Ocean Reanalysis Research Articles

Heat transport into the interior ocean induced by water-mass subduction

The subduction of oceanic water masses provides a crucial pathway for anthropogenic heat to enter the subsurface ocean, thereby shaping deep-reaching warming signatures. Analyzing data from eight ocean and atmosphere reanalysis datasets, we show that the average annual subduction rate of the global ocean (excluding 10° S–10° N) is 312.4 ± 27.9 Sv, resulting in a mean heat transport of 20.2 ± 2.1 PW towards the subsurface ocean. This subduction-driven heat transport has exhibited an increase of 0.09 ± 0.08 PW/decade since 1970. The increase predominantly stems from the overall enhancement of subduction within the latitudes of 30° S–50° S, dictated by intensified westerly winds that lead to the deepening of the local mixed layer depth. Our findings underscore the essence of wind-driven changes in the Southern Ocean subduction, which wield considerable influence over the global climate by regulating the vertical transport of heat and carbon from the sea surface to the deep waters.

Assessment of water levels from 43 years of NOAA’s Coastal Ocean Reanalysis (CORA) for the Gulf of Mexico and East Coasts

Coastal water level information is crucial for understanding flood occurrences and changing risks. Here, we validate the preliminary version (0.9) of NOAA’s Coastal Ocean Reanalysis (CORA), which is a 43-year reanalysis (1979–2021) of hourly coastal water levels for the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean (i.e., the Gulf and East Coast region, or GEC). CORA-GEC v0.9 was conducted by the Renaissance Computing Institute using the coupled ADCIRC+SWAN coastal circulation and wave model. The model uses an unstructured mesh of nodes with varying spatial resolution that averages 400 m near the coast and is much coarser in the open ocean. Water level variations associated with tides and meteorological forcing are explicitly modeled, while lower-frequency water level variations are included by dynamically assimilating observations from NOAA’s National Water Level Observation Network. We compare CORA to water level observations that were either assimilated or not, and find that the reanalysis generally performs better than a state-of-the-art global ocean reanalysis (GLORYS12) in capturing the variability on monthly, seasonal, and interannual timescales as well as the long-term trend. The variability of hourly non-tidal residuals is also shown to be well resolved in CORA when compared to water level observations. Lastly, we present a case study of extreme water levels and coastal inundations around Miami, Florida to demonstrate an application of CORA for studying flood risks. Our assessment suggests that NOAA’s CORA-GEC v0.9 provides valuable information on water levels and flooding occurrence from 1979–2021 in areas that are experiencing changes across multiple time scales. CORA potentially can enhance flood risk assessment along parts of the U.S. Coast that do not have historical water level observations.

Stagnation of Eddy Kinetic Energy After Summer Monsoon Onset in the South China Sea

AbstractThe monsoon is the primary force behind the upper‐layer circulation system and regulates eddy activity in the South China Sea (SCS). Using satellite observations and a state‐of‐the‐art oceanic reanalysis, this study examines transferring processes of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) during the SCS Summer Monsoon (SCSSM) onset (20th May on average). The SCSSM onset transforms surface winds from easterly to southwesterly, increasing EKE in the southwestern SCS by surface wind work. Despite the persistent energy input from wind work, EKE growth ceases during the first 20 days after SCSSM onset. An EKE budget analysis suggests that most energy input dissipates in the mixed layer due to the high wind speed, which explains the EKE stagnation. Additionally, eddy‐mean flow interactions transfer kinetic energy from eddies to mean flows during the SCSSM onset. The Vietnam coastal upwelling system provides available potential energy to EKE on the offshore side through buoyancy work. Our study reveals energy‐transferring processes from the summer monsoon to eddy activity and dissipation in the SCS, with implications for understanding multiscale dynamic evolutions during the monsoon transition.

The Effects of Upper-Ocean Sea Temperatures and Salinity on the Intensity Change of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific and the South China Sea: An Observational Study

With increasing air and sea temperatures, the thermodynamic environments over the oceans are becoming more favourable for the development of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) with rapid intensification (RI). The South China coastal region consists of highly densely populated cities, especially over the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region. Intense TCs maintaining their strength or the RI of TCs close to the coastal region can present substantial forecasting challenges and have significant potential impacts on the coastal population. This study investigates the effect of sea-surface and sub-surface temperatures and salinity on the intensification of five TCs, namely Super Typhoon Hato in 2017, Super Typhoon Mangkhut in 2018, and Typhoon Talim, Super Typhoon Saola, and Severe Typhoon Koinu in 2023, which have significantly affected the South China coastal region and triggered high TC warning signals in Hong Kong in the past few years. This analysis utilised the Hong Kong Observatory’s TC best-track and intensity data, along with sea temperature and salinity profiles generated using the China Ocean ReAnalysis version 2 (CORA2) product from the National Marine Data and Information Service of China. It was found that high sea-surface temperatures (SST) of 30 °C or above for a depth of about 20 m, low sea-surface salinity (SSS) levels of 33.8 psu or below for a depth of at least 20 m, and strong salinity stratification of at least 0.6 psu per 100 m depth might offer useful hints for predicting the RI of TCs over the western North Pacific and the South China Sea (SCS) in operational forecasting, while noting other contributing environmental factors and synoptic flow patterns conducive to RI. This study represents the first documentation of sub-surface salinity’s impact on some intense TCs traversing the SCS during 2017–2023 based on an observational study. Our aim is to supplement operational techniques for forecasting RI with some quantitative guidance based on upper-level ocean observations of temperatures and salinity, on top of well-known but more rapidly changing dynamical factors like low-level convergence, weak vertical wind shear, and upper-level divergent outflow, as forecasted with numerical weather prediction models. This study will also encourage further research to refine the analysis of quantitative contributions from different RI factors and the identification of essential features for developing AI models as one way to improve the forecasting of TC RI before the TC makes landfall near the PRD, with due consideration given to the effect of freshwater river discharge from the Pearl River.

A switch in thermal and haline contributions to stratification in the Greenland Sea during the last four decades

Stratification and its thermal and haline contributions are important ocean properties of fundamental climatic influence. Upper-ocean stratification shapes marine ecosystems by regulating nutrient availability and deep-ocean stratification is important for carbon sequestration and ventilating the ocean interior. Here, we first assess the applicability of an ocean reanalysis product in representing stratification in the Nordic Seas and East Greenland Shelf. While the reanalysis performs well in most interior basins, it exhibits significant shortcomings on the East Greenland shelf, raising concerns about the reanalysis product in these areas. We then examine the development in the thermal and haline contributions to summer upper- (100 m) and winter intermediate- (1000 m) ocean stratification in the Greenland Sea from 1980 to 2020. We find that there has been a transition in the controls of winter stratification in the upper 1000 m of the Greenland Sea. The transition was associated with a westward migration of the boundary between salinity- and temperature-stratified waters and eventual switch from haline to thermal control of winter stratification. With that follows a change in the type of forcing that can lead to convection: The Greenland Sea is now less dependent on eroding salinity gradients but rather depends on cooling to overcome stratification. There has been a similar switch in summer stratification in the upper-ocean of the Greenland Sea where surface waters shifted from variable stratification, alternating between salinity and temperature dominance, to a stable temperature-stratified regime. This switch coincided with declining sea-ice concentrations related to the disappearance of the Odden ice tongue after 1997. The high sea-ice conditions previously characteristic of the Greenland Sea are now rare suggesting the transition will persist with potential implications for marine ecology and local sea-ice formation. Our findings reveal differences in how thermal and haline stratification has developed over the last 40 years, which may help explain or predict plankton production and carbon uptake and export.

Lagrangian characterization of the southwestern Atlantic from a dense surface drifter deployment

The Southwestern Atlantic (SWA) is characterized by its large Eddy Kinetic Energy as the result of the confluence of two major western boundary currents, the northward flowing Malvinas Current (MC) and the southward flowing Brazil Current. The SWA study was addressed in the literature based on altimetry data, in situ measurements, regional models and ocean reanalysis. The present study constitutes the first effort to sample a portion of the SWA, with a dense drifter array (N = 62) deployment. The drifters, drogued at 15 m depths, were deployed across the MC and the Argentine Continental Shelf along two zonal transects located at 47°S and 47.25°S, between the 8th and the September 9, 2021. Drifters were set to deliver their position every 10 and 60 min, providing accurate Lagrangian trajectories that provide information on a large range of space and time scales of the surface currents. Three regions are clearly identified based on the analysis of the speed of the drifters, of their trajectories and of the spectral density of their velocities: the continental shelf, the slope and the open ocean. The comparison of the trajectories of the drifters with satellite altimetry images shows that, in general, drifters follow mesoscale features that are detectable in satellite altimetry maps. The analysis of the drifter trajectories also allowed us the study of submesoscale features of the flow (1–10 km) that are not observable in satellite altimetry data. Comparison with cloud-free, high-resolution color images, shows that drifter trajectories organized by the mesoscale flow might also locally follow sub-mesoscale features. In frontal regions it was found that drifter velocities double satellite altimetry geostrophic velocities, which suggests that the dynamics at those regions is largely dominated by ageostrophic components. The ageostrophic Ekman component might explain the direction of the drifters when strong winds from a given direction prevail for several days and the drifters are not in a region with large sea surface height (SSH) gradients. The joint analysis of drifters’ trajectory and SSH clearly depicts that mesoscale features on the open ocean region control the cross-shelf exchanges between the MC and open ocean regions as well as the strength and width of the MC. Finally, the spatial density distribution of the drifters during the first hours after deployment and within a small eddy also allowed us to characterize the flow in terms of its divergence, vorticity and strain, indicating that the MC is geostrophic and has a jet-like behavior while the eddy is largely ageostrophic and has a dominant vorticity component over strain. We conclude observing that the analysis of a dense array of drifters provides valuable information of the flow that cannot be attained solely based on satellite data.

The Northeast Water Polynya, Greenland: Climatology, Atmospheric Forcing and Ocean Response

AbstractThe Northeast Water Polynya is a significant annually recurring summertime Arctic polynya, located off the coast of Northeast Greenland. It is important for marine wildlife and affects local atmospheric and oceanic processes. In this study, over 40 years of observational and reanalysis products (ERA5 and ORAS5) are analyzed to characterize the polynya's climatology and ascertain forcing mechanisms. The Northeast Water Polynya has high spatiotemporal variability; its location, size and structure vary interannually, and the period for which it is open is changing. We show this variability is largely driven by atmospheric forcing. The polynya extent is determined by the direction of the near‐surface flow regime, and the relative locations of high and low sea‐level pressure centers over the region. The surface conditions also impact the oceanic water column, which has a strong seasonal cycle in potential temperature and salinity, the amplitude of which decreases with depth. The ocean reanalyses also show a significant warming trend at all depths and a freshening near the surface consistent with greater ice melt, but salinification at lower depths (∼200 m). As the Arctic region changes due to anthropogenic forcing, the sea‐ice edge is migrating northwards and the Northeast Water Polynya is generally opening earlier and closing later in the year. This could have significant implications for both the atmosphere and ocean in this complex and rapidly changing environment.

Model validation and applications of wave and current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory's Operational Marine Forecasting System

The Hong Kong Observatory has been running an Operational Marine Forecasting System (OMFS) adapted from the Regional Ocean Modelling System (ROMS) coupled with the WaveWatch III and SWAN wave models to provide wave, current and sea temperature forecasts up to 144 h twice a day since December 2021. To facilitate users’ interpretation of model forecasts of significant wave height and current speed in coastal predictions and open seas which are of particular significance in high wind situations, model forecasts were validated against moored buoy observations and wave recorder measurements near the shores of Hong Kong and drifting buoy data over the South China Sea, as well as Mercator Ocean model reanalysis in 2022. The validation results showed that the wave forecasts generally agreed well with the buoy observations with coefficient of determination (R2) of around 0.7 and root-mean-square error (RMSE) of less than 0.2 m up to 72 h ahead. The R2 for sea current forecasts ranged between 0.4 and 0.6, and the RMSE was around 8 to 11 cm/s in near shores up to T + 144 forecast hours. Validation against drifting buoy demonstrated that the trend of current forecasts generally agreed well with the measurements. RMSE of surface current forecasts over open seas ranged from 19 cm/s for 24-hour forecast to around 30 cm/s for 144-hour forecast when compared against Mercator Ocean reanalysis. Results from the current downscaling approach could serve as a benchmark reference for HKO to enhance OMFS in the future. In this paper, applications of model forecasts in the provision of marine weather services in Hong Kong are also introduced.

Latent Heat Flux Trend and Its Seasonal Dependence over the East China Sea Kuroshio Region

Investigating latent heat flux (LHF) variations in the western boundary current region is crucial for understanding air–sea interactions. In this study, we examine the LHF trend in the East China Sea Kuroshio Region (ECSKR) from 1959 to 2021 using atmospheric and oceanic reanalysis datasets and find that the LHF has a significant strengthening trend. This strengthening can be attributed to sea surface warming resulting from the advection of sea surface temperatures. More importantly, the LHF trend has an apparent seasonal dependence: the most substantial increasing trend in LHF is observed in spring, while the trends are weak in other seasons. Further analysis illustrates that the anomaly of air–sea humidity difference plays a pivotal role in controlling the seasonal variations in LHF trends. Specifically, as a result of the different responses of the East Asian Trough to global warming across different seasons, during spring, the East Asian Trough significantly deepens, resulting in northerly winds that facilitate the intrusion of dry and cold air into the ECSKR region. This intensifies the humidity difference between the sea and air, promoting the release of oceanic latent heat. These findings can contribute to a better understanding of the surface heat budget balance within western boundary currents.

Marine heatwaves in the western Mediterranean: Considerations for coastal aquaculture adaptation

Climate change threatens marine aquaculture, impacting fish health and farming practices through extreme events such as ocean warming and marine heatwaves. These events can compound the effects of other stressors, necessitating adaptive measures for sustainable aquaculture, such as submergible cages. We harnessed ocean reanalysis products to enhance our understanding of ocean warming and marine heatwaves in key fish farming areas in the Western Mediterranean, focusing on fish welfare thermal thresholds that inform mitigation measures. Our analyses revealed a consistent temperature increase across depths and farms over four decades, notably peaking at 0.75 °C per decade in some areas. Marine heatwaves have become three times more frequent, with nearly 50% longer durations on average compared to the 1980s. This included the most severe event experienced in 2022, with anomalies up to 4.2 °C lasting the entire summer. Fish welfare thermal thresholds exceeded the average depth of pen net systems and increased by 4.3 m per decade. Moreover, the seasonal onset of thermal thresholds shifted 5 to 6 days earlier per decade. To secure optimal conditions for seabream and seabass, net pens should be submerged to depths of around 20 m and 15 m, respectively, ideally in the second week of July. However, in shallow areas, this may not be feasible. Our findings raise concerns about the well-being of Mediterranean farmed fish, which, although adapted to current conditions, may struggle to thrive under recent and projected environmental changes. Addressing these challenges, a multi-faceted adaptative approach encompassing research, technological innovation, regulatory measures, and industry collaboration.

Intercomparison of tropical Indian Ocean circulation in ocean reanalysis and evaluation in CMIP6 climate models

In the present study, we assess the Tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) circulation features from the available ocean reanalysis products and the latest version of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) climate model simulations. We considered the following reanalysis products; Ocean Reanalysis System 5 (ORAS5), Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO), Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS), Ensemble Coupled Data Assimilation (ECDA), the Bluelink Reanalysis (BRAN) and Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) and compared them against in-situ observations and the satellite-derived Ocean Surface Current Analyses Real-time (OSCAR). The reanalysis products underestimate the strength and location of the Wyrtki Jets. The BRAN reanalysis performed well compared to the other products in representing the TIO surface zonal currents, followed by ORAS5. The vertical extension of subsurface zonal currents in the equatorial Indian Ocean and their seasonal maxima are well captured in ORAS5. Thus, our analysis suggests that the ORAS5 is a qualitative product to estimate the TIO circulation. We further evaluated the TIO current patterns simulated by CMIP6 models with in-situ data/ ORAS5. The majority of the models show discrepancies in simulating equatorial and south equatorial current systems with a mean bias of 0.1cms−1 and 0.2cms−1, respectively. NorESM2-MM, NorESM2-LM, CanESM5, CESM2-WACCM-FV2, and E3SM-1-ECA models showed a superior skill in reproducing the TIO circulation compared to the rest of the models. Our analysis highlights the importance of assessing various reanalysis products and coupled climate models in representing the circulation of the TIO and, consequently, their role in depicting regional weather and climate.

Trends in the ocean mixed‐layer depth in the western North Pacific tropical cyclone basin

AbstractThe upper ocean mixed‐layer depth (MLD) has been recognized as a crucial factor in understanding the impact of climate change on tropical cyclone (TC) intensity, while the specific MLD variations in the western North Pacific (WNP) basin have received comparatively little attention. Using two ocean reanalysis datasets and the output of 28 CMIP6 models, the climatological mean MLD and its trend in the TC active region are examined. Compared to the ORAS4 and EN4 datasets, the spatial pattern of the climatological mean MLD can be well simulated in the multi‐model ensemble (MME). The mean MLD decreases with increasing latitude and maintains the maximum in the equatorial region. The spatial patterns of MLD long‐term (1958–2017) and short‐term (1979–2017) trends are deepening in the TC active region, with the relatively large positive trends occurring to the southeastern WNP primarily between 5°N and 15°N. However, the simulated trend in the MME is dominant with shoaling MLD, and the shoaling of the MLD is also projected under the SSP5‐8.5 scenario. It is suggested that the bias on the simulated shoaling of the MLD in CMIP6 models may result from the overestimated enhancement of the upper‐ocean stratification. Thus, there is a discrepancy between the observed and simulated MLD trends in the WNP basin, which may have implications for TC intensity change under global warming scenarios.

The Influential Factors and Prediction of Kuroshio Extension Front on Acoustic Propagation-Tracked

The Kuroshio Extension front (KEF) considerably influences the underwater acoustic environment; however, a knowledge gap persists regarding the acoustic predictions under the ocean front environment. This study utilized the high-resolution ocean reanalysis data (JCOPE2M, 1993–2022) to assess the impact of the KEF on the underwater acoustic environment. Oceanographic factors were extracted from the database using the Douglas-Peucker algorithm, and acoustic propagation characteristics were obtained using the Bellhop raytracing model. This study employed a backpropagation neural network to predict the acoustic propagation affected by the KEF. The depth of the acoustic channel axis and the vertical gradient of the transition layer of sound speed were identified as the fundamental factors influencing the first area of convergence, with correlations between the former and the distance of the first convergence zone ranging from 0.52 to 0.82, and that for the latter ranging from −0.42 to −0.7. The proposed method demonstrated efficacy in forecasting first convergence zone distances, predicting distances with less than 3 km error in >90% of cases and less than 1 km error in 68.61% of cases. Thus, this study provides a valuable predictive tool for studying underwater acoustic propagation in ocean front environments and informs further research.

Assessment of a New Global Ocean Reanalysis in ENSO Predictions With NOAA UFS

AbstractAs an update on the current NOAA/NCEP operational ocean reanalysis systems, a new system named GLobal Ocean Reanalysis (GLORe) is recently built up based on the JEDI‐SOCA 3DVar scheme. In this study, the quality of GLORe is assessed in initializing ENSO predictions using the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS). In details, initialized by GLORe, 9‐month ensemble hindcasts are conducted from each May/November during 1982–2021. The ENSO prediction skill is compared to the current NOAA operational system CFSv2, suggesting that UFS initialized with GLORe has an improved skill in ENSO predictions. By conducting another set of hindcasts with UFS and the same initializations as CFSv2, it is found that the skill improvement is largely attributed to the ocean initialization with GLORe, but with some contributions from model improvements as well. The effect of ocean initializations is further confirmed by the superiority of GLORe over CFSR as validated against an objective analysis.

A study on the pathways and their interannual variability of the Fukushima-derived tracers in the northwestern Pacific

This study investigates that the subsurface pathways, travel time, and its interannual variability of Fukushima-derived tracers subducted with the North Pacific subtropical mode water (NPSTMW) using 22-year-long (1994–2015) eddy-resolving (1/12°) and eddy-permitting (1/4°) ocean reanalysis. The NPSTMW is a thick subsurface layer with low potential vorticity and relatively uniform potential density, making it a key indicator of the North Pacific oceanic conditions. A series of Lagrangian particle tracking simulations quantitatively revealed that the Fukushima-derived particles moved along the Kuroshio Extension (KE) and spread over the majority of the subtropical region in the northwestern Pacific within 4–5 years. Approximately 36% of the particles flowed eastward in the Kuroshio-Oyashio transition zone (KO) and thereafter re-emerged to the sea surface at the remote area (near dateline), and 30% of particles moved along the KE. The remaining 34% subducted into NPSTMW layer and then widely spread out to the subtropical region along the re-circulation gyre (RG), exhibiting a subsurface pathway during entire particle tracking. When the particles were released, their pathway was immediately determined, whether it flowed along the KO (>36°N), KE (30°–36°N), or RG (<30°N). Furthermore, the interannual variability of the pathways was significantly associated with the dynamic states of KE, such as the path length of the Kuroshio jet. This result implies that understanding the subsurface dynamics and its variability of the KE and NPSTMW is crucial for predicting the dispersion of radioactive materials in the subsurface layer and its potential impact.

Transformation of the atlantic water between svalbard and Franz Joseph Land in the late winter 2018–2019

An inflow of warm and salty Atlantic origin waters (AW) from the Nordic Seas to the Arctic Ocean interior is in the list of the major external factors, which control the hydrologic regime of the East-Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ocean. Rapid decay of the sea ice cover in 2000–2010s raised questions on the possible changes in the fate of the inflow under present ice-depleted conditions: whether warm and salty AW will cool and freshen slower (due to less ice to be melted underway), or intensified heat loss to the atmosphere through the open surface will lead to the faster AW cooling on shorter distance? We present rare hydrologic data, collected during the late winter 2019 in the international expedition “Transarktika-2019” in the northern part of the Barents Sea and at the adjoining continental slope of the Nansen Basin. On the basis of field data, supported by the oceanic reanalysis product and numerical modelling we have studied the transformation of AW on its transit between Svalbard and Franz Joseph Land. We show that the observed cooling and desalination of the fraction of AW over the continental slope around this area is controlled by lateral mixing with colder and fresher waters, outflowing from cross-slope canyons, which cut the continental slope: Kvitøya Trough, Franz Victoria Trough and probably, the British Channel. The obtained results demonstrate more intensive transformation of AW on this transit compared to previous studies. Possible explanations of this contrast, which are supported by the earlier studies, may include: the season of the survey when dense water outflow through canyons is at its maximum and gradual “atlantification” of the East-Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ocean, which favours intensification of dense water formation in winter polynyas under conditions of increased seasonality of sea ice. In the latter case, faster cooling and desalination of AW en route in this part of the Arctic Ocean may be considered as a reasonable hypothesis, provided the atlantification of the Nansen Basin is progressing.

An interpretation experiment on eddies’ role in sound propagation in the ocean using ray model

The relationship between mesoscale eddies and ambient acoustic propagation under different conditions were studied using high resolution ocean reanalysis products in South China Sea, which was summarized by a linear-equation representing the convergence zone change with respect to eddy signatures and source positions. Beyond the experiments scales, warm eddies “dragged” the sound propagation and cold eddies “squeezed” that in contrast, and the acoustic amplifying mechanism can be summarized as stronger(eddies), nearer(eddies) and deeper(source).

Spatial-temporal characteristics of temperature in Indonesian Sea based on a high-resolution reanalysis data

Influenced by both the Pacific and Indian Oceans, the temperature field in the Indonesian Sea are complicated. In order to reveal the spatial-temporal variability, the surface, thermocline and intermediate layers of the temperature field are studied based on the global ocean reanalysis data of Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) from 1993 to 2019 and the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis method. The results show that there is a warming trend of 1.36×10−2 °C /year in the surface layer. The first two modes both show reverse changes close to the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The correlation coefficients between the first and second modal time coefficients and the Niño 3.4 index are 0.62 and 0.48, respectively. And the correlation coefficient between the second modal time coefficient and the ITF inflow is -0.45. In the thermocline, there is a warmer trend, which is 4.78×10−2 °C /year. The correlation index of the first and second modal time coefficient with the Niño 3.4 and DMI indices are 0.87 and 0.43, respectively. The correlation index between the first and second modal time coefficient and the ITF inflow are -0.60 and 0.38, respectively. In the intermediate layer, the warming trend is 2.18×10−2 °C /year. From 1993 to 1999, from 2000 to 2016 and from 2017 to 2019, the Sulu Sea and northern Halmahera Sea experienced three periods of warming, cooling and warming, respectively. The study is helpful for further understanding the variation of the temperature field in the Indonesian Sea.

Three-dimensional temperature field inversion in the northern South China Sea

A Swin Transformer oceanic three-dimensional temperature field inversion model is established for the northern South China Sea and its surrounding waters based on satellite observation data and ocean reanalysis data from 1993 to 2018. The inversion results are tested using Argo observation data. The root-mean-square errors of the monthly average temperature fields for 2017 and 2018 are 0.10 to 1.98°C and 0.11 to 1.92°C, respectively, with the maximum values mainly located near the mixing layer. The temperature inversion root-mean-square errors are generally less than 1 °C. Additionally, this article analyzes the three-dimensional structural characteristics and evolution process of a typical anticyclone eddy in the study area. The results show that the inversion results can clearly demonstrate the three-dimensional structure of the eddy and continuously and completely reproduce the process of eddy persistence and movement.

Collapses, Maxima, Multi‐Year Modulation and Trends of the Zapiola Anticyclonic Circulation: Insights From Mercator Reanalysis

AbstractThe Argentine Basin hosts a unique oceanic feature: the Zapiola Anticyclonic Circulation (ZAC) located above a sedimentary deposit. Taking advantage of a high‐resolution (1/12°) global ocean reanalysis (GLORYS12) we examine the ZAC over 27 years (1993–2019). The mean ZAC is bottom‐intensified with bottom currents reaching 0.10 ms−1. The ZAC volume transport ranges from −18.5 to 268 Sv with a mean of 122 Sv. The strong negative peaks correspond to occasional ZAC collapses. During large transport events (>195.4 Sv) the ZAC shows a well defined coherent gyre. Strong transport events are associated with high eddy kinetic energy (EKE) at the periphery of the ZAC (especially to the west and south). In contrast, during weak transport events (<49.8 Sv), EKE increases at the center of the ZAC and decreases at the ZAC periphery. A weak ZAC is more permeable to external mesoscale structures. Each weak event features a cyclonic eddy at the center of the ZAC carrying subantarctic cold and fresh waters. The ZAC exhibits a multi‐year modulation, with periods of 4–5 years (1993–1997, 1998–2003 and 2004–2009) of low salinity corresponding to low transport, and high salinity to high transport. Over the last 27 years, transport time series exhibit a significant negative trend of −15 Sv.decade−1 associated with a negative trend in EKE (−0.015 (m/s)2.decade−1) to the north west of the ZAC. Waters in the Zapiola region become warmer and saltier in the first 2,000 m of the water column because of the southward migration of the subtropical front.