Observed-to-expected Ratios Research Articles

Second malignant neoplasia in patients with T1 glottic cancer treated with radiation.

To evaluate incidence, site of occurrence and outcome of second malignant neoplasia (SMN) in patients with T1 glottic cancer treated with radiation. Retrospective. Between February 1964 and May 1993, 158 patients with T1 squamous carcinoma of the larynx were treated with definitive radiation. Incidence, site (aerodigestive tract or not) and outcome of SMN were analyzed. Median follow-up was 63 months (range, 12-245 mo). Thirty-four patients developed SMN, for an overall incidence of 22%. Twenty-four (67%) SMNs occurred in an aero-upper-digestive-tract site compared with nine (25%) occurring in a non-aero-upper-digestive tract site. The incidence of SMN observed was higher than would be expected for the general population at risk. The observed-to-expected ratios (OER) for all SMN, aero-upper-digestive SMN and non-aero-upper-digestive SMNs were 1.73, 5.53, and 0.62, respectively. Overall 5- and 10-year survivals were 76% and 57%, respectively, for those who did not develop SMN, as compared with 68% and 26%, for those who developed SMN (P = .003). Overall, 13 patients (8.2%) have died from laryngeal cancer, while 23 (15%) died from SMN (P = .001). This study confirms a higher incidence of SMN in T1 glottic cancer patients, compared with the general population. The majority of cases occur in aero-upper-digestive sites. These patients are more likely to die from their SMN than from glottic cancer. Patients with T1 squamous cell carcinoma of the glottic larynx represent a group of head and neck cancer patients who should be targeted in studies evaluating the potential benefits of chemoprevention, and aggressively counseled for social and/or behavioral modifications.

Second malignant tumors in patients with laryngeal carcinoma: Diagnosis, treatment, and prevention

Although the survival rates reported for patients with larynx carcinoma are quite good, there is a risk of developing second malignant tumors (SMT) in this population. The prognosis for SMT is poor, particularly with tumors of the lung and esophagus. The Rochester series was analyzed for larynx stage and specific SMT sites, possible common etiologic factors, and survival of the population as a whole, as well as for the SMT group. From a total of 235 patients with larynx carcinoma and a median follow-up of 10 years, 50 patients with 61 SMT were identified. The overall incidence of developing a SMT was 21%, with 44% of the SMT in the lung. The median survival from SMT diagnosis was 8.74 months and the 2-year survival was only 26%. More than twice as many SMT were observed than would be expected in the population at risk, with an observed-to-expected ratio (OER) for lung SMT of 5.3, and 8 times as many head and neck SMT occurring in our population. These SMT are not treatment related but are most likely caused by a combination of exposure to a common carcinogen, that is, tobacco smoke and alcohol, and to inherent factors, notably “condemned mucosa syndrome.” Follow-up procedures, from the perspective of SMT development in larynx cancer patients, are addressed in an attempt to improve survival. The focus of this study is the high incidence of lung primaries that could be mistaken for metastatic disease, which is relatively uncommon in early larynx cancer patients.