The ideal timing for surgery in asymptomatic chronic aortic regurgitation (AR) remains unclear. New thresholds for left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular (LV) indexed end-systolic volume (iESV), and global longitudinal strain (GLS) have been associated with mortality in these patients. These represent markers of early LV dysfunction. The authors sought to assess the relationship between these markers (LVEF<60%, iESV≥45mL/m2, and GLS worse than -15%) and mortality, comparing them to Class I/IIa American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline recommendations and absence of any of these. A total of 673 asymptomatic patients with chronic clinically significant (≥ moderate-severe) AR between 2004 and 2019 at a single referral center were retrospectively analyzed. The primary study outcome was all-cause mortality. Mean age was 57 ± 17 years, 97 (14%) were female, 293 (45%) had hypertension, and 273 (41%) had an abnormal number of valve cusps. Aortic valve replacement was performed in 281 (48%) patients, and 69 (10%) died while under surveillance (without aortic valve replacement). LVEF<60% was present in 296 (44%) patients, 122 (25%) of 482 had GLS worse than -15%, and 261 (39%) had iESV≥45mL/m2. Mortality under surveillance was highest when Class I/IIa recommendations were present (HR: 4.22; 95%CI: 2.15-8.29), followed by the presence of 1 or more markers of early LV dysfunction (HR: 2.18; 95%CI: 1.21-3.92); no markers was used as the reference (all, P< 0.05). LVEF showed the strongest association with mortality, statistically slightly better than GLS and iESV. In the absence of ClassI/IIa recommendations, 1 marker of early LV dysfunction was associated with higher, although not statistically significant, mortality compared with no markers (P=0.063), followed by 2 markers; highest mortality was when all 3markers were present (HR: 5.46; 95%CI: 2.51-11.90; P< 0.001). Patients with asymptomatic clinically significant chronic AR incur a survival penalty when Class I/IIa guideline recommendations are attained. In patients without these recommendations, at least 2 markers of early LV dysfunction identify those with higher mortality risk who may benefit from early surgery.
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