Occurrence Of Coronal Mass Ejections Research Articles

Multiwavelength Campaign Observations of a Young Solar-type Star, EK Draconis. I. Discovery of Prominence Eruptions Associated with Superflares

Young solar-type stars frequently produce superflares, serving as a unique window into the young Sun-Earth environments. Large solar flares are closely linked to coronal mass ejections (CMEs) associated with filament/prominence eruptions, but observational evidence for stellar superflares remains scarce. Here, we present a 12-day, multiwavelength campaign observation of young solar-type star EK Draconis (G1.5V, 50–120 Myr age) utilizing the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, the Neutron star Interior Composition ExploreR, and the Seimei telescope. The star has previously exhibited blueshifted Hα absorptions as evidence for a filament eruption associated with a superflare. Our simultaneous optical and X-ray observations identified three superflares of 1.5 × 1033–1.2 × 1034 erg. We report the first discovery of two prominence eruptions on a solar-type star, observed as blueshifted Hα emissions at speeds of 690 and 430 km s−1 and masses of 1.1 × 1019 and 3.2 × 1017 g, respectively. The faster, massive event shows a candidate of post-flare X-ray dimming with the amplitude of up to ∼10%. Several observational aspects consistently point to the occurrence of a fast CME associated with this event. The comparative analysis of the estimated length scales of flare loops, prominences, possible dimming region, and starspots provides the overall picture of the eruptive phenomena. Furthermore, the energy partition of the observed superflares in the optical and X-ray bands is consistent with flares from the Sun, M-dwarfs, and close binaries, yielding the unified empirical relations. These discoveries provide profound implications of the impact of these eruptive events on early Venus, Earth, and Mars and young exoplanets.

Solar active region magnetic parameters and their relationship with the properties of halo coronal mass ejections

The coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the sun consist of the plasma and strong magnetic fields (∼4–5 G at 1.3 R⊙) and generally, the fast CMEs are often associated with energetic particles of energy few hundreds of MeV. When the fast CMEs are ejected towards the Earth, they can disrupt the flow of solar wind in the heliosphere and impact the Earth's magnetosphere causing known space weather phenomena such as, geomagnetic storms, auroras, communication blackouts, satellite drag and failures. In this work, we have investigated a set of 60 halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) associated with X-ray flares (≥C1.0) observed in 49 active regions during the period 2010–2016 in solar cycle 24. The X-ray flares and white light CMEs were observed by Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and the Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) coronagraph on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) satellite, respectively. The active region magnetic properties are obtained from Space - weather HMI Active Region Patch (SHARP) parameters for this set of events. For each active region (AR), the mean value is calculated from a 1-day time series for each of the 16 photospheric magnetic parameters extracted from the vector magnetogram products at a 12-min cadence. The dependency of flare flux and CME kinematics properties on the active region magnetic properties is further confirmed through correlation studies. As a result, we found a moderate to strong correlation value for flare flux and halo CME kinematic properties (like linear speed, space speed and kinetic energy) among the seven (USFLUX, TOTUSJZ, TOTUSJH, ABSNJZH, SAVNCPP, TOTPOT and MEANJZH) SHARP parameters. Most of the events (≥73%) were produced by βγδ, βγ and βδ Hale - type sunspot groups and Ekc/Dkc/Fkc McIntosh sunspot classes. It reveals that the most complex active regions are feasible sources of strong flare-associated halo CME productivity. The front side halo CME kinematic properties depend more on the vertical current helicity and polarity magnetic parameters than the other magnetic parameters. In addition, the flare intensity and speed of CME, calculated using an empirical model with the active region magnetic parameters, are found nearly equal to the observed values. This result will be useful to identify the important magnetic parameters for modelling the occurrence of flare-associated halo CMEs and to understand the physical relationship between them.

Quasiperiodic Variations of Coronal Mass Ejections with Different Angular Widths

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are energetic expulsions of organized magnetic features from the Sun. The study of CME quasiperiodicity helps establish a possible relationship between CMEs, solar flares, and geomagnetic disturbances. We used the angular width of CMEs as a criterion for classifying the CMEs in the study. Based on 25 yr of observational data, we systematically analyzed the quasiperiodic variations corresponding to the CME occurrence rate of different angular widths in the northern and southern hemispheres, using frequency and time–frequency analysis methods. There are various periods for CMEs of different angular widths: 9 months, 1.7 yr, and 3.3–4.3 yr. Compared with previous studies based on the occurrence rate of CMEs, we obtained the same periods of 1.2 (±0.01), 3.1 (±0.04), and ≈6.1 (±0.4) months, and 1.2 (±0.1) and 2.4 (±0.4) yr. We also found additional periods of all CMEs that appear only in one hemisphere or during a specific solar cycle. For example, 7.1 (±0.2) months and 4.1 (±0.2) yr in the northern hemisphere, 1 (±0.004) and 5.9 (±0.2) months and 1 (±0.1), 1.4 (±0.1), and 2.4 (±0.4) yr in the southern hemisphere, 6.1 (±0.4) months in solar cycle 23, and 6.1 (±0.4) months and 1.2 (±0.1) and 3.7 (±0.2) yr in solar cycle 24. The analysis shows that quasiperiodic variations of the CMEs are a link among oscillations in coronal magnetic activity, solar flare eruptions, and interplanetary space.

Dependence of the Occurrence of Coronal Mass Ejections on the Initial Length of the Eruptive Prominence

Dependence of the Occurrence of Coronal Mass Ejections on the Initial Length of the Eruptive Prominence

The Temporal and Spatial Behaviors of CME Occurrence Rate at Different Latitudes

The statistical study of the coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a hot topic in solar physics. To further reveal the temporal and spatial behaviors of the CMEs at different latitudes and heights, we analyzed the correlation and phase relationships between the occurrence rate of CMEs, the coronal brightness index (CBI), and the 10.7 cm solar radio flux (F10.7). We found that the occurrence rate of the CMEs correlates with the CBI relatively stronger at high latitudes (≥60°) than at low latitudes (≤50°). At low latitudes, the occurrence rate of the CMEs correlates relatively weaker with the CBI than the F10.7. There is a relatively stronger correlation relationship between CMEs, the F10.7, and the CBI during Solar Cycle 24 (SC24) than Solar Cycle 23 (SC23). During SC23, the high-latitude CME occurrence rate lags behind the F10.7 by 3 months, and during SC24, the low-latitude CME occurrence rate leads the low-latitude CBI by 1 month. The correlation coefficient values turn out to be larger when the very faint CMEs are removed from the samples of the CDAW catalog. Based on our results, we may speculate that the source regions of the high/low-latitude CMEs may vary in height, and the process of magnetic energy accumulation and dissipation is from the lower to the upper atmosphere of the Sun. The temporal offsets between different indicators could help us better understand the physical processes responsible for the solar-terrestrial interactions.

Study of the Mass-loss Rate from the Sun

We investigate the temporal evolution of the yearly total mass-loss rate (YTMLR) from the Sun through coronal mass ejections (CMEs) over solar cycles 23 and 24. The mass determination of CMEs can be subject to significant uncertainty. To minimize this problem, we have used extensive statistical analysis. For this purpose, we employed data included in the Coordinated Data Analysis Workshop (CDAW) catalog. We estimated the contributions to mass loss from the Sun from different subsamples of CMEs (selected on the basis of their masses, angular widths, and position angles). The temporal variations of the YTMLR were compared to those of the sunspot number (SSN), X-ray flare flux, and the Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) index. We show that the CME mass included in the CDAW catalog reflects with high accuracy the actual mass-loss rate from the Sun through CMEs. Additionally, it is shown that the CME mass distribution in the log-lin representation reflects the Gaussian distribution very well. This means that the CMEs included in the CDAW catalog form one coherent population of ejections that have been correctly identified. Unlike the CME occurrence rate, it turns out that the YTMLR is a very good indicator of solar activity (e.g., SSN) and space weather (e.g., Dst index) consequences. These results are very important, since the YTMLR, unlike the mass loss through solar wind, significantly depends on solar cycles.

Torus-stable zone above starspots

ABSTRACT Whilst intense solar flares are almost always accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME), reports on stellar CMEs are rare, despite the frequent detection of stellar ‘super flares’. The torus instability of magnetic flux ropes is believed to be one of the main driving mechanisms of solar CMEs. Suppression of the torus instability, due to a confining background coronal magnetic field that decreases sufficiently slowly with height, may contribute to the lack of stellar CME detection. Here, we use the solar magnetic field as a template to estimate the vertical extent of this ‘torus-stable zone’ (TSZ) above a stellar active region. For an idealized potential field model comprising the fields of a local bipole (mimicking a pair of starspots) and a global dipole, we show that the upper bound of the TSZ increases with the bipole size, the dipole strength, and the source surface radius where the coronal field becomes radial. The boundaries of the TSZ depend on the interplay between the spots’ and the dipole’s magnetic fields, which provide the local- and global-scale confinement, respectively. They range from about half the bipole size to a significant fraction of the stellar radius. For smaller spots and an intermediate dipole field, a secondary TSZ arises at a higher altitude, which may increase the likelihood of ‘failed eruptions’. Our results suggest that the low apparent CME occurrence rate on cool stars is, at least partially, due to the presence of extended TSZs.

Elucidation of some solar parameters observed during solar cycles 21–24

Solar-terrestrial environment is manifested primarily by the physical conditions of the solar interior, solar atmosphere and eruptive solar plasma. Each parameter gives unique information about the Sun and its activity according to its defined characteristics. Hence the variability of solar parameters is of interest from the point of view of plasma dynamics on the Sun and into the interplanetary space as well as for the solar-terrestrial physics. In this study, we have analysed various solar and related parameters to examine the status of solar activity during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24. The correlation coefficients of the linear regression of F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index, Mg II index, cosmic ray intensity, number of M & X class flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) occurrence rate versus sunspot number were analysed. A running cross-correlation method has been used to study the momentary relationship among the above mentioned solar activity parameters. Solar cycle 21 witnessed the highest value of correlation for F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index and number of M-class & X - class flares versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles which were about 0.979, 0.935 and 0.964 respectively. Solar cycle 22 recorded the highest correlation in case of Mg II index, A p index and CMEs occurrence rate versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles (0.964, 0.384 and 0.972 respectively). Solar cycle 23 and 24 did not witness any highest correlation compared to solar cycle 21 and 22. Further the record values (highest value compared to other solar cycles) of each solar activity parameters for each of the four solar cycles have been studied. Solar cycle 24 has no record text at all, this simply indicating that this cycle was a weakest cycle compared to the three previous ones. Thus in every domain solar 24 has been observed weaker in comparison of its three predecessors.

Relationship between three-dimensional velocity of filament eruptions and CME association

It is widely recognised that filament disappearances or eruptions are frequently associated with Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs). Since CMEs are a major source of disturbances of the space environment surrounding the Earth, it is important to investigate these associations in detail for the better prediction of CME occurrence. However, the proportion of filament disappearances associated with CMEs is under debate. The estimates range from sim 10 to sim 90% and could be affected by the manners to select the events. In this study, we aim to reveal what parameters control the association between filament eruptions and CMEs. We analysed the relationships between CME associations and the physical parameters of filaments including their length, maximum ascending velocity, and direction of eruptions using 28 events of filament eruptions observed in Halpha. We found that the product of the maximum radial velocity and the filament length is well correlated with the CME occurrence. If the product is larger than 8.0 times 10^{6}text {km}^{2}text {s}^{-1}, the filament will become a CME with a probability of 93%, and if the product is smaller than this value, it will not become a CME with a probability of 100%. We suggest a kinetic-energy threshold above which filament eruptions are associated with CMEs. Our findings also suggest the importance of measuring the velocity vector of filament eruption in three-dimensional space for the better prediction of CME occurrence.

Radio-loud and radio-quiet CMEs: solar cycle dependency, influence on cosmic ray intensity, and geo-effectiveness

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) largely influence the space weather and cause geomagnetic perturbations. Hence, the statistical studies pertaining to the occurrence of CMEs over the solar cycles and their consequence at the near-Earth region are extremely important. For an in-depth understanding, such studies need to be carried out considering various observational aspects of CMEs. With this motivation, here we present a statistical study of radio-loud (RL) and radio-quiet (RQ) CMEs during solar cycles 23 and 24. We also assess their geo-effectiveness and analyze their influence on cosmic ray intensity (CRI). The RL and RQ CMEs constitute 40% and 60% cases, respectively, of the total population of CMEs that arrive the near-Earth region at 1 AU. The mean speed of RL CMEs (≈1170 km s−1) was found to be significantly higher (almost twice) than the mean speed of RQ CMEs (≈519 km s−1) in the low corona while their speed became comparable (≈536 km s−1 for RL and ≈452 km s−1 for RQ CMEs) at near-Earth region. The yearly-averaged speeds of Earth-reaching CMEs follow solar cycle variations. The CRI and geomagnetic Dst index are found to have good negative correlation with speed of Earth-reaching CMEs. RL CMEs were found to be more effective in producing CRI depressions and geomagnetic storms (GSs) in comparison to RQ CMEs; in about 70% cases RL CMEs produced CRI depression and GSs earlier than the RQ CMEs. Superposed epoch analysis suggests strongest depression in CRI occurs 2-5 days and 4-9 days after the onset of RL and RQ CMEs, respectively. Further, GS events show a time-lag of 1-5 days and 3-8 days, respectively, with respect to RL and RQ CMEs.

Search for flares and associated CMEs on late-type main-sequence stars in optical SDSS spectra

Aims.This work aims to detect and classify stellar flares and potential stellar coronal mass ejection (CME) signatures in optical spectra provided by the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) data release 14. The sample is constrained to all F, G, K, and M main-sequence type stars, resulting in more than 630 000 stars. This work makes use of the individual spectral exposures provided by the SDSS.Methods.An automatic flare search was performed by detecting significant amplitude changes in theHαandHβspectral lines after a Gaussian profile was fit to the line core. CMEs were searched for by identifying asymmetries in the Balmer lines caused by the Doppler effect of plasma motions in the line of sight.Results.We identified 281 flares on late-type stars (spectral types K3 – M9). We identified six possible CME candidates showing excess flux in Balmer line wings. Flare energies inHαwere calculated and masses of the CME candidates were estimated. The derivedHαflare energies range from 3 × 1028− 2 × 1033erg. TheHαflare energy increases with earlier types, while the fraction of flaring times increases with later types. Mass estimates for the CME candidates are in the range of 6 × 1016− 6 × 1018g, and the highest projected velocities are ~300−700 km s−1.Conclusions.The low detection rate of CMEs we obtained agrees with previous studies, suggesting that for late-type main-sequence stars the CME occurrence rate that can be detected with optical spectroscopy is low.

ESTABLISHING SOLAR ACTIVITY TREND FOR SOLAR CYCLES 21 – 24

Solar-terrestrial environment is manifested primarily by the physical conditions of solar interior, solar atmosphere and eruptive solar plasma. Each parameter gives unique information about the Sun and its activity according to its defined characteristics. Hence the variability of solar parameters is of interest from the point of view of plasma dynamics on the Sun and in the interplanetary space as well as for the solar-terrestrial physics. In this study, we have analysed various solar transients and parameters to establish the recent trends of solar activity during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24. The correlation coefficients of linear regression of F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index, Mg II index, cosmic ray intensity, number of M & X class flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) occurrence rate versus sunspot number was examined for last four solar cycles. A running cross-correlation method has been used to study the momentary relationship among the above mentioned solar activity parameters. Solar cycle 21 witnessed the highest value of correlation for F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index and number of M-class and X-class flares versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles which were 0.979, 0.935 and 0.964 respectively. Solar cycle 22 recorded the highest correlation in case of Mg II index, Ap index and CMEs occurrence rate versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles (0.964, 0.384 and 0.972 respectively). Solar cycle 23 and 24 did not witness any highest correlation compared to solar cycle 21 and 22. Further the record values (highest value compared to other solar three cycles) of each solar activity parameters for each of the four solar cycles have been studied. Here solar cycle 24 has no record text at all, this simply indicating that this cycle was a weakest cycle compared to the three previous ones. We have concluded that in every domain solar 24 was weaker to its three predecessors.

A Flare-type IV Burst Event from Proxima Centauri and Implications for Space Weather

Abstract Studies of solar radio bursts play an important role in understanding the dynamics and acceleration processes behind solar space weather events, and the influence of solar magnetic activity on solar system planets. Similar low-frequency bursts detected from active M-dwarfs are expected to probe their space weather environments and therefore the habitability of their planetary companions. Active M-dwarfs produce frequent, powerful flares which, along with radio emission, reveal conditions within their atmospheres. However, to date, only one candidate solar-like coherent radio burst has been identified from these stars, preventing robust observational constraints on their space weather environment. During simultaneous optical and radio monitoring of the nearby dM5.5e star Proxima Centauri, we detected a bright, long-duration optical flare, accompanied by a series of intense, coherent radio bursts. These detections include the first example of an interferometrically detected coherent stellar radio burst temporally coincident with a flare, strongly indicating a causal relationship between these transient events. The polarization and temporal structure of the trailing long-duration burst enable us to identify it as a type IV burst. This represents the most compelling detection of a solar-like radio burst from another star to date. Solar type IV bursts are strongly associated with space weather events such as coronal mass ejections and solar energetic particle events, suggesting that stellar type IV bursts may be used as a tracer of stellar coronal mass ejections. We discuss the implications of this event for the occurrence of coronal mass ejections from Proxima Cen and other active M-dwarfs.

The impact of CMEs on the critical frequency of F2-layer ionosphere (foF2)

AbstractThe ionospheric critical frequency (foF2) from ionosonde measurements at geographic high, middle, and low latitudes are analyzed with the occurrence of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in long term variability of the solar cycles. We observed trends of monthly maximum foF2 values and monthly averaged values of CME parameters such as speed, angular width, mass, and kinetic energy with respect to time. The impact of CMEs on foF2 is very high at high latitudes and low at low latitudes. The time series for monthly maximum foF2 and monthly-averaged CME speed are moderately correlated at high and middle latitudes.

Unraveling the Internal Magnetic Field Structure of the Earth-directed Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections During 1995 – 2015

The magnetic field configurations associated with interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) are the in situ manifestations of the entrained magnetic structure associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We present a comprehensive study of the internal magnetic field configurations of ICMEs observed at 1 AU by the Wind mission during 1995 – 2015. The goal is to unravel the internal magnetic structure associated with the ICMEs and establish the signatures that validate a flux-rope structure. We examine the expected magnetic field signatures by simulating spacecraft trajectories within a simple flux rope, i.e., with circular–cylindrical (CC) helical magnetic field geometry. By comparing the synthetic configurations with the 353 ICME in situ observations, we find that only 152 events ( $F_{r}$ ) display the clear signatures of an expected axial-symmetric flux rope. Two more populations exhibit possible signatures of flux rope; 58 cases ( $F^{-}$ ) display a small rotation ( ${<}\,90^{\circ}$ ) of the magnetic field direction, interpreted as a large separation of the spacecraft from the center, and, 62 cases ( $F^{+}$ ) exhibit larger rotations, possibly arising from more complex configuration. The categories, $C_{x}$ (14%) and $E$ events (9%), reveal signatures of complexity possibly related with evolutionary processes. We then reconstruct the flux ropes assuming CC geometry. We examine the orientation and geometrical properties during the solar activity levels at the end of Solar Cycle 22 (SC22), SC23 and part of SC24. The orientation exhibits solar cycle trends and follow the heliospheric current sheet orientation. We confirm previous studies that found a Hale cycle dependence of the poloidal field reversal. By comparing our results with the occurrence of CMEs with large angular width ( $\mbox{AW}>60^{\circ}$ ) we find a broad correlation suggesting that such events are highly inclined CMEs. The solar cycle distribution of bipolar vs. unipolar $B_{z}$ configuration confirms that the CMEs may remove solar cycle magnetic field and helicity.

Mass loss via solar wind and coronal mass ejections during solar cycles 23 and 24

ABSTRACT Similar to the Sun, other stars shed mass and magnetic flux via ubiquitous quasi-steady wind and episodic stellar coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We investigate the mass loss rate via solar wind and CMEs as a function of solar magnetic variability represented in terms of sunspot number and solar X-ray background luminosity. We estimate the contribution of CMEs to the total solar wind mass flux in the ecliptic and beyond, and its variation over different phases of the solar activity cycles. The study exploits the number of sunspots observed, coronagraphic observations of CMEs near the Sun by SOHO/LASCO, in situ observations of the solar wind at 1 AU by WIND, and GOES X-ray flux during solar cycles 23 and 24. We note that the X-ray background luminosity, occurrence rate of CMEs and ICMEs, solar wind mass flux, and associated mass loss rates from the Sun do not decrease as strongly as the sunspot number from the maximum of solar cycle 23 to the next maximum. Our study confirms a true physical increase in CME activity relative to the sunspot number in cycle 24. We show that the CME occurrence rate and associated mass loss rate can be better predicted by X-ray background luminosity than the sunspot number. The solar wind mass loss rate which is an order of magnitude more than the CME mass loss rate shows no obvious dependency on cyclic variation in sunspot number and solar X-ray background luminosity. These results have implications for the study of solar-type stars.

Distribution of intense, moderate and weak geomagnetic storms over the solar cycle

The geomagnetic storms observed during different phases of a solar cycle have distinct primary solar sources. Therefore, we have statistically examined, in the present study, how the geomagnetic storms of different intensities are distributed over a solar cycle. We have considered previous four cycles, viz. cycle 21, 22, 23 and 24. We selected all the storms which were observed during these cycles and classified them into three categories as: intense (Dst ≤ − 100 nT), moderate (− 100 ≤ Dst ≤ − 50) and weak (− 50 ≤ Dst ≤ − 30). We found that geomagnetic storms are distributed in such a way that maximum number of intense storms occur around peak phase of a solar cycle, while maximum number of weak storms occur during the starting and ending phases of a cycle. About 73.20% of intense storms, 58.07% and 47.93% of moderate and weak storms occurred around the peak of a cycle. Therefore, it was concluded that peak phase is dominated by intense and very intense storms due to increase in frequency of occurrence of coronal mass ejections during such periods. At the same time, the ending phase of solar cycle is dominated by the occurrence of weak storms due to the frequent occurrences of fast solar wind streams during such periods. Moreover, the total number of storms occurring during the descending phase is greater than those observed during the ascending phase. The storms with peak Dst ≤ − 200 nT were classified as very intense and designated as outstanding Sun–Earth connections. It was found that 90% of such events occur around the peak phase of solar cycle. Therefore, it was concluded that the high-risk events occur during the peak phase of a solar cycle. Therefore, extreme care must be taken while launching new space missions and operating the existing ones, during this period.

Ultra-wideband Detection of 22 Coherent Radio Bursts on M Dwarfs

Abstract Coherent radio bursts detected from M dwarfs have some analogy with solar radio bursts but reach orders of magnitude higher luminosities. These events trace particle acceleration, powered by magnetic reconnection, shock fronts (such as those formed by coronal mass ejections (CMEs)), and magnetospheric currents, in some cases offering the only window into these processes in stellar atmospheres. We conducted a 58 hr ultra-wideband survey for coherent radio bursts on five active M dwarfs. We used the Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array to observe simultaneously in three frequency bands covering a subset of 224–482 MHz and 1–6 GHz, achieving the widest fractional bandwidth to date for any observations of stellar radio bursts. We detected 22 bursts across 13 epochs, providing the first large sample of wideband dynamic spectra of stellar coherent radio bursts. The observed bursts have diverse morphology, with durations ranging from seconds to hours, but all share strong (40%–100%) circular polarization. No events resemble solar Type II bursts (often associated with CMEs), but we cannot rule out the occurrence of radio-quiet stellar CMEs. The hours-long bursts are all polarized in the sense of the x-mode of the star’s large-scale magnetic field, suggesting that they are cyclotron maser emission from electrons accelerated in the large-scale field, analogous to auroral processes on ultracool dwarfs. The duty cycle of luminous coherent bursts peaks at 25% at 1–1.4 GHz, declining at lower and higher frequencies, indicating source regions in the low corona. At these frequencies, active M dwarfs should be the most common galactic transient source.

Statistical Relation between Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections with Respect to Sigmoidal Structures in Active Regions

Abstract Statistical dependences among features of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), solar flares, and sigmoidal structures in soft-X-ray images were investigated. We applied analysis methods to all the features in the same way in order to investigate the reproducibility of the correlations among them, which may be found from previous statistical studies. Samples of 211 M-class and X-class flares, observed between 2006 and 2015 by the Hinode/X-ray telescope, Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph, and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite, were examined statistically. Five kinds of analysis were performed: occurrence rate analysis, linear-correlation analysis, association analysis, the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, and the Anderson–Darling test. These give three main results. First, the sigmoidal structure and long-duration events (LDEs) have a stronger dependence on CME occurrence than large X-ray-class events in on-disk events. Second, for the limb events, a significant dependence exists between LDEs and CME occurrence, and between X-ray-class events and CME occurrence. Third, 32.4% of on-disk flare events have sigmoidal structure and are not accompanied by CMEs. However, the occurrence probability of CMEs without sigmoidal structure is very small, 8.8%, in on-disk events. While the first and second results are consistent with previous studies, we provide for the first time a difference between the on-disk and limb events. The third result, that non-sigmoidal regions produce fewer eruptive events, is also different from previous results. We suggest that sigmoidal structures in soft X-ray images will be a helpful feature for CME prediction in on-disk flare events.

The Role of Flux Cancellation in Eruptions from Bipolar ARs

Abstract The physical processes or trigger mechanisms that lead to the eruption of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), the largest eruptive phenomenon in the heliosphere, are still undetermined. Low-altitude magnetic reconnection associated with flux cancellation appears to play an important role in CME occurrence as it can form an eruptive configuration and reduce the magnetic flux that contributes to the overlying, stabilizing field. We conduct the first comprehensive study of 20 small bipolar ARs (ARs) in order to probe the role of flux cancellation as an eruption trigger mechanism. We categorize eruptions from the bipolar regions into three types related to location, and find that the type of eruption produced depends on the evolutionary stage of the AR. In addition, we find that ARs that form eruptive structures by flux cancellation (low-altitude reconnection) had, on average, lower flux cancellation rates than the AR sample as a whole. Therefore, while flux cancellation plays a key role, by itself it is insufficient for the production of an eruption. The results provide supporting evidence that although flux cancellation in a sheared arcade may be able to build an eruptive configuration, a successful eruption depends upon the removal of sufficient overlying and stabilizing field. Convergence of the bipole polarities also appears to be present in regions that produce an eruption. These findings have important implications for understanding the physical processes that occur on our Sun in relation to CMEs and for space weather forecasting.