Objective Risk Stratification Research Articles

Prognostic Value of Coronary Microvascular Dysfunction Assessed by Coronary Angiography-Derived Index of Microcirculatory Resistance in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction.

CaIMR is proposed as a novel angiographic index designed to assess microcirculation without the need for pressure wires or hyperemic agents. We aimed to investigate the impact of caIMR on predicting clinical outcomes in STEMI patients. One hundred and forty patients with STEMI who received PCI in Putuo Hospital of Shanghai from October 2021 to September 2022 were categorized into CMD and non-CMD groups according to the caIMR value. The baseline information, patient-related examinations, and the occurrence of MACE at the 12-month follow-up were collected to investigate risk factors in patients with STEMI. We divided 140 patients with STEMI enrolled into two groups according to caIMR results, including 61 patients diagnosed with CMD and 79 patients diagnosed with non-CMD. A total of 21 MACE occurred during the 1 year of follow-up. Compared with non-CMD group, patients with CMD showed a significantly higher risk of MACE. A multivariate Cox regression model was conducted for the patients, and it was found thatcaIMR was a significant predictor of prognosis in STEMI patients (HR: 8.921). Patients with CMD were divided into culprit vascular CMD and non-culprit vascular CMD, and the result found that culprit vascular CMD was associated with the incidence of MACE (OR: 4.75) and heart failure (OR: 7.50). CaIMR is a strong predictor of clinical outcomes and can provide an objective risk stratification for patients with STEMI. There is a strong correlation among leukocyte index, the use of furosemide, Killips classification, and clinical outcomes.

Risk score model to automatically detect prostate cancer patients by integrating diagnostic parameters.

Prostate cancer (PCa) is one of the prevailing forms of cancer among men. At present, multiparametric MRI is the imaging method for localizing tumors and staging cancer. Radiomics plays a key role and hold potential for PCa detection, reducing the need for unnecessary biopsies, characterizing tumor aggression, and overseeing PCa recurrence post-treatment. Furthermore, the integration of radiomics data with clinical and histopathological data can further enhance the understanding and management of PCa and decrease unnecessary transfers to specialized care for expensive and intrusive biopsies. Therefore, the aim of this study is to develop a risk model score to automatically detect PCa patients by integrating non-invasive diagnostic parameters (radiomics and Prostate-Specific Antigen levels) along with patient's age. The proposed approach was evaluated using a dataset of 189 PCa patients who underwent bi-parametric MRI from two centers. Elastic-Net Regularized Generalized Linear Model achieved 91% AUC to automatically detect PCa patients. The model risk score was also used to assess doubt cases of PCa at biopsy and then compared to bi-parametric PI-RADS v2. This study explored the relative utility of a well-developed risk model by combining radiomics, Prostate-Specific Antigen levels and age for objective and accurate PCa risk stratification and supporting the process of making clinical decisions during follow up.

Is inadequate risk stratification diluting hazard ratio estimates in randomized clinical trials?

In randomized clinical trials, analyses of time-to-event data without risk stratification, or with stratification based on pre-selected factors revealed at the end of the trial to be at most weakly associated with risk, are quite common. We caution that such analyses are likely delivering hazard ratio estimates that unwittingly dilute the evidence of benefit for the test relative to the control treatment. To make our case, first, we use a hypothetical scenario to contrast risk-unstratified and risk-stratified hazard ratios. Thereafter, we draw attention to the previously published 5-step stratified testing and amalgamation routine (5-STAR) approach in which a pre-specified treatment-blinded algorithm is applied to survival times from the trial to partition patients into well-separated risk strata using baseline covariates determined to be jointly strongly prognostic for event risk. After treatment unblinding, a treatment comparison is done within each risk stratum and stratum-level results are averaged for overall inference. For illustration, we use 5-STAR to reanalyze data for the primary and key secondary time-to-event endpoints from three published cardiovascular outcomes trials. The results show that the 5-STAR estimate is typically smaller (i.e. more in favor of 5-STAR the test treatment) than the originally reported (traditional) estimate. This is not surprising because 5-STAR mitigates the presumed dilution bias in the traditional hazard ratio estimate caused by no or inadequate risk stratification, as evidenced by two detailed examples. Pre-selection of stratification factors at the trial design stage to achieve adequate risk stratification for the analysis will often be challenging. In such settings, an objective risk stratification approach such as 5-STAR, which is partly aligned with guidance from the US Food and Drug Administration on covariate-adjustment in clinical trials, is worthy of consideration.

The liver frailty index is a predictor of healthcare utilization after liver transplantation in older adults.

Older adults have higher healthcare utilization after liver transplantation (LT), yet objective risk stratification tools in this population are lacking. We evaluated the Liver Frailty Index (LFI) as one potential tool. Ambulatory LT candidates ≥65 years without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent LT from 1/2012 to 6/2022 at 8 U.S. centers were included. Estimates of the difference in median using quantile regression were used to assess the adjusted association between LFI and hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT. Of 131 LT recipients, median (interquartile range [IQR]) (1st -3rd quartiles) age was 68 years (66-70); median pre-LT MELD-Na was 19 (15-24). Median LFI was 4.1 (3.6-4.7); 27% were frail (LFI≥4.5). Median hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT was 11 (7-20). Compared with non-frail patients, frail patients were hospitalized for a median of 5 days longer post-LT (95% CI .30-9.7, p=.04). Each .5 unit increase in pre-LT LFI was associated with an increase of 1.16 days (95%CI .42-2.69, p=.02) in hospitalized days post-LT. Among older adults undergoing LT, frailty was associated with more hospitalized days within 90 days after LT. The LFI can identify older adults who might benefit from pre-LT or early post-LT programs which may reduce post-LT healthcare utilization, such as early rehabilitation or post-hospital discharge programs.

Biomarkers for Risk Stratification in Patients With Type A Acute Aortic Dissection

Type A acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a fatal disease and thus, accurate and objective risk stratification is essential. In the present study, we evaluated a prognostic value of readily available and assessable biomarkers in patients with type A AAD. This was a retrospective, multicenter, observational study. A total of 703 patients with type A AAD diagnosed by contrast-enhanced computed tomography were included. Therapeutic strategies were left to the physician's discretion in a real-world clinical setting. The prognostic value for in-hospital mortality was examined in 15 circulating biomarkers on admission which are routinely available in clinical practice. Of the 703 patients, 126 (17.9%) died during the hospitalization. Among the 15 biomarkers, the multivariable analysis identified positive cardiac troponin, a low total bilirubin (T-Bil) level, and elevated levels of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) as significant predictors of in-hospital death. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis showed that these 4 biomarkers had an independent additive prognostic value. With the cut-off values of T-Bil, BNP, and LDH in combination with positive troponin, the increase in the number of positive biomarkers was progressively associated with higher in-hospital mortality from 1.3% to 9.8%, 20.5%, 36.4%, and 75.0% (p<0.001). In conclusion, among patients with type A AAD, positive cardiac troponin, a low T-Bil level, and elevated levels of BNP and LDH on admission were related to higher in-hospital mortality with an incremental prognostic value, suggesting that the readily available and assessable biomarkers can aid in decision-making in therapeutic strategies.

Lung Transplantation for Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: Optimized Referral and Listing Based on an Evolving Disease Concept.

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) was once a devastating and fatal disease entity, the outlook of which has been significantly improved by the continued progress of medical treatment algorithms. However, some patients still ultimately fail to achieve an adequate clinical response despite receiving maximal medical treatment. Historically, lung transplantation (LTx) has been the only effective therapeutic option that could lead to satisfactory outcomes and save these advanced patients' lives. However, patients with PH tend to have the highest mortality rates on the transplant waiting list; especially after comprehensive medical treatment, they continue to deteriorate very rapidly, eventually missing optimal transplantation windows. Balancing optimized medical treatment with the appropriate timing of referral and listing has been highly controversial in LTx for patients with PH. The 2021 consensus document for the selection of lung transplant candidates from the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) updated the specific recommendations for the LTx referral and listing time for patients with PH based on objective risk stratification. Herein, we review the evolving PH-related concepts and highlight the optimization of LTx referral and listing for patients with PH, as well as their management on the waiting list.

Predictive value of combining leucocyte and platelet counts for mortality in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients after percutaneous coronary intervention treatment in Chinese population: a retrospective cohort study

ObjectiveRisk stratification is challenging in patients with acute ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We investigated the prognostic value of a novel score system...

Association of telomere length with risk of complications in adult spinal deformity surgery: a pilot study of 43 patients.

Risk stratification is a critical element of surgical planning. Early tools were fairly crude, while newer instruments incorporate disease-specific elements and markers of frailty. It is unknown if discrepancies between chronological and cellular age can guide surgical planning or treatment. Telomeres are DNA-protein complexes that serve an important role in protecting genomic DNA. Their shortening is a consequence of aging and environmental exposures, with well-established associations with diseases of aging and mortality. There are compelling data to suggest that telomere length can provide insight toward overall health. The authors sought to determine potential associations between telomere length and postoperative complications. Adults undergoing elective surgery for spinal deformity were prospectively enrolled. Telomere length was measured from preoperative whole blood using quantitative polymerase chain reaction and expressed as the ratio of telomere (T) to single-copy gene (S) abundance (T/S ratio), with higher T/S ratios indicating longer telomere length. Demographic and patient data included age, BMI, and results for the following rating scales: the Adult Spinal Deformity Frailty Index (ASD-FI), Oswestry Disability Index (ODI), Scoliosis Research Society-22r (SRS-22r), American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) classification, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Operative and postoperative complication data (medical or surgical within 90 days) were also collected. Forty-three patients were enrolled, including 31 women (53%), with a mean age of 66 years and a mean BMI of 28.5. The mean number of levels fused was 11, with 21 (48.8%) combined anterior-posterior approaches. Twenty-two patients (51.2%) had a medical or surgical complication. Patients with a postoperative complication had a significantly lower T/S ratio (0.712 vs 0.813, p = 0.008), indicating shorter telomere length, despite a mild difference in age compared with patients without a postoperative complication (68 vs 63 years, p = 0.069). Patients with complications also had higher CCI scores than patients without complications (2.3 vs 3.8, p = 0.004). There were no significant differences in sex, BMI, ASD-FI score, ASA class, preoperative ODI and SRS-22r scores, number of levels fused, or use of three-column osteotomies. In a multivariate model including age, frailty, ASA class, use of an anterior-posterior approach, CCI score, and telomere length, the authors found that short telomere length was significantly associated with postoperative complications. Patients whose telomere length fell in the shortest quartile had the highest risk (OR 18.184, p = 0.030). Short telomere length was associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications despite only a mild difference in chronological age. Increasing comorbidity scores also trended toward significance. Larger prospective studies are needed; however, these data provide a compelling impetus to investigate the role of biological aging as a component of surgical risk stratification.

A retrospective observational study to evaluate the reliability of staging and risk stratification of adolescent and adult patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma registered at the lymphoma clinic of a tertiary cancer center in Western India

ABSTRACT Export Background: The treatment for Hodgkin’s lymphoma is based on risk stratification of the disease, which is determined by staging, clinical, and laboratory parameters. The current staging systems are highly prone to error due to overlapping components and inter-observer variability. Objectives: We aimed to assess the reliability of staging and risk stratification performed by the clinicians at our busy multidisciplinary clinic. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 115 patients with newly diagnosed Hodgkin’s lymphoma at the Tata Memorial Hospital, Mumbai, India, from 2016-2018. Patients who underwent baseline staging and risk stratification in the multidisciplinary lymphoma clinic were included in the analysis. The multidisciplinary lymphoma clinic is a collaboration between medical oncologists, radiation oncologists, nurses, social workers, and patient navigators. The staging and risk stratification performed during the multidisciplinary clinic were compared with those of a team of independent experts from medical oncology, radiation oncology, and nuclear medicine based on standard references (guidelines established by the German Hodgkin Study Group and the Ann Arbor Staging). Results: Discordance rates of 11.3% (n = 13) in disease staging and 7.8% (n = 9) in risk stratification were observed between the multidisciplinary clinic and the independent expert team. In all the discordant cases, there was up-staging of patients by the multidisciplinary clinic; all nine patients in early favorable risk category were misclassified as early unfavorable. The discordance rates were not significant, with a kappa score of 0.841 for staging and 0.855 for risk stratification. Conclusion: Misclassification of patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma based on the staging, and risk stratification may lead to over- or under-treatment. There is a need for a simpler, objective, and technology-driven risk stratification process.

Association of Objective Risk Stratification With Frailty, Sarcopenia and Myopenia in Patients With Aortic Aneurysms

Association of Objective Risk Stratification With Frailty, Sarcopenia and Myopenia in Patients With Aortic Aneurysms

Plasma interleukin responses as predictors of outcome stratification in patients after major trauma: a prospective observational two centre study.

There is a need to develop objective risk stratification tools to define efficient care pathways for trauma patients. Biomarker-based point of care testing may strengthen existing clinical tools currently available for this purpose. The dysregulation of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines in the pathogenesis of organ failure is well recognised. This study was carried out to evaluate whether blood concentrations of IL-6, IL-10, and IL-6:IL-10 ratios in the early stages of the illness are significantly different in patients with worsening organ function. In this prospective observational cohort study, plasma concentrations of IL-6 and IL-10 on days 1, 3 and 5 were measured in 91 major trauma patients using a multiplexed cytometric bead array approach. A composite measure of adverse outcome - defined as SOFA ≥ 2 or mortality at 7 days, was the primary outcome. IL-6 and IL-10 concentrations in early samples (days 1, 3 & 5) in patients who developed SOFA ≥ 2 on day 7 were compared against those who did not. Similar composite outcome groups at day 5 and in groups with worsening or improving SOFA scores (ΔSOFA) at days 7 and 5 were undertaken as secondary analyses. Stratification on day 7, 44 (48%) patients showed adverse outcomes. These adverse outcomes associated with significantly greater IL-6 concentrations on days 1 and 5 (Day 1: 47.65 [23.24-78.68] Vs 73.69 [39.93 - 118.07] pg/mL, P = 0.040 and Day 5: 12.85 [5.80-19.51] Vs 28.90 [8.78-74.08] pg/mL; P = 0.0019). Similarly, IL-10 levels were significantly greater in the adverse outcome group on days 3 and 5 (Day 3: 2.54 [1.76-3.19] Vs 3.16 [2.68-4.21] pg/mL; P = 0.044 and Day 5: 2.03 [1.65-2.55] Vs 2.90 [2.00-5.06] pg/mL; P <0.001). IL-6 and IL-10 concentrations were also significantly elevated in the adverse outcome groups at day 3 and day 5 when stratified on day 5 outcomes. Both IL-6 and IL-6:IL-10 were found to be significantly elevated on days 1 and 3 when stratified based on ΔSOFA at day 5. This significance was lost when stratified on day 7 scores. Early IL-6 and IL-10 concentrations are significantly greater in patients who develop worsening organ functions downstream. These differences may provide an alternate biomarker-based approach to strengthen risk stratification in trauma patients.

In-Clinic Management, Disease Discussion and Impact on Patient Perception Regarding Myelofibrosis in India: Inland Survey Insights

Background: The lack of urgency to manage patients with MF (myelofibrosis), which is considered a slow-progressing cancer, may impact their quality of care. Additionally, the inadequacies in disease discussion and realistic expectation setting can hamper the continuum of care from the patient aspect. The current INLAND survey assessed the in-clinic management practices of MF, patient dialogue, and impact on patient perception in the MF continuum of care in India. Methods: The INLAND survey was conducted between 7th October to 20th November 2021 in 154 patients with MF under the management of 50 hematologists/medical oncologists in India. The survey assessed the disease burden in early MF, objective application of risk stratification, in-clinic communication, and impact on MF patient perception in India. Results: Demographics, patient journey, and symptom burden The patients in this sample had an average age of 51 years (25 - 80 years), an MF diagnosis at an average age of 49 years (22 - 79 years) and had experienced MF symptoms almost 6 months to over 2 years (average, 10 months) before diagnosis. The patients' myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) score at the time of interview was 37% and 58% in the 3rd and 4th quartiles, respectively. About 8% and 33% of patients belonged to the Low and Intermediate-1 Risk, respectively, and were suffering from a high symptom burden as assessed by the MPN-10 score. (Table 1) In-clinic management About 94% of healthcare practitioners (HCPs) in the survey ascribed to using a prognostic scoring tool for MF management, out of which 62% confirmed the use of Dynamic International Prognostic Scoring System (DIPSS) as their preferred tool for regular assessment. However, on comparing the HCPs' DIPSS assessment of each patient with the actual DIPSS as per the variables data it was seen that there was a mismatch in the risk ascribed to the MF patients, with many being misclassified into a lower category. (Figure 1) About 80% of the surveyed HCPs felt that they are proactive in their assessment of patient symptoms, while only 50% of patients agreed with this. Around 23% of patients felt that HCPs usually wait for the patients to talk about their symptoms and are not proactive in discussing all symptoms. While 54% of HCPs stated that they regularly use MPN-10 symptom assessment in the clinic, only 1% of surveyed patients had ever used an MPN-10 scoring booklet. In-clinic disease discussion and patient perception impact Almost all surveyed HCPs believed MF to be a blood cancer that can negatively impact a patient's quality of life (QoL) and progress to a more serious condition. However, in their discussion, only 26% HCPs made their patients aware that they are suffering from cancer, while most discussed it as a condition that may progress to cancer (50%) or as a blood disorder that can be managed (14%). Discussion to make the patient aware that MF needs lifelong treatment was done by only 10% HCPs. The resultant impact on patient perception was that most patients knew that MF is a serious health condition (92%), increases the need for transfusion (96%), and reduces QoL (98%). However, the patients were not aware that they were suffering from cancer or a condition that needs lifelong treatment. The patients' perception was also reflected in their MF treatment goals where both HCPs and patients were aligned that they value improvement of QoL (88% vs. 74%) as the most important goal. However, 62% HCPs (vs. 37% patients) prioritized anemia management, while 69% of patients (vs. 12% HCPs) valued symptom improvement as the next most important treatment goal. Additionally, overall survival was not a part of patient treatment goals, echoing the patients' disease perception results. Conclusion: The INLAND survey findings highlight the usually overlooked symptom burden in Low/Intermediate-1 Risk MF patients in India. The lack of habitual objective risk stratification and use of MPN-10 tool may cause underestimation of the disease burden and thus delay the appropriate management. Lack of in-clinic dialogues to increase patient awareness regarding MF being a cancer or a condition needing lifelong treatment may compromise patients' diligence to treatment. Figure 1View largeDownload PPTFigure 1View largeDownload PPT Close modal

P-017 A FRAMEWORK FOR MULTIDISCIPLINARY TEAM MANAGEMENT OF ABDOMINAL WALL RECONSTRUCTION

Abstract Aim Incisional hernias are common and can significantly impact a patient's quality of life. Traditionally, abdominal wall reconstruction (AWR) has been performed by general surgeons, or those with special interest, often working in isolation. However, there is increasing awareness of pre-optimisation, risk stratification, enhanced training, and personalising treatment using a wide range of techniques. Methods &amp; Results For complex and higher-risk procedures, Multidisciplinary team (MDT) management is considered the standard of care for optimising outcomes. The lack of standardised protocols and clear evidence in AWR means that surgical management can vary greatly. This makes the MDT process even more important due to the complexity of the decision-making involved. We describe a successful MDT process for complex abdominal wall reconstruction at a tertiary referral centre. Patients are reviewed at weekly AWR meetings with a multidisciplinary team, which includes consultants, advanced clinical practitioners and trainees. This is an opportunity for objective risk stratification, radiological review and assessment of the patient's goals before preoptimization and operative planning. Prospective data is collected on all patients to allow for quality improvement and service development. Conclusion MDT management of abdominal wall hernia is gaining popularity but remains poorly established in most regions. The involvement of surgical colleagues and other specialists is crucial in developing this growing field of surgery. We hope to expand our team to include Radiologists and Nutritionists, with the possibility of extending to regional networks, as we continue to explore new techniques and methods in managing complex abdominal wall hernias.

Performance of early warning and risk stratification scores versus clinical judgement in the acute setting: a systematic review

ObjectiveRisk stratification is increasingly based on Early Warning Score (EWS)-based models, instead of clinical judgement. However, it is unknown how risk-stratification models and EWS perform as compared with the clinical...

Functional Laryngeal Assessment in Patients with Tracheostomy Following COVID-19 a Prospective Cohort Study

To explore laryngeal function of tracheostomised patients with COVID-19 in the acute phase, to identify ways teams may facilitate and expedite tracheostomy weaning and rehabilitation of upper airway function. Consecutive tracheostomised patients underwent laryngeal examination during mechanical ventilation weaning. Primary outcomes included prevalence of upper aerodigestive oedema and airway protection during swallow, tracheostomy duration, ICU frailty scores, and oral intake type. Analyses included bivariate associations and exploratory multivariable regressions. 48 consecutive patients who underwent tracheostomy insertion as part of their respiratory wean following invasive ventilation in a single UK tertiary hospital were included. 21 (43.8%) had impaired airway protection on swallow (PAS ≥ 3) with 32 (66.7%) having marked airway oedema in at least one laryngeal area. Impaired airway protection was associated with longer total artificial airway duration (p = 0.008), longer tracheostomy tube duration (p = 0.007), multiple intubations (p = 0.006) and was associated with persistent ICU acquired weakness at ICU discharge (p = 0.03). Impaired airway protection was also an independent predictor for longer tracheostomy tube duration (p = 0.02, Beta 0.38, 95% CI 2.36 to 27.16). The majority of our study patients presented with complex laryngeal findings which were associated with impaired airway protection. We suggest a proactive standardized scoring and review protocol to manage this complex group of patients in order to maximize health outcomes and ICU resources. Early laryngeal assessment may facilitate weaning from invasive mechanical ventilation and liberation from tracheostomy, as well as practical and objective risk stratification for patients regarding decannulation and feeding.

Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial of Surveillance Versus Endoscopic Therapy for Barrett’s Esophagus With Low-grade Dysplasia: The SURVENT Trial: Study Rationale, Methodology, Innovation, and Implications

Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial of Surveillance Versus Endoscopic Therapy for Barrett’s Esophagus With Low-grade Dysplasia: The SURVENT Trial: Study Rationale, Methodology, Innovation, and Implications

Managing pulmonary arterial hypertension: how to select and facilitate successful transplantation.

Despite improvements in available medical therapies, pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) remains a progressive, ultimately fatal disorder. Lung transplantation is a viable treatment option for PAH patients with advanced disease. Recent guidelines from the International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) have updated recommendations regarding time of referral and listing for lung transplantation in PAH. The new guidelines emphasize earlier referral for transplant evaluation to ensure adequate time for proper evaluation and listing. They also incorporate objective risk stratification criteria to assist in decision-making regarding timing of referral and listing. With regards to the transplant procedure, bilateral lung transplantation has largely supplanted heart-lung transplantation as the procedure of choice for transplantation for advanced PAH. Exceptions to this include patients with PAH because of congenital heart disease and those with concurrent LV dysfunction. Use of mechanical support via venoarterial ECMO initiated before transplantation and continued into the early postoperative period is emerging as a standard of care and may help to reduce early posttransplant mortality in this population. There has been increased recognition of the importance of WHO Group 3 pulmonary hypertension. Many of the lessons learned from PAH may be applied when transplanting patients with severe WHO Group 3 pulmonary hypertension. Patients with PAH present unique challenges with regards to transplantation that require a therapeutic approach distinct from other lung disorders. Lung transplantations for PAH are high-risk endeavors best performed at centers with expertise in management of both PAH and extracorporeal support.

Defining the role of risk stratification and duplex ultrasound in the diagnosis of acute lower extremity deep vein thrombosis

ObjectiveRisk stratification using the plasma D-dimer level and Wells score has been proposed as a safe strategy to rule out acute lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and limit the use of duplex ultrasound (DUS) for low-risk patients. A widely used diagnostic protocol defining the role of pretest probability and D-dimer testing in lieu of DUS has not been reported. Our aim was to define the risk of DVT in a standard population of emergency department patients who had presented with acute lower extremity symptoms and determine the role of DUS for these patients. MethodsOutpatients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms concerning for lower extremity DVT were prospectively enrolled. All the patients underwent whole leg DUS and clinical and laboratory assessments for DVT using the Wells criteria and plasma D-dimer testing. The patients were stratified into three groups according to the combination of their Wells score and plasma D-dimer level. The prevalence of DVT and the statistical performance of the combined Wells score and plasma D-dimer were compared. ResultsA total of 3087 patients were enrolled. Most of the patients had had a negative plasma D-dimer level and Wells score (n = 2290 patients). A total of 222 patients had had a positive plasma D-dimer level and Wells score. The overall prevalence of acute DVT in the present study was 7.3%. Of the 2290 patients with a negative Wells score and negative plasma D-dimer level, 4 had had a diagnosis of DVT (negative predictive value, 99.8%). In contrast, DVT was present in 181 of 222 patients (81.5%) with a positive Wells score and plasma D-dimer level (positive predictive value, 81.5%). The plasma D-dimer level also correlated with the DVT location, and the D-dimer levels were highest for the patients with proximal DVT. ConclusionsThe combination of a negative Wells score and negative plasma D-dimer level can safely exclude the presence of DVT. Patients with a negative Wells score and negative plasma D-dimer level are unlikely to benefit from DUS. In contrast, patients with a positive D-dimer level and positive Wells score will benefit from whole leg DUS to rule out the presence of high-risk DVT.

Assessment of biological risk among dentists during the COVID-19 Pandemic-A cross-sectional study.

The health and life of a healthcare worker are repeatedly under threat due to the rising number of epidemics and pandemics. The COVID-19 pandemic is said to be fatal in people with a risky biological, demographic profile and working environment. This study is the first of its kind carried out on the dentist population from India, who were most affected during the COVID-19 pandemic. The present study aims to assess the biological risk of dentists based on the objective risk stratification (ORS) tool developed by Strain et al. This was a cross-sectional study of dentists in government dental colleges of Kerala using the online form of the ORS tool consisting of questions which included certain demographic characteristics and comorbid conditions of the individual. An additional question was added to the tool, to categorise the work of the dentist depending on the exposure to aerosol (non-aerosol, minimal aerosol and aerosol). Out of the 74 dentists, 48.6% reported high aerosol and 31% with minimal aerosol. The median score of the study participants was 2 (ranging from 1 to 12). Using the ORS tool, 16.2% had medium risk and only 2.7% had high risk. When the ORS tool was stratified with the aerosol generation, 5.4% had minimal and 6.7% had significant with medium-risk scores. Also, 2.7% with a high-risk score had minimal aerosol generation. Identifying the high-risk category to allocate duties accordingly and decrease the morbidity and mortality among dentists has to be kept a top priority in the event of a pandemic.

CT angiographic radiomics signature for risk stratification in anterior large vessel occlusion stroke

Background and PurposeAs “time is brain” in acute stroke triage, the need for automated prognostication tools continues to increase, particularly in rapidly expanding tele-stroke settings. We aimed to create an automated prognostication tool for anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke based on admission CTA radiomics. MethodsWe automatically extracted 1116 radiomics features from the anterior circulation territory on admission CTAs of 829 acute LVO stroke patients who underwent mechanical thrombectomy in two academic centers. We trained, optimized, validated, and compared different machine-learning models to predict favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale ≤ 2) at discharge and 3-month follow-up using four different input sets: “Radiomics”, “Radiomics + Treatment” (radiomics, post-thrombectomy reperfusion grade, and intravenous thrombolysis), “Clinical + Treatment” (baseline clinical variables and treatment), and “Combined” (radiomics, treatment, and baseline clinical variables). ResultsFor discharge outcome prediction, models were optimized/trained on n = 494 and tested on an independent cohort of n = 100 patients from Yale. Receiver operating characteristic analysis of the independent cohort showed no significant difference between best-performing Combined input models (area under the curve, AUC = 0.77) versus Radiomics + Treatment (AUC = 0.78, p = 0.78), Radiomics (AUC = 0.78, p = 0.55), or Clinical + Treatment (AUC = 0.77, p = 0.87) models. For 3-month outcome prediction, models were optimized/trained on n = 373 and tested on an independent cohort from Yale (n = 72), and an external cohort from Geisinger Medical Center (n = 232). In the independent cohort, there was no significant difference between Combined input models (AUC = 0.76) versus Radiomics + Treatment (AUC = 0.72, p = 0.39), Radiomics (AUC = 0.72, p = 0.39), or Clinical + Treatment (AUC = 76, p = 0.90) models; however, in the external cohort, the Combined model (AUC = 0.74) outperformed Radiomics + Treatment (AUC = 0.66, p < 0.001) and Radiomics (AUC = 0.68, p = 0.005) models for 3-month prediction. ConclusionMachine-learning signatures of admission CTA radiomics can provide prognostic information in acute LVO stroke candidates for mechanical thrombectomy. Such objective and time-sensitive risk stratification can guide treatment decisions and facilitate tele-stroke assessment of patients. Particularly in the absence of reliable clinical information at the time of admission, models solely using radiomics features can provide a useful prognostication tool.