Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System Research Articles

Metabolic adaptations underpin high productivity rates in relict subsurface water

Groundwater aquifers are ecological hotspots with diverse microbes essential for biogeochemical cycles. Their ecophysiology has seldom been studied on a basin scale. In particular, our knowledge of chemosynthesis in the deep aquifers where temperatures reach 60 °C, is limited. Here, we investigated the diversity, activity, and metabolic potential of microbial communities from nine wells reaching ancient groundwater beneath Israel’s Negev Desert, spanning two significant, deep (up to 1.5 km) aquifers, the Judea Group carbonate and Kurnub Group Nubian sandstone that contain fresh to brackish, hypoxic to anoxic water. We estimated chemosynthetic productivity rates ranging from 0.55 ± 0.06 to 0.82 ± 0.07 µg C L−1 d−1 (mean ± SD), suggesting that aquifer productivity may be underestimated. We showed that 60% of MAGs harbored genes for autotrophic pathways, mainly the Calvin–Benson–Bassham cycle and the Wood–Ljungdahl pathway, indicating a substantial chemosynthetic capacity within these microbial communities. We emphasize the potential metabolic versatility in the deep subsurface, enabling efficient carbon and energy use. This study set a precedent for global aquifer exploration, like the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System in the Arabian and Western Deserts, and reconsiders their role as carbon sinks.

Optimization of floodwater redistribution from Lake Nasser could recharge Egypt’s aquifers and mitigate its excessive floods

Extreme precipitation periods, possibly related to climate change, over the Nile River source areas caused flooding in Sudan and excess runoff reaching Lake Nasser in Egypt in 1998–2002 and 2019–2022. Excess water from the 1st event (25.5 × 109 m3) was channeled to depressions within the plateau west of the Nile Valley, forming the Tushka Lakes, where it was left to evaporate, a fate that awaits the 53.5 × 109 m3 from the 2nd event while the underlying fossil Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System is being depleted (−0.98 × 109 m3/yr). We simulated release scenarios of excess Lake Nasser waters (53.5 × 109 m3) to proximal lowlands; preference was given to the scenario that recharged the aquifer through infiltration (74.3%) and minimized losses to evaporation (20.1%) and surface runoff (5.6%). Findings serve as an example of adaptations that replace catastrophic consequences of climate change with beneficial and sustainable development opportunities.

Modeling and analysis of temporal dynamics in groundwater aquifers of New Valley Oases, Egypt

Water scarcity poses a significant challenge in arid and semi-arid regions, necessitating a focused exploration of groundwater resources. Egypt, confronted with various water challenges, particularly in its Western Desert, relies heavily on groundwater as the exclusive water source due to the presence of the Nubian Sandstone aquifer. Effective groundwater management in this region is imperative. This study delves into the hydrogeological characteristics of the Nubian Sandstone aquifer system (NSAS) in the prominent New Valley Oases—Kharga, Dakhla, and Farafra—where agricultural activities heavily depend on groundwater. The primary objective entails a meticulous temporal assessment of the impact of groundwater development on aquifer behavior, groundwater levels, and drawdown. Employing a remote sensing approach, agricultural expansion from 1995 to 2020 was scrutinized. The Visual MODFLOW package served as a robust tool for simulating groundwater flow in the study areas. Noteworthy findings reveal an upward trajectory in agricultural crop areas, escalating by approximately 6% from 1740 km² in 1995 to 1850 km² in 2020. Concurrently, drawdown, influenced by current groundwater extraction, is anticipated to range from 0.5 to 5 meters per year. To ensure the sustainable development of these areas, stringent regulations must be implemented, underscoring the imperative for judicious groundwater management practices. This research underscores the critical need for informed decision-making and proactive measures to address the evolving dynamics of groundwater resources in the New Valley Oases.

Carcinogenic and Non-Carcinogenic Health Risk Evaluation of Heavy Metals in Water Sources of the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer in the El-Farafra Oasis (Egypt)

Expanding anthropogenic activities, globally and in Egypt, have increased concentrations of heavy metals in surface and ground waters. Contamination of drinking water may threaten public health. In the present study, the concentrations of 10 heavy metals were analyzed from natural springs (6) and drilled wells (10) in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer of the El-Farafra Oasis and the White Desert National Park, Egypt. The average concentrations of heavy metals were in most cases below critical values of the WHO drinking water standard, except for Fe and Mn (average values were 495 and 107 µg·L−1, respectively). There is a surface circulation that develops within limestone (Post-Nubian Aquifer System—PNAS) and feeds the springs, while the water present in the wells (at least for the deeper ones) comes from the ferruginous sandstone (Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System—NSAS). This double circulation could account for the differences in the EC and TDS values (typical of a circulation in limestone-type aquifers for springs) and the Fe and Mn enrichment coming from the ferruginous sandstone of the NSAS. The average chronic daily intake (CDI) values for heavy metals in the study area are listed in decreasing order in the following: Fe > Mn > Zn > Co > Ni > Cr > As > Pb > Co > Cd. The total hazard quotient (HQtotal = HQoral + HQdermal) and Hazard Index (HI) values calculated for different heavy metals were well below the acceptable limit, indicating no significant non-carcinogenic health risks to the residents of both areas via oral and dermal absorption of drinking water. Furthermore, the results obtained for the total risk to human health showed that oral ingestion is the major pathway. Carcinogenic risk analysis indicated that the Incremental Lifetime Cancer Risk (ILCR) values for Pb, Cd, Ni, and Cr were well below the acceptable limits.

Infiltration and recharge dynamics in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System of northern Chad

The Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS) is one of the world’s largest fossil groundwater resources. In northern Chad, notably in the areas of the Tibesti and Ennedi mountains, precipitation occurs seasonally with rates up to 150 mm year–1. This precipitation could lead to diffuse recharge, as well as concentrated recharge along the episodically flooded wadis. Although it is clear that infiltration occurs under flooded areas, it is unknown if and to what extent the infiltration can recharge groundwater. This study combines remote sensing data on precipitation, evapotranspiration, and the temporal and spatial dynamics of the flooded areas with chemical and stable isotopic data from groundwater and surface water sampled between 2013 and 2016. The combination of these data shows that (1) the only area where diffuse recharge occurs is in the southern area of the Ennedi mountains, where concentrated recharge through the wadis occurs concurrently during the month of August, and (2) southeast of the Tibesti and north of the Ennedi mountains, only concentrated recharge occurs. The length of the flooded areas and thus the spatial extent of concentrated recharge varies significantly from year to year and can last up to 3 months. The study has shown that modern recharge does occur in northern Chad, but to a very limited extent, both in space and time. This means that achieving sustainable management of this renewable resource can only be considered through rigorous quantitative assessments. Furthermore, these findings have important implications for future studies on the regional dynamics of the NSAS.

Sedimentary cover and structural trends affecting the groundwater flow in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System: Inferences from geophysical, field and geochemical data

This study combined gravity data from the Earth Gravitational Model (EGM2008) with other data to better understand the spatial variations of the sedimentary cover and the structural trends that affect groundwater flow in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System. Our findings were verified and evidenced by geological, geochronological, geochemical data, and earthquake records: 1) The Uweinat-Aswan basement uplift, which runs east-west, partially isolates the Dakhla subbasin from the shallower northern Sudan subbasin, and thereby impeding the south-to-north groundwater flow from northern Sudan platform to the Dakhla subbasin; 2) A thickening of the sedimentary cover in the NE-SW direction from the southern Kufra through the northern Kufra to the Dakhla subbasin; 3) The sedimentary cover was found to increase from less than 500 m in the south (Northern Sudan and Uweinat region) to more than 6 km in the north (Mediterranean coast); 4) A number of structural trends (NE-SW, N-S, E-W, and NW-SE) affecting the region; 5) A large Pelusium megashear system that runs northeast to southwest makes it easier for groundwater to flow from the Kufra subbasin to the Dakhla subbasin; 6) Along the paths that groundwater takes, like from Siwa to Qattara and from northwest Farafra to north Bahariya, and along structures that run in the same direction as the flow, a progressive increase in 36Cl groundwater ages were observed; 7) It is a better way to learn about the hydrogeological context of large aquifers and figure out how to best manage these underground water sources.

The Great Man-Made River Project after Muammar Gaddafi’s Overthrow

This article focuses on the analysis of the implementation and maintenance of the Great Man-Made River project (GMMR) after Muammar Gaddafi’s Overthrow in 2011. Libya is one of the poorest countries in terms of freshwater per capita. Due to the need to cover the growing domestic and drinking demands, it was necessary to provide water supply to both cities on the narrow coastline of Tripolitania and Cyrenaica, and small villages of Fezzan. The discovery of the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System made it possible to start building an underground pipelines network using the resources of deep-lying water deposits. The chronological scope of the paper covers more than a decade or the period from 2011 to the present. The main research issue focuses on the study of the maintaining the Great Man-Made River in the modern times. The paper also emphasizes the damage caused by hostilities. In the context of the research issue, the authors analyze a number of historical facts and data regarding the development of the water policy as well as key Hydraulic Engineering projects in Libya.

A diatom-based predictive model for inferring past conductivity in Chadian Sahara lakes

For decades, diatoms have been recognized as powerful bio-indicators of modern water quality. They have also been utilized in the design of transfer functions, which can be applied to diatom assemblages in lake sediment cores to infer aspects of past lake hydrochemistry and estimate variables that can be incorporated into paleohydrology models. The Ounianga lakes, in the heart of the Chadian Sahara, possess unique and well-preserved sediment records that extend back beyond the middle Holocene. Today, the lakes display a range of hydrochemical conditions, from fresh to hypersaline. Mainly fed by fossil groundwater that originates in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System, measured conductivity across these lakes varies from 217 to 352,000 µS cm−1, values that are influenced by factors such as hydrology, local geomorphology (e.g., depth and area), and aquatic vegetation. Although these lakes have been on the UNESCO World Heritage List since 2012, they have never been studied in detail because they are located on the fringes of the Chadian Sahara. The distribution of diatom taxa in the lakes today is closely linked to water-column physical and chemical conditions, especially conductivity. Whereas each lake has particular features that influence its diatom flora, diatoms across a conductivity gradient enabled identification of three distinct waterbody types, freshwater lakes, meso-saline to hyper-saline lakes, and freshwater springs. Relationships between diatom species distributions and environmental variables were examined using multivariate analysis, which revealed that conductivity is the variable that explains most of the variance in the diatom flora. We used modern diatom assemblages from the lakes to develop a predictive model (transfer function) for conductivity, using the weighted averaging method. Our conductivity prediction model is strong, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.89 between estimated and measured values, and a value of 0.78 using jackknife estimates of prediction. This study better constrained conductivity optima and tolerance values for diatom species found in the Ounianga lakes, thereby enabling development of a model that will yield better inferences for past conductivity, using diatoms from lake sediment records in the region.

Identification of shallow groundwater in arid lands using multi-sensor remote sensing data and machine learning algorithms

The focus of this study is to locate shallow groundwater (SGW) occurrences in arid lands using the Western Desert (WD; area: ∼680,000 km2) of Egypt as a test site. The SGW in the study area originated from paleo-precipitation during previous wet climatic periods. In wet periods, fossil groundwater was at higher levels, ascended along high-angle faults, and discharged at the surface. In contrast, at present, the water levels are lower, and the discharge occurs at near-surface elevations. Spring locations were identified as the dependent variable, while the independent variables included remote sensing–based variables and geomorphological features indicative of current or paleo discharge locations, including elevation, slope, curvature, distance to sapping features, soil moisture, NDVI, radar backscatter coefficient, and brightness temperature. Relationships between SGW occurrences (target) and their controlling factors (independent variables) were established using extreme gradient boosting (XGB), support vector machine (SVM), and logistic regression (LR) methods. The trained models were used to map SGW locations across the entire WD. Findings include the following: (1) the XGB yielded the most favorable result in identifying SGW locations (overall accuracy: 0.93) compared to SVM (overall accuracy: 0.88) and LR (overall accuracy: 0.87); (2) areas with a very high probability of SGW occurrences were found in lowlands and proximal to sapping features; (3) the overwhelming majority of the cultivated lands within the southern and central sections of the WD lie within areas identified as high and very high probability SGW locations; (4) our models identify-two previously unrecognized major SGW occurrences, an eastern zone (EZ; length: 800 km; width: 9 to 80 km; area: 43,000 km2) and an east–west trending northern zone (NZ) centered over the Qattara depression (length: 500 km; width: 200 km; area: 62,150 km2); (5) additional criteria were used to refine the modeled (XGB) SGW distribution (southern and central WD: 43,200 km2 to 23,400 km2; EZ: from 21,300 km2 to 17,400, and NZ: from 62,150 to 30,700 km2) including presence of shallow aquifers to accommodate rising Nubian waters, Nubian water salinity (fresh to brackish), and low to moderate thickness (<1 km) of post-Nubian successions that rising waters interact with. The techniques are cost-effective and efficient and could be readily applied to large sectors of Saharan Africa and Arabia, whose landscape and fossil aquifers bear many resemblances in their geologic, climatic, and geomorphic characteristics to the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System.

Lithostratigraphic identification using 3D geophysical/hydrogeological modeling for monitoring the aquifer’s vulnerability to contamination in El-Oweinat, Egypt

The integration between advanced techniques for groundwater vulnerability to contamination is necessary for groundwater management and risk assessment for aquifer systems. 3D geophysical/hydrogeological modeling has been developed for the delineation of lithostratigraphic layers of the Nubian Sandstone aquifer system based on geophysical and hydrogeological borehole data for 79 groundwater wells with a distance of 1 km between each well in the study area of El-Oweinat. Several parameters contributing to groundwater vulnerability have been selected and represented in 3D views as follows: surface elevation; water table; unsaturated and saturated thicknesses; laminar head losses; turbulent head losses; total drawdown; specific capacity; aquitard and aquifer thicknesses to monitor the aquifer vulnerability to contamination using Petrel software. This integration of lithostratigraphic layers and aquifer parameters (e.g. water depth) can significantly help to delineate and understand both the water pathway and attenuation processes caused by the aquitard layers, which serve as a protective layer for the underlying aquifer layers. 3D modeling of the aquifer system allows the decision-maker to visualize and deal with the issue of contamination as quickly as possible.

Multivariate Statistical Analysis and Structural Sovereignty for Geochemical Assessment and Groundwater Prevalence in Bahariya Oasis, Western Desert, Egypt

The Bahariya Oasis is an example of an extremely hyperarid environment and it is characterized by an extensive nonrenewable Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS), which is deemed the crucial provenance for agrarian and national development ventures. The present work aimed to assess the groundwater occurrences in the NSAS, and to document the main factors that control the geochemistry of the groundwater in the Bahariya Oasis. Groundwater samples were collected from 52 locations in April 2019 and were analyzed for a total of 13 water-quality physicochemical parameters. A diverse geological and structural setup has greatly impacted the groundwater flow pattern and has diverted it towards the NE by the great Bahariya anticline structure, the ENE-oriented Bahariya mid dextral strike-slip fault, and NE-striking normal faults, while NW-oriented normal faults cause the groundwater to diverge perpendicular to the groundwater flow lines. The groundwater is highly contaminated by trace metals (Fe2+ and Mn2+), which exceed the permissible limit for different purposes. Conventional graphical plots and geochemical modeling integrated with multivariate factor analysis (FA) revealed that the chemical composition of the groundwater is strongly affected by its interaction with the lithologies of the NSAS. The dissolution of aquifer host rocks (carbonates and iron oxides) and chloride salts through the infiltration of groundwater, and the incorporation of cations by the ionic exchange of Na+ by Ca2+ in clay minerals, emerged as worthy mechanisms for the groundwater development. Furthermore, the region’s rapidly increasing population, agricultural expansion, and the associated anthropogenic practices have generated a need for groundwater-quality assurance as a prime source of the water supply. Consequently, reducing the effects of the NSAS’s unsustainable extraction requires long-term monitoring and the ongoing evaluation of the groundwater.

The Groundwater Flow Behavior and the Recharge in the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System during the Wet and Arid Periods

The Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS) is made up of three major sub-basins: Kufra, Dakhla, and the N. Sudan Platform. It is one of the world’s largest groundwater systems. The aquifer’s hydrologic setting, connectivity of its sub-basins, and groundwater flow across these sub-basins are currently unclear. To address these issues, we used a combined approach that included: (1) a regionally calibrated groundwater flow model that mimics early (&gt;10,000 years) steady-state conditions under wet climatic periods and later (&lt;10,000 years BP–1960; 1960–2010) transient conditions under arid climatic periods; and (2) groundwater ages (36Cl, 81Kr) and isotopic (18O, 2H) data. The NSAS was recharged on a regional scale in previous wet climatic periods; however, in dry periods, its outcrops are still receiving local modest recharge. A progressive increase in 36Cl groundwater ages was found along groundwater flow directions and along structures that are sub-parallel to the flow direction. The NE–SW Pelusium mega shear zone is a preferential groundwater flow conduit from the Kufra to the Dakhla sub-basin. The south-to-north groundwater flow is hampered by the Uweinat–Aswan basement uplift. The findings provide useful information about the best ways to use the NSAS.

Chemical Quality and Hydrogeological Settings of the El-Farafra Oasis (Western Desert of Egypt) Groundwater Resources in Relation to Human Uses

In the Egyptian deserts, new land reclamation projects have been recently established to meet the increasing-population growth rate and food demand. These projects mainly depend on the different groundwater aquifers. El-Farafra Oasis is one of the “1.5-million-feddan reclamation project” areas recently established in the Western Desert of Egypt where the only available water source is the world’s largest fossil freshwater reservoir “the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS)”. Groundwater-dependent springs, and their artificial counterpart “drilled wells”, are reliable water systems throughout the world. In the present study, hydrochemical parameters were collected in 2015 from 16 different springs and wells of the El-Farafra Oasis, and analyzed using the different water quality indices. The calculated water quality index (WQI), its correlations with the water quality parameters Gibbs, Piper, US Salinity-Lab Staff and Wilcox diagrams, and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were used to evaluate the groundwater suitability for human drinking and irrigation purposes. WQI values revealed good-to-excellent groundwater quality for human drinking. In addition, the spring and well water samples investigated showed good indices for irrigation activities. Gibbs and Piper’s diagrams were presented, with most samples falling into the rock-dominance category, and belonging to hydrogeochemical facies determining the following water types: Mg(HCO3)2 type water (37.5% of the samples), no dominant ions (mixed water-type category; Ca/MgCl2) (50% of the samples), and, finally, NaCl water type (the remaining 12.5%). The groundwater chemistry in the study area is mainly controlled by rock-water interactions, particularly the dissolution of carbonate rocks and silicate weathering. The elevated nutrient concentrations, in particular nitrates, are most likely due to agricultural activities, indicating substantial anthropogenic activities in the area studied.

Hydrogeochemical processes and groundwater quality assessment of the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System in El Farafra Oasis, Egypt

Hydrogeochemical processes and groundwater quality assessment of the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System in El Farafra Oasis, Egypt

GIS-based evaluation and statistical determination of groundwater geochemistry for potential irrigation use in El Moghra, Egypt

The El Moghra area is located in northwestern Egypt in the Western Desert. It is classified as the first priority of the national project to reclaim 1.50 million feddan of Egypt's desert lands. Groundwater quality assessment of the El Moghra aquifer is essential because irrigation water requirements in the El Moghra area depend solely on groundwater. A geochemistry analysis was conducted for 230,000 feddans from forty-six groundwater samples collected during the drilling process of deep wells in year 2018 and 2019. Our study's main objective is to determine whether the groundwater in the El Moghra aquifer is suitable for irrigation use. ArcGIS was used to prepare the geospatial distribution maps of major elements. Hydrochemical characteristics and groundwater types were identified from descriptive analyses of groundwater samples. Multivariate statistical analysis was run using SPSS; correlation coefficients were first determined; then, a correlation matrix was generated. Principal component analysis was performed and a covariance matrix with varimax rotation was produced. Results revealed the alkalinity and the high salinity of groundwater in the project study area. Most of the samples had a total hardness greater than 300 mg/l. Sodium chloride (Na-Cl) is the dominant type for groundwater samples. The mechanism controlling groundwater chemistry depends on rock weathering. Principal component analysis results showed that two eigenvectors among ten have a 72.86% contribution to the cumulative variance. The higher TDS values (14,008 mg/l) confirm the ions release when the upward groundwater flow from the lower Nubian Sandstone aquifer system to the upper quaternary aquifer occurs. Additionally, the geospatial maps of ion distribution showed that the frequent release of minerals happens in the northwestern part of the project study area: the eastern Qattara Depression. A perfect correlation between sodium and chloride distributions was obtained, and it is identical to the electrical conductivity distribution as well. Our study recommends very salt-tolerant crops as canola, barley, quinoa, and jojoba to be planted in the project area. Drought-tolerant crops as Barbary fig and Jatropha are also recommended. Applying irrigation water frequently with short intervals between irrigations to avoid soil drying and surface clusters' formation, as well as enhance leeching of salts away from the root systems, is essential.

Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Development in a Closed Groundwater-Driven Basin: A Case Study of the Siwa Region, Western Desert of Egypt

The Siwa region located in the Western Desert of Egypt has 30,000 acres available for reclamation as a part of a national project to increase agricultural production. This study addressed the climate change-driven long-term concerns of developing an agricultural project in this region where groundwater from the non-renewable Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS) is the only source of water. Different climate models were used under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs); RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. Projected seasonal temperatures show that the maximum increase in summer is 1.68 ± 1.64 °C in 2060 and 4.65 ± 1.82 °C in 2100 under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively. The increase in water requirement for crops is estimated around 6–8.1% under RCP 4.5 while around 9.7–18.2% under RCP 8.5. Maximum reductions of strategic crop yields vary from 2.9% to 12.8% in 2060 under RCP 4.5, while from 10.4% to 27.4% in 2100 under RCP 8.5. Project goals are feasible until 2100 under RCP 4.5 but only until 2080 with RCP 8.5. When an optimization analysis was conducted, these goals are possible from 2080 to 2100 by modified land allocation. The proposed methodology is useful to project impact of climate change anywhere such that management and adaptation options can be proposed for sustainable agricultural development.

Elevated radium levels in Nubian Aquifer groundwater of Northeastern Africa

The Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System in Northeast Africa and the Middle East is a huge water resource of inestimable value to the population. However, natural radioactivity impairs groundwater quality throughout the aquifer posing a radiological health risk to millions of people. Here we present measurements of radium isotopes in Nubian Aquifer groundwater from population centers in the Western Desert of Egypt. Groundwater has 226Ra and 228Ra activities ranging from 0.01 to 2.11 and 0.03 to 2.31 Bq/L, respectively. Most activities (combined 226Ra + 228Ra) exceed U.S. EPA drinking water standards. The estimated annual radiation doses associated with ingestion of water having the highest measured Ra activities are up to 138 and 14 times the WHO-recommended maxima for infants and adults, respectively. Dissolved Ra activities are positively correlated with barium and negatively correlated with sulfate, while barite is approximately saturated. In contrast, Ra is uncorrelated with salinity. These observations indicate the dominant geochemical mechanisms controlling dissolved Ra activity may be barite precipitation and sulfate reduction, along with input from alpha-recoil and dissolution of aquifer minerals and loss by radioactive decay. Radium mitigation measures should be adopted for water quality management where Nubian Aquifer groundwater is produced for agricultural and domestic consumption.

Groundwater Storage Changes in the Major North African Transboundary Aquifer Systems during the GRACE Era (2003–2016)

Groundwater is an essential component of the terrestrial water cycle and a key resource for supplying water to billions of people and for sustaining domestic and economic (agricultural and industrial) activities, especially in arid and semi-arid areas. The goal of this study is to analyze the recent groundwater changes which occurred in the major North African transboundary aquifers in the beginning of the 21st century. Groundwater storage anomalies were obtained by removing soil moisture in the root zone (and surface water in the case of the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System) from the terrestrial water storage anomalies estimated using the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) over the 2003–2016 time period. Spatio-temporal changes in groundwater storage contrast significantly among the different transboundary aquifers. Low changes (lower than 10 km3) were observed in the Tindouf Aquifer System but they were found to be highly correlated (R = 0.74) to atmospheric fluxes (precipitation minus evapotranspiration, P − ET) at annual scale. The GRACE data revealed huge water loss in the North Western Sahara and the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer Systems, above 30 km3 and around 50 km3, respectively. In the former case, the aquifer depletion can be attributed to both climate (R = 0.67 against P − ET) and water abstraction, and only to water abstraction in the latter case. The increase in water abstraction results from an increase in irrigated areas and population growth. For these two aquifers, a deceleration in the water loss observed after 2013 is likely to be attributed either to an increase in rainfall favoring rain-fed agriculture or to measures taken to reduce the over-exploitation of the groundwater resources.

Hydrochemical and isotopic study of groundwater in Wadi El-Natrun, Western Desert, Egypt: Implication for salinization processes

Ground-water samples were collected from 10 wells in Wadi El-Natrun, Western Desert, Egypt, over four consecutive years. The combination of isotopic composition and hydrochemical analyses was used to identify the origin of the groundwater and determine recharging sources as well as to discuss the mechanism controlling hydrochemical variation among wells. Two water sources, a relatively recent/shallow aquifer recharged from Nile River water and a deep/old aquifer (i.e. the Nubian sandstone aquifer system [NSAS]), are identified from isotopic and geographical relationships and the correlation between isotopic data and bicarbonate concentration. It was found that Nile Delta aquifer water was likely supplied as groundwater flows from the southeast and that old water (paleowater) was supplied upward from deeper layers. Some wells show relatively greater variation in concentration as well as in hydrogen isotope composition during the four-year study. Based on the relationship between concentration and isotope composition the variation was not caused by seawater intrusion or salt dissolution but by intensive water loss. The water loss is not directly due to evaporation or suction but is considered to proceed indirectly within the soil.

Sustainable Agriculture Development in the Western Desert of Egypt: A Case Study on Crop Production, Profit, and Uncertainty in the Siwa Region

The Egyptian government initiated a development project in 2015 to reclaim 1.5 million acres with the primary goal of increasing agricultural production. Siwa is one of these areas in the Western Desert of Egypt, with 30,000 acres using groundwater from the Nubian Sandstone Aquifer System (NSAS). This study investigates if government goals are achievable in the next 20 years to secure the food and water needs of the Siwa region. Results show that total required crop areas are 7154 and 6629 acres in winter and summer, respectively. These areas are less than 17,010 acres of available area for cultivation (Av). The estimated total water use is 40.6 million cubic meters (MCM), which is less than the 88 MCM that is considered available groundwater in the Nubian Aquifer System (NAS). Due to available capacity in Siwa, an optimization model is used to maximize crop production considering government policies. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was applied to predict production costs and sell prices of cultivated crops. Analysis included different scenarios beyond government-recommended approaches to identify ways to further expand agriculture production under sustainable conditions. Results provide valuable insights to the ability to achieve government goals from the project and changes that may be required to enhance production.