Occurrence Of Banking Crisis Research Articles

Economic sanctions and sovereign debt default

This paper analyzes the effect of US economic sanctions on sovereign debt default across 118 developing countries from 1980 to 2018. We use entropy balancing method, and provide robust evidence that US sanctions increase sovereign debt default in the targeted states. This finding withstands several robustness tests, including alternative specifications and databases, and alternative estimation methods. The results also reveal some heterogeneity depending on the type of sanctions (for example, trade versus financial sanctions), on whether they are imposed unilaterally or multilaterally, on the severity of the sanctions, on the geographical distance from the United States, the time since sanctions were imposed, and some structural characteristics. In addition, we find that the development of cryptocurrencies reduces the effect of sanctions, and that failed sanctions have a greater effect on default. The compositon effect based on the type of debt in default shows that the effect of US sanctions is only observed on the default on external debt and not on that of internal debt. Next, we identify three main channels through which sanctions trigger sovereign risk; namely economic growth contraction, the occurrence of banking crisis and reduced access to international financial market. Finally, we explore the effect of other sanctions, notably those of the European Union and the United Nations, and find that these sanctions also raise the probability of sovereign debt default.

Digitalization and Banking Crisis: A Nonlinear Relationship?

This study assesses the impact that ICT can have on the occurrence of banking crisis for a sample of 113 countries over the period 1996–2017 while considering the interfering role of corruption and the potential existence of a nonlinear relationship for the ICT-banking crisis nexus. We consider countries with varying income levels to check for the stability of the relationship. Our estimation results show that more highly ICT endowed countries can improve the resilience of the banking system. The study provides evidence that ICTs do not produce the same effect regardless of a country’s level of income. Estimation outcomes show the existence of a threshold effect driving the ICT-banking stability nexus. More results show that Information and communication technologies can improve the stability of the banking system only when corruption is relatively low. However, when corruption is endemic, ICT endowment is useless for the stability of the banking system.

Financial structure and economic growth nexus revisited

This paper empirically reassesses the long-debated relationship between the financial structure and economic growth. Specifically, we examine whether the effect of financial structure on economic growth is affected by the occurrence of banking crisis and economic volatility, the level of financial development, and the financial structure disproportion. We employ the generalized method of moments estimation to a panel of 99 countries over the 1971–2015 period. Although the main result supports the market-based view, the positive effect of the securities market development relative to the banking system weakens significantly if the financial structure is unbalanced. Our findings are robust to a variety of sensitivity checks, including different measures of financial structure, time periods, and model specifications.

Do Banking Crises Enhance Efficiency? A Case Study of 1994 Turkish and 1997 Indonesian Crises

Drawing together the concepts of inefficiency and banking crisis is directly inspired by business cycles theory where a crisis is the turning point from which the market/economy is recovering. If inefficiency plays a role in the occurrence of banking crisis, the post-crisis period should be the time for recovering efficiency. Moreover, traditional banking theory predicts that the crisis should eliminate bad banks from the system, leading to a more efficient banking sector. We tested this hypothesis on the 1994 Turkish and 1997 Indonesian banking crises using stochastic cost frontier analysis. Our results show an interesting pattern, opposed to what theory predicts: we find that inefficiency increase after the crises in both banking sectors.