oxidation to account for the elevated energetic requirements under ocean warming and acidification.

The Relationship between Mean Length at Maturity and Maximum Length in Coral Reef Fish

This article proposes a mechanism that triggers first maturation and spawning in coral reef (bony) fish, which allows for predicting their length at first maturity. Thus, mean lengths at first maturity (Lm) and the corresponding maximum lengths (Lmax) in 207 populations of 131 species of coral reef fish were assembled and used to test the hypotheses that (a) there is, in coral reef fish, a single value of a size-related parameter acting as a trigger for their maturation and eventual spawning, and (b) that this single value is statistically the same as that published previously for other bony fish. The results, based on the assembled Lm and Lmax data and on estimates of the parameter D, which link the length of fish with the relative surface of their gills, covered 44 families and Lmax values ranging from 1.8 to 181.6 cm and confirmed that the threshold in (a) exists. Also, we assessed (in b) that this threshold value, i.e., LmaxD/LmD = 1.35 (±0.02), is not statistically different from similar estimates for other groups of teleosts, notably semelparous salmonids, cichlids, sturgeons and Chinese and Turkish freshwater and marine fish. One implication is that given ocean warming and deoxygenation, coral reef fish will not only be smaller than they currently are, but also mature and spawn at smaller sizes, and thus produce fewer, smaller eggs.

Short-term and long-term exposure to combined elevated temperature and CO2 leads to differential growth, toxicity, and fatty acid profiles in the harmful dinoflagellate Karlodinium veneficum

Ocean warming and acidification may significantly alter the distribution and intensity of harmful algal blooms as well as their effects on marine food webs. Estimating such effects rely, in part, on understanding the physiological response of individual algal species to controlled laboratory simulations of climate change conditions. Here we report the physiological response of the harmful dinoflagellate Karlodinium veneficum to the combined effects of elevated temperature and CO2 (29°C/1000 ppm CO2). We first examined these effects by comparing ambient control (25°C/441 ppm CO2) and elevated conditions under short-term (~20 generations) growth. Next, we compared the short-term elevated condition to a longer-term (~200 generations) growth scenario under the same elevated temperature and CO2. Under the short-term elevated conditions, K. veneficum growth declined, cell toxicity increased, and saturated and mono-unsaturated fatty acid (FA) composition varied significantly from ambient conditions. Meanwhile, after ~ 200 generations of growth under elevated temperature and CO2, K. veneficum carbon assimilation, growth, and cell toxicity were significantly higher than the short-term elevated treatment. Further, while total saturated FA declined, essential fatty acids increased and likely represented an adaptive temporal response to long-term exposure to high temperature and CO2. Such shifts in FA profiles and cell toxicity may possibly alter K. veneficum nutritional quality as prey and its mixotrophic behavior, thereby affecting the energy and mass transfer through the marine food webs as well as bloom dynamics.

The mussel larvae microbiome changes in response to a temperature rise

Ocean warming caused by global climate change influences the function, diversity, and community dynamics of commensal microorganisms, including the hemolymph and the gut microbiota in mussels. However, the microbiota in hard-shelled mussel (Mytilus coruscus) larvae and the effect of temperature on the microbial community structure have yet to be studied. Herein, we investigated the core microbiota of M. coruscus larvae and the impact of acute (4 h) and gradual (4 days) exposure to a rise in seawater temperature from 21 to 25 °C. Eleven core genera were identified in M. coruscus larvae by 16S rDNA gene sequencing: Alteromonas, Brevundimonas, Delftia, Microbacterium, Neptuniibacter, Neptunomonas, Pseudoalteromonas, Rhodococcus, Stenotrophomonas, Tenacibaculum, and Thalassotalea. The microbiota of larvae in the short exposure treatment was similar to the control. However, the abundance of Delftia, Neptunomonas, Pseudoalteromonadaceae, Rhodococcus, and Stenotrophomonas decreased significantly in the long-exposure larvae. In contrast, at the genus level, the abundance of Tenacibaculum increased significantly. Diversity and multivariate analyses confirmed that the microbiota patterns were linked to seawater warming over the long term. Microbiota diversity did not change significantly, regardless of whether the seawater temperature increased quickly or slowly; however, we observed a significant increase in the microbiota species abundance at higher temperatures. Among the altered bacterial genera, Delftia, Neptunomonas, and Rhodococcus function in the degradation of organic compounds; Pseudoalteromonas is closely associated with mussel attachment and metamorphosis, and Tenacibaculum is an opportunistic pathogen that can cause marine mollusk death. The results suggest that marine heat waves caused by climate change may reduce the ability of symbiotic bacteria to degrade environmental toxins, will affect mussel larvae metamorphosis, and increase the abundance of opportunistic pathogens, thereby increasing the risk of disease and death of mussel larvae.

Interactive effects of chronic ocean acidification and warming on the growth, survival, and physiological responses of adults of the temperate sea urchin Strongylocentrotusintermedius

To investigate the interactive effects of chronic ocean acidification and warming (OAW) on the growth, survival, and physiological responses of sea urchins, adults of the temperate sea urchin Strongylocentrotus intermedius were incubated separately/jointly in acidic (ΔpHNBS = −0.5 units) and thermal (ΔT = +3.0 °C) seawater for 120 days under lab-controlled conditions based on the projected ocean pH and temperature for 2100 put forward by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Survival rate (SR), average food consumption rate (FCR), gut index (GuI), specific growth rate (SGR), digestive capability, energy production, and antioxidant capability were subsequently determined. The results showed that 1) the SR, FCR, GuI and SGR decreased sharply under OAW conditions. Significant interactive effects of OAW on SR and SGR were observed at 120 days post-incubation (dpi), and on FCR this occurred at 90 dpi. 2) OAW altered the activities of both digestive and antioxidant enzymes. There were significant interaction effects of OAW on the activities of amylase, trehalase, and superoxide dismutase. 3) The relative gene expression levels and activities of key enzymes involved in glycometabolism pathways (i.e., glycolysis and the tricarboxylic acid cycle) were significantly affected by OAW, resulting in an alteration of the total ATP content in the sea urchins. Interaction effects of OAW were observed in both relative gene expression and the activity of enzymes involved in glycolysis (hexokinase), the transformation of glycolysis end-products (lactate dehydrogenase), the tricarboxylic acid cycle (citrate synthetase), and ATP production (Na+/K+-ATPase). The data from this study will enrich our knowledge concerning the combined effects of global climate change on the survival, growth, and physiological responses of echinoderms.

Marine heatwaves in the western Mediterranean: Considerations for coastal aquaculture adaptation

Climate change threatens marine aquaculture, impacting fish health and farming practices through extreme events such as ocean warming and marine heatwaves. These events can compound the effects of other stressors, necessitating adaptive measures for sustainable aquaculture, such as submergible cages. We harnessed ocean reanalysis products to enhance our understanding of ocean warming and marine heatwaves in key fish farming areas in the Western Mediterranean, focusing on fish welfare thermal thresholds that inform mitigation measures. Our analyses revealed a consistent temperature increase across depths and farms over four decades, notably peaking at 0.75 °C per decade in some areas. Marine heatwaves have become three times more frequent, with nearly 50% longer durations on average compared to the 1980s. This included the most severe event experienced in 2022, with anomalies up to 4.2 °C lasting the entire summer. Fish welfare thermal thresholds exceeded the average depth of pen net systems and increased by 4.3 m per decade. Moreover, the seasonal onset of thermal thresholds shifted 5 to 6 days earlier per decade. To secure optimal conditions for seabream and seabass, net pens should be submerged to depths of around 20 m and 15 m, respectively, ideally in the second week of July. However, in shallow areas, this may not be feasible. Our findings raise concerns about the well-being of Mediterranean farmed fish, which, although adapted to current conditions, may struggle to thrive under recent and projected environmental changes. Addressing these challenges, a multi-faceted adaptative approach encompassing research, technological innovation, regulatory measures, and industry collaboration.

French coastal network for carbonate system monitoring: the CocoriCO2 dataset

Abstract. Since the beginning of the industrial revolution, atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations have risen steadily and have induced a decrease of the averaged surface ocean pH by 0.1 units, corresponding to an increase in ocean acidity of about 30 %. In addition to ocean warming, ocean acidification poses a tremendous challenge to some marine organisms, especially calcifiers. The need for long-term oceanic observations of pH and temperature is a key element to assess the vulnerability of marine communities and ecosystems to these pressures. Nearshore productive environments, where a large majority of shellfish farming activities are conducted, are known to present pH levels as well as amplitudes of daily and seasonal variations that are much larger than those observed in the open ocean. Yet, to date, there are very few coastal observation sites where these parameters are measured simultaneously and at high frequency. To bridge this gap, an observation network was initiated in 2021 in the framework of the CocoriCO2 project. Six sites were selected along the French Atlantic and Mediterranean coastlines based on their importance in terms of shellfish production and the presence of high- and low-frequency monitoring activities. At each site, autonomous pH sensors were deployed, both inside and outside shellfish production areas, next to high-frequency CTD (conductivity–temperature–depth) probes operated through two operating monitoring networks. pH sensors were set to an acquisition rate of 15 min, and discrete seawater samples were collected biweekly in order to control the quality of pH data (laboratory spectrophotometric measurements) as well as to measure total alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon concentrations for full characterization of the carbonate system. While this network has been up and running for more than 2 years, the acquired dataset has already revealed important differences in terms of pH variations between monitored sites related to the influence of diverse processes (freshwater inputs, tides, temperature, biological processes). Data are available at https://doi.org/10.17882/96982 (Petton et al., 2023a).

Hidden impacts of ocean warming and acidification on biological responses of marine animals revealed through meta-analysis

Conflicting results remain on the impacts of climate change on marine organisms, hindering our capacity to predict the future state of marine ecosystems. To account for species-specific responses and for the ambiguous relation of most metrics to fitness, we develop a meta-analytical approach based on the deviation of responses from reference values (absolute change) to complement meta-analyses of directional (relative) changes in responses. Using this approach, we evaluate responses of fish and invertebrates to warming and acidification. We find that climate drivers induce directional changes in calcification, survival, and metabolism, and significant deviations in twice as many biological responses, including physiology, reproduction, behavior, and development. Widespread deviations of responses are detected even under moderate intensity levels of warming and acidification, while directional changes are mostly limited to more severe intensity levels. Because such deviations may result in ecological shifts impacting ecosystem structures and processes, our results suggest that climate change will likely have stronger impacts than those previously predicted based on directional changes alone.

Numerical Study of Effects of Warm Ocean Eddies on Tropical Cyclones Intensity in Northwest Pacific

This study investigates the impact of warm core eddies (WCEs) on the ocean response and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Northwest Pacific, focusing on three typhoons in 2018: Jebi, Trami, and Kong-rey. The research uses the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model coupled with the MPIPOM-TC ocean model. Idealized WCEs are embedded into the ocean model ahead of each TC. The impacts of WCEs are evaluated by comparing simulations with and without their presence. Uncoupled experiments with the fixed sea surface temperature (SST) serve as a reference for TC maximum potential intensity. To quantitatively assess the impact of WCEs on the SST, enthalpy fluxes, and TC intensity, a Maximum WCE Potential Index (MWPI) is introduced. Our findings indicate that for a WCE with a 200 km radius, the potential to reduce SST cooling ranges from 34 to 37%, while the potential to increase enthalpy fluxes varies between 25 and 39%. The influence of WCEs on TC intensity, as measured by minimum pressure, shows a larger variation from 27% to 48%, depending on the oceanic and atmospheric environmental conditions in each storm. Additional experiments reveal the sensitivity of the MWPI to WCE size, with TC Trami showing less sensitivity due to its slower translational speed. This study underscores the significant role of oceanic thermal conditions, particularly WCEs, in modulating TC intensity.

Role of Anomalous Ocean Warming on the Intensification of Pre‐Monsoon Tropical Cyclones Over the Northern Bay of Bengal

AbstractThe northern Indian Ocean, typically the Bay of Bengal (BoB), has experienced several stronger tropical cyclones during the pre‐monsoon season in the last few years. Similarly, in 2021, cyclone Yaas reached the Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) stage despite forming above 14°N. In comparison to the other three cyclones that formed in 2007 (Akash), 2009 (Aila), and 2017 (Mora) with a similar cyclogenesis location and track, the pre‐cyclonic condition in 2021 is more favorable. It was found that from 2007 to 2021, the area associated with Sea Surface Temperature greater than 31°C increased from 0.1 percent to 29 percent. The Research Moored Array for African‐Asian‐Australian Monsoon Analysis and Prediction buoy at 15°N also recorded an increasing trend of 0.1°C per year in both average and maximum temperatures during May. The warming in 2021 is primarily linked with Marine Heat Wave events, which extensively cover the north BoB for a longer duration starting from the first week of May. Such warming extends even to the subsurface, providing the heat required to convert the depression into VSCS within 2 days. The weaker western boundary current during 2021 made the northern BoB fresher and favorable for cyclone, intensification. The associated anticyclonic eddy along the track extended the abnormal distribution of low saline water even up to the subsurface (∼100m), which is vital in increasing the ocean heat content. These simultaneous pre‐cyclonic oceanic conditions can be incorporated into the weather model to understand and predict the rapid intensification within a shorter duration.

Natural warming differentiates communities and increases diversity in deep-sea Ridge Flank Hydrothermal Systems

Ridge Flank Hydrothermal Systems have discrete pockets of fluid discharge that mimic climate-induced ocean warming. Unlike traditional hydrothermal fluids, those discharged by Ridge Flank Hydrothermal Systems have a chemical composition indistinguishable from background water, enabling evaluation of the effect of warming temperature. Here we link temperature and terrain variables to community composition and biodiversity by combining remotely operated vehicle images of vent and non-vent zone communities with associated environmental variables. We show overall differences in composition, family richness, and biodiversity between zones, though richness and diversity were only significantly greater in vent zones at one location. Temperature was a contributing factor to observed greater biodiversity near vent zones. Overall, our results suggest that warming in the deep sea will affect species composition and diversity. However, due to the diverse outcomes projected for ocean warming, additional research is necessary to forecast the impacts of ocean warming on deep-sea ecosystems.

Marine protected areas can be useful but are not a silver bullet for kelp conservation.

Kelp forests are among the most valuable ecosystems on Earth, but they are increasingly being degraded and lost due to a range of human-related stressors, leading to recent calls for their improved management and conservation. One of the primary tools to conserve marine species and biodiversity is the establishment of marine protected areas (MPAs). International commitments to protect 30% of the world's ecosystems are gaining momentum, offering a promising avenue to secure kelp forests into the Anthropocene. However, a clear understanding of the efficacy of MPAs for conserving kelp forests in a changing ocean is lacking. In this perspective, we question whether strengthened global protection will create meaningful conservation outcomes for kelp forests. We explore the benefits of MPAs for kelp conservation under a suite of different stressors, focusing on empirical evidence from protected kelp forests. We show that MPAs can be effective against some drivers of kelp loss (e.g., overgrazing, kelp harvesting), particularly when they are maintained in the long-term and enforced as no-take areas. There is also some evidence that MPAs can reduce impacts of climate change through building resilience in multi-stressor situations. However, MPAs also often fail to provide protection against ocean warming, marine heatwaves, coastal darkening, and pollution, which have emerged as dominant drivers of kelp forest loss globally. Although well-enforced MPAs should remain an important tool to protect kelp forests, successful kelp conservation will require implementing an additional suite of management solutions that target these accelerating threats.

A critical appraisal of the BBNJ agreement not to recognise the high seas decline as a common concern of humankind

The global ocean, the largest single ecosystem in the world, is in continuous decline due to increasing human pressures. New challenges, such as ocean warming and deoxygenation, ocean acidification, plastic pollution, and unsustainable use of marine resources, have no borders and boundaries. However, the recently adopted 2023 BBNJ Agreement does not recognise the high seas decline as a common concern of humankind - a legal notion/concept and treaty-based principle for internationally shared problems such as biodiversity loss and climate change. This article attempts to define the common concern of humankind by examining its legal basis, enshrinement and effect, as it still lacks a generally accepted legal definition. This article aims to propose why the high seas decline should be recognised as a common concern of humankind and to explore the underlying legal and regulatory implications of this notion for the conservation of the high seas. It is suggested that the common concern of humankind, which highlights the shared obligations and responsibilities with respect to common problems facing humankind, has both theoretical and operational significance in promoting international cooperation to address current and future ocean governance challenges.