Number Of Hand, Foot And Mouth Disease Cases Research Articles

Modification effects of socioeconomic factors on associations between air pollutants and hand, foot, and mouth disease: A multicity time-series study based on heavily polluted areas in the basin area of Sichuan Province, China.

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a serious threat among children in China. Some studies have found that air pollution is associated with HFMD incidence, but the results showed heterogeneity. In this study, we aimed to explore the heterogeneity of associations between air pollutants and the number of HFMD cases and to identify significant socioeconomic effect modifiers. We collected daily surveillance data on HFMD cases in those aged less than 15 years, air pollution variables and meteorological variables from 2015 to 2017 in the basin area of Sichuan Province. We also collected socioeconomic indicator data. We conducted a two-stage multicity time-series analysis. In the first stage, we constructed a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) to obtain cumulative exposure-response curves between each air pollutant and the numbers of HFMD cases for every city. In the second stage, we carried out a multivariable meta-regression to merge the estimations in the first stage and to identify significant socioeconomic effect modifiers. We found that PM10, NO2 and O3 concentrations were associated with the number of HFMD cases. An inverted V-shaped association between PM10 and the number of HFMD cases was observed. The overall NO2-HFMD association was a hockey-stick shape. For the relationships of PM10, SO2, NO2, O3 and CO with HFMD counts, approximately 58.5%, 48.4%, 51.0%, 55.6% and 52.5% of the heterogeneity could be explained, respectively. The proportion of primary school students, population density, urbanization rate, number of licensed physicians and number of hospital beds explained part of the heterogeneity and modified the relationships. Our study explored the heterogeneity of associations between air pollutants and HFMD counts. The proportion of primary school students, population density, urbanization rate, number of licensed physicians and number of hospital beds could modify the relationships. The results can serve as a reference for relevant public health decision making.

Complex interaction between meteorological factors on the risk of hand, foot, and mouth disease

The relationship between meteorological factors and the risk of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) has been well documented. However, researchers have failed to consider the complex interactive relationships among meteorological factors. The weekly number of HFMD cases along with meteorological factors were collected between 2009 to 2017 in four cities in Guangdong Province. We used Bayesian kernel machine regression to investigate the nonlinear and interactive relationship between meteorological factors, such as temperature and humidity, on the risk of HFMD. Multivariate meta-analysis was used to pool the city-specific effect estimates and identify factors underlying the inter-city heterogeneity. The risk ratios (RRs) for each percentile increase in temperature from the 50th percentile value, while humidity was at its 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile values, were 1.621(95%CI: 1.226, 2.141), 2.638(2.169, 3.208), and 3.734(2.908, 4.792), respectively (Q= 19.132, P interaction< 0.001). In contrast, the RRs for each percentile increase in humidity from its 50th percentile, while holding temperature at its 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile values, were 0.901(95%CI: 0.592, 1.369), 2.026(1.679, 2.448), and 0.884(0.632, 1.238), respectively (Q= 24.876, P interaction < 0.001). Increased wind speed and sunshine duration were also observed to strengthen the impact of other meteorological factors. Furthermore, we found increased gross domestic product per capita and per capital area of parks and green land in city tended to significantly strengthen the interactive effects of humidity on other meteorological factors including sunshine duration (P = 0.013 and 0.042), rainfall (P = 0.017 and 0.035), temperature (P = 0.021 and 0.031), win speed (P = 0.011 and 0.045), and pressure (P = 0.013 and 0.042). Our study contributed further understanding of complex interactions between meteorological factors on the risk of HFMD. Our findings provide epidemiological evidence for meteorological interactions on HFMD, which may provide knowledge for future research on the health effects of meteorological factors.

Seasonal Pattern of Hand Foot and Mouth Disease in an Out-patient Clinic of a Tertiary Care Pediatric Hospital at Dhaka

Background &amp; Objective: Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a contagious disease of children, occurs primarily under five years of age, characterized by a history of brief febrile illness and a typical skin rash over hands and feet with or without sores in mouth, caused usually by Coxsackievirus A16 viruses. It is mainly the disease of tropical and subtropical countries and bears a complex-relation with meteorological variables, like temperature, rainfall and relative humidity, although no study has yet been done in Bangladesh to explain the complex relationship of the disease with these variables. This study sought to describe the occurrence of HFMD and its association with meteorological factors in Dhaka city.&#x0D; Methods: The present cross-sectional study collected data of 231 HFMD cases from the records of the daily register of Out-patient Department of Dhaka Shisu Hospital, Dhaka between January 2018 to December 2019. According to the study protocol a child was identified as having HFMD who had a history of brief febrile illness accompanied by a typical skin rash with or without mouth ulcers. Total number of cases treated monthly at OPD during the period were also recorded. Meteorological data were provided by Bangladesh Meteorological Department, which among others, included monthly average temperature, relative humidity and amount of rainfall. While the outcome variable was monthly number of HFMD cases, the predictive variables were average temperature, humidity and rainfall during the study period.&#x0D; Result: Majority (85.3%) children in the present study was &lt; 5 years old. A male preponderance was observed in the series (60%) with male to ratio being 3:2. A clustering of HFMD cases was observed to occur between June to October when monthly average temperature, total rainfall and humidity all were at their maximum compared to those found between November to April. The clustering of cases was more intense in the year 2019 than that in the year 2018. During the period average monthly temperature was 29.20C, average rainfall was 62.6% (238 mm) of the total annual precipitation and mean relative humidity was 79%. The proportion of HFMD cases out of total cases treated during the period was 2.2% in 2018 and was 4.1% in 2019, which in the dry season (November to April) was 0.4% and 0.5% in 2018 and 2019 respectively.&#x0D; Conclusion: The study concluded that majority of the HFMD cases occur under five years of age and boys are more likely to have the infection than the girls. A seasonality of HFMD occurrence is observed with a higher number of cases occurring in the monsoon season and fewer cases in the dry season. Clustering of HFMD cases occur between May to October when monthly average temperature, total rainfall and humidity all are at peak compared to those in November to April of the year.&#x0D; Ibrahim Card Med J 2021; 11 (1): 14-20

Seasonal Pattern of Hand Foot and Mouth Disease in an Out-patient Clinic of a Tertiary Care Pediatric Hospital, Dhaka

Background : Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is a contagious disease of children, occurs primarily under five years of age, characterized by a history of brief febrile illness and a typical skin rash over hands and feet with or without sores in mouth, caused usually by Coxsackie virus[1]A16 viruses. It is mainly the disease of tropical and subtropical countries and bears a complex-relation with meteorological variables like temperature, rainfall and relative humidity, although no study has yet been done in Bangladesh to explain the complex relationship of the disease with these variables.&#x0D; Objective : This study sought to describe the occurrence of HFMD and its association with meteorological factors in Dhaka city.&#x0D; Methods : The present cross-sectional study collected data of 231 HFMD cases from the records of the daily register of Out-patient Department of Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka between January 2018 to December 2019. According to the study protocol a child was identified as having HFMD who had a history of brief febrile illness accompanied by a typical skin rash with or without mouth ulcers. Total numbers of cases treated monthly at OPD during the period were also recorded. Meteorological data were provided by Bangladesh Meteorological Department, which among others, included monthly average temperature, relative humidity and amount of rainfall. While the outcome variable was monthly number of HFMD cases, the predictive variables were average temperature, humidity and rainfall during the study period.&#x0D; Results : Majority (85.3%) children in the present study was &lt; 5 years old. A male preponderance was observed in the series (60%) with male to female ratio being 3:2. A clustering of HFMD cases was observed to occur between June to October when monthly average temperature, total rainfall and humidity all were at their maximum compared to those found between November to April. The clustering of cases was more intense in the year 2019 than that in the year 2018. During the period average monthly temperature was 29.20C, average rainfall was 62.6% (238 mm) of the total annual precipitation and mean relative humidity was 79%. The proportion of HFMD cases out of total cases treated during the period was 2.2% in 2018 and was 4.1% in 2019, which in the dry season (November to April) was 0.4% and 0.5% in 2018 and 2019 respectively.&#x0D; Conclusions : The study concluded that majority of the HFMD cases occur under five years of age and boys are more likely to have the infection than the girls. A seasonality of HFMD occurrence is observed with a higher number of cases occurring in the monsoon season and fewer cases in the dry season.Clustering of HFMD cases occur between May to October when monthly average temperature, total rainfall and humidity all are at peak compared to those in November to April of the year.&#x0D; Northern International Medical College Journal Vol.11 (2) Jan 2020: 453-457

An epidemiological surveillance of hand foot and mouth disease in paediatric patients and in community: A Singapore retrospective cohort study, 2013-2018.

While hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is primarily self-resolving-soaring incidence rate of symptomatic HFMD effectuates economic burden in the Asia-Pacific region. Singapore has seen a conspicuous rise in the number of HFMD cases from 2010s. Here, we aims to identify the serology and genotypes responsible for such outbreaks in hospitals and childcare facilities. We studied symptomatic paediatric HFMD cases from 2013 to 2018 in Singapore. Surveillance for subclinical enterovirus infections was also performed in childcares at the same time period. Genotyping 101 symptomatic HFMD samples revealed CV-A6 as the major etiological agent for recent outbreaks. We detected infections with CV-A6 (41.0%), EV-A71 (7%), CV-A16 (3.0%), coxsackievirus A2, CV-A2 (1.0%) and coxsackievirus A10, CV-A10 (1.0%). Phylogenetic analysis of local CV-A6 strains revealed a high level of heterogeneity compared against others worldwide, dissimilar to other HFMD causative enteroviruses for which the dominant strains and genotypes are highly region specific. We detected sub-clinical enterovirus infections in childcare centres; 17.1% (n = 245) tested positive for enterovirus in saliva, without HFMD indicative symptoms at the point of sample collection. CV-A6 remained as the dominant HFMD causative strain in Singapore. Silent subclinical enteroviral infections were detected and warrant further investigations.

Short term effect of weather patterns on the incidence of hand foot and mouth disease aged ≤5 years old in Jinan city

To investigate the effect of weather patterns on the incidence of hand foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Jinan. HFMD confirmed cases aged ≤5 years old for the period of 2012-2014 were collected from National Notifiable Disease Report System (NNDRS). Simultaneous meteorological data, including daily average temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind velocity, rainfall and duration of sunshine were obtained from the website of Jinan meteorological bureau. A negative binomial multivariable regression was used to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and HFMD. During the study period, a total of 40 405 HFMD cases aged ≤5 years old were reported. The incident peak occurred from May to July, a total of 22 254 cases were reported during this period, which accounted for 55.08% of whole cases. After adjusting by "year", each 1 °C rise of weekly average temperature corresponded to an increase of 6.70% (95%CI:6.35% to 7.06%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a 1 kPa rise of weekly average atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 44.77% (95%CI: -46.23% to -41.91%). Likewise, a one percent rise in weekly average relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.96% (95%CI: 1.84% to 2.09%), a 1 m/h rise in weekly average wind velocity corresponded to an increase of 16.63% (95% CI:14.08% to 19.25%), a hour add in weekly duration of sunshine corresponded to a decrease of 0.82% (95% CI : -0.93% to -0.72%), in the weekly number of HFMD cases. Weather factors including temperature, atmospheric pressure, relative humidity, wind velocity, and duration of sunshine had a significant influence on occurrence and transmission of HFMD in Jinan city.

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease epidemiological status and relationship with meteorological variables in Guangzhou, southern China, 2008-2012.

Hand-foot-and-mouth disease (HFMD) is becoming one of the extremely common airborne and contact transmission diseases in Guangzhou, southern China, leading public health authorities to be concerned about its increased incidence. In this study, it was used an ecological study plus the negative binomial regression to identify the epidemic status of HFMD and its relationship with meteorological variables. During 2008-2012, a total of 173,524 HFMD confirmed cases were reported, 12 cases of death, yielding a fatality rate of 0.69 per 10,000. The annual incidence rates from 2008 to 2012 were 60.56, 132.44, 311.40, 402.76, and 468.59 (per 100,000), respectively, showing a rapid increasing trend. Each 1 °C rise in temperature corresponded to an increase of 9.47% (95% CI 9.36% to 9.58%) in the weekly number of HFMD cases, while a one hPa rise in atmospheric pressure corresponded to a decrease in the number of cases by 7.53% (95% CI -7.60% to -7.45%). Similarly, each one percent rise in relative humidity corresponded to an increase of 1.48% or 3.3%, and a one meter per hour rise in wind speed corresponded to an increase of 2.18% or 4.57%, in the weekly number of HFMD cases, depending on the variables considered in the model. These findings revealed that epidemic status of HFMD in Guangzhou is characterized by high morbidity but low fatality. Weather factors had a significant influence on the incidence of HFMD.

Trend Surface Analysis of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease in Sarawak

In this study we aim to fit a trend surface model for Hand, Foot And Mouth Disease (HFMD) in Sarawak and also check the adequacy of the model obtained. For this, the epidemiological data of year 2012(outbreak year) and 2011 are used. Models were built up to second order polynomial based on the idea that number of HFMD cases can be described by regression residual analysis. With Moran I statistic, residuals from all the trend surface models were examined for spatial auto correlation. All six trend surface models for 2011 data had residuals that were not spatially auto correlated.However, one model for 2012 data showed spatial auto correlation. The best model for each year of the two years that represent disease outbreak and non-outbreak situations was selected based on Mallows’ Cp statistic. These models could be used to predict the number of cases for locations of interest.

Epidemic characteristics of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Shanghai from 2009 to 2010: Enterovirus 71 subgenotype C4 as the primary causative agent and a high incidence of mixed infections with coxsackievirus A16

Enterovirus 71 (EV71) has been the main causative agent of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) outbreaks in recent years. A significant increase in the number of HFMD cases in China over the last 3 y has made the public prevention and therapy of this disease a critical issue. A total of 3208 HFMD patients in Shanghai during the period 2009 to 2010 were analyzed; 437 clinical specimens were collected for the determination of causative pathogens. Eight of the isolated EV71 strains were sequenced and phylogenetically analyzed. The widespread outbreak of HFMD in Shanghai was caused predominantly by EV71 (86.5%), and in part by coxsackievirus A16 (CA16) (6.9%). The high incidence of mixed infections with EV71 and CA16 (17.6% of the total CA16-infected cases) has never before been observed in China. Most HFMD patients (76.9%) were aged 1-4 y. Boys showed a higher HFMD prevalence rate (65.3%) than girls (34.7%). Phylogenetic analysis on the basis of the VP1 gene and the complete genome sequences revealed that the EV71 strains that circulated in Shanghai belonged to the C4 subgenotype. EV71 subgenotype C4 was the major causative agent of the HFMD outbreak in Shanghai. A high incidence of mixed infections with EV71 and CA16 was also observed.